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PFT’s Week Five picks

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We continue to stink when it comes to picking games this year, with both MDS and yours truly barely above .500. He’s up by a game, and his lead won’t get any larger (or smaller) this weekend.

For the first time this season, we disagree on none of the 14 games.

To see what we think (and to then do the opposite, for amusement purposes only), keep reading. Or not; the click already has been registered.

Cardinals at 49ers

MDS’s take: The Cardinals have been one of the NFL’s biggest disappointments this season, and on Thursday night they’re without Carson Palmer. But I still can’t believe they’d lose to a team as bad as the 49ers.

MDS’s pick: Cardinals 20, 49ers 17.

Florio’s take: Stanton vs. Gabbert in prime time. Kramer vs. Kramer on Netflix may be the better viewing option. By far.

Florio’s pick: Cardinals 17, 49ers 10.

Patriots at Browns

MDS’s take: The return of Tom Brady should be an easy one for the Patriots, who will cruise to a double-digit win even if Brady is rusty.

MDS’s pick: Patriots 28, Browns 13.

Florio’s take: I smell a potential upset brewing on the banks of Lake Erie, but I’m not nearly ballsy enough to call that shot. But the Browns will give the Patriots all they can handle, since it’s the closest Cleveland will get this year to a game with a playoff feel.

Florio’s pick: Patriots 30, Browns 21.

Eagles at Lions

MDS’s take: I’m expecting Carson Wentz to go through some growing pains in his rookie season, but not against a terrible Lions defense that made Brian Hoyer look like an All-Pro last week.

MDS’s pick: Eagles 27, Lions 14.

Florio’s take: Jim Schwartz may get carried off the field, again, if coach Doug Pederson learned from Andy Reid how to be nearly unbeatable after a bye.

Florio’s pick: Eagles 31, Lions 20.

Bears at Colts

MDS’s take: Andrew Luck has played well this season, but his teammates haven’t given him a lot of help. On Sunday I see Luck putting up big numbers against Chicago and winning a high-scoring game.

MDS’s pick: Colts 31, Bears 30.

Florio’s take: The Colts are the NFL’s laboratory mice regarding the prospect of playing without a bye after a game in London. Like most laboratory mice, it may not end well.

Florio’s pick: Colts 20, Bears 17.

Titans at Dolphins

MDS’s take: Both of these teams look like they’re lacking an offensive identity, as neither Marcus Mariota nor Ryan Tannehill has taken the step forward that their teams were hoping for. This looks to me like an ugly game.

MDS’s pick: Dolphins 13, Titans 12.

Florio’s take: Miami commences a four-game homestand with a must-win game at a time when most of the area is under a must-get-out advisory.

Florio’s pick: Dolphins 23, Titans 17.

Washington at Ravens

MDS’s take: Ravens receiver Steve Smith is having a great year, and I see him having a big game against Washington’s secondary.

MDS’s pick: Ravens 24, Washington 21.

Florio’s take: Two straight wins is good for Washington, and it’ll have to be good enough for now.

Florio’s pick: Ravens 27, Washington 20.

Texans at Vikings

MDS’s take: The Vikings’ defense is going to eat Brock Osweiler for lunch. This game could get ugly.

MDS’s pick: Vikings 20, Texans 3.

Florio’s take: The Vikings enter their bye week on a high note, with two weeks to prepare for a showdown with the Eagles.

Florio’s pick: Vikings 27, Texans 13.

Jets at Steelers

MDS’s take: Ben Roethlisberger is leading the league in touchdown passes. Ryan Fitzpatrick is leading the league in interceptions. The Steelers should win this one, big.

MDS’s pick: Steelers 30, Jets 17.

Florio’s take: So If the Steelers beat the Chiefs by 29 and the Chiefs beat the Jets by 23 . . . .

Florio’s pick: Steelers 31, Jets 13.

Falcons at Broncos

MDS’s take: This is a great matchup, the Falcons’ outstanding passing game keyed by Julio Jones against the Broncos’ stellar defense. I see the Broncos coming out on top in a close, back-and-forth game.

MDS’s pick: Broncos 21, Falcons 20.

Florio’s take: An unexpected test for the Broncos, who may not have Trevor Siemian. They still have Von Miller and company.

Florio’s pick: Broncos 27, Falcons 23.

Bengals at Cowboys

MDS’s take: I’m impressed with what Dak Prescott and Ezekiel Elliott have done as rookies, but I think Bengals coach Marvin Lewis will have some things for them they haven’t seen before, and the Bengals will steal a win in Dallas.

MDS’s pick: Bengals 17, Cowboys 16.

Florio’s take: The extra time to prepare for the Dallas offense will help the Bengals, who found their footing last Thursday night. 3-2 is still a pretty good start for Dallas.

Florio’s pick: Bengals 27, Cowboys 20.

Bills at Rams

MDS’s take: This is a much better game than anyone would have thought early in the season, with the Bills on a two-game winning streak and the Rams on a three-game winning streak. I’ll pick L.A. to keep it going behind a better-than-expected game from Case Keenum.

MDS’s pick: Rams 24, Bills 20.

Florio’s take: Buffalo has found the gas pedal following that Thursday night debacle, but the Rams are on the right track and will be hard to beat before a big crowd at the Coliseum. Especially with Aaron Donald to prove that he can hold Sheldon Richardson’s jock, if for some reason Donald would even want to.

Florio’s pick: Rams 17, Bills 10.

Chargers at Raiders

MDS’s take: Raiders quarterback Derek Carr is off to a fine start, with nine touchdown passes and only one interception. The Raiders should rack up a lot of points against the Chargers and win a high-scoring game.

MDS’s pick: Raiders 35, Chargers 31.

Florio’s take: We’ve seen this movie several times this year. Chargers build a lead, Chargers blow a lead, Raiders eventually rack up another win.

Florio’s pick: Raiders 27, Chargers 17.

Giants at Packers

MDS’s take: The Giants turned in a disappointing performance Monday night and now have to travel to Green Bay on a short work week against a well-rested Packers team. Aaron Rodgers may turn in his best game of the season.

MDS’s pick: Packers 28, Giants 14.

Florio’s take: As Trump and Clinton do battle again, the Packers haven’t played since before their first meeting — and the Giants are playing on a short week after traveling home from Minnesota and back to Green Bay. And the Packers will be lighting Odell Beckham’s fuse, early.

Florio’s pick: Packers 31, Giants 20.

Buccaneers at Panthers

MDS’s take: The loser of this game will fall to 1-4 and could already be out of NFC South contention. I think the Panthers are a better team than they’ve shown so far and will rally for a big win.

MDS’s pick: Panthers 31, Buccaneers 17.

Florio’s take: Assuming Cam Newton gets cleared to play, this one should be easy. Without Newton, it’s still winnable for a team that desperately needs to win its second game of the year.

Florio’s pick: Panthers 30, Buccaneers 20.

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64 Responses to “PFT’s Week Five picks”
  1. wentz4prez says: Oct 6, 2016 11:16 AM

    Thanks for jinxing the Eagles

  2. steelcurtainn says: Oct 6, 2016 11:17 AM

    Steelers 31 Jets 17.

  3. kcchefs58 says: Oct 6, 2016 11:20 AM

    I hope they all end in ties.

  4. richndc says: Oct 6, 2016 11:20 AM

    Picking the Bengals is an easy safe move. However, Garrett and Marinelli are seeing something build in Dallas, this team is starting to believe in itself. I acknowledge the Bengals are a better team, but they better be ready for a full on fight for 60 minutes. Elliott is only getting better and better each week. Here is hoping its a helluva game not decided by the refs and both teams come out healthy on the other side.

  5. PegulaBucks says: Oct 6, 2016 11:23 AM

    Bills win 27-6

    E.A.D.

  6. dillpx183 says: Oct 6, 2016 11:25 AM

    Not sure why you both pick when you do nothing but chose the same teams to win. At least take a flier on an upset…

  7. TitanUp 1999 says: Oct 6, 2016 11:31 AM

    No one gives the Titans any respect anymore. We were once feared, now we’re laughing stocks.

    That’s okay though, It’s deserved. The Titans won’t be feared again until ownership is resolved and they allow Jon Robinson to bring in his own staff to whip this team into shape. Mike Mularkey is garbage and will never win in the NFL as a Head Coach.

    Keep in mind, this clown was our TE coach before The Whiz got fired.

  8. mmack66 says: Oct 6, 2016 11:31 AM

    I would have picked the Santa Clara team to win.

  9. jimmysee says: Oct 6, 2016 11:33 AM

    NFC North — the haves and the have nots.

  10. htowntexan says: Oct 6, 2016 11:41 AM

    Vikings are overrated. They have only beaten one team with a winning record — GB — a team that almost lost to the Jags and the Lions. Texans aren’t great by any stretch, but they are lot better than the rest of the teams the Vikings have played so far.

  11. niners816 says: Oct 6, 2016 11:42 AM

    dillpx183 says:
    Oct 6, 2016 11:25 AM
    Not sure why you both pick when you do nothing but chose the same teams to win. At least take a flier on an upset…
    —————–
    That’s because neither one of them actually watch football, they just listen to what everyone else has to say. They couldn’t name 5 teams in the NFL without looking them up.

  12. thisistheonlygame says: Oct 6, 2016 11:47 AM

    Redskins will beat Baltimore.

  13. stairwaytoharvin says: Oct 6, 2016 11:48 AM

    htowntexan says:
    Oct 6, 2016 11:41 AM
    Vikings are overrated. They have only beaten one team with a winning record — GB — a team that almost lost to the Jags and the Lions. Texans aren’t great by any stretch, but they are lot better than the rest of the teams the Vikings have played so far.

    —————————————————————
    Packers/panthers/giants > bears/chiefs (neither of whom having a winning record mind you)

  14. inozwetrust says: Oct 6, 2016 11:51 AM

    Redskins are just the team the Ravens need to get back on track after laying an egg against the Raiders. Ravens roll in this one.

  15. logicalvoicesays says: Oct 6, 2016 11:51 AM

    The only team that matters and is cared about in the state of Maryland wears Burgundy and Gold. Hahaha at old Steve Smith doing anything vs our CBs.

  16. jddirtybird21 says: Oct 6, 2016 11:54 AM

    You both have picked against the Falcons in their last 3 games, and they won. You did the same this week….just sayin

  17. threalwash says: Oct 6, 2016 11:55 AM

    Vikings are overrated. They have only beaten one team with a winning record — GB — a team that almost lost to the Jags and the Lions. Texans aren’t great by any stretch, but they are lot better than the rest of the teams the Vikings have played so far.
    _________________________________

    Kinda early for this sort of declaration isn’t it? Yeah, the Titans are bad. Carolina and Green Bay, plus the Giants is a decent resume.

    Osweiler is no Rodgers, Newton or Manning.

  18. firerogergoodellnow says: Oct 6, 2016 11:59 AM

    REDSKINS at Ravens

  19. bettywhiteshairnet says: Oct 6, 2016 12:04 PM

    Thanks to you both for picking against the Bills as you did the prior 2 weeks. Its worked out well, please keeping picking against them.

  20. BobbyHanks63 says: Oct 6, 2016 12:05 PM

    correction: a poor defensive team?

  21. thisistheonlygame says: Oct 6, 2016 12:05 PM

    htowntexan says:
    Oct 6, 2016 11:41 AM
    Vikings are overrated. They have only beaten one team with a winning record — GB — a team that almost lost to the Jags and the Lions. Texans aren’t great by any stretch, but they are lot better than the rest of the teams the Vikings have played so far.
    ————————

    So you are saying Texans > Packers? I can accept that.

    Vikings overrated? Which part?
    Potentially the next COY Zimmer?
    The on the cusp of Elite D?
    The better than expected O? (Considering injuries)
    Or the well known slumping kicker?

    This is how the Vikes are rated. I see no overrated area.

  22. gauchosporlife says: Oct 6, 2016 12:05 PM

    Keep picking against the Boys, I love it. 28-17 Cowboys for the win.

  23. 12coltsfan12 says: Oct 6, 2016 12:06 PM

    You guys pick the Pats to win almost every week!

    Although I guess they do end up winning every week too😥

  24. 6ball says: Oct 6, 2016 12:06 PM

    .
    The Jets – Pittsburgh game leaps out as a potential upset. The Jets are 1-3 and are at Arizona next week. Their season is on life support.

    The Jets have a huge advantage with their Dline going against Pittsburgh’s banged up Oline. Also, Ryan Fitzpatrick usually has a few statistical anomaly games to boost people’s ill fated faith in him. Could this be the week vs the Steelers no name secondary?
    .

  25. ChickenTurkeySaurus says: Oct 6, 2016 12:17 PM

    Cardinals 84, 49ers 16. Take it to the bankkkkkkk!!!!!!

  26. In Teddy We Trust says: Oct 6, 2016 12:19 PM

    Anyone criticizing the quality of the teams the Vikings have beaten needs to look at the schedule for every other NFL team. I doubt that anyone else has played as difficult an overall schedule as the Packers, Panthers, and Giants. The Vikings were lucky to play the Titans in Week 1 because they had to start Shaun Hill that week, so that was a tough game regardless of the opponent. Now they have the Texans and the Eagles in the next two games before they start getting a break. Don’t talk to me about “only one team has a winning record.” The Giants had a winning record when the Viking played them (not that it matters this early in the season), and now they don’t because the Vikings beat them.

  27. 13worldchampioinships says: Oct 6, 2016 12:22 PM

    htowntexan says:
    Oct 6, 2016 11:41 AM
    Vikings are overrated. They have only beaten one team with a winning record — GB — a team that almost lost to the Jags and the Lions. Texans aren’t great by any stretch, but they are lot better than the rest of the teams the Vikings have played so far.

    ——

    They haven’t beaten anyone with a winning record because they’ve contributed to their losing record.

  28. dohczeppelin says: Oct 6, 2016 12:22 PM

    jddirtybird21 says:
    Oct 6, 2016 11:54 AM
    You both have picked against the Falcons in their last 3 games, and they won. You did the same this week….just sayin
    __________________________________

    Don’t feel bad. This is the 5th week in a row they picked the Bills to lose, typically by multiple scores and with a note that they are going to be crushed.

    Not a lot of analysis goes into these. They’re just for fun. They primarily just pick whatever team had a better record lately and then sprinkle in some soap opera nonsense such as Aaron Donald getting ready to have a monster game because Rex said something about him in a post game conference a few years ago or whatever.

  29. unbiasednfltruth says: Oct 6, 2016 12:29 PM

    This is a ML parlay pick week… I see tons of upsets in week 5. Lots of teams getting points that are going to win SU.

    49ers
    Bears
    Falcons
    Giants
    Bucs

    I’d take whatever 3 of those you feel strongest about in a 7* ML parlay.

  30. flyinghighphil says: Oct 6, 2016 12:32 PM

    Pretty sure they have picked the RAMS to lose every week as well. Since week 2 any way .Donald doesn’t need no excuse to have a great game. He was going to have one either way. RAMS 20 bills 13

  31. grumpyoleman says: Oct 6, 2016 12:39 PM

    thisistheonlygame says:
    Oct 6, 2016 11:47 AM

    Redskins will beat Baltimore.

    I think it will be a close game but with the Baltimore team being home I would pick them over the Redskins

  32. 49tinakane says: Oct 6, 2016 12:48 PM

    The packers, Giants and Carolina would be the Texans by two scores, Vikings overrated gimme a break, lost 3 offensive starters in two 2 weeks, added a new qb via trade and have continued to win, mean while Oswieler is doing his best Kevin Kolb inpersonation

  33. slickspielman says: Oct 6, 2016 12:50 PM

    The Eagles are a good team but they’ll be exposed by Stafford and company coming back from a embarrassing loss to the care bears. I hope the league flex’s the week7 game to sunday night. I’d love to see that Vikings defense eat birds in front of a national audience. Thanks for Sam Bradford by the way, after the Bengals asked for two 1st rd picks and Anthony Barr for AJ McCarron giving up a 1st and a 4th was a no brainer for that kind or arm.

  34. newmancave2016 says: Oct 6, 2016 12:56 PM

    slickspielman says:
    Oct 6, 2016 12:50 PM
    The Eagles are a good team but they’ll be exposed by Stafford and company coming back from a embarrassing loss to the care bears. I hope the league flex’s the week7 game to sunday night. I’d love to see that Vikings defense eat birds in front of a national audience. Thanks for Sam Bradford by the way, after the Bengals asked for two 1st rd picks and Anthony Barr for AJ McCarron giving up a 1st and a 4th was a no brainer for that kind or arm.
    ———————–

    Anything can happen in the NFL, but virtually no one is picking the Lions. They just aren’t very good on either side of the ball this year.

    An an Eagles fan, I hope they flex week 7 too, because I’m going if so. I doubt the Vikings will eat the Eagles in Philadelphia in front of a primetime crowd and national audience. Should be a good game if everyone is healthy.

  35. In Teddy We Trust says: Oct 6, 2016 12:57 PM

    They don’t flex games this early in the season.

  36. gisellichek says: Oct 6, 2016 1:02 PM

    The NFL is a better place with a really really good Vikings team in the mix… honestly … Two of the teams they beat so far are (were) playoff teams. It is such douchery to bring up the schedule … You play the teams the league says you play!

    In the immortal words of Bill Parcells… “you are what your record says you are”

    #purplereign

    My adopted NFC team this season!

  37. largejk says: Oct 6, 2016 1:05 PM

    REDSKINS

  38. patsfan1820 says: Oct 6, 2016 1:07 PM

    The only one I disagree with is Ravens over Redskins. I think the Redskins will be the ones lighting the Ravens secondary up. Steve Smith Sr will probably have a great game, but I don’t think it will be enough Redskins 24 Ravens 14. As for the Patriots vs Browns it will be much closer than people think however I’m going with Patriots 27 Browns 20 I think Tom will be rusty, but Edelman will begin to open up the Browns secondary with some extra help from the running game. Browns offense actually isn’t bad.

  39. billswillnevermove says: Oct 6, 2016 1:08 PM

    You stink because you keep picking against the Bills.

  40. ebdug says: Oct 6, 2016 1:21 PM

    It’s hard to be a volume bettor early in the season. I keep it slow until there’s some history, and even as the season goes on I’ll be selective. Good luck trying to call every game.

  41. billsbackto81 says: Oct 6, 2016 1:24 PM

    Don’t see Case Keenum beating the Bills through the air. Lock down on Gurley like they did Blount and force him on 3rd downs. Spread the O, get Shady in space and keep moving Taylor away from Donald.

    Bills 24, Rams 13

  42. dirtydrynn27 says: Oct 6, 2016 1:39 PM

    Go Redskins…..

    Cincinatti beat Dallas!!!

  43. shlort says: Oct 6, 2016 1:39 PM

    Going by how well these guys have been picking, half of the picks will be wrong. And neither of these guys dared switch it up.

  44. spillertime21 says: Oct 6, 2016 1:39 PM

    Neither picked the bills? Shocker

  45. conormacleod says: Oct 6, 2016 1:43 PM

    Eli gets off the schnide this week. Last week the Giants knew they couldn’t pass against the Vikings. This week, Eli goes for 330 and 4 TD’s.

    Giants: 31
    Packers: 24 (with a garbage time TD)

  46. kevpft says: Oct 6, 2016 2:03 PM

    “But the Browns will give the Patriots all they can handle, since it’s the closest Cleveland will get this year to a game with a playoff feel.”

    You mean apart from their six division games, which will likely all have playoff implications and are all against likely playoff contenders?

  47. bassplucker says: Oct 6, 2016 2:07 PM

    I’m looking for Jerrell Freeman to bring the heat against the team that let him walk in FA (only to turn around and let go the guy who was supposed to replace him).

    That being said, Bears/Colts is a game that either team “could” win but both are bad enough to give away to the other. The Bears haven’t scored more than 17 points in any game this season so if it turns into a shootout they’re screwed.

  48. kevpft says: Oct 6, 2016 2:16 PM

    I have a feeling the Giants are going to beat Green Bay. GB’s playing well and are at home, so on paper it’s tough, but I don’t quite trust them against an explosive team like NY and don’t think the Giants will short-circuit like they did against the Vikings.

    Bengals… I kind of feel like something has to give. They’ve been so consistent for so long, without getting over the hump, and there’s nothing harder in the NFL than being consistently good. Seems like it’s more likely for them to have a bit of a slump than to do the same thing again, or surge upward, Patriots-style.

    Arizona’s likely to win, but after the way they ended last season, I don’t trust them at all. Why they thought they didn’t need Freeney any more is beyond me.

  49. haywoodjablomey says: Oct 6, 2016 2:31 PM

    Turdsday Night Footballs, here we come!

  50. justintuckrule says: Oct 6, 2016 2:32 PM

    No spreads, both pick all the same teams and both are hovering around .500. What a waste of a read.

    Except for the Vikings’ fans who think 4-0 wins them the Super Bowl now. Good grief. Now I get why GB fans constantly abuse you all.

  51. FoozieGrooler says: Oct 6, 2016 2:39 PM

    Donald Trump: “If elected I promise to lower inflation.”
    Tom Brady: “You got my vote.”

  52. laces out says: Oct 6, 2016 2:43 PM

    I’ll admit the Browns are tougher than they let on; just very unlucky. It’s classic Browns fortune they get to be a ticked-off Brady’s first opponent

  53. getitrightflorio says: Oct 6, 2016 2:54 PM

    What a Dolphins homer

  54. allight59 says: Oct 6, 2016 3:05 PM

    Giants vs. Packers….TDs will be flying all over with these two putrid secondaries….Eli will fling one more than Rodgers….42-35

  55. obsessedvikingfan says: Oct 6, 2016 4:16 PM

    I hope the Packers lose but if they win, I hope it is because they got in his head and he goes postal.

  56. bigblue431 says: Oct 6, 2016 4:48 PM

    Giants fan here, I see my fellow fans thinking they have a chance.

    Sigh, no, they don’t. I wish they did, but they don’t. Without Eli Apple and DRC in the secondary, Rogers is going to have a free day with Nelson and Cobb and Jesse James.

    I don’t know what’s going on with their offense, but it’s not clicking at all considering how much talent they have (good QB, great receivers). Unless they turn their offense around, they don’t stand a chance of winning.

    From first to last in the division – all in the matter of two weeks.

  57. mclennon99 says: Oct 6, 2016 5:49 PM

    No way the Rams win this game. The Bills will put up at least 35 points on them and Keenum will be sacked at least 5 times. In fact I’m predicting Goff comes in for a series while Keenum goes through concussion protocol.
    Bills 47 Rams 10

    And for those thinking a Jets upset…Fitzpatrick’s INTS are climbing faster than the national debt! Go to rehab already, will ya!

  58. usdcoyotesfan says: Oct 6, 2016 6:25 PM

    Packers will beat the Giants 35-10.

  59. burlingtonbills says: Oct 6, 2016 7:48 PM

    Thanks for picking against the Bills again, like you have the past two weeks. It’s worked out well for us, keep it up.

  60. buzzlyons says: Oct 7, 2016 12:56 AM

    Falcons will play #2 and #3 defenses back to back the next two weeks. Will be a huge test for their gunning offense. Jones will face Aqib then Richard. They’ll lose both rounds.

  61. igocommando says: Oct 7, 2016 9:02 AM

    usdcoyotesfan says:
    Oct 6, 2016 6:25 PM
    Packers will beat the Giants 35-10.

    ________________
    Silly kid, the packers can’t beat the Giants. In this matchup only the Giants can beat the Giants.

  62. sb44champs says: Oct 7, 2016 9:48 AM

    I think the Panthers are a better team than they’ve shown so far and will rally for a big win.
    =============================
    Last year was an aberration for Cam and the Panthers. They overachieved in 2015 and Denver created the official blueprint to make Cam ineffective on Sundays.

  63. mrba4775 says: Oct 7, 2016 10:27 AM

    I love it, when you idiots go against my Cowboys. Once again Dak to the rescue. Cowboys 34 Bengals 21. How About Them Cowboys!!

  64. phacepalm says: Oct 7, 2016 12:51 PM

    These are the teams that have Krapernick & members of his Klan.

    I will not be watching

    49ers
    Broncos
    Rams
    Chargers
    Redskins
    Raiders
    Titians
    Dolphins

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