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A quick look at how the top 10 could unfold

Jadeveon Clowney AP

Between interviewing prospects and posting content and prepping for PFT Live and having lunch with Mrs. PFT, I’ve been trying to get a feel for how the top of the 2014 draft will unfold.

Here’s the best info we currently have for the first 10 picks.

1.  Texans:  The Texans are telling teams that if they don’t get the package they want for defensive end Jadeveon Clowney, they’ll simply draft him.  Some buy that, others don’t.  G.M. Rick Smith previously has said that they know who they want, and that they may trade down to get him.  Owner Bob McNair has said Clowney is the best player in the draft.  Taken together (and assuming it’s not some of the stuff that the creature on their helmet logo would leave behind him in the grass), this suggests that they want someone other than Clowney.  So will they ultimately cut the best deal they can get to trade down for Khalil Mack, Johnny Manziel, or Blake Bortles?  Or will the Texans take Clowney?  The prevailing view among league sources I’ve polled is Clowney.

2.  Rams:  They’d also like to trade down, but signs are pointing to tackle Greg Robinson being the pick.

3.  Jaguars:  One of two teams believed most likely to move up for Clowney, they are believed to be considering Mack, receiver Sammy Watkins, Manziel, and maybe Bortles if Jacksonville uses the pick.

4.  Browns:  All signs are pointing to tackle Jake Matthews.

5.  Raiders:  We’ve heard they prefer receiver Mike Evans to Watkins.  There’s also a whisper or two that owner Mark Davis really likes quarterback Derek Carr in this spot.  Which would be the quintessential Raider move.

6.  Falcons:  If the first five picks are Clowney, Robinson, Mack, Matthews, Evans or Watkins, the Falcons are screwed.  With either Evans or Watkins and both Manziel and Bortles available, they could trade down.  Some think they could panic and trade up to No. 1 to get Clowney.  There’s also a chance they trade up to No. 2 for Mack, but this would likely result in the Rams losing their clear shot at Robinson.

7.  Buccaneers:  If Evans or Watkins are left, that’s the pick.  Jay Glazer reports that the Manziel talk was a smokescreen.  Aaron Donald becomes an intriguing option here, notwithstanding the presence of Gerald McCoy and Clinton McDonald on the roster.

8.  Vikings:  Aaron Donald or Bortles/Manziel, with the possibility of their highest-rated corner.

9.  Bills:  Could they take receiver Odell Beckham if Evans and Watkins are gone?  Best available tackle is an option.  Eric Ebron would be a surprise but not a shock.  Also, Donald could be an intriguing pick, given Marcell Dareus‘ recent off-field issue.

10.  Lions:  Evans or Watkins if there, Donald if there, or best available corner.  Possibly a tackle if Taylor Lewan is still available.

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74 Responses to “A quick look at how the top 10 could unfold”
  1. thegreatgabbert says: May 8, 2014 3:04 PM

    Give us Mrs. PFT’s take. I feel a little better going with that.

  2. FlashPatterson says: May 8, 2014 3:07 PM

    Johnny Football to the Vikings. Good DTs are a dime a dozen these days but franchise QBs are hard to come by.

  3. grantsbuds says: May 8, 2014 3:07 PM

    The degree of certainty is surprising.

  4. beckzhere says: May 8, 2014 3:08 PM

    So who are you slating the Falcons to get? Other than them just being screwed.

  5. chc4 says: May 8, 2014 3:09 PM

    The Falcons wouldn’t be screwed in that scenario… they would simply draft Lewan. Only way the are screwed is if the first 5 picks are Clowney, Mack, Robinson, Matthews and Lewan.

  6. bigkountry24 says: May 8, 2014 3:10 PM

    Whatever….and i have the money to buy the clippers which is also a lie. Gimme a break already on all this speculation my goodness!

  7. deltaoracle says: May 8, 2014 3:10 PM

    Thank God the first part of this is almost here.
    At least after tonight we’ll have some kind of substance to talk about.

  8. thegreatgabbert says: May 8, 2014 3:11 PM

    If Clowney, Mack, Robinson, Matthews, Evans and Watkins all go in the top five picks a lot of teams are going to feel “screwed”, not just the Falcons. I think there would be quiet murmurs of protest at least.

  9. ramitbaby says: May 8, 2014 3:11 PM

    When you think you have Fisher’s draft pegged, think again. It will be Watkins or Mack at 2. Not a lineman who is a project in the passing game.

  10. tmar1961 says: May 8, 2014 3:12 PM

    Falcons wouldn’t be screwed, Lewan with the 6th pick is a good pick. I think he goes ahead of Matthews actually simply because he has more upside and is a plug in starter now; not as polished as Matthews but still a plug in starter.

  11. shad68 says: May 8, 2014 3:12 PM

    Vikings – Watkins, Evans or best DEFENSIVE player possible, please!

  12. ivanpavlov0000 says: May 8, 2014 3:12 PM

    Johnny Football could fall to 2nd round and won’t be the first QB drafted.

  13. jimmyt says: May 8, 2014 3:14 PM

    Betcha somebody takes a QB in the top 10.

  14. whiteknightblackheart says: May 8, 2014 3:14 PM

    So, if some things happen, that affect other things happening, then OTHER things will happen?

  15. scoboscobs says: May 8, 2014 3:16 PM

    The Lions taking Aaron Donald makes even less sense than the Vikings taking him. Both teams are already set at DT and have much more pressing needs.

  16. ripster65 says: May 8, 2014 3:17 PM

    Silly story. How can there be 10 teams picking when there’s only one Johnny Manziel?

    …huh…?

    …what’s that..?

    …so you’re telling me that there are other guys in the draft too? That’s not what I’ve heard!

  17. dryzzt23 says: May 8, 2014 3:18 PM

    NOW is the time for teams to squeeze veterans to sign for the minimum. If they decide to wait, the team might draft their replacement and there will 1 less team interested in that veteran NFL player.

  18. chawk12thman says: May 8, 2014 3:18 PM

    Happy Draft Day, All!

  19. laxcoach37 says: May 8, 2014 3:18 PM

    Manziel will go at No. 19 to the Browns when the Dolphins Trade Back. You heard it here…

  20. jd says: May 8, 2014 3:20 PM

    Jags are taking Johnny Football and their team to LA.

  21. philswfc08 says: May 8, 2014 3:20 PM

    Maybe Falcons trade up to #2, swapping with StL, to grab Mack before Jax has the chance.

  22. sparty0n says: May 8, 2014 3:20 PM

    If the Lions take that dirtball Lewan, I’ll be buying a lot more Browns gear from now on.

  23. roarfrom384 says: May 8, 2014 3:22 PM

    Thanks for clearing that up.

  24. norseman69 says: May 8, 2014 3:22 PM

    My predictions

    Round
    1. DE or QB gut says Defense
    2.QB or DE gut says QB
    3. S
    3.RB or OT gut says OT
    4. OT or RB gut says RB

    If the Vikings trade down the extra picks will add a Corner and/or ILB they could trade up into the 1st round IF Bortles drops past 18

    with the off season trades pick up and drops of vets the above are the most pressing.

  25. kingviking414 says: May 8, 2014 3:22 PM

    My hope is that the Vikings trade down to mid teens, maybe with Chi/Pit/Dal and can still get Donald/Gilbert/Dennard. Then trade back into the mid 20’s and take Bridgewater.
    However, if they stay at 8, I think there’s a good chance they pick Mosley. He’s the best ILB in the draft by far and they need a MLB desperately.

  26. pillowporkers says: May 8, 2014 3:24 PM

    Most educated Vikings fans want Johnny or Teddy. These guys are more like the 2012 crop than the 2011 crop and their college stats back that (too long to list, go look yourself). Please Rick, give us some hope for the future! Stop building great teams with no QB!

  27. fwippel says: May 8, 2014 3:25 PM

    The Vikings will trade down into the mid to lower part of round one, and accumulate extra picks, including an additional second round pick.

    The idea that the Vikings need or are going to draft DT at #8 makes zero sense, considering the investments they have made in Sharif Floyd and Linval Joseph as starters for the foreseeable future. Not sure where Peter King got that info, but it sounds like he might have bitten on the fake.

  28. 6ball says: May 8, 2014 3:25 PM

    .

    Picks 7-10 should be interesting :

    7. Tampa – new regime needs a HR with its first choice

    8. Vikings – some years they forget to pick

    9. Bills – best player 5’9″ or under

    10. Lions – it’s Millen time!

    .

  29. banlarson says: May 8, 2014 3:26 PM

    I just heard from a guy on the corner who watches football sometimes that he informed him that his cousin, who is a janitor for a local school, believes quite strongly that someone will get picked at #1 by 8:15pm eastern. I couldn’t believe it either, but thought I’d share with the rest of you.

  30. koolaidsgonebad says: May 8, 2014 3:29 PM

    A linemen in the first with glaring Defensive needs…… NOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO!!!

  31. Go-Hawks! says: May 8, 2014 3:29 PM

    Wasn’t there an article earlier titled “Pft’s final mock draft”. And now this.

    Two weeks of this.. Ughh..

  32. Remember Brian Brohm says: May 8, 2014 3:32 PM

    If they can’t trade back, I hope the Vikings take Gilbert or Dennard at 8. If they can trade back, they’ll probably still be able to get one of them, or Mosley. I’m sure Donald is great, but #8 is not the place to be drafting for depth.

  33. Lord Oswald Bupkis III says: May 8, 2014 3:32 PM

    Four and a half hours…

  34. philswfc08 says: May 8, 2014 3:34 PM

    This is a pretty solid prediction of top 10 here, have 2 guys pegged at a certain spot and the rest depends on who goes where.

    Here is my bold top 10 prediction:

    The Texans, Rams, Jags, Browns, Raiders, Falcons, Bucs, Vikings, Bills and Lions will likely each select one of the following:

    Clowney, Watkins, Mack, Robinson, Evans, Manziel, Mathews, Bortles, Donald, Gilbert, Beckham, Lewan, Ebron, Martin, Barr, Fuller or maybe even Carr, but not in that order.

  35. thegenoatkinsdiet says: May 8, 2014 3:34 PM

    Ebron would be a great pick for the Bills.

  36. casualmalexlfan says: May 8, 2014 3:35 PM

    Jerry Jones chooses Johnny Manziel with first round pick and promptly trades him away for a lifetime supply of Philadelphia Cream Cheese because its “irresistibly delicious”.

  37. bullcharger says: May 8, 2014 3:36 PM

    So what you are saying is you have no idea what will happen.

  38. touchdownroddywhite says: May 8, 2014 3:39 PM

    What if the Falcons just said eff it and took Watkins if he’s on the board? And don’t give me the thumbs down. As ridiculous as it is, I’d rather see this than see them trade up.

  39. pete5867 says: May 8, 2014 3:46 PM

    Didnt the Vikes just drop about 80 million on their D-Line? ok lets go ahead and draft anoteht DT. Way to go guys. Dumpster fire

  40. jimbo75025 says: May 8, 2014 3:47 PM

    If the Texans are really serious about trading down, then take ATLs first and second to move down five spots. Sorry, but that is the best they could hope for.

  41. stellarperformance says: May 8, 2014 3:47 PM

    I hope to God the Vikings have the chance to take Manziel…..and do so.

    Go Pack.

  42. robgilman says: May 8, 2014 3:47 PM

    1) Clowney
    2) Robinson
    3) Watkins
    4) Mack
    5) Lewan

  43. jgedgar70 says: May 8, 2014 3:48 PM

    Dear Mr. Gettleman,

    If some combo of Clowney/Mack/Watkins goes 1-2, please give the Jags your entire draft except the 2nd round pick and take Greg Robinson. (We’ll need the 2nd round pick to get a receiver.)

    Please don’t leave us fans unable to sleep at nght for the next 6 months by leaving any possibility out there that Byron Bell could be on Cam’s blind side.

  44. grruffgrruff says: May 8, 2014 3:54 PM

    Stop it already…We’ve waited this long, can’t you just wait 5 more hours.

  45. phonesringingdude1 says: May 8, 2014 4:00 PM

    Stop it with the Mike Evans to Tampa Bay garbage. Mike Evans is not the speed in space guy the Bucs need. I believe he is good and we will need someone beside Jackson with talent similar to Mike Evans soon, but if we get Evans at 7 I will be disappointed. Then again, after the Morris/Schiano years, I am used to the disappointment.

  46. ruggyup says: May 8, 2014 4:02 PM

    P.S. I hope to God the Bucs get a chance to take Mansiel and DON’T.

  47. atthemurph says: May 8, 2014 4:02 PM

    It’s the Vikings. No matter who they draft it will lead to the MN claiming the title of off-season paper champions for the 52nd consecutive year.

  48. billsfan1 says: May 8, 2014 4:09 PM

    Do you actually get paid?
    Because most of dont get paid to do this stuff.
    But we all know that Houston has no desire to trade this pick unless they get a kings ransom like St. Louis did with Washington.
    Nobody is waiting in suspense to see who HOuston drafts, we all know.
    The only people in suspense over pick number 1 is those whose teams have been rumored to be looking into trading with Houston.

  49. Dogsweat says: May 8, 2014 4:09 PM

    BTW

    JM will be a Tennessee Titan at the end of the day.

  50. dalcow4 says: May 8, 2014 4:11 PM

    Gotta figure the Jags won’t pass on Manziel.

    Despite the Super Bowl ring that stellar defense gave out– Manziel is better than Russell Wilson RIGHT NOW.

  51. wydok says: May 8, 2014 4:14 PM

    Hey… what about yesterday’s “Final” mock draft?

    Is “final” not “final”, or does it only count since it’s only 1/3 of a mock?

    By the way, this list is different than that one ;)

  52. thetooloftools says: May 8, 2014 4:16 PM

    If The Browns don’t take Manziel, The Raiders will. Win or lose he will be must see tv.

  53. bworacle says: May 8, 2014 4:22 PM

    Clowney is supposed to be a once in a decade player and yet no one is willing to trade up and get him. Sounds like none of the NFL GMs are buying into the BS “Clown”ey hype.

  54. addict2sport says: May 8, 2014 4:22 PM

    As a Raider fan, I can only hope that your report is waaaay off.

  55. norseman69 says: May 8, 2014 4:25 PM

    With the 8th overall pick the Vikings select Aaron Donald DT from Pitt

    With a trade from the Seattle Seahawks, swapping the Vikings 8th pick in the 2nd round and also the 32nd pick in the 2nd round (formerly acquired by the Vikings in the Percy Harvin trade) the Vikings select QB Zach Mettenberger

  56. weepingjebus says: May 8, 2014 4:30 PM

    BREAKING: Goodell announcing draft will be postponed until Tuesday due to technical difficulties.

  57. bearclaw69 says: May 8, 2014 4:36 PM

    It kills me how these teams sitting at the top of the draft try to use ridiculous deals from past years as “the bar” for any deals this year. The ones done in the past were under completely different circumstances and completely different teams. There should never be “a bar” as to negotiating a trade down. The “bar” is the CURRENT demand, and if it isn’t as great as it was for a different player in years past, then what was given up at that time is IRRELEVANT.

  58. kinggator says: May 8, 2014 4:37 PM

    1. Texans – Derek Carr
    2. Rams – Jason Smith
    3. Jags- Matt Jones
    4. Browns- Quinn Weeden Couch
    5. Raiders- Some Fast or Fat Guy that Sucks!
    6. Falcons- Bruce Pickens
    7. Bucs- Bo Jackson
    8. Vikings – PASS
    9. Bills- Aaron Maybin
    10. Lions- Charles Rogers or any WR not Calvin Johnson

  59. dcapettini says: May 8, 2014 4:43 PM

    How many angels can dance on the head of a pin? What happened to Judge Crater? Who was Jack the Ripper? Did the natives eat Michael Rockefeller?

    All this speculation isn’t worth a cup of warm spit.

  60. youknowwhatsgoodforshoulderpain says: May 8, 2014 4:43 PM

    The Browns trade 1st round picks with the Texans, plus their second round pick and their first round picks for 2015 and 2016. Then, with the first pick in the draft, the Browns select….Ryan Leaf, QB, Crossroads Correctional Facility, Shelby, Montana.

    The dawg pound goes wild!

  61. timmyp716 says: May 8, 2014 4:51 PM

    And with the 9th overall pick in the 2014 draft, the Buffalo Bills have traded with New Orleans for Jimmy Graham…..

  62. ariani1985 says: May 8, 2014 4:54 PM

    I can already here the clown music drifting over from Wisconsin as we speak!!!!!! Should be an interesting night…..

  63. lbcoach34 says: May 8, 2014 5:09 PM

    This is precisely what my insiders have informed me…book it 100%

  64. wishingtonredslur says: May 8, 2014 5:12 PM

    Browns draft everybody at 4. Everybody.

  65. getadealdonealready says: May 8, 2014 5:24 PM

    Huh, top ten and Mack still on board at 11? Not happening!

  66. jayniner says: May 8, 2014 5:48 PM

    Would someone please just draft a kicker in the top ten?!?

  67. leagueobservr says: May 8, 2014 5:55 PM

    Donald to the Vikings at #8??? Hardly, unless the Vikings already consider Shariff Floyd to be a bust, I don’t see this happening. I’ve got Donald going to Tampa at #7, as Lovie Smith looks to add a Warren Sapp clone to his Tampa-2 defense…

  68. rikker12 says: May 8, 2014 5:56 PM

    Minnesota will draft Derek Carr… Another reach at QB..

  69. wafflestomp says: May 8, 2014 6:04 PM

    Here’s to the Vikings. After cleaning up in free agency, again, it’s off to the 2nd leg of their annual offseason Championship, the NFL Draft.

    There will be plenty of high fives and pats on the back as the draft progresses, as the Vikes achieve the pinnacle of success. (At least in their minds.)

    Always good for a few laughs, especially when eventually the season kicks off and real football begins.
    And then their team implodes on cue.

    Hilarious! Please keep the good times coming Viking fan. And as always skoLOL!

  70. dochighness says: May 8, 2014 6:07 PM

    Not sure why everybody and his dog thinks the Vikings will draft a Defensive tackle. Drafted Floyd last year, signed Joseph and Johnson as free agents. Another free agent Wooten can slip inside, and resigned Evans and Griffen. Why on earth would they use the 8 slot for another Tackle, when they could draft the top safety or top CB in the draft. Look for them to attempt to trade down, if they can find a partner. It would not even surprise me if they traded down a couple of times, then used those picks to trade back into the first. One thing I AM sure of, at the end of the day today, the Vikings will have drafted 2 players. (at least)

  71. pw1265 says: May 8, 2014 6:31 PM

    HOUS will be nuts to draft the clown man, he only cares about money and going number 1. he will be a HUGE BUST!!! that is a no doubter!

  72. whatjusthapped says: May 8, 2014 6:43 PM

    Assuming the Vikings even get their pick in on time, they will reach for a QB and that qB will be a bust and off their roster in 4 years time.

    Do you find that hard to believe? Look at Ponder.

  73. jbake62 says: May 8, 2014 6:54 PM

    Cleveland takes Sammy Watkins at #4. Gordon is one bad piss test away from a year out of the league

  74. billh1947 says: May 8, 2014 7:36 PM

    The Vikings will take a quarterback,they have to,they are trying to run a team with a dud at the wheel. AP deserves a good qb before he retires to injury.

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