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Chargers’ playoff hopes hinge on everything going their way

San Diego Chargers' Butler celebrates an interception against the Chicago Bears during their pre-season NFL football game in Chicago Reuters

The Chargers are not out of the AFC wild card race. But they need everything to go their way in the final two weeks of the season.

As detailed by Michael Gehlken of U-T San Diego, there are six games remaining that can affect the Chargers’ playoff chances, and the Chargers only get to the postseason if all six of those games go the right way for San Diego.

First, the Chargers have to win both of their remaining games, both at home, this week against the Raiders and next week against the Chiefs.

The Chargers also need the Ravens to lose both of their remaining games, this week against the Patriots and next week at Cincinnati. And the Chargers need the Dolphins to lose both of their remaining games, this week at Buffalo and next week against the Jets.

How likely is that to happen? The Chargers are favorites at home against the Raiders this week, and they won at Kansas City last month, so it’s certainly not unreasonable to think they’d also beat the Chiefs at home — especially considering that the Chiefs may be locked into the No. 5 seed and would therefore have nothing to play for. So the Chargers taking care of their own business is a good possibility.

Unfortunately for the Chargers, it’s a lot less likely that they’ll get the help they need. Both the Ravens and the Dolphins are favored this week, and the Dolphins will be favored at home against the Jets in Week 17 as well. (The Ravens will likely be underdogs at Cincinnati in Week 17.) So the Chargers can’t feel good about their chances.

San Diego has played well recently and would be a dangerous team in the AFC playoffs. Almost all of the Chargers’ losses have been close games that easily could have gone the other way, but they got a few bad breaks at some very bad times. Now the Chargers need to catch a lot of good breaks.

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34 Responses to “Chargers’ playoff hopes hinge on everything going their way”
  1. 8oneanddones says: Dec 18, 2013 12:39 PM

    It’s a shame they didn’t fire Norv Turner after that playoff meltdown against the Jets. They wasted three years of Philip Rivers in his prime.

  2. sbchampsagain says: Dec 18, 2013 12:40 PM

    Fins, Ravens Chargers?

    The Dolphins have the easiest path to the playoffs and will likely be in. The Ravens are the best of those 3 teams but wont beat NE and/or Cincy. Seems like the Bolts need too many things to break their way.

  3. bennyb82 says: Dec 18, 2013 12:42 PM

    This team won at Denver and KC but lost at Washington and at Oakland…and lost at home to Houston. Oops

  4. joetoronto says: Dec 18, 2013 12:43 PM

    The L.A. Chargers remain ringless and hopeless.

    Choo choo!

  5. coltsreign says: Dec 18, 2013 12:44 PM

    Hell no.
    Im sick of san diego in real life and madden.
    Real world:6-10
    Madden:14-2

  6. johnnyjagfan says: Dec 18, 2013 12:46 PM

    This is why I’m thinking of benching Rivers in the Fantasy Championship this week. After either the Ravens or Dolphins win, the Chargers will know there’s no playoffs right before gametime against a division rival. Raiders are already out, so they’re over it and playing for their jobs. Thumbs up if you agree that I bench Rivers.

  7. chargerdillon says: Dec 18, 2013 12:46 PM

    Most Charger fans are very realistic about our chances.

    We’ve beaten 3 first place teams and lost to 3 last place teams.

    The body of work the Chargers have created is exactly why they’re in the position we’re in.

    New coach, new GM, I’m excited about the future of the Chargers.

    Aint happening this year but at least I can’t predict every single play we’re going to call on offense (so could every other devense) like we had with Norv.

    Best of luck to the Broncos and Cheifs, they earned it

  8. weepingjebus says: Dec 18, 2013 12:49 PM

    I sometimes wonder what the Chargers’ history would look like if the NFL season started 4 weeks later than it currently does.

  9. badmude says: Dec 18, 2013 12:52 PM

    To Humbolt:
    humb0lt says:
    Raiders beat Sandy Eggo this year already! HA!
    This week Raiders will dominate AGAIN in South Oakland. Don’t be afraid to show up, you and the other Dolt fan that shows up for this weeks game.

  10. martinslunchtray says: Dec 18, 2013 12:58 PM

    Who’s ur other qb johnnyjagfan? Kind of important info if ur seriously asking…

  11. stealthjunk says: Dec 18, 2013 1:04 PM

    I certainly think it’s possible that the Chargers will win their last two games. There’s also a reasonable chance that the Ravens could lose to the Pats and Bengals. But the Dolphins losing to both the Bills and Jets seems the least likely to happen. With that said, stranger things have happened.

  12. kremis says: Dec 18, 2013 1:05 PM

    San Diego has played well recently and would be a dangerous team in the AFC playoffs. Almost all of the Chargers’ losses have been close games that easily could have gone the other way, but they got a few bad breaks at some very bad times. Now the Chargers need to catch a lot of good breaks.
    ————————-
    The NFL has several teams that got a few bad breaks this year and will just miss the playoffs. It is such a fine line in most games, that literally came down to a few yards to keep a drive going somewhere in the game that could have changed the outcome, and not necessarily because of a missed field goal or incomplete pass from the 5 yard line at the end of the game. That’s what makes the NFL so awesome to watch.

    By the way ain’t it great the Steelers won’t be in the playoffs again this year!!!!

  13. kingpel says: Dec 18, 2013 1:10 PM

    I still cant believe Charger fans were ready to run Rivers out of town last year. What a mistake that would have been.

  14. tinbender2000 says: Dec 18, 2013 1:26 PM

    The Chargers wasted Rivers whole career. While Oakland had the Senile version of Davis and KC was in the gutter, If SD had got rid of that pompous fool AJ Smith they could of had the west to themselves for years.

  15. r81ders says: Dec 18, 2013 1:33 PM

    The Raiders are out but to knock out the Bolts this weekend be fun to see….GO RAIDERS

  16. jem8705 says: Dec 18, 2013 1:45 PM

    Everybody knows the Pats will cheat like they always do and so the Ravens loss is guaranteed. Even without AP and Toby Gerhart, the Vikings proved they still have a good RB in Asiata so the Vikings will beat the Bengals.

    Don’t count out the Chargers yet, Fans.

  17. raidermick3sb3rings says: Dec 18, 2013 1:48 PM

    Raiders will sweep the chokers this weekend in South Oakland…

    Anyone with half a brain knows the chokers window is closing and has been for a few years now. The Raiders window is just starting to open up. This team could have won several that it lost because they are young and are learning how to close out the end of games…let’s not forget, 70 mil in cap space this off season and we are back strong in 2014! Experiences from this season, will help tremendously next season.

    See you in South Oakland this weekend! Got my tickets from a choker fan’s girl friend! LOL!!

    Late…

  18. sdbolts says: Dec 18, 2013 1:48 PM

    I don’t think this will be our year. At least we’ll finish better than the Raiders. Team is coming along nicely though…next year will be fun…

  19. frankiemontana says: Dec 18, 2013 1:49 PM

    If there was ever time to play spoiler it would be this weekend for the Raiders, my wife asked me last week who I was rooting for Denver or San Diego I had to think for a minute though I dislike them both I went with Denver, yeah San Diego guess I dislike you more. this is a message from
    Frankie Montana and I represent the RAIDER
    NATION in Montana..

  20. Eric says: Dec 18, 2013 1:52 PM

    They’d also need the Steelers to lose one of two games, because if the Ravens and Dolphins lose both games AND the Jets beat the Browns this week along with the Steelers winning both…the Steelers, not the Chargers would be in, even if SD wins both

  21. landshark7 says: Dec 18, 2013 1:54 PM

    They are a long shot to make the playoffs, but good luck to the Super Chargers.
    Philip Rivers has very quietly thus far, put together a stellar season:
    Completion % 69.9, 8.4YPA, 28 TD and 9INT.

  22. gochargersgo says: Dec 18, 2013 2:17 PM

    In the end, our season was marred by losing to the Raiders and Redskins. Beat Dallas, Denver, and KC (in KC nonetheless), but couldn’t handle the Redskins. Unbelievable….

  23. gochargersgo says: Dec 18, 2013 2:19 PM

    And Houston!!! Cant believe we lost to those three teams.

  24. yaryers says: Dec 18, 2013 2:21 PM

    They’re going to win just enough to draft another Larry English. Awesome.

  25. yamchargers says: Dec 18, 2013 2:37 PM

    I think this year we will have to be happy beating up on the Giants and the Donkeys in the last two weeks.

    Who even cares if we beat the Raiders? Beating loosers doesnt make you a winner. Let them win for all I care.

    Mail it in this week and have a good offseason. Gotta compete with Manning again next year.

    I cant believe the Cheaters couldnt even do us a favor and beat Miami last weekend!

  26. dannymac17 says: Dec 18, 2013 2:43 PM

    Guarantee you wont see JoeToronto after the Raiders get beat down in SD.

    You are such a non factor in life. I cant imagine you associate with people outside of the internet.

    The lowly Raiders havent had a winning season in 12 years.

    They wont have one for the next 12 years.

  27. icanspeel says: Dec 18, 2013 3:08 PM

    You never know.. Was it 5 years ago the Chargers were 4-8 and won out to take the division from the Broncos who had a 3 game lead with 3 to play.

  28. mrgroovesd says: Dec 18, 2013 3:09 PM

    Didn’t expect them to do much because of the way the O-Line was a patchwork but they held up and gave Rivers time to throw. Also the game plan the OC and coach put together to bring his INT’s down was great. The defense on the other hand needs some real help in the secondary. Kinda wish they didn’t let Jammer or Cason go because at least they would’ve done better than Cox did. Still a good foundation to build from.

  29. tebow420 says: Dec 18, 2013 3:17 PM

    Someone call Manti Te’o and let him know lol

  30. natelan69 says: Dec 18, 2013 3:39 PM

    Some disagree about the Chargers’ chances at making the playoffs this year.

    But we all agree that the Raiders are the number one suckfest of the league for an 11th straight year.

  31. rocoop says: Dec 18, 2013 4:01 PM

    South Oakland?? Now that’s funny..The only way the “Q” becomes South Oakland is if the Raider’s biggest fans come, you know, the huge tarps that cover half the seating at Raider home games.Charger fans treat “Raider week” as two additional bye weeks….

  32. dasmol says: Dec 18, 2013 4:04 PM

    As usual, it’s the early loses to bad teams that doom the Chargers. Still, going into the final two weeks with a chance at the playoffs, however slim, sure makes for an exciting couple of games. If fans of all teams could be so lucky.

    South Oakland? Puh-lease. If anything, most fans of the Oakland Senors (look it up), are from LA.

    With the way Rivers played this year, the window is obviously still wide open. It’s still a good time to be a Charger Fan.

  33. thumper300zx says: Dec 18, 2013 4:16 PM

    “The Chargers also need the Ravens to lose both of their remaining games, this week against the Patriots and next week at Cincinnati. And the Chargers need the Dolphins to lose both of their remaining games, this week at Buffalo and next week against the Jets.

    How likely is that to happen?”

    Do the math — there are 64 possible outcomes, and only one gets the Chargers in playoffs. 1 in 64. That’s LESS CHANCES than in 2008, when the Broncos needed to lose three games and the Chargers had to win out.

  34. raiderapologist says: Dec 19, 2013 8:29 PM

    sdbolts says: Dec 18, 2013 1:48 PM

    I don’t think this will be our year. At least we’ll finish better than the Raiders.
    ————
    That should look good in your trophy case.

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