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PFT’s division-round picks

Jim Harbaugh AP

I’ve conceded the season picks title to Rosenthal, in part because I have to.  There are seven games left and I’m eight games behind and we once again agree on three of the games for the upcoming weekend.

So congratulations, Rosey.

You win the prize, whatever the prize may be.

Saints at 49ers

Florio’s take:  The Saints have played outdoors five times this season.  They beat the Jaguars, Panthers, and Titans — and the Saints lost to the Packers and Buccaneers.  In New Orleans’ last outdoor excursion, the team scored only 22 points.  In four straight dome games (three at home), the Saints have racked up 42, 45, 45, and 45.  The 49ers, in contrast, have allowed 10 total points in their last three home games.  Something has to give in this one, and with the Saints somehow favored to win, look for coach Jim Harbaugh to find a way to use that sign of disrespect to whip his team into a frenzy that will send the Saints limping out of Candlestick Park, with the Niners getting their first win since division realignment ended the twice-a-year rivalry in 2002.

Florio’s pick:  49ers 26, Saints 20.

Rosenthal’s take: The best game of the weekend is up first. The Saints play PS3 football; the 49ers play Atari. The Saints build everything around their quarterback; the 49ers quarterback is only a cog in the machine. New Orleans didn’t top 25 points their last two times outdoors, but the offense is playing at a different level now.  Modern football prevails, barely.

Rosenthal’s pick: Saints 27, 49ers 23.

Broncos at Patriots

Florio’s take:  Last year, the Patriots destroyed the Jets, 45-3, on a Monday night in December.  In the postseason rematch, the Jets somehow upended the Pats in Foxborough, 28-21.  That fact, coupled with the unpredictable phenomenon known as Tebowmania, makes me very inclined to predict that the Broncos will shock the world — and the Patriots — on Saturday night.  But then I’m reminded of a New England offense that can move the ball at will, playing at home with something to prove after three straight postseason losses (two at Gillette Stadium) and picking up an extra lift from the initials of the late wife of the team’s beloved owner on their jerseys.  Tebow Time may at some point carry the Broncos beyond the conference semifinals.  But not yet.

Florio’s pick:  Patriots 38, Broncos 20.

Rosenthal’s take: This game isn’t about Tim Tebow. The Broncos could run for 200 yards, break off a few vertical plays, and it still won’t matter. There’s little reason to think Denver’s defense is going to have the secondary depth to slow Tom Brady down. This New England team has shown it can come from behind and the team’s young players are more ready for this moment.

Rosenthal’s pick: Patriots 40, Broncos 24.

Texans at Ravens

Florio’s take:  The Ravens have won 15 of 16 home games in the past two seasons.  They’ve played seven playoff games — all on the road — since 2008, winning four.  They finally get to continue their home slate in the middle of January, and even though the Texans will be feeling loose and confident and overlooked and disrespected, only the Steelers had any real shot at beating the Ravens in Baltimore.

Florio’s pick:  Ravens 24, Texans 10.

Rosenthal’s take: The Ravens won the line of scrimmage battle when these teams first played. That can’t happen again for the Texans.  Houston’s defense and running game has to dominate because T.J. Yates is going to get blitzed in ways he never dreamed of.  The Ravens don’t often win convincingly, but they also don’t lose at home.

Rosenthal’s pick: Ravens 24, Texans 14.

Giants at Packers

Florio’s take:  It’s tempting to become infatuated with the notion that the 2011 Giants are taking a page from their 2007 playoff run, especially with New York once again getting a crack at a previously unbeaten team that barely beat the Giants, 38-35, in New York.  But the Packers team that the Giants overcame at Lambeau Field four years ago wasn’t nearly as good as the current edition of the franchise.  The offensive line has held up well despite the injuries, and Aaron Rodgers has the athleticism to weave his way around the likes of Tuck, Umenyiora, Kiwanuka, and Pierre-Paul.

Florio’s pick:  Packers 30, Giants 21.

Rosenthal’s take: The Giants have the pass rush and the big play weapons to give Green Bay a lot of problems. New York’s wideouts handled their one-on-one matchups last time and the Giants controlled the running game in Week 13 too. Those are reasons why the Giants will make this a nail-biter. Aaron Rodgers being the best player in football by far is why the Packers will still find a way to win.

Rosenthal’s pick: Packers 34, Giants 31.

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124 Responses to “PFT’s division-round picks”
  1. damnsureis says: Jan 12, 2012 10:40 AM

    What about the Jets game?

  2. rj88888 says: Jan 12, 2012 10:41 AM

    Saints score more than 20 on the way to a Super Bowl victory.

  3. boisestatewhodat says: Jan 12, 2012 10:43 AM

    The Saints will shock the world again Saturday and send 1975 football back where it came from! I love defense but when you’ve got an offense that ranks 32nd in red zone efficiency…you don’t win playoff games.

  4. cdsaints says: Jan 12, 2012 10:43 AM

    Who Dats – 27
    Not Dats – 17

  5. rikker12 says: Jan 12, 2012 10:46 AM

    I like all of there picks!! But I think the Ravens/Texans game will be closer than what people think

  6. goawayeverybody says: Jan 12, 2012 10:46 AM

    Saints
    Ravens
    Broncos
    Giants

  7. hooks024 says: Jan 12, 2012 10:47 AM

    You guys are WAAAAAAY off on the giants game. Our pass rushers are healthy and set to go so balls deep in arron rodgers that he’ll be able to see their sacs in his stomach.

  8. ajknox88 says: Jan 12, 2012 10:50 AM

    Saints will win by at least 10

  9. popdawg99 says: Jan 12, 2012 10:50 AM

    “This game isn’t about Tim Tebow.”

    Clearly, you have no future in broadcasting.

  10. citizenstrange says: Jan 12, 2012 10:51 AM

    I bet Brady can get more than six points in the first half.

  11. irongershwin says: Jan 12, 2012 10:54 AM

    LFL Philadelphia Passion 21 Jets 10

  12. 69finfan says: Jan 12, 2012 10:55 AM

    Saints
    Ravens
    Patriots
    Packers

    …..and Fisher gets turned down by Miami and Rams ends up working in Sprint Cup

  13. goniners49 says: Jan 12, 2012 10:55 AM

    Brees is the best quarterback in the league but he hasn’t played the Smith Brothers yet. Saints choked in Seattle last year when they were heavy favorites and they’re going down again this year. Niners win this one by 10. Defense always prevails in the playoffs.

    Go Niners!

  14. markus124 says: Jan 12, 2012 10:55 AM

    Since you both picked against the Giants last week, here’s hoping you’re still picking against them next week.

  15. cardiovascularendurance says: Jan 12, 2012 10:56 AM

    You know what’s more annoying than the Jets? People that continually post things like “what about the Jets game?” We all get it. Enough already.

  16. rubbernilly says: Jan 12, 2012 11:01 AM

    Silly Voldemort. The Prize is that you can hear all men’s thoughts, and that you can grow old and have children.

    And don’t forget not having to worry about some sword wielding maniac jumping out of every shadow looking to take your head*. While that’s technically not part of the Prize, I trust you can see the upside in that situation.

    *until they make a really bad sequel.

  17. ace3hundred says: Jan 12, 2012 11:03 AM

    hooks024 says:Jan 12, 2012 10:47 AM

    You guys are WAAAAAAY off on the giants game. Our pass rushers are healthy and set to go so balls deep in arron rodgers that he’ll be able to see their sacs in his stomach.

    ———————————————————-

    Aaron Rodgers has x-ray vision? O.k. this explains alot.

  18. Andre's Johnson says: Jan 12, 2012 11:03 AM

    In the spirit of nothing more than abject homerism, I’ll say: Texans 17, Ravens 16.

    There’s no legitimate “football” reason to think the Texans will beat the Ravens in Baltimore. But what the hell, Go Texans!

    Okay, real analysis:

    The Texans can win IF they consistently gain four or more yards on first down and they can keep the Ravens from gaining four yards on first down.

    Also, I think Houston may be called for a few more than usual holding penalties just because the O-line will be trying to keep Yates alive.

  19. 13forgbp says: Jan 12, 2012 11:04 AM

    people have not seen the real Packers for a couple of months now. they have been sitting guys and just playing the string out until the playoffs. Everyone will be reminded of how good this team is come Sunday. 41 – 24

  20. longdrivesaint says: Jan 12, 2012 11:07 AM

    goniners49 says:
    Jan 12, 2012 10:55 AM
    Brees is the best quarterback in the league but he hasn’t played the Smith Brothers yet. Saints choked in Seattle last year when they were heavy favorites and they’re going down again this year. Niners win this one by 10. Defense always prevails in the playoffs.

    Go Niners!

    —————————————
    Yeah and U guys haven’t seen an Offense like this either. Just enjoy your time in the playoffs sat. because after this game your time is up. Harbaugh can line up at the entrance of the locker room after the game and give his team the” ole Schwartz back slap” about how good of a year it was.

    Geaux Saints!!

  21. dvdman123 says: Jan 12, 2012 11:08 AM

    What about the Eagle’s game?

  22. realitypolice says: Jan 12, 2012 11:09 AM

    damnsureis says:
    Jan 12, 2012 10:40 AM
    What about the Jets game?
    ====================

    Due to their incredible greatness, they have been given a bye to the SUPER super bowl that will played against the winner of the regular super bowl to determine who the real champion is.

  23. nyyankeedave says: Jan 12, 2012 11:10 AM

    Saints still won’t win the Super Bowl as presently constituted – AT SOME POINT, their lack of a defense will be their downfall. WHO DAT GONNA PLAY SOME DEFENSE?

  24. bosfaninva says: Jan 12, 2012 11:11 AM

    These games have the potential to be much better than last week’s 3-out-of-4 snoozers.

    Of course, with regard to the Pats game, a 52-17 Pats win would count as a good game in my book.

    The Pats game will end with Brian Hoyer at QB.

  25. jerrygogo says: Jan 12, 2012 11:11 AM

    2 picks against the Giants. Check……

    Aaron Rodgers is the best player in football by FARt

  26. test2402 says: Jan 12, 2012 11:12 AM

    It’s all about Tim Tebow. All day.

  27. richie500 says: Jan 12, 2012 11:12 AM

    I love the Giants. They can get enough pressure with their front four to send evryone else in coverage.
    The Giants hate their coach all season, but when playoffs come around they drop the bad feelings and bring it.
    Giants 34-27
    I’m a neutral fan in this game.

  28. objectivenflfan says: Jan 12, 2012 11:13 AM

    My Wild Card picks last week (refer to the story if you’d like to see): Giants, Texans, Broncos, Saints

    My Division picks this week:

    Saints 28 49ers 17
    Packers 31 Giants 24
    Texans 24 Ravens 21
    Broncos 30 Patriots 27

  29. bosfaninva says: Jan 12, 2012 11:13 AM

    As much as I would love to see the Packers go down, my loathing of the Jints leads me to hoping I see Rogers doing the Discount Double Check for his adoring fans after the Packers crush the Jints.

  30. southpaw2k says: Jan 12, 2012 11:13 AM

    Andre’s Johnson says:
    Jan 12, 2012 11:03 AM
    In the spirit of nothing more than abject homerism, I’ll say: Texans 17, Ravens 16.

    There’s no legitimate “football” reason to think the Texans will beat the Ravens in Baltimore. But what the hell, Go Texans!

    Okay, real analysis:

    The Texans can win IF they consistently gain four or more yards on first down and they can keep the Ravens from gaining four yards on first down.

    Also, I think Houston may be called for a few more than usual holding penalties just because the O-line will be trying to keep Yates alive.

    ———————————————–

    I give you props for still supporting your team despite, like you said, almost all logic saying they will lose the game. I think the Texans will put up a good fight, but Ravens still come out on top 28-20.

  31. gforce90 says: Jan 12, 2012 11:14 AM

    I think you missed one game. What time does Pittsburgh play? They couldn’t be out of the playoffs, the league and refs wouldn’t allow that!

  32. nyyankeedave says: Jan 12, 2012 11:16 AM

    -However, if the Saints are up against the Packers or Patriots, I’ll be rooting the lesser or 2 evils – so, in that instance, Go Saints!

  33. miamisaint3255 says: Jan 12, 2012 11:17 AM

    Mike’s record in predicting Saints playoff / superbowl games (straight up) past three years – 0-5. The trend continues.

  34. TitleTownGB12 says: Jan 12, 2012 11:18 AM

    hooks024 says:Jan 12, 2012 10:47 AM

    You guys are WAAAAAAY off on the giants game. Our pass rushers are healthy and set to go so balls deep in arron rodgers that he’ll be able to see their sacs in his stomach.

    ———————————————————-

    “Our” pass rushers? And what position do you play, exactly?

  35. rabidbillsfan says: Jan 12, 2012 11:21 AM

    Your telling me that the 2011 Packers are better than the 2007 version? Thats quite a stretch. If anything, they are equal strength with diffrent philosophies. Brett Favre didn’t cover defincies in his team like Aaron Rodgers does. The defense was better, the Running game was better, and Brett played his role perfectly for that team, except the pick in the giants game. If this Packers team is better, they had better blow the Wheels off of the Giants wagon. In 2007, I thought the 2 best teams would duke it out in the SB, NE and GB. This year, I wouldn’t take GB over San Fran or NO. GB loses 17-14 on late 4th quarter field goal off A-Rod pick.

  36. noquickreactionshere says: Jan 12, 2012 11:22 AM

    damnsureis says:
    Jan 12, 2012 10:40 AM
    What about the Jets game?

    ________________________

    Steelers 17 Jets 9

  37. miamisaint3255 says: Jan 12, 2012 11:22 AM

    Best offense in NFL history goes up against one of the best defenses of ’11. An analogy would be Detroit Lions of ’11 going up against the ’85 Bears. Niners will need turnovers and better fortune in red zone with TDs to have a chance (which can happen, but unlikely).

    I don’t think Saints can be held under 35 points and niners are hard pressed to score 20. Saints D actually plays pretty well at times against average to below average offenses, but niners have a mediocre offense that will need to figure out how to score over 30 to have any chance. Niners running game is average at best and it will be hard to milk clock that way (especially when they are playing from behind). No bad weather conditions (sunny skies), so playing outside makes no difference here.

    Saints 38 – 7

  38. 6ball says: Jan 12, 2012 11:23 AM

    .

    The two things I told my friend, a Steelers fan, prior to playing Denver :

    1. Beware a disruptive pass rush

    2. They’re going to make some plays against you. You have to keep your poise.

    The same applies to the Patriots.

    .

  39. noquickreactionshere says: Jan 12, 2012 11:24 AM

    Ravens 27 Texans 17
    Giants 24 Packers 23
    Saints 23 Niners 13
    Patriots 187 Broncos 2

    Ok Seriously
    Patriots 42 Broncos 10

  40. skittlesareyum says: Jan 12, 2012 11:25 AM

    The Saints will shock the world again Saturday and send 1975 football back where it came from! I love defense but when you’ve got an offense that ranks 32nd in red zone efficiency…you don’t win playoff games.

    This may be me being anal, but since the Saints are considered favored, how would they shock the world by winning?

  41. drmillhouse says: Jan 12, 2012 11:25 AM

    Broncos 31 Patriots 28

  42. avoidtheboyd says: Jan 12, 2012 11:25 AM

    What I hope:
    Saints
    Broncos
    Texans
    Giants

    What I know:
    Saints
    Patriots
    Ravens
    Packers

    Oh well. At least one of those is the same.

  43. zappa69 says: Jan 12, 2012 11:29 AM

    @Hooks024, LMFAO!! Thanks for that.

  44. irongershwin says: Jan 12, 2012 11:30 AM

    @cardiovascularendurance

    As a native New Yorker who has to listen to Sports Radio talk about the Jets all day during the regular season, read about their Superbowl winning predictions for the last 3 years, and a non stop afacebook feed about the Giants sucking and the Jets are the real NY football team, I think a little ribbing is justified.

  45. wutliss07 says: Jan 12, 2012 11:31 AM

    damnsureis says:
    Jan 12, 2012 10:40 AM
    What about the Jets game?
    ====================

    they were given the Sanchize Tag

  46. noquickreactionshere says: Jan 12, 2012 11:32 AM

    Andre’s Johnson says:
    Jan 12, 2012 11:03 AM
    In the spirit of nothing more than abject homerism, I’ll say: Texans 17, Ravens 16.

    There’s no legitimate “football” reason to think the Texans will beat the Ravens in Baltimore. But what the hell, Go Texans!

    Okay, real analysis:

    The Texans can win IF they consistently gain four or more yards on first down and they can keep the Ravens from gaining four yards on first down.

    Also, I think Houston may be called for a few more than usual holding penalties just because the O-line will be trying to keep Yates alive.

    ____________________________

    Love your spirit!

    Houston is a good solid football team, Yates hurts mainly because Baltimore can load the box now and I think there is almost no chance of gaining 4 yards consistantly on first down. Yates will make some mistakes to cost the game, last week was his “first playoff game” but against a young Bengals team. Now he goes against a hungry, veteran Ravens D that is pushing to get Ed a ring before he retires. 27-10 late in the 4th quarter, Yates throws a late TD to make it seem close final score 27-17 Baltimore

    Good luck, hope to see your team back next year!

  47. franknunley57 says: Jan 12, 2012 11:34 AM

    72% of the public are on the saints…yet the line hasn’t moved all week.

  48. cincyhokie says: Jan 12, 2012 11:35 AM

    The Texans/Ravens score will be somewhat close because that how the Ravens play. However, the Texans will get donkey kicked back to Houston. The Ravens will stop their running game (something the Bengals couldn’t do with either team) and make them one dimensional.

    Ravens by 10 but it will feel like 4 touchdowns.

    First home playoff game in 5 years. I can’t see them losing. You thought it was loud in Houston? Baltimore is going to be nuts Sunday.

  49. nyyankeedave says: Jan 12, 2012 11:37 AM

    Here’s what I hope: that the Pack, Saints and Patriots are all 6 feet under come Monday morning. Are ya listening football gods?

  50. irongershwin says: Jan 12, 2012 11:38 AM

    @realitypolice

    Man I haven’t laughed that hard in a while. That was excellent.

  51. kisstherings says: Jan 12, 2012 11:38 AM

    I like all the pics but I think the Giants will upset Green Bay.

  52. cincyhokie says: Jan 12, 2012 11:39 AM

    “Yates hurts mainly because Baltimore can load the box now and I think there is almost no chance of gaining 4 yards consistantly on first down. ”

    No. What hurts Yates is that the Ravens DON’T have to load the box to stop the run. The D-line will maintain Foster and Tate by themselves. The secondary will double up Johnson and Yates will have nowhere to throw. Add in Daniels broken hand?

    Game over.

  53. 40zntallcanz says: Jan 12, 2012 11:41 AM

    Im taking 49ers. the saints seem like an arena football team to me! :)

  54. 8man says: Jan 12, 2012 11:43 AM

    I’ve said this before I’ll say it again. The Patriot defense survives on turnovers (+17, best in the conference by 10). The Bronocs hurt themselves all year with turnovers (-12, tied for 14th in the AFC). Without turnovers, that NE defense has a hard time keeping anyone out of the endzone. It’s just fact.

    The difference in their last meeting? Three Bronco turnovers. I know it’s cliche to say turnovers will be the difference, but if the Broncos do not drop the rock at all, they will win this game.

  55. bosfaninva says: Jan 12, 2012 11:49 AM

    The Ravens “should” win. M&T Bank Stadium is a very tough place for visitors. Having said that, I think the Texans can keep it close, and with a couple of lucky bounces, pull off the upset.

    They just have to keep Ray Rice somewhat in check.

  56. sippindasyzurp says: Jan 12, 2012 11:50 AM

    All we have heard is how the Giants are going to upset GB all week from all the so called “experts” and the general public… You would almost think GB is the underdog going into this game… I am just got to say one thing, Vegas wasn’t built on winners, and when the public starts backing an underdog at a more than 70% clip then more often than not the favorite tends to win out…

    Consider this stat… Since the NFL started going to a 6 team playoff format in each conference the NFC #1 seed in the divisional round is 9-1 ATS (Against the Spread) vs a Wild Card round team coming off a win of 13 points or more (ex; the Giants beating Atlanta 24-2)….

    Put that in your pipe and smoke it.

  57. realitypolice says: Jan 12, 2012 11:58 AM

    miamisaint3255 says:
    Jan 12, 2012 11:22 AM

    I don’t think Saints can be held under 35 points
    ======================

    The following teams held the Saints under 35 points this year:

    Chicago
    Jacksonville (23!)
    Carolina
    Tampa Bay (twice!)
    St. Louis
    Atlanta
    Detroit
    Tennessee

    Please name all of the defenses on the above list that are better than the 49ers.

    Sounds like someone starting watching the Saints about 3 weeks ago.

    New Orleans 24, San Francisco 20

  58. worldfamouschris says: Jan 12, 2012 11:58 AM

    Andre’s Johnson says:
    Jan 12, 2012 11:03 AM
    In the spirit of nothing more than abject homerism, I’ll say: Texans 17, Ravens 16.

    There’s no legitimate “football” reason to think the Texans will beat the Ravens in Baltimore. But what the hell, Go Texans!

    Okay, real analysis:

    The Texans can win IF they consistently gain four or more yards on first down and they can keep the Ravens from gaining four yards on first down.

    Also, I think Houston may be called for a few more than usual holding penalties just because the O-line will be trying to keep Yates alive.

    ____________________________

    Kind of like my theory that if the Ravens can score more points than the Texans they do will most likely win…

  59. pbolyard says: Jan 12, 2012 11:58 AM

    Not a saints fan by any means but they will destroy the Niners. Alex smith is not good and as good as the Niners defense is they can’t stop Brees.
    Saints 35 Niners 13
    Broncos 20 Pats 17
    Ravens 28 Texans 14
    Giants 33 Packers 31

  60. holeinone09 says: Jan 12, 2012 12:00 PM

    @citizenstrange says:
    Jan 12, 2012 10:51 AM
    I bet Brady can get more than six points in the first half.

    * * * * * * *

    citizenstrange, I also bet Brady is healthy, his OL is healthy, his top receiver doesn’t drop a 50 yard pass wiht nobody around him, another receiver doesn’t drop a perfect 3rd down pass around the opponent’s 30 with nobody near him, etc. You are a real piece of work with your one-sided nonstop crusade.

  61. joetoronto says: Jan 12, 2012 12:04 PM

    You guys are sleeping on the Giants, IMO.

    At the very least, I see them giving the Packers allot of trouble.

    I’m thinking they can very well win this game.

  62. mikey77750 says: Jan 12, 2012 12:07 PM

    Everyone is saying this will be a close game. I completely disagree. The Champions are playing this game for Joe Philbin and his family. They want to shut the Giants up with their talking and guarantees all week. And they want revenge on the Giants for 2007. The champs have been quiet all week, and they will be focused like never before on Sunday. It all adds up to….

    Champions 51 Giants 20

  63. ticalcaldwell says: Jan 12, 2012 12:08 PM

    The 49rs over the Saints…..I like it….bold…bout time….

  64. propertyofthebroncos says: Jan 12, 2012 12:09 PM

    the Saints won’t win….they’re a dome team, why else do you think Brees got that record? Rogers wasn’t arrogant enough to go for it (team first always) and at least Tom Brady played in real football conditions and got it. though, he’s going down to the Broncos Saturday night!

  65. cruzzzzzznyg80 says: Jan 12, 2012 12:12 PM

    GMEN will shock the league. 34 to 31 Eli’s turn to mount a game winning drive. Let them hate.

  66. otsy66 says: Jan 12, 2012 12:16 PM

    boisestatewhodat says:
    Jan 12, 2012 10:43 AM
    The Saints will shock the world again Saturday and send 1975 football back where it came from! I love defense but when you’ve got an offense that ranks 32nd in red zone efficiency…you don’t win playoff games.

    ———————–

    How do you shock the world when the Saints are favored by 3.5 points?

    Niners 31-28. Saints average a little over 26 points per game on the road, 9ers average a little over 27 a game at home. Easy math here.

    Go 9ers to shock the world.

  67. 49erlifer says: Jan 12, 2012 12:16 PM

    i hope the niners beat down the Aints like we did for years in the old nfc west and shut these dumb new orleans fans up 1 superbowl in 44 years of existence get your paper bags ready cause when brees is gone so is the magic same ole Aints! GO NINERS

  68. xxwhodatxx says: Jan 12, 2012 12:20 PM

    I can’t say I’m not worried about the niners but I think the Saints are a more battle hardened team. Saints win but I doubt this will be a blowout.

  69. tombradysponytail says: Jan 12, 2012 12:24 PM

    TitleTownGB12 says:
    Jan 12, 2012 11:18 AM
    hooks024 says:Jan 12, 2012 10:47 AM

    You guys are WAAAAAAY off on the giants game. Our pass rushers are healthy and set to go so balls deep in arron rodgers that he’ll be able to see their sacs in his stomach.

    ———————————————————-

    “Our” pass rushers? And what position do you play, exactly?

    ______

    That’s a good one, especially since it’s coming from a Packer fan.

  70. miamisaint3255 says: Jan 12, 2012 12:32 PM

    The following teams held the Saints under 35 points this year:

    Chicago
    Jacksonville (23!)
    Carolina
    Tampa Bay (twice!)
    St. Louis
    Atlanta
    Detroit
    Tennessee

    Please name all of the defenses on the above list that are better than the 49ers.

    Sounds like someone starting watching the Saints about 3 weeks ago.

    New Orleans 24, San Francisco 20

    ————————–
    I was referring to this game coming up, not in general. Earlier this year, Saints were not as in sync as they have been the past 8 weeks. But just because they did not score 35 in a game does not mean they were necessarily held that low by the opposition. Some of the games you mention above Saints had things well in hand in 4th quarter and were not pressing for more points. They could have easily scored over 50 last week, but shut things down at end. If niners score in mid 20s or higher in this game, Saints will score over 40. Probably will not need to score 40 though and will shut things down in 4th quarter.

  71. jvibottomline says: Jan 12, 2012 12:33 PM

    49ers win BIG, watch the games people, this team has been a machine at Candlestick

  72. ace3hundred says: Jan 12, 2012 12:37 PM

    @citizenstrange says:
    Jan 12, 2012 10:51 AM
    I bet Brady can get more than six points in the first half.

    * * * * * * *

    citizenstrange, I also bet Brady is healthy, his OL is healthy, his top receiver doesn’t drop a 50 yard pass wiht nobody around him, another receiver doesn’t drop a perfect 3rd down pass around the opponent’s 30 with nobody near him, etc. You are a real piece of work with your one-sided nonstop crusade.

    ———————————————————-

    That is funny because I watched that game and I don’t remember any steeler reciever dropping a td with nobody around. I remember a denver team that was missing their best offensive lineman but still dominated the steelers pass rush,

    A Denver team that was missing their defensive leader and starting strong saftey Brian Dawkins,

    A Denver team that lost one of their 2 best pass catchers on 1st play of 2nd qtr and only got better

    A Denver team that had their stud olb playing with only one hand

    I also remember seeing a play that was a clear lateral and a clear recovery by denver but was unchallengable due to being ruled an incomplete pass on the field. That play would have put the broncos up 3 scores and pretty much iced the game right there, Instead Ben is allowed to continue that drive and took it down and cut it to 7 pts. Huge swing!!

    Problem is that I am sure king Brady gets that same call plus a couple roughing penalties

  73. patriotinvasion says: Jan 12, 2012 12:37 PM

    There are playoff games this weekend? I thought the Jets already won the Super Bowl! That fat guy in the silly black sweater vest said it was so.

  74. nflfollower says: Jan 12, 2012 12:40 PM

    I think you meant the 49ers QB is the only “clog” in the machine. Alex Smith is the reason they won’t advance in the playoffs. Ten years ago you could win a super bowl with a guy like Trent Dilfer (who Alex Smith is even better than) but it won’t happen this day and age, not with the way the rules allow great QB’s to dominate the game.

  75. east96st says: Jan 12, 2012 12:44 PM

    “Champions 51 Giants 20″

    You giving away 30 points? How much you got?

  76. jnbnet says: Jan 12, 2012 12:46 PM

    cardiovascularendurance says:
    Jan 12, 2012 10:56 AM
    You know what’s more annoying than the Jets? People that continually post things like “what about the Jets game?” We all get it. Enough already.

    =-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=
    Yeah, but….What about the Jets game?

  77. rubbernilly says: Jan 12, 2012 12:51 PM

    30 Thumbs-Down on an out-of-left-field Highlander reference?

    You’d think this was a sports site or something.

  78. hooks024 says: Jan 12, 2012 12:53 PM

    @ the moron packers fan questioning my use of the word “our” – I dont play any position, but every home game I’ve ever been to, baseball or football, the team is introduced as “your new york giants,” or, “your new york yankees.” The owners field the best possible team because they want money. They get money from us, so yes, it’s OUR pass rush thats going to rip aaron rodgers from poo hole to goo hole.

  79. mornelithe says: Jan 12, 2012 1:02 PM

    Pats have an even healthier team than the Bronco’s saw in December, the only way the Bronco’s win, is if the Pats beat themselves. They don’t really have the personnel to cover Brady’s options effectively enough, and BB & Co. have shown they know how to adapt to the game plan the Bronco’s are going to bring. The Jet’s/Pats game was different, Jet’s never had a chance at the end of last season, Bronco’s actually put numbers up against the Pats and then the Pats made adjustments and wrecked them.

  80. ravensfan4life52 says: Jan 12, 2012 1:09 PM

    “the Ravens don’t often win convincingly”

    I’m sorry but of all of our home games this season I believe we won all of them by an average margin of 20 points.

  81. nejerseygirl says: Jan 12, 2012 1:11 PM

    8man says:
    Jan 12, 2012 11:43 AM
    I’ve said this before I’ll say it again. The Patriot defense survives on turnovers (+17, best in the conference by 10). The Bronocs hurt themselves all year with turnovers (-12, tied for 14th in the AFC). Without turnovers, that NE defense has a hard time keeping anyone out of the endzone. It’s just fact.

    The difference in their last meeting? Three Bronco turnovers. I know it’s cliche to say turnovers will be the difference, but if the Broncos do not drop the rock at all, they will win this game.
    _________________

    Hey, if the Pats win by forcing turnovers, then I say.. force turnovers.

    As Devin McCourty said last week; when the defense takes the field, its main goal is to get the ball back to the offense as soon as possible.

    Sounds good to me. Let Brady do all the work.

  82. postfixer says: Jan 12, 2012 1:11 PM

    damnsureis says:
    Jan 12, 2012 10:40 AM
    What about the Jets game?
    ——-

    Did you forget? They have a perpetual bye until the Super Bowl! The other AFC teams are just playing for second place in the conference.

  83. asublimeday says: Jan 12, 2012 1:17 PM

    Brees>Rogers

  84. radrntn says: Jan 12, 2012 1:22 PM

    i think both NFC games can go either way,but will go with home field for the packers, and take the saints just because of all the niner idiots who continue to post their nonsense about the raiders.

    So for that GO SAINTS!

    as far as the AFC ravens and PAtriots, unless God decides something differently, then I will take Bronco’s with a 99 and 1/2 half yard TD play by the bronco’s to win it on the final play of the game.

  85. blu4l1fe says: Jan 12, 2012 1:33 PM

    All picks seem to be make sense. Going with the favorite versus the underdogs. And we can go with historics and statistics but then again, this is football, remember, “Any given Sunday?”

  86. scoob766 says: Jan 12, 2012 1:35 PM

    Saints fans are dumber then the individuals that reside in that dump called New Orleans. Give some facts or stats instead of saying blah blah the saints will score 35. 4 out of 6 outdoor games they have scored less then 30, the only time they did was against GB (week one) and in Carolina (top 5 worst defenses). As a niners fan I am not saying we are going to win although I do think it’s realistic and can go either way, but at least come at us with some knowledge not a theory, I mean what else are you guys doing in that dump of a city.

  87. packerfan1000 says: Jan 12, 2012 1:41 PM

    Brees>Rogers

    ————

    Honestly, not sure if anyone really cares about this comparison. However, if you want to compare Brees to RoDgers, I’d have to say

    Rodgers>Brees

  88. avoidtheboyd says: Jan 12, 2012 1:48 PM

    Ravens have to beat our defense and stop our running game too. I honestly don’t expect the Texans to win. I’m just saying this matchup is way more even than most people are thinking.

  89. rayriceisnice says: Jan 12, 2012 1:48 PM

    Those steeler fans are pretty quite…it’s kinda nice. Ravens will take care of business, and 49ers will represent on defense and bust up brees. I could careless what tebow does, Brady’s gonna smoke them. Giants could win but packers probably get that one at home.

  90. jrmbadger says: Jan 12, 2012 1:52 PM

    asublimeday says:
    Jan 12, 2012 1:17 PM
    Brees>Rogers
    ================================

    You are correct. Brees is better than some guy named Rogers at throwing the football.

    But ….

    Rodgers > Brees.

  91. tebowedout says: Jan 12, 2012 2:09 PM

    “No. What hurts Yates is that the Ravens DON’T have to load the box to stop the run. The D-line will maintain Foster and Tate by themselves. The secondary will double up Johnson and Yates will have nowhere to throw. Add in Daniels broken hand?

    Game over.”

    The ravens have trouble maintaining runs that go around the outside of the line of scrimmage. If they double team Johnson, look for more runs to the outside. Also, Owen Daniels has been practicing today and is set to go for Sunday. The Texans also have nothing to lose whereas the Ravens have a ton of pressure to make it to/win the Super Bowl. Tall order for the Texans? Sure. Impossible? No.

    Game not over.

  92. beedubyatoo says: Jan 12, 2012 2:10 PM

    cdsaints says:
    Jan 12, 2012 10:43 AM
    Who Dats – 27
    Not Dats – 17

    ——————————

    49’ers 30
    Saints 28

    Take Dat!

  93. mesta1 says: Jan 12, 2012 2:12 PM

    The key to the packers-giants game will be GB o-line vs NY d-line. Both squads are healthy so something’s gotta give. It’ll be fun!

  94. jackntorres says: Jan 12, 2012 2:14 PM

    I’m sure somwehere a Rodgers is > Brees but drew brees > Aaron Rodgers. There inequality solved lol

  95. jackntorres says: Jan 12, 2012 2:17 PM

    Jan 12, 2012 1:35 PM
    Saints fans are dumber then the individuals that reside in that dump called New Orleans. Give some facts or stats instead of saying blah blah the saints will score 35. 4 out of 6 outdoor games they have scored less then 30, the only time they did was against GB (week one) and in Carolina (top 5 worst defenses). As a niners fan I am not saying we are going to win although I do think it’s realistic and can go either way, but at least come at us with some knowledge not a theory, I mean what else are you guys doing in that dump of a city
    ——-
    I think you meant “than”, Hemingway, but what do saints fans know?

    In 5 games outside Brees had 2200 yards
    In 16 games smith had 3100 yards

  96. nunpuncher says: Jan 12, 2012 2:24 PM

    “This game isn’t about Tim Tebow.”

    HATER!

  97. bingobrown12 says: Jan 12, 2012 2:28 PM

    I’m predicting 3 upsets this weekend.
    Giants
    Niners
    Texans
    Pats

  98. boisestatewhodat says: Jan 12, 2012 2:32 PM

    Oh Lord, here come the dumb attacks on the city of New Orleans again…dumb jack.

  99. boisestatewhodat says: Jan 12, 2012 2:34 PM

    Scoob…you are clearly not very intelligent.

  100. thinwhiteduke76 says: Jan 12, 2012 2:39 PM

    I love how all these experts doubt the Saints and constantly say “They play awful out doors” when they don’t even watch them every week.

  101. holeinone09 says: Jan 12, 2012 2:41 PM

    ace3hundred, you didn’t see Cotchery drop that pass on 3rd down around the 30 (or less) of Denver (as I said, not a TD as you said) with absolutely nobody around him for yards? The entire world saw it. Also, Wallace dropped the 50 yarder in Denver territory. Steeler WR’s dropped about 100 yards of passes in the first half. Don’t get me wrong or misread my post. Not taking anything away from Broncos at all. They deserved to win. I was just commenting on another one-sided post from another poster.

  102. jimboslice208 says: Jan 12, 2012 2:50 PM

    @jackntorres

    So by your logic, since Brees threw for more yards than Smith, that means the Saints will win? So can I use the logic that the Rams beat the Saints and the Niners beat the Rams thus the Niners will win? Math is fun!

    Seriously, use a better argument.

    Each fan base can counter anothers logic. Saints top offense/Niners top defense. Saints score 27 on the road/Niners allow 10 at home.

    Lets wait till the game plays out before the ignorant statements

  103. childressrulz says: Jan 12, 2012 2:52 PM

    hooks024 says:Jan 12, 2012 10:47 AM

    You guys are WAAAAAAY off on the giants game. Our pass rushers are healthy and set to go so balls deep in arron rodgers that he’ll be able to see their sacs in his stomach.
    _____________________________
    Look we all know that…. yes the Giants COULD win. Is it likely. The Vegas odds makers don’t think so. Neither do the majority of bets pouring into bookies right now because the line hasn’t changed either. I know you hope they win but in your mind you have to know that it is a slim shot of keeping the game close and having the ball last otherwise it will most likely be over by halftime.

  104. salmen76 says: Jan 12, 2012 2:58 PM

    The 40 whiners set an NFL record this year for kicking field goals. Thats right. The 40 whiners set an NFL record for kicking the most field goals in one season. And they play in that scrub division and still had to resort to kicking field goals. Their offense is high school level at best. They lost to the cowboys cuz all they did was get field goals. ha ha. And yall didn’t know about the 40 whiners field goal record did you. Because Harbogg and his fellow whiners know that ain’t nothin to bragg about! Ha Ha. They think they can beat the best team in pro football by kicking field goals. That is just too funny. Geaux Saints!

  105. fatgraycat says: Jan 12, 2012 3:02 PM

    Lets remember that the Packers went INTO the Giants house and won. There is so much Giants talk this week it leads to believe this game will not be as close as some suspect. Packers haven’t played at full strength in over a month.

    Look for Bad Eli to surface and throw 2+ picks, Packers win going away.

  106. forevercorr says: Jan 12, 2012 3:03 PM

    I would like to see every away team pull it out, but I know it can’t happen. Here’s some thoughts –

    Ravens – 18 Texans – 15
    I want the Texans to win so badly and I think both teams match up well – strong defenses and effective offenses. Ultimately, I think it comes down to Yates for the Texans and which Ravens team shows up. Still, Ravens probably have it.

    Packers – 31 Giants – 28
    Giants are playing angry and can play giant killers in taking down the Pack. While Manning and crew are nothing to sneeze at, I just don’t see Rodgers losing yet.

    49ers – 14 Saints – 33
    This is the best shot for an away team to win this week, and believe it or not, I think it’s special teams that will make the difference for the Saints. I think the 49ers D will also give Brees the most headaches he’s had all year, but the offense just won’t do enough for the win. I think the score will look lopsided but the game will be close through 3.

    Patriots – 27 Broncos – 30
    By all rights, the Pats should win. They’re at home and Brady is amazing once again. Still, the Denver defense shouldn’t be underestimated and Tebow’s offense may look very different from what the Pats destroyed a few weeks ago. The smart money is on New England but I don’t think another last-minute upset is out of the question here.

  107. gpack22 says: Jan 12, 2012 3:08 PM

    @rabidbillsfan says:
    Jan 12, 2012 11:21 AM
    Your telling me that the 2011 Packers are better than the 2007 version? Thats quite a stretch. If anything, they are equal strength with diffrent philosophies. Brett Favre didn’t cover defincies in his team like Aaron Rodgers does. The defense was better, the Running game was better, and Brett played his role perfectly for that team, except the pick in the giants game. If this Packers team is better, they had better blow the Wheels off of the Giants wagon. In 2007, I thought the 2 best teams would duke it out in the SB, NE and GB. This year, I wouldn’t take GB over San Fran or NO. GB loses 17-14 on late 4th quarter field goal off A-Rod pick.

    ————————————————-

    You obviously don’t watch or know Packer football. This 2011 team is far superior than the ’07 team. Here’s some proof, other than the 15-1 record of course:

    2011

    +24 Turnover Margin (HUGE)
    6482 total yards
    1558 rushing yds, while ignoring the run
    35 ppg
    22.4 ppg on defense for +13
    122 QB Rating

    2007

    +4 Turnover Margin ( 20 pts lower)
    5931 total yds
    1597 yds rushing (only 40 yd difference)
    27.2 ppg
    18.2 ppg defense for a +9.
    95 QB Rating

    The entire offense is better at every skill position, kick returner and the +24 turnover margin is ridiculous. Defense gives up yards but makes way more splash plays. 45-6 buddy…..ARodg doesn’t throw picks! Go back to rabidly cheering your wannabe contender Bills squad!!

  108. gimmeabruschi says: Jan 12, 2012 4:01 PM

    The Arena team loses.

    Tebowmania ends ignominiously.

    The Pack is sent packing.

    The Ravens are “nevermore”, this year.

  109. hmisanthropy says: Jan 12, 2012 4:06 PM

    Can’t we all just watch some football?!?!..

  110. golonger says: Jan 12, 2012 4:48 PM

    noquickreactionshere – best picks of the day

    packeers are exposed for who they really are….over-rated

    Broncos and Texans lose…BAD

    Giants upset

    AFC
    Ravens
    Patriots

    NFC
    Saints
    Giants

    Super Bowl

    Ravens
    Saints

    Winner- Ravens 2011 World Champions…Flacco goes to Disney World!

  111. djaehne says: Jan 12, 2012 5:52 PM

    Houston will upset Baltimore
    31-29
    Baltimore gives up 2 100 yard rushers in the
    same game just to make sure that even the
    media will realize the Texans have a great Defense.

  112. TheWizard says: Jan 12, 2012 5:52 PM

    if the Broncos do not drop the rock at all, they will win this game.

    That also applies to their receivers catching the ball. They’ve made some great catches for Tebow, but they’ve dropped a ton.

    If they don’t fumble and can manage to catch, they can give the Pats a run.

    Tebow is still too green to know he’s not supposed to win this game.

  113. doctordjohnson says: Jan 12, 2012 7:42 PM

    N.O. Saints over S.F. 49ers

    Baltimore Ravens over Houston Texans

    N.E. Patriots over Denver Broncos

    N.Y. Giants over G.B. Packers 31 – 24

  114. bkeating51 says: Jan 12, 2012 11:37 PM

    The Packers ran up big numbers playing a soft schedule of soft teams. Four games, one quarter of their season were against teams that finished the season with four or less wins: Tampa, St Louis, and the Vikes. Giants only played one team that bad: St. Louis.

    The Giants played the four teams with the best records at the end of the season. Excluding the Packers, they played the 13-3 Patriots, Saints (in the Superdome) and Niners. Beat the Patriots in Foxboro. The Pack only played the Saints in Week 1 on Lambeau’s friendly grass.

    And the Packers didn’t play one good defensive team (including the Giants five weeks ago). No Steelers, Ravens, Niners. Oh, yeah, they did beat the one and done Lions twice. How many playoff games have the Lions won in this century.

  115. txnative61 says: Jan 13, 2012 3:35 AM

    Don’t have a dog in this hunt, and like to think I’m pretty unbiased. Best chance for an upset? Saints didn’t show last year against Seattle they can travel well to the west coast. Coaches are very good, or they wouldn’t be here, but Niners had extra week to prepare, and heal, and rest, and get to play outdoors at home. Saints are betting favorites, mainly because they have many fans nationwide, many of whom have not watched the Niners much because of time difference on west coast. Of course it can go either way “on any given Sunday”, but like the Niners chance for upset. Giants are inconsistent, but can be tough and catch Packers sleeping, or looking ahead to next week or putting themselves in Super Bowl on their press clippings. Can’t see any way the Broncos or Texans advance, sorry homers, I don’t believe in miracles. If both upsets do happen, and Giants do travel to SFAN for NFC championship, I like the Niners for the same reasons as this week. Kind of like to see a Harbaugh brothers rematch in the SB, but realize that’s a stretch.

  116. P_Willy says: Jan 13, 2012 10:24 AM

    It’s unreal that even up to the divisional round that some people still point the niner’s success as a result of a crappy division. These same people will ignore any statistics that don’t support their narrow-minded view of this team. I have since stopped dropping the reasons why the 49ers have earned their right to be the #2 Seed and as far as this season goes – they are indeed an elite team. You can’t change people, this much is true. @ the end of the day it really doesn’t mean a thing.

    I get rivalries being a reason for discontent on game day, but as a life long niner fan, (and fan of the NFL) – even i wanted the Cardinals, Seahawks and Rams to win when they made it to the super bowl. It just comes down to respect.

    It’s easy to marvel at the madden numbers that the elite offenses have, and what a treat for all fans alike to see this game reach levels where 40+ point games can be seen every week.

    I guess I just don’t understand how anyone can hate on a young up and coming team thats been so bad for so many years. The NFL is cyclical, and so many people seem to forget that all teams won’t dwell in the basement forever. We’ve got an enthusiastic, players-type Heach Coach, and a humble team littered with All-Pro’s at their positions who are never a distraction off the field, and play hard and go all out on game day.

    The niners host a formidable opponent this weekend, but it shouldn’t be a cakewalk for the saints. As good as the saints are, the niners aren’t a pushover team. They stick to a strategy that suits them and play within that scheme at a high level. Should be a really fun game to watch, and may the best team on saturday prevail.

  117. noquickreactionshere says: Jan 13, 2012 10:25 AM

    noquickreactionshere – best picks of the day

    packeers are exposed for who they really are….over-rated

    _________________________

    Thanks buddy! Why so many thumbs down to a post which is complimenting me? That makes me feel hurt :(

    I wouldn’t say the Packers are overrated I just think the Giants are underrated, and they matchup really well against the Pack. I think they can slow the game down, keep the score low, and in the words of Deon …. I BELIEVE IN ELI!!!!!!!

  118. bozosforall says: Jan 13, 2012 11:40 AM

    nyyankeedave says:
    Jan 12, 2012 11:10 AM
    Saints still won’t win the Super Bowl as presently constituted – AT SOME POINT, their lack of a defense will be their downfall. WHO DAT GONNA PLAY SOME DEFENSE?
    _
    Yeah, because both the Packers and Patriots defense do such a better job stopping people.

    Get real, idiot. The Saints have as much chance as both of those other teams, possibly more, to win it all.

  119. grunt49r says: Jan 13, 2012 5:49 PM

    guess most of you havn’t watched 49ers this year they have most consident team left in playoffs best D,special teams and good offense .home game at the stick will rock and the tide will mess with footing,since park is below sea level. Niners win turnover battle Brees will start guessing and smith bro’s will hit him .linebackers fastest in game. Niners in close one . Giants will be here next week Niners remind me of young 81-82 team.Niners win Superbowl. Everyone will go; dam thier back

  120. kingaldon99 says: Jan 13, 2012 9:00 PM

    LETS GO NINERS 32-30

  121. lowleadman says: Jan 14, 2012 10:12 AM

    Texans upset Baltimore. Old team vs young, loose team. Texans 24, Bal 19

    Denver scores first and last, but Patriots score middle 52. Final 52-10

    Great defenses usually defeat great offenses especially at home. 49ers 20, Saints 17

    When the Giants beat the Pats in 2007, they lost a regular season game to them by the score of 38-35. This year the Giants lost a regular season game to the Packers, 38-35. All signs lead to a Giants upset win. They haqve beat GB in Lambeau before. Giants 34, Packers 31.

  122. gavriloprincip33 says: Jan 14, 2012 6:34 PM

    hooks024

    Obsessed much? One could never tell by your posts Chelsea Boy…

    Jets by 12 and Sanchize is the SB MVP!

  123. sportsindcfan says: Jan 20, 2012 9:56 AM

    I just read this today and no one will probably read it, but it was nice to see how the so called experts know little about football. I picked the Giants to win since the Pack would be rusty, and
    Rodgers and the Pack are not built for cold temps. They are built for speed and have a poor running game. Rosenthal must be smoking something that is not legal

  124. patsfan22 says: Jan 20, 2012 11:37 PM

    I just read this today and no one will probably read it, but it was nice to see how the so called experts know little about football. I picked the Giants to win since the Pack would be rusty, and
    Rodgers and the Pack are not built for cold temps. They are built for speed and have a poor running game. Rosenthal must be smoking something that is not legal
    —————————————————
    Yeah I went 3-1 (as a pats fan I picked against the Ravens in hope lol), when do I get a job?

    I think these are the best playoffs in years, there is no clear favourite (maybe NE is a slight favourite with most analysts) but really both of the games could go either way.

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