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PFT's Week Four picks

When the Jets knocked off the Dolphins on Sunday night, I took a one-game lead over Rosenthal in Week Three of our head-to-head pick-fest. 

I only needed the Packers to beat the Bears on Monday night to secure the victory.  And the Packers did indeed beat the Bears; unfortunately, the Bears outscored them. 

So it was a push, with both of us having an 11-5 record.  And this means that I get to cut and paste and edit the Week Four installment.


Jets at Bills

Florio’s take:  It was unusual that the Bills cut quarterback
Trent Edwards; it was bizarre that the Jets would feel compelled to try to pick
him up on waivers in the hopes of picking his brain.  The Jets need no such
edge against a bad Bills team.  Besides, how much of a difference is a
guy who was good enough to get benched and then cut going to make? 
Either way, the Jets know they can’t follow two strong division wins by
stubbing their toes against one of the worst teams in the league.

Florio’s pick:  Jets 34, Bills 10.

Rosenthal’s take: The Jets defense may not be as good as they think they
are, but they will be a lot better when Calvin Pace and Darrelle Revis
return.  And they are good enough to slow down the Bills.  Ryan
Fitzpatrick provided a spark last week in New England, but moving the
ball against the Jets’ B-team is another matter.  Look for the Jets’
running attack to wear out Buffalo’s imitation 3-4 defense.  It’s time for a
Shonn Greene sighting.

Rosenthal’s pick: Jets 21, Bills 10.

Bengals at Browns

Florio’s take:  With games coming up against the Falcons, Steelers, and
Saints, this could be the Browns’ last, best chance to avoid entering
the bye week at 0-7.  And the Bengals, despite being 2-1, are ripe for
an upset — especially since their offense has been sluggish and
one-dimensional.  Since I won’t be picking the Browns to win again for a
long, long time, I may as well give them the benefit of the doubt in
the latest installment of the battle for the Commonwealth of Ohio.  (Cue
all the commenters who’ll remind me that it’s not a Commonwealth.)

Florio’s pick:  Browns 14, Bengals 13.

Rosenthal’s take:  Give Marvin Lewis credit for raising expectations. 
The Bengals have won two straight, yet fans and players are complaining
about style points.  No one seemed to mind when they won ugly last
year.  The Browns, who have lost three games by a combined 12 points,
will happily take any win they can get. This pick will self-destruct in
one quarter if Jake Delhomme starts.

Rosenthal’s pick:  Browns 20, Bengals 17.

Ravens at Steelers

Florio’s take:  No one thought the Steelers would win their first three
games without Ben Roethlisberger.  Even fewer envisioned a perfect 4-0
record sans Big Ben.  But they’re on the brink of accomplishing that
unlikely feat, and they welcome to town a Ravens team that hasn’t been
nearly as potent as most believed they would be.  If the Steelers can
pull this one off, and if they can stay healthy, they can run the table.

Florio’s pick:  Steelers 16, Ravens 6.

Rosenthal’s take:  During a week in which in the great George Blanda
passed away, Charlie Batch will try to inspire a new generation of
quarterbacks of a certain age.  Batch was rock solid last week, but he’s
no Blanda.  And the Ravens defense won’t crack like Tampa’s. It’s too
early in this AFC North race for the Steelers to run away and hide.

Rosenthal’s pick:  Ravens 17, Steelers 12.

Broncos at Titans

Florio’s take:  Since starting last year at 6-0, the Broncos have won
only three of 13.  Since startling last year at 0-6, the Titans have
lost only three of 13.  Though the Titans haven’t beaten the Broncos
since moving from Houston, it’s Tennessee’s time to chalk up a win and
stay in the hunt for the AFC South crown.

Florio’s pick:  Titans 20, Broncos 10.

Rosenthal’s take:  A great battle of styles between two of my favorite
teams to watch.  The Titans refuse to throw a forward pass, but their
no-name defense has played inspired football.  The Broncos lead the league in
passing yards, but they can’t score.  This is a coin flip game, but Denver’s
offensive line and defense will struggle with Tennessee’s toughness. 
Getting rid of Mike Nolan hasn’t made the Broncos “D” any less generic.   

Rosenthal’s pick: Titans 26, Broncos 23.

Lions at Packers 

Florio’s take:  These two teams have something in common; they lost at
Soldier Field games they should have won.  But that’s all they have in
common.  The Packers won’t let another one get away, extending their
streak against the Lions to 10 — and dropping coach Jim Schwartz to 2-18, worst record ever for any Lions head coach through his first 20 games.

Florio’s pick:  Packers 31, Lions 17.

Rosenthal’s take:  The Lions play teams tough, but they continue to lose. 
That happened plenty during their darkest days, so the scoreboard
doesn’t show true progress.  Instead, we point to the team’s recent high
picks (Stafford, Delmas, Pettigrew, Best, Suh) as signs for optimism. 
Unfortunately, Stafford is out and Best is gimpy.  And the Packers are
pissed off after their Monday night meltdown.  Detroit won’t even get a
moral victory here. 

Rosenthal’s pick: Packers 33, Lions 16.

49ers at Falcons

Florio’s take:  The 49ers currently are in disarray.  A day after coach
Mike Singletary committed to offensive coordinator Jimmy Raye for the
rest of the year, Singletary reversed course and fired him.  (Then again, it worked for Andy Reid.)  Six days
later, the Niners will need everything they can muster to keep it close
with the Falcons, who have shown that they’re a legitimate contender in
2010.

Florio’s pick:  Falcons 30, 49ers 20.

Rosenthal’s take:  Alex Smith is the master of the six-yard pass on
third-and-nine.  During the rare times he surveys the field, his
protection doesn’t hold up.  Mike Singletary wants a tough team, but his
offensive line has been manhandled on the road.  The Falcons,
meanwhile, may have the most underrated defensive line in football with
Jordan Jonathan
Babineaux, Corey Peters, Kroy Biermann, and John Abraham playing
well.  The 49ers talk tough; the Falcons play tough.

Rosenthal’s pick: Falcons 29, 49ers 20.

Panthers at Saints

Florio’s take:  The Panthers had low expectations entering the 2010
season, but they’ve failed to come close to meeting them.  The Saints
have had their run toward a second straight Super Bowl title
unexpectedly derailed.  Last year, the Saints broke a seven-year streak
of home losses to the Panthers; this year, the Saints should be able to
extend their home winning streak against the Panthers to two.

Florio’s pick:  Saints 28, Panthers 15.

Rosenthal’s take:  Saints fans continue to wait for that blowout win and
believe they have just the right opponent. Carolina wants to get their
running game going and think they have just the right opponent.  (The
Saints are 30th in rush defense.)  Even though these teams always play
close games, Jimmy Clausen is the difference.  Saints defensive
coordinator Gregg Williams has been surprisingly passive with his
blitzes this year.  He’ll finally unleash the hounds.

Rosenthal’s pick: Saints 28, Panthers 10.

Seahawks at Rams

Florio’s take:  With the Rams spanking the Redskins and the Seahawks
playing well only at home, the Rams should not be overlooked in this
one.  Even if running back Steven Jackson can’t play, that 30-16 win
over the Redskins has given St. Louis a burst of confidence.  Look for
Sam Bradford and company to find a way to win round one of the
home-and-home series that could go a long way toward determining the
division crown.  (Seriously, it could.  Quit laughing, the boss might hear you.)

Florio’s pick:  Rams 21, Seahawks 17.

Rosenthal’s take:  This feels like the biggest Rams game in years.  They
have a chance to move to 2-2, possibly tie for the division lead, and give
homers like Evan Silva a reason to smile for the first time since Mike
Martz left town. I still don’t trust them.  Seattle has the better
defense and special teams.  The Seahawks may only need one or two road
wins to win the division and this should be one of them. 

Rosenthal’s pick: Seahawks 21, Rams 17.

Colts at Jaguars

Florio’s take:  Last December, the Jaguars and the Colts staged a
classic Thursday night contest as the Colts tried to remain undefeated. 
(Until the next weekend, when the Colts decided not to try to remain
undefeated.)  But much has changed since then.  Well, for the Colts not
much has changed.  For the Jaguars, they’ve gotten a lot worse.  David
Garrard has fallen apart, and newcomer Trent Edwards isn’t close to
being ready to make a difference.

Florio’s pick:  Colts 35, Jaguars 10.

Rosenthal’s take: This is one of the most underrated rivalries in
football.  They always play classic games, but Jacksonville would do
well to stay close this year.  Jacksonville’s secondary may be the worst
in the league.  David Garrard is playing with no confidence and spends
his week listening to withering criticisms from his coach and fanbase. 
It’s a bad sign when Maurice Jones-Drew starts shopping himself in
fantasy football trades.

Rosenthal’s pick: Colts 31, Jaguars 17.

Texans at Raiders

Florio’s take:  If the Texans want to be taken seriously, they need to
consistently beat the teams that aren’t.  Sunday’s loss to the Cowboys
notwithstanding, I’ll give them the benefit of the doubt, with or
without receiver Andre Johnson.

Florio’s pick:  Texans 35, Raiders 17.

Rosenthal’s take: These teams feel different this year, but are they
really?  The Texans may be mentally tougher and more balanced on
offense, but their defense looks worse than ever.  (Brian Cushing’s
return will certainly help.)  The Raiders should be 2-1, but they still
play sloppy and inconsistent. This is a great test for a Raiders defense
that may be improved.  I want them to prove it before jumping on the
bandwagon.

Rosenthal’s pick: Texans 24, Raiders 20.

Redskins at Eagles

Florio’s take:  Last year, Brett Favre returned to Lambeau Field at
stuck it to the Packers.  But Favre had a solid team around him in
Minnesota; Donovan McNabb doesn’t.  So even if McNabb plays extremely
well (and he likely will), he’ll spend much of his time on the sidelines
watching the weapons that the Eagles finally assembled rolling over a
punchless defense that gave up 30 points to the Rams.

Florio’s pick:  Eagles 27, Redskins 14.

Rosenthal’s take:  Mike Shanahan is right.  This game is why guys like
Donovan McNabb play football, why Shanahan coaches football, why we are
all so hopelessly addicted to football.  It earns the overhype.  I’d
love to see McNabb stick it to Philadelphia just for drama and comedy’s
sake.  Unfortunately, he’s not playing with a stacked deck.  McNabb
could outplay Michael Vick. But the Redskins’ confused defense, bankrupt
wideouts, and uneven roster will blow it.  Same old Redskins.

Rosenthal’s pick: Eagles 28, Redskins 24.

Cardinals at Chargers

Florio’s take:  The Chargers can’t continue to stumble through September
and expect to turn it on the rest of the way.  Sooner or later, they’ll sink into a hole out of which they won’t be able to emerge.  This year,
however, the Scheduling Zeuses have smiled on the Lightning Bolts,
giving them three winnable games over the next three weeks — Cardinals,
Raiders, Rams.  Though it remains to be seen what San Diego can do
against the likes of the Pats, Titans, and Texans, the Chargers should
enter that stretch at 4-2.

Florio’s pick:  Chargers 30, Cardinals 14.

Rosenthal’s take: You can look at the Chargers a few ways.  They could
be 3-0 with mediocre special teams.  Then again, they’d probably be 3-13
without Philip Rivers.  The Charger have a great passing attack and a
highly forgiving schedule.  The Cardinals don’t know what they do well
yet.

Rosenthal’s pick: Chargers 31, Cardinals 23.

Bears at Giants

Florio’s take:  Even before Tiki Barber provided some extra motivation
by chiming in on the status of his former team and its head coach, this
one had the feel of a correction game for both teams.  The Bears (and
their fans love it when I say this) should be 1-2, and the Giants can’t
afford to have their second embarrassment on national television in 14
days.  Regardless of how the rest of the season unfolds, they’ll pull it
together like the Cowboys did in Week Three.  And the Bears will emerge
from the game still lucky to be 3-1.

Florio’s pick:  Giants 23, Bears 13.

Rosenthal’s take: Two weeks ago, I took the Jets because it felt like
they had to win.  Dallas was the must-win game pick last week.  The
Giants are in a similar spot now. They can’t afford to go 1-3 with two
home losses, and yet I have no faith this team can rally when
necessary.  The better pass rush will prevail. It’s almost safe for Jay
Cutler apologists like me to enjoy primetime Bears games again.

Rosenthal’s pick: Bears 22, Giants 17.

Patriots at Dolphins

Florio’s take:  The Dolphins desperately need to avoid going 0-2 at home
against the Jets and the Patriots.  The Patriots desperately need to
avoid going 0-2 against the Jets and the Dolphins.  This one will be
decided by the ability of the uneven Dolphins offense to move the ball against
the young Patriots defense.  Though the Miami defense was shredded last
week by the Jets, the New England unit has been too porous, and that
should be enough for the porpoises.

Florio’s pick:  Dolphins 30, Patriots 23.

Rosenthal’s take: This is a huge swing game.  The loser here will
already have two division defeats heading into a brutal out-of-division
schedule.  The Patriots defense continues to search for answers, but Tom
Brady is back to MVP form.  New England’s passing attack threatens to
be the second best of the Brady era.  Look for a long night for
cornerbacks on both sides, with Brady finding a way to expose Jason
Allen.

Rosenthal’s pick: Patriots 34, Dolphins 31.
 

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55 Responses to “PFT's Week Four picks”
  1. Goetta-Head says: Sep 30, 2010 12:15 PM

    While you pick for the Brownies may come to fruition, I believe you are wrong! Good Sir

  2. chris465 says: Sep 30, 2010 12:16 PM

    Way to work in Favre, even though the Vikings are off this week!!

  3. 8man says: Sep 30, 2010 12:16 PM

    It’s time for the Patriots defense to step it up, if they can. If it doesn’t get better, dreams of a playoff run begin unraveling on Monday night.

  4. JoeStemme says: Sep 30, 2010 12:16 PM

    Only 3 weeks in and one thing is for certain this year – Don Shula and his old Dolphins cronies won’t have to wait too long to pop their ‘Perfect Season’ champagne bottles.
    The Bears and Chiefs are feel good stories – but, not threat to go deep into the season undefeated. The Steelers are good, but hardly great.
    ….and, with an 18 game season on the horizon, teams will face the prospect of having to win 21 games to match the ’72 ‘Fins……

  5. kravon says: Sep 30, 2010 12:19 PM

    Jets and Bengals are on upset alert this week.
    Kravon
    I know these things.

  6. ochostinko says: Sep 30, 2010 12:22 PM

    Browns over the Bengals? Really? REALLY?

  7. slizz says: Sep 30, 2010 12:26 PM

    Rosenthal FTW!

  8. SJ Apollo says: Sep 30, 2010 12:31 PM

    “And the Packers did indeed beat the Bears; unfortunately, the Bears outscored them…the Bears…should be 1-2,”
    I’d say that the should be the worst 3-0 team ever since they were really the better team in only 1 of their victories, but then I see their schedule that reads Giants, Panthers, Seahawks, Skins, and Bills and this could be the worst 7-1 or 6-2 team ever.
    Congratulations Bears fans, your team should go 10-6 or 11-5, get creamed in the playoffs, and then you get to keep Lovie around for another year or so, thus delaying the development of your team into a true contender by a few years and by then guys like Urlacher will be too old to be effective.
    It’s like how in the long run, the worst thing for Vikings fans was for Favre to be good last year, which got Childress an extension, meaning that it will be another 3-4 years or so before a good coach gets hired, installs his system, and replenishes the roster. By then, Peterson will be on the verge of uselessness.

  9. certaincoachditka says: Sep 30, 2010 12:31 PM

    The Bears (and their fans love it when I say this) should be 1-2….
    So the Bears won the game that outgained Lions 463 to 168. And according to Florio – that game Bears should have lost. Also they won the game in which were outgained 379 to 276.
    Make up your mind Florio.

  10. shaggeez says: Sep 30, 2010 12:37 PM

    florio, why are almost all of your game score predictions 2-3 score victories? are all the games this week really that lopsided. margins of victory are rarely that much on a league-wide basis

  11. shoe says: Sep 30, 2010 12:37 PM

    I assume the Denver predictions are under assumption Broncos dont play Tebow? They keeping him out in order to get a better draft pick next year?

  12. Lwood says: Sep 30, 2010 12:39 PM

    Come on Florio, how many times will you be wrong on the Bears? You’ll be right eventually, just not this week.

  13. mikebyrne1502 says: Sep 30, 2010 12:40 PM

    Cushing is suspended till next week!!!!!

  14. Deb says: Sep 30, 2010 12:42 PM

    Too early for the Steelers to run away and hide what? Run the table?? Oh the hyperbole!
    As usual, I expect a tough hard-hitting game and just pray everyone on both teams comes out unscathed. The Ravens offense hasn’t played as well as expected the first three games, and the Steelers offense last week played much better than anticipated. But we all know there was a certain serendipity to at least one of Charlie’s TDs. I think we all know this will be a game of who hits hardest, who forces the most turnovers and makes the turnovers pay off, and who can keep the other’s offense off the field the longest. This will be defensive football at its best.
    Given our expectations entering the season, a win this week would be gravy. A loss would be a bigger deal to the Ravens. The home field probably gives us a razor-thin edge.
    And since the infantile, foul-mouthed goons succeeded in shutting down the thread, props and thanks to Ray Lewis for mentoring Ben through his suspension. Posted months ago that I believed Lewis would play that role. He didn’t kill anyone but made bad choices and has worked hard to turn his life around. The evidence clearly shows Ben didn’t rape anyone but made bad choices and is trying to get his life together. Thank heavens most of the players in the league are more mature than the fans.

  15. AZJG says: Sep 30, 2010 12:53 PM

    Wins are wins… and The Cardinals are 2-1. About to be 3-1 with the way they match up with San Diego.
    You’re welcome.

  16. Lance19 says: Sep 30, 2010 12:57 PM

    “…keeping (Tebow) out in order to get a better draft pick next year…”
    That’s one of the funniest things I’ve ever seen in here!

  17. Floriohatescincy says: Sep 30, 2010 1:03 PM

    To quote myself, “You’re on crack.”
    Let’s review how you make your picks.
    Picked the Ravens to win over the Bengals, WRONG
    Picked the Ravens to beat the Browns EASY
    Pick the Browns to beat the Bengals
    HUH?
    Once more, alotgether now, “You’re on Crack!”
    If it wasn’t such a frivolous topic compared to the debacle you posted about Richard Tillman, I’d say it’s about the same level of hypocrisy. Keep showing us how ANYONE can apparently get a law degree.
    On topic, this matchup appears on paper to be a trap game. This couldn’t be further from t he truth though. This team, and all it’s players and coaches, know tthat the O has under performed, and have not been hidden from the scrutiny, both national and local. It’s well deserved, and will motivate, plus a two day visit from the best O lineman ever to pay for the team can’t hurt. I know, I know Anthony Munoz blah blah. Willie was better and smarter, he just had the misforune of playing on terrible teams.

  18. Sixburg Girl says: Sep 30, 2010 1:05 PM

    RAVENS…..they are still the Browns to us and we still hate them!
    Steelers ~ 24 / Brown-Ravens ~ 13

  19. Papa Bear says: Sep 30, 2010 1:14 PM

    SJ Apollo says:
    I’d say that the should be the worst 3-0 team ever since they were really the better team in only 1 of their victories, but then I see their schedule that reads Giants, Panthers, Seahawks, Skins, and Bills and this could be the worst 7-1 or 6-2 team ever.
    ————————————————–
    It’s the same schedule as the fudgepackers except for two games………look in the mirror…..oh except you have a loss

  20. bigdan7885 says: Sep 30, 2010 1:16 PM

    “The Saints have had their run toward a second straight Super Bowl title unexpectedly derailed. ”
    How?

  21. clintcooper says: Sep 30, 2010 1:18 PM

    SJ Apollo:
    If the Vikings don’t make the playoffs this year, you better believe Adrian Peterson isn’t going to stick around. By now, he simply must be aware of the feckless incompetence of his coach.

  22. clintcooper says: Sep 30, 2010 1:28 PM

    Btw, it’s really tiresome when football journalists say that a team “should have won.” If they should have won, then they would have right? Right??? I really wanted the Packers to beat the Bears on Monday night, but instead what I saw was an incredibly sloppy team with a coach that still has to improve his decision making.
    The Packers outgained the Bears on offensive yards but certainly not on kick or punt return yars. Yards are yards. Points are points. Last time I checked, the scoreboard doesn’t discriminate between a touchdown that is scored during a beautiful pass-heavy drive or a touchdown that is scored on a punt return (really really stupid to kick the ball straight down the middle to Devin Hester – pure unadulterated stupidity).
    Also, the way I see it, the Packers didn’t “blow” the field goal. It was an unbelievable play by Julius Peppers to block that. Give credit where credit is due!

  23. smauricio says: Sep 30, 2010 1:29 PM

    “The Falcons, meanwhile, may have the most underrated defensive line in football with Jordan Babineaux, Corey Peters, Kroy Biermann, and John Abraham playing well.”
    Jordan Babineaux??
    Is Jonathan:
    http://www.rotoworld.com/content/playerpages/player_main.aspx?id=3200&sport=NFL

  24. SJ Apollo says: Sep 30, 2010 1:48 PM

    “It’s the same schedule as the fudgepackers except for two games………look in the mirror…..oh except you have a loss”
    Racist Bears fan – check (see Nick Collins’ friend)
    Homophobic Bears fan with the wit of a Viking fan – check (see Bear, Papa)
    C’mon Bears fans, we still need to track down an Islamaphobe and a misogynist to hit for the Prejudice Cycle. I guess this type of behavior only comes out with the false sense of superiority that accompanies a win via technicality (Lions), a win over a team with a guy that is technically a coach (Phillips – Cowboys), and a win where the opposing team spotted them 152 yards and forfeited two interceptions. Ladies and gentlemen, your 2010 Chicago Bears.
    Papa Bear, I was merely pointing out that the Bears schedule combined with their 3-0 start should have them in a position for a playoff birth, thus extending the reign of a head coach whom many have wanted fired for the past few season.

  25. Scheer1852 says: Sep 30, 2010 1:58 PM

    Florio, this whole Steelers running the table thing is way premature, they still have a pretty tough schedule playing the ravens twice, bengals twice, jets, dolphins, and patriots just to name a few. I just don’t know why you would say this already. I guess your’e just a little bias for your Steelers. I thought journalists aren’t supposed to show any bias, but then again you’re not a journalist so i guess its cool. You’re just wrong thats all.

  26. Charles Wood says: Sep 30, 2010 2:13 PM

    Actually… the bears should be 0-3. The Lions lost because of a stupid rule. The Cowboys lost because of a stupid penalty. The Packers lost because of a stupid Referee. The Bears are what everyone thinks they are… incredibly lucky.

  27. JoeSchmoe says: Sep 30, 2010 2:13 PM

    Gonna send Ocho this link to let him know you guys think the Browns can and will roll them… Thanks for the motivation… wait, you have zero football credibility, so it doesn’t motivate… bleh…

  28. clintcooper says: Sep 30, 2010 2:15 PM

    Another thing: The Steelers are going 14-2 this year. You can write it down. This sucks, since I hate the Steelers – but there is no way anyone is getting through that defense. They have a run stuffing defense and the only way to win against them is to take to the air, and Troy Palomalo is going to be every quarterback’s worst nightmare.

  29. stevincinci says: Sep 30, 2010 2:19 PM

    Bengals will beat the Browns 30-17. Don’t forget, they have an 8 game winning streak against the AFC North. Soon to be 9. Browns offense don’t have a chance against the Bengal D. Delhomme will throw at a minimum, 3 int’s against our secondary.

  30. Papa Bear says: Sep 30, 2010 2:23 PM

    SJ Apollo says:
    Papa Bear, I was merely pointing out that the Bears schedule combined with their 3-0 start should have them in a position for a playoff birth, thus extending the reign of a head coach whom many have wanted fired for the past few season.
    ————————————————–
    SJ Apollo, I am in such awe over your cleverness. You are such a great blogger.
    Packer fans should be really happy that they were preseason superbowl picks, because McCarthy is so smart just like you.

  31. megatron81 says: Sep 30, 2010 2:27 PM

    Lions @ Packers
    Megatron’s Take:
    The fudge packers overlook the Lions as they’re D-Line completely dominates an extremely soft Packers O-line. Rodgers spends most of the afternoon on his back, much like he does in his spare time while getting Tea-bagged by his buddy Clay Matthews. Suh finishes the contest with 3 sacks, earning him his first NFC defensive player of the week award. Hill does just enough to put the Lions on the winning side of this one and with Stafford returning the following week, the Lions will be 3-3 going into their bye in week 7.
    Megatron’s Pick: Lions 20 Fudge 17

  32. hdahs143 says: Sep 30, 2010 2:27 PM

    Though the Miami defense was shredded last week by the Jets, the New England unit has been too porous, and that should be enough for the porpoises.

  33. smithopher says: Sep 30, 2010 2:32 PM

    Kravon – for the Jets to be on upset alert vs the Bills, they’d have to not take it seriously, which they actually are. its a division game, the Bills usually play tough, but the Jets are the team to beat in the AFC East right now. Better D than New England, Better O than Miami. for the Bills to win, they’ll need to come up with answers for LT, Shonn Greene, Dustin Keller and the wideouts. I think the Jets are too balanced on offense this year… the bills will fall victim to play action a few too many times for big gains.
    I agree with Rosenthal with the Bears Giants game, I have no faith in the Giants ability to rally and get it done when they need to. Diehl has been playing rather uninspired football, McKenzie isn’t playing much better either. Julius Peppers will be a HUGE PROBLEM. Also, the fact that Green Bay’s pass rush barely got to Cutler the other night gives me NO faith that the Giants will get it done, how they send usually only four men.

  34. pig-ben-waives-a-piss-rag says: Sep 30, 2010 2:51 PM

    It is confirmed Florio does not like the Bungles
    Or MAYBE!!
    Palmer is about as accurate as a blind sniper
    this season

  35. DH says: Sep 30, 2010 3:03 PM

    I didnt know Jordan Babineaux plays safety for the seahawks and d-line for the falcons. thats pretty awesome. maybe you should fire your editor

  36. contraryguy says: Sep 30, 2010 3:07 PM

    any pick of the Browns to win is suspect without seeing the weekly injury report first. Right now their only hope is for Hillis to run for 250 yards and four scores.

  37. NationalFelonLeague.com © says: Sep 30, 2010 3:23 PM

    You don’t make the playoffs by winning games and losing on the scoreboard. Stop crying.

  38. NationalFelonLeague.com © says: Sep 30, 2010 3:40 PM

    I look forward to reading your post next week Florio.

  39. zibby says: Sep 30, 2010 3:48 PM

    Wow, this guy Florio is a real genius. The Bears should have lost to the Lions although the Bears outgained the Lions 463-138 and had 4 turnovers, yet they still managed to win and because of the controversial final play, he’s going to say the Lions really won and the Bears were just lucky.
    Yet, the Bears beat the Packers gaining less yardage. But because of the Packers sloppy play and inability to score they lost and the genius Florio says the Packers should have won and the Bears were “lucky”.
    You can’t have it both ways genius.
    So according to the Genius Florio and others spouting the same bile from their foul smelling sewers we have a new way to count wins and losses.
    The Saints should really be 1-2 because the 49ers beat themselves had 4 turnovers more penalties and really should have won the game.
    My guess is what comes out of the sewer of Genius Florio is : “Champions like the Saints just find a way to win, it isn’t pretty but it’s a win”
    You people are so pathetically stupid.

  40. DynastyDays says: Sep 30, 2010 3:54 PM

    Florio, I could care less about the outcome of the Skins/Eagles or Giants/Bears….I just hope each team beats each other up enough to give us (the Cowboys, of course) some sort of competitive advantage since we’re already behind the 8Ball. I don’t foresee the Giants or Redskins standing in our way by the end of the year but we’ve already lost the head-to-head with Da Bears and the Eagles are going to be a tough out every week with Vick playing out of his mind. Of course, then again, the Eagles’ O-Line looks like they have 5 Alex Barrons playing simultaneously. I guess it’s a good thing that Vick can “run like a scalded dog.”

  41. 46d says: Sep 30, 2010 4:25 PM

    “The Bears should be 1-2″
    That’s the dumbest thing I have read on here. Woulda, coulda shoudla.
    You can make excuses like this for almost any team.
    The Packers should be 0-3 because they have only beaten the Eagles, who would’ve won if they had Vick the entire game, and the hapless Bills at home, which doesn’t count because the Bills are awful.
    I don’t actually believe that, but it shows how you can downplay almost any win.

  42. wic_web says: Sep 30, 2010 4:39 PM

    # clintcooper says: September 30, 2010 1:18 PM
    SJ Apollo:
    If the Vikings don’t make the playoffs this year, you better believe Adrian Peterson isn’t going to stick around. By now, he simply must be aware of the feckless incompetence of his coach.
    ————————————–
    If the Vikes don’t make playoffs I hear All Day is going to leave and join the Miami Heat

  43. Shannon Nutt says: Sep 30, 2010 5:26 PM

    The Steelers aren’t going to go undefeated, but they’re sure as heck not going to lose (at home, no less) to one of the AFC’s most OVERRATED (at least by the sportswriters…the fans seem to know) teams. Who have the Ravens beat this year? Answer: Nobody. In fact, look for the Ravens not to win again until they host the Bills in Week 7.

  44. funi says: Sep 30, 2010 5:46 PM

    Pitt 24 Ravens 20…

  45. GO24019 says: Sep 30, 2010 5:53 PM

    The Steelers have one more chance to show how good they are even without Roethlisberger. They won’t lose to the Purple Birds.
    GO STEELERS!

  46. Mike Daly says: Sep 30, 2010 6:44 PM

    Jets aren’t as good as their record, and the Bills got some genuine life plus they usually split with the Jets. Bills win.
    BROWNS over Bengals?!? They’re going nowhere. Bengals win.
    Niners collapse has been the trainwreck story of the season so far. Falcons light it up.
    Packers come out firing. Lions will have to get punched out a lot before they get better.
    Titans have a good offense and a good defense. Broncos are quitting on McDaniels like they quit on Shanny. Titans roll.
    Saints take out the embarassment of losing to Atlanta on the stunningly-bad Panthers.
    Steelers defense is frightening right now, and Baltimore is not as good as anyone expected. Steelers win.
    Texans have ability to win. Raiders blow. This week it’s Oilers 2.0 again.
    I’m going out on a limb on Jags vs. Colts – Colts faced two teams that inexplicably left Manning alone – as bad as the Jags have been I don’t believe they’ll tank it this week. Jags pull the upset.
    The Dan Snyder Deadskins are back on track. Eagles win.
    Seahawks are good, but the Rams have a quarterback. Rams end five-year winless streak to Seattle.
    Chargers lost in a shocker – they won’t make those mistakes against the same old Cardinals.
    SNF – The Giants are the same fraud team they’ve been since blowing the 24-point lead to the 49ers (how they got that SB ring is still a mystery), while the Bears are actually making a run at this thing with two bad coaches and a worse quarterback. Bears have rediscovered how to force turnovers and goad the enemy into penalties. Chicago punches out Eli & the Giants.
    MNF – The Patriots defense has given up 82 points, but in the second half against the Bills they did something they didn’t do the two games previous – they made some plays, and against a good offense in Cincy they made enough plays to win the game. Unlike the Jets and Buffalo the Patriots won’t take this game lightly, and Miami’s defense isn’t as good as advertised and their offense isn’t that strong, either. The Patriots win in a shootout.

  47. GB3Pack4 says: Sep 30, 2010 8:10 PM

    Oh really? The Pack is going to win? Would that it were so, but –
    Between the coach and his tenure-long time management problem; the coach and his tenure-long PENALTIES !!!!!!!! problem; the injured players who can’t get back on the field; the players who get injured playing for the players who can’t get back on the field; the sudden implosion of reliable old MoustacheWax; the idiot in charge of Special Teams; the Recurrent Inconvenient Dropsyitis (RID) that has plagued Greg Jennings since forever; the fullback who doesn’t know forward from backward; the running back who couldn’t find his way out of a berry patch; the punter who can’t tell the difference between a sideline and a goal line, and; the Lions record of always playing GB hard, in addition to the fact that they know they are nearing a win or two or six or so, I think we’ll be lucky to get out of the locker room and back into it without injury, incident, or derision – and three points on the board.
    But there’s still Donald, and Jordy, and Jermichael and Tramon, and 13 more games – okay, I guess I’m looking forward to Sunday again. Even maybe, Go, Pack!!
    Sometimes it’s hard to be a fan -

  48. Oakfan23 says: Sep 30, 2010 8:38 PM

    C’mon florio, “With or Without Andre Johnson”, Really?? Their best reciever has a bum ankle and has to deal with Nnamdi, and houston has the WORST secondary in football. Did you know Oakland leads the league in red zone trips (13). Imagine if they start punching them in. Not saying Oaktown is a “lock” but c’mon.

  49. Route36West says: Sep 30, 2010 9:38 PM

    I never before I even read this page that Florio was picking the Giants over the Bears. His clear obsession with the Steelers makes it impossible for him to pick the Bears because he wants them to be the only undefeated team.
    Florio’s bias is so easy to predict.

  50. mbmorganjr says: Sep 30, 2010 9:53 PM

    It always cracks me up how angry people get about these picks. The Ravens-Steelers game is clearly the biggest one in my eyes this week. I think the Ravens will take advantage of the Steelers gaping hole at QB. I think the Giants will get the must-win and like the guys I’ve got the Eagles. I hope Mike is right about the Rams!

  51. OntBoltFan says: Oct 1, 2010 8:38 AM

    Why is it a stretch CLE will beat CIN on the road? Did you watch CIN last week? 5 turnovers. If CAR hadn’t made worse turnovers they might have won. Carson Palmer hasn’t looked that retarded since their loss last year in OAK. Any team that could lose there can lose to CLE.
    Any octopus can go 11-5 each week by just picking all favourites as UD only win 33% of the time outright. Why don’t you ladyboys pick ATS where you might have to put some real thought into your picks.

  52. ChicagoJo says: Oct 1, 2010 12:49 PM

    clintcooper, you are a gentleman and a scholar.
    Charles Wood says:
    “Actually… the bears should be 0-3. The Lions lost because of a stupid rule. The Cowboys lost because of a stupid penalty. The Packers lost because of a stupid Referee. The Bears are what everyone thinks they are… incredibly lucky”
    No game is won because of a single play, analyzed by geniuses like you in a vacuum. The Lions, Cowboys, and Packers lost because they couldn’t stop the Bears from scoring more points than they were able to in a 60 minute game. That’s how this sport works. You are dumb.
    @SJ Apollo I disagree with your opinions, but you make a good point about the Lovie status. I just hope Angelo is gone, he is the real problem and as much as I covet Cowher, I believe in giving credit where its due and if our D holds up like this, Lovie deserves an extension. Most of my city disagrees.
    However, you are on a sports blog. Please don’t call out people on politcal correctness fior goodnatured smack talk. We’ve called GB fudgepackers and MIN ByQueens for decades. I am not homophobic, I am just a guy who isn’t afraid of words. Its not like he’s gaybashing, we call men little girls and p*ssies all the time without meaning any disrespect to women. Be a man, get off the high horse.
    And we all know that dude jawing at Collins was a POS, like many individuals in staduims across the country. Making a joke on a blog is different than verbally assaulting someone using his race as a weapon. That guy doesn’t represent all Bears fans with his douchebaggery any more than I represent all Bears fans with my opinions.
    Back to sports.

  53. America's team always #1 says: Oct 1, 2010 9:18 PM

    S#itsburgh will lose 7 games this year . The refs no longer will give them the benefit of dirty players (half breed Hiney Ward) etc getting away with how they play. Steeler Nation are the biggest as#holes this side of the Mississippi. GO SCREW YOURSELVES SQUEELER AS#HOLES

  54. bruce campbells chainsaw hand says: Oct 2, 2010 11:03 AM

    megatron81 –
    Greatest post ever. Not only do you have the Lions playing fudge (I didn’t know the chocolate confection had a team), but you have them only winning by three. Apparently you have very little faith in your team if they can only beat a team made of food by a field goal. Like I said, greatest post ever.

  55. Rae Ruckus says: Oct 3, 2010 1:52 AM

    C’mon.. Browns over Bengals? …if the Bengals lose this game their season is already a BUST.

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