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Six seats already are hot

Rex AP

The most recent blurb I banged out on the PFT portable Commodore 64 focused on hope.  So why not balance it out with a little despair?

While every fan of every team currently has hope, we know that plenty of teams ultimately will be hopeless.  The recent trend toward every team having a legitimate chance to win has resulted in more impatience among owners, prompting more teams to make changes in the hopes of becoming one of the teams that quickly turns things around.

Last year, eight coaches lost their jobs after the season ended.  This year, no fewer than six enter the season on the hot seat.

The hottest comes in New York, where the firing of the General Manager but not the head coach predisposes John Idzik to want his own guy.  Rex Ryan hasn’t done much to help his cause so far.  It doesn’t mean the Jets are destined to have another bad season.  If they do, however, change is coming.  The only question is whether the Jets end up bad enough to get owner Woody Johnson to press the “reset” button, firing both Ryan and Idzik and changing the model to a strong head coach who hires his own folks to help him set the table.

The flames are flickering in Tennessee, where three-decade employee Mike Munchak could fall to the whims of a ninety-something owner who expects the money spent in the offseason to transform into a contender.  Many thought Munchak could be gone after a disastrous 2012.  Absent significant improvement this year, it could be over.

Ditto for Dennis Allen, who works for a Raiders franchise where only G.M. Reggie McKenzie seems to be safe (and even McKenzie may not be).  While Allen has had one hand tied behind his back due to subpar personnel, misadventures via the team’s offensive schemes stick to the head coach.  Owner Mark Davis has shown flashes of impatience; if the 2-14 Chiefs leave the Raiders in the dust of the AFC West this year, the Son of Al could behave like an apple nestled at the base of the tree.

In the NFC, the Cowboys have developed an unspoken belief that, if they can get to the playoffs, they can win the Super Bowl.  But they can’t get to the playoffs.  If they don’t, look for Jason Garrett to be out.  And look for Jerry Jones to make a run at Jon Gruden, who would instantly be reunited with multiple of his former assistants.

Lions coach Jim Schwartz received a contract extension in 2012, and that still almost wasn’t enough to save him.  It did, but it won’t if the team falls to 4-12 again.

In Charlotte, where a new G.M. is likely waiting for a reason to hire his own head coach, Ron Rivera has to show that he’s the man to get the most out of Cam Newton, and to complement him with a defense that can slow down some of the high-powered offenses in the NFC South.

Beyond those six, other guys could slide onto the hot seat, depending on how the season unfolds.  With all the money invested by the Dolphins in talent, a 6-10 season or worse could put Joe Philbin in the crosshairs for change.  For the Giants, where G.M. Jerry Reese has put everyone on notice, another failure to get to the playoffs will at a minimum get Tom Coughlin on the hot seat for 2014.  Which could be a good thing, since whenever he’s on the hot seat, the Giants win the Super Bowl.

In Pittsburgh, where the Rooneys have employed three coaches since the first term of the Nixon administration, pressure could increase on Mike Tomlin.  Given their history, the Rooneys will ignore any external calls for change.  But this would be the first time that Art Rooney will be presiding over a multi-year absence from the postseason.

Finally, a failure to get to the playoffs coupled with lingering questions and disagreements regarding the proper use of quarterback Robert Griffin III could make the most powerful man in D.C. who doesn’t live at 1600 Pennsylvania Avenue to make a Magic Johnson-style power play.

The final list of fired coaches depends largely on how the 255 remaining regular-season dominoes fall.  Another 13 of them fall today.  History tells us that more than half that many head coaches could be falling out of employment by the end of the year.

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31 Responses to “Six seats already are hot”
  1. helladonks says: Sep 8, 2013 8:44 AM

    yes, josh freeman’s

  2. dulz26 says: Sep 8, 2013 8:48 AM

    Irland gonne……

  3. jakec4 says: Sep 8, 2013 8:48 AM

    Philbin is doing a good job. I guess if you throw enough at the wall something is bound to stick.

  4. mattybarry says: Sep 8, 2013 8:52 AM

    Dennis Allen should not be on the hot seat has not had nearly the personnel to even compete for a playoff spot.

  5. peytonshead says: Sep 8, 2013 8:53 AM

    Does Rex Ryan call the defensive plays for the Jets? If not, he may one to take a page from the Rob Chudzinski play book and start preparing for his new job as defensive coordinator (if he’s lucky).

  6. greymares says: Sep 8, 2013 8:55 AM

    Shanahan is as good as gone.

  7. greymares says: Sep 8, 2013 8:58 AM

    Chip Kelly will be the last man standing in the N.F.C. EAST at seasons end.

  8. nyjallfingday says: Sep 8, 2013 9:01 AM

    Are you already talking about Idzik getting fired? Seriously? He just got here.

  9. doall24 says: Sep 8, 2013 9:01 AM

    rex ryan is as good as gone. the jets will be lucky to win 5 games, they should have got rid of rex when they got rid of everyone else.

  10. the8man says: Sep 8, 2013 9:02 AM

    The NFL equivalent of a dead pool. I often wonder if any coaches read content from sites like this.

  11. wearethesteelers says: Sep 8, 2013 9:14 AM

    We agree. It would be a surprise if any of the coaches extended their tenure through next year. It’s hard to believe that Rex Ryan actually has a winning HC record.

  12. cool10857 says: Sep 8, 2013 9:17 AM

    Fire Rex Ryan now!

  13. mrturophile says: Sep 8, 2013 9:25 AM

    How does an apple nestled at the base of a tree behave, exactly?

  14. arwiv says: Sep 8, 2013 9:29 AM

    Coughlin is not going to be on any hot seat any time soon. The second trophy pretty much guaranteed that he only leaves when he’s ready to leave. Probably not this year, but I think he, Eli, and Reese have one more SB in them before all is said and done.

  15. jimmysee says: Sep 8, 2013 9:40 AM

    Mike McCarthy will be coaching in Green Bay in 2014.

    That’s one domino that won’t fall.

  16. hafftime says: Sep 8, 2013 9:43 AM

    tomlin is safe no matter how bad of a coach he may be. no way the rooneys fire a black head coach. ( rooney rule anyone ?)

  17. silverhornet says: Sep 8, 2013 10:16 AM

    and so it begins

  18. djohnson757 says: Sep 8, 2013 10:19 AM

    Shanahan is not on the bubble!….Take that to the bank Jack!

  19. seatownballers says: Sep 8, 2013 10:24 AM

    We all know jets will go 5-11. Rex and Sanchez are toast

  20. bigbadal21 says: Sep 8, 2013 10:29 AM

    You’ll lose your job way before Tomlin loses his.

  21. gatorarms says: Sep 8, 2013 10:31 AM

    Rivera definitely needs to reach the playoffs if he wants to be in Carolina next year. Difficulty: The Panthers have the toughest strength of schedule (.543) in the league this year again.

  22. cwk22 says: Sep 8, 2013 10:32 AM

    If my Fins suck again this year, get rid of I
    Ireland

  23. tinbender2000 says: Sep 8, 2013 10:38 AM

    8-8, Shanahan gone, team renamed Redfaced Midgets

  24. cityofchampyinz says: Sep 8, 2013 11:02 AM

    Tomlin? The content on this site is turning into garbage.

  25. charlutes says: Sep 8, 2013 11:05 AM

    Already are hot? Are hot already. Learn to write.

  26. SparkyGump says: Sep 8, 2013 11:06 AM

    Too bad you can’t fire an owner.

  27. doitbigreggiemckenzie says: Sep 8, 2013 11:42 AM

    I think Dennis Allen is on the hot seat, but I also think if he somehow put a top 15 defense on the field and they get to 6 wins he gets a third year.

    Anyone who does that with the players he has deserves a third year.

    Also, I think he must at least get 3 or 4 division wins, which they should get two against the Chargers. The other one or two is going to be hard to find.

  28. thelegendofteabaggervance says: Sep 8, 2013 12:46 PM

    The notion that either of the Shanahan’s seats is hot is outright ridiculous.

  29. hogdropalogonbigd says: Sep 8, 2013 8:24 PM

    Shanny on the hotseat? Uh … No.

  30. joparks2012 says: Sep 9, 2013 3:14 PM

    So Shanahan is on the hot seat potentially before his team play their first game tonight and after a very poorly played NYG/DAL game last night where both teams showed a lot of weaknesses. If you are going to throw speculations against the wall and see what sticks, why don’t you say that all 32 of the coaches are on the hot seat. At least you have a 100% chance of being 3.125% correct.

  31. jerrygray721 says: Sep 9, 2013 4:28 PM

    i’m not a jets fan at all and I still don’t think ryan finishes this season but I don’t believe idzik getting fired would be fair to him he took the job and was handed a mess that a good portion of he can’t do anything about until after this season at the soonest.
    I know woody Johnson(I still laugh when I hear his name)can be a little crazy at times but I don’t think even woody gives idzik the boot quite that fast

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