Welcome to PFT’s Prop Challenge, our daily look at a Super Bowl proposition bet.
Here’s the idea: we present a prop, do some light analysis, then let you decide which side to take — hypothetically, of course. (Previous examples are at the bottom of this post.)
When the Super Bowl wraps up, we’ll tally the votes and see how well PFT Planet did.
Now, let’s get to today’s prop, which is courtesy of the Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook:
Over-Under on Seahawks quarterback Russell Wilson’s rushing yards: 41.5.
Over: -110. Under: -110.
Including the playoffs, Wilson has averaged 49.8 rushing yards in his 18 starts.
So the OVER looks good, right?
Well, maybe not.
Take Wilson’s three 100-yard rushing games out of the equation, and the third-year quarterback has averaged just 37.4 yards in his other appearances. Also, in the postseason, Wilson has gained just 47 total rushing yards on 14 attempts.
Overall, Wilson has exceeded 41.5 rushing yards in just 7-of-18 games.
In short, OVER and UNDER players have some data in their favor.
So pick a side — OVER or UNDER 41.5 rushing yards for Russell Wilson. Vote in the poll, and share your thoughts in the comments. We’ll be back tomorrow with our penultimate prop.
[polldaddy poll=8622093]
Previous props studied:
Day I: Over-Under on Brandon LaFell’s receiving yards.
Day II: Over-Under on Doug Baldwin’s catches.
Day III: Will Rob Gronkowski score a touchdown?
Day IV: Will there be a one-yard TD in the Super Bowl?
Day V: Over-Under on Tim Wright’s receiving yards.
Day VI: Over-Under on LeGarrette Blount’s carries.
Day VII: Will there be a safety in the Super Bowl?