There just isn’t much reason to think the Bengals would be interested.
Geoff Hobson of Bengals.com takes issue with the thinking that the Bengals are warming up to moving Palmer. Bengals owner Mike Brown, who runs every aspect of the team, came out publicly to say no trade will happen.
“And this is where Brown should never get underestimated,” Hobson writes. “If you back him into a corner publicly on any issue, you’re going to have a long wait.”
Brown has affection for Palmer as a player and person. He’s not going to give him up without getting back a huge reward. Will the Dolphins remain interested when they find out it will take a first-round pick plus to get Palmer? And that’s if Palmer is available at all.
Dan Marino said he “liked” Palmer, so he’d give up a third-round pick for him. (I’d also like Florio to double my salary. That has about as much chance of happening as Marino’s trade offer working.)
For a team to get Palmer, they are going to have to really want him. If the Bengals are only going to get 2012 picks for Palmer, they can easily wait out Palmer until next March . . . when they get 2012 picks for him. There is no huge motivation to deal him this year.
A team interested in Palmer will likely have to make give up a huge bounty.
With the draft coming up and so much labor uncertainty, we’re not sure that team is out there.