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Chiefs one loss away from first overall pick, Jaguars second

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Unless they pull off a huge upset on Sunday at Denver, the Kansas City Chiefs will earn the first overall pick in the 2013 NFL draft.

The Chiefs and Jaguars are tied for the worst record in the NFL at 2-13, and they are guaranteed to have the two worst records in the NFL at the end of the season because every other team has at least four wins. The Chiefs own the strength of schedule tiebreaker over the Jaguars, which means that the only way the Jaguars could get the first overall pick is by losing to the Titans on Sunday while the Chiefs stun the Broncos.

The 4-11 Raiders, Eagles and Lions have the inside track for the rest of the top five picks, with the 5-10 Bills, Titans, Browns and Cardinals up next.

Unfortunately for the Chiefs and Jaguars, this does not look like a great year to own the Top 2 picks in the draft. Last year, the presence of Andrew Luck and Robert Griffin III made the top two picks very valuable commodities. This year, there’s no such sure-thing franchise quarterback. Which makes it a bad year to be a bad team.

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40 Responses to “Chiefs one loss away from first overall pick, Jaguars second”
  1. jersey73 says: Dec 24, 2012 8:37 AM

    If the Colts beat the Texans at 1PM on Sunday…how strange is the Denver/KC game?

    In that game, one team can clinch the #1 seed at the same time the other clinches the #1 pick. Can’t imagine that has happened often.

  2. chuckxx says: Dec 24, 2012 8:41 AM

    Well Geno Smith get your samsonite out and get the station wagon filled up. K.C. here you come!!!

  3. trbowman says: Dec 24, 2012 8:43 AM

    Geno Smith is a franchise quarterback at the next level.

    Not his fault West Virginia’s defense was one of the worst in the country.

  4. packerman1968 says: Dec 24, 2012 8:43 AM

    There is no such thing as a sure-thing franchise quarterback in the first round.

    There is only hope that they will pan out. Take the best player available.

  5. trbowman says: Dec 24, 2012 8:44 AM

    As for my Bumbling Bills, I’m hoping to see Brady Quinn in a Bills uniform next year. David Lee, who worked extensively with Quinn during the lockout is the QB coach and said he thinks Quinn is an NFL caliber starter.

  6. normswifevera says: Dec 24, 2012 8:47 AM

    RGIII made the #2 pick valuable after the combine. But around this time last December, Mel Kiper hadn’t even put him in the top 10 on his board.

    Not that it’s RGIII’s fault. People weren’t recognizing his talents soon enough. But that’s the point, it could easily be the same thing for a guy like Geno Smith.

    He’ll probably be the no-doubt #1 pick by March.

  7. burm61 says: Dec 24, 2012 8:48 AM

    You’re seriously on crack if you think Geno Smith, Bray, or Barkley are anything more than a backup to a team with a franchise quarterback at the next level.

  8. johnnyjagfan says: Dec 24, 2012 8:51 AM

    C’mon, Denver! Lay the egg! Rest everybody. Jags need to be first in something! Even in our inaugural season we picked second behind Carolina.

    For the record, no Geno Smith for the Jags, please.

    We need another Tony Boselli. Nothing like a huge, angry Italian to guard your blindside. Man, those were fun days watching him hold the line while Brunell made throws to 82. Ahhh. Winning days.

    Back to reality.

  9. trbowman says: Dec 24, 2012 8:51 AM

    Other than Smith, I’m not sure there’s a franchise QB here. Tyler Wilson is the next best guy I like. Barkley is definitely slipping and rightfully so. He’s a weak armed QB who was elevated by the absurd talent around him. The backup QB USC has there, Max Wittek – that’s a guy you want to watch in the coming years.

  10. pmp300300 says: Dec 24, 2012 9:00 AM

    trbowman, you crack me up. However, it sounds like a typical Bills front office move.

  11. trbowman says: Dec 24, 2012 9:02 AM

    A little bit more from me on my Bumbling Bills.

    A dream scenario would be trading up and grabbing Geno. Geno Smith with Chan? Phew. Talk about a dream scenario for me. And the Bills.

    But it’s the Bills we’re talking about, so it won’t happen.

    Of course, at this point I anticipate Chan Gailey getting the axe – something which I WON’T agree with .

  12. mikewj76 says: Dec 24, 2012 9:15 AM

    If some how Khan doesn’t fire Gene Smith this will be the Jags pick at #2

    “With the 2nd pick in the 2013 NFL Draft the Jacksonville Jaguars Select QB Tommy Johnson South Alaska State”

  13. pondbridge says: Dec 24, 2012 9:16 AM

    Expect those desperate for QBs to look to benched talent this time: Cassel, Flynn, Smith, also bets on Cousins, Mallett. Bye to Vick, Kolb– uninsurable, players won’t / can’t take game-by-game contracts.

  14. electionconfidential says: Dec 24, 2012 9:25 AM

    Denver most likely has to win next week to hold onto their first round bye, so they’ll be bringing it with all the starters.

  15. draconian1111 says: Dec 24, 2012 9:26 AM

    There is NO player in this draft that can even remotely fix KC. The QB’s in this draft – sorry – should have been last year.
    Better to trade down for picks.
    NOBODY wants to be #1 and go to this hole. Bowe is gone and the remaining guys pedestrian (and that is a complement). Great running back – too bad for Jamaal.
    They will axe Crennel – but what is he supposed to do with this roster? Brady Quinn? Really? He already failed with better opportunities – what was he supposed to do here?
    KC – you are DISMAL. You cannot attract free agents with any talent BECAUSE you are dismal – they will take less pay to play for a team that doesn’t stink on ice.
    No offense to the loyal KC fans – my credit to you. It’s gotta be hard rooting for this team – really.

  16. mgavin78 says: Dec 24, 2012 9:30 AM

    Go jags!!!

  17. draconian1111 says: Dec 24, 2012 9:32 AM

    If I was the person touted as the #1 pick – think I’d break my ankle…steal a car…DWI….beat somebody up.
    It would still ALL be better for my career than going to KC (and, hopefully, the Jags).

    Again – I know they have fans – and I do support loyal fans. I am a Bucs fan…what the hell is up with them…go nuts…go dormant… ???

  18. heyguru1969 says: Dec 24, 2012 9:41 AM

    Not a good year to be bad. Matt Barkley turned out to be inconsistent. There’s definitely no Trent Richardson at RB or A.J. Green at WR, and no clear killer defenders of recent caliber. So the top picks should probably go to O-Line but as always people will reach for “skill” positions. Probably the weakest NFL draft in memory.

  19. niubears says: Dec 24, 2012 9:43 AM

    Drafting defense is the safe route this year. A lot of good prospects that could make an immediate impact.

  20. eatitfanboy says: Dec 24, 2012 10:01 AM

    While it may not be the best year to be bad, it still beats being bad pre-rookie wage scale, where not only would they not have had access to a sure-fire franchise QB, but they would still have to give about $50m guaranteed to whoever they picked, especially in a year like this, where no one would have been looking to trade up.

    But normswifevera makes an excellent point. Just because no one is particularly excited about anyone now, doesn’t mean that someone won’t step up at the combine and private workouts and claim the “can’t miss” title. And if it happens, it’s probably Smith.

  21. jbaxt says: Dec 24, 2012 10:35 AM

    Chiefs “own the strength of schedule over the Jags”. Suck on that Jacksonville! KC owns you at Sucking! The worst part is no player in this draft would’ve gone in the top 10 last year. The life of a Chiefs fan, always good at sucking too late.

  22. MyTeamsAllStink says: Dec 24, 2012 10:57 AM

    the Chiefs will win the Akili Smith 2.0 bowl.

  23. mrwright313 says: Dec 24, 2012 11:21 AM

    Akili Smith- 2 years, 56.6%, 45TD, 15 INT.
    Geno Smith 4 years, 67.4%, 96TD, 21 INT.

    Seems like a great comparison /sarcasm

  24. kgsmith says: Dec 24, 2012 11:24 AM

    The future starting QB’s of KC, Cleveland, buffalo, and Jacksonville are sitting on the bench in NE, Seattle, and Washington

  25. onbucky96 says: Dec 24, 2012 11:26 AM

    Wrong. Jags can stii get #1pick if they lose and Chiefs tie. Who taught you tie rules, Donovan McNabb?

  26. Max says: Dec 24, 2012 11:30 AM

    By draft time at least two of these QBs will be projected in the TOP 10.

  27. japmen says: Dec 24, 2012 11:36 AM

    Chiefs werent smart enough to do it in a year of top notch QBs like Luck and RG3. They have to do this in year where none of the QBs look better than Weeden. At least they lose convincingly. Everyone knew what the Colts were doing last year including Goodell.

  28. kcrobert10 says: Dec 24, 2012 11:52 AM

    Ok unlike previous poster the world is not over for my beloved chiefs. Need the right qb and good fa. Step one resign bowe and Albert plenty of money under the cap to do that. Step 2 make a trade for shancez, flynn, or smith. They can be a bridge guy to a qb we will draft. Fa we need to go after are not limited to reed, mcclain, a wr, a te, and talib. I know we won’t get them all but we have lots of cap dollars time get out the check book. In the draft I would get star loutoui or jarvis Jones or on the offensive side the lt. I would go qb in the 2nd. The only exception I make is if gleennon flys up the board which it looks like he will. Then I would take him at 1. He has NFL size and ARM and I hate to say it about the other qbs but I’m just not impressed with what I see. Gleenon looks like the safest bet to me. Just my 2 cents.

  29. lushy21 says: Dec 24, 2012 12:11 PM

    My Lion’s will use that top 5 pick and get Star Lotulelei. That guys a beast! We don’t really need a DT. Sure we need some db’s that can cover or some lb’s that can tackle or some o-lineman that can block and get some push off the line. We draft talent in Detroit not need and it is working out well for us.

  30. lilrob10201 says: Dec 24, 2012 12:18 PM

    Welcome to KC Geno Smith,you won’t like it there.

  31. goatcheez says: Dec 24, 2012 12:19 PM

    Except the Jags are probably going to beat the Titans because the Titans are terrible too. Jags didn’t even struggle against this last time, easily winning. KC has this locked up.

  32. weaselpuppy says: Dec 24, 2012 12:27 PM

    KC- G Smith
    Jax-L Joeckel
    Phi- Lotulelei
    Oak- Te’o
    Lions-Milliner

    book it

  33. peytonsneck18 says: Dec 24, 2012 12:27 PM

    rg3 is a fraud

  34. dt58 says: Dec 24, 2012 1:10 PM

    I like that Tyler Wilson but not at 1st overall

  35. raiderapologist says: Dec 24, 2012 1:20 PM

    weaselpuppy says: Dec 24, 2012 12:27 PM

    KC- G Smith
    Jax-L Joeckel
    Phi- Lotulelei
    Oak- Te’o
    Lions-Milliner
    book it
    ———
    Doubt it for Oakland. McKenzie is probably already trying to trade down. They don’t have a second or a fifth in the next draft, and Te’o isn’t a top 5 guy.

  36. jbaxt says: Dec 24, 2012 2:32 PM

    Oakland can’t draft Te’O, he has a good head on his shoulders.

  37. raiderapologist says: Dec 24, 2012 4:56 PM

    jbaxt says: Dec 24, 2012 2:32 PM

    Oakland can’t draft Te’O, he has a good head on his shoulders.
    ————
    Oakland burned down the house this year. The best you can hope for is the Chiefs lighting the match next year.

  38. haleyistheman00 says: Dec 24, 2012 8:31 PM

    Dracon. You basically said they need a qb that’s about it everything else was babble.

  39. mazblast says: Dec 24, 2012 9:05 PM

    kcrobert10,

    The real Step 1 is to clean out the front office and coaching staff. Give the place a Drano enema and start over. Flushing out those New England “winners”, Pioli, Crennel, and Cassel, is an absolutely mandatory part of the step.

  40. nelly837 says: Dec 25, 2012 5:21 PM

    Please, Please, Please don’t draft Geno Smith with the #1 pick. That would be worse than the 4th overall pick used on Glenn ( I’m a Bust) Dorsey. Best case scenario would be Chief”s talk the Skins into trading Cousins for our 2nd round pick this year and we trade down our #1 to who ever is stupid enough to want Geno Smith and we pick up and extra 2nd round or 3rd round pick. Then we can pick up either Wilson from Arkansas or the QB from NC State.

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