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Jaguars, Texans, Falcons battling for first overall pick

Clowney AP

With so many good games on Sunday, few people paid much attention to the ugly battle between the Jaguars and the Texans. But where the 2014 NFL draft is concerned, that was a huge game.

All season the Jaguars have been the favorites to land the first overall pick in next year’s draft, but by defeating the Texans on Sunday, the Jaguars have made the battle for the first overall pick a close one. Both the Jaguars and the Texans are 2-9 right now, as are the Falcons, and those three teams are currently in a three-way tie for the first overall pick. The tiebreaker is strength of schedule, with the team that played the weakest schedule getting the highest pick. Although it’s too soon to say how the final strength of schedule numbers will look, the Jaguars would likely win the tiebreaker thanks to their last-place schedule this season. The Falcons and Texans both won their divisions last year and are playing first-place schedules.

The Jaguars and Texans will face each other on Thursday, December 5, and the loser of that game will have the inside track for the first overall pick. Interestingly, Louisville quarterback Teddy Bridgewater, viewed as a potential first overall pick, will be playing his team’s regular-season finale that same night.

But what could really make things interesting is if the Falcons lose all of their remaining games, and the Jaguars and Texans both win at least one. That would give Atlanta the first overall pick, and with Matt Ryan already in place as the franchise quarterback, a Falcons team that already has a lot of the pieces in place could land the first overall pick and select South Carolina Jadeveon Clowney, who could significantly upgrade their pass rush as a rookie.

If the Jaguars, Texans and Falcons all win games in December, the 2-8-1 Vikings could get into the mix. Minnesota’s tie in Green Bay on Sunday moved the Vikings into the fourth spot in the draft order, for now.

After the Vikings in the draft order come two teams with three wins apiece: Tampa Bay, which has amazingly gone from 0-8 to 3-8, and Washington, which is currently at 3-7 and plays San Francisco tonight. Rams fans will be rooting for the 49ers: Washington sent its first-round pick to St. Louis as part of the trade to acquire Robert Griffin III.

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68 Responses to “Jaguars, Texans, Falcons battling for first overall pick”
  1. pastabelly says: Nov 25, 2013 10:35 AM

    a Falcons team that already has a lot of the pieces in place could land the first overall pick and select South Carolina Jadeveon Clowney, who could significantly upgrade their pass rush as a rookie.
    =================================
    I believe he has two sacks all year. I suppose if someone wasn’t paying attention to anything that actually happened this season, then he would go pretty high. He just seems like a high risk as a top ten pick.

  2. Chuck Norris says: Nov 25, 2013 10:35 AM

    Nobody in their right mind would have put the Texans or Falcons in the discussion of #1 pick in the draft prior to the season…

    The good news for the Texans is they can get rid of Schaub and get a new franchise QB if they lose enough of their remaining games. Manziel perhaps?

  3. touchdownroddywhite says: Nov 25, 2013 10:35 AM

    Clowney seems like a great kid and all, but I’d much rather watch the Falcons trade down a few spots to a QB desperate team who wants their guy in order to grab a haul that is even remotely close to what the Rams fleeced from the Redskins…

  4. tjacks7 says: Nov 25, 2013 10:37 AM

    Teddy Bridgewater and a competent coaching staff could make the Vikings dangerous for the next few years. Hope the Vikings can get back into the mix! I’m starting to think Mariota and Manziel are heading back to college.

  5. southpaw2k says: Nov 25, 2013 10:38 AM

    Only the Jaguars could find a way to lose by winning football games all of a sudden.

    Also, I’m sure that logicalvoicesays will make some statement like the Redskins don’t even need their first round pick in April because they’re the Greatest Franchise of All Time and will win the next 70 Super Bowls.

  6. raymondtx says: Nov 25, 2013 10:40 AM

    There is some bad football to be played before the #1 pick is settled by these teams.

  7. elliottcovert says: Nov 25, 2013 10:40 AM

    This is the first year in a long, long time that this many teams with either franchise QBs or teams with QBs who have generally been thought of as at least decent, competent NFL starters have been in contention for the top overall pick.

  8. icanspeel says: Nov 25, 2013 10:41 AM

    I still think there should be some form of lottery in the NFL for say the top 5 picks. Always bugs me how you can calculate what you need to win or lose to clinch a top draft pick.

  9. bucrightoff says: Nov 25, 2013 10:41 AM

    Falcons and Texans are obviously tanking.

  10. whatjusthapped says: Nov 25, 2013 10:44 AM

    I know it’s early but I would not count out the Vikings just yet. Embrace the suck is a phrase that has come to define their season and in that sense, they are just getting started.

    Its apparent that the Vikings will draft high but equally true is they will consistently blow it as evidenced by reaching for Ponder at #12 overall. With a pick in the top 3 or 4, they will make the Ryan Leaf draft pick look good.

  11. schultzbrigade says: Nov 25, 2013 10:46 AM

    You gotta put the Browns in this conversation, AGAIN!

  12. pillowporkers says: Nov 25, 2013 10:48 AM

    Don’t forget the Vikings are only 1/2 game out!

  13. mrsmell says: Nov 25, 2013 10:52 AM

    Falcons trading down to get Mack and possibly getting Lewan would be a steal. Texans need a lot of help, but if Kubiak is fired, might as well draft a QB. Jags need Mariotta. I have a hard time seeing a pocket passer succeeding under current regime. As good as Teddy is, a dual threat can change the division.

  14. 6ball says: Nov 25, 2013 10:53 AM

    .

    If Atlanta has a top five pick they would surely consider trading back with a QB hungry team. The price tag for the pick would be somewhere in the neighborhood of the RG3 deal. With that kind of draft currency the Falcons could rebound in a hurry.

    .

  15. nflofficeadmin says: Nov 25, 2013 11:01 AM

    By question about Clowney is has he lost the hunger to be great. Everyone has already told him he’s the best. He doesn’t feel like he needs to go out and prove it.

  16. pacodawg says: Nov 25, 2013 11:04 AM

    Browns could package 1 of their first rounders and weedon to move up to
    Land bridgewater……….. Just kidding

  17. polegojim says: Nov 25, 2013 11:07 AM

    Lions fans wish to trade Jim Schwartz to… ANYONE… for the first overall pick of the draft.

  18. skins1970 says: Nov 25, 2013 11:08 AM

    For the last time the Skins only gave up 2 1st draft picks and a 2nd. The Giants gave up more for Eli Manning no one can disagree with that.

  19. southpaw2k says: Nov 25, 2013 11:10 AM

    nflofficeadmin says:
    Nov 25, 2013 11:01 AM

    By question about Clowney is has he lost the hunger to be great. Everyone has already told him he’s the best. He doesn’t feel like he needs to go out and prove it.

    —————————————————-

    I guess he learned nothing from JaMarcus Russell then.

  20. marcinhouston says: Nov 25, 2013 11:12 AM

    The Falcons should consider drafting a quarterback. Matt Ryan is ‘in place’ as the worst playoff QB in NFL history and has made it clear this year that he can’t produce without his usual arsenal of two all-pro receiver, an all-pro tight end, and top running game, and a good offensive line. Considering Roddy White is old, Tony Gonzalez will retire or move on to a contender, Julio Jones injuries could be chronic and career threatening, and the rest of the pieces just aren’t there, the Falcons really need a QB who can make the players around him better and do more with less, not way less with less.

  21. kane337 says: Nov 25, 2013 11:12 AM

    Tank for Clowney – Falcons

  22. goodellisruiningtheleague says: Nov 25, 2013 11:14 AM

    Don’t count the Redskins out just yet! They’re only 1 game behind with games left against Kansas City, San Francisco, Atlanta, Dallas and 2 against the Giants.

  23. bluenose1965 says: Nov 25, 2013 11:16 AM

    bucrightoff says:
    Nov 25, 2013 10:41 AM
    Falcons and Texans are obviously tanking.

    ____________________________________

    Who do you think is telling them to tank? The coach and GM who will be fired if they continue to lose?

    At least put some thought into your comments.

  24. Andre's Johnson says: Nov 25, 2013 11:19 AM

    My worst fear is that the Texans somehow draft Manziel. Oh dear God no. I can’t even stomach the thought of that little punk ass mental midget in a Texans uniform.

  25. tennesseeoilers says: Nov 25, 2013 11:21 AM

    [insert long pause with sound of crickets]

    … Remember when the Falcons and Texans entered the season as “Super Bowl contenders”?

    Yeah, remember that?

  26. esracerx46 says: Nov 25, 2013 11:21 AM

    Call me crazy, but I see Clowney as a bust. Known for one good year and one big hit.

  27. coltzfan166 says: Nov 25, 2013 11:23 AM

    Sumlin and Manziel will be in Houston in 2014

  28. 23rdusernameused says: Nov 25, 2013 11:23 AM

    skins1970 says: Nov 25, 2013 11:08 AM

    For the last time the Skins only gave up 2 1st draft picks and a 2nd. The Giants gave up more for Eli Manning no one can disagree with that.

    The big difference is, the ELI was worth it at the time, Bob3sticks, not so much!!
    One and done, broken and beaten!

    Is Eli worth it now, hell no!

  29. pooflingingmonkey says: Nov 25, 2013 11:23 AM

    Ad-Block to the rescue!

  30. jimmysee says: Nov 25, 2013 11:24 AM

    When this season started, lots of us were figuring the Falcons and Texans might be meeting in the Super Bowl.

    How the mighty have fallen!

    (On the other hand, the Jags are pretty much where we figured they would be.)

  31. gochargersgo says: Nov 25, 2013 11:26 AM

    pastabelly says:
    Nov 25, 2013 10:35 AM
    “a Falcons team that already has a lot of the pieces in place could land the first overall pick and select South Carolina Jadeveon Clowney, who could significantly upgrade their pass rush as a rookie.
    =================================
    I believe he has two sacks all year. I suppose if someone wasn’t paying attention to anything that actually happened this season, then he would go pretty high. He just seems like a high risk as a top ten pick.”

    I suppose if you really knew how football worked, you would understand that sacks are not a very good measure of how productive/ disruptive a defensive linemen is being. Pressures, knockdowns, how often he is drawing double teams; these are much better indicators and by most accounts he is performing extremely well in these areas. Of course this would require you to actually watch the games and do some research. But go ahead, keep slinging mud because you checked out his stats page for 37 seconds.

  32. FlashPatterson says: Nov 25, 2013 11:31 AM

    icanspeel says:
    Nov 25, 2013 10:41 AM
    I still think there should be some form of lottery in the NFL for say the top 5 picks. Always bugs me how you can calculate what you need to win or lose to clinch a top draft pick.
    ———————————————
    And open the floodgates to corruption and skepticism? Lotteries produce “coincidences” like the Cavs conveniently getting Kyrie Irving to replace LeBron. And Derek Rose going to the Bulls who weren’t even in the bottom 5 teams. The NFL doesn’t need that. The Jags winning this week is proof that the teams aren’t tanking games.

  33. jeremycrowhurst says: Nov 25, 2013 11:34 AM

    Great to see MJD finally get the albatross off his back and have that first, elusive 80 yard rushing game….

    I don’t know what research shows on this point, but when you have a couple of teams who are down because of injuries, and one team that’s down because they just genuinely suck, I would think that the latter would win the derby.

    But like a couple of others above, I think it’s too soon to count out the Vikings.

  34. mrsmell says: Nov 25, 2013 11:40 AM

    @gochargersgo

    Thank you. Clowney has been living the backyard of the opposition all year. How many teams have rolled extra OLs his way, rolled the QB away from him, run away from him. If Texans can get Clowney, the combo of Watt and Clowney could be devastating.

  35. johnnyjagfan says: Nov 25, 2013 11:41 AM

    Jags win against Houston was great for the franchise. Won only two games this year, but both against division opponents, both whom will play in Jax this season. If the team gets better, they’ll always remember that when they sucked, they still beat the Titans and Texans. It needs to stick in their minds that we don’t lose to these teams. Ever. Let’s go 4-12 or better yet, win against Buffalo and go 5-11. The draft will take care of itself. I trust Caldwell and the scouting guys enough to figure it out. Didn’t y’all listen to Herm? YOU PLAY TO WIN THE GAME!!

  36. conormacleod says: Nov 25, 2013 11:44 AM

    Ties shouldn’t be allowed in the NFL.

  37. gallopinggilmore says: Nov 25, 2013 11:51 AM

    The Jaguars are so bad they can’t even win the #1 pick!

  38. v2the4 says: Nov 25, 2013 11:57 AM

    for all the guys saying Sumlin and Manzel will be in Houston as a package deal….did everyone forget who Sumlin coached before Manzel? Case Keenum at UH, who was also coached by Art Briles….Keenum is handcuffed bigtime by Gary Kubiak and his 1980’s Dan Reeves/Mike Shanahan Denver offense….but Sumlin will not be in Houston, even though I wish he would

    the main thing to consider with the Houston Texans is will the same coaching staff be in place in 2014? if they are, then guess what Jadevon Clowney will play if he is drafted by the Texans, not DE but LB…yes, LB…remember wade phillips, the DC in Houston, runs a 3-4, with the outside backers standing up and in pass coverage…Mario Williams was a 6’7″ LB in his first year under Phillips until he had the foot injury that ended his 2011 season…

    .I cant see Clowney playing outside backer…you put him on the line with Watt, Antonio Smith and whoever is playing NT, with Cushing returning from injury, along with two secondary starters and the Texans D will be back to that 2011-2012 D….even as sorry as they have played, they are still statistically the #1 rated D

    But, its obvious the Texans need playmakers on offense…I would love to see them get Teddy Bridgewater #1 overall and trade back in the first round to get the black mamba DeAnthony Thomas, who can solve their punt and kickoff return issues.

  39. oreo51 says: Nov 25, 2013 12:00 PM

    The AFC is so bad they don’t even have 6 teams that are “Bowl Eligible” for the playoffs.

  40. djjackson81 says: Nov 25, 2013 12:01 PM

    Let’s be honest Jax or Houston possibly ATL can draft Bridgwater. It would behoove Jax to trade there pick cause it’s not just a QB that fixes that hot mess. IMO Carr and Boyd are the QB AZ should target

  41. doorharp11 says: Nov 25, 2013 12:08 PM

    what makes people think any of these qbs in the draft are going to turn around a team. no one compares to luck or wilson in this draft. look at rg3 he was suppose to the next big thing and maybe he will be but he is what his record says he is. the draft is for the barstools and dreamers…

  42. 21stnprime says: Nov 25, 2013 12:08 PM

    With the rams getting 2 first round picks, the NFC west is gonna be a problem for years to come. This is probably the strongest division ever, top to bottom, since the realignment.

  43. hpeters77 says: Nov 25, 2013 12:14 PM

    The falcons all year have been talking about Rise Up, I guess they meant rise up the draft board

  44. Chuck Norris says: Nov 25, 2013 12:14 PM

    I should clarify that my Manziel comment isnt that I think Houston should draft him, I am just connecting the Texas aspect of it. Texas A&M is in Texas (I know, who knew, lol), and Houston is in Texas…

    My personal opinion is that Manziel will be ok on the field (like Doug Flutie) but a nightmare off the field

  45. timtheenchanter1 says: Nov 25, 2013 12:14 PM

    Given the QB needs of both the Jags and Texans (and Vikings for that matter) the Falcons probably don’t need the first pick to get Clowney (or Barr, or whatever Non-QB they want)

  46. theworkhorsebackdotcom says: Nov 25, 2013 12:16 PM

    Of the teams that were mentioned in the article it seems that the Texans. Losing Foster, Daniels and Cushing (Again) crippled this team. The locker room can’t be fun there. A new QB would help them out alot (Secondary needs some attention as well).

    Though how tempting would it be to pair JJ, with Clowney….

  47. southpaw2k says: Nov 25, 2013 12:22 PM

    djjackson81 says:
    Nov 25, 2013 12:01 PM
    Let’s be honest Jax or Houston possibly ATL can draft Bridgwater. It would behoove Jax to trade there pick cause it’s not just a QB that fixes that hot mess. IMO Carr and Boyd are the QB AZ should target

    ————————————————-

    Considering Atlanta had just given Matt Ryan a big contract extension prior to the 2013 season, there’s no way they’d take Bridgewater. If they somehow wound up with the #1 overall pick, they would look to trade down to the highest bidder who wanted to move up.

  48. dodohead418 says: Nov 25, 2013 12:28 PM

    If Texans wins the glorious #1 pick, can you imagine Clowney with JJ Watts?

  49. hendawg21 says: Nov 25, 2013 12:31 PM

    skins1970 says:
    Nov 25, 2013 11:08 AM
    For the last time the Skins only gave up 2 1st draft picks and a 2nd. The Giants gave up more for Eli Manning no one can disagree with that.
    _________________________________

    no worries man i get it, of course there are those whose math/word problem intelect is lacking. For those in that group here ya go!

    If team A has a pick in round 1 at the 2 spot and agrees with team B who has a pick in round 1 in the 6th spot to swap spots and team B throws in a 2nd round pick in the same year plus a 2013 1st and 2014 1st round pick what does it equate to at the end of the day?

    Net loss for team B 2 1st round and one 2nd round pick!

  50. cynicalvision says: Nov 25, 2013 1:01 PM

    As a Rams fan I’d rather see the 49ers lose to improve our playoff chances THIS YEAR. Washington can lose out after tonight and give us a top 5 pick.

  51. soundsofsuccess7 says: Nov 25, 2013 1:26 PM

    Personally there is no chance in hell I would want Jadeveon CLOWNey.

  52. kayakattack says: Nov 25, 2013 1:33 PM

    Clowney is going to flop so bad, I feel bad for the team dumb enough to draft him

  53. Dogsweat says: Nov 25, 2013 2:19 PM

    Texans draft Manziel. Houston goes to Super Bowl.

  54. mizzousooner says: Nov 25, 2013 2:57 PM

    I pity the team that drafts Manziel, that kid is a first class knucklehead.

  55. thatstinks says: Nov 25, 2013 3:08 PM

    There are so many qb’s coming out with 1 rd grades it might make sense for any of these teams to grab a thrower in the 2nd . Kinda like SD did with Bree’s after getting LT in round 1 .

    I really can’t stand that term tanking . I can see how it could actually happen in the NBA where you only have 5 starters but in the NFL one great player can only do so much .

  56. sb34champs says: Nov 25, 2013 3:42 PM

    As a rams fan I wouldn’t necessarily say I was rooting for San Fran in tonights game. Cuz if they lose then the rams are one game back of them and getting a chance to play them next week could spring us into the playoff talk. Then we play Arizona the following week, who still have to play SF and SEA. It’s a tough stretch but the way our defense is playing, I wouldn’t count us out. All said and done….still hoping for a SF win cuz a top 5 pick would be nice!

  57. bucrightoff says: Nov 25, 2013 3:47 PM

    bluenose1965 says:Nov 25, 2013 11:16 AM

    Who do you think is telling them to tank? The coach and GM who will be fired if they continue to lose?

    At least put some thought into your comments.
    __________________________________

    Kubiak is already getting fired so moot point there. Atlanta are the San Antonio Spurs circa 1997, a playoff calibre team that suffers injuries and gets in position for a generational talent (Duncan; Clowney). Its wise of them to tank, very smart actually. And if you saw Matt Ryan’s slide Thursday, how could you think otherwise?

  58. pftstory says: Nov 25, 2013 5:16 PM

    Things to think about.
    If Houston wants Manzel, do they need to be at the top of the draft to get them.

    Under the current set up, if the Falcons are in the top 3 they get Clowney or the OL Matthews. They don’t need to be #1 as Jax and Houston take QB’s. They are not taking Clowney and Matthews (Houston may not go QB.)

    If Falcons do end up #1 with Jax, Hous, Minn close behind, then they could rule this draft if one of the QB’s becomes the obvious first choice or Mariota (ORE) and Bridgewater are the obvious best two. Then they can sell the #1 pick to the highest bidder of those three and still get Clowney or Matthews.

    Dumping Ryan is stupid. Suggesting that means you dont know the salary cap hit and you forget this team was yards from the Super Bowl last year. It also means you don’t pay attention enough to know it is not that he lost BOTH his top 10 WR’s in one season, but that his entire O-line has been a complete disaster.

    BTW who are all these teams with Franchise QB’s competing for the #1 pick? I have a hard time not including TB (Glennon) as a bad team that should draft a QB. Redskins and Falcons appear to be the only ones.

    Every few years we hear about the college coach who is going to be hired to the NFL and then draft his college QB in his first draft. Has it ever actually happened?

    I agree there seems to be a First Round graded QB for every team that wants one. The smart team will be the one that trades down for or waits on this years Russel Wilson/Brees, or trades up for this years Luck and doesn’t settle for this years Gabbert.

  59. pftstory says: Nov 25, 2013 5:22 PM

    Matt Ryan’s slide…. If he didn’t slide Ryan would have tanked the rest of his career. He was only going to get blasted short of the first down.
    Again, we talk about how teams will tank it every season. Then see the accused team win in game 15 or 16 and “lose” the first pick. You don’t lose to the Saints 17-13 if you are tanking.
    Even Jax this year is an example. If teams tank, why beat Houston and put the #1 pick in jeopardy?

  60. glenne81 says: Nov 25, 2013 8:40 PM

    Only the Vikings could muff draft position by a half game with a tie.

  61. jebdamone says: Nov 25, 2013 8:43 PM

    its so funny how quickly people forget that six months ago experts were saying Clowney shouldn’t even play this year because it would only hurt his draft stock or possibly his physical person. I’ve only watched a few of SC games this year and agree that Clowney may not be giving %100, but he still looks like a dominant NFL player.

  62. jebdamone says: Nov 25, 2013 8:48 PM

    vikings could not beat the packers with scott tolzein and graham harrel playing…pretty sure they are not going to win another game this year.

  63. xfactor0103 says: Nov 25, 2013 11:36 PM

    This draft is peehaps one of the most loaded when it comes to QB’s. And though The Texans need a QB badly, they do know by trading down they can upgrade their chances for next year while still grabing a franchice qb in the second round. This team is also weak at LB. Hoping Cushing can come back strong next season.

  64. mackstrong2013 says: Nov 26, 2013 12:32 AM

    Nobody is going to put together a Redskins type package, don’t know why people keep talking like it could happen. First, nobody beyond Bridgewater is worth it, and that’s debateable. Second, look at what it has done to the Redskins, they are HORRIBLE because they have so many holes.

  65. bears5683 says: Nov 26, 2013 1:05 AM

    vikings could not beat the packers with scott tolzein and graham harrel playing…pretty sure they are not going to win another game this year.

    As bad as Vikings are they have a good running game and are going against the worst run defense in the NFL. Should beat Bears at home.

  66. i10east says: Nov 26, 2013 2:39 AM

    “The Jags are so awful that can’t even lose when they’re supposed to!” Hahahaha…..

    Nevermind the other basement teams that’s winning as of late like Tampa Bay. Man, please up with some new content, talk about something that’s annoying and tiresome….

  67. cruzer1996 says: Nov 26, 2013 7:43 AM

    Clowney is an awesome player. He won’t flop. This is shaping up to be a fascinating draft, with plenty of top end talent. I love the corners in this draft, they are big and physical. Plenty of defensive players in this draft for sure.

  68. 8to80texansblog says: Nov 27, 2013 10:48 AM

    mizzousooner says: Nov 25, 2013 2:57 PM

    I pity the team that drafts Manziel, that kid is a first class knucklehead.
    ___________________________
    Pretty sure he smoked BOTH your namesakes last year….

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