PFT’s Week 10 picks

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A full nine weeks in, MDS is clinging to a five-game lead. We disagree on four games this weekend, which gives me a chance (albeit slim) to cut the margin to one.

As always, scroll along to find out what we think about the various games.

As always, don’t wager anything of value on what we think.

Seahawks at Cardinals

MDS’s take: The Cardinals played better than I was expecting without Carson Palmer on Sunday, in large part because Adrian Peterson has been rejuvenated in Arizona. But I think the Seahawks’ defense should shut the Cardinals’ offense down.

MDS’s pick: Seahawks 20, Cardinals 7.

Florio’s take: Seahawks cornerback Richard Sherman has called short-week football a “poop fest.” If Seattle loses again, its season quickly could become a sh-t show.

Florio’s pick: Seahawks 20, Cardinals 17.


Packers at Bears

MDS’s take: It sounds crazy to pick the Bears against the Packers, but that’s only because we’re still not really accustomed to how bad the Packers are without Aaron Rodgers. Maybe we’ll be accustomed to it once the Bears win on Sunday.

MDS’s pick: Bears 24, Packers 17.

Florio’s take: Packers coach Mike McCarthy says there’s more than one way to win a game. Without one of the best quarterbacks to ever play the game, the Packers consistently have been finding the best way to lose — by allowing more points than they score.

Florio’s pick: Bears 17, Packers 14.


Browns at Lions

MDS’s take: I could see the Lions letting down a little bit on a short work week, but not quite enough to hand the Browns their first win.

MDS’s pick: Lions 20, Browns 16.

Florio’s take: Eleven days before Thanksgiving, the Lions feast on the NFL’s biggest turkey.

Florio’s pick: Lions 34, Browns 13.


Steelers at Colts

MDS’s take: The Colts have found ways to pull out wins, but they are not a good football team. They’d probably be better off losing and getting a higher draft pick, so maybe Colts fans will enjoy watching them lose big on Sunday.

MDS’s pick: Steelers 30, Colts 13.

Florio’s take: The Steelers have a tendency to step in a pothole when everything is going well, losing to a team they should beat. Emerging from a bye week, however, it would be a surprise if a Colts team that somehow has won three games would prevail for a fourth.

Florio’s pick: Steelers 24, Colts 10.


Chargers at Jaguars

MDS’s take: The Jaguars’ defense is cruising and should give Philip Rivers fits on Sunday. Pencil in league leader Calais Campbell for a couple more sacks.

MDS’s pick: Jaguars 21, Chargers 10.

Florio’s take: The Jags have a chance to move to 6-3, but it won’t be easy against a better than expected Chargers team, which will be bringing former Jags coach Gus Bradley back to town. Bradley knows the personnel well, and the Chargers surely have spent the last two weeks planning for a win that would provide a much-needed spark to start the second half of the season.

Florio’s pick: Chargers 24, Jaguars 21.


Saints at Bills

MDS’s take: The improvement of the Saints’ pass defense this season has been nothing short of remarkable. I think they’ll keep it going and New Orleans will win a defensive struggle.

MDS’s pick: Saints 17, Bills 14.

Florio’s take: The schedule gets tougher for the 6-2 Saints, and the 5-3 Bills can’t afford too many more losses. The extra time makes the difference for the Bills, whose head coach knows a thing or two about the Saints from his time in Carolina.

Florio’s pick: Bills 23, Saints 20.


Jets at Buccaneers

MDS’s take: It’s crazy to say it, but the Jets team that some saw going 0-16 is poised to be 5-5 through 10 games. I think they’ll win in Tampa on Sunday.

MDS’s pick: Jets 20, Buccaneers 17.

Florio’s take: The Jets have a 10-1 record all-time against the Buccaneers, who will be missing Jameis Winston (shoulder) and Mike Evans (suspension). The Bucs will have to wait four more years to eat another W in this series.

Florio’s pick: Jets 24, Buccaneers 17.


Vikings at Washington

MDS’s take: If both teams were at full strength I’d take Washington in this one, but I see the Vikings’ defensive front making life rough for Kirk Cousins behind a banged-up offensive line.

MDS’s pick: Vikings 21, Washington 16.

Florio’s take: Washington is better than 4-4, and the Vikings are worse than 6-2. It’s a correction Sunday in Maryland, and a loss by the visiting team moves Teddy Bridgewater another step toward returning.

Florio’s pick: Washington 23, Vikings 16.


Bengals at Titans

MDS’s take: I don’t think the Titans are as good as their 5-3 record looks, but they have a favorable schedule and a good chance of getting to the playoffs. Another win should be coming on Sunday.

MDS’s pick: Titans 24, Bengals 20.

Florio’s take: The Titans keep quietly surging toward a playoff berth, with defensive coordinator Dick LeBeau getting a crack at the team he once coached, four days before playing the team whose defense he expertly coordinated.

Florio’s pick: Titans 23, Bengals 13.


Texans at Rams

MDS’s take: If Deshaun Watson were playing, this would be a matchup of the NFL’s two most exciting offenses. With Tom Savage playing, it’s a Rams blowout.

MDS’s pick: Rams 31, Texans 10.

Florio’s take: Deshaun Watson vs. Jared Goff would have been a great game.

Florio’s pick: Rams 30, Texans 17.


Cowboys at Falcons

MDS’s take: The Falcons have been a major disappointment, and the schedule doesn’t get any easier. The Cowboys will be a tough matchup for them.

MDS’s pick: Cowboys 28, Falcons 20.

Florio’s take: If the Cowboys have Ezekiel Elliott, they’ll build a lead and hold it. If the Cowboys don’t have Ezekiel Elliott, the Falcons will build a lead and blow it.

Florio’s pick: Cowboys 24, Falcons 20.


Giants at 49ers

MDS’s take: This looks like one of the worst games of the year in the NFL. It’s interesting only for its implications on the top of next year’s draft. I see the 49ers winning, which is really losing in the draft order sweepstakes.

MDS’s pick: 49ers 15, Giants 12.

Florio’s take: The mighty have fallen, and they can’t get up. I’m tempted to pick a tie.

Florio’s pick: Giants 13, 49ers 10.


Patriots at Broncos

MDS’s take: I think the Broncos will play a lot better than they did in last week’s loss to the Eagles. Just not well enough to beat the Patriots.

MDS’s pick: Patriots 28, Broncos 24.

Florio’s take: Yes, the Patriots usually struggle in Denver. But that’s typically because the Broncos are pretty good. While their defense still is (but for the 51 points allowed at Philly), the offense is not.

Florio’s pick: Patriots 27, Broncos 17.


Dolphins at Panthers

MDS’s take: The Dolphins’ offense is struggling and the Panthers’ defense is playing well. Tough to see Miami winning on the road here.

MDS’s pick: Panthers 20, Dolphins 17.

Florio’s take: The Dolphins have entered the teeth of their schedule, and they’re going to get chewed up.

Florio’s pick: Panthers 30, Dolphins 20.

60 responses to “PFT’s Week 10 picks

  1. No way the Packers score that many points, unless their kicker has three legs. Hate on the Bears all you want – they still field a top 10 defense.

  2. Bills are a tough place to play and tough to beat at home… Saints putting on a show might just have the talent to get it done.. Saints win

    Jets are all over the place mid-season after a shocking beginning… The Bucs – well you know by now… Jets win

    Falcons have the talent but will Sark ever figure out how to use them to win effectively… Cowboys are no pushover team… Cowboys win

    Panthers play is hard to watch at times and at times makes you wander how they have a winning record… Dolphins just seem like they are lacking fire, passion, heart, something… Panthers win

  3. For as lame as this Colts squad is, go look at at how many games they probably should have won too (Bengals, Cardinals come to mind immediately)..
    There’s lot’s of bad/injured teams this year.

  4. Who had the brilliant idea of putting the Dolphins in primetime games for three weeks in a row? I’m getting tired of the Dolphins.

  5. I see the Vikings-Redskins game as 50-50 so it makes sense that you split on that one. I think the defense will play well so it will be up to the offense to keep up. The silver lining to a loss would be that it would likely hasten the emergence of Bridgewater as the starter.

  6. No way Redskins score more than 17 on Vikings defense. You forget Shurmur on offense and Zimmer’s defense will make Washington look awful. Vikings win big.

  7. “I see the Giants winning, which is really losing in the draft order sweepstakes.

    MDS’s pick: 49ers 15, Giants 12.”

    _______________________________

    Does not compute. Does not compute.

  8. Patriots 20 Broncos 16 this game will be much closer than people think due to Denver’s defense. However, the run game and some passing to Gronk and Amendola should be enough to get by the Broncos. My lock of the week has to be Steelers over the Colts 31 to 10 I’d love to see Brissett go off on the Steelers but unfortunately I don’t see it happening.

  9. 12444uggg says:
    November 9, 2017 at 10:35 am
    For as lame as this Colts squad is, go look at at how many games they probably should have won too (Bengals, Cardinals come to mind immediately)..
    There’s lot’s of bad/injured teams this year.

    3 point wins against the Browns and 49ers(0-16 combined) and a 6 point win against the Texans all could’ve been losses as easy as their 2 close losses could’ve been wins.

  10. When lousy Kirk Cousins is far and away the best QB stepping on the field over every QB on your depth chart, you know you have a serious problem. I’m suppose to believe the Redskins are going to lose to Case Keenum and an overrated defense who has played NOBODY when our defense is way better, gone into harsh conditions and won under REAL talent like Ryan Kerrigan and Josh Norman. Fake news/6-2 record. Not a Packers fan, an NFL fan telling you unless Tarkenton makes a comeback, Minnesota will always be irrelevant and a loser just like the Philadelphia Team. Redskins by at least 14.

  11. Damn. I was hoping the league would give the Bengals another bye week. Of course, they already said bye to the playoffs.

  12. The Vikings always suck in Washington, although if they win it will be entertaining as always to read the delusional fiction drafted by logicalvoice post-game.

  13. I don’t think there is much of a Gus Bradley effect in the Chargers-Jags game.

    There are a lot of key Jaguar players he never coached, like Leonard Fournette, Cam Robinson, Calaias Campbell, Barry Church and AJ Bouye.

    Not to mention players like Tashaun Gipson, Myles Jack, Dante Fowler, Chris Ivory and Blake Bortles that have played exponentially better since Bradley was fired as head coach.

  14. Starting to worry that the Patriots have no players left. Hogan out, Malcolm Brown not practicing, lost Hightower, McClellin not coming back. Cannon not practicing, Amendola limited, Rowe limited, Gilmore limited, Marsh limited.

    Worrisome, particularly going into 5 of 6 on the road. Not going to be an easy stretch.

  15. logicalvoicesays says:

    November 9, 2017 at 11:19 am

    When lousy Kirk Cousins is far and away the best QB stepping on the field over every QB on your depth chart, you know you have a serious problem. I’m suppose to believe the Redskins are going to lose to Case Keenum and an overrated defense who has played NOBODY when our defense is way better, gone into harsh conditions and won under REAL talent like Ryan Kerrigan and Josh Norman. Fake news/6-2 record. Not a Packers fan, an NFL fan telling you unless Tarkenton makes a comeback, Minnesota will always be irrelevant and a loser just like the Philadelphia Team. Redskins by at least 14.
    ======================================================

    Your O line is in shambles. That “overrated” #3 defense is going to feast on Cousins. You don’t have to believe a Case Keenum led team is going to beat your average Redskins, that’s fine. Just don’t be surprised when it happens. Your signature win is beating the Rams. Other than that you beat and up and down seattle (if not for 3 missed fg’s..you lose)team as well as an underperforming Raiders team…and squeaked by the 49ers. good for you.

    Your defense is “way better” is that why they are #18? You have no running game.

    You are high if you think the redskins win by 14. Of course, your screen name is a polar opposite of what you post, you never have been logical..ever

  16. BOY Packer fans get Grouchy when the Packers aren’t in 1st place!
    REALITY CHECK for the future because Rodgers isn’t going to be the same.

  17. I don’t think the Dolphins will win the game, but they match up well with the Panthers on defense. They have a strong D-line and fast LB’s who can chase after Cam and with McDonald coming back, that’s another dimension to defense because it allows Jones to play on the line more knowing they have a capable safety behind him, or vice versa. Not to mention that the Panther offense hasn’t exactly been lighting up the scoreboards either.

    Panthers win, but I wouldn’t be shocked if Miami pulls this one out.

  18. You are high if you think the redskins win by 14. Of course, your screen name is a polar opposite of what you post, you never have been logical..ever

    ——–
    Don’t engage that fool

  19. So Case has played against a defense that ranks:
    GB 25th
    Chi 8th
    Cle 9th
    Bucs 28th
    Balt 7th

    And he’ll now face:
    Wash 18th road
    Rams 16th home
    Det 21st road
    Atl 12th road
    Car 1st road

    And he’ll have a 4th ranked defense on his side.

    I would guess that the Vikings win at least 3 of the next 5 to put them at 9-4. It could get tight down the stretch but it’s not murderers row. That leaves three games at the end.

    Cin 6th home
    GB 25th road
    Chi 8th home

    10-6 or 11-5 should be good to win the division, but who knows. Injuries, bad days, and other things can all play a part.

  20. weepingjebus says:
    November 9, 2017 at 1:20 pm
    I predict Giants-Niners ends in a 12-12 tie after each team gives up 6 safeties.

    ———————————————————————————–

    Gutsy. I like it. Go for that prop bet!

  21. Florio is a funny guy.Minnesota is worse than 6-2? as Bill Parcells one said Florio you are what your record says you are .

  22. boisestatewhodat says:
    November 9, 2017 at 12:04 pm
    To all the falcon fans:

    28-3!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

    BLAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA!!!

    Never gets old!
    ________________________________________________________

    18-1!!!!!

    LMAO.

    Never gets old!

  23. logicalvoicesays says:
    November 9, 2017 at 11:19 am
    When lousy Kirk Cousins is far and away the best QB stepping on the field over every QB on your depth chart, you know you have a serious problem. I’m suppose to believe the Redskins are going to lose to Case Keenum and an overrated defense who has played NOBODY when our defense is way better, gone into harsh conditions and won under REAL talent like Ryan Kerrigan and Josh Norman. Fake news/6-2 record. Not a Packers fan, an NFL fan telling you unless Tarkenton makes a comeback, Minnesota will always be irrelevant and a loser just like the Philadelphia Team. Redskins by at least 14.

    _____________________________________________________________

    How much money do you have available to lose in a bet? I’ll take that line any day of the week.

  24. Now I am quite concerned. They both picked the Cowboys to lose last 2 weeks and of course the result was a win in each game. Now they are picking the Boys to win on the road in ATL. Not a good thing at all…Hope the Boys can pull it out.

  25. purpleguy says:
    November 9, 2017 at 11:53 am
    The Vikings always suck in Washington
    /////////
    The Redskins lead the series 13-12, including 7-6 at home. It’s almost like some of you don’t have the internet to find out facts before you post.

  26. All vikings fans be like: “Guys! Here’s our big chance! Throw as many punches as we can while the Packers are down. We have never won anything – This is our only shot! ”

    You will be punished you silly willies,

    toodlez

  27. but that’s only because we’re still not really accustomed to how bad the Packers are without Aaron Rodgers.
    ——
    Its going to be a VERY sobering reality for you and every cheesehead in America. The rest of the NFL, not so much because they already know the Green Bay Rodgers without Rodgers is simply another town lost in the middle of nowhere.

  28. Hey Harvyredman – FIVE Time Super Bowl Champions!!! That NEVER gets old!! Having the GOAT as our QB , that NEVER gets old!
    Living in the past – that gets old! By the way , whats the Giants record??? Only ONE win?? Keep living in the past!!
    Roger that!

  29. senxic says:
    November 9, 2017 at 2:46 pm
    All vikings fans be like: “Guys! Here’s our big chance! Throw as many punches as we can while the Packers are down. We have never won anything – This is our only shot! ”

    You will be punished you silly willies,

    toodlez
    —–
    And then, the keyboard warrior troll ended his make-believe story with, get this, toodlez.

    WITH A Z!

    And they wonder why the rest of the NFL laughs at them.

  30. contra74 says:
    November 9, 2017 at 3:35 pm
    senxic says:
    November 9, 2017 at 2:46 pm
    All vikings fans be like: “Guys! Here’s our big chance! Throw as many punches as we can while the Packers are down. We have never won anything – This is our only shot! ”

    You will be punished you silly willies,

    toodlez
    —–
    And then, the keyboard warrior troll ended his make-believe story with, get this, toodlez.

    WITH A Z!

    And they wonder why the rest of the NFL laughs at them.

    —————————————-

    I wish it was made up. However, judging from the constant GB dominance of latter years coupled with all the negative banter via viking trolls, it actually rings quite true.

    oh and toodlez.

  31. Vikings fans seem to have forgotten Case Keenum lost to the Lions 21st ranked defense (take rankings with a grain of salt) AT HOME. He could easily lose to Redskins on the road. Of course they should like the matchup of their D line against a banged up Washington O line but I have learned one thing about Kirk Cousins from afar, not being a Washington fan— he is a gamer, don’t underestimate him.

  32. As a long time(1984) Rams’ fan, I am just enjoying the ride from week to week. Not getting my hopes up yet, but it has been far, far too long to watch my team rival the Browns in ineptitude. Go Rams!!!

  33. nflfollower says:

    “…Of course they should like the matchup of their D line against a banged up Washington O line but I have learned one thing about Kirk Cousins from afar, not being a Washington fan— he is a gamer, don’t underestimate him.

    *******

    So is Keenum.

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