“But consider this language from the official rules: “In order for the prize to be awarded, an eligible entrant must correctly predict all 32 players selected in the first round of the Draft in their exact order of selection, with the correct spelling of each player’s name, in accordance with these Official Rules.”

You’re still under thinking it. Realizing that a team could actually trade back into the first round and that they could technically alter their original first round spot while adding a second first round spot means you’re still leaving out additional factorials. There are still several others, but my head is starting to hurt at this point.

@asdf1234567890asdf – You’re forgetting it’s not a straight statistical calculation with each eligible player equally likely to go at any pick. Certain players can be assumed to have more value than other players, which gives you a very vague order to work from.
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Hold up, wouldn’t you have to do at least 2 factorials? One for the order of the draft (trades) and one for the order of the players? So assuming that we knew the 32 players going in the first round wouldn’t it be 32! x 32! ? Or am I just over thinking it?

“That’s why this is the best year for such a contest…Oakland doesn’t have a 1st round pick this year, they traded it to New England for Seymour.”

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That’s even worse. Bill Belichick has that pick shopped to 18 different teams already. Good luck.

I’d totally tip if I won, but the chance of ANYBODY doing this is 0 if you ask me.

Also, I already drink Bud Light, so your Jedi mind tricks won’t work on me, Obi Wan.

Its free and its fun…why complain. I think its next to impossible to do this especially with trades, and god knows which athletic specimen Al Davis will fall in love with, that wasn’t going to be drafted till the 7th round.
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That’s why this is the best year for such a contest…Oakland doesn’t have a 1st round pick this year, they traded it to New England for Seymour.

Well, Bud Light is at least an improvement over dog piss, aka Coors.

So instead of Dog piss “aka Coors…you opt for Horse piss aka Bud light. Same product.

Remember the year Bud Dry was a stud rookie QB?

Just make them think they have chance..
Then fill them with ads for Bud Light..
Then before the draft they all run out and buy Bud Light thinking it can help with luck or because they have been subjected to ads telling them to buy Bud Light..

The only winner is Bud Light.. Making money of idiots running out buying their beer for luck or just because of the ads..

Alcohol is a terrible drug that causes death, injury, and immense human suffering. It shouldn’t even be legal never mind an “official sponsor” of the NFL.

Yeah, but weed is illegal. I couldn’t agree more Ironhawk.

That said, no one will win this contest. Zero chance…

That said, you’re right in that the odds are still astronomically slim.

I think you need to get out more and get laid. there are less permutations for the possibility of you having sex, I hope.

True, there are that many permutations. BUT, you kinda know who will go top 5, or top 10, or 11-15, or 16-20, or 21-32. So, I think, 1000 educated guesses will keep people in the ballpark.
It’s a good contest, similiar to an NCAA Tournament bracket, but alot tougher. Fill out your sheet, watch the draft, and have a BUD Light. Kiper and McShay should have “Sheets of Integrity”!!

P.S. Teams think talent/best available, not need.
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I know it’s only April, but I’m officially nominating this for Stupidest Comment of the Year.