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Week Eight picks

The inability of referee Scott Green to properly apply the supposedly clear rule regarding going to the ground when making a catch not only cost the Vikings a win.  It also prevented me from extending to two my streak of victories over Rosenthal.

Yes, he beat me by one game in Week Seven, and the difference was the outcome of the Vikings-Packers game.

For the week, Rosenthal got 10 right and four wrong.  I was 9-5.

For the year, Rosenthal is 69-35.  I’m 65-39.

And though it pains me to type this (in part because I’ll never hear the end of it from him), Rosenthal currently has a better showing than all of the ESPN “experts,” including the Accuscore projections and the fan-based picks. 

Maybe he should apply for a job there.  They probably need someone with a sturdy shine box.


Broncos vs. 49ers in London

Florio’s take:  When the league picked this game to be the 2010 English export, it didn’t look like a bad choice.  The 49ers were viewed as the favorite to win the NFC West, and the Broncos were regarded as a middle-of-the-road team with the potential to improve.  Seven weeks into the season, the 49ers have only one win and the Broncos have two.  The decision to thrust quarterback Troy Smith into the starting lineup smacks of the desperation coach Mike Singletary surely is feeling, and even though Denver lost to one Bay Area team by 45 in Week Seven, Week Eight likely will bring a seventh loss for the Niners.

Florio’s pick:  Broncos 30, 49ers 21.

Rosenthal’s take: The NFL should send teams to London earlier in the season, before they show how bad they really are.  The depleted Broncos defense gets worse every week, and the 49ers defense just made Matt Moore look like, well, Matt Moore from 2009.  This is a crossroads/gut check/insert cliché game for both coaches.  I trust Josh McDaniels and Kyle Orton far more than Mike Singletary and Troy Smith.

Rosenthal’s pick: Broncos 31, 49ers 21.

Jaguars at Cowboys

Florio’s take:  Four prior games between these two teams have been decided by seven points or less.  Continuation of that trend would help Jacksonville coach Jack Del Rio, even if the Jags lose.  One more 20-plus-point blowout (the Jaguars already have suffered four) could get Del Rio fired.  The return of David Garrard and the departure of Tony Romo could help, but probably not enough.  But at least the Jags will possibly lose by less than 20.

Florio’s pick:  Cowboys 27, Jaguars 17.

Rosenthal’s take:  Jon Kitna versus the Jaguars secondary.  The immobile quarterback versus the force that provides no resistance.  If I was a betting man, I’d stay far away from this one because both teams are about as trustworthy as Florio’s hairpiece.  At least the Jaguars seem like they care. 

Rosenthal’s pick: Jaguars 20, Cowboys 16.

Dolphins at Bengals

Florio’s take:  From 1978 through 2000, the Dolphins won nine straight games over the Bengals.  Cincinnati has won the last two, but they haven’t played since Bill Parcells put his thumbprint on the Dolphins.  More importantly, the game won’t be played in Miami, where the Fins are 0-3.  Though the Bengals found some punch on offense against the Falcons, the Dolphins are more talented, more desperate, and (after believing they got screwed against the Steelers) more feisty.

Florio’s pick:  Dolphins 24, Bengals 16.

Rosenthal’s take: Chad Henne has quietly improved all season, and he should do well against a Bengals secondary without Adam Jones and possibly Johnathan Joseph.  Carson Palmer is also playing better, but it seems to take a 21-point deficit to warm him up.  The Bengals defense is providing too many chances for failed comeback attempts.

Rosenthal’s pick: Dolphins 24, Bengals 21.

Bills at Chiefs

Florio’s take:  Some (I’m looking at you, Rosenthal) think that Bills coach Chan Gailey has something up his sleeve for his most recent former team.  Pointing to an unlikely strong showing by Buffalo’s offense against a complacent Ravens defense, Rosey thinks the Bills can give the Chiefs a run for their money.  Let’s see if Rosey puts his money where his mouth is.  Arrowhead Stadium has been a-rockin'; Gailey and his team would be wise to not go a-knockin’.

Florio’s pick:  Chiefs 31, Bills 14.

Rosenthal’s take:  I’m not sure people have really wrapped their mind around the fact that Ryan Fitzpatrick’s Bills racked up 514 yards on the Ravens.  514! The Harvard product is a joy to watch, with decisive, difficult throws often into tight windows.  He’s a great runner and seems to like contact.  And he has a red beard.  The Bills will keep losing most weeks because their defense is an embarrassment, but at least they’ll be fun to watch.

Rosenthal’s pick: Chiefs 34, Bills 31.

Redskins at Lions

Florio’s take:  For the third straight year, these two franchises meet in Detroit.  In 2008, the Redskins kept the Lions winless by only eight points.  In 2009, the Lions ended a 19-game losing streak with a win over the ‘Skins.  Assuming Detroit quarterback Matthew Stafford, back after suffering a shoulder injury in Week One, won’t throw four passes to DeAngelo Hall, the rested, ready, and confident (perhaps delusional) Lions should be able to get it done.  Last week’s meltdown by the Chicago offense concealed the fact that the Washington offense isn’t dramatically better, and the Lions look to be in line for their second win of the year.

Florio’s pick:  Lions 20, Redskins 13.

Rosenthal’s take: Signs the Lions have come a long way:  (1) they are still talking playoffs after a 1-5 start and it doesn’t seem completely insane; (2) they’ve outscored their opponents this year (thanks Rams!); (3) they are favored against a 4-3 Redskins team and I’d still give the points.

Rosenthal’s pick: Lions 24, Redskins 17.

Panthers at Rams

Florio’s take:  Like the other team that will contend for the NFC West crown, the Rams are tough at home and soft on the road.  This week, a win at home would pull the Rams to 4-4, and it would end a four-game losing streak against Carolina, a slide that began in St. Louis nearly seven years ago with a double-overtime loss to the eventual NFC Super Bowl representatives.  This time around, the Rams simply have the better team — which given the state of the Panthers isn’t really saying much.

Florio’s pick:  Rams 24, Panthers 13.

Rosenthal’s take: The Rams are winless on the road, so it’s good the league loaded them up with home games before a three-game road trip after Thanksgiving.  The Panthers finally found a passing game, which could make them a dangerous spoiler the rest of the way.  Every game for the Rams is dangerous because they aren’t that talented, but they’ve responded very well to losses this year.

Rosenthal’s pick: Rams 22, Panthers 20.

Packers at Jets

Florio’s take:  The Jets remain the hottest team in the NFL, with a swarming defense and a sufficiently competent offense.  Receiver Santonio Holmes had two extra weeks to hone his timing with quarterback Mark Sanchez, which should result in an even more souped-up passing attack.  The Packers aren’t remotely close to being Super Bowl ready, and without again getting a couple of gift calls on touchdown plays they can’t expect to win this one.

Florio’s pick:  Jets 27, Packers 20.

Rosenthal’s take: The Packers lost another linebacker for the season, while the Jets are fully healthy after their bye.  Revis Island is ready to re-open with tougher immigration laws and there’s a sense New York hasn’t played their best despite being 5-1.  All logic points to the Jets. (I’m sure Florio is taking his beloved Jets.)  All the more reason to take the Packers, who are ready to go on a run.

Rosenthal’s pick: Packers 26, Jets 21.

Titans at Chargers

Florio’s take:  Vince Young likely will return for a Tennessee offense that did fairly well without him.  But the two Tennessee losses have come against teams that run a 3-4 defense, the preferred attack of the Chargers.  And the Charger

s have much more talent than their 2-5 record suggests.  Assuming that the late surge in Week Seven against the Patriots woke up the four-time defending AFC West champions, the Chargers will stay alive for at least another week.

Florio’s pick:  Chargers 23, Titans 20.

Rosenthal’s take: The Titans have a knack for frustrating opponents and forcing them into mistakes.  The Chargers have a knack for frustrating their fans and making unforced errors.  The Titans lead the league in takeaways and have scored the most points off turnovers.  The Chargers have the most giveaways in the AFC.  Add it up, and Norv Turner’s head should explode sometime in the third quarter.

Rosenthal’s pick: Titans 26, Chargers 21.

Vikings at Patriots

Florio’s take:  Vikings coach Brad Childress has been talking lately.  A lot.  His words regarding the officiating in Sunday night’s loss to the Packers got him a $35,000 fine.  His barbs directed at the Patriots and Bill Belichick could get Chilly a butt-whipping on par with the 31-7 defeat his team absorbed from Belichick and company four years ago.  Brett Favre, who won’t play only if he can’t move, will be jumping on his “broke foot” when things go well, and he’ll be walking like John Wayne with hemorrhoids when things go poorly.  Count on plenty of Rooster Cogburn on Preparation H sightings.

Florio’s pick:  Patriots 35, Vikings 13. 

Rosenthal’s take:  After the Patriots released Lawyer Milloy then lost to the Bills 31-0 to open the 2003 season, ESPN’s Tom Jackson said the “Patriots hate their coach.”   Three weeks after New England traded Randy Moss to Minnesota, it’s the Vikings that seem to hate their coach.  The rest of the country hates Brett Favre, who seems to know it and wear it on his face during every depressing press conference.  This is the week Moss begins to realize how good he had it in Foxborough.  

Rosenthal’s pick: Patriots 24, Vikings 14.

Buccaneers at Cardinals

Florio’s take:  Bucs coach Raheem Morris thinks he has is the best team in the NFC.  Less than two years ago, the Cardinals actually were the best team in the NFC.  Though the Cardinals have looked horrible at times, the managed to take down at home a Saints team that thumped the Bucs in their own stadium.  And that’s good enough for me.

Florio’s pick:  Cardinals 24, Buccaneers 20.

Rosenthal’s take: The “best team in the NFC” isn’t favored in Arizona, where the Cardinals are 2-0 this season.  If the Bucs are to live up to Raheem Morris’ hype, this is a game they win going away.  Arizona’s passing game is a mess, while the running game isn’t much better.  It’s a miracle they are 3-3. Still, these teams are more similar than different.  And they’ll have the same record after this one.

Rosenthal’s pick: Cardinals 19, Bucs 14.

Seahawks at Raiders

Florio’s take:  Here’s the toughest call of the week.  Tony Dungy thinks the Seahawks are the best team in the NFC.  Raiders cornerback Chris Johnson thinks his team is the most talented in the entire NFL.  The Seahawks had been unable to win on the road before taking down the Bears two weeks ago.  Before a far=less-than-full stadium against a Raiders team buoyed by a 59-point uprising against the Broncos on Sunday, the Raiders likely will finish an unlikely ascension to .500 at the halfway point of the season.

Florio’s pick:  Raiders 27, Seahawks 17.

Rosenthal’s take: Every time the Raiders win a game, they say they turned the corner.  Even though they haven’t won back-to-back games since 2008, I’m just crazy enough to believe them this time.  The Seahawks whole offensive gameplan seems to be “don’t throw interceptions” but they need a little more than that on the road.

Rosenthal’s pick: Raiders 23, Seahawks 16.

Steelers at Saints

Florio’s take:  At one point in September, it looked like this game would feature a clash of the best two teams in the league.  It remains half right, with the Steelers among the best of the bunch and the Saints sliding toward irrelevance.  Though the defending champs’ backs are being pushed against the wall, that 13-point loss to the Browns means the days of dominance have ended, at least for now.  A one-dimensional offense is no match for a multi-faceted Steelers defense, and this one could turn into a rout, which would mean the ratings will only double those from Game Four of the World Series.

Florio’s pick:  Steelers 34, Saints 21.

Rosenthal’s take:  A lot of tough games to pick this week. I’ve debated this one for days, but the tiebreaker goes to the Steelers.  Even though Pittsburgh’s pass defense has looked shakier the last two weeks, New Orleans has struggled against far worse groups.  At some point, it’s worth recognizing the 2009 Saints passing attack just may not come back.

Rosenthal’s pick: Steelers 27, Saints 24.

Texans at Colts

Florio’s take:  The Texans obsessed over their Week One visit from the Colts, and it paid off.  Since then, the Texans have been roughly average.  They get another crack at the Colts on Monday night, at a time when plenty of Indy players are missing.  But as long as Peyton Manning remains healthy, the Colts will be tough to beat, especially at home.  Manning realizes the importance of not being swept by the Texans — and not falling to 0-3 in the division.

Florio’s pick:  Colts 33, Texans 27. 

Rosenthal’s take: Dallas Clark and Austin Collie will be missed, but I’m not really that worried about the Colts offense in this game. They have great depth and the Jeff George Colts could score 30 points on this awful Texans defense.  The bigger question is whether the Colts defense can snap out of their funk.  At home, in a huge division game, I’ll take my chances they make enough plays.

Rosenthal’s pick: Colts 38, Texans 31.

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41 Responses to “Week Eight picks”
  1. TheCityThatReeds says: Oct 28, 2010 10:02 AM

    Couldn’t agree more with the Lions pick. Leadpipe lock.

  2. Pervy's Stepdad says: Oct 28, 2010 10:03 AM

    Florio…I would expect anybody, even you to understand that any error made in officiating the Green Bay-MN game last week didn’t “prevent the Vikings from winning” anything. If you want to be accurate, how about three picks by the QB you spent years until last season relentlessly attacking throwing three picks, including one for a TD? How about keeping Adrian Peterson on the sideline? How about the worst coach in the NFL? I suppose if the Shiancoe catch would have been ruled a TD, Green Bay would have rolled over and played dead?

  3. RFM says: Oct 28, 2010 10:06 AM

    Geez, the kiss of death. Both Floreo and 3G pick the Raiders to win. Time to overcome the jinx, Raider Nation!!

  4. SDW2001 says: Oct 28, 2010 10:08 AM

    The Packers over the Jets…why? Anything can happen, but there is no reason to make this pick.
    Raiders over Seahawks? Again, why? Because the Raiders put 3 months of energy into destroying a hapless Broncos team?
    Whatever, guys.

  5. Monarch says: Oct 28, 2010 10:09 AM

    Texans disrespected once again, maybe we have to sweep the season series and win in Indy to get the respect deserved, I dig that.
    http://www.texanstalk.blogspot.com

  6. drumbug71 says: Oct 28, 2010 10:13 AM

    I like Florio’s analysis of Favre’s (or Perv-re’s) “Broke foot”. I noticed after the interception where he was injured that he got up and jogged to help tackle, but as soon as the play was over, he was limping and grimacing. After the Packer’s next drive, he was jogging and able to play without much problem. Looking for sympathy or a miraculous healer?

  7. goochy says: Oct 28, 2010 10:14 AM

    I think you guys are going to be wrong on the Colts/Texans pick. Just a gut vibe…

  8. AlphaQ2 says: Oct 28, 2010 10:18 AM

    This is no longer the Zorn regime that lost 7 games by less than a TD last year. Shanahan will not allow the Skins to lose to Detroit. You both will get that one wrong.

  9. somesome says: Oct 28, 2010 10:23 AM

    Cardinals have not shown anything that would make me think they can beat anybody. Bucs are not good but they find a way to win.
    Packers win over Jets at the Jets???? Sure it is possible but the Packers could/should have lost the game against the Vikes three different ways. They are just too beat up. They may win their division, anybody can but they are not going to beat anybody outside, especially not on the road.
    Steelers may have a let down. Saints cannot lose another one at home or they are done for this year. Steelers were shakey at Miami with three fumbles and should not have won. This one might be a let down.

  10. jbraider says: Oct 28, 2010 10:34 AM

    SDW2001 says:
    October 28, 2010 10:08 AM
    The Packers over the Jets…why? Anything can happen, but there is no reason to make this pick.
    Raiders over Seahawks? Again, why? Because the Raiders put 3 months of energy into destroying a hapless Broncos team?
    _____________
    As a reminder, the “hapless” Broncos team that the Raiders destroyed very nearly dumped the Jets recently.

  11. steve sonoma says: Oct 28, 2010 10:34 AM

    Rosentahl is correct in saying that Dallas Clark is great. Unfortunately he’s also on injured reserve.

  12. ejtowne says: Oct 28, 2010 10:36 AM

    The Bills did better last week with the Ravens against the run, but allowed a lot of yards through the air, especially to the Ravens TE. The Chiefs will try to run an all out ground attack on Buffalo, while the Bills will do the same. I believe it will be a low scoring game, with the Chiefs unfortunately winning come the end. Bills 9, Chiefs 10.

  13. steve sonoma says: Oct 28, 2010 10:37 AM

    Rosenthal is correct-Dallas Clark is great. Unfortunately, he’s on injured reserve.

  14. American says: Oct 28, 2010 10:39 AM

    ” Bucs coach Raheem Morris thinks he has is the best team in the NFC. Less than two years ago, the Cardinals actually were the best team in the NFC.”
    ” When the league picked this game to be the 2010 English export, it didn’t look like a bad choice. The 49ers were viewed as the favorite to win the NFC West, and the Broncos were regarded as a middle-of-the-road team with the potential to improve. Seven weeks into the season, the 49ers have only one win and the Broncos have two. ”
    “At one point in September, it looked like this game would feature a clash of the best two teams in the league. It remains half right, with the Steelers among the best of the bunch and the Saints sliding toward irrelevance.”
    Every week, in many of Florio’s takes, he puts these Peter King-esq points that have no point. It is just a way for him to get to the 4 line requirement for his take, without actually requiring any analysis.
    I’ve said it for years, Florio needs to stick to analysis of the business and rules of the NFL. His game analysis is awful.

  15. btg19 says: Oct 28, 2010 10:43 AM

    “All the more reason to take the Packers, who are ready to go on a run.”
    What? Why? Just cause you want them to after hyping them all pre-season while Mr. August did his usual carving up of pre-season defenses?
    So an already overrated team that has suffered a multitude of injuries is going to go on a run @ the Jets, vs. Dallas, @ the Vikings and @ the Falcons? Also still have to play @ New England and at home vs. the Giants?
    That statement makes no sense at all.

  16. EarthQuake says: Oct 28, 2010 10:43 AM

    First off, this “refs blew the game” business is just factually incorrect. Childres blew the game if anything by not challenging.
    Secondly, on the overturned Shiancoe TD, the vikings scored on the next play. This had absolutely no effect on the game.
    Thirdly, does anyone really think taking away a TD in the 2nd quarter definitively means the vikings win the game? Anything could have happened, either team could have gone on to blow the other out, but this is simply unfounded speculation.
    And finally, the refs sucked for BOTH teams, CMIII was getting held/facemasked ALL GAME and only one penalty was called against the guy “blocking” him.
    Additionally, anyone with a Brain could clearly see that Childress lost this game, for A. Not challenging the call, and B. Not going run heavy with AP after the first 1 or 2 INTs, when AP was essentially running all over the packer’s D. Classic

  17. BigFing says: Oct 28, 2010 10:45 AM

    That makes sense the Lions lost to the Packers, Eagles, and Bears who all lost to the Redskins… therefore the Lions will beat the skins… Yah right HTTR

  18. Kisstherings says: Oct 28, 2010 10:54 AM

    Florio – You forget to mention that the failure of the moron ref at the Pittsburgh/Miami games failure to let a play run out and see who had possession of a fumble from the scrum before turning to the crowd and saving them 10 seconds of anticipation by prematurely calling it a touchdown enabled you to win that game.
    So I guess you are all square in regards to moron refs blowing calls in games you picked…

  19. Kisstherings says: Oct 28, 2010 10:59 AM

    @SDW2001 says:
    October 28, 2010 10:08 AM
    The Packers over the Jets…why? Anything can happen, but there is no reason to make this pick.
    Raiders over Seahawks? Again, why? Because the Raiders put 3 months of energy into destroying a hapless Broncos team?
    Whatever, guys.
    ————————————————–
    Because the Jets are over-rated and were lucky an aweful call enabled them to beat the Broncos….that just lost to the Raiders by about 50 points.
    Like even a blind squirrell can do once in awhile…..Rosenthall seems to have found a nut here.
    Jets will be exposed by the Packers. Packers 24 Jets 10

  20. SJ Apollo says: Oct 28, 2010 11:00 AM

    “The inability of referee Scott Green to properly apply the supposedly clear rule regarding going to the ground when making a catch not only cost the Vikings a win.”
    If I recall, that play happened on 1st and 10 from the 17 which means they potentially had up to 7 more plays (barring defensive penalties) to pick up a touchdown. They failed. They got the ball with a minute left in the first half with three timeouts. They didn’t try to put points on the board. Childress also failed to challenge the Quarless TD which would have been overturned and forced a FG thus taking 4 points off the board. Brett Favre threw 3 INTs. The Vikings had 1st and 10 at the Green Bay 20 before the Vikings got a false start and facemask penalty.
    D@mn you Scott Green! Other than overturning the Shiancoe catch, the Vikings played a perfect game! Viking fans and Ray Edwards are right. The league hates the Vikings and they’re hoping to get fan support to drop to a level low enough where the team can be moved to Los Angeles.

  21. DopeBoys says: Oct 28, 2010 11:15 AM

    “Tony Dungy thinks the Seahawks are the best team in the NFC.”
    Completely irrelevant what that idiot thinks.

  22. WNYhell5 says: Oct 28, 2010 11:16 AM

    FYI… Bills didn’t trade for Milloy. NE dumped him right before the first game and the Bills signed him.

  23. steelkiller says: Oct 28, 2010 11:25 AM

    As a steeler fan I also have to admit that even though the Saints have looked really bad at times this season, they are in a MUST WIN at Home situation this week. And, they don’t want to look bad nationally on Sunday night.
    I’m not saying Pittsburgh can’t win. But they to have some devestating Injuries to deal with this week as well in Aaron Smith, and possible Woodley being out. I think Florio might have overlooked this.

  24. Rhode Island Patriots Fan says: Oct 28, 2010 11:29 AM

    I’m taking the contrarian view here. I believe that as this game goes, so goes the Vikings’ season—and they know it. That’s why, while I’m rooting for the Pats, I’m giving the edge to Minnesota.
    This is the NFL game of the week. Not because of Randy Moss’ return to Foxborough. That’s merely a sideshow. The real drama here is: (1) Childress’ response if an injured Favre starts throwing picks again, or is overwhelmed by the Patriots defense; and, (2) the Vikings locker room mood—including Randy Moss’—and the fallout on “Chilly” if Favre is pulled, and the Vikings then go on to lose the game under Tarvaris Jackson.
    Some, including myself, believe that the Minnesota Vikings have “pushed all their chips to the center of the table” this year. They will be desperate—and therefore more motivated—to defeat the Patriots. They key for the Pats will be to beat the Vikings through the air—they have no choice—and contain “A.D.”

  25. wtf__seriously says: Oct 28, 2010 11:31 AM

    Kisstherings blabbered “Because the Jets are over-rated and were lucky an aweful call enabled them to beat the Broncos….that just lost to the Raiders by about 50 points.”
    Yeah, a facemask that made the receiver’s head turn in the opposite direction of the ball is a terrible call. *sarcasm* They should have just ignored that.
    Damn those refs!

  26. dougieis2fresh says: Oct 28, 2010 11:36 AM

    The Lions are legit this year they just keep losing in close games its pretty sad

  27. wmt says: Oct 28, 2010 11:36 AM

    you put Oakland pretty far down on your power rankings (25 I think) and – as usual – had some sarcastic comment like “we will believe it when we see it” sort of remark to explain why you put them so far down. Yet you both pick them to win this week and be at the 0.500 mark at the halfway point of the season. This just shows me that when you do your power rankings you don’t really put any thought into it. I don’t think the Raiders should be a whole lot higher. Maybe 20 or something like that. But your power rankings, as a whole, are the most meaningless rankings I have ever seen.

  28. darkchild says: Oct 28, 2010 12:04 PM

    loL@ “The JETS being overrated”
    They’ve done nothing all year but kick ass and take names. Im guessing they should blow everyone out on a weekly basis.
    JETS beat Packers easily on Sunday.

  29. dmiller68 says: Oct 28, 2010 12:23 PM

    Oakland over Seattle, not
    Seattle No. 2 Rush defense in the league (allowing 77.5 YPG) vs. Oakland No. 3 in rushing (158.4 YPG). With well over 200 yards against Denver I would say that skews there No. 3 status. Seahawks are not very good in pass defense from a number of yards allowed (31st) however Oakland is 25th in passing. Seahawks Offense is low for the year 20th Passing / 25th Rushing but they really didn’t get it going until the last two weeks. Seattle rushed 160 yards last week and 120 yards at Chicago. With almost or over 200 yards of Passing both weeks makes for a balanced attack. We have also scored in the last 8 quarters. Seahawks have more Sacks, Interceptions. Oakland has one additional forced fumble. The wild card is defensive / special teams scoring Seattle is No. 3 in the league vs. Oakland is 28th. Oakland is No. 2 in offensive scoring but 25% of their total was last week.
    My pick Seattle 27 | Oakland 17

  30. Nomesayin'? says: Oct 28, 2010 1:46 PM

    “They probably need someone with a sturdy shine box.”
    LOL. Florio mast’ve watched “Good Fellas”. It was on last night.

  31. arodisgod says: Oct 28, 2010 2:02 PM

    Sure is butthurt jets fan in here.
    The jets are way overrated if for no other reason than being from NY.
    The packers are two FGs and one fumble away from being 7-0.
    Despite the injuries theyre still playing at a high level. Theyve gone from superbowl favorites to just average with the injuries. some guys on D have really stepped up though, so as long as CM3 is healthy we can do damage. IF we dont have jenkins this weekend i think it will be alot harder. If they activate harris and bigby sanchez will have to throw against the best/deepest secondary in the league.
    The jets will have jennings and driver taken care of with their excellent corners but i dont think they will have an answer for james jones and jordy nelson, with jones becoming rodgers’ favorite target in finley’s absence.
    The jets flaunt their blitz heavy D, the packers thrive against this. against arguably the best front seven in football in minnesota, they put up 200 yards in 1 quarter when they tried to pressure the packers. after that they had to resort to pulling up and trying to bat down passes because blitzing was not working.
    It will be a close game, regardless of who wins.
    I just think my packers take their emotion from last week and get out to an early lead and hang onto it.
    Packers 17 Jets 14

  32. HolyMoly says: Oct 28, 2010 2:08 PM

    Just out of curiosity, do Mike Florio and Gregg Rosenthal actually get paid to write these articles or do they do it for free? If they get paid, the people writing the checks should sue for fraud. Worst. Analysis. Ever.

  33. RIP__21 says: Oct 28, 2010 2:35 PM

    I’m glad you and the other “experts” are bettin against my boyz this week. That means not only do we win but it will be a blowout, big games from Moss and Torrain. Booooyahhh!

  34. somesome says: Oct 28, 2010 3:39 PM

    @arodisgod says:
    October 28, 2010 2:02 PM
    “Despite the injuries theyre still playing at a high level. Theyve gone from superbowl favorites to just average with the injuries. …..”
    Do you read what you write? The Packs barely escaped at home with a TD given that wasn’t and a TD taken from the Vikes which was …. just sayin’ …. Now you are going against one of the top 3 Ds in football on the road … with your third string offensive players … Jackson and Jones

  35. btg19 says: Oct 28, 2010 4:18 PM

    I love how Packer fans truly believe that James Jones and Jordy Nelson would “be #1 receivers on any other team”.

  36. GreenLantern1975 says: Oct 28, 2010 9:33 PM

    “The jets will have jennings and driver taken care of with their excellent corners but i dont think they will have an answer for james jones and jordy nelson, with jones becoming rodgers’ favorite target in finley’s absence.”
    Funniest thing I’ve read tonight….thanks…Will pick up Jordy Nelson tonight for my fantasy football team tonight based on this keen insight…

  37. joetoronto says: Oct 29, 2010 6:37 AM

    Something tells me the Bills are gonna shock the Chiefs.

  38. dlmcc0909 says: Oct 29, 2010 11:20 AM

    Green Bay has no chance to beat the Jets on the road even if they were at full strength. Ridiculous.
    Tony Dungy saying the Seahawks are the best team in the NFC just goes to show how clueless this guy really is. any of us could have coached those Colts teams to a Super Bowl. I wish he would build a raft for him and Brett Favre to sail away on

  39. mathemagician says: Oct 29, 2010 11:40 AM

    Rosenthal currently has a better showing than all of the ESPN “experts,” including the Accuscore projections and the fan-based picks.

    Not to mention my 13-year-old son, who was leading or tied with him every week until this one (Rosenthal now leads him by two games). My boy’s a bit bummed – the last two years he consistently outpicked all 30+ online pundits I tracked, and wants to do it again this year.
    Maybe I need to find him a job writing a column like this so he can build up some cash for college.

  40. smithopher says: Oct 30, 2010 12:04 AM

    florio, you’re going by that whole syllogistic thought process where one team beats another, then that team goes on and beats the winning team between that matchup, so when the winner of the second matchup plays the loser of the first, the winner wins, right? well, the ravens beat the jets, the jets beat the patriots, the patriots beat the ravens. there are definitely more examples, but the fact that the saints beat the bucs and then the cards beat the saints doesn’t mean the cards will beat the bucs. the saints have been underachieving, i have no faith in the cards what so ever, and the bucs, while they probably aren’t the best team in the NFC, are one of the better teams in the NFC.

  41. Avrus says: Oct 31, 2010 12:08 PM

    Packers over the Jets, really? Some of you need a football history lesson.
    The last two years the Jets have played better than they ever have in franchise history. They’re coming off a bye week with a 5 game winning streak, let’s look at the numbers:
    Packers are historically 2-8 all time against the Jets.
    Packers are historically 0-3 against the Jets at home.
    Fresh off a bye this is a Jets game, 31-23

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