Cowboys dodged a bullet when Jerry Jones tried and failed to trade up for Paxton Lynch

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The Broncos have named Trevor Siemian their starting quarterback, and that’s a major indictment of Paxton Lynch: A year after Denver chose Lynch in the first round of the NFL draft, he’s failed to beat out a former seventh-rounder who was already on the roster. Obviously, if the Broncos had known at the time that Lynch was no better than Siemian, they never would have drafted Lynch.

Which serves as a good reminder of just how lucky the Cowboys got during the 2016 NFL draft, when Jerry Jones badly wanted Lynch in Dallas.

Jones said after the first round of the 2016 draft ended that he had been working hard to move up and get Lynch, but before he could get a deal done, the Broncos moved up to the 26th overall pick and took Lynch themselves. Jones even acknowledged that he was willing to overpay to acquire Lynch, and said his son Stephen Jones had to prevent him from selling the farm to get Lynch.

As it turned out, of course, the Cowboys took Dak Prescott in the fourth round of the draft. Prescott stepped in for the injured Tony Romo last year, led the Cowboys to the best record in the NFC and won the rookie of the year award.

So as Prescott heads into his second season as the established franchise quarterback, and Lynch heads into his second season as Siemian’s backup, the Cowboys can thank their lucky stars that Jones wasn’t able to draft the quarterback he really wanted.

70 responses to “Cowboys dodged a bullet when Jerry Jones tried and failed to trade up for Paxton Lynch

  1. Keep in mind that Jerry Jones has also gone on record stating how badly he wanted to draft Johnny Manziel, too. We’re lucky that Stephen got his way and not Jerry. TWICE!!

  2. Not just Dallas. Kansas City tried to trade up for him too. It made me wonder at the time what everyone was looking at because Andy Reid is very good at QB evaluation.

  3. Don’t ignore the race factor. Just because a player is over 6’5″ and White doesn’t mean he will be a good QB in the NFL. How many GMs passed on Russell Wilson and Dak Prescott? Look who was picked ahead of them, Osweiler, Lynch, Weeden, Hackenberg, Kessler, seriously?

  4. It’s funny. As a Dolphins fan, one of the beat writers who’s initials are OK kept talking up Lynch as one of the best QB’s in the draft and that Miami should draft him in the 1st rd. Kept going on and on about this kid on what seemed to be a daily basis. Now, we don’t hear a word about Lynch anymore from OK, especially when his twitter followers keep asking him about it and then, promptly get blocked.

    Dallas got a good kid and a good player in Prescott.

  5. Tried to trade up for Johnny 8-ball too. Jerry needs to avoid QB evaluations. he should stay out of the draft room completely. Stephen continues to show he knows the right people to listen to and the right people to trust…the scouts paid to do a job.

  6. I’m a Seahawks fan that didn’t accept Russell Wilson as a legit top-tier starter until he fought their way back to make it to the super bowl they lost.

    Absolutely blows my mind that anyone thinks Dak has established himself after one season that ended in an immediate playoff exit. Just, wow.

  7. Maybe Jerry should just not do anything with the evaluation of QB’s? He seems to miss really bad…remember he drafted Walsh in the supplemental draft after drafting Aikman the year before. Granted that was probably more Jimmy Johnson versus Jones but….

  8. And Jerry the goofball will still go on record saying how he orchestrated the Charles Haley and the Tony Casillas trades as well as the Herschel trade…. What a world Jerry lives in.

  9. Don’t be convinced that Jones wanted Lynch all along. Jones is a heck of a gambler and has hood-winked a few general managers over the years.
    I believe he had his sights on Prescott all along. Prescott worked out with the Boys prior to the draft as well.

  10. okieviacal says:
    August 21, 2017 at 3:44 pm
    Didn’t he also try to trade up for Connor Cook too?

    _____________________________________________________________________________

    Cook was at the top of the Raiders draft board and they wanted a back up playing on a rookie contract so he was the perfect fit. Jerry wanted him as the eventual replacement for Romo so the Raiders traded up in front of him. I don’t think Jerry tried to move up. Instead it was a rare mistake by Reggie!

  11. swhy19, perhaps a little research would help your arguments a bit.
    Jones overruled Jimmy Johnson on selecting DeMarcus Ware, Johnson wanted Merriman.

  12. Jesus people are dumb. It’s year two and the kid came from a SPREAD OFFENSE. He is on his second offensive coordinator and was slammed into action in a VERY complicated Gary Kubiak offense last year. Everyone is quick to forget that Rodgers sat for FOUR years before he was given the reins. If this was year four and he still sucked like Osweiler, then you can trash the kid. But by God, EVERYONE knew he was project. He’ll get it. He just needs to hope that Chad Kelly never fully recovers from his injuries. That dude would have beat both those QB’s out this year.

  13. So this is PFT’s polite way of saying Lynch is a bust? I wouldn’t write him off just yet. There’s a lot of adjustment from college to the NFL, some guys get it quicker than others.

  14. Disagree that the Broncos decision is a major indictment on Lynch. Denver has a new offense, new OC, etc. Of course, it’s new for Siemian also, but his experience from last year gives him an advantage.

  15. I think that Deshaun Watson is already looking like a HUGE mistake. His accuracy is, well, let’s just say, he looks like a manure spreader. Reminds me of when the Lions drafted Heisman Trophy winner Andre Ware in the first round to pair up with Barry Sanders. His deep pass tended to miss by 5 or 10 yards, often sailing out of bounds. Accuracy is tough to fix!

    On the other hand, it looks like the Browns lucked out on the other Deshone, as in Kizer.

  16. patsfan4lifesbchamps says:
    August 21, 2017 at 3:46 pm
    Don’t ignore the race factor. Just because a player is over 6’5″ and White doesn’t mean he will be a good QB in the NFL. How many GMs passed on Russell Wilson and Dak Prescott? Look who was picked ahead of them, Osweiler, Lynch, Weeden, Hackenberg, Kessler, seriously?
    ================================================================================================

    the only resist person here is YOU!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
    you can only see race and not the quality of the individual player

    lets not forget this players where picked ahead of ALL THE PLAYERS YOU LISTED!!!
    Jamarcus Russell, Akili Smith, Vince Young, Byron Leftwich

  17. finsphan says:
    August 21, 2017 at 3:49 pm
    It’s funny. As a Dolphins fan, one of the beat writers who’s initials are OK kept talking up Lynch as one of the best QB’s in the draft and that Miami should draft him in the 1st rd. Kept going on and on about this kid on what seemed to be a daily basis. Now, we don’t hear a word about Lynch anymore from OK, especially when his twitter followers keep asking him about it and then, promptly get blocked.
    ………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………..
    Omar Kelly is an idiot who jumps to instant judgements about players. Like Skip Bayless, he is consistently wrong. Paxton Lynch is just the latest bust.

  18. Thank goodness for Stephen. I remember watching America’s Game, and there’s an anecdote of Stephen and JJ almost coming to blows because JJ was ready to give away the calvary for Deion Sanders. Jerry was convinced he would be the x-factor in getting them over the hump (the hump being the 49ers.)

    Real Cowboys fans know however, the only reason they won it in 95 was because Green Bay played SF in the divisional. For a few years it seemed that while GB had SF’s number, they could not for the life of them beat Dallas. GB won the divisional and proceeded to get beaten down by the Cowboys the following week. If SF beats GB in that game they hoist their sixth trophy that year. We got lucky. Deion was just icing on the cake.

  19. It’s a fun hindsight argument, but nothing else. Paxton Lynch was a 1st round talent at QB, and someone (obviously) was going to take him there. That the Cowboys were one of many teams that wanted him is not really noteworthy.

    They got Prescott in the 4th, after trying to trade up again for Connor Cook who was also arguably a 2nd round caliber quarterback (like Prescott) in some peoples’ eyes.

    They indeed got lucky in this sequence of events, but honestly at the quarterback position there’s not really such a thing as a talent evaluator that bats 1.000.

  20. realfootballfan says:
    August 21, 2017 at 3:41 pm
    Not just Dallas. Kansas City tried to trade up for him too. It made me wonder at the time what everyone was looking at because Andy Reid is very good at QB evaluation.

    ____________________________________________

    KC was one of the suitors for DAL had Paxton dropped per Peter King who was in DAL draft room. KC was actually looking to trade up with MIN was the rumor and thats where it stopped, had Paxton been there guy they had more leeway than MIN to land him. Which makes me believe it was a smokescreen and DEN bit by trading up.

  21. Don’t assume Paxton Lynch won’t work out. When he was drafted, I recall many of the so called experts saying he would be a project for down the road. And maybe Denver just isn’t the best place for him. Trade him to Jacksonville and who knows, maybe he would shine.

  22. So funny. The QB position is the MOST interdependent position on the entire team!!! A great coach, o-line, running back, TE, WR, goes a long way to achieving early success at the QB position. Because that is all we are talking about right now. So, who knows really? We know how great Dak does with all the weapons, who knows how he fairs early with a dumb coach trying to change him too guick and turn him into the photo-typical NFL QB robot behind a struggling line, etc. Those are just the facts people.

    If you look back at Elway, Manning, Aikman, etc when they first started in the league, people and the stupid media led decisions today would have had all these dudes as early busts!!!!

  23. Jerry doesn’t have a good track record of drafting quarterbacks. Troy Aikman was drafted by Jimmy Johnson and that was a no brainer. Take a
    look what happened after Jimmy. He drafted Quincy Carter, never did much. Then drafted Stephen McGee. Infamously, he wanted to Johnny Manziel and then wanted to draft Paxton Lynch. If would just let the football people make these decisions. Anyways, if you watched Lynch’s last game at Memphis, you could tell he wasn’t going to start right away in the NFL. He didn’t throw a touchdown pass. Lynch has physical talents, but not the mental aspect to succeed in the NFL just yet.

  24. Dak Prescott will fail this year. He doesn’t see the field as well as you think. He just has more time in that pocket than any QB in the league.

  25. This doesn’t necessarily mean that Siemian is better than Lynch, it might mean he’s just more ready at this time.
    And why bring Jones into the conversation at all? Jones has proven over and over he’s a lousy GM. His opinions are worthless. If you don’t believe me, check out how many playoff games his Cowboys have won since Jimmy Johnson’s players retired.

  26. Wasn’t Stephen Jones also the one who talked Jerry out of drafting Johnny Manziel? The son seems to have a lot more football sense than his father.

  27. Well if he’s a long term project he had no business being picked in the 1st round. If you can’t beat out a 7th rounder two years in a row maybe you shouldn’t have been drafted period

  28. Dodged another bullet after the Raiders traded up ahead of the Cowboys in the 4th round to select Connor Cook. Dallas was prepared to draft him, but the Raiders snatched him up.

  29. I would personally like to thank Brock Osweiler for making this all possible. Had he stayed in Denver, they don’t draft Lynch making him available to Dallas and losing out on Dak with the comp pick in the 4th round.

  30. If your 2nd year first round QB can’t beat out a throughly mediocre 3rd year 7th round QB with a noodle arm whose ceiling is a poor man’s Alex Smith, then he’s a BUST!

    And maybe a HOF QB doesn’t have the scouting ability to make drafting or signing QBs? Elway is also the genius who wanted to resign Osweiler to big money and was only saved by an even worse talent evaluator in Houston!

  31. I’m curious how much of Prescott’s development is due to being behind the NFL’s best OL and having a strong running game.

    He’s clearly a good QB. But how much did it help and would that have been enough for someone like Lynch to be as good or better?

    The Cowboys are less lucky that Jerry lost out and more that they got a franchise QB in round 4.

  32. Walt Disney was once fired due his “lack of imagination” according his employer – really. Theodor Seuss Geisel, better known Dr. Seuss, was rejected 27 times by publishers before finding one who believed in him. Another tall of drink of water, Abe Lincoln, became the tallest (and some would argue grandest) President to date, US history.

    Already writing off Lynch, who has played but 3 regular season games? Par for the course modern society: ‘I need instant gratification.’ The ghosts other prematurely written off QB’s become Hall of Famers Starr, Dawson, Unitas and Warner suggest patience is indeed a virtue.

    The 6’7 Lynch may or may not thrive eventually in DEN or elsewhere, as tall QB’s who have excelled are not the norm. For every 6’8 skyscraper QB an Osweiler or McGwire, 6’6 Flacco and 6’5 Roethlisberger, Rivers, Palmer & Newton affirm success is possible.

    Funny, the 2017 class of rookie QB’s has yet to play a single regular season game or even vs more than backup defensive players, 2nd, 3rd & 4th stringers. Yet, one or more already are being anointed ‘stars’ & future ‘Hall of Famer’s’. As a Chiefs fan this is especially true of our top pick Mahomes, who has not started let alone played any team or defense of note in two games, yet, is already having his bust prepared Canton according an desperate local media and fandom… hilarious.

    Upshot – no one knows how the career of a Lynch or any young QB will play out ultimately, based present evidence, but it all makes for good (if specious) copy/knee jerk reactions, at any.

  33. Dak Prescott is an established franchise QB??? Are you out of your mind??? Lets see what happens this yr. We shall see.

  34. jagsfanugh says:
    August 21, 2017 at 3:50 pm
    and they put this clown in the hall of fame…what a joke
    _______________________________________________________

    No…actually you’re the Joke because you are too lazy to figure out why Jerry is now in the HOF. Can you people not get it through your thick skulls that Jerry’s (the clown as you state) gold jacket has absolutely nothing to do with his General Manager skills/role/activities. Zero, Zip, Nada! Doesn’t anyone read anymore? Jerry got in the HOF as a “Contributor”. A HOF Contributor has nothing to do with the “on-field” stuff that you guys like to pile-on about with Jerry. A “Contributor” is all about the off-field stuff. Say whatever you want about Jerry’s GM skills, but off the field he’s a freak’n marketing genius and a business guru. The NFL is now a financial behemoth and many NFL owners attribute that massive wealth to Jerry Jones and the innovative things he has introduced to the league over the years to make it the “cash-cow” that it is. So every time some moron decides to chime in and say that Jerry the Clown should not be in the HOF, maybe try to be a bit more intelligent by reading up on why he actually got in the HOF.

  35. Was it Parcells who said you should never take a qb in the 1st round? It does seem quite tempting most years, but clearly very risky

  36. Prescott needs more than one year to be considered an established franchise guy. Nothing against him personally. Good young QBs make the games more interesting, so I pull for all of them. Even that rookie in KC. Mostly.

  37. Just goes to show that you never really know, despite the success (or lack thereof) a qb has in college. Lynch/Siemian are perfect examples. Lynch had an impressive college career; Siemian was terrible in college. But look who is better now. I think the lesson is that the only way to find good qbs is to draft/sign a bunch of them and sift thru them. Eventually youll find a decent one

  38. We certainly are jumping to a lot of conclusions here. First of all, Tom Brady was a sixth round pick, and he would beat out a lot of first rounders too. Second, the book isn’t closed on Paxton Lynch, anymore than the book was closed on Brett Favre when the Falcons traded him to Green Bay. Third, how many NFL starts does Paxton Lynch have under his belt? Whatever the answer is, check out where all the HOF QB’s were at that time in Their career’s. Fourth, although I think Dak Prescott is the real deal and he’s only going to get better, we decide who the better player is. Didn’t RG3 win Rookie of the Year award? Way, way, way too early.

  39. The Cowboys have the best scouting staff in the NFL. Over the last 4 years, the Cowboys have 10 first team All Pro players for a total amount of 16 appearances.

    Try and find a team with more!!! That doesn’t even count the best player in last year’s draft–Dak Prescott–who will surely get his All Pro nod soon.

  40. @ nyneal says:

    “If you don’t believe me, check out how many playoff games his Cowboys have won since Jimmy Johnson’s players retired.”

    Playoff games aren’t the reason you play in the NFL – SB rings are. Speaking of which, Johnson and the Cowboys STILL have more total SB Rings than the Packers, who have arguably been the better team for the past several years. With that said, the Packers continue to find ways to choke away their spot in the Super Bowl as a perennial playoff team. How do you explain that?

  41. @ nhpats says:

    “Let’s see if Dak can manage to win a playoff game before deciding he is an elite QB shall we?”

    Dak and the offense (in the playoff game against GB last year) was down 21-3 before the half. He finished the game by throwing 3 TD passes (2 in the 4th quarter), had over 300 yards, and finished the game with a higher passer rating than Rodgers. The Cowboys D couldn’t stop Rodgers when it counted, and other factors certainly played a part. Dak did what he could, and so did Dez in that game.

    My point is that this a team sport – you win and lose as a team. Brady didn’t win anything on his own, and he is the best in the business. As a Pats fan, you should know this. Is it fair to say (using your example) that going 18-0, throwing 50 TD passes, and having Randy Moss catch 23 TD passes, is is still on Brady for losing SB XLII because he was the QB? I won’t mention the repeat outcome in the SB following the 2011 season…….

    Secondly, who said Dak was “elite”? He had an excellent rookie season, and worked hard in the off-season to continue to elevate his game, because that is the kind of player he is. If he has another season like last year, he is certainly in the argument to at least be considered a potential franchise QB.

  42. I think Prescott greatest attribute is he ” plays within his abilities “. He just
    seems to take the game in stride …of course in the course of a game a
    QB might overreach ..but Prescott seems to keep this to a minimum
    The bottom line seems that unlike Romo and others, Prescott is willing
    to work to the better of the team rather than himself. This is critical in his
    play and is the key to why it seems players like Witten, Fredrick, Martin
    and Lee all have been fully behind Prescott ..even last year when Romo
    was attempting to pull rank with Jerry and company.
    Bottom line Prescott is a refreshing example of what a team wants in a QB.

  43. Has nobody considered the possibility that Prescott succeeded because of the scheme, the coaching, and the O-line, and that maybe Lynch would have been as good or better with the Cowboys?

  44. Has anyone considered that, maybe, this speaks more about Trevor Siemian than it does about Paxton Lynch? Siemian, as a 7th round pick, managed to lead a bad to average offense to a 8-6 record with 18 TDs and 10 INTs. Lynch went 1-1. Obviously, wins-to-losses are not all on the QB, and Siemian has a LOT of room to grow, but I don’t think anyone expected a 7th rounder to be any good at all. If Siemian was released today, can we say that there wouldn’t be a handful of teams that could be interested in using him as a starter?

    As far as Lynch goes, come on guys. He might not ever be any more than backup, but the guy hasn’t even been in the league for two years. He’s started two games. Maybe y’all are jumping the gun a little bit.

  45. Russel Wilson and Dak Prescott have one thing in common – both stayed in college for FIVE years. The GMs place too much emphasis on physical traits like height and a strong arm. They need to create new metrics for evaluating players that include mental processing skills, leadership, an ability to handle public pressure, and real confidence. These are not “intangible” qualities for a QB and need to be measured.

    Otherwise, the legacy of Jamarcus Russel, Ryan Leaf, and Akihito Smith will continue.

  46. Kerouac says:
    August 21, 2017 at 5:23 pm
    Walt Disney was once fired due his “lack of imagination” according his employer – really. Theodor Seuss Geisel, better known Dr. Seuss, was rejected 27 times by publishers before finding one who believed in him. Another tall of drink of water, Abe Lincoln, became the tallest (and some would argue grandest) President to date, US history.
    ====================
    we cant let every denver qb be an attention seeking media darling with 8 million chances to fail and fail again (Teesus).
    at the end of the day, your team is a mess and we are all enjoying it. fun to watch the biggest cheats in the league get theirs. enjoy the cellar – it goes well with the ugly orange uniforms!

  47. Everybody ‘missed’ on Prescott. I’ve been following the NFL draft since 1979. And I’m more convinced than ever after watching what Prescott did, that there really is no way to tell just how a kid is going to do in the NFL until he’s out there on the field.

    Prescott ran the read option at Miss. St. So every single scout that looked at him immediately looked at him as a project. It was *assumed* it was going to take a year or two for Prescott to adapt to drop back PA style passing in the NFL. At *least* 2 seasons.

    He shocked everybody at how fast he picked up this new style of offense. I remember 1 of the games, Troy Aikman pointing out on one play, Prescott just did 3 things he never did when running the read option in college, and he’d just started learning to do them since he’d been drafted by Dallas. Prescott

    1. took the snap under center, dropped back
    2. did a play action fake handoff to Ezekiel Elliott
    3. reached the end of a seven step drop, checked down to the 3rd receiver and let it fly to Cole Beasley for a 1st down.

    Nobody saw this coming.

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