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PFT’s Super Bowl pick

Super Bowl Football AP

MDS already has clinched the postseason contest, after winning the regular-season version fairly easily.

But there’s still one game left, and we agreed on the outcome.  With almost the exact same predicted score.So here it is, our respective takes and picks for the 48th Super Bowl, featuring the Broncos against the Seahawks.

MDS’s take: There are a lot of reasons to pick the Broncos. For starters, Peyton Manning is on the verge of completing the greatest year a football player has ever had. If Manning were to follow up his record-breaking regular season with a Super Bowl MVP, it would be not just his best year yet, but in my book the best year ever, for any NFL player. Sometimes you get a feeling that a player is just playing at a level that no one can touch.

There’s also the nagging feeling I have that Russell Wilson isn’t ready to have a huge game on a huge stage. Wilson is one of the brightest young players in the NFL, but he still has moments when he tries to do too much with his feet, and moments when he fails to make the throws the Seahawks need him to make. He hasn’t been great in the playoffs, and I’m not convinced he’s going to be great in the Super Bowl, either.

And yet I’m picking Seattle, basically for two reasons. The first is that if there’s ever been a defense that’s perfectly constructed to stop what Denver does on offense, it’s this Seattle defense. The Seahawks’ secondary is so good that even with Peyton Manning and all the Broncos’ weapons, I think Denver will struggle to sustain long drives. The second reason is that Seattle is a lot better than Denver on special teams. This feels like the kind of close game that could turn on a few big plays in the kicking game, and I expect Seattle to make those plays.

So in the end, I’m looking at a close, hard-fought game that the Seahawks find a way to win.

MDS’s pick: Seahawks 23, Broncos 20.

Florio’s take:  With all the focus on whether the Seahawks defense can stop Broncos quarterback Peyton Manning and whether Manning can find the weak spot before he runs out of time to do so, it’s easy to overlook the question of whether Denver can hold Seattle’s offense to fewer points.

It can’t.

Not with receiver Percy Harvin ready to give running back Marshawn Lynch and quarterback Russell Wilson the ultimate complement.

The Broncos were able to shut down the New England rushing attack, in part because the Patriots abandoned it too early.  The Seahawks won’t.  Lynch will keep pounding the ball until he gets his inevitable long run, likely for a touchdown.  And Wilson will be able to get outside the pocket, since the Broncos edge rushes are neither Aldon Smith nor Ahmad Brooks.  And Harvin will do just enough to force the Broncos to pay enough attention to him that they end up flat footed just enough times for Seattle’s purposes.

Yes, there’s a chance the Seahawks aren’t properly preparing to face Manning, with portions of the first-team defensive reps used not against a scout team but against the Seattle starting offense — and with defensive players not spending every waking moment in the days preceding the ultimate final exam cramming for it by trying to crack the code of Peyton’s pre-snap histrionics.

There’s an even better chance they’re already good enough to do enough to give the Seattle offense enough of a chance to outscore Peyton.

Ultimately, that’s the only stat that ever matters.  And in Super Bowl XLVIII, Seattle wins by scoring half that many points — 24 — and by holding Peyton and company to four fewer than that.

Florio’s pick:  Seahawks 24, Broncos 20.

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153 Responses to “PFT’s Super Bowl pick”
  1. sdnative1904 says: Jan 29, 2014 11:25 PM

    Agreed. Seattle ML +110 great value. All in.

  2. mrlaloosh says: Jan 29, 2014 11:26 PM

    Wouldn’t it be nice if both of you are wrong? I hate the Broncos but that would make my day.

  3. synysterjman says: Jan 29, 2014 11:26 PM

    I agree with both of you. Seattle has been one of the most feared teams all year. It will be a close game but also a hell of a game.

  4. seatownballers says: Jan 29, 2014 11:28 PM

    The best sports handicappers in the world reside in the Hilton sports book in Vegas. They are saying Seattle wins by 2. But now The line is moving to Denver -2.5. That’s because of all the public money flowing in. The public is never right in sports betting. On Saturday , expect the east coast mob to dump millions on the Seahawks to win straight up. Winning 130 percent of the bet. They will stack big dough, the casinos still make millions on all those that bet on Denver. This happens every year. It’s normal. The public will lose. Seahawks will win.

  5. nflgiant says: Jan 29, 2014 11:31 PM

    For the 49ers–Who’s got it better than we do?-Nobody!!….Give me a break..Harblahs act is wearing thin and his players will not buy in..Just ask Brandon Jacobs.

  6. ralphe32 says: Jan 29, 2014 11:31 PM

    Seattle 27, Denver 17

  7. tramonisland says: Jan 29, 2014 11:31 PM

    Money Mayweather disagrees #whitehorses

  8. evilbilly3 says: Jan 29, 2014 11:32 PM

    I pick the Seattle Seahawks! They have been battle tested and battle proved, they have gone against better teams and beat them. There was better competition in the NFC this year, and they stood on top. Manning is going to get his stats no doubt, but this will go down to defense, and the Seahawks will dominate!!! I am a Saints fan and tell the truth by what I have seen.

  9. pbolyard says: Jan 29, 2014 11:33 PM

    I’m gonna eat so much food on Sunday

  10. bert1913 says: Jan 29, 2014 11:34 PM

    go hawks!

  11. trevor123698 says: Jan 29, 2014 11:36 PM

    2 more idiots picking the she-hawks. thank you.

  12. kingpel says: Jan 29, 2014 11:36 PM

    You both take the Seahawks? Interesting.

  13. dtownsportslions says: Jan 29, 2014 11:37 PM

    Lions 49 Patriots 0

  14. onearmsteven says: Jan 29, 2014 11:38 PM

    Why exactly are people relying on Percy harvin to all of a sudden be a factor after he’s done absolutely nothing all year?

  15. mazenblue says: Jan 29, 2014 11:39 PM

    Harvin will be puking on the sideline. He does that when he has to play hard.

    Broncos W

    Hawks L

  16. qdog112 says: Jan 29, 2014 11:40 PM

    The anticipation will not be as good as the game and that’s saying a lot. Monday morning papers will have the headline: SEAHAWKS DENY PEYTON’S PLACE !!!

    DENVER FANS IN MOURNING … REPEAL MARIJUANA LAWS IN COLORADO.

  17. jshawaii22 says: Jan 29, 2014 11:41 PM

    Stop the Presses…. Florio just realized they play football in the Northwest! Now we’re done.

    Marshawn is the MVP – 147 yards + 2 TD’s as Denver is forced to gameplan for Percy.

    js

  18. rando74 says: Jan 29, 2014 11:42 PM

    wow so basically your reasoning is Denver’s D cant stop Seattkes O because the other match up is a wash. well they shut down Philip Rivers and they Shut a down Tom Brady. Russel Wilson is nowhere near them. so sick of hearing about Seattle’s D. Manning is smarter than everyone else on the field combined. He’ll be ready and Seattle won’t know what hit them. you guys arent even being objective. it’ll be a shirt ride for you on Seattle’s bandwagon

  19. johnteedee says: Jan 29, 2014 11:42 PM

    You are both wrong!

  20. stv1719 says: Jan 29, 2014 11:43 PM

    Close game until late in the third
    Broncos – 34
    Seahawks – 20

  21. stonedolphin89 says: Jan 29, 2014 11:43 PM

    Not going to lie… Did not expect those predictions from PTF. One of your rare, unbias moments?

    For the record I agree, Seahawks up on the Broncos.

    But everything hinges on CAN Wilson keep up with Peyton? He’s been a rubbish 1st half QB all year long and there’s no time to have a bad 1st half in the Super Bowl.

  22. seahawksbmx says: Jan 29, 2014 11:44 PM

    Can’t wait to read these comments. You guys know what’s up. Good call!
    Thumb me down if you think Broncos win.

  23. chawk12thman says: Jan 29, 2014 11:44 PM

    I agree with you both……This will be a close game regardless on who ultimately wins. Go Hawks!!

  24. randomguy9999 says: Jan 29, 2014 11:45 PM

    For Seattle to win, Wilson needs to outshoot Peyton Manning at the level he’s playing at right now….

    That means Wilson has to put up at least 4 TDs…

    no way that’s happening…. Denver by 6

  25. walker615 says: Jan 29, 2014 11:46 PM

    How on earth is Seattle “a lot better” than the broncos on special teams?

    Other than that… Sunday will do the talking. Go broncos.

  26. eleventyeight says: Jan 29, 2014 11:53 PM

    There is NO defense in the NFL at this time with Seattle’s size, speed and strength….in the DB’s!

    SEA has a back four who are ALL over 6’3/215. And they’re all good at what matters most today in the league: pass defense. This d-backfeild plays like THEY’RE the WRs going hard for the catch and sometimes running better routes than opposing offenses.

    Combined with an efficient, competent and occasionally explosive front 7 and and strong running offense Seattle has everything they need to play “quick-draw” with the Sheriff.

    Seattle wins with T.O.P. and 3+ INT’s

    Seahawks-31 Denver-24

  27. forevercorr says: Jan 29, 2014 11:54 PM

    I don’t know who will win. I think it’ll be the Broncos. Could come down to special teams, but don’t sleep on the Broncos there or bet against their run D.
    It’s a pretty even matchup on paper, but I take experience for the edge.

  28. fredsingleton says: Jan 29, 2014 11:54 PM

    I guess everyone has forgotten how bad Seattle has played on the road this year (and last).

    The Broncos will win this game.

  29. richardernsberger says: Jan 29, 2014 11:55 PM

    One analyst made the point today that precisely because the Broncos don’t have any great pass rushers, they will contain him inside the pocket and make him throw from inside the pocket. That was a smart take, I think–and certainly something any team playing Seattle would want to do. Chasing Wilson around is a fool’s errand and enables him to get outside and make plays; keep him inside and it is tougher for him. Also, Manning played–and beat–some very tough Ray Lewis-led Ravens defenses in the past, and that is why I think he will solve the seahawks sufficiently to win this game. Pick: Broncos.

  30. brento1499 says: Jan 29, 2014 11:56 PM

    Denver wins, 44-2

  31. dodohead418 says: Jan 29, 2014 11:57 PM

    Should be a great Superbowl!

  32. thegreatgabbert says: Jan 29, 2014 11:58 PM

    Denver will blow them out. It won’t be close. At least a two touchdown margin.

  33. infectorman says: Jan 30, 2014 12:01 AM

    NE defense held Den to 26 points in Denver in nice weather. But this is SEA defnse, a Whole different story….

  34. andrewluck12 says: Jan 30, 2014 12:03 AM

    Broncos 27 Seahawks 20

  35. that's the best linebacker i've seen since Joe Montana says: Jan 30, 2014 12:03 AM

    How cute and predictable that PFT would pick the underdog and the “defense wins championships” angle.

    Well done.

    zzzzzzzzzzzzz

  36. 76hawks says: Jan 30, 2014 12:03 AM

    Finally, some logic being used to predict the Super Bowl Winner! Add to this something nobody seems to want to talk about, maybe because it’s so obvious . . .

    The Seahawk’s defense is way better than the Chargers. Sure San Diego was out of it offensively against Denver until the end, but defensively they gave their offense a chance all game long.

    Nobody in their right mind is going to pick the Bronco defense over the Seahawk offense.

    As for the other way around Manning has not faced this defense. Throw out all the regular season and post season statistics; this is a different challenge than anything he’s faced all year.

    Seahawks will win.

  37. kylexitron says: Jan 30, 2014 12:03 AM

    The Seahawks? But but but..I thought this game was just Peyton vs. air…..that’s what the media has been telling us anyways.

  38. sikoix says: Jan 30, 2014 12:07 AM

    Nope. I don’t think so.

  39. gloryfromheaven46 says: Jan 30, 2014 12:09 AM

    Chargers- 17 Points
    Patriots- 16 Points

    Broncos, not playing in Seattle.

    Nuff said, Broncos 27-20

  40. chitgotreal says: Jan 30, 2014 12:10 AM

    Seriously? You both picked the Seahawks? Alright, good luck with that.

  41. gamedate15 says: Jan 30, 2014 12:11 AM

    I say Denver 29-21 because not only do they have peyton manning but because they have knowshon moreno too

  42. hawkmode says: Jan 30, 2014 12:13 AM

    Couldn’t have said it better myself…

    GoHawks!

  43. broncosnative says: Jan 30, 2014 12:17 AM

    So basically the broncos who put up historic stats on offense have 0 chance at winning because the hawks has the #1 defense? Both you are bias and you’re basing you predictions solely on the hawks defense and Percy harvin. The pats abandon the run just like every team who played the broncos did because Denver’s run defense shut them down. The broncos have been on their A game for 5 weeks and the defense as a whole stepped up big. Sometimes it can just take heart and soul to win it all no matter what, look at last year. The niners had a top 3 defense with an offense that can make big plays but it was the ravens heart and soul with the inspiration to win for ray that got them to play hard and win. Broncos players are gonna want to do it for manning, bailey, fox, elway and themselves, they didn’t make it this far to give up

  44. OnceACOWBOYFAN says: Jan 30, 2014 12:18 AM

    Good job….

  45. joroberts10 says: Jan 30, 2014 12:19 AM

    I just don’t see any scenario where the broncos score less than 28 points, let alone 21

  46. unbridledsexy says: Jan 30, 2014 12:22 AM

    Ho. Lee. Crap. Brace yourselves, a flame war is coming.

  47. paulnoga says: Jan 30, 2014 12:26 AM

    Everybody seems intent on letting DEN Offense against SEA defense determine the game.
    They are both great at what they do. If the game was played indoors (like at IND), it would be a wash. i think the weather gives the edge to SEA.
    However, SEA Offense is superior to Denver’s. Everyone seems to forget the broncos lost five starters on their Defense during the season. Gone are DT Vickerson, DE Wolfe, OLB Von Miller, S Moore, and CB Harris. That’s a tremendous shortage. the back-ups played well against the Chargers that sould not have been in the Playoffs, and a patriot team that was missing more players.
    The results
    just like in a Super Bowl where QB Elway was the only star on his team like Manning;
    Super Bowl # 21
    Giants 39 – Broncos 20

    Seahawks by 19

  48. artambriz says: Jan 30, 2014 12:26 AM

    Denver did something interesting in practice today that Seattle didn’t, they practiced outdoors.Don’t read to much or to little into this.Denver is leaving nothing to chance they want to see what type of footing the W.R’s will have during the game & P.M wants to throw as much as he can in the type of conditions that the game will be.

  49. ytownjoe says: Jan 30, 2014 12:26 AM

    What’s the line on this game?

  50. stopthehate15bowdown says: Jan 30, 2014 12:29 AM

    Reasonable minds will disagree about the winner but a close game is most likely. Only the Pete Carroll cheerleaders in the northwest are dreaming of a Seattle blowout. Would anyone outside of the northwest be surprised if the broncos put up 30? Florio is sleeping on the broncos defense which is playing more consistently in the playoffs. They are peaking at the right time. Broncos 26-18

  51. Ram says: Jan 30, 2014 12:30 AM

    I will go with Broncos on a neutral field over a very good Seattle team. As much as the Broncos haven’t faced a defense like this all season, the Seahawks haven’t faced a QB like Peyton all season.

    Broncos 31
    Seahawks 20

  52. mudhead123 says: Jan 30, 2014 12:34 AM

    Seahawks have no offense… They lose this game by two scores minimum

  53. tennfan says: Jan 30, 2014 12:36 AM

    ummmmm, I am the first one to start this ? Well I would be very happy if Seattle can pull this off, I know that most bets, and fans are picking Denver to win and 99.9% of that reason is just because Peyton Manning is playing for Denver . If on the other hand Peyton was playing for Seattle then all of those figures would swing in Seattle’s favor. There are still fans and sports personal that think that Peyton is so good and outstanding that he can never, never, ever be stopped in any game or at anytime. Stop and think, San Diego went into Denver and handed Denver its first lost, so that proves that it can be done and if I am correct Denver was handed more than just the lost to San Diego this season. So to everyone out there , never, never ever think that is any Q B out there that can not lose at any given time or in any given game, and so far it has never happen in the history of football no matter where it is H S, College or even the NFL, all Q B’s are still human and as long humans play the game there will ALWAYS be mistakes by Q B’s as well as any other player on the team. If and when and once they start using “Robots” to play QB and take the human factors out of the games then and only then will any Q B or player become less mistake free. As for my self, I watched Peyton ever since he played his first down at Tennessee on up until the last game he played in a couple of weeks back. To me Peyton is just an ordinary (but a well orchestrated Q B) with way to much PR. and especially when all of these sports people and fans tries to cram it down everyone else’s throat, about him being so wonderful and the best that has ever played the game. Wasn’t the same thing said about Joe Montana, Dan Marino and others in their day and time and when (they were the BIG man on the block) as the saying goes ? So right now and as I see it, this is Peyton’s year and who knows just who the ( Big Man on the Block is going to be next year or the year after),correct ? Just remember, players are just like the teams that they play on, “Nobody or no teams stays #1 for very long. Please do not take this wrong, I do not Dislike Peyton ,but at the same time I have never loved Peyton either. Nuff said, on with the game and may the best man or team win . PS I sure hope that who ever wins that these different sports people hold the PR BS down some, but I know that is asking way, way to much from any of them. Also, I will be willing to bet the farm that if Peyton and Denver do happen to win the SB ,they will get twice the PR , than if Seattle wins the S B., after the winner is announced see if I am right or wrong concerning the S B , BS and ETC. ?

  54. bronco6745 says: Jan 30, 2014 12:37 AM

    This will now be the third playoff week in a row where denver has been told they can’t stop the great rushing attacks of the opposing offense. Or stop the offense at all for that matter. Denver’s won games these playoffs scoring in the 20’s, and although seattle’s defense is much better than san diego or new england, I still see denver getting well into the 20’s. I know harvin is back but I think champ and drc can contain him. Like MDS said, wilson hasn’t been great of late, and it seems he needs improv to make plays. Don’t underestimate champ’s significance on defense, since he’s been back denver’s defense has been better than anyone imagined. And oh, denver has the best offense to ever have stepped on a football field. I like denver 27-21.

  55. lanman11 says: Jan 30, 2014 12:37 AM

    The best year any QB ever had was Brady in 2007. Under the strain of the video tape violation hullabaloo, and an undefeated season (Manning and the Broncos lost 3 games and should have lost more), Brady did everything to finish the job. He carried an 18-0 record into the Super Bowl with the most productive offense ever. The pressure he operated under was unprecedented. It was not his fault Asante Samuel dropped a sure interception, David Tyree caught a ball on his head, and Ellis Hobbs bit on a fake and allowed Plexiglass to get behind him in the end zone with the ball on the 7 yd line. Whatever Manning does in the Super Bowl won’t change my opinion on that. It’s not that what Manning has accomplished is not impressive. I just don’t think it’s the best, particularly with three regular season losses and the absence of pressure.

  56. bigbaldpapahawk says: Jan 30, 2014 12:37 AM

    I don’t get how people think that Manning has anything to prove. The last time that I checked, football is a team sport and it takes a team to win or lose.

    Ben Roethlisberger has two Superbowl rings. His first Superbowl he netted one of the worst QB performances in Superbowl history, yet he still gets that ring.

    Manning has accomplished every accolade that a QB can accomplish. IMHO he has absolutely nothing to prove and if he loses this Sunday, in no way does that tarnish his legacy.

    That said, it is going to be a great game. GO HAWKS!

  57. ckradio1079 says: Jan 30, 2014 12:40 AM

    You’re both high. And obviously I live in Colorado so that’s saying a lot.

  58. thepftpoet says: Jan 30, 2014 12:44 AM

    Not even close….

    Broncos 54
    Seahawks 14

  59. ketch20too says: Jan 30, 2014 12:46 AM

    Manning relies a great deal on timing routes, if the Hawks DB’s can disrupt the routes he may fall back into his usual post season fail mode. Marshawn needs to keep the chains moving and the clock running to keep Manning off the field-Harvin’s presence should help prevent Broncs from putting 8 in the box to stop the run Looking forward to a hard fought game that honestly could go either way.

  60. dino2997 says: Jan 30, 2014 12:49 AM

    Valid points. I thought the real super bowl was in the NFC Championship game.

  61. ncheelsboysfan says: Jan 30, 2014 12:51 AM

    Broncos 31 – Seahawks 20.

  62. osiris33 says: Jan 30, 2014 12:54 AM

    Wow, a media analysis that makes actual sense.

  63. kappy32 says: Jan 30, 2014 12:57 AM

    I get your picks & they are hard to argue against. However, I really think this is the year that Peyton Manning puts the stamp on his legacy as the greatest quarterback to step foot on a professional football field. As the game draws nearer, I am getting more & more confident about that pick. Top to bottom – especially with the return of Percy Harvin – the Seahawks are the better team. Lynch is an animal & has been running in the postseason like he rested all regular season; Russell Wilson has a cool & calmness about him that rivals Eli Manning; and the defense is the best we’ve seen since Tampa in ’03 & Baltimore in ’00. With that being said, a great QB can neutralize all of that & I think you are going to see a performance from Manning that rivals Phil Simms in ’86 vs. Denver & Steve Young vs. the Chargers. I think the game is going to come down to the final possession, with Manning dicing apart the Seahawks secondary, connecting with one of the Thomases for a game-winning, legacy-sealing, Super Bowl-winning TD with less than 30 seconds left, putting the final score at 27-24 Denver.

  64. thegreatgabbert says: Jan 30, 2014 12:59 AM

    After badly losing the regular season, and post season as well, Florio made MDS write his prediction down first. Oddly enough Mike F.’s turned out to be nearly identical, although he was noticed to be making some last minute adjustments.

  65. sociosquatch says: Jan 30, 2014 1:09 AM

    thanks for letting us know we should bet on the broncos, guys!

  66. riverace19 says: Jan 30, 2014 1:11 AM

    Thanks for that guys, now I’m betting on Denver for sure.

  67. jayniner says: Jan 30, 2014 1:13 AM

    The Madden simulation is already done and the Broncos are beating the Seahawks 23-20

  68. wkdblc52 says: Jan 30, 2014 1:19 AM

    It doesn’t surprise me these two are picking the Hawks and it’s for this reason, not their stated reasoning.

    4 out of the last 5 number one defenses in the SB have defated the number one offenses

    I’ll take those odds anyday ! Hawks 24-14

  69. russellwilsonismymvp says: Jan 30, 2014 1:25 AM

    Lynch and Harvin wreak havoc and Seahawks D has 3 takeaways.

    Sea 34 Den 17

  70. jakeplummersghost says: Jan 30, 2014 1:26 AM

    Nah..

  71. usdcoyotesfan says: Jan 30, 2014 1:26 AM

    Packers fan here. I hope the Broncos win on a phantom touchdown that appeared to be the winning interception for Seattle. I think the Seahawks and their fans would approve. After all, they thought it was OK when such a call went in their favor, so they’d have no problem with it happening against them, right?

  72. jakeplummersghost says: Jan 30, 2014 1:27 AM

    Go cardinals!

  73. emcomatty says: Jan 30, 2014 1:27 AM

    Dang! I would have expected one of you to take the Broncos. I have a feeling this game could be 10+ points either way. If the Hawks get their run game going, along with their pass rush, (which could create turnovers giving Seattle short fields) it could be a long game for the Broncos. On the other hand If the Broncos stop Lynch, and keep Wilson in the pocket it could be a long day for the Hawks. I really don’t think this game will be as close as your predictions.

  74. mrwalterisgod says: Jan 30, 2014 1:27 AM

    The Denver Bronco’s are a ‘pretty’ team. They need things to be perfect so they can play eloquently.

    The Seahawks are not pretty. They’re sloppy, inconsistent at times and very physical.

    Hawks 30 Denver 21

  75. cgravyboat says: Jan 30, 2014 1:31 AM

    I’m tired of hearing that Seattle matches up perfectly with Denver. Here are the facts:

    1. Seattle has primarily played either single-high safety with Earl Thomas, or a 3 deep zone.

    2. When you play single high, you’re primarily playing man-to-man underneath. When you’re in 3-deep it’s usually a zone coverage and you’re relying on your pass rush to get to the QB before he finds an open zone.

    3. Richard Sherman was correct when he said his pass rush doesn’t get enough credit for what they do.

    And now here’s why it’s a bad matchup going against Peyton:

    Peyton Manning has four top-level options in Thomas, Decker, Welker, and Thomas (and Moreno/Ball aren’t slouches either). When you play man-to-man, somebody is still going to be open. I think Welker and Thomas can be huge this game, but Decker consistently beats man coverage as well. The Seahawks have been destroying lesser QBs when they play man-to-man, but they haven’t played a team with Denver’s talent at the WR position as well as a 1st ballot HOF under center. WRs who can create separation > Man-to-man coverage.

    Also, they’re in trouble if they play a zone scheme as well. Peyton is the best in the league at nullifying the pass rush by getting the ball out so quickly.

    So how DO you beat Peyton Manning? You need to get pressure up the middle in his face, not off the edge. Avril and Clemons are highly underrated players and fantastic edge rushers, but Mebane and co. aren’t known for getting that kind of pressure up the middle. THAT’s why this is a bad matchup for Seattle. Ask any Chargers or more recently Ravens fan how their team beat Peyton when it mattered.

    For these reasons, I think MDS and Florio aren’t giving Denver’s offense enough credit. I’m not saying Denver will win, but thinking that Seattle will hold them to 20 points is just not smart. Seattle’s defense, while great, is not the same away from the 12th man.

    My prediction: Denver 30, Seattle 27.

  76. hawksfan4life1001 says: Jan 30, 2014 1:31 AM

    I agree!

  77. billsmafiaordie says: Jan 30, 2014 1:32 AM

    this is a superbowl article and richard shermans post game rant isnt mentioned even once? Whats going on here?

  78. callahan9119 says: Jan 30, 2014 1:39 AM

    Denver’s offense is too good. Cold or not you got 4 guys who can catch the ball. This might be a blowout.

  79. pantsfreezone says: Jan 30, 2014 1:51 AM

    And, like in so many other ways, you will both be wrong.

    Broncos 23, Seahawks 17

  80. jturner08 says: Jan 30, 2014 1:55 AM

    I guess Mayweather didnt get to read your predictions before he bet on the game…

  81. ajgreenhof says: Jan 30, 2014 1:59 AM

    Broncos 27 Seattle 23

  82. bronco1st says: Jan 30, 2014 2:01 AM

    Ahhhh, I feel much better about our chances now that the homers have both picked the Seahags.

  83. ampatsisahypocrite says: Jan 30, 2014 2:05 AM

    I wonder if Russell Wilson will need his kick returner to save his bacon like Joe Flacco did last Super Bowl?

  84. mcfleezy12 says: Jan 30, 2014 2:06 AM

    Wow! Not that I can’t believe it, just that I tend to agree. On both views .

  85. lasredchris says: Jan 30, 2014 2:17 AM

    These are some great(and accurate) predictions

  86. odie02 says: Jan 30, 2014 2:20 AM

    Unbiased fan here….

    I think we(the fans) are in for a great game.

    Here is my two cents. Seahawks win if they can get Lynch going strong. Broncos win if they can stop Lynch.

    Out of all of the great talent on the field I am hinging the game on the quiet RB that doesn’t like talking to the media…boss.

  87. libradad53 says: Jan 30, 2014 2:32 AM

    My question with all of these picks by the media, the one thing that no one mentions much is the depth issue. I think across the board, Seattle has more depth (particularly on defense). But the BIG QUESTION is the unthinkable one: Which team is in a better position if the starting QB goes down? Seattle is backed up by Tavarious Jackson while Denver is backed up by Brock Oswiller. T-Jack has playing and play off expereince. Brock ??? Every body talks match-ups but I am not hearing much about the injury factor, of team depth…
    AS for the PFT picks: YEAH BABY GO HAWKS

  88. seaeagle707 says: Jan 30, 2014 2:37 AM

    I sincerely hope that you gentlemen have got it right. One minor extra detail. Welker made a name for himself against his old team, and alerted Carroll and company, to his presence. It’ll be interesting to see if Thomas and Chancellor, are given any “special assignments” with Wes.

  89. atwaterslaughter says: Jan 30, 2014 2:42 AM

    Good points but something about Denver practicing outside…..I dunno…I think they are going to be the more physical team Sunday which I know seems odd. I’m a Denver fan so this pick will seem obvious but I legitimately think the Broncos take it. Either way, I am proud of my team and it should be a good one.

  90. dcdebacle says: Jan 30, 2014 4:17 AM

    Soooo….take the Broncos and the points then, readers.

  91. kavika6 says: Jan 30, 2014 4:35 AM

    Right on. Go Hawks!

  92. lflib69 says: Jan 30, 2014 4:35 AM

    I could care less who wins the Superbowl but I do hope Wes Welker gets jacked or taken out of the game with one of the dirtiest hits after dropping the winning catch.

  93. ilovecostcobut says: Jan 30, 2014 4:43 AM

    Eat me. Denver 44 Seattle 26.

  94. lagg1 says: Jan 30, 2014 4:49 AM

    To PFT: This is a good call. The logic used in your selection makes sense. Just like last year with Jacoby Jones, someone from Seattle will make a huge play or plays like Harvin or Baldwin.

  95. ianwetpantscom says: Jan 30, 2014 5:20 AM

    If these picks come about, Peyton’s head will explode on national TV!

    #justsay’n

  96. James Myers says: Jan 30, 2014 5:26 AM

    I don’t like any team in history against a Peyton Manning that has had two weeks to watch film. Denver by two scores.

  97. manningsneckisverystrong says: Jan 30, 2014 5:34 AM

    27-20 Denver I just think Manning is smart enough to be able to the ball against Seattle. Plus the Denver defense is playing well in the playoffs. Now cue the Seattle fans who wish PFT was picking the Broncos……

  98. corzman69 says: Jan 30, 2014 6:07 AM

    As a lifelong Broncos fan, it pleases me to no end that you two clowns picked Seattle. Go Broncos!

  99. sakatak says: Jan 30, 2014 6:11 AM

    Good comments, that is about how I see this game going down. What bothers me is we all talk like we know everything about these teams and we really know very little. If we knew as much as we thought we did we would be wealthy and wise.

  100. gsomatt says: Jan 30, 2014 6:12 AM

    Its’ seems to be popular for everyone to be swayed toward Seattle. But no one wants to talk about Denver’s defense peaking at the right time going from 25 points allowed during regular season to 16 post season.

    Add to that giving Manning two weeks to prepare during a season he’s been on an almost unstoppable mission to win.

    Seattle might slow Denver down a little, but I don’t see it being too close.

    Denver, 28-17.

  101. thegonz13 says: Jan 30, 2014 6:27 AM

    Omaha! Omaha!

  102. knicksmets says: Jan 30, 2014 6:39 AM

    I,disagree with both of you, I can see it going both ways but I see manning being more comfortable then Wilson, since he has already been to the superbowl. Whoever wins i hope for a good game.

  103. vikingdoode says: Jan 30, 2014 6:45 AM

    Illuminatti and Vegas wants Broncos to win!

    NFL IS FIXED

    Broncos 23- Seahawks 21

  104. Youknowimright says: Jan 30, 2014 6:51 AM

    I agree with seattle. Defense seems to win in these games. I think peyton will see the toughest pass rush he has faced all year and that secondary is ridiculously good. He has thrown a few balls throughout the playoffs that were lucky to be completed. He will not be that Lucky Sunday. Peyton struggles and seattle wins 24 – 17.

  105. seattlerogueburner says: Jan 30, 2014 6:53 AM

    Fans like myself who watched Elway and the Broncos stomp all over the Seahawks back in the 90’s have been waiting for this game for a long time. Couldn’t have asked for a better matchup. Win or lose, both teams have done exceptional things this season. Sunday is going to be incredible.

  106. mancave001 says: Jan 30, 2014 7:01 AM

    Cowardly, safe picks .

    Denver 31
    Seattle 17

  107. intelligent cement says: Jan 30, 2014 7:06 AM

    So, it’s become official. Broncos win.

  108. weenforever says: Jan 30, 2014 7:13 AM

    Amen. so it is written, so it shall be done. god bless you both and your bold picks.

  109. The League's Crusade Against The Steelers Continues says: Jan 30, 2014 7:18 AM

    I’ll take Manning.

  110. mutohasaposse says: Jan 30, 2014 7:23 AM

    Just the fact that PFT is pulling for the Hawks only makes me want them to lose even more.

  111. marcuswelby70 says: Jan 30, 2014 7:26 AM

    The old saying is: “offense wins games-defense wins championships”
    It will be interesting to see if that holds up in this battle.
    Seattle 24
    Denver 23

  112. majormeatcurtains says: Jan 30, 2014 7:27 AM

    micheal david jim bob tom doohickikey, if THAT’s your REAL name. Stick to mudding your still and stop takinkin’ the liker off the top. You’ll go blinder.

  113. wiztopher says: Jan 30, 2014 7:57 AM

    It’s all about turnovers. If the Seahhawks get at least two AND score at least 10 off those turnovers, that COULD get them the win. I think MD n Florio are underestimating Manning n the Bronco’s O in the limelight. Although D theoretically win championships, I believe it’s capitalizing on TOs that truly makes the biggest difference. 24-20: Broncos.

  114. cascadeplus says: Jan 30, 2014 8:05 AM

    Seahawks have not played well outside their home stadium. Denver’s D kept San Diego and New England under 20 points. DENVER 27, SEATTLE 17

  115. ohiobears says: Jan 30, 2014 9:03 AM

    I don’t care if your are the 85 Bears. You are not stopping manning with this group. Not this year. Not going to happen.

  116. texansdude says: Jan 30, 2014 9:04 AM

    You both forgot about that late Manning td pass to make it 27-23 or 27-24!

  117. FoozieGrooler says: Jan 30, 2014 9:08 AM

    Denver, in a laugher…

  118. pitt4059 says: Jan 30, 2014 9:10 AM

    Just call me Nostrildamous…

    Seattle 28 – Denver 17

    Lynch runs for 2 TD’s and Harvin, yes Harvin, throws a TD pass. Seattle’s defense picks Peytons pockets.

  119. phillysports1 says: Jan 30, 2014 9:26 AM

    Seahawks 22 – 21 Baldwin SB MVP

  120. cspsrbums says: Jan 30, 2014 9:34 AM

    Not a fan if either team but this game isn’t going to be close . Denver by a mile Seattle isn’t going to stop Manning with all is Omahas good luck Sherman you will need it.

  121. thefiesty1 says: Jan 30, 2014 9:59 AM

    You’re both wrong. Manning and the Broncos in a runaway.

  122. ramitbaby says: Jan 30, 2014 10:01 AM

    Broncos 17
    Seahawks 7

    Book it, Dano.

  123. dcapettini says: Jan 30, 2014 10:05 AM

    As the last commentator; whoever scores last will win the game. After seeing Alabama/Auburn and Baltimore/Minnesota games this year I would not even hazard a guess as to who that might be.

  124. indywilson40 says: Jan 30, 2014 10:34 AM

    Thumbs up=Denver win
    Thumbs down= Seattle loss

  125. dodohead418 says: Jan 30, 2014 11:26 AM

    I must admit it does scare me that the Seahawks will not change their defense schemes against someone like Manning because of his knatch of knowing what the D is doing, but I think in terms of athleticism they can keep up with Manning reads.

  126. indywilson40 says: Jan 30, 2014 12:30 PM

    Denver 48 Seattle 47, in the greatest game ever played.

  127. fwippel says: Jan 30, 2014 1:11 PM

    I hate to admit it, but I think both writers are correct. My heart says Broncos, but my head says Seattle.

    I am reminded of Super Bowl XXVII, the first Dallas – Buffalo matchup. I remember all the analysts on the pregame show talking about how, THIS TIME, Buffalo was going to win the big one. Everyone picked Buffalo, except Mike Ditka, who proclaimed “Dallas will win because they are the better team.”

    That’s how I feel about this matchup.

  128. shlort says: Jan 30, 2014 1:19 PM

    Mistakes will be what decides how this game goes. If Seattle gets down by a couple of scores, I don’t think they can keep up with Denver. Seattle has a young QB and a team that depends a lot on Defense to win games for them. Denver is wide open on Offense and are hard to stop.

    Denver wins 35-24.

  129. taintedsaints2009 says: Jan 30, 2014 1:24 PM

    it’s very similar to picking the seattle san fran game from 2 weeks ago. you can go either way. i don’t really see one team being “favored” to win the game. it’s a toss up.

  130. nflgiant says: Jan 30, 2014 1:31 PM

    Hawks 31 Broncos 13

  131. imbetteratlifethanyou says: Jan 30, 2014 1:32 PM

    You clowns that think the Hawks aren’t good on the road are crazy. They went 6-2 on the road beating Carolina and Arizona (12 and 10 win teams) — really? They aren’t good on the road? The Hawks are 9-4 in their last 13 road games.

  132. gurkharavens says: Jan 30, 2014 1:42 PM

    Broncos 30-24

  133. pacnw66 says: Jan 30, 2014 2:16 PM

    Lets just hope it is won by the players and not poor officiating with the NFL apologizing Monday.

  134. footballchic777 says: Jan 30, 2014 2:43 PM

    I am taking Broncos 27 – Seahawks 17.

  135. gohawks7 says: Jan 30, 2014 4:01 PM

    Sea 31 Den 17

    This is the softest defense Seattle has faced in a long time. If Denver commits to stopping Lynch and Seattle commits to the play action…it’s over. Seattle has beaten 2 of the best defenses the past 2 games. Denver ranks NOWHERE near that.

    In addition, Denver’s offense hasn’t had a particularly difficult schedule. Playing vs the AFC West defenses (KC was way overrated) and the cross conference matchup vs the NFC East doesn’t make it any tougher. Throw in games against Jax, Hou, Balt…there just wasn’t much defense on the other side of the ball for Denver to beat this year. Not 1 game vs a Top 6 team in PA. Seattle’s defense is the perfect solution to stop Denver’s main weapon.

    Sea Run vs Den Def – Adv Sea
    Sea Pass vs Den Def – Adv Sea
    Den Run vs Sea Def – Adv Sea
    Den Pass vs Sea Def – Even

  136. pemory says: Jan 30, 2014 5:14 PM

    Tough pick for sure. These are both excellent teams that do not get blown out (look at the scores of their losses–neither lost by more than a TD this year). So, unless one of them goes ’93 Bills (Was it 10 turnovers v. Dallas in the SB? I lost count…), it’s probably going to be decided by less than a TD. Dare I say…we’re headed for the first OT in SB history???

  137. phillyeaglefan says: Jan 30, 2014 5:57 PM

    Denver 24
    Seattle 21 OT

  138. dukeearl says: Jan 30, 2014 6:10 PM

    “Although D theoretically win championships, I believe it’s capitalizing on TOs that truly makes the biggest difference. 24-20: Broncos.”

    If you really feel that capitalizing on TO’s will decide the game, shouldn’t you be going with the Hawks?
    They did have the best ratio after all.

  139. dukeearl says: Jan 30, 2014 6:48 PM

    A few facts that people haven’t noticed…
    Seattle will have its starters on the field for the FIRST time all season.
    Denver has lost a number of its Starters through the season.
    Some are (mistakenly) trying to paint the Seahawks as bad on the road.
    At 6 and 2 they are tied for the best road record in the league.
    Denver has a big advantage on their home field due to the “mile high” altitude. Lesser defenses get winded allowing Peyton to take advantage.
    Metlife stadium 3 ft.
    Seattle has the depth to continually run fresh players into the game.
    I do respect Denver and I do believe that this game can go either way.
    Still I am cheering the Seahawks on to victory!
    Go Hawks!

  140. mrba4775 says: Jan 30, 2014 7:29 PM

    Both of u idiots are wrong, the orange crush will prevail on Sunday. Both U idiots will have egg on your face, come monday, guaranteed, when Payton & company will be hoisting the lombardi trophy back to the Mile High. U guys are suppose to be the experts regarding this matter. It appears that both of U guys didn’t do your homework assignments for NBC, by doing some research, insteading pulling the seahawks out of a hat. what a joke. The Seahawks have NO OFFENSE, therefore, the Broncos defense is not afraid of Russell Wilson, all U have to do is STOP Lynch & ballgame over. The Broncos offense will be on the field so long scoring TD’s the Seahawks defense will be needing all the air they can get, ’cause Manning is going to have a fieldday. Peyton will be the MVP of Super Bowl 48, guaranteed. Mark my word. Broncos 27 Seahawks 21. Denver get ready for the Big Parade in downtown Denver on next Tuesday!!

  141. johnnycantread says: Jan 30, 2014 8:02 PM

    Broncos 28, Seahawks 20

  142. txnative65 says: Jan 31, 2014 3:02 AM

    The team that scores more points will win.

  143. hawksrock12 says: Jan 31, 2014 8:40 AM

    Based on all the comments and thumbs, everyone outside of the pacific northwest wants to see Manning win another super bowl. There will be a lot tears come monday morning. Except in the northwest!

  144. funshipm174 says: Jan 31, 2014 9:31 AM

    No “12th man” at MetLife stadium for the Seahawks who live on adrenaline. It’s like taking the juice away from the horse that uses it to race.

    Broncos-35 Seahawks-20

  145. steelerchicken says: Jan 31, 2014 11:30 AM

    Bet the House on Denver! If the Saints had a running game they would have beaten the Cryhawks, If Kap was throwing to the right team they would have beaten the Cryhawks, The officials in Super Bowl XL made the correct calls! Keep on crying Seattle

  146. doctordjohnson says: Jan 31, 2014 4:17 PM

    I also agree w/MDS & Mike Florio!! Fans and pundits alike are picking the Broncos to win the SB for one reason….Peyton Manning. SB history shows that since 2000 the “better” QB has a record 0f 4 – 7 with two games in which the QBs were rated equal. Defense & Turnovers will be the determining factors. Seattle has a season Give/Takeaway = +20, Denver Broncos = 0. In the playoffs Seattle has 2 INTs and 4 Forced Fumbles. Denver = 0. Offense wins Games, Defense wins Championships. Seattle, 24, Denver 21.

  147. pax150 says: Feb 1, 2014 11:07 AM

    After the sea hawks lose to the broncos there going to be moved to okc and become the scissor tails.

  148. rrthomasxyz says: Feb 1, 2014 4:22 PM

    Denver has the offense; Seattle has the defense (#1 in pass defense) and special teams. Seattle has +20 in turnover ratio; Denver is a flat 0. Denver has to rely exclusively on defense. I won’t take those odds. Seattle by 3.

  149. seahawksbmx says: Feb 3, 2014 1:31 PM

    Fun to revisit. Good call, gents!

  150. jeffesky says: Feb 4, 2014 8:31 AM

    “oh” ” I think he may go!” “HE’S GONA GO!” “TOUCH DOOOOOOWN SEAHAWKS!!!!!!!

  151. packergator says: Feb 5, 2014 9:34 AM

    Nice call, except for the close game part.

  152. dieselguy19 says: Feb 7, 2014 7:07 PM

    Well done. Although i’m not so sure why this was even a bold prediction? Pitching trumps hitting, defense trumps offense. Funny to go back and read how many posters were SURE Denver would win. Obvious Broncos fans, football minds knew better.

  153. bob42263 says: Feb 23, 2014 1:38 PM

    funny to see how wrong a lot of people were. Obviously they did not watch Seattle play this year and relied on stats and the over rated opinions of “experts” in the media. I thought Seattle would win by 10 at least. If Seattle got some turnovers I thought a 20 point win was possible. But I never dreamed it would be 43 to 8…35 point beat down. I watched Denver play a few times this year. Seattle was obviously faster and much more physical. Manning is a great QB, but football is a team game and Seattle is much better team than Denver. Denver has a better QB, everywhere else Seattle is better or equal to Denver. Plus Wilson outplayed Manning. Two Td’s and no Int’s….

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