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Teddy Bridgewater falls to second round in Mel Kiper’s latest mock draft

Teddy Bridgewater, Corey Jones AP

For most of the fall, Louisville quarterback Teddy Bridgewater was talked about as being almost a lock to be the first quarterback selected in the NFL Draft and perhaps the first overall selection by the Houston Texans.

As the draft has drawn closer, that sentiment no longer seems to be the case. However, Bridgewater still seems likely to be one of the first few quarterbacks when the draft finally gets here on May 8. That hasn’t stopped a somewhat unexpected projected from Mel Kiper in his latest mock draft for ESPN.com on Thursday.

Kiper has Bridgewater falling out of the first round with the Houston Texans selecting him with the first pick of the second round.

Kiper’s reasoning is as follows:

“Let me be clear: This is the top-rated quarterback on my Big Board, a player I have rated higher than Bortles, Manziel or Carr,” Kiper wrote. “But my reading of the tea leaves in speaking with many evaluators around the league is that Bridgewater could drop if he slides past a couple of points early on. If I could project trades, I’d have someone taking him later in Round 1 having moved up. Obviously, he’s a steal at this point.”

Perhaps this is the tangible result of the draft being pushed back an extra two weeks. More time is available for front offices to out-think themselves or for teams to disparage a prospect in the hope he falls farther down on the draft board. It seems somewhat crazy that a quarterback some people still rank as the best in this draft could fall out of the first round based on a non-stellar pro day or workout instead of the performances at Louisville that grabbed the attention of scouts in the first place.

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71 Responses to “Teddy Bridgewater falls to second round in Mel Kiper’s latest mock draft”
  1. mrheavyhustle says: Apr 18, 2014 2:27 AM

    Kiper and McShay are becoming more annoying than Jaws now. Their should be a rule to how many Mock Drafts you are allowed to have or something. Sheesh Louise. QBs are already hard enough to predict the future of and I promise there’s no Andrew Luck in this years draft.

  2. elliottcovert says: Apr 18, 2014 2:28 AM

    You hit the nail on the head by saying that front offices would be over-thinking things if they pass on Bridgewater. Sure he had a lousy pro day, but look at his game tape. The kid has talent and it shows on the field. His performance at the Sugar Bowl against an NFL style defense coached by a current d-coordinator was masterful. He’d be a great pickup for any West Coast team that doesn’t have a franchise quarterback in place already.

  3. thegoods24 says: Apr 18, 2014 2:36 AM

    Well if Mel Kiper is predicting it you know it must be accurate!

  4. slugbaitspace says: Apr 18, 2014 2:53 AM

    Two possibilities: either Mel Kiper’s Hair doesn’t know what he’s talking about (again), or somebody for some team is “gaming” him to possibly get Teddy to fall to their second pick.

    I’m gonna pick the first possibility.

  5. faaast1 says: Apr 18, 2014 2:58 AM

    After Seven Years under a big time winner like Gary Kubiak, the Texans have a proven track record of mediocrity.
    If they manage to miss out on their charismatic local hero, Johnny Manziel; they’re undeniable comittment to losing, will be etched in stone.
    Yet again, those geniuses will have reaped what they have sown.

  6. VondyP says: Apr 18, 2014 3:44 AM

    Titans, please don’t use your first round pick on this guy…

  7. paoconno says: Apr 18, 2014 3:57 AM

    I honestly think Bridgewater is the safest pick of the big 3 QBs. He has the ONE attribute that all successful QBs must have, an attribute that CANNOT BE LEARNED: he’s not afraid to stand in the pocket and deliver a strike even when he’s about to get hit.

    Go back and watch some of Teddy’s games, he holds onto the ball til the last possible second, delivers a perfect pass, then gets lit up. He reminds me of Kurt Warner in this regard.

  8. marvinlewisisindian says: Apr 18, 2014 4:08 AM

    If Mel Kiper predicts him going in the second round, it probably means he’s going first overall.

  9. uglydingo says: Apr 18, 2014 4:35 AM

    I think that Mel is reading the tea leaves accurately, Teddy appears to be in free fall. The big question is whether he turns out to be like Brady Quinn or Aaron Rodgers? Tough for the young guy but all of this adds to the natural theater of the Draft.

  10. seatownballers says: Apr 18, 2014 5:02 AM

    Look at Geno Smith in last draft. It happens. If he is struggling during a workout, how good will he be against a top rated defense?

  11. hodag54501 says: Apr 18, 2014 5:38 AM

    …and Mel Kiper is the personnel director for…the London Monarchs?
    I’m always amazed at how players can drop based on factors other than playing a game. When was the last time he played a game, January? How is it he can be such a ‘prospect’ then snap! turn into a dog because of “try outs”. If Bridgewater somehow falls to New England, how could they resist? How about a replacement for Tony Romo in Dallas? How about the eventual replacement for Drew Brees in N.O.?
    Green Bay said they would draft a QB this year. Is this the year Ted Thompson “Favres” Aaron Rodgers?

  12. footballtalk1 says: Apr 18, 2014 5:53 AM

    He’s a hybrid Ryan Leaf- Mark Sanchez. Draft bust waiting to happen

  13. jay62107 says: Apr 18, 2014 6:09 AM

    “Let me be clear: This is the top-rated quarterback on my Big Board, a player I have rated higher than Bortles, Manziel or Carr,”
    My brain doesn’t comprehend how this sounds right to him.

  14. pftking says: Apr 18, 2014 7:13 AM

    This is stupid. Just cause he had a bad proday he’s going to fall to the second round? I don’t think so, odds are the Vikings will end up trading back with a team needing a WR or OT then take Bridgewater with that pick.

  15. clownsfan says: Apr 18, 2014 7:13 AM

    Or maybe the comparison to “Steamin” Willie Beamon scared clubs off

  16. andynormile says: Apr 18, 2014 7:15 AM

    Surely mis direction by some teams in order to land Bridgewater as the earliest opportunity

  17. The Red Rifle says: Apr 18, 2014 7:16 AM

    Andy Dalton is still the best QB to come out in the last decade. He continues to prove that. Nothing will change with this class coming out.

  18. bobleblah says: Apr 18, 2014 7:24 AM

    Kiper is just being controversial to get some page-views.

  19. maddog111 says: Apr 18, 2014 7:27 AM

    After seeing “highlights” from his pro day, I’m surprised he’s even expected to go that high. Lot of wobbly duck throws.

  20. pacodawg says: Apr 18, 2014 7:27 AM

    To the browns at 4.

  21. 15starr says: Apr 18, 2014 7:31 AM

    Bridgewater is the best QB in this draft

  22. TheJStyles says: Apr 18, 2014 7:46 AM

    Yeah.. Your “Top QB” going in the 2nd round, after 3 other QBs.. That makes sense..

    Kiper is like that guy in the NCAA tournament that fills out 40 sheets then brags about the games he gets correct and ignores all he misses..

  23. nite2al says: Apr 18, 2014 7:51 AM

    Giving stock to pro day workouts is a joke! Did TB throw passes like that in a game? No. So, what’s the big deal? You mean I’ve got tons of tape on this guy and a 30 minute work out is what I hang my hat on?

    Remember those NFL QB challenges? The best QBs never won those things, it was always someone like Ryan Fitzpatrick. And speaking of him, how’s that wonderlic working out for him? He certainly made more bad decisions than V Young during games.

    And one thing that bugs me, if you get him in second round, he’s a steal? Well, if he sucks, he sucks, you still lose money and you wasted a pick!

  24. kabasaman says: Apr 18, 2014 8:00 AM

    Bust… I see Akili Smith…

  25. mp4philly says: Apr 18, 2014 8:03 AM

    Make it happen, Eagles.

  26. fatguystrangler says: Apr 18, 2014 8:27 AM

    It looks like Teddy Bridgewater could be this year’s Matt Barkley.

  27. barbasol11111111 says: Apr 18, 2014 8:28 AM

    The draft: where smart teams get better and dumb teams get worse

  28. 4grammarpolice says: Apr 18, 2014 8:31 AM

    There are thousands of mock drafts to look at on the Internet, but you have to pay for ESPN’s.

  29. lostsok says: Apr 18, 2014 8:38 AM

    This off-season should end forever the myth that pro days don’t matter. Maybe they shouldn’t, but they do. At the very least they raise questions, and send people back to the tapes. Clearly, people saw something the 2nd time they let slide the first…

  30. primenumber19 says: Apr 18, 2014 8:46 AM

    There is way too much time between the end of the season and the draft. I prefer the quick timing of the nba in this situation

  31. russellwestbrooksucks says: Apr 18, 2014 8:47 AM

    Someone is gonna get a high value in the 2nd round then…didn’t Brees have a bad pro day and drop to the 2nd round? Yuuuuup.

  32. sincejumpstreet says: Apr 18, 2014 8:55 AM

    My concern with Teddy is not so much his talent, it’s his leadership profile. Seemed unprepared for the pre-draft process, and is not knocking teams out in the interview process. Is he the face of a franchise? A leader of grown men in the huddle? I dunno about that.

  33. wakaflaccoflame says: Apr 18, 2014 8:57 AM

    This is why we, the Baltimore Ravens, win Superbowls. We draft based on talent of the TAPE. How does it feel knowing that your team drafts on workouts?

  34. rabidboy says: Apr 18, 2014 9:06 AM

    Why are the so-called draft experts overlooking team’s needs to find a quality QB starter in the first round?

    Bortles and Manziel will be gone by #5 with Carr and Bridgewater gone by the time Cleveland picks again at #26.

  35. bobbyinlondon says: Apr 18, 2014 9:09 AM

    If Bridgewater falls to the 20s, he won’t get past either Arizona at 20 or Philly at 22. Arizona would select him as Carson Palmer’s heir.

    If Arizona lets him pass and he gets to Philly’s spot at 22, there could be a couple of things in play–

    1. Cleveland at 26 (if they don’t select a QB at 4) or Houston will move up–I’d say that the price for Cleveland will be a 1st and 3rd; if Houston wants him, they’ll have to give up their 2nd, 3rd, and 4th rounders to get him.

    2. And this isn’t out of the realm–Philly picks him at 22, and entertains trades for Foles. A 2nd and a 4th should be able to pry Foles away from Philly. He wasn’t bad his rookie year playing behind a line missing 3/5s of it and no McCoy for 5 games and no Jackson for 6. He outdid himself last year, and before everyone says it was Kelly’s system, keep in mind he had a pretty good year in Reid’s offense, mind-boggling in Kelly’s and came into the Pro Bowl with an offense designed for someone else and was the offensive MVP.

  36. joemammy says: Apr 18, 2014 9:10 AM

    If one of those “Big 3 quarterbacks” fall to Round 2, it should be Manziel, not Bridgewater.

  37. thereisfootballwestofjersey says: Apr 18, 2014 9:13 AM

    Joe Montana fell to the third round in Kuiper’s mock draft. Tom Brady the 7th.

  38. norseyapper says: Apr 18, 2014 9:26 AM

    Say Mel, have you noticed that when GMs begin to SAY that they aren’t interested in a guy, the greater likelihood is that they are positioning themselves to try and get the guy at a bargain?
    On the other hand, guys that you have let the GMs talk you into believing that he is a top ten pick often are the ones who slide (Brady Quinn etc.)

  39. coachkilla6 says: Apr 18, 2014 9:35 AM

    This all but guarantees minnesota will trade up to take him early in round 1.

    #Skil

    Still
    Keepers of
    0
    Lombardi’s

  40. u4iadman says: Apr 18, 2014 9:35 AM

    If you have concerns early, then you shouldn’t draft.

  41. pillowporkers says: Apr 18, 2014 9:39 AM

    This guy came off the bench with a broken wrist and high ankle sprain to bring his team back and take his team to a bowl game. He had his offensive coordinator in tears embracing him in the locker room after he gutted out that win. If that’s not a leader I don’t know what is.

    He’s played his best games in the bowl games the past two years. He was the only reason his team was any good. He was embraced by the entire fan base. If THAT’S not a leader, I don’t know what is.

    So many people don’t see him as a leader because all they know is he’s pretty humble and quiet. That doesn’t make you not a leader. I really hope he’s there for my Vikings at 8.

  42. nflpoker says: Apr 18, 2014 9:47 AM

    And Kiper’s opinion is right on and makes sense because. . . . .

    Anyone???????

  43. dartwick says: Apr 18, 2014 9:50 AM

    If he drops to 16-20 someone will move up to draft him.

  44. aurelh23 says: Apr 18, 2014 10:00 AM

    He’s this years Geno Smith.

    Overhyped player who will drop out the first round.

    Lets be clear here. He played NOBODY in college.

    He had ONE great game against a good team (Florida Gators in the bowl game)

    The bandwagon got full and now its falling apart because of his pro day and tape.

  45. vikesandravens78 says: Apr 18, 2014 10:03 AM

    This is the worst part about the draft being moved back to May. I’m so sick of listening to Mel Kiper and Todd McShay’s so-called “expert” opinions and their mock drafts. Last year’s draft went nothing like either of them predicted and neither of them are willing to ever acknowledge all of the busts that they have contributed to overvaluing. The fact that they get paid to do this is infuriating.

  46. boomboombrown says: Apr 18, 2014 10:04 AM

    1st pick in the 2nd round. 12 picks after the Packers choice limps to the podium and is put on the IR for the season.

  47. Canton Bulldogs says: Apr 18, 2014 10:09 AM

    To all those who didn’t read the article IF he could model in trades Bridgewater would still be round 1. He thinks he’s is round one material but needs a team (like the Texans for example) who won’t give up their top 10 pick to trade up back into round 1 to get him.

  48. grimreaper12 says: Apr 18, 2014 10:37 AM

    Caliendo’s Kiper is hilarious.

  49. camdenyard says: Apr 18, 2014 10:37 AM

    He should not be in anyone’s first round. Dude has BUST written all over him.

  50. filthymcnasty1 says: Apr 18, 2014 10:41 AM

    I sure hope the Vikings take Bridgewater. The jokes will write themselves.

  51. aldante66 says: Apr 18, 2014 10:41 AM

    Hey he should be a broker. It’s a great time to buy stocks unless of course but then if this and that happens who knows.

    He certainly covered all his bases. I can easily say that if the early teams who need a QB pass on him then yes he may fall later in the draft unless they decide they want him. Duh!

  52. aldante66 says: Apr 18, 2014 10:43 AM

    Kipper is betting his poor performance did him in. This guy has proven he doesn’t have the NFL arm. Big problemo.

  53. kylexitron says: Apr 18, 2014 11:01 AM

    Well kioer was spot on about Russell Wilson being a nobody. . . Oh wait.

  54. citizenstrange says: Apr 18, 2014 11:18 AM

    Mel Kiper has 0.00000% credibility. Jimmy Clausen is basically out of football.

  55. filthymcnasty1 says: Apr 18, 2014 11:19 AM

    If MN drafts him, he’ll wear #I-35.

  56. brianstevens0915 says: Apr 18, 2014 11:24 AM

    How many kickbacks from agents do you think Kiper gets? Enough to afford all his hair care products and then some. What a clown!

  57. charmcitychampions says: Apr 18, 2014 11:27 AM

    Draft needs to be right after bowl season. All the over-analysis leads to stupidity like this.

  58. madmike66 says: Apr 18, 2014 11:28 AM

    I don’t know why people still treat Kiper like he is relevant. He’s not a very good analyst, he’s simply the first one to have done it. So many analysts have passed him by now, but he is kept around purely for nostalgia…he was just some guy in his basement banging out draft analysis on his typewriter. He doesn’t have a football background, doesn’t have any real connections to the teams or GMs, he was just the first to do projections. Kudos to him for starting the phenomenon, but the guy knows jack doodly about football, so it baffles me when whatever he says gets reported. His projections are usually not remotely accurate.

  59. freddiec8 says: Apr 18, 2014 11:51 AM

    What has Andrew Luck done but lose big games in the playoffs

  60. lscratchingthesurface says: Apr 18, 2014 12:02 PM

    Kiper isn’t on target and I wonder how he still maintains his job. I stopped watching the draft on ESPN because of this guy.

  61. junkmagnet2013 says: Apr 18, 2014 12:21 PM

    Isn’t Kiper the same dude that said Jabustus Russell, and Whinin’ Ryan Leaf were ‘Can’t miss’ prospects??

  62. realfootballfan says: Apr 18, 2014 12:21 PM

    Lol, just like Jimmy Claussen was going to be a top 10 pick.

  63. oldcracker says: Apr 18, 2014 1:11 PM

    I like reading the various “insiders” input on what’s going on but, keep in mind, it is impossible to do more than an educated guess at the future.

    So much depends on the team, their management and their coaching that drafts any given player. That’s why certain teams stay good and often find gems even in undrafted players. Also, the best player for your style of play may not be the best player available at that position.

    The Browns bring in Colt McCoy to QB a pro style play under Mangini. Then bring in Weeden to QB a West Coast offense, under Shurmur. These were decisions made by Mike Holmgren, a supposed QB/WC genius. WTF?

    Bridgewater may be the “most ready” of the QB’s but his smallish stature concerns me. Hopefully, he can land with the right team.

  64. pftstory says: Apr 18, 2014 1:27 PM

    Considering no team ever actually decided to select him near the top of the draft, or actually at any point in the draft, Bridgewater has not slid anywhere.
    All that has really happened is the people (or one particular person) who make predictions about where players might get selected have changed their guess as to when he would be drafted.

    Why do we buy into this notion of falling and dropping? The teams evaluate, then on draft day they make their decision. They do not sit there and say on Jan 1 decide they will take this guy, on Feb 1 decide they will take that guy, then on April 17th change their mind again.
    The notion of dropping and falling is a product of the draft predictors being able to say “so and so dropped” as opposed to “I was wrong when I thought and said Rodgers would go in the top 5.”

  65. gomybirdsgo says: Apr 18, 2014 1:40 PM

    After watching back a few games for each guy and listening to all the talking heads and such. I wouldn’t take either bridgewater or manziel in the first round. Bortles and Derek Carr should be the first two selected. I’d take Bortles first because I think he is a sure thing but Carr has the highest ceiling in this draft at qb.

  66. noringcircus says: Apr 18, 2014 1:43 PM

    Kiper pulling his mocks out of his butt. Teams made their draft boards months ago based on their own scouting reports and review of game tapes. The combine and pro-days are just to confirm their analyses. They’re not going to listen to draft experts when they have their own scouts and data. I’m sure some teams would spread rumors as a strategy that a targeted player would fall in the draft and be selected a lower spot.

  67. mrpeary3189 says: Apr 18, 2014 1:48 PM

    If Teddy falls to #20, look for the Browns to trade up with the Cards if they didn’t already draft a QB at #4.

  68. 2me13 says: Apr 18, 2014 2:58 PM

    What happened to bomb for Bridgewater. As a jet fan I would trade down and take him.

  69. obamahitlerpartdeux says: Apr 19, 2014 11:10 AM

    Mel Kiper is a functional illiterate. Bill O’Brien wouldn’t draft Bridgewater if he were the last QB wannabe on earth. Whomever pays a salary to Kiper should be investigated for criminal stupidity. The man is barely an imbecile.

  70. randy8484moss says: Apr 20, 2014 1:34 AM

    “But he played in a weak conference!!”

    -joe flacco, big ben, steve mcnair

  71. randy8484moss says: Apr 20, 2014 1:38 AM

    All bridgewater have to do is eat some extra steak and pump iron. His “frame” won’t be an issue then. He has the smarts to make it.

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