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PFT's Week Three Picks

[Editor's note:  Each week, Rosenthal and I go head to head, picking the winner of each and every game.  The loser gets to cut and paste the take and picks for each game in the next pack of picks.  I've now had to do it two weeks in a row; for Week Two, my ill-advised faith in the Patriots was the difference-maker, with Rosenthal taking the Jets and going 11-5, and yours truly taking the Pats and going 10-6.  This week, we differ on six games -- and, yes, one of them again involves the Jets.]

Titans at Giants

Florio’s take:  The Giants are in disarray, but the Titans are still reeling from the beating they took at the hands (and arms, legs, and torsos) of the Steelers.  Back from a benching, it remains to be seen how Tennessee quarterback Vince Young responds now that he has been yanked for a 37-year-old relief pitcher.  With New York coach Tom Coughlin’s seat gradually getting hotter, he needs to get a team that suddenly is nearly as dysfunctional as the Tiki-Strahan-Shockey-Plaxico group to focus on playing hard and winning games.  For this week, Coughlin should be able to get it done, barely.

Florio’s prediction:  Giants 17, Titans 13.

Rosenthal’s take: The Titans and Giants are licking their wounds this week. When times get tough, good teams go back to what they know.  The Titans know they are a smash mouth team that can’t afford Vince Young mistakes.  Their defense has played outstanding for two weeks.  The Giants aren’t quite sure what they have yet, except a lot of drama and shoddy pass protection. Take the team that knows how to fix itself.

Rosenthal’s pick: Titans 23, Giants 21.

Bengals at Panthers

Florio’s take:  If Carolina coach John Fox were going to entrust what likely will be his final season with the team to rookie quarterback Jimmy Clausen, Fox should have done it back in May, when Clausen would have had enough time to prepare.  Instead, he’ll get his first start after spending training camp and the preseason as the clear-cut No. 2 behind the now-benched Matt Moore.  Though Clausen was regarded as the most game-ready of the 2010 quarterback class, he won’t be ready to win a game against a Bengals team that showed a lot more bite in Week Two.

Florio’s prediction:  Bengals 31, Panthers 14.

Rosenthal’s take: The Panthers have arguably been the worst team in football, losing by double digits in both weeks.  Rookie quarterback Jimmy Clausen didn’t win the starting quarterback job; Matt Moore just tanked.  Clausen will have to win without his Pro Bowl right tackle (Jeff Otah). Carolina is also using two uninspiring rookie wideouts in prominent roles against one of the best cornerback duos in the NFL. The Panthers just can’t score enough to win.

Rosenthal’s pick: Bengals 24, Panthers 14.

Steelers at Buccaneers

Florio’s take:  No one expected either of these teams to be 2-0.  But one of them is a contender and the other one isn’t and that reality will become obvious on Sunday when the Pittsburgh defense does to Tampa quarterback Josh Freeman what the Pittsburgh defense did to Tennessee quarterback Vince Young.  Sure, the Steelers have quarterback issues.  I’m even more sure that it doesn’t matter.

Florio’s pick:  Steelers 12, Buccaneers 3.

Rosenthal’s take: Charlie Batch dropped back to pass 13 times last week.  Those plays gained a combined 19 yards.  You can only go on winning like that for so long.  Raheem Morris’ Bucs, meanwhile, haven’t given up many points ever since he took over defensive play-calling duties late last year. This is going to another ugly low-scoring Steelers game. But Tampa has the quarterback to make the plays in the fourth quarter.  Bucball is back.

Rosenthal’s pick:  Buccaneers 13, Steelers 9.

Bills at Patriots

Florio’s take:  In Week One of the 2003 season, the Patriots played the Bills in Buffalo.  And the Bills won, 31-0.  (The rest of the season worked out well for the Pats; they won the Super Bowl.)    In 13 meetings since then, the Pats haven’t lost to the Bills.  This year should be no different, especially since the Bills look to be the worst team in the conference, if not the entire league.

Florio’s pick:  Patriots 35, Bills 10.

Rosenthal’s take: Chan Gailey gave Trent Edwards two games before pulling the plug for Ryan Fitzpatrick. It’s an admission the Bills are aiming low this year.  While Fred Jackson has been a Patriots killer in the past, this doesn’t look like the Bills team to end New England’s ridiculous 13-game run in this series.  Tom Brady has never look so pissed off as he was leaving the podium after the Jets game.  He takes out his frustrations here.

Rosenthal’s pick: Patriots 31, Bills 14.

Browns at Ravens

Florio’s take:  The Browns had a chance to carry a 2-0 record, and the confidence that would have come with it, into this grueling test against the struggling-but-powerful Ravens.  But the Browns couldn’t beat the Bucs or the Chiefs.  They enter a new level against the Ravens, even with an offense that currently can’t score many points.

Florio’s pick:  Ravens 16, Browns 6.

Rosenthal’s take: The Ravens split two games against quality opponents because they keep turning the ball over.  The Browns lost two close games to mediocre teams because they keep turning the ball over.  Advantage, Baltimore.  The Browns defense has quietly looked solid, but they are playing just well enough to keep games close for Seneca Wallace and the offense to squander.

Rosenthal’s pick: Ravens 22, Browns 16.

49ers at Chiefs

Florio’s take:  Despite losing on Monday night against the Saints, the 49ers seemed to find their groove, something that sorely was missing in a Week One loss to the Seahawks.  The Chiefs are, as we’ve dubbed them, the “Overachiefers.”  But it may be too much to expect them to move to 3-0, given that they scored only nine points on offense against the Browns.  So while I’ve picked the Chiefs to win in each of the first two weeks of the season, and I’m going to cash in while I’m ahead.  The Chiefs aren’t a 3-0 team, and the Niners aren’t an 0-3 team.  Unless, of course, I’m wrong about that.

Florio’s pick:  49ers 20, Chiefs 10.

Rosenthal’s take: The 49ers think they are unlucky to be 0-2 after an inspired performance against the Saints.  Most everyone thinks the Chiefs are lucky to be 2-0 despite an ugly passing game.  In a logical world, there would be a correction here.  The NFL isn’t logical. The Chiefs possess an exciting young secondary, excellent special teams, and a true home field advantage again.  That should be enough against a 49ers team prone to mental mistakes.

Rosenthal’s pick: Chiefs 20, 49ers 16.

Cowboys at Texans

Florio’s take:  Last year, the Cowboys carried a two-game losing streak into a showdown with the undefeated Saints.  Few thought the Cowboys could win, but win they did.  This year, the Dallas trip to Houston has a similar “correction” feel, with the Cowboys’ desperation pushing the coaching staff and the players to reach a level of performance that allows them to get put a “1″ where a “0″ now resides.  Meanwhile, the Texans could be in line for a letdown after Sunday’s dramatic, exhausting, and to a certain extent lucky win over the Redskins.

Florio’s pick:  Cowboys 24, Texans 20.

Rosenthal’s take: America must sti
ll love the Cowboys because
Dallas is only three-point underdog to the 2-0 Texans. I must love the Cowboys too based on this pick.  This is the perfect matchup for Dallas offensive coordinator Jason Garrett.  Dallas can’t make adjustments, but they won’t need to against a Houston secondary that’s been overmatched.  Dallas’ pass rush can get after Matt Schaub with left tackle Duane Brown suspended.  While prone to brain farts, this remains a veteran Cowboys team that knows it can’t afford to lose another game.  

Rosenthal’s pick: Cowboys 30, Texans 28.

Lions at Vikings

Florio’s take:  Since the Lions swept the Vikings in 1997, the Vikings have beaten the Lions 21 of 24 times.  But even in Detroit’s 0-16 season, they lost to the Vikings only by two points in the first game and four in the rematch.  While an upset could be coming — especially with Jahvid Best, the first-round tailback the Lions drafted with the first-round pick the Vikings traded to them, looking like the real deal — the Vikings easily could be 2-0 even with an anemic offense.  They need this one badly, and they know it.

Florio’s pick:  Vikings 28, Lions 19.

Rosenthal’s take: The focus on wide receivers in Minnesota distracts from the team’s real problems.  Both offensive tackles have been unable to pass protect.  Center remains a weak spot of the offensive line too.  Detroit’s front four is improved, but not enough to make up for a dreadful back seven.  It’s time for the Vikings offense to get healthy.

Rosenthal’s pick: Vikings 27, Lions 17.

Falcons at Saints

Florio’s take:  Atlanta came alive in Week Two, trashing the Cardinals only a week after going toe-to-toe with the Steelers.  Though it’ll hurt the Saints not to have Reggie Bush, they’ve got enough other weapons — and they’ve got a driven and motivated Drew Brees.  These teams are close enough to give the edge to the home team, and the Saints are the home team.  So they get the edge.

Florio’s pick:  Saints 29, Falcons 22.

Rosenthal’s take: This is the best matchup of the week, and the most
important.  The Falcons have a chance to win 11 games with their
schedule, but the path to winning the NFC South goes through New
Orleans.  It’s yet another game where the Saints face an amped-up squad
with everything to gain.  It’s a game where we see just how improved the
Falcons defense is.  It’s also a game where I’m too chicken to pick
against Drew Brees in the Superdome.

Rosenthal’s pick: Saints 30, Falcons 27.

Redskins at Rams

Florio’s take:  In 2008, one of the Rams’ two wins came against the Redskins.  In 2009, the Rams nearly scored what would have been their second win of the season against the Redskins.  While the Rams have been competitive against the Cardinals and the Raiders, the Redskins have more punch than either of those teams, and it should be enough to result in a fairly early knockout.

Florio’s pick:  Redskins 29, Rams 7.

Rosenthal’s take: In 2008, the Redskins ruined a lot of survivor pools by losing to the winless Rams in Week Six. That ended a four-game winning streak for Washington and proved to be a harbinger of misery for Jim Zorn.  Mike Shanahan’s arrival brings a dose of competence. The Redskins defense remains talented, and the passing game is improving faster than expected.  Rams coach Steve Spagnuolo reminds us more of Zorn. Spags’ side of the ball (defense) still struggles and St. Louis looked awfully sloppy in Oakland. 

Rosenthal’s pick: Redskins 20, Rams 14.

Eagles at Jaguars  

Florio’s take:  In January 2006, Marcus Vick played at Jacksonville Municipal Stadium, and he stomped on the leg of then-Louisville defensive end Elvis Dumervil.  For the first time since then, a Vick returns to the scene poised to stomp all over the Jaguars.  But the problem with the Eagles isn’t the offense but a defense that has surrendered 60 points in two games.  Fortunately for Philly, the Jaguars don’t have the horses to take advantage of that flaw.

Florio’s pick:  Eagles 24, Jaguars 17.

Rosenthal’s take: Perhaps Andy Reid didn’t start Kevin Kolb because Reid knew Kolb would shred the Jaguars.  Just about any quarterback could these days.  Jacksonville has improved the defensive line, but the team’s secondary threatens to torpedo the season.  Michael Vick may not be one of the best quarterback in the league yet, but life with him will be beautiful for at least one more week.  

Rosenthal’s pick: Eagles 33, Jaguars 24.

Colts at Broncos

Florio’s take:  The Broncos have suffered in recent years through two prior player deaths, but they’ve never had to deal with it during the season.  Emotions will be running high, but it won’t nearly be enough to close the talent gap between these two teams.

Florio’s pick:  Colts 31, Broncos 20.

Rosenthal’s take: The last time these two teams played was the beginning of the end for former Broncos defensive coordinator Mike Nolan.  The Colts quickly scored three straight times against Nolan’s risky schemes, and the Broncos never fully recovered.  Denver’s defense has played it safer this year, but they don’t look appreciably better.  This is the wrong week to have two injured starting cornerbacks.

Rosenthal’s pick: Colts 28, Broncos 24.

Raiders at Cardinals

Florio’s take:  The Raiders are used to losing; the Cardinals are getting reacquainted with the concept.  Though a quick quarterback change did the trick for Oakland in Week Two against the Rams, the Cardinals aren’t the Rams, yet.  The Cardinals have only beaten the Raiders twice, and never at home.  It’s time for that to change.

Florio’s pick:  Cardinals 17, Raiders 14.

Rosenthal’s take: Cardinals defensive tackle Darnell Dockett told his team’s website it “felt like Precious fell on me” after playing 81 snaps against the Rams in the opener.  She didn’t get off the next week in Atlanta.  While the fat lady sang early against the Falcons, it’s not a huge cause for alarm in Arizona.  Even Kurt Warner’s teams were prone to wild weekly swings.  It’s what Ken Whisenhunt’s Cardinals do.  They also bounce back in games they should win at home.

Rosenthal’s pick: Cardinals 23, Raiders 17.

Chargers at Seahawks

Florio’s take:  For as good as the Seahawks looked against San Fran in Week One, they went the other way at Denver in Week Two.  Chalk the difference up to the rowdy crowd in Seattle, which meshes with coach Pete Carroll’s rah-rah style.  So in the 49th meeting between these former AFC West rivals, look for the Seahawks to perform like they did against the 49ers.  And it could be just enough to steal a win.

Florio’s pick:  Seahawks 20, Chargers 17.

Rosenthal’s take: These are teams that I have no clue about.  The Seahawks seem like some grand experiment from Pete Carroll. How many players can you replace in one offseason and still look like an NFL team?  With all the new faces and schemes, Seattle needs Matt Hasselbeck to be the steady guiding hand.  Instead, he’s prone to mind-numbing interceptions.  The Chargers have plenty of questions of their own, but not at quarterback. 

Rosenthal’s pick: Chargers 31, Seahawks 27.

Jets at Dolphins

Florio’s take:  Rarely if ever does a 1-1 team face a “must” win in Week Three.  But never before has a coach dubbed his team “soon to be champs” before losing one at home and winning one at home and facing a 2-0 division rival in Week Three.  If the Jets are to put themselves on track to win a Super Bowl, they need to first control their division.  And that includes winning at home, and on the road.  Against New England, the Jets found a good rhythm on offense; the Dolphins are still searching for theirs.  Even without cornerback Darrelle Revis, look for the Jets’ offense to do better than the Dolphins’ offense against a pair of top-flight defenses.

Florio’s pick:  Jets 17, Dolphins 16.

Rosenthal’s take: The Jets win against New England was huge.  But the sky will start falling again in New York if the Jets fall two games behind Miami. The Dolphins were the Jets’ kryptonite last season, even before Miami improved their cornerback play and speed at linebacker.  Like Baltimore, Miami is the rare team that can match the Jets’ toughness. I’ll take the Dolphins running game too.

Rosenthal’s pick: Dolphins 17, Jets 14.

Bears at Packers

Florio’s take:  Another battle of the unbeatens, but featuring a potential juggernaut against a team that won’t be able to hold it together over the long haul.  The Packers have a powerful offense and a surprisingly good defense, especially with linebacker Clay Matthews becoming the league’s new elite pass rusher.  The Packers have already gotten two starting quarterbacks benched in two weeks; though Jay Cutler’s job may be safe, his health may not be.

Florio’s pick:  Packers 31, Bears 20.

Rosenthal’s take: I’m not sure how far the Bears will go this year, but they will be fun to watch along the way.  Jay Cutler is back to making passes other quarterbacks simply can’t make.  When you include Greg Olsen and two excellent pass-catching running backs, Cutler has enough weapons to win.  The Bears defense, healthy for once, looks like a different group.  Monday night will show how different. I still like the Packers to make the Super Bowl, but the Bears will look like true contenders for one September night. 

Rosenthal’s pick: Bears 31, Packers 28.

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73 Responses to “PFT's Week Three Picks”
  1. Goetta-Head says: Sep 23, 2010 12:17 PM

    Why is that the Bengals win because the Panthers are bad? Why cant it ever be that they Bengals win because they are good? But thanks for continuing to keep us under the radar.

  2. Reginald says: Sep 23, 2010 12:25 PM

    You’re both absolutely insane if you think these cowboys can beat the Texans.
    Out
    Of
    Your
    Mind.

  3. dmbjimi says: Sep 23, 2010 12:26 PM

    Do your research GREGG, Clausen was never competing for a starting spot. Moore was named the unquestioned starter in training camp. Clausen was supposed to sit for the year but Moore tanked so they have no choice…..and oh….pro bowl tackle Jeff Otah…Otah has never been to a probowl idiot. Thats Jordan Gross who is heathly. Gregg is scrub.

  4. Chapnasty. says: Sep 23, 2010 12:26 PM

    Cowboys do not win this game, Wade is Fired, Garrett takes over, Dallas finishes 1-15.

  5. BucsFan1976 says: Sep 23, 2010 12:26 PM

    Rosenthal…..you hit the nail on the head on picking the Bucs to beat Pittsburgh. You’re dead on point about Raheem running the defense. Going back to the last 3 games last year to now the Bucs are 4-1. They’re flying under the radar right now and that’s why everyone will be shocked after they send the Steelers home with their tails tucked between their legs. Do me a favor and reach over and slap Florio up side his head to knock some sense into him and quit hating on the Bucs.

  6. Twiz says: Sep 23, 2010 12:27 PM

    Thanks for once again proving to the world that neither one of you know anything about football and are completely unable to form your own opinions about a team. 95% of what both of you said here about different teams is what is being said bout those teams on far more reputable sites!

  7. thecurtain says: Sep 23, 2010 12:28 PM

    So Matt Ryan and Vince Young couldn’t make a play against the steeler defense when they needed to but Josh Freeman will. Great analysis.

  8. Sociofan says: Sep 23, 2010 12:28 PM

    Looks like you will be +1 this week Florio. Still does not mean you know anything about football.

  9. raybin says: Sep 23, 2010 12:28 PM

    “Bucball is back.
    Rosenthal’s pick: Buccaneers 13, Steelers 9.”
    Those are some powerful drugs you’re on, Rosenthal. Steelers 20 Bucs 10.
    (And I’m a passionate Steeler hater, for the record)

  10. Allliiieee says: Sep 23, 2010 12:28 PM

    Packers at Bears

  11. Raiderfankirk says: Sep 23, 2010 12:28 PM

    really? Raiders at least 28 pts.

  12. Shalhoub66 says: Sep 23, 2010 12:29 PM

    packers 34, bears 20
    The packers will get too much pressure for jay cutler to be able to make the deep throws. which will make cutler have to try and make tight throws into coverage, which he can’t do, and he will throw 4 picks.

  13. CowboysFansAreAllBandwagonFans says: Sep 23, 2010 12:32 PM

    Florio – you picked the Seahawks to beat the Chargers? I think you’ll be Cut & Pasting again next week.

  14. Action Dan says: Sep 23, 2010 12:35 PM

    Packers “surprisingly good defense.”
    When one of 2009′s elite defenses carries over the production into the next season, that is a surprise?
    It makes me nervous knowing that Florio, the worst journalist in pro football, is picking my team to win.

  15. raybin says: Sep 23, 2010 12:37 PM

    Few random thoughts:
    -Detroit’s pass rush is beastly and it wouldn’t surprise me if Suh or Vanden Bosch knock Favre straight into retirement. Still, you have to score points to win. If Stafford was in, I’d take the Lions. But he’s not, so I won’t. Vikings 27-Lions 16
    -The Rams over the Redskins are my Upset Special of the Week. Rams 23 – Redskins 20
    -Romeo Crennel has the Chiefs defense definitely on the upswing, but Weis is going to be handicapped as long as he’s dealing with Matt Cassel, who is horrible. The 49ers are taking this one. 49ers 24 – Chiefs 19
    -Gradkowski once again justifies Cable’s faith in him. If they finally let Asomugha move around, he’ll keep Fitzgerald down to reasonable numbers and the Raiders pass rush will overwhelm either Derek Anderson or Max Hall. Raiders 24 – Cards 17

  16. Pack_Attack says: Sep 23, 2010 12:37 PM

    We like being the underdog whenever possible–Thanks Mike

  17. phailing101 says: Sep 23, 2010 12:40 PM

    Ummm pretty sure Bears are at home.

  18. asdfghjkl says: Sep 23, 2010 12:40 PM

    For a bunch of high school punks/fantasy football players, you guys sure like to act like smart@$$es.
    Trust me, none of you know as much as you think regardless of how obsurd Florio and his partner might seem to be.
    Either, get back to school or go get a frickin’t job, you pack of lazy slobs!

  19. FloriosHairHat says: Sep 23, 2010 12:41 PM

    Hey Jerry.
    No team has ever made it to the Super Bowl after starting 0-3.
    The Dallas tradition continues.
    LMAO.

  20. phailing101 says: Sep 23, 2010 12:42 PM

    Dallas is DEFINITELY going to be firing numerous coaches after Houston wins on Sunday.
    Its in Houston, its the battle for Texas and Houston is the better team!

  21. Playtowinthegame says: Sep 23, 2010 12:42 PM

    Correction, the Jets kryptonite was Ted Ginn Jr. and he is gone!

  22. Green n' Gold says: Sep 23, 2010 12:43 PM

    No way Cutler and the Cubs put up 31 on the Pack Rosenthal!!
    GB 28-24

  23. CHIEF ZEE says: Sep 23, 2010 12:44 PM

    Texans are going to dominate the cowboys in a big way.

  24. packrulzm says: Sep 23, 2010 12:46 PM

    Throw the records out the window when the Packers play the Bears. While I hope for a Packers win on Monday night, I would not be surprised if the Bears step up and win it.

  25. TP7 says: Sep 23, 2010 1:01 PM

    Panthers 21
    Cincinnati 17
    King Delusional, JR1

  26. HoustonTexans55 says: Sep 23, 2010 1:01 PM

    Florio and Rosenthal,
    Don’t ever bet against the Texans – Especially at HOME! I’m telling you right now this city is Electric right now….
    Reliant Stadium is going to be the loudest it’s ever been in our 9 years of existence. Romo won’t be able to hear jack squat – I predict Mario Williams will be on his way to Sack # 5, 6 on the season.
    Yes our secondary has been weak (ranked #32)
    BUT, our Rush defense has been (ranked #1) this year.
    No Running game, and pressure on Romo, I smell Sacks and Interceptions.
    Texans 27 Cowboys 20

  27. txfan says: Sep 23, 2010 1:07 PM

    still blindly sticking with those Cowboys huh?
    not saying they can’t win…anything could happen…but if they bears o-line can handle them i don’t see it being a game changer. The Texans should take this game over the disfunctional cowgirls.

  28. shaggeez says: Sep 23, 2010 1:07 PM

    Packers “surprisingly good defense.”
    When one of 2009′s elite defenses carries over the production into the next season, that is a surprise?
    It makes me nervous knowing that Florio, the worst journalist in pro football, is picking my team to win.
    _____________________________________
    Truly elite defenses don’t give up over 50 points in playoff games. They just don’t. Playoffs are the times when these defenses make statements. I guess your defense is like the peyton manning of defenses. Only elite in the regular season.

  29. In & Out Burger says: Sep 23, 2010 1:12 PM

    “America must still love the Cowboys because Dallas is only three-point underdog to the 2-0 Texans.”
    It is because everyone like you keeps saying they are going to win. I think ESPN picks the Cowboys to win every week. Everyone is always SHOCKED when they lose.
    I think the Cowboys are a better team than 0-2 but their secondary is hurt and Andre Johnson is playing out of this world right now. On top of that Witten may not be 100% (no matter what they say) and he is by far Romo’s favorite target. The Cowboys line is struggling and Mario Williams could really reck it. All those things add up to the logical guess being a Texans win. That doesn’t mean they will of course, I’m just saying on paper.

  30. kravon says: Sep 23, 2010 1:15 PM

    @ Goetta-head
    With Chad and Terrell the Bengals will never be under the radar.

  31. SomeFans says: Sep 23, 2010 1:15 PM

    Dolphins OWN the jests… walk in the park

  32. winslow says: Sep 23, 2010 1:17 PM

    How much fun will it be to watch Jerry Jones’ head explode like the Hindenburg if Dallas loses to Houston?
    “Oh, the humanity!”
    Wade Phillips out.
    Jason Garrett in.
    However, since Garrett can’t block it really won’t matter.

  33. mattgso says: Sep 23, 2010 1:22 PM

    Packers-Bears is a rivalry the transcends all records, injuries, and predictions. Bears are the Packers’ #1 rivals regardless of fading anomalies in MN.
    Both team get up for this series like it was a playoff game.
    Hoping the Pack comes out on top but that could go either way.

  34. Castro95 says: Sep 23, 2010 1:37 PM

    How many elite defenders does Cutler have to take on before you give him credit. First it was Bosh & Suh and they were taken care of . Followed by Ware and the Dallas D we all know how that story ends. If Clay Mathews is the only thing The o-line has to worry about then Da BEARS win hands down.

  35. joe.attaboy says: Sep 23, 2010 1:39 PM

    Wait.
    Rosenthal: Reid “probably” thought that Kolb would “shred” the Jaguars (and out secondary is not good right now). So, they start Vic, and that’s good for a 9-point win?
    Sniff…sniff…where’s that ganja small coming from?

  36. megatron81 says: Sep 23, 2010 1:48 PM

    Megatron’s Take:
    Detroits offense runs through the Vikings D as if they were urine soaked cardboard. Jahvid Best shows that he’s the top playmaker in the NFL in just his 3rd regular season game as he accumulates 260 yards and 3 more touchdowns, giving him 8 on the young season. Suh forces Brenn Fart out of the game in the first quarter with a hit that caused multiple injuries to Fart including spinal, neck and facial contusions.
    Megatron’s Pick:
    Lions 37 Vikings 14

  37. mikefont says: Sep 23, 2010 1:48 PM

    And here I thought Florio AND Rosenthal were both objective enough to not buy into all of the overrated Cowgirls hype! Well I guess I was wrong. Just no love for the Texans…but that’s ok. I hope ALL of these national media types keep hating on the Texans.
    You Watch, the Texans WILL be lifting the Lombardi trophy as this year’s Superbowl Champs! Mark my words!
    Go Texans!

  38. Jservo says: Sep 23, 2010 1:53 PM

    Although I am a Bears fan, and did thoroughly enjoy them beating the Cowboys, The Bears are just not the consistent team they used to be a few years ago when they went to the Super Bowl. They have had a good start their first 2 weeks, but they will have to remain consistent, especially Jay Cutler, in order to get my hopes up for a solid year. I hope they can prove that on MNF. That would be a great stepping stone as to all of the accolades they have been receiving, even though it is only week 3. Go Bears!!!

  39. Chicago6 says: Sep 23, 2010 1:53 PM

    Oh my god…I come to this site for the comedy obviously not the insight.
    How is it that the packers have a “suprisingly good defense” when they were a top 5 defense a season ago?( I didn’t look it up but if memory serves me right I believe me they were 2nd overall)
    Last season both of their games were close even with Cutler throwing interceptions like a fireman throwing candy in a parade. The records dont mean a thing when these two teams play. It will be a close game. I still think the Packers will win though.

  40. asdfghjkl says: Sep 23, 2010 1:54 PM

    Well, better the Texans than the Cowgirls/Cryboys.

  41. T A P says: Sep 23, 2010 1:57 PM

    Hey Castro, how did Cutler take care of Bosh and Suh? If it wasn’t for a stupid technicality rule, the Bears would have lost that game. 4-pick-a-game Cutler is coming soon, don’t you worry about that.

  42. sacdaddy says: Sep 23, 2010 1:59 PM

    Florio can you put the games in a different color? It’s tough to read.

  43. Repojam says: Sep 23, 2010 2:00 PM

    mikefont says:
    September 23, 2010 1:48 PM
    And here I thought Florio AND Rosenthal were both objective enough to not buy into all of the overrated Cowgirls hype! Well I guess I was wrong. Just no love for the Texans…but that’s ok. I hope ALL of these national media types keep hating on the Texans.
    You Watch, the Texans WILL be lifting the Lombardi trophy as this year’s Superbowl Champs! Mark my words!
    Go Texans!
    —-
    A Lombardi?
    How about the more reasonable goal of making it to the playoffs for the first time ever?
    Horse before the cart.

  44. the immortal SCURDS says: Sep 23, 2010 2:04 PM

    titans bengals steelers pats ravens chiefs texans minny atl redskins philly colts raiders chargers dolphins pack

  45. tomsteel says: Sep 23, 2010 2:11 PM

    Rosenthal, you’re an idiot. The Bucs “REALLY”! Come on pass the pipe dude. They’ve beaten the 0-2 Browns and Panthers, two of the worst teams in the league, and the Browns was a three point victory. The Steelers are arguably the best D in the league, and to pick on Batch and his 19 yards is ridiculous. First of all, he’s the forth string QB(and what a luxury to have a guy like this as a forth string QB), so when was the last time he spent a week preparing with a first team offense for a game, which he will this week. Secondly he had two passes that should have been caught, dropped, and a TD pass called back on a penalty. If the Bucos score more than 7 pts it will be because the Steelers pulled starters due to the margin of the lead they have. Mendenhall will have a very good day and Batch will be adequate enough to not lose the game, which is all the Steelers defense needs. Get a clue and put down the pipe pal!

  46. SDW2001 says: Sep 23, 2010 2:13 PM

    Some pretty ridiculously bad analysis here.
    Bucs over the Steelers? The Eagles’ DEFENSE is the problem? Look I get that they’ve given up 60 points. But for 75% of the past two games, Bradley has been out. They also played the widely-agreed-upon Super Bowl contender, the Packers. Let’s not forget that with Bradley in the there, the Eagles are a different defense. And, Nate Allen and Brandon Graham are playing VERY well. No way they only win by less than 10, and no way JAX puts up 24. Please.

  47. zangy says: Sep 23, 2010 2:14 PM

    Castro95 says:
    September 23, 2010 1:37 PM
    How many elite defenders does Cutler have to take on before you give him credit. First it was Bosh & Suh and they were taken care of . Followed by Ware and the Dallas D we all know how that story ends. If Clay Mathews is the only thing The o-line has to worry about then Da BEARS win hands down.
    ———————————————–
    First off, the bears lost to the lions. the only reason they have a W is because calvin johnson celebrated too early. Everyone knows he made that catch. The bears may have gotten the W but in reality they lost that game.
    Comparing Dallas’ pass rush to Green Bay’s is an ineffective argument. Dallas has two sacks on the year, Green Bay has 10, not to mention Green Bay also has more takeaways.
    All that stuff really goes out the window though because it is Bears/Packers @ Soldier Field. Going to be a helluva game, I can’t wait!

  48. brasho says: Sep 23, 2010 2:26 PM

    Florio’s take: No one expected either of these teams to be 2-0. But one of them is a contender and the other one isn’t and that reality will become obvious on Sunday when the Pittsburgh defense does to Tampa quarterback Josh Freeman what the Pittsburgh defense did to Tennessee quarterback Vince Young. Sure, the Steelers have quarterback issues. I’m even more sure that it doesn’t matter.
    __________________________
    Florio, you’ve been wrong about the Bucs every week since week 14 of last season. It will be obvious that Tampa is a contender on Sunday and what will be more glaringly obvious, is that you are a chicken because when they win you will again avoid talking about them like they are the plague because you stated that they wouldn’t win 7 games in 3 years and they’ve won their first 2.
    “I’m even more sure that it doesn’t matter.”
    Just like you said you were sure the Bucs wouldn’t win 7 games in 3 years sure? You’re such an unknowledgeable pompous jackass sometimes, Mike.

  49. Codebeard says: Sep 23, 2010 2:28 PM

    Shalhoub66 says:
    September 23, 2010 12:29 PM
    packers 34, bears 20
    The packers will get too much pressure for jay cutler to be able to make the deep throws. which will make cutler have to try and make tight throws into coverage, which he can’t do, and he will throw 4 picks.

    Not paying attention to last week, were you? Cutler wasn’t making many deep throws. The Cowboys WERE getting pressure on Cutler. Then they got beat by a hot route for a TD to Olsen, and they were forced to back off. It’s not all about the defense beating the o-line; if the offense adjusts, the defense will be forced to adjust in turn. When the offense is chipping away with hot routes, the Packers will be forced to drop some guys into coverage. If Cutler is only taking 2-3 step drops, no one is reaching him.
    Furthermore, he HAS been making those kinds of throws – putting them into tight windows where either the receiver catches it or no one does. The difference is the Bears have a real offensive coordinator now, so he now has good options. In fact, Cutler no longer has to even make decisions. The Martz system is very specific: Snap the ball, this is your first target. If the defense does this, go here. If it does this, go here instead.

  50. ACDC84 says: Sep 23, 2010 2:31 PM

    “How many elite defenders does Cutler have to take on before you give him credit. First it was Bosh & Suh and they were taken care of . Followed by Ware and the Dallas D we all know how that story ends. If Clay Mathews is the only thing The o-line has to worry about then Da BEARS win hands down.”
    Clay Matthews is the FIRST thing Chicago has to worry about, not the only thing. The offensive line has to plan for Raji and co. if they want to have any semblance of a running game, then you’ve got a couple of ballhawks in the secondary who earn their money by baiting poor decision-makers (ie. Cutler) into making terrible throws.
    It’s hilarious how Cutler has had two good games this year and he’s suddenly an elite passer. Funny stuff. Chicago lost the game versus the Detroit, and played a good game against a Dallas team that might not even be good. Let’s hand them the division!

  51. Jeaaff Jeaaff Jeaaff says: Sep 23, 2010 2:36 PM

    @ HoustonTexans55
    The Cowboys are free money come sunday. They dont run the ball, so theyll just take advantage of that 32nd ranked secondary of yours. You guys played the game of your lives and managed to beat the Colts by only 10, and thats only because of Collie’s “fumble” in the red zone. Then you pull out the luckiest win i’ve seen in quite some time against Washington. You’re playin with fire and you’re about to get burned. The Texans suck you in every year and then let you down, why would this year be any different??
    PS – I hate the cowboys too, but facts are facts man

  52. packersurle says: Sep 23, 2010 2:37 PM

    The Packers might lose but only if they don’t score points. The clubs will never get that many points against the Packers.

  53. Jeaaff Jeaaff Jeaaff says: Sep 23, 2010 2:45 PM

    @ MikeFont
    Lay off the whip-its, man. If anything the media has been giving the Texans TOO MUCH attention! Every single year they pick them to win the division but every single year they come up short. And winning the Super Bowl?? How bout finishing OVER .500 FOR ONCE and actually making the playoffs before you do that??
    Wow you people are ridiculous.

  54. tomsteel says: Sep 23, 2010 2:48 PM

    Rosenthal, even the Bucs fans know they aren’t for real. The game is blacked out due to lack of ticket sales. They won’t spend their hard earned money to watch a pretender get beat by a contender. There will probably be more Steelers fans in the seats than Bucs fans.

  55. FloriosHairHat says: Sep 23, 2010 2:48 PM

    2nd year QB Josh Freeman going against Dick LeBeau and the Steelers D?
    I’m not seeing it.

  56. GreenAsGrass says: Sep 23, 2010 2:49 PM

    Fatty Francesa going to have a heart attack on WFAN today. Peter King told him Jets must play Edwards on Sunday because its a pending case and Fatty doesn’t believe him!
    The best part is that nobody on the Jets will go on WFAN to give Fatty Mike the time of day!!!
    So Fatty can yell at the jets, call them losers and liars, blah blah blah. He is trying to bait the Jets. dont give in Tanny, do NOT go on Fatty’s radio show keep the boycott going!

  57. smithopher says: Sep 23, 2010 3:08 PM

    I’m sick of everybody being all up on Miami’s jock. they have beaten NOBODY. Minnesota, sure. they have good players. however, those players have been playing like garbage this season. Sanchez will throw over 200 yards, and it’s gonna be hard for the Dolphins to rush over 100. Even if they do, I don’t think they can pass the ball. They haven’t shown that they’ve been able to score on offense either, averaging 10 points going into the Jets game doesn’t translate to a victory for the Dolphins in my book. the fish are gettin fried this weekend.

  58. bwisnasky says: Sep 23, 2010 3:11 PM

    Does anyone even bother to look that statistically, the Raiders are better than 2/3 of the NFL and certainly are better than the Cardinals in every aspect… I keep hearing how they are giving up 150 a game rushing, but 205 of that was in week one against Chris Johnson. In 142 of that 205 that Johnson had, he had 1 76 yard run and 27 for 66. Missed angle by one player was what allowed that 76 break away. The same Chris Johnson had an 80 yard run against the Steelers called back because of routine holding that can be called on every snap in the NFL. Last week, they allowed 75 yards to Steven Jackson of the Rams…. whom most people would consider to be a pretty decent back…. The Raiders run D is a lot better than advertised… And their offense moves the ball… here’s hoping Gradkowski converts some of that movement to points…. Raiders will win this game in a blowout…

  59. CushingKicksAss says: Sep 23, 2010 4:39 PM

    “Trust me, none of you know as much as you think regardless of how obsurd Florio and his partner might seem to be.”
    -At least we know how to use “spell check” when we can’t spell “absurd.” Idiot.
    “They dont run the ball, so theyll just take advantage of that 32nd ranked secondary of yours.”
    -One small problem, Jeaaff etc., the Cowgirls have Happy Feet Tony as their QB. When SuperMario pile-drives Tiny Tony into the Reliant turf, the Dallass QB will spend the rest of the day (assuming he gets up) running from approaching footsteps–real and imagined.
    “This year, the Dallas trip to Houston has a similar “correction” feel, with the Cowboys’ desperation pushing the coaching staff and the players to reach a level of performance that allows them to get put a “1″ where a “0″ now resides.”
    -Florio, it feels like a correction game? No that would have been last week when they had a home game in Jerry’s Palace.
    Texans 28
    Cowgirls 21.

  60. BIG JB says: Sep 23, 2010 10:22 PM

    THE BEARS SHOULD OF LOST TO A BAD DET TEAM! TB? THEY BEAT 2 REALLY BAD TEAMS!

  61. Rex Ryan=Fat Twat says: Sep 23, 2010 10:34 PM

    Jets will be bent over Sunday night. Ricky will be running. Cromartie won’t be tackling and ill be shotgunning.

  62. Route36West says: Sep 24, 2010 6:31 AM

    “The Packers have already gotten two starting quarterbacks benched in two weeks”
    No they havent. Kolb was knocked because of an injury he wasnt benched. Then Vick won the job because of his play against the Packers and Lions. Kolb didnt lose it.

  63. Calistin says: Sep 24, 2010 9:30 AM

    LOL @ Bears fans thinking they have a snowball’s chance in hell on MNF.
    That awesome run defense is gonna go a long way against the Packers potent passing offense.
    Just hold onto 2nd place and enjoy the show boys. I’m sure that Wildcard is all yours.

  64. smiley says: Sep 24, 2010 12:28 PM

    Although I would hate to see it I think the Cowgirls get on track this week. Hail!! Go Texans!!

  65. philrat says: Sep 24, 2010 12:39 PM

    You both missed the texans vs cowboys. Texans will win because they will run the ball consistently. Even without starting left tackle duane brown and starting outside linebacker brian cushing.

  66. philrat says: Sep 24, 2010 12:41 PM

    Texans will beat the cowboys because they will consistently run the ball. Even without starting left tackle duane brown and starting outside linebacker brian cushing.

  67. the immortal SCURDS says: Sep 24, 2010 4:50 PM

    i think that the texans have a chance this week.

  68. toytaybar says: Sep 24, 2010 5:34 PM

    I thinkthe BEARS may have just found the
    formula for winning a lot of games this season.
    I would hope so cuz i’m heartz and mind
    BEARing to go. DEVIN N DEVIN are gonna torch
    that pack.

  69. H4X0R says: Sep 24, 2010 7:24 PM

    Bear Packer week is like christmass morning. You never know what what you’ll get, but you know it will be good.
    I recall that piss stain that packers left on the 85 bears near perfect season. Records mean nothing in this game.

  70. the immortal SCURDS says: Sep 24, 2010 8:33 PM

    wow, look at the picks that scurds guy made. he is going to run the table!

  71. mbmorganjr says: Sep 25, 2010 6:47 AM

    I love to read this every week – especially the reasoning behind the picks. I think the Cowboys-Texans and Titans-Giants games are the two most important games of the week. I disagree with Rosenthal who said the Falcons-Saints game was most important because both of those teams are sitting pretty at 2-0. There’s a real sense of urgency for three of the four teams involved in the two games I mentioned. I really like the Texans, but as a desperate team I think the Cowboys win the game. I’m 50/50 on Titans-Giants but lean toward New York. For my reasoning, and picks on a few other big games, check out http://agsportsblog.com/2010/09/24/titans-giants-nfl-most-important-week-three-games/.

  72. youboettcha says: Sep 25, 2010 11:46 AM

    Florio: Great job pointing out the Packers are QB Killers!

  73. mgulrud says: Sep 25, 2010 7:54 PM

    Truly elite defenses don’t give up over 50 points in playoff games. They just don’t. Playoffs are the times when these defenses make statements. I guess your defense is like the peyton manning of defenses. Only elite in the regular season.
    ———————
    yeah, that or the fact that the ovrwelming injuries came against a team that could abuse our 4th, 5th, and 6th, db’s..

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