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Bill Parcells: It’s too early to say Luck will be top pick

San Francisco 49ers wide-receiver J.J. S Getty Images

It would be a major surprise at this stage if Andrew Luck wasn’t the No. 1 overall pick in next year’s draft.

Then again, conventional wisdom at this point last year thought Cam Newton was a late first or second round pick.  Brady Quinn was once thought of by the media — not necessarily teams — as a potential No. 1 overall pick.

Luck is no Quinn, but former Dolphins executive Bill Parcells isn’t buying the Luck hype just yet.

“Anyone who says that this guy is the hands down, Heisman Trophy winner or the first pick in the draft right now, I don’t think they know what they are talking about. There’s not been enough work done yet,” Parcells said on ESPN Radio this week via the Palm Beach Post.

It’s hard to imagine Luck not going first, but Parcells makes a fair point. The draft process is still in its very early stages for the real NFL decision makers.

No one really has any idea what they are thinking yet. As Parcells points out, there’s a ton of work left to be done.

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61 Responses to “Bill Parcells: It’s too early to say Luck will be top pick”
  1. realitypolice says: Dec 1, 2011 1:25 PM

    And if Luck did eventually emerge as the consensus number one pick, and Parcells was running a team, he would still pick an offensive tackle.

  2. pabillsfan says: Dec 1, 2011 1:26 PM

    That’s the safe thing to say, but we all know what’s going down, bar injury. Why else would it be called, “Suck for Luck”?

  3. radrntn says: Dec 1, 2011 1:29 PM

    bill is getting senile in his old age. It is pretty obviuos to everybody that the colts are losing only for one reason

  4. jcusa514 says: Dec 1, 2011 1:29 PM

    i mean, he might be right. this time back in 2005 everyone was saying the same thing about reggie bush

  5. righton989 says: Dec 1, 2011 1:33 PM

    Wouldn’t it be ironic if Luck did end up sucking as bad as the Charger #1 pick in 1998…Ryan. No amount of pundit hype guarantees that a college player’s success continues in the NFL. And you sure can’t get your money back if they stink.

  6. irodex says: Dec 1, 2011 1:34 PM

    Haha…nope.

  7. karlcuba says: Dec 1, 2011 1:35 PM

    Luck will go first, he’s a bigger right handed version of Steve Young and his floor is absurdly high. His competition will be Robert Griffin who has a quick, clean release and all the arm strength, tough and accuracy to be a star in the NFL. He’s more like a cross between Warren Moon and Fran Tarkenton with a little more speed.

  8. Iamthatguy says: Dec 1, 2011 1:36 PM

    I concur. WAAAAY too early to say Luck is the clear cut #1
    Why not Barkley?

    Remember a certain QB named JaMarcus?

    Luck has all the media hype, but that doesn’t mean he has all the tools.

  9. bozosforall says: Dec 1, 2011 1:36 PM

    He’s correct…but after all of the work is done, Luck will still be the first overall pick (absent him going back to Stanford for his senior year).

  10. benwantsababyruth says: Dec 1, 2011 1:36 PM

    The big tuna makes a good point.

  11. ProDolphinsTalk says: Dec 1, 2011 1:38 PM

    “With the 5th pick in the 2012 NFL Draft, the Miami Dolphins select Andrew Luck, QB, Stanford”

    Colts will trade out, Rams don’t need a QB (yet), Panthers are SET and the Chiefs won’t go there.

  12. sonnyjz says: Dec 1, 2011 1:38 PM

    Let’s assume no freak injuries and/or incidents occur. WTF are Bill Parcells and Gregg Rosenthal smoking? He may have a lot of work to do become an elite NFL quarterback, but Luck is way ahead of the curve regarding the rest of the talent pool. Just sayin’ …

  13. andyreidisfat says: Dec 1, 2011 1:40 PM

    Not to mention luck hasn’t even been the best college coach. I can name 3 guys who have had better seasons, in kellen Moore the kid in Houston and the kid in Baylor. I’d give keenan the h- trophy myself.

    But as far as projecting to the next level I would have to say luck looks like the best of the bunch. Don’t sleep on the USC kid or kellen Moore either.

    In fact I like both those guys so much that if I had the first pick I would try to trade down and take either one or even further and take g3 in the early second. Also Landry should come out and I still think boyd at Clemson reminds me of mcnabb with better accuracy. So we got atleast 6 guys all of which have a chance at. Being good in the nfl. Should be a fun draft. At this point I just hope my eagles get a high enough pick to take a linebacker or dt that can make a real difference.

  14. Sometimes Interesting says: Dec 1, 2011 1:46 PM

    Yeah, cause Parcells was right about Chad Henne and Pat White…

  15. jrcthree says: Dec 1, 2011 1:50 PM

    That man evaluated Pat White! So, his opinion on quarterbacks does not apply. Wait until he talks about defensive players.

  16. thebigkahuna23 says: Dec 1, 2011 1:50 PM

    There’s so much hype around this guy it’s kind of making me worried. I think it says a lot that he’s handling it so well. I wouldn’t be surprised to see him stay at Stanford for another year.

  17. miamidolphins1 says: Dec 1, 2011 1:51 PM

    not that it matters because my dolphins wont be in position for the 1st overall pick, but all i can say is thank god that this clown is not running the fins anymore, because he probably would not draft luck with the 1st pick if they were in that position.

  18. bsizemore68 says: Dec 1, 2011 1:53 PM

    Perhaps Bill needs to think about Pat White before he offers an opinion about Mr. Luck, just saying. Bill

  19. kennyfukinpowers says: Dec 1, 2011 1:54 PM

    Bill just does not like to take QB’s in the first round, much less the first pick. Look at his draft history…he usually takes a defensive front seven in the first round (with the exception of Jake Long). He stays away from taking QB’s, RB’s and WR’s in the first round. To me, the first pick should always be the best QB coming out of college, and if the team picking first does not want that QB, they should trade the pick away. Luck will be the first pick in the draft, just a matter of what Indy does with the pick or Manning.

  20. natigator says: Dec 1, 2011 1:56 PM

    After the mess he made and promptly left behind in Miami, I dont think Parcells is in a position to comment on much of anything regarding the NFL draft

  21. dcfinfan says: Dec 1, 2011 1:57 PM

    This coming from the guy that drafted Pat White in the second rd. NO CREDIBILITY!

  22. nick1087 says: Dec 1, 2011 2:03 PM

    I agree with jcusa514, im not saying Luck wont be the first pick but who can forget the “Bush Bowl” when halfway through the season Reggie Bush was an “automatic” first overall pick. Look how that worked out…..

  23. chipper41 says: Dec 1, 2011 2:04 PM

    Parcels must be on the payroll of a team that is going to get a top 5 pick

  24. gadgetdawg says: Dec 1, 2011 2:06 PM

    He is technically correct. Luck could choose to return for his last year of eligibility or get injured. Barring all that however, smart money is still on Luck.

  25. winstonhussein says: Dec 1, 2011 2:07 PM

    Says the guy who passed on Matt Ryan.

  26. clayshair says: Dec 1, 2011 2:08 PM

    I disagree with him. The media and draft pundits are always right about everything.

  27. kennyfukinpowers says: Dec 1, 2011 2:10 PM

    Lets not forget that his last draft with Dallas Bill chose Barbie Carpenter in the first round!

  28. cliffordc05 says: Dec 1, 2011 2:11 PM

    We are not talking about an undersized running back. Luck has prototypical size, adequate arm strength, and a superior ability to read a defense. He meets the physical requirements and is outstanding in the mental aspects of the game. He is clearly the number one pick if only for the trade value (of the pick) and the option it would give a team in need of a quarterback. The big tuna is not spending enough time watching college football.

  29. holdthemayo123 says: Dec 1, 2011 2:16 PM

    Luck going 1st overall is about as sure a thing as Bush going 1st overall.

  30. bobhk says: Dec 1, 2011 2:22 PM

    When was the last time Parcells was relevant?

  31. ducesblackshirt says: Dec 1, 2011 2:25 PM

    Just like taking a tackle over Matt Ryan has worked well for the Fins.

  32. pastabelly says: Dec 1, 2011 2:28 PM

    kennyfukinpowers says:
    Dec 1, 2011 1:54 PM
    Bill just does not like to take QB’s in the first round, much less the first pick
    ==================================
    Drew Bledsoe was the first pick overall in the 1993 draft and Parcells was picking the groceries then.

  33. jerseyshoregiant says: Dec 1, 2011 2:33 PM

    kennyfukinpowers says:
    Dec 1, 2011 1:54 PM
    Bill just does not like to take QB’s in the first round, much less the first pick. Look at his draft history…he usually takes a defensive front seven in the first round (with the exception of Jake Long). He stays away from taking QB’s, RB’s and WR’s in the first round. To me, the first pick should always be the best QB coming out of college, and if the team picking first does not want that QB, they should trade the pick away. Luck will be the first pick in the draft, just a matter of what Indy does with the pick or Manning
    ——————————-
    Ever hear of Drew Bledsoe, #1 overall drafted by Parcells. He clearly knew enough to take Bledsoe over Rick Mirer!!

  34. cantonbound13 says: Dec 1, 2011 2:37 PM

    This putz is still living in the 80’s.

  35. denverwally says: Dec 1, 2011 2:46 PM

    realitypolice says:
    Dec 1, 2011 1:25 PM
    And if Luck did eventually emerge as the consensus number one pick, and Parcells was running a team, he would still pick an offensive tackle.

    ****************************************

    Wrong. In 1993 Parcells drafted Drew Bledsoe with the first pick in the draft.

    And Parcells makes a good point, because last year at this time Da’quan Bowers was considered the 1st pick in the draft and he ended up going in the middle of the second round. You never know what will turn up with these full body cavity examinations they do at the combine now.

  36. gmen1987 says: Dec 1, 2011 2:52 PM

    Says the guy who took an OT over Matt Ryan and left the current Miami team in the Suck for Luck sweepstakes. Consider the source.

    For those that are comparing Luck to Leaf or JeMarcus, there is a big difference. Luck has a much better work ethic than either. Work ethic was the reason the Colts passed on Leaf and many people raised red flags on work ethic for JeMarcus as well. Especially Chris Landry from Fox.

  37. qdog112 says: Dec 1, 2011 2:53 PM

    The deal is, that the Colts will be afraid not to pick Luck, on chance he turns out to be what all the “experts” say he is. Frankly, Parcells is correct. Luck has not gone through any scrutiny and when he does, the person is shouted down.(see Phil Simms)

    In my opinion, Luck is not the best and there are at least 5 guys as good or better. There is no way he can live up to the hype. Based on that, he will be considered a failure or a project upon lack of immediate success.

  38. turdfurgerson68 says: Dec 1, 2011 3:15 PM

    It’s not too early to say that its time for Bill to ride off into the sunset…

  39. hatesycophants says: Dec 1, 2011 3:15 PM

    The causual/nouveau NFL fan is terrible for the sport. I hate the Cowboys, Giants, Dolphins and Patriots. However, Bill Parcels has forgotten more about football than all of you will ever know. To have some anonymous tool get on here and call that guy a putz or any other derogatory epithet is just ridiculous.

    Go Lions! Go Badgers!

  40. 1972wasalongtimeago says: Dec 1, 2011 3:16 PM

    If Scott Norwood made a 47-yard field goal 21 years ago, Parcells would be Al Groh’s D-Coordinator at Georgia Tech today.

  41. chris6523 says: Dec 1, 2011 3:18 PM

    Parcells picked Bledsoe first overall, so he isn’t averse to taking a qb with the first pick.

    He picked Jake Long over Matt Ryan. Hard to argue with that pick at this point. Long is regarded as the best or second best LT in the NFL and the jury is out on whether Ryan is a franchise QB.

  42. wikidpissah says: Dec 1, 2011 3:28 PM

    80-90% of the people touting Luck as the next great QB in the NFL have never seen him play a down.

  43. whyalwaysthehate says: Dec 1, 2011 3:30 PM

    Why would Luck want to go to an organization that has quit their coaching staff, team, fans, and all of the businesses that support the Colts? Maybe he will pull a John Elway.

  44. gmen1987 says: Dec 1, 2011 3:55 PM

    wikidpissah says:
    Dec 1, 2011 3:28 PM
    80-90% of the people touting Luck as the next great QB in the NFL have never seen him play a down.
    ————————————————–
    These are professional scouts (who get paid by the way) who are saying these things about Luck and have seen him play, Goobs

  45. kennyfukinpowers says: Dec 1, 2011 3:55 PM

    OK…so you go back 2 decades and he drafted Bledsoe. Take a look at his last 2 stops with Dallas and Miami. He clearly liked to draft defensive front 7 players in the first round. The exception was Jake Long, and even though Jake is very good, would Miami be better off with Matt Ryan instead? Luck is the number one pick in the draft, and if Indy does not want him, they will trade with Washington, Miami or any other team looking for a franchise QB.

  46. mcjon22 says: Dec 1, 2011 4:01 PM

    Yeah Bill, just like Jake Long was the right pick instead of Matt Ryan right? The 90’s are over and you are old school and out of date. Please, just go away

  47. suite34 says: Dec 1, 2011 4:05 PM

    It’s not passing on Matt Ryan (average/above average QB) that will be Tuna’s QB drafting legacy. It’s going to be passing on Ryan Mallett in the 2nd and 3rd rounds. Dan Marino had attitude problems in college, too, and he didn’t turn out half bad.

  48. twesty85 says: Dec 1, 2011 4:10 PM

    people need to stop saying that the colts are packing it in for the year. with manning out they are absolutely horrible. it just goes to show you how truly important the quarterback is. do you most of you really think an NFL player would tank their season in order to draft better? don’t give me “it’s the front office” because it’s not. who is available that would be better at a needed position on the colts this year? there is not ONE person or even 4 people out there who would make a difference on this team. the colts needed manning like peanut butter needs jelly. so cut the crap and stop whining about the colts tanking it cuz they aren’t these players have more integrity than that.

  49. blaz0037 says: Dec 1, 2011 4:15 PM

    Luck could easily refuse to go to the Colts.

    A) He owns all of the leverage

    B) Peyton Manning

  50. tombradyswig says: Dec 1, 2011 4:33 PM

    the game has passed you by tuna-head!!
    evidenced by what you’ve done to the Phins!!

    Don’t go away mad old man, just go AWAY!!!

  51. jjljr says: Dec 1, 2011 4:38 PM

    Parcells would never admit interest in anyone he wants — so if he’s publicly suggesting Luck might not be #1, my guess is that he’s already dangling future picks to the Colts.

  52. seeschool says: Dec 1, 2011 4:42 PM

    That’s the safe thing to say, but we all know what’s going down, bar injury. Why else would it be called, “Suck for Luck”?

    Who calls it “Suck for Luck”? The Coaches, the GM’s, the players? No…..”Suck for Luck” is a media creation.

    It’s amusing that some fans think sucking is a new concept, invented by teams in their quest to land Andrew Luck. The Miami Dolphins went 0-16 a couple of years ago, and to my recollection Andrew Luck wasn’t in that draft.

  53. realitypolice says: Dec 1, 2011 5:07 PM

    denverwally says:
    Dec 1, 2011 2:46 PM
    realitypolice says:
    Dec 1, 2011 1:25 PM
    And if Luck did eventually emerge as the consensus number one pick, and Parcells was running a team, he would still pick an offensive tackle.

    ****************************************

    Wrong. In 1993 Parcells drafted Drew Bledsoe with the first pick in the draft.

    And Parcells makes a good point, because last year at this time Da’quan Bowers was considered the 1st pick in the draft and he ended up going in the middle of the second round. You never know what will turn up with these full body cavity examinations they do at the combine now.
    ===========================

    Wrong. Parcells never ran the draft in New England. In fact, his famous line about him picking the groceries if he is going to cook the meal was used by Parcells to explain why he LEFT the Patriots.

  54. realitypolice says: Dec 1, 2011 5:10 PM

    pastabelly says:
    Dec 1, 2011 2:28 PM
    kennyfukinpowers says:
    Dec 1, 2011 1:54 PM
    Bill just does not like to take QB’s in the first round, much less the first pick
    ==================================
    Drew Bledsoe was the first pick overall in the 1993 draft and Parcells was picking the groceries then.
    =======================

    Wrong. That line about picking the groceries was given by Parcells when describing why he LEFT New England.

    The final straw was when he was forced by management to draft Terry Glenn after Parcells had wanted to draft an offensive player.

  55. realitypolice says: Dec 1, 2011 5:11 PM

    jjljr says:
    Dec 1, 2011 4:38 PM
    Parcells would never admit interest in anyone he wants — so if he’s publicly suggesting Luck might not be #1, my guess is that he’s already dangling future picks to the Colts.
    =====================

    Ummm……..you realize that Parcells no longer works in the league, right?

  56. bobhk says: Dec 1, 2011 5:20 PM

    He picked Jake Long over Matt Ryan. Hard to argue with that pick at this point. Long is regarded as the best or second best LT in the NFL and the jury is out on whether Ryan is a franchise QB.
    ———–
    Most people would concur that Ryan is a Franchise QB. I’m certain if you ask Atlanta org they’d say he’s franchise QB.
    Finding a franchise (or even good QB) is much much harder that drafting a great LT. I’m sure Miami would love to have Ryan and an avg tackle rather than Moore and a great LT.

  57. bobhk says: Dec 1, 2011 5:21 PM

    Besides, Long is not the only great LT. There are others.

  58. sterilizecromartie says: Dec 1, 2011 5:32 PM

    Is this the same Bill Parcells that thought Jake Long was a better pick than Matt Ryan? If so, I’ll prefer to ignore his thoughts.

  59. ugk612 says: Dec 1, 2011 11:25 PM

    Personally, I prefer Matt Barkley

  60. purplefaithful says: Dec 2, 2011 1:07 AM

    Guys, Parcells even thinks Parcells made a mistake selecting Jake Long over Matt Ryan. Unless Parcells is lying, lol. I imagine Parcells doesn’t like Luck because he has Matt Ryan arm strength at this point instead of Bledsoe strength. Who knows. Just a shame Luck’s going to Indianapolis.

  61. truthserum4u says: Dec 2, 2011 7:20 AM

    realitypolice says:Dec 1, 2011 5:10 PM

    Wrong. That line about picking the groceries was given by Parcells when describing why he LEFT New England.

    The final straw was when he was forced by management to draft Terry Glenn after Parcells had wanted to draft an offensive player.

    —————————————————–

    Isn’t a WR an offensive player??

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