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PFT’s Week 11 picks

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After a blind-squirrel 11-2 showing in Week Nine, I plunged to 7-7 last week.  The good news?  Rosenthal slid to 6-8, and now I’m only two games behind him.  This week, if the Jags, Cowboys, and Raiders win, I’ll take the lead.

Overall, Rosenthal is 93-51.  I’m 91-53.  We’re both threatening to leave the entire ESPN crowd in the dust.

Bears at Dolphins

Florio’s take:  A quarter of a century after the Bears took an unbeaten record to Miami and emerged with their only loss of the year, the Bears are back in town.  Though Miami has plenty of injury issues right now, the battle-tested Dolphins have enough horses to take down a Chicago team that simply isn’t as good as its 6-3 record suggests.

Florio’s pick:  Dolphins 24, Bears 16.

Rosenthal’s take:  Everything sets up well here for the Bears.  Their defense looks like a balanced, top-five unit.  They are coming off their best game of the year.  On paper, they should shut down new Miami starting QB Tyler Thigpen -– especially with tackle Jake Long not at 100%.  Despite all that, I still think the Dolphins are a tougher, smarter squad overall.

Rosenthal’s pick: Dolphins 20, Bears 17.

Ravens at Panthers

Florio’s take:  Though the Ravens have struggled with at least one vastly inferior opponent (the Bills), Baltimore has had 10 days to get ready for the worst team in the league.  And the Ravens should have no problem adding another loss to a franchise that is crumbling before our eyes.  Even though the head coach has no responsibility for it.  (If you don’t believe that, just ask him.)

Florio’s pick:  Ravens 38, Panthers 9.

Rosenthal’s take: The Ravens’ pass defense has seemingly gotten worse since Ed Reed returned, with the future Hall of Famer having a particularly rough day against the Falcons.   The entire Baltimore defense has looked good overall, but not great.  Against Carolina, they will look like the 2000 Ravens on HGH.

Rosenthal’s pick:  Ravens 23, Panthers 7.

Bills at Bengals

Florio’s take:  The Bengals play their best when trailing by 17 or more points.  But the Bills aren’t good enough to build that kind of a lead.  For a Cincinnati team that has no other cream puffs on the schedule and a Bills team that is still basking in the glow of avoiding an 0-16 season, look for the Bengals to get their third — and possibly final — victory.

Florio’s pick:  Bengals 30, Bills 21.

Rosenthal’s take: The Bills are coming their first win, while the Bengals are coming off a game where they appeared to dominate the Colts if not for a measly five turnovers.  Even though the Bills are “better” than their 1-8 record, the Bengals are really better than 2-7.  The defense is average and Carson Palmer is playing better than people think.  (He’s actually average.)  Cincinnati is past due for another win.

Rosenthal’s pick: Bengals 24, Bills 20.

Lions at Cowboys

Florio’s take:  The Lions are 2-7, and they’re regarded as making progress.  The Cowboys are 2-7, and they’re regarded as grossly underachieving.  But the Cowboys caught the Giants flat-footed on Sunday, and it appears that new coach Jason Garrett is moving things in the right direction.  Though it may not be enough to beat the Saints on Thanksgiving, it should be enough to take down the Lions on Sunday.

Florio’s pick:  Cowboys 35, Lions 17.

Rosenthal’s take:  The Cowboys are front runners.  Give them a lead and they can win convincingly.  Push them a little, and they cave while their fans boo on their way out of the building.  The Lions are resilient, if nothing else.  They don’t get blown out.  Look for this one to end with the same result as when the Cowboys were last 6.5 point favorites at home.

Rosenthal’s pick: Lions 28, Cowboys 23.

Browns at Jaguars

Florio’s take:  Jacksonville quarterback David Garrard typically can’t put two solid games together.  But the Browns played nearly five full quarters on Sunday, and the Jags have been buoyed by their stirring last-second win over the Texans.  And with five wins and four losses, the Jaguars have an outside shot at pulling themselves into the wild-card chase.

Florio’s pick:  Jaguars 23, Browns 20.

Rosenthal’s take:  These two teams met in Week 17 last year.  The Jaguars finished with the better record last season, but the Browns won the game because they had the better defense, offensive line, and the more complete team.   The same scenario remains true this year.  The Jaguars are in playoff contention, but the Browns have the better 53-man roster.

Rosenthal’s pick: Browns 20, Jaguars 17.

Cardinals at Chiefs

Florio’s take:  Chiefs coach Todd Haley faces his former team, at a time when the quality of the players is a lot lower than it was when Haley was there.  With the Chiefs returning home after another two-game road losing streak, Haley will be happy to welcome to town a Cardinals team that doesn’t feature Kurt Warner.

Florio’s pick:  Chiefs 28, Cardinals 13.

Rosenthal’s take:  If it wasn’t for the Cardinals, I’d be killing Florio in these picks.  [Editor's note:  Have you also been making these picks with shoulder, elbow, ankle, and foot injuries, Brett?]  There isn’t a team I’ve irrationally thought would win more games.  Derek Anderson gets blamed for a lot, but their defense is last in points allowed and 30th in yards.  Beanie Wells has been a disaster.  The Chiefs are 4-0 at home; they’ll find a way here.  I’m done being irrational.

Rosenthal’s pick: Chiefs 28, Cardinals 16.

Packers at Vikings

Florio’s take:  It’s Brett Favre’s last crack at the Pack, and it’s Green Bay’s final shot at Favre.  Five minutes of good football against a bad team is hardly a reason to think that the Vikings can outscore one of the elite teams in the league.

Florio’s pick:  Packers 31, Vikings 21.

Rosenthal’s take:  This isn’t the Vikings last stand.  That was last week in Chicago, and Minnesota played their worst game all year.  The Vikings play like Brett Favre sounds: a dead team walking.  They are too experienced to dream the impossible.  They know they are mediocre at best.  The Packers are starting to peak, and they smell blood.

Rosenthal’s pick: Packers 31, Vikings 24.

Texans at Jets

Florio’s take:  A week after an overmatched team from Texas came to New York (OK, New Jersey) and knocked off a much better team based in New York (OK, New Jersey), the other Texas team faces the other tenant of the New Meadowlands Stadium.  Given that the Jets played nearly five full quarters of football in Week 10, they could be ripe for an upset.  But then we remember that the Houston defense is one of the worst in the league, and that the Jets’ defense is one of the best.

Florio’s pick:  Jets 24, Texans 16.

Rosenthal’s take:  The Jets often play like an average team with a dash of luck.  The Texans often play like an average team with negative luck.  In theory, that should lead to a close game and a Jets win.  In reality, the Jets are too physical for Houston on both sides of the ball.  The Jets return for their second home game in six weeks, while the Texans play their second straight road game.  Smells like a blowout.

Rosenthal’s pick: Jets 33, Texans 16.

Raiders at Steelers

Florio’s take:  In each of the last two years that the Steelers defended a Super Bowl championship, they played the Raiders.  And the Raiders won.  This year, the Raiders are much improved, and the Steelers are sliding again due to another rash of injuries.  It’s hard to imagine the Steelers losing two in a row at home.  Then again, it was impossible to imagine the Steelers losing five in a row last season.

Florio’s pick:  Raiders 20, Steelers 17.

Rosenthal’s take:  The Raiders and their fans can happily play the no respect card here.  They’re 7.5 point underdogs on a three-game winning streak.  I’d take the points, but I’ll also take the Steelers to win because their defense can minimize Oakland’s greatest strength — the running game.  The Raiders have won one game on the road all year, in Denver.  Win this game and they’ll get plenty of respect.

Rosenthal’s pick:  Steelers 21, Raiders 17.

Redskins at Titans

Florio’s take:  Former Titans defensive lineman Albert Haynesworth is coming home.  Where he can take a nap during the game on the same turf where he once stomped on Andre Gurode’s head.  And where the Redskins can be beaten by less than 31 points by a team that needs to avoid falling to .500 if it wants to have any shot at getting to the postseason.

Florio’s pick:  Titans 24, Redskins 20.

Rosenthal’s take:  I’ve convinced myself the Titans are true Super Bowl contenders despite a 5-4 record because their pass rush is nasty and they score a ton of points.  (Third in ponts, second in point differential.)  With four out of the next five at home, this is their time to go on a run.  Washington’s offensive line is just the group to make the Titans look like world beaters again.

Rosenthal’s pick: Titans 30, Redskins 20.

Seahawks at Saints

Florio’s take:  The Saints are finding their groove from 2009, and they’re likely getting Reggie Bush back.  The up-and-down Seahawks managed to thump the Cardinals, but the guy who coached an elite college program doesn’t have the team to take down an elite NFL squad.

Florio’s pick:  Saints 41, Seahawks 27.

Rosenthal’s take:  Despite all their problems, the Saints may still be the NFC favorites because of their defense.  When no one was looking, New Orleans’ lesser-known side climbed to fourth in points allowed and third in yards.  They don’t force as many turnovers, but it’s a better group overall compared to last year.  The offense has a lot of room for improvement, especially in the red zone.  If that happens, this team could be more complete than a year ago.

Rosenthal’s pick: Saints 30, Seahawks 17.

Falcons at Rams

Florio’s take:  The Rams play much better at home than they do on the road.  But it likely won’t be good enough to beat a Falcons team that is 7-0 outside of Pennsylvania this year.  It likely won’t be a blowout, but the Falcons look too good for a letdown.

Florio’s pick:  Falcons 28, Rams 17.

Rosenthal’s take:  The Falcons are atop plenty of power rankings – like PFT’s – because they win close games.  It doesn’t matter if they play the 49ers, Bengals, Ravens or Saints.  The game comes down to the final minute.  Expect the same to happen in St. Louis, where Atlanta should feel at home in the dome in another late nail biter.

Rosenthal’s pick: Falcons 21, Rams 17.

Buccaneers at 49ers

Florio’s take:  Previously, the Bucs have lost only to high-end teams.  This week, they’re catching a Niners team that has gained some momentum and that still believes it can win the NFC West.  With a trip to Baltimore coming up, there’s a chance the Bucs will look past this one — and that the 49ers will find a way to extend their winning streak to three games.

Florio’s pick:  49ers 21, Buccaneers 20.

Rosenthal’s take:  Frank Gore — the Inconvenient Truth — is enjoying one of his best seasons in a grossly underrated career.  He’s second in the NFL in yards from scrimmage, and third among backs with 41 catches.  No one combines his power and speed.  He could be first in yards by the time he’s through with Tampa’s rush defense, arguably the worst in football.

Rosenthal’s pick: 49ers 20, Bucs 14.

Colts at Patriots

Florio’s take:  After losing six straight to the Pats from 2001 through 2004, the Colts have taken five of six from New England.  It’s time for a correction, especially since this year’s version of the November sweeps special will be played in Foxboro.  The Pats looked as potent as ever in Pittsburgh, and the Colts couldn’t deliver the knockout punch to a staggering Bengals team.

Florio’s pick: Patriots 27, Colts 21.

Rosenthal’s take:  This game never gets old.  Even though the last five meetings have been decided by one score, the Colts have won five of the last six meetings.  Something has to give because Tom Brady has won 24 straight starts at home, one away from Brett Favre’s record. Take away all the history and you see New England’s passing attack is operating more efficiently.  The Colts’ offensive line is shakier than usual and Peyton Manning is averaging 5.65 yards per attempt in his last 3 games. I like the Pats just a bit more on grass.  [Editor's note:  Rosenthal is not claiming that the Patriots are "on grass."  We think.]

Rosenthal’s pick: Patriots 34, Colts 31.

Giants at Eagles

Florio’s take:  The Giants arguably have peaked too soon, again, and the Eagles arguably haven’t peaked yet.  And Mike Vick is having a season for the ages.  And the Giants have a few too many injuries.  And the Eagles are playing at home.  Advantage(s), Philly.

Florio’s pick:  Eagles 35, Giants 24.

Rosenthal’s take: Fascinating matchup.  It comes at a perfect time for NBC, but a terrible one for the Giants.  Big Blue is banged up and Dallas’ vertical pass game showed a way to beat the Giants.  This is great test to learn what Michael Vick and these Eagles are made of.  The game comes on a short week against a hungry opponent after the football media crowned Vick king of football again.  A true coin flip game goes to the home team.

Rosenthal’s pick: Eagles 27, Giants 24.

Broncos at Chargers

Florio’s take:  The Broncos snapped out of an extended funk by thrashing the Chiefs.  But the Chargers ain’t the Chiefs, and the Chargers have had two weeks to get ready for their second-half assault on the AFC West crown.  A mile-high cloud of gloom and doom returns to Denver.

Florio’s pick:  Chargers 37, Broncos 13.

Rosenthal’s take:  The Chargers are suddenly everyone’s favorite to win the AFC West, but they have no margin for error with two division losses on the books.  Don’t expect a third on Monday night.  Both teams are healthier and the Broncos may even have a running game now.  Unfortunately, they still don’t have a trustworthy defense.

Rosenthal’s pick: Chargers 34, Broncos 26.

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44 Responses to “PFT’s Week 11 picks”
  1. raythestabber says: Nov 18, 2010 12:23 PM

    Miami
    Buffalo
    Dallas
    KC
    Tennesee
    GB
    Jets
    Pittsburgh
    Baltimore
    Cleveland
    Atlanta
    NO
    SF
    NE
    Philly
    San Diego

  2. vikings2102 says: Nov 18, 2010 12:26 PM

    If the Cowboys can beat the Giants in NYC (Ok, New Jersey), the Vikes can……..oh, hell, I can’t even finish that statement. My beloved Vikes are gonna get killed and I’ll be there all drunk up to see it!!

    FIRE CHILLY!!!!

  3. jlb10 says: Nov 18, 2010 12:28 PM

    i am shocked!!! florio picking the raiders! or is he trying to jinx them?

  4. 2mannings1cup says: Nov 18, 2010 12:31 PM

    The Eagles are flying very, very high right now. These are always the games people, especially players look past. I see the Giants giving them a quick blow to bring them back down to earth, and continuing to give them hell. A late rally by Vick the Quick won’t be enough to beat a strong Giants D.

    Gigantes: 30 Eags: 24

  5. 4dabears says: Nov 18, 2010 12:32 PM

    Keep picking against the Bears, RETARDS!

  6. uscgbuc says: Nov 18, 2010 12:32 PM

    I get it the Bucs are picked to lose and I understand that it is a realistic pick, but NOT becasue they are “Overlooking” anybody. The Bucs will prepare each week to stop their next opponent, they don’t have the ego’s yet to think they have any Easy games on their schedule. The Bucs however don’t have a very good record traveling west as most eastern teams. If they lose it will be because they didnt play good enough, not because they were peaking ahead to Baltimore.

  7. all4patriots says: Nov 18, 2010 12:32 PM

    The Patriots play on field turf, not grass.

    It will be nice that it will NOT be 72 degrees with no wind.

    Too bad we can’t order up a N’orEaster

  8. bears354 says: Nov 18, 2010 12:42 PM

    Florio, please keep picking the Bears to lose. Although I’m quite certain I don’t really need to ask that of you. With their remaining schedule, I’m sure you’ll pick them to lose out. Thank you.

  9. ArtModellsPimp says: Nov 18, 2010 12:43 PM

    Florio… you will never get a Browns game right. And that’s why Rosenthal will continue to kick your ass.

  10. weakafceast says: Nov 18, 2010 12:47 PM

    The AFC East will collectively get bounced early the post-season.

  11. joetoronto says: Nov 18, 2010 1:02 PM

    Don’t sleep on the Rams.

    They’re good at home, while the Falcons aren’t so great on the road.

  12. xtb3 says: Nov 18, 2010 1:03 PM

    you guys picked almost nothing but favorites.

  13. ravensrule says: Nov 18, 2010 1:11 PM

    Here’s how you stop Mike Vick…..dont rush him,,,not at all,,,pretty much drop everyone into zone. Then he has to beat you with his arm. He will do damage, we have seen he has improved in that area, however w/out the key first downs he picks up w/ his legs you take away a key part of his game. Im available as a D coordinator if anyone needs one….

  14. conormacleod says: Nov 18, 2010 1:17 PM

    Vikings game. Tail gate early so you can forget by halftime.

  15. camprobot says: Nov 18, 2010 1:20 PM

    @2mannings1cup

    lol, keep dreaming. Eagles @ home with Vick against a team that couldn’t beat a 1-7 Cowboys at home.

    Let me get whatever it is you’re smoking though.

  16. macjacmccoy says: Nov 18, 2010 1:29 PM

    2mannings1cup says:
    Nov 18, 2010 12:31 PM
    I see the Giants giving them a quick blow to bring them back down to earth, and continuing to give them hell

    Continueing to give the Hell? 4-0 in last 4. Real Hellish.

  17. Rex Grossman says: Nov 18, 2010 1:34 PM

    93-51 wow you guys must be really smart and know a lot about nfl football how do you know all this stuff

  18. vikings2102 says: Nov 18, 2010 1:38 PM

    @conormacleod

    I plan on being plenty drunk!! Gotta keep warm somehow!!

    Skol Vikings!!

  19. truefan2 says: Nov 18, 2010 1:40 PM

    Mr ravensrule,
    “dropping everyone into zone” would only GIVE Mike Vick even MORE space to run or open up “check-down” passes to backs.

    I’ll take you as D Coordinator.. of any team I’m playing AGAINST.
    :-)

  20. skleech22 says: Nov 18, 2010 1:43 PM

    Indy is bringing their JV team to Foxboro…. Doesn’t matter,Peyton the BETTER QB….Horses 34-Cheaters 31!!!

  21. semperfi24 says: Nov 18, 2010 1:57 PM

    #
    camprobot says: Nov 18, 2010 1:20 PM

    @2mannings1cup

    lol, keep dreaming. Eagles @ home with Vick against a team that couldn’t beat a 1-7 Cowboys at home.

    Let me get whatever it is you’re smoking though.
    ___________________________________

    I think he is smoking pole, you sure you want some of that?

  22. shaggytoodle says: Nov 18, 2010 2:02 PM

    4dabears says:
    Nov 18, 2010 12:32 PM
    Keep picking against the Bears, RETARDS!
    ______________________________

    The Packers are the ONLY team Chi. have beat that has more then 3 wins going into week 10 of football. I think a lot of people feel Chi have a little more to proove.

  23. ejtowne says: Nov 18, 2010 2:02 PM

    I don’t want to jinx Buffalo but, Cinncinati hasn’t beat the Bills since 1988… I was 10 years old, just getting into watching the NFL and still wearing M.C. Hammer pants. Geez, that was forever ago…

    It would be very upsetting for me to see the Bengals and former one year starter for the Bills Terrell Owens beat Buffalo. Of the seven games left in the season, this one is the most important to me. I would love to see this streak starting in 88 stay alive. Go Bills!!!!

  24. jagfanchokesflorio says: Nov 18, 2010 2:02 PM

    Can’t you find a stock photo that at least hasb a current jersey in it? The Jaguars haven’t worn that jersey in 2 years, and that’s the best you can find? Please.

  25. rabidbillsfan says: Nov 18, 2010 2:11 PM

    @ Ravensrule

    Yea, did you think that up in Madden? I mean are the Giants playing Mike Vick or the Eagles? I’d think its the latter, and if you drop everyone in coverage McCoy will average around 6 ypc. Oh and by the way, what kind of coverage? Cover 2? Cover 3? Curl Zones? Flat Zones? Robbers? I think my local PeeWee team needs a water boy, subit your resume on-line and I’ll let them know. And you call yourself a Raven’s fan. The Eagles will win because…. Mike Vick isn’t the only Eagle showing up Sunday, this is a statement game for the whole team. Eagles 27- Giants 14.

  26. ruvelligwebuike says: Nov 18, 2010 2:14 PM

    “I plan on being plenty drunk!! Gotta keep warm somehow!!

    Skol Vikings!!”
    ————-

    Lots of hypothermia happens in a climate controlled dome.

  27. deweyactswooned says: Nov 18, 2010 2:42 PM

    As my Bear-brthren have indicated, I’m now way past getting annoyed with you dolt-holes when you pick against them, and I’m actually glad that you persist in your stubborn ignorance.

    Why don’t you save us all some time, and just go right ahead and flatly, categorically pick against them for the remainder of the schedule.

    Why is it so hard for sports “journalists” toadmit they were so damn wrong?

    Are you that proud, that stubborn, that weak in the ego-department, or all the 3?

    Did an actual Bear maul one of your family members? Did you get caught in a back alley in Chicago and some street thugs forced you to smile like a donut?

    Did Lovie Smith go all “Wayne Brady” on you one night?

    I don’t get it–why the persistent disregard and disrepect?

    Oh well, you two are the ones who continue to prove you “are not as good as your record suggests”, not the Bears.

    Just do me one favor and promise this much: when truth and reality finally smack you in the nads hard enough to snap you out of your stubborn, drooling delusion, stay off our bandwagon.

  28. steelers6pack says: Nov 18, 2010 3:21 PM

    Same peopel dogging Florio’s and rosenthaul’s picks are the same peopel who think thw Cowboys will make the playoffs and the Bears are a good team! I bet these guys never got more than 10 right in 1 week!

  29. mnsportsguy79 says: Nov 18, 2010 3:38 PM

    Florio – I had you at 8-6 last week and 92-52 overall…so when the Jags, Cowboys & Raiders win you WILL be 2 games up on the 3G Network!

  30. gambleonsports says: Nov 18, 2010 3:58 PM

    Bears fans, your 6 wins came against teams with a combined record of 15-39.

    Your 3 divisonal wins all came at home, and the Detroit one should have been a loss.

    The rest of the way, you face teams with a combined record of 35-27, and you face all of your divisional rivals in their house this time.

    You rank near the bottom in nearly every offensive category, and your defense is only ranked as high as it is because of the opposition you have been facing.

    Sorry, but you are not making the playoffs.

  31. deweyactswooned says: Nov 18, 2010 4:58 PM

    gambleon sports and everyone else,

    1. The Bears only play who is put in front of them–they have no control over that.

    2. Stats, like scripture, can be quoted to suit the Devil’s purpose. And for all the low offensive rankings, the defensive ranks counterbalance it.

    3. Yes, they face tougher opponents ahead–but they face all of them IN SOLDIER FIELD (Eagles, Pats, Jets).
    This includes that Soldier Field x-factor of the weather…wind, rain, cold, wet sloppy grass surface. That can make for a great equalizer/advantage Bears.

    4. The remaining 3 divisional games–they’ve already proven they can beat all 3 of those teams, the venue isn’t THAT big of a factor.

    5. Spare me the woulda coulda should sheeit on the Lions game. It was week one–and how many other teams have benefitted from calls/non-calls gone wrong this year. And that doesn’t change how well the Bears are playing NOW.

    6. Which reminds me–this team is getting hot at the right time: it’s two best games have been the last two. O-line is finally getting stabilized, sacks are decreasing, Martz and co. are finding balance.

    7. Finally, and the most IMPORTANT point–everyone, and I mean EVERYONE (even some Bears fans) wouldn’t give the Bears higher than 3rd place in the division during pre-season predictions. In fact, some of you dill-slappers even said the Lions would leapfrog them and Bears would finish dead last.

    Yet here we are–Week 11–and if the season ended/playoffs happened today, Bears win the
    division.

    You were all SO wrong then–what makes you think you’re all SO right now?

    Each year, a team comes “out of nowhere” to make a run into/through the playoffs–the Cardinals, the Giants, the Jets, to name a few recent ones.

    Why not the Bears? Open your eyes. Excellent Defense & Special Teams, competent (and improving) offense means the Bears can play with, and even beat, ANYONE.

  32. semperfi24 says: Nov 18, 2010 5:43 PM

    deweyactswooned says:
    Nov 18, 2010 4:58 PM
    gambleon sports and everyone else,

    3. Yes, they face tougher opponents ahead–but they face all of them IN SOLDIER FIELD (Eagles, Pats, Jets).
    This includes that Soldier Field x-factor of the weather…wind, rain, cold, wet sloppy grass surface. That can make for a great equalizer/advantage Bears.

    4. The remaining 3 divisional games–they’ve already proven they can beat all 3 of those teams, the venue isn’t THAT big of a factor.
    __________________________________

    So playing at “SOLDIER FIELD” is a huge advantage for the Bears, but there is no advantage to the teams that are playing in their venue???? That doesnt even make sense. Plus, the Pats, Jets, and Eagles all play in the north east, out doors. In the cold, in the rain, in the snow, in the wind (not Chicago wind, I will concede that), but you arent talking about the Falcons, Colts, and Dolphins, lol. I am not going to go so far as to say that the 3 teams you mentioned are or arent going to beat Chicago, I dont care, but your reason behind why the Bears will win, is questionable at best, and borderline stupid.

  33. 4dabears says: Nov 18, 2010 11:31 PM

    HA HA! Like I said, keep picking against the Bears, RETARDS!

  34. deweyactswooned says: Nov 19, 2010 9:51 AM

    Semperfi–I never said playing in Soldier Field guaranteed them a win. I said it’s a factor, and something to consider before you and everyone else so quickly and constantly insist that the Bears are going to crash in the last part of their schedule.

    There’s more involved than just “the Bears have a tough road ahead”–it’s not as tough as it might be on the surface, for the reasons I mentioned.

    And more importantly, the Bears are better than you or anyone else thinks.

  35. timtanium says: Nov 19, 2010 10:40 AM

    “the battle-tested Dolphins have enough horses to take down a Chicago team that simply isn’t as good as its 6-3 record suggests ” 24-16 fins

    At Least the ESPN guys give the bears a tiny bit of credit.
    NOONE has scored 24 pts on bears all year, but a banged up, 3rd string QB starting team would… genius.

    One Question? What happens next week after you pick Vick and Eagles to Dismantle the Bears in Soldier Field, and if (prob a big IF but,..) Bears can pull off an upset, Florio… are you gonna be tempted to jump on the bandwagon…. ????? I think you will, I dont see you as a stand up kinda guy, i think we will get what we’ve been getting every week from you… EXCUSES for your bone headed picks. Keep eatin those words, god knows you could put a few pounds on that clay aiken frame of yours.

    Bear Down!

  36. snnyjcbs says: Nov 19, 2010 3:01 PM

    The Raiders D is going to knock Big Ben around like a Bowling Pin. The Raiders front 7 on D are just to Big, Fast and Physical for the Steelers O line. I do not believe the Steelers will be able to run much on the Raiders either.

    It will all come down to how well the Raider QB and O line play. I think the Raiders will not only be able to run the ball I think they will stun the NFL on how easy they run the ball.

    This game is not even close, Raiders win and send the Steelers into a Tailspin just as they did last year. Last year Raiders were lucky to win, this year they are just to physical for the Steelers.

  37. mbmorganjr says: Nov 19, 2010 3:28 PM

    Is this the question to be asked about this year’s Colts-Patriots matchup: What unit is worse – the Pats pass defense or the Colts rush defense?

    I like the Pats to run the ball inside the 20 to score touchdowns while their defense does enough to hold the Colts to field goals while enjoying the home field advantage.

    With the idea of never being too comfortable about what you think you know about the NFL this year – I’m leaning toward picking the Giants.

  38. ontboltfan says: Nov 19, 2010 3:56 PM

    If you grind the points for against , hf adv there are some upsets possible.

    JAX is down their top WR and sack leader which tips the bal to cle. McCoy will have all day to pass against one of the worst pass Ds.

    atl=STL so with hfa STL could win outright.

    MIN should have won in gb except for a miscall and Favre having many Favre moments. gb really miss TE Finlay and RB Grant. MIN have all their WR and CB back and healthy, better run game and could win outright.

  39. vegasbearfan says: Nov 19, 2010 3:57 PM

    I was surprised to see Rosenthal pick against the Bears this week I thought he was smarter than that, not Florio because he gives them no respect and we know that he is not smart. I hope that you guys are just as right about the Colts – Patriots game as you were about the Bears.

  40. clintonrb says: Nov 21, 2010 3:10 AM

    Raiders get dismantled in Pennsylvania and the unraveling starts just as quickly as the stream began 33-24
    I hope the broncos beat cry me a Rivers but I highly doubt they can pull of the upset in San Diego. 35-21

  41. clintonrb says: Nov 21, 2010 3:12 AM

    Chiefs eat the Cardinals 27-15

  42. sdw2001 says: Nov 21, 2010 8:46 AM

    ravensrule says:
    Nov 18, 2010 1:11 PM
    Here’s how you stop Mike Vick…..dont rush him,,,not at all,,,pretty much drop everyone into zone. Then he has to beat you with his arm. He will do damage, we have seen he has improved in that area, however w/out the key first downs he picks up w/ his legs you take away a key part of his game. Im available as a D coordinator if anyone needs one….

    —-You’d be fired after 6 games. What you write makes sense on the surface, but it’s flawed. Listening to former Eagles player Hugh Douglas yesterday, he mentioned that exact scenario. The problem with it is that when you drop back and play zone (or some variant), you have to stay in coverage. That means Vick can pick up 10-20 yards before you get to him.

    I am an Eagles fan, so take this for what it’s worth, but NO ONE has yet figured out how to stop him. The Eagles have won every game he’s played the whole game, and nearly won the opener when he came in during the second half (not to mention a close loss on the first Redskins game).

    Honestly, the best the Giants can hope for is him having a bad game. I would say “hope for him to get injured,” but that’s a problem too….because you have to face Kevin Kolb, who’s a damn fine QB, just not Mike Vick.

  43. brasho says: Nov 21, 2010 7:28 PM

    Florio, what’s your record this season in picking Bucs games? I’m guessing it has to be 4-6 or worse. Which is far closer than your prediction about the Bucs not winning 7 games in 3 seasons.

  44. clintonrb says: Nov 21, 2010 10:30 PM

    calling the raiders over the steelers was a terrible pick-
    they scored 3 points!
    and now back to qb switcheroo in oakland
    cable needs to stick with campbell -now matter how bad he played they need to know who the starter is-
    welcome back to a three game slide raiders

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