PFT’s Week Two picks

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One week in, the good news is that I’ve already got a one-game lead over MDS. The bad news is that I hit on only nine of 15 games.

The best news is that we both get yet another chance to do something neither of us has ever done: Get every game right in a given week. One of us definitely won’t, since we disagree on one of the 16 games.

Here are the PFT Picks for Week Two. For amusement purposes only. As in, “I’m amused by how much these guys suck.”

Texans at Bengals
MDS’s take: This could be another ugly Thursday night game, given the way these two defenses played in Week One. Although Andy Dalton was terrible on Sunday, I think he’ll be better on Thursday — and the Texans’ quarterback situation will be as bad as ever.

MDS’s pick: Bengals 13, Texans 7.

Florio’s take: A game between two teams who scored on Sunday a total of seven points between them doesn’t bode well for ratings points. The Texans unexpectedly are reeling, and the Bengals aren’t as bad as Sunday suggested. Unless they are. One of these teams could soon be fitted for a fork.

Florio’s pick: Bengals 20, Texans 13.


Browns at Ravens
MDS’s take: The Ravens’ defense made a statement against the Bengals and will make another statement against the Browns.

MDS’s pick: Ravens 21, Browns 6.

Florio’s take: The Ravens aren’t kind to rookie quarterbacks, and even though the Browns weren’t as bad in Week One as everyone thought they’d be, the Ravens were much better. The Browns may have indeed found the answer to their chronic quarterback problems, but it’s going to take some time for this to develop.

Florio’s pick: Ravens 23, Browns 13.


Bears at Buccaneers
MDS’s take: Chicago was more competitive than most people expected, nearly pulling off a big upset against Atlanta. But the well-rested Buccaneers should beat the Bears convincingly.

MDS’s pick: Buccaneers 24, Bears 14.

Florio’s take: The Bucs have extra rest, and they don’t need it. A superior team on both sides of the ball with plenty to prove and even greater desire to do so after an unplanned bye week, Tampa Bay begins its march toward potential playoff contention by systematically dismantling a Bears team that suffers from a dearth of talent made worse by a rash of injuries.

Florio’s pick: Buccaneers 27, Bears 14.


Vikings at Steelers
MDS’s take: These looked like two of the better teams in the league last week. I don’t think Sam Bradford is going to be able to do against the Steelers’ defense what he did against the Saints’ defense, and so I’m picking Pittsburgh.

MDS’s pick: Steelers 20, Vikings 13.

Florio’s take: The Vikings haven’t won in Pittsburgh since 1995. They’ve only player there twice since then, however. This year, perhaps they’re better than many expected. That still may not be good enough to take down a potential Super Bowl contender in their own stadium.

Florio’s pick: Steelers 23, Vikings 20.


Patriots at Saints
MDS’s take: The Saints’ defense looks like just the thing to get Tom Brady on track. He’ll have a big game.

MDS’s pick: Patriots 35, Saints 21.

Florio’s take: The Saints are on a short week and the Patriots had extra time. Which will serve only to make things worse for a home team without the horses to keep up with a defending Super Bowl champion that suddenly has something to prove.

Florio’s pick: Patriots 34, Saints 20.


Eagles at Chiefs
MDS’s take: Andy Reid has the Chiefs’ offense rolling. The Chiefs’ defense will miss Eric Berry, but Kansas City can win a high-scoring game.

MDS’s pick: Chiefs 35, Eagles 31.

Florio’s take: Big Red gets another chance at Gang Green, against an Eagles team coached by his protege. The master surely held back a few tricks. Which he may not need given the quality of his team’s roster.

Florio’s pick: Chiefs 28, Eagles 20.


Titans at Jaguars
MDS’s take: The Jaguars were better than I was expecting in Week One, and the Titans were worse than I was expecting. Maybe I’m just a slow learner, but I still think the Titans are the better team.

MDS’s pick: Titans 24, Jaguars 20.

Florio’s take: It’s too early to call this a Correction Weekend, but a correction feels like it’s coming for a Titans team that should contend and a Jaguars team that shouldn’t be racking up 10 sacks per game.

Florio’s pick: Titans 27, Jaguars 23.


Cardinals at Colts
MDS’s take: The Cardinals didn’t look particularly good on Sunday, but the Colts looked downright awful.

MDS’s pick: Cardinals 27, Colts 17.

Florio’s take: The David Johnson-less Cardinals need a cupcake right now (along with a bottle of rum), and none are currently more frosted than the Colts, who seem to be intent on challenging the Jets for the first overall pick in the draft.

Florio’s pick: Cardinals 28, Colts 14.


Bills at Panthers
MDS’s take: Cam Newton doesn’t look quite right, but the Bills’ offense is going to have trouble moving the ball against the Panthers’ defense. Carolina takes a low-scoring game.

MDS’s pick: Panthers 16, Bills 13.

Florio’s take: Sean McDermott returns to Carolina, with thorough knowledge of the personnel on both sides of the ball. He may not have the talent at this point to put his inside information to its best possible use, however.

Florio’s pick: Panthers 20, Bills 14.


Jets at Raiders
MDS’s take: Picking against the Jets will be the easiest pick of the week all season.

MDS’s pick: Raiders 24, Jets 10.

Florio’s take: This is a trap game for the Raiders — if the trap has a rusty spring that won’t engage and the bait is a sliver of rancid meat.

Florio’s pick: Raiders 30, Jets 13.


Dolphins at Chargers
MDS’s take: It’s hard to predict how the Dolphins will respond to being uprooted from their homes by Hurricane Irma, but I think Miami will look a little off in its season opener and the Chargers will win in their new home.

MDS’s pick: Chargers 21, Dolphins 14.

Florio’s take: How many of the 27,000 people at the Chargers’ home opener will be rooting for the Dolphins? Enough to be heard, given the size of the venue.

Florio’s pick: Dolphins 27, Chargers 20.


49ers at Seahawks
MDS’s take: It was only a few years ago that this was the best rivalry in football. Now the 49ers aren’t good enough to make anyone a rival.

MDS’s pick: Seahawks 28, 49ers 13.

Florio’s take: There’s no antidote for a bad offensive line and a non-existent running attack than a home game against an overmatched team.

Florio’s pick: Seahawks 30, 49ers 9.


Washington at Rams
MDS’s take: Sean McVay knows just what to do against his old team. He’s going to have the Rams a surprising 2-0.

MDS’s pick: Rams 27, Washington 20.

Florio’s take: Something’s suddenly wrong with Washington’s offense. Maybe it’s related to whatever is suddenly right with the Rams: Sean McVay. The former Washington offensive coordinator gets a crack at his old team, a week after crunching the Colts in his debut.

Florio’s pick: Rams 24, Washington 20.


Cowboys at Broncos
MDS’s take: Trevor Siemian had a surprisingly good game in Week One, but I think the Cowboys’ defense is going to make him struggle.

MDS’s pick: Cowboys 20, Broncos 10.

Florio’s take: The Cowboys looked great on each side of the ball against the Giants, and the Broncos’ offense is still a work in progress. With Ezekiel Elliott still available, Dallas continues to excel.

Florio’s pick: Cowboys 20, Broncos 13.


Packers at Falcons
MDS’s take: The Falcons want to open their new stadium in style, but Aaron Rodgers is going to have a big game as the Packers pull off a road upset.

MDS’s pick: Packers 31, Falcons 27.

Florio’s take: For the second straight year, the Packers get the short straw when it comes to opening a new stadium. This year, they’ll make that futuristic change purse look more like a giant wedge of cheese.

Florio’s pick: Packers 30, Falcons 27.


Lions at Giants
MDS’s take: With Odell Beckham back, the Giants’ offense will turn things around after an ugly Week One performance.

MDS’s pick: Giants 28, Lions 20.

Florio’s take: The Giants aren’t as bad as they looked on Sunday night in Dallas (how could they be?), and the Lions aren’t as good as they looked on Sunday afternoon. If Detroit wants to be an elite franchise, this is the kind of game they need to win. I’m not yet ready to give them that label, given that we’ve seen them fail in many similar circumstances to deliver in a spot like this.

Florio’s pick: Giants 23, Lions 17.

65 responses to “PFT’s Week Two picks

  1. I wonder if Crooked Hillary will blame the Patriots next for her loss? I guess it must be their turn next in line for her excuses.

    🙂

  2. Brees should have a field day with a Patriots D that gives up 40 points a week (including the preseason). The Pats will storm back but not before falling under the radar, which starts with a second loss to begin the season. Saints 45, Patriots 41.

  3. Unfortunately with the Patriots defense being terrible this can be anyone’s game. I originally had this as a loss however Strief being out is a big blow to the Saints. This will be a close one, but I think Patriots barely get the win by the score of 38 to 30. As for the obvious lock I’d go with Ravens over Browns 31 to 10.

  4. So the Cardinals, who were a top ten offenselast year, barely managed to score on the Lions despite being handed 10 in the first quarter of the game, but the Giants who haven’t scored 20 points in the last seven games are suddenly going to put up 20+?

    And the Lions, who just put 30+ on the 2nd ranked D in the league last year, will manage only 20 or less.

    Yeah… I don’t think so.

  5. Wouldn’t surprise me if the Vikings beat the Steelers, that defense is so good.

    I also think the Jags could beat Ten and Denver over the Cowboys as well.

  6. Upset of the week will be Eagles over Chiefs. The Chiefs offense will be going up against a very good Eagles defense, much better than the Patriots and the Eagles offense Is no joke with Wentz as the quarterback!

  7. The Titans we saw last week (or nobody saw, because people continue to think the Titans are still as good as last year despite proving absolutely nothing in the last 9 months) are the Titans that we will continue to see this season. Mike Mularkey has successfully brought the Titans back… to the mediocre days of the Jeff Fisher era. They really stunk it up during the preseason, and people wrote it off. Now they continued the stink in Week 1. Guess what, that’s who they are. The sample size is large enough for you to stop overrating them now.

    Jaguars 31
    Titans 20

  8. logicalvoice – The most pretentious fan on this website is already crying about the refs. Your team is no good and your QB Cousins will already be packed up and out of DC before the 12/31 week 17 game at the Giants. The future looks bleak. Take your medicine, son.

  9. Now, why did you have to go and jinx the Bengals? They just can’t beat the Texans even with TJ Yates as their QB.

  10. Packers will get beat by the Falcons.. Why, The Falcons WERE just in the Super Bowl remember? AND winning until the team went in at Halftime and drank the Koolaid and took their nap. The refs won’t take a TD away, and pull the best Corner on a Phantom play this week.

  11. “MDS’s take: It was only a few years ago that this was the best rivalry in football. Now the 49ers aren’t good enough to make anyone a rival.”

    Thank you for that. Hahaha

  12. Surprised that they both pick Dallas to win in Denver. I think Denver wins that game. I also think the Jaguars are going to keep it rolling against overrated media darling Tennessee.

  13. I do like how you guys now approve comments before they are posted. But god Lord could you not let through the political posts disguised (poorly) as football commentary? I don’t care if I agree or disagree with the comment, but there is enough politics out there to read. I come here to AVOID the “Trumpkkkins” or “Crooked Hillary” comments.

  14. I love how everyone is picking Green Bay and calling it an Upset.The line is Atlanta -2.5 in Atlanta,Which means Green Bay is actually the favorite in this game.

  15. Can we please ease up on the “this teams defense sucks or this teams offense is bad”. They have only played ONE game.

    You would think some of you just started watching football last week.

  16. lambeaudungbarn says:
    September 14, 2017 at 11:28 am
    Packers will get beat by the Falcons.. Why, The Falcons WERE just in the Super Bowl remember? AND winning until the team went in at Halftime and drank the Koolaid and took their nap. The refs won’t take a TD away, and pull the best Corner on a Phantom play this week.

    ///////

    Nice to see you got your Packer rant in before you actually posted about your own team.

    I can see the priorities are all nice and tidy!!!

    LOL

  17. I’m so happy Crooked Hillary failed spectacularly. 🙂 This country REALLY dodged a bullet there. And judging by her book sales – that is also failing spectacularly. Hilarious! It’s funny she lost despite cheating in the primary against Bernie and in spite of the hundreds and hundreds of thousands of illegal votes.

    Now Mr President it’s time to get going and do your job. We the People demand it. #LockHerUp and #BuildTheWall now!

    🙂

  18. Vikings at Steelers
    “These looked like two of the better teams in the league last week.”

    You can’t be serious… the Steelers barely beat the BROWNS and their rookie quarterback by 3 points. Their offense only managed 14 points in a game where NOBODY on Cleveland’s defense could cover AB. I’m even confident enough to suggest the Browns would’ve won that game had it not been for PIT’s ST blocking that punt for a touchdown before their offense even got on the field. After what the Browns did to Pittsburgh without perhaps their best pass rusher on the field, I can only imagine what that Minnesota defense is going to do against Pittsburgh.

  19. Packers didn’t actually look stellar in week 1 and the Falcons are @ home – Falcons

    Patriots defense got blown up bad, will be a good game.. They usually win after loses – Patriots

    Panthers defense is better than Bills offense even though Cam hands off much more now and looks as though he doesn’t throw as much – Panthers

    the Bears played surprisingly well week 1. Glennon played very well and RBs were pounding the rock… Bucs 1st game and the Bears 2nd – Bears win!

  20. funshipm174 says:
    September 14, 2017 at 12:02 pm
    I love how everyone is picking Green Bay and calling it an Upset.The line is Atlanta -2.5 in Atlanta,Which means Green Bay is actually the favorite in this game.
    &&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&LOL!
    I love how Packer fans think their team is Americas Team, I hate to say it ESPN pushes for Green Bay every chance they get, (with the Mystique and Title Town BS)…. The next few weeks will prove that without Ref help at home they are just an average team lucky enough to have an above average QB… I’d say great but he is no Brady, you know the guy that get it done in the playoffs when they are picked to win. Cough, Cough, sorry something stuck in my throat. OH Yeah, Laughter!

  21. I’m curious to see how we do in the Pittsburgh after the dominating performance.
    The Falcons have a much better offense than Seattle.
    Should be two great games.

  22. Vikings over Steelers
    Jags over Titans
    Redskins over Rams
    Falcons over Packers

    The Packers aren’t at home. So although they’ll still plenty of bogus calls in their favor they probably won’t be completely outcome altering calls like they’ve become accustomed to getting at Lambeau.

  23. Speaking as a Steeler fan, we don’t tend to lose at home to teams like the Vikings. We tend to lose on the road to teams like the Lions. Nothing against the Vikings, who I agree, look really good this year.

  24. Playing the Steelers at home is tough, but have you seen the Steelers defensive secondary? They aren’t any better than the Saints’. Maybe they can generate more pressure on Bradford than New Orleans did, but if the Steelers don’t play a heck of a lot better on both sides of the ball on Sunday, the Vikings will win by double digits.

  25. As good as Big Ben is- he will have a much more difficult time against the Vikings D compared to the Browns D.

    Let’s see Sam Bradford put together back-to-back impressive games. The Saint’s D was supposed to be improved- but it didn’t look that way. If the Vikings O-Line can give Sam enough time- he’ll make some plays. Most likely won’t be airing the ball out like Monday Night- but enough to keep moving the ball. Dalvin Cook needs to keep it rollin’. Good special teams on the road would be huge.

    The Vikings defense wins this one for them.

  26. My first reaction is how in the world do you think the Texans and Bengals will put up that many points?! Seriously did you not see their offenses in Week 1. I cannot see either team putting up more than 10 points total. This game defintely has a 6-3 feeling.

  27. The reason my Florio and MDS are picking the Packers is because the Pack has gotten more athletic and faster on DF. They cut CB Gunter (who has what, 1000 snaps of experience?) in favor of Hawkins who is much faster. Also, the play of Daniels and Perry against an O-line that was shaky against the Bears middling DF. Moreover the new O-coordinator’s play calling was, well…pedestrian last week. I get it.

    However, even if the Pack is faster and more stout on DF, I have to believe that the Falcons will be going deep A LOT as they open up the new stadium. I gotta think ATL: 27 Pack: 24.

  28. Grady Hansen says:
    September 14, 2017 at 3:56 pm
    Raiders -14
    Seahawks -13
    Broncos +2.5
    CLE/BAL Under 39
    PHI/KC Over 47
    MIN/PIT Under 44
    ——————-
    The under in the Browns Ravens game is the surest pick on this list.

  29. objectivefootballfan says:
    “Upset of the week will be Eagles over Chiefs. The Chiefs offense will be going up against a very good Eagles defense, much better than the Patriots and the Eagles offense Is no joke with Wentz as the quarterback!”

    I hope so but not too sure about that after the Darby injury. Rasul Douglas and/or Partrick Robinson might have longs days ahead of them in KC. UNLESS the DL can get to Alex quickly.
    love it to happen though

  30. I think the Packers will get home field advantage throughout the playoffs. That said, this game is a pick’em, because of the juice that comes with opening a new stadium. I mean…the Vikings and Seahawks have been pumping noise into their crowds for years, but the falcons won’t even need to this weekend.

    It will take some time to find a good flow for Atlanta on offense behind a new coordinator.

    Packers 27, Falcons 24. (But I wouldn’t be surprised at all if the scores were reversed)

    TJ Watt (really wish the Packers would have drafted him) should have another crazy good game, giving him the inside track to become DROY. Sam Bradford has struggled with consistency his whole career. So after his outstanding game last week, I’d expect an equally abysmal game coming up in the near future. This week?

    Steelers 23, Vikings 10.

  31. Maybe I’m wrong, but I have a gut feeling the Steelers/Vikings game is going to be a repeat of the Panthers/Vikings game of last year.
    You know . . . Shock the world. I also think the Bears have a better team than we think–those RBs are dynamite–and they should have won Week 1. Bucs better not be rusty.

  32. I stand by what I said this summer, teams don’t usually recover from blowing a lead in big games like ATL did. Also, they barely escaped the sorry Bears last week. Packers 35 Falcons 14

  33. lambeaudungbarn says:
    September 14, 2017 at 12:57 pm
    funshipm174 says:
    September 14, 2017 at 12:02 pm
    I love how everyone is picking Green Bay and calling it an Upset.The line is Atlanta -2.5 in Atlanta,Which means Green Bay is actually the favorite in this game.
    &&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&LOL!
    I love how Packer fans think their team is Americas Team, I hate to say it ESPN pushes for Green Bay every chance they get, (with the Mystique and Title Town BS)…. The next few weeks will prove that without Ref help at home they are just an average team lucky enough to have an above average QB… I’d say great but he is no Brady, you know the guy that get it done in the playoffs when they are picked to win. Cough, Cough, sorry something stuck in my throat. OH Yeah, Laughter!

    \\\\\\\\\\\

    Case in point of why this fanbase is looked at as delusional. The “mystique of Lambeau field” is in place because of the great history and tradition. It’s not some made up story like most viking fans on here try to portray. More drivel from a fan of a team that has done nothing and needs to try and justify their existence against great teams in this league.

    As for the Brady remarks,

    There is a lot of admiration and respect between Packer fans and Pats fans. I’ve watched games between these teams in both stadiums so I can attest to that. I can also tell you that as great as Brady is, which QB do you think any Pats fan would take if Brady retired tomorrow? Sammy Sleeves? Same for Packer fans. Brady is a winner, I’d take him at 45 if Rodgers wasn’t here.

    Learn to appreciate greatness instead of trying to justify your team by slamming the successful teams.

  34. milehighcityboss says:
    September 14, 2017 at 11:44 am
    Don’t sleep on the Broncos this Sunday…
    —————————————–
    Their D is up to it but the O isn’t, Dallas rolls.

  35. truetrue85 says:
    September 14, 2017 at 12:32 pm
    Vikings at Steelers
    “These looked like two of the better teams in the league last week.”
    You can’t be serious… the Steelers barely beat the BROWNS and their rookie quarterback by 3 points. Their offense only managed 14 points in a game where NOBODY on Cleveland’s defense could cover AB. I’m even confident enough to suggest the Browns would’ve won that game had it not been for PIT’s ST blocking that punt for a touchdown before their offense even got on the field. After what the Browns did to Pittsburgh without perhaps their best pass rusher on the field, I can only imagine what that Minnesota defense is going to do against Pittsburgh.
    **********************************************************************************************************************************

    You do realize that the majority of NFL games don’t play out like the ones from the previous week don’t you. Pittsburgh playing a divisional road game on opening day is a lot different than playing a non-conference team at home for their opening day. However the Vikings do match up well and I expect a close game. Would love to see my Vikes start out 2-0 but even at 1-1, if they were to lose to a non-conference opponent, doesn’t have any impact when it comes to the end of season tie-breakers.

  36. Coach John Harbaugh says:
    September 14, 2017 at 10:42 am

    Ravens 33
    Clowns 0

    ↑40 ↓120

    ^ ___________________________ ^

    Ravens better watch out, that Browns Defense is well coached, young, fast, & VERY good. The Browns are hungry to win football games, and after losing to the Steelers last week, they’re MAH!

    Baltimore is just the team to take the Brownies for granted and hand them a win. No-Emotion-Joe & his bad back will be scrambling for his life.. take Browns with the points.

    PS. Steelers fan here and I think the Browns will beat them straight up. Pitt was lucky to win last week.

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