Second round could see a run on quarterbacks

AP

Four teams that have Top 5 picks are eager to find a new franchise quarterbacks, and so it’s been widely assumed that the top of this year’s NFL draft will see a few quarterbacks going off the board early. But that may not be the case.

As we get closer to the draft, we’re hearing more talk that the stock of the top quarterbacks (Teddy Bridgewater, Johnny Manziel and Blake Bortles) is dropping. And Peter King of TheMMQB.com now reports that the four teams in the Top 5 with quarterback needs — Oakland, Houston, Cleveland and Jacksonville — are all strongly considering passing on quarterbacks in the first round and drafting one in the second or third round instead.

Right now it doesn’t look like Bridgewater, Manziel or Bortles will be available in the second round. But at this time last year it didn’t look like Geno Smith would be available in the second round, and that’s where the Jets got him. And if those teams at the top of the draft think quarterbacks like Derek Carr, A.J. McCarron and Jimmy Garoppolo are comparable to Bridgewater, Manziel and Bortles, then it would make sense to wait until the second round.

Of course, that strategy falls apart if it turns out that a few teams in the middle or late first round are interested in some of the quarterbacks in this year’s draft. But right now, it looks like the teams that need quarterbacks the most are willing to wait until the second day of the draft.

50 responses to “Second round could see a run on quarterbacks

  1. Being the skilled GM. that i am(lol). I would draft Manziel in the first rd. if I needed the novelty of the move to sell tickets. Other than that I think all the skill sets of these guys make them fairly mediocre and I’m not taking any in rd. 1 unless like the Browns I have multiple picks.

  2. I think you’ll see a couple of teams with early second round picks trade back into the late portion of the first round to draft their QB for one reason – they’ll get a fifth year option.

  3. The reason these quarterback-needy teams are picking at the start of the first round is because of marginal QB play, yet they want to wait for less talented players? Ooookay…

  4. This draft reminds me of 2003 when Carson Palmer was taken #1 and Byron Lefwich, Kyle Boller, and Rex Grossman were all taken in the first round.Palmer is on his third team and everybody else is gone. Some years there just isn’t anybody worth taking in the first round.

  5. It’s a copycat league, this year everybody wants to be like the Super Bowl champion Seattle Seahawks. And who wouldn’t? A four year rebuild founded on defense and not reaching for a QB in round one makes more sense then paying a guy like Christian Pounder/Blaine Gabbert/Jake Locker/Brandon Weeden millions while simultaneously passing on legitimate NFL talents.

  6. As a Ravens fan? I love this. Gives teams in the late teens (Ravens @ 17) an opportunity to offer the pick to a team looking to grab one of these knuckleheads (I stand my ground saying NONE will be franchise QB’s), allowing the Ravens to pick up a few extra picks. This is all assuming their top guys will be off the board, which I cannot imagine seeing Ebron, Clinton-Dix, Evans, etc. falling to 17. Especially if the QB needy teams steer clear of QBs.

  7. Bridgewater has performed horribly during workouts, Manziel just threw the ball up and Evans made him look good and Bortles was a media created sensation, not a great QB. I see bust all over this draft class at the QB position.

  8. At this point, every club is trying to smokescreen what they plan to do in RD1. There’s as much disinformation floating around as their is accurate information. What we’ve not heard is a consensus that any of the QB’ s are ‘can’t-miss’ franchise types, while there are a number of pass rushers and pass catchers teams are drooling over.

  9. And the Jets were so happy about stealing Geno Smith in the second round, they celebrated by going out and signing Michael Vick.

  10. Agree that other teams selecting in the middle to late portion of the draft could select one of these “top” QBs if those in the top 10 pass. Anyone remember GB taking Aaron Rodgers at #24 when they still had a productive Brett Favre?

  11. If I’m a GM picking in the top 5; I grab Watkins and then someone to throw to him; much like the Bengals did with Dalton and Green. Andy may not be the best QB in the league, but the Bengals have had more success in the last three years than any other time in their history (they’ve never had 3 back to back trips to the playoffs).

  12. Too soon to tell. As soon as one of those QBs gets picked, QB-needy teams may start to panic and trade back up to grab a QB.

  13. If you actually sat down and watched film on these guys in January you would have pegged them all late 1st or early 2nd round prospects.

    Same thing with Dennard at CB and Benjamin at WR.

    The tape doesn’t lie. All this “moving up” and “moving down” doesn’t exist.

    NFL teams have known since the fall these quarterbacks aren’t that great. And nobody is “moving” on draft boards as much as the media makes you believe.

  14. I saw Draft Day yesterday. I hope life imitates art for the Browns. Lay off the urge to make a splash with a qb early. Get players that can play and impact right now.

  15. I’m sure the Vikings would love to wait until the second round to get a quarterback, but with every other team waiting too, they’re all going to be gone by the time they pick. They will probably be forced to take one of these guys at 8, or else they’ll have to trade back into the first round like they have each of the last two years with great success.

  16. Zack Mettenberger will be a steal for someone late. I like him better than a lot of guys being hyped at the moment. He looked fantastic during his Pro Day.

  17. I saw Draft Day yesterday. I hope life imitates art for the Browns. Lay off the urge to make a splash with a qb early. Get players that can play and impact right now.
    —————————————–
    So basically, the NFL ripped off the plot to Money Ball and applied it to an NFL franchise?

  18. Four will go in the first 32 picks, minimum. GMs get antsy/panic and will pull the trigger. Agree with many previous posts, one or two in the first fifteen picks, then teams will start trading up to slots 20-32 to grab a few more.

  19. We’ll see what happens on draft day, and if any of these is all a part of the smoke and mirrors typical of pre-draft hype.

    That said, I would not at all be surprised to see Bridgewater drop to round two based on some disappointing workouts.

    But some of these teams, like the Vikings, Browns, Jaguars and Raiders, who have whiffed on selecting QBs in round one recently, trading down or waiting until round two might be best. In a draft without a surefire QB, waiting for Garappolo, Murray or Mettenberger puts a lot less pressure on that future QB than selecting a Bortles, Bridgewater or Manziel inside the top ten.

    Best bet for these teams? Trade down and pick up your QB late in round one or early in round two.

  20. Celebrity Man Guy says:
    Apr 14, 2014 9:47 AM

    I’m sure the Vikings would love to wait until the second round to get a quarterback, but with every other team waiting too, they’re all going to be gone by the time they pick. They will probably be forced to take one of these guys at 8, or else they’ll have to trade back into the first round like they have each of the last two years with great success.

    How do you define “great success…”

  21. Draft the best player that fits the pick in which you are picking him…

    Don’t suck it up and “Christan Ponder” all over the place.

    It’s pretty simple.

  22. Manziel, is not an Andrew Luck. Why does PT, especially Smith, keeping talking him up like he is. There’s too many red flags to gamble your GM job on. Manziel is one hit away from being ordinary. To pick him in the top 8 picks is probably too high. I’m really not that impressed with any of the QB’s. If Manziel gets picked in the top 5, it’s by the Raiders.

  23. “nowillrepeat says: Apr 14, 2014 9:55 AM
    Zack Mettenberger will be a steal for someone late. I like him better than a lot of guys being hyped at the moment. He looked fantastic during his Pro Day.”
    ============================================

    So did Manziel. So did JaMarcus Russell. If you just go by a highly scripted pro day, then you’re a fool.

  24. @hawkstradamus.

    4 year re-build? from what? Never winning a SB?
    Seattle’s been in a perpetual re-build since their inception, if winning a title is the goal.

    Don’t kid yourself into thinking that Seahawks foresight (and luck) with Wilson is a repeatable strategy.

    Past results do not predict future results when it comes to drafting QB’s.

    When’s the last time someone found a HOF QB in the 6th round?
    That would be NE almost 15 years ago

  25. Cleveland having a second first round pick right before the second round starts (I think it’s 26…) really helps if they want to wait.

    If it works out, Cleveland fans might have to thank Trent Richardson for that.

  26. So many quarterbacks will be drafted in this draft class…

    And most likely all except maybe 2/3 will become pro-bowlers. Its just sad that those 2/3 are the most unknown because of different fits.

  27. One thing Ive learned is that the draft is a lottery. Big names like Geno Smith, Justin Blackmon and even RG3 with the injuries have crumbled at the pro level while relative unknowns like Russel Wilson, Kiko Alonso and Tom Brady come out of nowhere.

    On any given year, 10% of the first round picks will fail. QB is particularly vulnerable to this. Coaching, protection, scheme and sill position players can make or break a QB early. You really have to build the team first, then draft the QB

  28. Well hopefully we are so high on a QB that we cant risk him dropping any further than #3. Regardless what the so called experts say if your draft pick plays successful nobody can say anything about when you drafted him.

  29. With the 3 top Qbs dropping and Murray, Savage and the No Ill guy rising, it puts the Pats in a sweet spot to trade down@29 with one of the top 10 teams, which I think they would love to do.

  30. If I was a quarterback in this years draft I would be doing everything I can to get drafted by the texans, I think last year was a fluke and really Schaub was the biggest problem, sure they played poorly collectively as a team but if the right quarterback they could be right back in contention next year. Andre Johnson, Arian foster, Hopkins, the weapons are all there

  31. Garroppolo & Mettenberger are gonna be the BEST steals of a the QB’s in the whole draft class! No matter where they’re picked! Watch & See! It might be 3 years in the making though! It will be so worth it in the long haul!

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