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PFT’s Week Five picks

Washington Redskins v Tampa Bay Buccaneers Getty Images

Last week was a very good week.  But for a late field goal by the Redskins, misplaced faith in the Chiefs, and a failure to realize that, as Joe Theismann says, Tony Romo “isn’t that good,” I would have generated the first perfect week of picks in the however-many-year history of doing this.

Instead, I finished 12-3.  Which gave me the win in Week Four over MDS, who was 11-4.

For the year, I’ve won three weeks, he’s won one, and I lead the overall contest by two games.  I’m at 39-24; MDS is 37-26.

We’re gradually becoming less pathetic.  Read on to see whether we’ll end up more pathetic this week.

Cardinals at Rams

MDS’s take: The Cardinals keep winning close games, and eventually the breaks have to go against them late in a close one, right? Probably, but not this week. The Cardinals win yet another close one.

MDS’s pick: Cardinals 21, Rams 20.

Florio’s take:  It’s “correction week” in the NFL.  And if I’m correct (which I rarely am), it begins on Thursday night in St. Louis, when the Cardinals’ ability to find a way to win will be temporarily suspended.  Greg the Leg a/k/a Young G.Z. a/k/a Legatron a/k/a Greg Zuerlein saves the day, again.

Florio’s pick:  Rams 16, Cardinals 13.

Dolphins at Bengals

MDS’s take: I love the way the Bengals’ offense is running under coordinator Jay Gruden, who keeps finding ways to get the ball in his playmakers’ hands. I see A.J. Green getting open in the Dolphins’ secondary all day. This should be a big win for Cincinnati.

MDS’s pick: Bengals 35, Dolphins 14.

Florio’s take:  The Dolphins could be shorthanded at cornerback, which will make it even harder to stop receiver A.J. Green.  The good news is that through five weeks the Dolphins will be only two games out of first place in the AFC East.

Florio’s pick:  Bengals 31, Dolphins 16.

Packers at Colts

MDS’s take: Clay Matthews will make Andrew Luck’s life miserable, while Aaron Rodgers will have his best statistical game of the season. The Packers win in a mismatch.

MDS’s pick: Packers 28, Colts 10.

Florio’s take:  Though the Colts have become the most sympathetic team in the NFL this week, the Packers desperately need to find their groove on offense.  If they don’t, it could be a long year.

Florio’s pick:  Packers 34, Colts 20.

Ravens at Chiefs

MDS’s take: Florio did me a favor and picked the Chiefs last week, and I’m hoping he does it again. The calls to bench Matt Cassel will only grow louder as the Ravens’ defense has its way with him.

MDS’s pick: Ravens 24, Chiefs 14.

Florio’s take:  When the Chiefs were a playoff team, they couldn’t handle the Ravens at home.  Rested and ready after four games that kicked off 17 days apart, the Ravens are ready to put the Texans on notice that Baltimore won’t step aside for them.

Florio’s pick:  Ravens 35, Chiefs 24.

Titans at Vikings

MDS’s take: Other than their miraculous win over the Lions — which they did their best to blow despite scoring an improbable five 60-plus-yard touchdowns — the Titans have looked lousy all season. The Vikings, on the other hand, have been one of the NFL’s pleasant surprises this season. Adrian Peterson will have 100 yards, Chris Johnson will have 10 yards, and the Vikings will win this one handily to improve to 4-1 and exceed their 2011 win total.

MDS’s pick: Vikings 24, Titans 13.

Florio’s take:  To do justice to their wins over the 49ers and Lions, the Vikings can’t stumble against the Titans.  Though Matthew Hasselbeck’s savvy and skill could keep it close, Adrian Peterson seems poised to finally have a big day.

Florio’s pick:  Vikings 27, Titans 17.

Browns at Giants

MDS’s take: It’s been largely overlooked because the team around him is so bad, but Browns rookie quarterback Brandon Weeden has bounced back from his disastrous Week One performance and given Cleveland three straight solid starts. Unfortunately, the team around him is really bad. The Giants should take this one easily in a week that’s shaping up to have a lot of blowouts.

MDS’s pick: Giants 35, Browns 21.

Florio’s take:  This one has “upset” written all over it.  Last year, in three consecutive home games, the Giants were less than impressive against the Seahawks, Bills, and Dolphins.  With a crippling slate of games on the horizon, the Giants can’t afford to fall to 2-3.  Eli Manning finds a way.

Florio’s pick:  Giants 35, Browns 27.

Eagles at Steelers

MDS’s take: The Steelers are getting healthier, with running back Rashard Mendenhall, linebacker James Harrison and safety Troy Polamalu all ready to play Sunday. Look for Harrison and Polamalu to force Mike Vick into a couple of turnovers and the Steelers to win a close and low-scoring game.

MDS’s pick: Steelers 13, Eagles 10.

Florio’s take:  I’ve lived within 100 miles of Pittsburgh long enough to know that the Steelers, with a 1-2 record and two weeks to prepare, don’t lose this game.  Not at home.

Florio’s pick:  Steelers 20, Eagles 10.

Falcons at Redskins

MDS’s take: The Falcons have been playing very well in all three phases of the game, and they’re just too complete a team for the Redskins to handle. Washington’s defense will emphasize shutting down Roddy White, and Julio Jones will step up with a big game.

MDS’s pick: Falcons 24, Redskins 20.

Florio’s take:  It wouldn’t be “correction week” if the undefeated teams don’t lose.  A week after the Falcons struggled to contain Cam Newton, they’ll likewise have a hard time with RG3, who is overdue for his first home win.

Florio’s pick:  Redskins 41, Falcons 38.

Seahawks at Panthers

MDS’s take: Marshawn Lynch will have a big game against the Panthers’ porous run defense, but I think this is the week when Cam Newton finally reminds us all why we were so excited about him last year. Newton will put points on the board with his arm and with his legs and lead the Panthers to an impressive win that quiets Newton’s critics, at least for one week.

MDS’s pick: Panthers 31, Seahawks 21.

Florio’s take:  With the bye week looming, the Panthers need to pull together and get a win via methodical use of the running game and patient defense that forces rookie quarterback Russell Wilson to sustain drives.  There’s a huge difference between 1-4 and 2-3, especially with two weeks to stew about the outcome of this one.

Florio’s pick:  Panthers 20, Seahawks 14.

Bears at Jaguars

MDS’s take: Jaguars quarterback Blaine Gabbert has been careful with the ball this season, throwing just one interception in four games. But the opportunistic Chicago defense that took advantage of Tony Romo on Monday night will force Gabbert into his first multiple-interception game of the year, and the Bears will cruise to 4-1.

MDS’s pick: Bears 21, Jaguars 6.

Florio’s take:  The Jaguars have played twice at home this year.  And they’ve looked horrible in both.  Against the Bears, they won’t look much better.

Florio’s pick:  Bears 28, Jaguars 6.

Broncos at Patriots

MDS’s take: I’m sold on Peyton Manning being all the way back to his pre-neck surgery form, but I’m less sold on the Broncos’ defense being able to stop Tom Brady.

MDS’s pick: Patriots 30, Broncos 28.

Florio’s take:  Normalcy returns for Peyton Manning, sort of.  He has played in New England nine times during his career.  And it could be the moment that finally makes him feel like everything is back to normal.  In this case, of course, “normal” includes losing to the Patriots, again.

Florio’s pick:  Patriots 28, Broncos 24.

Bills at 49ers

MDS’s take: San Francisco quarterback Alex Smith will have his first 300-yard game of the season against a shaky Bills secondary. Buffalo quarterback Ryan Fitzpatrick probably won’t be quite as bad as Mark Sanchez was against the 49ers’ defense, but that’s not saying much.

MDS’s pick: 49ers 24, Bills 3.

Florio’s take:  The perennial Chris Berman Super Bowl prediction that never happened will finish the same way it would have if the team that never loses Super Bowls played the team that never wins them.

Florio’s pick:  49ers 34, Bills 14.

Chargers at Saints

MDS’s take: Drew Brees will break Johnny Unitas’s NFL record for consecutive games with a touchdown pass — and he’ll do it in style, as the Saints finally win their first game of the season.

MDS’s pick: Saints 30, Chargers 20.

Florio’s take:  The Chiefs beat the Saints and the Chargers beat the Chiefs so it makes sense for the Saints to beat the Chargers.  Sunday night will be one of those rare nights when everything falls together for the Saints.  If it doesn’t, it may not again.  Ever.

Florio’s pick:  Saints 34, Chargers 24.

Texans at Jets

MDS’s take: For the second straight week, it’s going to get ugly for the Jets. They look like a team whose season could spiral out of control in a hurry, while the Texans look like a team that will clinch its division by Thanksgiving.

MDS’s pick: Texans 45, Jets 10.

Florio’s takeTim Tebow should be starting this week, but the Jets know not to throw a Christian to the Texans.

Florio’s pick:  Texans 41, Jets 10.

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Bills’ Eric Wood blames ESPN for lack of interest in Michael Sam

michaelsam AP

Michael Sam, the first openly gay player drafted in the NFL, was cut by the Rams on Saturday and passed over by all 31 other teams on waivers on Sunday, and so far he hasn’t even been able to land a spot on a practice squad. So are NFL teams avoiding Sam because he’s gay?

According to one NFL player, the answer to that question is yes — but not because teams are homophobic. Bills center Eric Wood says teams are avoiding Sam because they don’t want the ESPN hype that would come with having Sam, the only openly gay player in football, on the team. In response to a question from Ross Tucker about Sam’s lack of practice squad offers, Wood said ESPN is to blame.

Last week ESPN apologized for a report that quoted an unnamed Rams player as saying that Sam hadn’t showered with teammates in training camp. But even aside from that report, Wood’s view is the most sensible explanation for why Sam remains out of work: NFL teams just don’t like seeing one player singled out for any reason other than his play on the field.

Although there were some questions before this year’s draft about whether Sam would be a good fit in any NFL defense, Sam played well enough in the Rams’ scheme during his four preseason games that it’s surprising the Rams haven’t added him to their practice squad. It’s even more surprising that no other team has picked Sam up. It would be nice if some team had the guts to give Sam the chance he deserves, but Wood may be right that Sam is paying the price for teams being scared of distractions.

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Sixth-round pick Matt Hazel among 10 additions to Miami’s practice squad

Matt Hazel AP

The Dolphins’ initial practice squad includes one of their draft picks.

Sixth-round pick Matt Hazel, a wide receiver from Coastal Carolina, was among the 10 signees to the practice squad announced by Miami on Sunday.

The 22-year-old Hazel caught six passes for 87 yards and a touchdown in preseason play for Miami.

The Dolphins’ other practice squad additions are center Sam Brenner, offensive tackle Tony Hills, linebacker David Hinds, quarterback Seth Lobato, tight end Jacob Maxwell, defensive end D’Aundre Reed, cornerback Lowell Rose, defensive tackle Garrison Smith and wide receiver Tommy Streeter. Brenner, Lobato, Reed and Smith were waived by Miami on Saturday, then re-signed to the practice squad after clearing waivers.

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Robert Griffin III gets a statue at his alma mater

rg3statue AP

Robert Griffin III traveled from Washington to Waco this weekend to see himself immortalized at the age of 24.

Griffin was back at the campus of Baylor, the school where he won the Heisman Trophy and where a new football stadium has opened that features a bronze statue of Griffin outside.

“It’s amazing. You don’t dream about that kind of stuff,” Griffin told the Waco Tribune. “There’s a Statue of Liberty and all those other statues, but you don’t ever dream of having a statue honored in your name. That’s a blessing. It comes from God, and I don’t look at it as anyone putting me on a pedestal. I look at it as I know where my blessings come from, and they’re using me in a way to help other people. Not just to say, ‘he’s a great football player.’ I hope they say, ‘he’s a great man’ as well.”

Baylor President Ken Starr talked about Griffin in glowing terms, saying he hopes people will visit Waco to see Griffin’s statue just as they visit Washington to see the Lincoln Memorial and visit New York City to see the Statue of Liberty.

Griffin’s disappointing second season in the NFL has led to many questions about whether he can ever live up to the promise he showed as a rookie. But at Baylor, he’s still an idol.

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Jets add Matt Simms, six others to practice squad

New York Jets v Philadelphia Eagles Getty Images

The Jets have re-signed one of the quarterbacks they waived Saturday to their practice squad.

Matt Simms, who was among the club’s final cuts, is among the first seven players added to the Jets’ practice roster, the team said Sunday.

Another practice squad addition was ex-Rams tailback Daryl Richardson, whom the Jets also waived Saturday.

The Jets’ other practice squad signees were defensive tackle Tevita Finau, defensive lineman Kerry Hyder, safety Rontez Miles, tight end Chris Pantale and offensive tackle Brett Qvale.

The Jets have three more practice squad spots to be filled.

Among the Jets’ cuts who have yet to be added to a practice squad is rookie quarterback Tajh Boyd, who cleared waivers Sunday.

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Chiefs extend Alex Smith

Smith AP

Alex Smith was prepared to pull the plug on contract talks if they ever became a distraction.  It never got to that point.

After an intense and largely secretive day of negotiations, the Chiefs and Smith have worked out a four-year, $68 million extension.

Per a league source, Smith gets $30 million guaranteed at signing.  Another $15 million in injury-only guarantee vests in March 2015.

Smith, who is still only 30 years old, was traded to the Chiefs last year for what ultimately became two second-round picks.  He performed very well in his first season with Kansas City, leading the team to the playoffs and having one of the best days of his career, which has become overlooked via the second-half defensive collapse that blew a 38-10 lead in Indianapolis.

Coupled with his 2014 base salary of $7.5 million, Smith gets $75.5 million over five years, an average of $15.1 million.

The first overall pick in the 2005 draft, Smith was regarded as a borderline bust until Jim Harbaugh arrived as head coach.  A very strong 2011 led to an equally impressive 2012.  But a concussion gave Colin Kaepernick a chance to play, and he played well enough to send Smith to the bench — and ultimately out the door.

Now, Smith has a contract that is much, much (did I say much?) better than the team-friendly deal that Kaepernick signed earlier this year.

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Cowboys bring running back Ryan Williams back to practice squad

Dallas Cowboys v Miami Dolphins Getty Images

As it turns out, Devon Still isn’t the only former second-rounder to make a practice squad this weekend, but at least he’s on the team that drafted him.

Among the seven practice-squaders signed by the Cowboys Sunday was running back Ryan Williams.

Williams was taken by the Cardinals in the second round of the 2011 Draft, 38th overall. He had a solid preseason for the Cowboys, but was released yesterday, as the Cowboys kept just Lance Dunbar and Joseph Randle behind starter DeMarco Murray.

The Cowboys also signed wide receiver Tim Benford, defensive end Kenneth Boatright, center Ronald Patrick, safety Micah Pellerin and linebackers Keith Smith and Will Smith.

They also released tackle John Wetzel from the active roster to make room for guard Donald Hawkins, after claiming him off waivers from the Browns.

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Mike Pettine hints Rex Grossman might be back soon

Rex Grossman, Cornelius Washington AP

We should have seen this coming. The NFL simply could not be without Rex Grossman for too long.

The Browns cut Grossman earlier today during a spate of roster moves, but Browns coach Mike Pettine said that might be temporary.

I wouldn’t read too much into it right now,” Pettine said, via Mary Kay Cabot of the Cleveland Plain Dealer. “Some guys could come back. It’s fluid.”

The Browns also waived wide receiver Charles Johnson and offensive linemen Karim Barton and Martin Wallace, after claiming four players off waivers.

But Grossman has a link none of those players have, an all-but-the-tattoo relationship with offensive coordinator Kyle Shanahan which has kept him employed for several years.

Whether the Browns bring him back this week, or in Week Two when his salary wouldn’t be guaranteed for the year, it appears obvious he’ll be back.

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Cardinals claim outside linebacker Thomas Keiser off waivers

Thomas Keiser AP

The Cardinals and Chargers will play twice in 11 days, since the rematch of the preseason finale will be played next Monday night.

Thomas Keiser will have the rare ability to play for both teams.

The Cardinals claimed the outside linebacker, who was waived by the Chargers yesterday, according to the league’s transaction notice. They waived wide receiver Walter Powell to make room on the roster.

Keiser’s a reasonably talented pass-rusher, who had 4.5 sacks last year, but the Chargers used a second-round pick on Jeremiah Attaochu and brought in CFL pass-rusher Cordarro Law.

Keiser also had an arrest for misdemeanor battery from a fight outside a San Diego bar last year. He pleaded guilty, and has to attend anger management classes.

But he’s also a competent pass-rusher, and the Cardinals are looking for all the help they can get after losing piece after piece this offseason.

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Report: Packers work out three quarterbacks Sunday

Miami Dolphins OTA Getty Images

The Packers, who kept two backup quarterbacks on their 53-player roster, reportedly took a look at three other quarterbacks on Sunday.

According to Field Yates of ESPN, the Packers put Pat Devlin, Jeff Mathews and Jon Jennings through workouts on Sunday.

The 26-year-old Devlin has the most NFL experience of the trio. He spent the previous three seasons with the Dolphins. Miami released Devlin (6-3, 220) with an injury settlement on August 19. Devlin played collegiately at Delaware.

A Cornell product, Mathews spent time with the Falcons this summer before being waived August 24. He signed as undrafted free agent with Atlanta in May. Mathews (6-4, 229) agreed to join the Colts’ practice squad on Sunday.

Jennings (6-2, 205) is a rookie from Saginaw Valley State. He was collegiate teammates with Packers wide receiver Jeff Janis.

It’s possible the Packers were working out the three quarterbacks with an eye on being prepared in case a passer needed to be added at a moment’s notice. Such workouts are not uncommon.

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Irsay’s plea deal puts him in line for suspension

Jim Irsay AP

After Colts owner Jim Irsay was arrested for driving while impaired, some thought the NFL would hold him to a higher standard by suspending him before his case was finalized.  Irsay’s plea deal, which apparently will be finalized on Tuesday, means that any discipline will be imposed after the case has ended.

The question now becomes whether the NFL will hold Irsay to a higher standard by suspending him for a first-offense DUI.  Players typically are fined two game checks for a first offense, absent serious injury or other discipline under the substance-abuse policy.

Adam Schefter of ESPN previously has reported that league insiders expect a six-to-eight game suspension for Irsay.  Don’t be surprised if the suspension comes this week, before the Colts travel to Denver for the first Sunday night of the season.

The financial component of the penalty remains unknown.  In Irsay’s case, he could be fined an amount that raises eyebrows, in isolation.  But he likely won’t face an apples-to-apples penalty, with 1/17th of his total income taken away for each week of the suspension.  That’s what happens when a player is suspended.  To simulate the penalty, the league would have to take a drastic step, such as blocking the Colts’ share of league revenue for each week of the suspension.

Perhaps the biggest question is whether Irsay will be subjected to the same frequency and type of drug testing routinely imposed on a player in the program — and whether Irsay would ever face the ultimate consequence of a one-year banishment.

This much is clear and undeniable.  Irsay’s alleged operation of a motor vehicle while under the influence of prescription medication posed a much greater threat than Josh Gordon smoking marijuana ever did.  Whatever the penalty imposed on Irsay, it’ll be difficult if not impossible to reconcile the punishment meted out to player and to owner.

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Pats get only a conditional 2016 seventh-round pick for Mallett

Ryan Mallett AP

There apparently wasn’t much of a trade market for quarterback Ryan Mallett.

Despite talk that the Patriots might get a mid-round draft pick in trading Mallett, they gave him up today for only a conditional 2016 seventh-round pick. That’s what the Texans gave up to acquire Mallett, according to ESPN.

It’s unknown what the conditions are, but the deal likely includes provisions based on Mallett’s playing time or how long he remains on the Texans’ roster, so that the Texans could end up sending New England a sixth-round pick if Mallett becomes Houston’s starter.

Bottom line, teams just weren’t interested in giving up anything of real value to acquire Mallett, whom the Patriots drafted in the third round of the 2011 NFL draft. A late pick a year and a half from now isn’t nothing, but it’s next to nothing. And that’s what the Patriots settled for.

In Houston, Mallett will be reunited with head coach Bill O’Brien, who coached Mallett as an assistant in New England. O’Brien may see something in Mallett, but Bill Belichick didn’t see enough in Mallett to make him worth keeping, as long as the Patriots could get anything of even moderate value in return.

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Chris Clemons out, Danieal Manning expected back in at safety for Texans

Kellen Davis, Danieal Manning AP

The Texans cut safety Danieal Manning early in the offseason, but there appears to be a reunion in the works.

Brian Smith of the Houston Chronicle reports that the team is expected to sign Manning, who was cut by the Bengals, to their 53-man roster if he passes his physical. Manning spent the last three years in Houston, starting all 35 games he played for the team before a broken leg brought an early end to his 2013 season. Manning had four interceptions and two sacks during his time in Houston.

Manning’s return will coincide with the end of Chris Clemons’s short tenure with the team. Smith reports Clemons will be cut as the team shapes their roster before the first game of the regular season. Clemons was a member of the Dolphins before heading to Houston and his old team might have some interest in a return with Reshad Jones suspended for the first four games of the year.

Smith reports that wide receiver Mike Thomas is also out. The addition of Damaris Johnson via waivers likely eliminated the need for Thomas on the Houston roster.

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Titans add Kris Durham, Brandon Harris and six practice squadders

Kris Durham AP

The Titans claimed wide receiver T.J. Graham off waivers on Sunday, but he won’t be the only wideout trying to pick up Tennessee’s offense on the fly.

The team announced that they have claimed Kris Durham in addition to Graham. The former Lion had 38 catches for 645 and three touchdowns while playing with college buddy Matthew Stafford and brings a big frame with him to Tennessee.

Wide receiver Michael Preston, who has a big frame of his own, was waived with the two new receivers coming on board. The Titans also waived offensive lineman Steve Vallos and defensive back Khalid Wooten.

Wooten was deemed expendable because the Titans claimed cornerback Brandon Harris off waivers from Houston. Harris, a 2011 second-round pick, will join a thin cornerback corps in Tennessee.

The Titans also added six players to their practice squad. Offensive lineman Justin McCray, tackle Will Poehls, defensive lineman Chigbo Anunoby, linebacker Brandon Copeland, running back Antonio Andrews and wide receiver Rico Richardson were all with the team this summer.

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Patriots claim two rookie defensive linemen

Arizona Cardinals v San Diego Chargers Getty Images

The Patriots moved on from defensive linemen Jerel Worthy and Tommy Kelly while making their way down to 53 players and they continued to show a taste for younger options up front on Sunday.

The team announced that they have claimed a pair of rookie defensive linemen off of waivers. Bruce Gaston was waived by the Cardinals after signing with them as an undrafted free agent out of Purdue, where he started 44 games and recorded seven sacks. Interestingly, Gaston was dropped by the Cardinals shortly after they signed Kelly to bolster their defensive line.

The Patriots also added Kelcy Quarles, who had 13 sacks in 35 games at South Carolina and was dropped by the Giants on their way to 53 players.

One of the roster spots needed for the new players was cleared when the Pats traded quarterback Ryan Mallett to the Texans, a move that the team officially confirmed on Sunday afternoon. They cleared the other one by releasing linebacker Chris White, who played all 16 regular season games for the Patriots as a special teamer last season.

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Ravens sign three recent draft picks to practice squad

Khiry Robinson, John Simon AP

The Ravens have signed three of their former draft picks to the practice squad.

The club announced Sunday it had re-signed outside linebacker John Simon (2013 fourth-round selection), offensive lineman Ryan Jensen (2013 sixth-round selection) and quarterback Keith Wenning (2014 sixth-round selection).

Simon, Jensen and Wenning are three of the Ravens’ nine initial signees to the practice squad. The others are rookie cornerback Tramain Jacobs, rookie defensive tackle Jamie Meder, rookie cornerback Deji Olatoye, rookie defensive tackle A.J. Pataiali’i, first-year tight end Phillip Supernaw and rookie tailback Fitzgerald Toussaint.

This leaves the Ravens with one open slot on their practice squad, which has been expanded to 10 players this season.

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