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Second round could see a run on quarterbacks

Blake Bortles AP

Four teams that have Top 5 picks are eager to find a new franchise quarterbacks, and so it’s been widely assumed that the top of this year’s NFL draft will see a few quarterbacks going off the board early. But that may not be the case.

As we get closer to the draft, we’re hearing more talk that the stock of the top quarterbacks (Teddy Bridgewater, Johnny Manziel and Blake Bortles) is dropping. And Peter King of TheMMQB.com now reports that the four teams in the Top 5 with quarterback needs — Oakland, Houston, Cleveland and Jacksonville — are all strongly considering passing on quarterbacks in the first round and drafting one in the second or third round instead.

Right now it doesn’t look like Bridgewater, Manziel or Bortles will be available in the second round. But at this time last year it didn’t look like Geno Smith would be available in the second round, and that’s where the Jets got him. And if those teams at the top of the draft think quarterbacks like Derek Carr, A.J. McCarron and Jimmy Garoppolo are comparable to Bridgewater, Manziel and Bortles, then it would make sense to wait until the second round.

Of course, that strategy falls apart if it turns out that a few teams in the middle or late first round are interested in some of the quarterbacks in this year’s draft. But right now, it looks like the teams that need quarterbacks the most are willing to wait until the second day of the draft.

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50 Responses to “Second round could see a run on quarterbacks”
  1. bumblyjack says: Apr 14, 2014 6:53 AM

    This is what happens when you have a really strong positional player draft class and not much separation among the QB prospects.

  2. Carl Gerbschmidt says: Apr 14, 2014 7:01 AM

    Good, when the 8th pick comes around I want the Vikes to have their pick of QB. That way there will be no excuses.

  3. greymares says: Apr 14, 2014 7:13 AM

    Being the skilled GM. that i am(lol). I would draft Manziel in the first rd. if I needed the novelty of the move to sell tickets. Other than that I think all the skill sets of these guys make them fairly mediocre and I’m not taking any in rd. 1 unless like the Browns I have multiple picks.

  4. uwsptke says: Apr 14, 2014 7:37 AM

    I think you’ll see a couple of teams with early second round picks trade back into the late portion of the first round to draft their QB for one reason – they’ll get a fifth year option.

  5. stl333 says: Apr 14, 2014 7:37 AM

    The reason these quarterback-needy teams are picking at the start of the first round is because of marginal QB play, yet they want to wait for less talented players? Ooookay…

  6. tomcous says: Apr 14, 2014 7:38 AM

    More likely a run to trade back into back end of first round.

  7. dcapettini says: Apr 14, 2014 7:41 AM

    This draft reminds me of 2003 when Carson Palmer was taken #1 and Byron Lefwich, Kyle Boller, and Rex Grossman were all taken in the first round.Palmer is on his third team and everybody else is gone. Some years there just isn’t anybody worth taking in the first round.

  8. shotgungrampa says: Apr 14, 2014 7:47 AM

    Not buying it

  9. hawkstradamus says: Apr 14, 2014 7:48 AM

    It’s a copycat league, this year everybody wants to be like the Super Bowl champion Seattle Seahawks. And who wouldn’t? A four year rebuild founded on defense and not reaching for a QB in round one makes more sense then paying a guy like Christian Pounder/Blaine Gabbert/Jake Locker/Brandon Weeden millions while simultaneously passing on legitimate NFL talents.

  10. conormacleod says: Apr 14, 2014 8:07 AM

    Good strategy for all.

  11. Eutaw's Finest says: Apr 14, 2014 8:08 AM

    As a Ravens fan? I love this. Gives teams in the late teens (Ravens @ 17) an opportunity to offer the pick to a team looking to grab one of these knuckleheads (I stand my ground saying NONE will be franchise QB’s), allowing the Ravens to pick up a few extra picks. This is all assuming their top guys will be off the board, which I cannot imagine seeing Ebron, Clinton-Dix, Evans, etc. falling to 17. Especially if the QB needy teams steer clear of QBs.

  12. xinellum says: Apr 14, 2014 8:20 AM

    Bridgewater has performed horribly during workouts, Manziel just threw the ball up and Evans made him look good and Bortles was a media created sensation, not a great QB. I see bust all over this draft class at the QB position.

  13. wryly1 says: Apr 14, 2014 8:31 AM

    At this point, every club is trying to smokescreen what they plan to do in RD1. There’s as much disinformation floating around as their is accurate information. What we’ve not heard is a consensus that any of the QB’ s are ‘can’t-miss’ franchise types, while there are a number of pass rushers and pass catchers teams are drooling over.

  14. dualprime says: Apr 14, 2014 8:31 AM

    Couldn’t agree more!There will be some talented kids in rounds two and three.

  15. 87hollywoodhorn says: Apr 14, 2014 8:32 AM

    No mention of LSU’s big, strong armed QB Zach Mettenberger?
    Everybody knows he’s the steal of this class of QBs. Quit tryna keep it under wraps!

  16. keepyerstickontheice says: Apr 14, 2014 8:34 AM

    And the Jets were so happy about stealing Geno Smith in the second round, they celebrated by going out and signing Michael Vick.

  17. Raider Jon says: Apr 14, 2014 8:35 AM

    McGloin, schaub, and carr. I can live with that. I wish we could have kept tyler wilson, though. That was awaste of a 4th round pick.

  18. lambeauwest says: Apr 14, 2014 8:36 AM

    Agree that other teams selecting in the middle to late portion of the draft could select one of these “top” QBs if those in the top 10 pass. Anyone remember GB taking Aaron Rodgers at #24 when they still had a productive Brett Favre?

  19. bam5239 says: Apr 14, 2014 8:38 AM

    If I’m a GM picking in the top 5; I grab Watkins and then someone to throw to him; much like the Bengals did with Dalton and Green. Andy may not be the best QB in the league, but the Bengals have had more success in the last three years than any other time in their history (they’ve never had 3 back to back trips to the playoffs).

  20. realdealsteel says: Apr 14, 2014 8:41 AM

    Say it with me, ” smoke screen”

  21. jbl429 says: Apr 14, 2014 8:45 AM

    Too soon to tell. As soon as one of those QBs gets picked, QB-needy teams may start to panic and trade back up to grab a QB.

  22. deljzc says: Apr 14, 2014 9:03 AM

    If you actually sat down and watched film on these guys in January you would have pegged them all late 1st or early 2nd round prospects.

    Same thing with Dennard at CB and Benjamin at WR.

    The tape doesn’t lie. All this “moving up” and “moving down” doesn’t exist.

    NFL teams have known since the fall these quarterbacks aren’t that great. And nobody is “moving” on draft boards as much as the media makes you believe.

  23. whoisedgy says: Apr 14, 2014 9:06 AM

    I saw Draft Day yesterday. I hope life imitates art for the Browns. Lay off the urge to make a splash with a qb early. Get players that can play and impact right now.

  24. Celebrity Man Guy says: Apr 14, 2014 9:47 AM

    I’m sure the Vikings would love to wait until the second round to get a quarterback, but with every other team waiting too, they’re all going to be gone by the time they pick. They will probably be forced to take one of these guys at 8, or else they’ll have to trade back into the first round like they have each of the last two years with great success.

  25. txfinfan says: Apr 14, 2014 9:51 AM

    False flag. Smoke screen. Head games.

  26. nowillrepeat says: Apr 14, 2014 9:55 AM

    Zack Mettenberger will be a steal for someone late. I like him better than a lot of guys being hyped at the moment. He looked fantastic during his Pro Day.

  27. nowillrepeat says: Apr 14, 2014 9:58 AM

    I saw Draft Day yesterday. I hope life imitates art for the Browns. Lay off the urge to make a splash with a qb early. Get players that can play and impact right now.
    —————————————–
    So basically, the NFL ripped off the plot to Money Ball and applied it to an NFL franchise?

  28. docsweeney says: Apr 14, 2014 10:14 AM

    Four will go in the first 32 picks, minimum. GMs get antsy/panic and will pull the trigger. Agree with many previous posts, one or two in the first fifteen picks, then teams will start trading up to slots 20-32 to grab a few more.

  29. annapterp says: Apr 14, 2014 10:26 AM

    There isn’t a QB in the draft that should be a top 10-15 pick. Low first round at best. Most are 2nd and 3rd rounders.

  30. filthymcnasty1 says: Apr 14, 2014 10:32 AM

    If you really want to watch a QB’s stock fall, wait till the Vikings draft one.

  31. fwippel says: Apr 14, 2014 10:33 AM

    We’ll see what happens on draft day, and if any of these is all a part of the smoke and mirrors typical of pre-draft hype.

    That said, I would not at all be surprised to see Bridgewater drop to round two based on some disappointing workouts.

    But some of these teams, like the Vikings, Browns, Jaguars and Raiders, who have whiffed on selecting QBs in round one recently, trading down or waiting until round two might be best. In a draft without a surefire QB, waiting for Garappolo, Murray or Mettenberger puts a lot less pressure on that future QB than selecting a Bortles, Bridgewater or Manziel inside the top ten.

    Best bet for these teams? Trade down and pick up your QB late in round one or early in round two.

  32. Carl Gerbschmidt says: Apr 14, 2014 10:58 AM

    Celebrity Man Guy says:
    Apr 14, 2014 9:47 AM

    I’m sure the Vikings would love to wait until the second round to get a quarterback, but with every other team waiting too, they’re all going to be gone by the time they pick. They will probably be forced to take one of these guys at 8, or else they’ll have to trade back into the first round like they have each of the last two years with great success.

    How do you define “great success…”

  33. jwcarlson says: Apr 14, 2014 11:28 AM

    Draft the best player that fits the pick in which you are picking him…

    Don’t suck it up and “Christan Ponder” all over the place.

    It’s pretty simple.

  34. 80sbroncofan says: Apr 14, 2014 11:37 AM

    Teams are just too afraid to take a quarterback early.

  35. bobbyhoying says: Apr 14, 2014 11:44 AM

    Foles and Wilson have made teams re-think conventional wisdom.

  36. dcapettini says: Apr 14, 2014 11:50 AM

    This is a bad year to need a QB.

  37. armoderate says: Apr 14, 2014 11:55 AM

    Manziel, is not an Andrew Luck. Why does PT, especially Smith, keeping talking him up like he is. There’s too many red flags to gamble your GM job on. Manziel is one hit away from being ordinary. To pick him in the top 8 picks is probably too high. I’m really not that impressed with any of the QB’s. If Manziel gets picked in the top 5, it’s by the Raiders.

  38. granadafan says: Apr 14, 2014 12:12 PM

    “nowillrepeat says: Apr 14, 2014 9:55 AM
    Zack Mettenberger will be a steal for someone late. I like him better than a lot of guys being hyped at the moment. He looked fantastic during his Pro Day.”
    ============================================

    So did Manziel. So did JaMarcus Russell. If you just go by a highly scripted pro day, then you’re a fool.

  39. infectorman says: Apr 14, 2014 12:20 PM

    @hawkstradamus.

    4 year re-build? from what? Never winning a SB?
    Seattle’s been in a perpetual re-build since their inception, if winning a title is the goal.

    Don’t kid yourself into thinking that Seahawks foresight (and luck) with Wilson is a repeatable strategy.

    Past results do not predict future results when it comes to drafting QB’s.

    When’s the last time someone found a HOF QB in the 6th round?
    That would be NE almost 15 years ago

  40. descendency says: Apr 14, 2014 1:00 PM

    Cleveland having a second first round pick right before the second round starts (I think it’s 26…) really helps if they want to wait.

    If it works out, Cleveland fans might have to thank Trent Richardson for that.

  41. Matt dog from C-town says: Apr 14, 2014 1:00 PM

    Finally some sense….These quarterbacks are not first round value!!!!

  42. aurelh23 says: Apr 14, 2014 1:02 PM

    So many quarterbacks will be drafted in this draft class…

    And most likely all except maybe 2/3 will become pro-bowlers. Its just sad that those 2/3 are the most unknown because of different fits.

  43. jeffreyshulenburg says: Apr 14, 2014 1:09 PM

    One thing Ive learned is that the draft is a lottery. Big names like Geno Smith, Justin Blackmon and even RG3 with the injuries have crumbled at the pro level while relative unknowns like Russel Wilson, Kiko Alonso and Tom Brady come out of nowhere.

    On any given year, 10% of the first round picks will fail. QB is particularly vulnerable to this. Coaching, protection, scheme and sill position players can make or break a QB early. You really have to build the team first, then draft the QB

  44. henry4956 says: Apr 14, 2014 1:25 PM

    Aaron Murray in late 2nd or 3rd will be the steal of the draft by 2015. Book it.

  45. thenew013 says: Apr 14, 2014 1:40 PM

    Well hopefully we are so high on a QB that we cant risk him dropping any further than #3. Regardless what the so called experts say if your draft pick plays successful nobody can say anything about when you drafted him.

  46. memphiscowboy says: Apr 14, 2014 2:10 PM

    Good, if PFT is right, the Cowboys can get Johnny Football at 16. I like it.

  47. tedmurph says: Apr 14, 2014 2:23 PM

    With the 3 top Qbs dropping and Murray, Savage and the No Ill guy rising, it puts the Pats in a sweet spot to trade down@29 with one of the top 10 teams, which I think they would love to do.

  48. natureboy704 says: Apr 14, 2014 2:39 PM

    If I was a quarterback in this years draft I would be doing everything I can to get drafted by the texans, I think last year was a fluke and really Schaub was the biggest problem, sure they played poorly collectively as a team but if the right quarterback they could be right back in contention next year. Andre Johnson, Arian foster, Hopkins, the weapons are all there

  49. mikejune says: Apr 14, 2014 2:42 PM

    Just a friendly reminder that last year, in the 2013 NFL Draft, most of the “experts” 1st Round QB’s went in the 4th.

  50. brucewayne3561 says: Apr 14, 2014 5:51 PM

    Garroppolo & Mettenberger are gonna be the BEST steals of a the QB’s in the whole draft class! No matter where they’re picked! Watch & See! It might be 3 years in the making though! It will be so worth it in the long haul!

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