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Team-by-team look at who would/could/should be tagged

Clady AP

On Monday, the two-week window for using the franchise tag opens.  Every team can use the franchise tag (or the rarely-used transition tag) on one player.

Last year, 21 teams took advantage of the franchise tag, which no longer is based on the five highest-paid players at the position but on a far more convoluted (and club friendly) formula.

It’s not a coincidence.  The new formula makes it much cheaper to keep a player off the open market than it would to pay him a multi-year market contract.

Here’s a look at the team-by-team candidates for the 2013 tag, in alphabetical order.

Arizona Cardinals:  The Cardinals need to keep hard-nosed cover corner Greg Toler, but not at anything close to the eight-figure franchise number.  No other pending free agents have the talent or potential to justify franchise money.  Last year, the Cardinals used the tag on defensive end Calais Campbell; they eventually signed him to a long-term deal.

Atlanta Falcons:  Left tackle Sam Baker, drafted in round one the same year as the man whose blind side he protects, has had good years and bad years.  After starting 16 games in 2012, Baker hits the market on a high note.  Still, the glut of tackles in free agency and the draft will make it hard to justify tagging Baker; if he leaves, the Falcons can find a capable replacement after the market softens.  In 2012, the Falcons used the tag on cornerback Brent Grimes, who tore an Achilles tendon in Week One.  Tagging him would cost $12.48 million for 2013.  It would cost nearly half that amount to tag safety William Moore.

Baltimore Ravens:  It’s not a question of if the Ravens will tag quarterback Joe Flacco.  The only remaining unknown is the level of the tag.  And while a lazy look at the situation would lead to conclusively presuming that there’s no way Flacco leaves Baltimore, there’s a chance (slim, but a chance) that the player and the team could be destined for a game of chicken that would result in both cars flying off the cliff.  The Ravens could opt to go non-exclusive, daring Flacco to sign an offer sheet with another team — and assuming that he never would.  Another team with plenty of cap space could easily craft a front-loaded offer sheet that the Ravens wouldn’t be able to match.  It’s not likely, but anyone who thinks there’s no way Flacco leaves the Ravens hasn’t been paying close enough attention to the far crazier things the NFL has seen in recent years.

Buffalo BillsJairus Byrd has become one on the best free safeties in the league.  With George Wilson gone in a cap move, the Bills need to keep Byrd.  Absent a long-term deal, the tag is the only way to make it happen.  If a long-term deal can be negotiated, guard Andy Levitre becomes a candidate for the tag.  The only impediment would be the fact that interior offensive linemen get the same franchise tender as tackles.

Carolina Panthers:  Their list of potential free agents contains no names that cry out for use of the tag, especially since the Panthers are still dealing with the sins of salary caps past.

Chicago Bears:  The Bears need to keep defensive tackle Henry Melton, but they’ve already got plenty of cap space tied up with defensive players like sackmaster Julius Peppers, cornerback Charles Tillman, and linebacker Lance Briggs.  With Melton regarding himself as the best defensive tackle in the league, a long-term deal could be hard to come by.  Despite his name recognition, linebacker Brian Urlacher isn’t a serious candidate for the tag.

Cincinnati Bengals:  The Bengals are extremely careful with money.  On defense, lineman Michael Johnson is the most obvious candidate to be tagged.  It’s just as likely that the Bengals will be content to go bargain shopping (again) for defensive players to replace their bevy of free agents on that side of the ball, and then hope that defensive coordinator Mike Zimmer can whip up another batch of chicken salad.  On offense, the tag could be used to keep Andre Smith, who quietly has overcome his notorious Jello run to develop into an elite right tackle.  Last year, the tag was used on kicker Mike Nugent; tagging him again would cost only $3.48 million.  Which could make him the most likely candidate.

Cleveland Browns:  Kicker Phil Dawson was tagged in 2011 and 2012.  Using it a third time would entitle him to quarterback money.  So if it’s used, it won’t be used on him.  Punter Reggie Hodges is hitting the market after three years with the team.  Though his performance doesn’t cry out “franchise tag,” it could be cheaper to squat on him for a year than to sign a replacement on the open market; that’s why so many punters and kickers have been tagged in recent years.

Dallas Cowboys:  Tagged last year at $10.5 million, linebacker Anthony Spencer still hasn’t had the kind of impact that he should, given that he plays across from DeMarcus Ware.  Spencer isn’t worth $12.4 million for one more year.

Denver Broncos:  V.P. of football operations John Elway has said that the tag will be used on left tackle Ryan Clady, and for good reason.  Last year, Clady turned down a five-year, $50 million deal.

Detroit Lions:  It’ll take $12.4 million to use the tag for a second straight year on defensive end Cliff Avril, and it won’t be easy for the Lions to round up the kind of cap space necessary to keep him around.  Safety Louis Delmas doesn’t like being labeled as injury prone, but he is.  And the Lions will have to decide whether they want to make a long-term or short-term (via the tag) investment in the guy who could be this decade’s Bob Sanders.  Tackle Gosder Cherilus also could be tagged, but in a buyer’s market for tackles it doesn’t make a whole lot of sense to do it.

Green Bay Packers:  Receiver Greg Jennings turns 30 in September.  In other words, the Packers won’t be using the tag on Greg Jennings.  The Packers learned while he was injured in 2012 that they can live without him, and they won’t be inclined to invest $10 million in cap space to a guy who plays a position that, with Aaron Rodgers at quarterback, is virtually interchangeable.  If the Packers wanted to keep Jennings, they’d be trying to sign him.  They’re not, which likely means he won’t be tagged.

Houston Texans:  Last year, the Texans passed on tagging linebacker Mario Williams because of the exorbitant tender that the final year of his first-overall rookie contract would have generated.  With linebacker Connor Barwin, much less cap space would be consumed.  After seeing former Texans receiver Jacoby Jones deliver an MVP-caliber performance in the Super Bowl, G.M. Rick Smith may be a little less willing to let quality players walk away in 2013.  Another possible (and cheaper) candidate for the tag is punter Donnie Jones.

Indianapolis Colts:  The man with the self-styled boomstick can be kept off the market for the low, low price of the punter/kicker franchise tag ($2.9 million).  Absent a long-term deal, it’s hard to envision the Colts moving forward without punter Pat McAfee.

Jacksonville Jaguars:  A roster thin on star power naturally doesn’t create many franchise-tag candidates, especially with a new G.M. and (another) new coaching staff.  If linebacker Daryl Smith didn’t miss most of the season, he’d be a potential candidate.  Fullback Greg Jones would be a candidate, if fullbacks weren’t lumped in with running backs for franchise tag purposes.

Kansas City Chiefs:  The Chiefs are trying to work out a long-term deal with receiver Dwayne Bowe; if they don’t, it would cost $11.4 million to keep him around for a second season via the tag.  But receivers are more plentiful than competent offensive linemen, and new Chiefs coach Andy Reid witnessed the hard way in 2012 the consequences of not having competent blockers.  This reality makes tackle Branden Albert a more likely candidate to be tagged.  Then there’s punter Dustin Colquitt, who like most punters and kickers could be cheaper to keep via the one-year franchise tag.

Miami Dolphins:  Tackle Jake Long’s rookie deal makes the cap number for tagging him way too high to justify, especially in light of the gradual decline in his play.  With cornerback Sean Smith looking for big money, the best move could be to tag him instead of Long.

Minnesota Vikings:  G.M. Rick Spielman wants to keep road-grading right tackle Phil Loadholt.  With left tackle Matt Kalil tied up via an affordable rookie deal, the Vikings can afford to pay Loadholt a large chunk of money for at least the next two seasons, before Kalil will be looking for his second contract.  Whether that large chunk of money equates to the franchise tag for Loadholt is a decision the Vikings have to make in light of the realities of the tackle market — and within the context of the impact of the use of the tag on the expectations of receiver Percy Harvin.  They’d also like to keep fullback Jerome Felton, but there’s no fullback franchise tag; they’d have to tender him at the running back level.

New England Patriots:  The Patriots have a trio of players who are potential candidates for the tag.  Whether it’s receiver Wes Welker, tackle Sebastian Vollmer, cornerback Aqib Talib, or no one, it won’t be an easy decision.  Welker would command $11.4 million, given that he was tagged in 2012.  It would be a shock if they tag him.  Vollmer has Marcus Cannon behind him on the depth chart, plus plenty of other tackles available in free agency.  The Pats could be inclined to let Vollmer leave if someone else is willing to overpay him.  Talib presents the biggest conundrum, given his positive impact on the team’s so-so defense.  They need him, but he present plenty of risk given his history of off-field incidents.

New Orleans Saints:  Left tackle Jermon Bushrod is the most obvious candidate for the tag.  But the Saints don’t have the cap space to spare.  They easily replaced guard Carl Nicks with Ben Grubbs last year, and the tackle market is far more plentiful in 2013 than the market was for guards last season.  Defensive tackle Sedrick Ellis doesn’t project to nose tackle in the team’s new 3-4 defense, but he could be a candidate to play defensive end in Rob Ryan’s defense, if the Saints want to fork over the money necessary to keep him around.  Things would get interesting if the Saints tag Ellis as a tackle despite a desire to move him to end, since there’s a $2.6 million gap between the two tenders.

New York Giants:  But for the likely existence of collusion in the restricted free agency market, the Giants should be thinking about tagging receiver Victor Cruz.  Since teams have abandoned in recent years the pursuit of RFAs, there’s no reason for the Giants to double the compensation they’d get if someone else swipes Cruz.  Left tackle Will Beatty becomes a candidate for the tag, along with safety Kenny Phillips.  The cheapest of all would be tight end Martellus Bennett, who didn’t get the long-term deal he wanted a year ago in free agency, opting instead for a one-year stay in New York and another shot at the market.

New York Jets:  Safety LaRon Landry is the only guy who merits the tag, but his one-year deal from last year expressly prevents the team from using it.  No one else who is due to become a free agent deserves it.

Oakland Raiders:  There’s a major problem with using the franchise tag on punter Shane Lechler, apart from the fact that the Raiders have landed in a salary cap black hole.  While the franchise tag for punters and kickers will be an affordable $2.9 million in 2013, Lechler’s cap number last year was $4.9 million.  Under the CBA, he’s entitled to a 120 percent raise over that number, which translates to a cap number of $5.88 million.  It could be time for the much cheaper Marquette King, a converted receiver who has drawn comparisons to the monster-legged Reggie Roby.  Either way, it’s hard to imagine that the cap-strapped Raiders would pay a punter twice the amount of the base franchise tag for punters.

Philadelphia Eagles:  The Eagles don’t have many looming free agents, which means that they don’t have many candidates for the franchise tag.  Cornerback Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie would be one, if he was, you know, better.

Pittsburgh Steelers:  The Steelers have said they won’t use the franchise tag.  Which means that receiver Mike Wallace will hit the open market.  Which means that someone will overpay him on the first day of free agency.

San Diego ChargersLook at their free agents.  Though cornerback Quentin Jammer has been a mainstay in San Diego since 2002, he’s not worth what it would cost to keep him via the franchise tag.  No one else with an expiring contract justifies the tag, which is one of the reasons why there’s a new G.M. and head coach.

San Francisco 49ers:  Safety Dashon Goldson doesn’t want to be tagged again, but what he wants and what he gets could be two different things.  Absent a long-term deal, the Niners have to keep Goldson around — even if using the tag for a second time virtually guarantees he’ll hit the market in 2014.  If Goldson gets a new deal, it’ll be interesting to see whether the Niners would use the tag on their second-string but highly versatile tight end, Delanie Walker.

Seattle Seahawks:  The ultra-low kicker tag of $2.9 million could be used to keep the strong-legged Steven Hauschka.

St. Louis Rams:  Receiver Danny Amendola has become one of the best slot receivers in the NFL, but his injury history and the eight-figure franchise tender for wideouts likely will scare the Rams away.  Still, if Amendola hits the market, he won’t be there long.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers:  The Bucs plans to spend on keeping their own guys.  When it comes to using the tag, it’s a toss-up between tackle Jeremy Trueblood and defensive end Michael Bennett, or neither.

Tennessee Titans:  The Titans reportedly are expected to use the tag on tight end Jared Cook, absent a multi-year deal.  Kicker Rob Bironas also is a possibility, but he had a cap number of $3.675 million in 2012.  Which means that the tag would cost the Titans $4.41 million in 2013, $1.5 million more than the base tag for kickers and punters.

Washington Redskins:  With $18 million in missing cap space, the Redskins can’t afford to use the tag.  Especially since tagging tight end Fred Davis again would bump his 2012 tender by 20 percent — a year after he suffered a torn Achilles tendon.  Punter Sav Rocca is a slim possibility, but even the $2.9 million will be more than the Redskins can justify with their cap situation.

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42 Responses to “Team-by-team look at who would/could/should be tagged”
  1. buccfaninhawkeyecountry says: Feb 17, 2013 9:11 PM

    Guarantee it will not be trueblood. Its bennett or nobody for the Buccs

  2. quizguy66 says: Feb 17, 2013 9:14 PM

    I think the Bengals are most likely to tag Andre as I yhink they are likely to get a deal with Johnson done (there is mutual interest). The last bit about Nugent makes no sense as he got hurt again this year and Josh Brown did a great job in his place – they have no need to tag Nugent and may not even be intetested in keeping him if they can get a deal done with Brown
    -QG

  3. fighting69th says: Feb 17, 2013 9:17 PM

    The Lions need to get rid of Avril. He is not worth all that money. Wait till everyone passes on him because he doesn’t deserve “mario” money then sign him back for less. Delmas gone. He is undersized and injury prone. Go get Landry. They will screw it up though. Am I right or am I right Lions fans?

  4. reasonablemindsays says: Feb 17, 2013 9:23 PM

    We will be referring to Rogers-Cromartie as “Deion Sanders 2.0″ when he leads the league in interceptions under Kelly’s new defensive scheme.

  5. kattykathy says: Feb 17, 2013 9:32 PM

    KC will sign william Moore if Atlanta doesnt tag him

  6. zinn22 says: Feb 17, 2013 9:32 PM

    In regards to know one else on the Jets deserving to be tagged you forget Brandon Moore. PFF graded him as the 4th best guard in football in 2012 and the top FA avaiable.

    The problem with More is he getting old and the Jets would rather sign someone younger like Slauson. Not to mention the Jets could likely resign Moore at a cheaper amount than the franchise tag.

    I don’t think it is likely Moore comes back with the Jets. He will be a big loss. Similar to the loss the Jets suffered when Woody retired after 2010. The Jets will have a very tough time replacing him Slauson and the 2 outside LBs, along with 2 safetys, a TE, RB and still find a serviceable QB. Idzik has a lot of work to do.

  7. onebucplace says: Feb 17, 2013 9:37 PM

    Trueblood wasn’t even starting for the Bucs, why would the Bucs tag a backup? Whoever made this list should go back to covering soccer or making cookies.

  8. bonniebengal says: Feb 17, 2013 9:42 PM

    Ridiculous comments about the Bengals. Mike Nugent won’t be tagged. He most likely won’t be signed at all in favor of Josh Brown. Johnson will probably be signed; he’s optimistic about it and wants to come back. If they tag anyone, it will be Smith.

  9. nfl4days says: Feb 17, 2013 9:46 PM

    Rodgers-Cromartie isnt even good enough to smell deion sanders jock. I would take richard sherman with hands and feet incased in cement with his dreads tied around his eyes before i even consider DRC.

  10. ruggyup says: Feb 17, 2013 9:47 PM

    No, Bucs, NO! Not Trueblood! Bennett or forget it. Spend the money on your prize warriors.

  11. raynman49 says: Feb 17, 2013 9:47 PM

    zinn, sanchise has to have someone to run into.

  12. vikings1986 says: Feb 17, 2013 9:49 PM

    Hope Vikings keep loadholt his size is hard to draft, but he could still get alot better

  13. thekingdave says: Feb 17, 2013 10:00 PM

    Uh, Barwin’s gone. There was a reason Mercilus was drafted.

  14. canadianbucsfan says: Feb 17, 2013 10:13 PM

    LOL wtf Florio you think Trueblood is an option for the franchise tag.. theres no chance that is happening.

  15. jason49er says: Feb 17, 2013 10:23 PM

    No chance on god’s green earth Delanie Walker gets tagged. Besides the fact that they just can’t afford it, no one tags a 2nd string TE, not even the Patriots who roster 8 of them at a time.

  16. titans12thman says: Feb 17, 2013 10:30 PM

    Hey Mr. Adams, just a fan here…. if we use the Franchise Tag on Jared Cook and we don’t use him effectively again this year, I will gladly apply for the job of the guy that gets to fire the guy that didn’t use Jared Cook effectively.

  17. bucrightoff says: Feb 17, 2013 10:39 PM

    Trueblood, was that supposed to be a joke? Did you throw that in there to see if we were still reading? I don’t think a CFL team would franchise him.

  18. vikings1986 says: Feb 17, 2013 10:41 PM

    The VIkings need to stop being so cheap and pay Percy and get wr help already seriously

  19. bleedgreen11 says: Feb 17, 2013 10:57 PM

    how is the author of this blog post on national television talking about football? little leprechaun fool.

  20. ravenator says: Feb 17, 2013 11:00 PM

    Joe Flacco stays, so many other names you could’ve written about. Lazy.

  21. cannonballdookie says: Feb 17, 2013 11:10 PM

    Cliff Avril?

    Is that that name Ray Edwards goes by now? The similarites between these two are uncanny,

  22. monkeyhateclean says: Feb 17, 2013 11:23 PM

    Any GM who throws bank at a fullback deserves to be unemployed, so AP is set to reunite with Felton next year.

    The Vikes will not find a better player than Harvin in the draft’s first 3 rounds, so his agent might as will prepare to have his client franchised. The Vikes will never let him walk.

    Meanwhile, Loadholt isn’t worth the money, and the Vikes can easily draft his replacement in the 4th-5th-6th-7th-8th-9th-10th rounds. And that player will be far better than Loadholt on his best day.

    So sorry Loadholt, hope you saved your money, or are adept at convincing us to supersize our orders, because you are about to become officially useless to society.

  23. 1972wasalongtimeago says: Feb 17, 2013 11:55 PM

    True Blood was good season one when it was just vampires. Then it got started with shape shifters, fairies, witches, werewolves, and panthers; plus Sookie’s general annoyingness, made the show unwatchable toward the end.

  24. 4evrnyt says: Feb 17, 2013 11:56 PM

    If Goldson gets a new deal, it’ll be interesting to see whether the Niners would use the tag on their second-string but highly versatile tight end, Delanie Walker.
    ————————————-
    Do your homework please. 49ers are not going to pay $5.5M to a TE that dropped more passes then any other offensive player in the league last year. When you consider that Vernon Davis is scheduled to make 6.0M before any bonuses it makes 5.5 to Delanie sound even more ludicrous.

  25. marcinhouston says: Feb 18, 2013 12:08 AM

    The Saints will not franchise Sedrick Ellis, he is a bust and fans have been waiting for his contract to finally run out.

  26. stampnhawk says: Feb 18, 2013 12:12 AM

    Seahawks in good shape when the main candidate for the tag is to be used on a kicker.

    Have 5th or 6th most cap room with a billionaire owner who will spend it.

    Have an asset in Flynn to trade or hold the clipboard at worst.

    Have a starting Qb making $600k for another 2 years.

    Have a few needs in so far as depth across the roster, but no huge holes. D line for a bit more of a pass rush, and then probably a LB to replace Hill, who will be cut if for nothing else then another brush with the law this offseason.

  27. discosucs2005 says: Feb 18, 2013 1:10 AM

    Fellow 49ers fans, please correct me if you think I’m wrong, but I would say there is a 0% chance that Walker gets a franchise tag.

    If its not Goldson it’s nobody. Soapaga is the only other starter, and that’s a high price for an only above average player (although it is worth noting that Ricky Jean Francois, his backup, is also a free agent so maybe that makes it within the realm is possibility).

  28. stercuilus65 says: Feb 18, 2013 1:40 AM

    I’ve read good informative articles, this would be one, if it was, you know, better.

  29. winstonpark says: Feb 18, 2013 1:51 AM

    Bennett and Trueblood will not be tagged this year. You can resign Trueblood for pennies, and Bennett isn’t worth the money. Let him sign with someone that will over pay, but the draft is deep with DE’s. I think the Bucs will let him test the market.

  30. 3superman3 says: Feb 18, 2013 2:22 AM

    Chip Kelly has defensive schemes??

  31. tbtrojan says: Feb 18, 2013 3:49 AM

    Please tell me that Trueblood for the Bucs was just a joke.
    If you really meant that you really have hit rock bottom, pushing political agendas nobody is interested in and being out of touch with football.
    It’s a shame, this site was great at one time.

  32. jason49er says: Feb 18, 2013 6:49 AM

    Sopoaga only started 9 games last year, he was being phased out as the season went on, I don’t think he is coming back barring a team friendly deal. Either Goldson gets the tag or no one does.

  33. Danny Anderson says: Feb 18, 2013 7:58 AM

    Figures that the best players my beloved Brownies can come up in this discussion are kickers. That should indicate some of the problem.

  34. dccowboy says: Feb 18, 2013 8:43 AM

    “Tagged last year at $10.5 million, linebacker Anthony Spencer ”

    Spencer’s tag number last season was $8.6 million. $10.5 million is what his tag number would be this season.

    Spencer provided 11.5 sacks, 35 QB pressures, 2 forced fumbles, and more tackles for loss than any other defensive player in Dallas last season. He could reasonably be called the best defensive player in Dallas last year.

  35. bobbyhoying says: Feb 18, 2013 8:43 AM

    Given what you said about Rogers – Cromartie, how did the Eagles get the best of the Kevin Kolb trade? I think the Cardinals will be the long term winners in that deal.

  36. rg3andthensome says: Feb 18, 2013 9:07 AM

    FedEx Field will burn if we franchise tag a punter. Bye Sav.

  37. bengalsucker says: Feb 18, 2013 9:57 AM

    Your comment about the Bengals tagging Nugent just shows how little you know about the Bengals. Josh Brown came in and replaced Nugent last year. No doubt in my mind he’s Nugent’s permanant replacement on this team. I see the tag going to Michael Johnson (if they can’t agree to a deal) or unfortunately Andre Smith as I’m not a fan of his. Yeah he’s been playing better but all the crap he pulled at the combine and then him coming in way overweight and then breaking his foot probably because of his weight irks me.

  38. fringetastic says: Feb 18, 2013 9:59 AM

    I hope the Redskins or, less likely, the Cowboys put an offer to Cruz. Screw your collusion, Mara!

  39. mackie66 says: Feb 18, 2013 12:37 PM

    Mike, did u even watch 2min of Smiths film showing him either drop a INT or getting beat by every WR in the NFL. NO way, no how does Jeffery give Smith 11mil for one season. Jefferys not going to sign him, he’ll let sign elsewhere and draft a DB in the 2nd or 3rd rd. Same reason they traded Davis to Indy. All Show…

  40. pewterpiratetampabayray says: Feb 18, 2013 5:40 PM

    Your comment about the Buccaneers use of the franchise tag is way off. Did you even read through this before you attached your name to it?

  41. ss376 says: Feb 18, 2013 5:52 PM

    My guess is the Giants don’t tag anyone.

    We will figure out some solution for Cruz and get him signed.

    Beatty is good but the cap number will be just too plain high to let us address all our other needs.

    Phillips is unhappy and ready to play elsewhere and is replaceable in any event.

    Bennett is a possibility but I think the Giants will look for a TE this year in the mid to late rounds.

  42. tdk24 says: Mar 1, 2013 2:10 PM

    “It could be time for the much cheaper Marquette King, a converted receiver who has drawn comparisons to the monster-legged Reggie Roby.”
    ____________________________

    I thought you just went over this the other day. Why can’t he draw a comparison to Ray Guy or Mitch Berger?

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