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Barkley’s decision raises the stakes for the Luck pick

Andrew Luck AP

On the same day that the Colts threw the first overall pick into doubt by somehow beating the Texans, USC quarterback Matt Barkley made it known that he won’t be any option with the first overall pick in the 2012 draft.  Or with any of the other 250-plus selections.

But Barkley’s decision to stay in school has a significant impact on the process.  He makes the pick that presumably will be used on Stanford quarterback Andrew Luck even more valuable, because a team drafting in the top 10 that needs a quarterback will now have one fewer option.

The move also increases the value of free-agents-to-be like Alex Smith, Matt Flynn, Jason Campbell, and Kyle Orton, among others.

Then there’s the potential impact on the decision of Baylor quarterback Robert Griffin III.  If he comes out, he could be drafted even higher if quarterback-desperate teams get into leap-frog mode at the top of round one.

Either way, the first overall pick necessarily became more valuable — and its destination became more murky — all on the same day.

The rights to Luck now can go to the Colts, Vikings, or Rams.  And whoever gets it will have to weigh picking Luck against the haul of players and picks that could be obtained for the No. 1 overall selection via trade.

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26 Responses to “Barkley’s decision raises the stakes for the Luck pick”
  1. trbowman says: Dec 23, 2011 12:24 AM

    The 2012 free agent steal will be Brady Quinn.

    Needs a chance, will do great things!

  2. howmanyringsyourteamgot says: Dec 23, 2011 12:33 AM

    Alex Smith isn’t leaving San Francisco so Barkley staying in school has no bearing on his negotiations with the 49ers

  3. aaroncurryisbust says: Dec 23, 2011 12:42 AM

    Sam BUSTford is the worst QB in the NFL, the Rams should draft Luck and trade away BUSTforc while people are still under the delusion that he’s good

  4. Football Blog says: Dec 23, 2011 12:44 AM

    Heres a situation Vikings fans:

    Vikings get #1 pick and draft Andrew Luck then trade Ponder to the Colts which gives the Colts a young QB to backup Manning and eventually take over in a couple years. This would give Indy the opportunity to draft other positions they need while at the same time getting their future QB. It’s a win-win situation for Vikings & Colts!

  5. sasattack says: Dec 23, 2011 12:52 AM

    Why risk having to lose next week or maybe they like Griffen too.

  6. cad700 says: Dec 23, 2011 1:04 AM

    Yes it can. What if Miami or Jacksonville were hoping Barkley was there when they picked and don’t feel confident in taking RGIII with a high pick? They are going to be looking at who’s available via free agency. Especially Miami, they seem to like acquiring QB’s with NFL experience. If Smith’s agent is worth his 15%, I’m sure he’s thinking about that right now! And who doesn’t like relocating to MIA? I still don’t believe in Smith, it takes more than one good, not great year to make up for a lot of terrible ones! It never ceases to amaze me how well players play during that contract year! But what do I know, I’m a Rams fan!

  7. edweird0 says: Dec 23, 2011 1:05 AM

    Man I WISH the phins would take Flynn. He’s gunna ball once he gets a starting job. He’s much more capable then A LOT of QB’s who are starting right now. Anyone who disagrees has obviously never seen him play.

  8. couldntthinkofaname says: Dec 23, 2011 1:08 AM

    trbowman says: Dec 23, 2011 12:24 AM

    The 2012 free agent steal will be Brady Quinn.

    Needs a chance, will do great things!

    _________________________

    Tell me you’re being sarcastic? What is it with you Browns fans and Quinn? Can’t get enough of him throwing passes into the face masks of opposing d-linemen? Or of his fluttering, inaccurate deep passes? Or his constant (and unsuccessful) check-down passes? He had a chance and couldn’t beat out DA, who you all thought was the worst QB ever born.

  9. couldntthinkofaname says: Dec 23, 2011 1:09 AM

    aaroncurryisbust says: Dec 23, 2011 12:42 AM

    Sam BUSTford is the worst QB in the NFL, the Rams should draft Luck and trade away BUSTforc while people are still under the delusion that he’s good
    ____________________

    Clever how you put “Bust” in caps. Shut up; you’re acting like a Browns fan.

  10. dino2997 says: Dec 23, 2011 1:09 AM

    Matt Flynn?!? Seriously?

  11. dieselfan44 says: Dec 23, 2011 1:20 AM

    Dan, If there was ever a time to go all in for a pick this is it…Go get the guy to lead us back to glory!

  12. dogluverssuck says: Dec 23, 2011 1:24 AM

    Who says either one of them will be the lottery pick?

    As I recall, there is another quarterback that blew both of them away in the Heismann.

  13. aaroncurryisbust says: Dec 23, 2011 1:28 AM

    couldntthinkofaname says: Dec 23, 2011 1:09 AM

    Clever how you put “Bust” in caps. Shut up; you’re acting like a Browns fan.
    ———————————–

    No YOU shut up. I am SICK AND TIRED of everyone passing the blame to everyone on the Rams, from the OL to the WRs to the coaching staff to the front office, while giving Sam “Badd for Rams” Bradford a free pass. He is GARBAGE! Just another Jokelahoma system QB. In fact, all Big-12 QBs are garbage NFL pros.

  14. andyo102 says: Dec 23, 2011 1:45 AM

    Matt Flynn will ball out when he gets the chance

  15. anactualnflowner says: Dec 23, 2011 3:29 AM

    I hope that the Vikings don’t draft and ruin this kid’s life like the morons in the Rams front office are doing to Sam Bradford. The Vikings from top to bottom have been a joke of an organizational for a while and I would hate to see him have his career threatened by playing for that crappy team.

  16. joetoronto says: Dec 23, 2011 7:20 AM

    trbowman says:
    Dec 23, 2011 12:24 AM
    The 2012 free agent steal will be Brady Quinn.

    Needs a chance, will do great things!
    ***************************************************
    Ah ha ha!

    Is that you, Brady?

  17. qdog112 says: Dec 23, 2011 7:28 AM

    We build them up – just to let them fall. Now since we’ve had the Luck coronation, it’s time to actually examine him as a QB. So far, hardly anyone dare to find a flaw in his game, though there are many. Who wants to be that Luck will not participate in the combines? Of course he won’t, he doesn’t have to. I will remind you that last year’s #1 pick did choose to take part and he was roundly criticized for his inaccuracy. Now only 18 yards away from breaking Peyton Manning’s passing record, Cam Newton, withstood the scrutiny and proved them wrong. Those same people are back. Could they be wrong once again?

    I would love to see Luck at the combine competing against his peers. I have a sneaky suspicion he may not grade out as high as the consensus think. It’s a long way to fall from where they have him rated, so we’ll have to wait. He will go first.

  18. qdog112 says: Dec 23, 2011 7:32 AM

    “Who wants to be that Luck will not participate in the combines? ” (bad coffee)
    ***********************
    Who thinks Luck will participate in the combine? (I think that’s what I wanted to say)

  19. cowboychris5xchamps says: Dec 23, 2011 8:01 AM

    Not smart Mr. Barkley! Two words to think about…. “injury” & “Locker” there’s no guarantee he won’t suffer an career ending injury, who cares if his dad has money it doesn’t belong to Matt and look how much money Jake Locker left on the table by staying in college meaning Matt isn’t that good he can have a bad year therefore dropping his stock! When you have the chance to go top 10-15 as he was projected to go you gotta strike while the iron is hot! Money talks baby!!!

  20. truthserum4u says: Dec 23, 2011 8:10 AM

    If strength of schedule still determines draft order for teams with matching records, and St Louis, Indianapolis & Minnesota all end up with two wins, then the Rams will be picking third. The Rams’ schedule is quite a bit stronger than the other two teams.

    Now it gets really interesting with the Vikings & Colts. Their strength of schedules are currently seperated by a game or two at the most. So many of the remaining games of their opponents don’t matter either. For example: Green Bay plays Detroit & Chicago; which means both a win & a loss for Minnesota’s strength of schedule for each game no matter who wins. There are many such match-ups for both teams. There are only several games that will tilt it one way or another.

  21. gmen1987 says: Dec 23, 2011 8:42 AM

    aaroncurryisbust says:
    Dec 23, 2011 12:42 AM
    Sam BUSTford is the worst QB in the NFL, the Rams should draft Luck and trade away BUSTforc while people are still under the delusion that he’s good

    ==================================
    Goobs, The Rams are stuck with Bradford. No one is going to trade for that contract.

    Bradford played well his rookie season. Perhaps he would play better if the Rams haven’t drafted so many busts like Jason Smith.

  22. gmen1987 says: Dec 23, 2011 8:44 AM

    edweird0 says:
    Dec 23, 2011 1:05 AM
    Man I WISH the phins would take Flynn. He’s gunna ball once he gets a starting job. He’s much more capable then A LOT of QB’s who are starting right now. Anyone who
    ==================================
    Really? Miami has such a great record with other teams rejects and backups over the year.

  23. hikohadon says: Dec 23, 2011 10:00 AM

    “The 2012 free agent steal will be Brady Quinn.

    Needs a chance, will do great things!”
    ______________________

    He will! He’ll be a great bartender.

  24. snowpea84 says: Dec 23, 2011 10:28 AM

    Wow, so this year the Colts can’t even get having a bad season right.

  25. thesportgenius says: Dec 23, 2011 12:23 PM

    Who will be trying harder to lose the next game – Colts or Jags?

  26. holdsteady76 says: Dec 23, 2011 7:50 PM

    If the Vikings wish to be successful while AD is in his prime they need to fill many other holes on this team starting with the offensive line. If the Vikings got the 1st and could trade it for picks and still get Kalil I think that is a huge win. I would only and only consider keeping Luck if Ponder could return a high pick in return as trade but I do not see that scenario playing out.

    It’s been speculated that Luck got be 3-4 1st round picks. That is exactly how you jump start a refurbishing project (not rebuidling because they have a good young nucleus to build around in Harvin, Peterson, and Rudoplh.

    I think Luck would struggle behind this line, and with the receiver core. The Vikings can’t spend another pick on another first rounder (assuming Ponder isn’t worth a high round pick) on QB and be competitive. You NEED a good OLine to be successful in this league no matter who your QB. Look at the Packers last week losing to the Chiefs in large part because their OL and WR were hurt.

    If the Vikings keep Luck and throw Ponder away for nothing it will take them years to build an OL for Luck, and by then AD’s best days are gone.

    We reached for Ponder last year, the franchise is committed. Trade the Luck pick, and start filling the holes on OL and DB and let’s see where we are in two years.

    Heck by then Manning maybe looking for a new team. Ok that part is humor, but I’m sincere in the rest, trade the pick.

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