Patriots strengthen status as Super Bowl betting favorites

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After they won the Super Bowl, the Patriots began the offseason as the favorites to win next year’s Super Bowl as well. And that has only been strengthened in the last three months.

According to online oddsmaker Bovada, the Patriots are now 7/2 favorites to win Super Bowl LII. They opened the offseason as 5/1 favorites and then moved to 4/1 favorites at the start of free agency.

Among the moves the Patriots have made this offseason are trading for receiver Brandin Cooks and defensive end Kony Ealy, signing cornerback Stephon Gilmore and running backs Rex Burkhead and Mike Gillislee and holding onto restricted free agent cornerback Malcolm Butler and backup quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo. It’s easy to see why they’re the overwhelming favorites to repeat.

After the Patriots, five teams are tied for the next-best Super Bowl odds: The Falcons, Cowboys, Packers, Raiders and Seahawks are all 12/1.

The Browns and 49ers, last year’s two worst teams, are tied at the longest Super Bowl odds, 200/1.

97 responses to “Patriots strengthen status as Super Bowl betting favorites

  1. Means nothing, of course. Bad luck, a few injuries or a guy shooting himself in the leg is all it takes to derail a team’s SB dreams.

  2. As a Pats fan it’s fun to hear things like this but all the odds in the world mean very little till the season starts and they actually start playing games.

    Still fun to imagine what they can do with the new and improved roster though….

  3. As a close friend of the organization I believe that stacking the team the way they have this off-season is against their business model and is extremely reminiscent of the famous 16-0 team. Raiders seem poised to win the AFC, which is just my opinion only.

  4. Was watching a lot of NFL network over the last week with some of their late night shows. One being:
    “Missing Rings”

    Patriots have been dominant for over a decade. In and out of Superbowls, in the AFCC game every year.
    Favored by Vegas to win every year with the exception of 2008. Reveled by fans, despised by other teams and players for 10 years now. Have been in the last 2/3 Superbowls and will be back again for an 8th time likely before Brady retires.

    And STILL 2 of the greatest episodes of ‘Missing Rings’ still have yet to come and belong to the Patriots. Better than anything Buffalo ever did.

    Must be tough to be a Patriots hater. Get ready for another year of whining.

  5. Since Manning retired, the Patriots have no competition. The AFC is wide open and the NFC is weaker than it was few years ago. So the Patriots are set to dominate for a number of years to come.

  6. Pats are now LOADED. Loaded, while also having the GOAT QB, GOAT coach and a roster full of guys who have all performed well in the clutch, in Super Bowls. If Brady stays healthy, they win #6 easily. Even all the haters know this

  7. Funny how much things can change after just a few good minutes of football. Halfway through the third quarter of last year’s Super Bowl, no one would have considered them to be favorites even to get to this year’s Super Bowl. And also at that time, their fans were still mostly humble, likable people.

  8. After 56 straight seasons of the Barneys winning the off season championship, Vegas has decided to stop providing odds for it.

  9. Only teams with the potential to beat them going from the off-season look is the Chiefs, maybe Raiders, Steelers as they have Bryant back but unsure as they looked really deflated and Ben always injured. Maybe the Titans might surprise everybody and make it to the AFC championship.

    I don’t know but at the moment the Patriots are definitely going to another AFC game. Kept a lot of players and made some good additions. We will see when the season starts though.

  10. I get the Patriots being the odds on favorite for SB LII, but I have to LOL at the second tier. As far as the Patriots go, they improved their team. For some reason, other teams seem to throw some of their best players the Patriots way. I have to commend the Patriots staff for taking full advantage of other teams shortsightedness. I am a lifelong Steelers fan, and as much as I hate to say it, since 1995 the Pats have owned the Steelers. Further, in that timeframe, they have knocked the Steelers out in the AFCCG on three occasions.

  11. I was wondering how on earth the Steelers aren’t one of the “top” in terms of odds to win the SB. I don’t care who you are, ON PAPER, their roster holds up to anyone’s. Including NE’s. But then I realized that your odds are basically 0 if you decide to keep running zone defense against Tom Brady and NE and decide to never bring the heat. What’s the definition of insanity again?

    And that’s coming from a Steelers fan…

  12. stillabengalsfan says:
    May 4, 2017 4:44 PM
    They’ll have to get through Cincy to make it happen….

    I wish I really believed that.

    ______

    Maybe a layover on their way to Minnesota.

  13. I wish the Browns and 49ers would play in the Super Bowl next year. 200-1 odds means that you would get a $20,000 payout for betting $100. That’s a lot of dough. Put a $100 on the pair and you would be guaranteed $20,000 in this scenario.

    Of course this is almost impossible and you might as well burn $100 instead. It probably makes the most since to bet $100 on one of the top 10. Not as crazy as a payout but at least you actually have a chance at winning.

  14. since the increased security of footballs began before SB49:

    Patriots – 2 Super Bowl Championships
    Everyone else combined – 1 Super Bowl Championship

  15. As a close friend of the organization I think the new generation washing machines are amazing.

  16. “Cooks with Tom Brady is going to be amazing to watch!”

    We hope. Other veteran receivers have to come to the Pats and not been able to grasp the playbook and their assignments. Most famously Ocho Stinko who 14 games into the season still needed Brady and other players to tell him where to line up on plays.

    If Cooks works his rear end off along with the rest of the Pats and absorbs the playbook he’ll be better than he was in New Orleans. If he doesn’t it won’t play out well.

    Hope very much he’ll do the right thing.

  17. blitzinc43 says:
    May 4, 2017 4:00 PM
    As a close friend of the organization I believe that stacking the team the way they have this off-season is against their business model and is extremely reminiscent of the famous 16-0 team. Raiders seem poised to win the AFC, which is just my opinion only.
    ———————-
    The two teams, just based on make up are polar opposites. The 16-0 team was lacking in several offensive areas, like no tight end and no running back. They also had a very old and slow defense.
    On paper, this team is much more talented in all the positions and the defense is far better. We’ll see how it plays out, tough schedule this year, potentially.

  18. I am a lifelong Steelers fan, and as much as I hate to say it, since 1995 the Pats have owned the Steelers. Further, in that timeframe, they have knocked the Steelers out in the AFCCG on three occasions.
    —————

    I can appreciate your perspective. Up until 1995, I was the whipping boy amongst my steeler friends. That 7-6 scrum of a playoff game with Bledsoe fumbling near the goal line is still a classic we rewatch on occasion.

  19. The Patriots are the only team listed in this article with a chance to win it all. There should be great odds for other teams that an intelligent football fan can find.

  20. Weird. Pats are loaded. Everybody wants to hand them the trophy. But it never seems to work that way.To win a SBowl you have to have luck with injuries, catch other teams at the right time, etc. We’ll see. They do deserve to be the favs.

  21. And the sky is blue. Wake me with something everyone doesn’t already know.

  22. .
    The Patriots have the best May roster. However the Super Bowl is many months away and there’s lots of potential injuries that could derail them. They have depth in most areas, however the offensive line could be suspect if a couple of guys wind up on IR.
    .

  23. Pats fans are going to be so despondent when age catches up with Brady. And it will. And it will be sudden. Just like it happens to everybody.

  24. phinatic29 says:
    May 4, 2017 5:55 PM
    Brady is overrated.

    Gase / Tannehill > Brady / Belichick

    ————–

    There’s an Aerosmith song that covers this perfectly called Dream On.

  25. dodohead418 says:
    May 4, 2017 4:08 PM
    Cooks with Tom Brady is going to be amazing to watch!

    ———-

    That sounds like a Food Network show.

  26. The greatest cheetah of all time. Someone look into if the general managers of other teams get a pay cut of the Patriots revenue for providing them those players.

  27. Usually it’s some other team that “on paper” has won the Superbowl before playing a single game. My prediction? Pats make the playoffs… If everyone is healthy, they make the conference final…. If they make the Superbowl, they win or lose by a single score. Always bet the field.

  28. kemp13 says:
    May 4, 2017 5:58 PM
    Pats fans are going to be so despondent when age catches up with Brady. And it will. And it will be sudden. Just like it happens to everybody.

    *****************************************************
    Contrary to what you think, many fans will not be despondent at all. Some will of course, but many of us will be curious and maybe even excited to see if Jimmy G. can take up the torch and lead the Pats to a new era.

  29. Pats fans are going to be so despondent when age catches up with Brady. And it will. And it will be sudden. Just like it happens to everybody.

    ————————————–

    One of the great thing about being a Boston sports fan is we’ve had lots of success in all our sports. We’ve seen the end of the Russell era, the end of the Bird era, the end of the Orr era, and the end of the Ortiz era. Just because we do a lot of chirping while we are riding high doesn’t mean we don’t recognize that nothing is forever.

    Love it while you can, enjoy every moment, and when it ends wait for the next savior to come. At least in Boston they always seem to keep coming.

  30. phinatic29 says:
    May 4, 2017 5:55 PM
    Brady is overrated.

    Gase / Tannehill > Brady / Belichick

    ————–
    Two guys with zero playoff wins are better than two guys will all of them….. funny stuff!

  31. Two weeks into camp Bill will have them convinced they may not win a game.

    That’s the key.

  32. The Pats are good. They continue to cheat the league in ways not understood by their 31 business partners. The Pats R & D Deception and Technology Department is full miliitary and funded heavily by Bobby Kraft and his many dark associates. Brady is paid by off source third parties to avoid the cap. Kraft doesnt want Lombardis anymore, he wants power and to establish and a new political government. Kraft, Trump and Putin share the same bed. Be afraid, very afraid.

  33. las0023 says:
    May 4, 2017 7:34 PM
    If it wasn’t for the 2 biggest chokes in Super Bowl history they wouldn’t have won since 2005. Just sayin’…
    ——
    If that’s your argument (which is bad btw) then you have to give them two victories in 2007 and 2011 by your definition.

    And then I could hang my hat on a 19-0 season that never was. Oh well, back to reality, they have 5 instead of 2 and you’re still salty

  34. “Mack will sack Brady 5 times in Mexico City and he will never be the same.”

    Good luck with that. Brady is rarely sacked that many times in an entire game, and no player has ever gotten 5 against him in a single game.

    Its nice to have dreams but I don’t think you’ll see that one come to fruition.

  35. It’s nice to hear the Pats are favored, but what’s REALLY nice is knowing the coach and the players in Foxborough pay no attention to that sort of thing. They will work hard from practice to practice, just trying to get better every day. When the season starts, they’ll go one game at a time, and see how it all works out. Off-season championships are for the Rex Ryan’s of the world.

  36. Even at 3:1, that’s only 25%. Far more likely than not.

    I’d give atlanta 20%, steelers 10%, green bay 10%, raiders 10%, eagles 5%.

    The bottom 20 teams are about 5% combined.

  37. I don’t think it’ll happen but every so often a team will go from worst to first. That first Pats SB winning team did it, so did the Rams.

  38. Sadly, i believe it is true . no one will be able to stop them. as I said before the SB i freaking hate NE but my love of history wants to see just how many they shatter the number of championships by. i just hope brady leaves leaving belichick alone with another QB. than we`ll see who was greater.

  39. Just keep Gronk in bubble wrap until December and they’re in good shape to make a deep run. No guarantees though in this league between major injuries and the uneven punishments handed out at 345 Park Ave.

  40. Vegas odds are nothing but a reflection of where betters are putting their money. Odds are a fulcrum that constantly reacts to money bet, in order to make two (or 32) equal piles of money.

    They’re called “favorites” meaning they are favored by gamblers, as measured by where their dollars go.

    So all this means is that, of the degenerate gamblers making super bowl wagers in April and May, they think the Patriots are the best team. Congratulations.

  41. …and Mike Smith…you failed to mention the Patriots retained Dont’a Hightower…which was huge. Hightower is the leader of the defense…a great athlete…a playmaker…and a winner.

  42. phinatic29 says:
    May 4, 2017 5:55 PM
    Brady is overrated.

    Gase / Tannehill > Brady / Belichick

    10 82

    WOW….THAT IS INSANE…I want some of whatever substance you’re taking.

  43. vancouversportsbro says:
    May 4, 2017 6:18 PM
    The greatest cheetah of all time. Someone look into if the general managers of other teams get a pay cut of the Patriots revenue for providing them those players.
    ——————————
    Watching reruns of the patriots winning championships is just slightly better than all those youtube videos of the bruins beating the canucks lol.

  44. The Pats are give a 25% chance to win the super bowl. The next team has an 8% chance. Is there any confusion why Jerry Jones and Woody Johnson are green with envy and why Goodell conspires with them to hurt the Patriots?

  45. TheWizard says:
    May 4, 2017 7:44 PM
    Two weeks into camp Bill will have them convinced they may not win a game.

    That’s the key.

    ———————–

    Its more fun for the fans too if they do that with themselves. Coming into a season with a championship preordained in your mind undermines the thrill that comes if it does happen. So putting aside what Belichick has done this off season (which isnt a one year buildup, he has things positioned to keep rolling with a manageable amount of turnover each year) its better to focus on how hard a repeat is and fret about that all year and go into the playoffs liking chances but by no means being sure of anything.

  46. 7/2 odds is 22.2%. Still much more likely than not to win the Super Bowl. Odds are based perceived probability and money flow.

  47. Hard to believe the “fire” that drove the team last year remains at the same level. Nothing to prove and almost awarded the trophy before season starts is a good way to extinguish or at least put a damper on the flame. Every team they play will bring their best.

    Looking forward to start of the season.

  48. magikskillz says:
    May 4, 2017 4:55 PM
    I wish the Browns and 49ers would play in the Super Bowl next year. 200-1 odds means that you would get a $20,000 payout for betting $100. That’s a lot of dough. Put a $100 on the pair and you would be guaranteed $20,000 in this scenario.

    Of course this is almost impossible and you might as well burn $100 instead. It probably makes the most since to bet $100 on one of the top 10. Not as crazy as a payout but at least you actually have a chance at winning.

    ———————————————————-

    If you like long odds of a team winning, according to the ESPN in-game win probability graph Atlanta midway through the 3rd Qtr. had a 99.7% probability of winning the Super Bowl which equates to 1000 to 1 odds against New England doing what they did.

  49. phinatic29 says:
    May 4, 2017 5:55 PM
    Brady is overrated.

    Gase / Tannehill > Brady / Belichick

    ——————-

    Yeah, at shuffleboard.

  50. kemp13 says:
    May 4, 2017 5:58 PM
    Pats fans are going to be so despondent when age catches up with Brady. And it will. And it will be sudden. Just like it happens to everybody.

    ——————-

    Not really, at this point the Pats fans have been treated to such a great run thats its going to be tough to feel anything other than overwhelming gratitude. Lets face it, they have been enjoying Brady on house money for a while now. Each additional year has been a pleasant surprise. Rather than fearing the end they are all just thrilled and amazed it hasnt come yet.

    And Garrapolo is an unknown. Im not sold on him, but if he takes over someday and lights it up the comments feeds will be the best reading in town.

  51. wib22 says:
    May 5, 2017 10:07 AM
    Deny, deny, deny: “the patriot way!”

    ——————–

    This is true. Because no matter how many of these articles present evidence that suggests the Patriots are likely to win, Belichick will deny every word of it and talk like they are in dire straights nowhere near ready to pull it off. And working from that perspective is indeed the Patriot way.

  52. db105 says:
    May 5, 2017 10:26 AM
    7/2 odds is 22.2%. Still much more likely than not to win the Super Bowl.
    —————————–

    You have it backwards. a 22% chance of winning means they have a 78% chance they won’t. 78 > 22. While they are the favorites, they are still far less likely to win it than not. Or said another way: The Patriots most likely will not win the superbowl.

    – Pats fan who still likes these odds.

  53. “I wish the Browns and 49ers would play in the Super Bowl next year. 200-1 odds means that you would get a $20,000 payout for betting $100. ”

    I had a friend who made $50 wagers on the Pats to win the AFC Championship and Superbowl in 2001. The odds were so long he won $9000 on each one.

    So if that amount of money is not a big deal to you go ahead and make those wagers. While you’re most likely throwing the money away if it did happen its a huge score.

  54. aj66shanghai says:
    May 5, 2017 5:20 AM
    Vegas odds are nothing but a reflection of where betters are putting their money. Odds are a fulcrum that constantly reacts to money bet, in order to make two (or 32) equal piles of money.
    ========================

    In the case of early championship futures this early on that isn’t the case. Early futures odds are the most objective of betting numbers. The current odds are a reflection of Bovada’s estimation of the strength of each team versus the field. The early goal is to drive action while still minimizing risk. The chances that the handle at this point being substantial enough to drive the odds in search of offset money is remote at best.
    BTW it’s not the fulcrum that reacts to the load.

  55. wib22 says:
    May 5, 2017 10:07 AM
    Deny, deny, deny: “the patriot way!”
    ====================

    Deny objective futures odds set by an independent gaming outfit? Not only do we not know what you are talking about it’s pretty clear you don’t either.

    chip…chip

  56. Father time approaches as Brady is hurt the first regular season game of the year. Jimmy G comes in and only wins 8 games. Patriots fans heads explode. Good year

  57. “Father time approaches as Brady is hurt the first regular season game of the year. Jimmy G comes in and only wins 8 games. Patriots fans heads explode. Good year”

    When your only hope for the coming season is one of the premier players in the league getting hurt, its a sad statement about yourself.

    Those who wish injury on others are the worst, bottom feeding type of fans.

  58. harrisonhits2 says:
    May 5, 2017 1:09 PM
    “Father time approaches as Brady is hurt the first regular season game of the year. Jimmy G comes in and only wins 8 games. Patriots fans heads explode. Good year”

    When your only hope for the coming season is one of the premier players in the league getting hurt, its a sad statement about yourself.

    Those who wish injury on others are the worst, bottom feeding type of fans.
    —————————————
    “worst, bottom feeding type of fans.”

    Like Red Sox and Boston Bruins fans who use racial slurs against other team’s players? Or how about NE fans who went on Twitter to threaten their kicker Stephen Gostowski. People who live in glass houses shouldn’t throw stones.

  59. superpatriotsfan says:
    May 5, 2017 1:33 PM

    “worst, bottom feeding type of fans.”

    Like Red Sox and Boston Bruins fans who use racial slurs against other team’s players? Or how about NE fans who went on Twitter to threaten their kicker Stephen Gostowski. People who live in glass houses shouldn’t throw stones.
    ==========================

    Trying to define your own level of scumbaggery, that’s awesome chipster. You really are the gift that keeps on giving.

  60. kemp13 says:
    May 4, 2017 5:58 PM
    Pats fans are going to be so despondent when age catches up with Brady. And it will. And it will be sudden. Just like it happens to everybody.

    —–

    We definitely won’t be despondent, a bit sad but not despondent. We will very be thankful for the Brady era. None of us or at least the vast majority of us Pats fans realize we are well beyond what we could have asked for from Brady. We truly have been lucky.

  61. “Like Red Sox and Boston Bruins fans who use racial slurs against other team’s players? Or how about NE fans who went on Twitter to threaten their kicker Stephen Gostowski. People who live in glass houses shouldn’t throw stones.”

    You’re right, there were some lowlifes at the Sox game the other night but lets not be so disingenuous as to claim there aren’t the same kind of scumbags in every city and state in the US, every NFL city, and for that matter in most places throughout the world.

    But I am personally not one of them as I long ago learned that every group of people has both good and bad people in it. And unlike you I would never be as disgusting as to wish a player gets injured.

  62. superpatriotsfan says:
    May 5, 2017 12:46 PM
    Father time approaches as Brady is hurt the first regular season game of the year. Jimmy G comes in and only wins 8 games. Patriots fans heads explode. Good year

    ——————

    C’mon man.

  63. ihavepriors says:
    May 4, 2017 7:47 PM
    The Pats are good. They continue to cheat the league in ways not understood by their 31 business partners. The Pats R & D Deception and Technology Department is full miliitary and funded heavily by Bobby Kraft and his many dark associates. Brady is paid by off source third parties to avoid the cap. Kraft doesnt want Lombardis anymore, he wants power and to establish and a new political government. Kraft, Trump and Putin share the same bed. Be afraid, very afraid.
    —————————-

    What in the world are smoking?

  64. kemp13 says:
    May 4, 2017 5:58 PM
    Pats fans are going to be so despondent when age catches up with Brady.

    Sure, like we were when all those other greats finally hung up the shoes. But we move on, warmed by the memories of many championships. But we take heart knowing that we will get a brief respite from spending so much of our disposable income on champ swag.

  65. Pats have been betting superbowl favorites for at least the past 10 years but have only won twice. They’re what you call in Vegas terms “a bad bet”.

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