Patriots’ loss opens the door to the Jaguars earning a bye week

Getty Images

The biggest beneficiary of the Patriots’ loss to the Dolphins on Monday night may turn out to be the Jaguars.

It’s long been assumed that the Steelers and Patriots would own the two AFC first-round byes. The two teams meet on Sunday, with the winner the favorite to earn home-field advantage throughout the AFC playoffs.

But now that the Patriots have fallen to 10-3, they’re just a game ahead of the 9-4 Jaguars. If the Patriots lose to the Steelers they can finish no better than 12-4. If the Jaguars win out, they will also be 12-4. And the Jaguars would win the tiebreaker based on a better conference record.

The Jaguars also own the head-to-head tiebreaker over the Steelers, so they’re not out of the race for home-field advantage just yet.

Bottom line: The AFC is not the two-team race some have made it out to be. The Jacksonville Jaguars — yes, the Jacksonville Jaguars — are Super Bowl contenders.

88 responses to “Patriots’ loss opens the door to the Jaguars earning a bye week

  1. I think it would be spectacular if the jaguars won the super bowl….

    they have to be “the shield’s” worst nightmare at this point. honestly, how much money can they make selling jags super bowl merchandise?

    It won’t happen, but it would be hilarious.

  2. The jags look tough, but I just can’t pick Bortles over TB, Ben, Rivers…heck even Alex Smith in the playoffs

  3. .
    Jaguars remaining schedule:

    Houston
    @49ers
    @Tennessee
    .
    .
    Patriots remaining schedule:

    @Pittsburgh
    Buffalo
    Jets

    Both teams should be favored in all six games. However, there’s a few trap games left.
    .

  4. Lol. Funny. The Jags aren’t even gonna win their division. They’ll get blasted by the titans like they did earlier in the season. I think you forgot, Tennessee control they’re own destiny, they win out, they win the division.

  5. Jags may get a bye but they are not “super bowl contenders” based purely on who is under center for them.

  6. rageviral says:

    December 12, 2017 at 10:18 am

    Lol. Funny. The Jags aren’t even gonna win their division. They’ll get blasted by the titans like they did earlier in the season. I think you forgot, Tennessee control they’re own destiny, they win out, they win the division.

    ___________________________________________

    I think you forgot you have Marcus Mariota at QB.

    10 TDs

    14 INTs

  7. I think you forgot you have Marcus Mariota at QB.

    10 TDs

    14 INTs

    I think you forgot the Jags have Bortles. You don’t need his stats to know he sucks. Besides, tennessee only needs a half good performance against them. Just give the ball to Henry and he’ll stiff arm his way through their whole defense. Ramsey is already shaking at the prospect of meeting him one on one again.

  8. I think we can safely count the Jags out of getting the #1 seed:

    If the Pats beat the Steelers then the Jags would need the pats to lose to either the bills or jets AND the Steelers to lose to either the Texans or Browns

    If the Steelers beat the pats the Jags would need the Steelers to lose to BOTh the Texans and Browns.

    And in both cases they need to win their last 3 games.

  9. rageviral says:
    December 12, 2017 at 10:18 am

    Lol. Funny. The Jags aren’t even gonna win their division. They’ll get blasted by the titans like they did earlier in the season. I think you forgot, Tennessee control they’re own destiny, they win out, they win the division.
    ——————————————————-
    I’m a Titans fan, and you are insane. The Titans aren’t blasting anyone, especially not teams with good defenses. Week 2 is completely different than Week 17. The Titans have lost all motivation and ability to win, and the Jaguars are on fire.

  10. Tom Coughlin has done a fantastic job turning that franchise around. Giants made a huge mistake letting him go.

  11. rageviral says:

    December 12, 2017 at 10:33 am

    I think you forgot you have Marcus Mariota at QB.

    10 TDs

    14 INTs

    “I think you forgot the Jags have Bortles. You don’t need his stats to know he sucks. Besides, tennessee only needs a half good performance against them. Just give the ball to Henry and he’ll stiff arm his way through their whole defense. Ramsey is already shaking at the prospect of meeting him one on one again.””

    The great thing is, we’ll find out wont we. And Ramsey aint scared of anyone I can assure you.

  12. The jags look tough, but I just can’t pick Bortles over TB, Ben, Rivers…heck even Alex Smith in the playoffs
    ——————————————–
    I guess that I don’t need to remind you that two seasons ago the Broncos won a SB with a QB that couldn’t throw the ball more than 10 yards without risking an interception. Compared to that Bortles is a solid QB. If the road to the SB doesn’t go through Foxborough then the Patriots will have a difficult time. Lately all the trips to the SB by New England have gone through their home field.

  13. Tom Coughlin has done a fantastic job turning that franchise around. Giants made a huge mistake letting him go.

    Nice to see a humbled Pat’s troll for a change….like fresh air on a cold morning in Virginia.

  14. The Pats are a great franchise and have earn every “home-field-throughout” playoff scenario that they have been in. It helps to play in a Div where none of the other teams can offer a challenge for the Div title.
    However, I would like to see how they fare on the road in the playoffs.

  15. Go Jags!! I wonder if Mara, the snake, is sorely regretting booting Coughlin so unceremoniously?? He should, as he looks at his 2 win team, but Coughlin had way too much integrity, to fit in with the Giants’ organization 🙂 Much respect for TC!!! You go, Sir!!

  16. tajuara says:
    December 12, 2017 at 10:44 am
    The jags look tough, but I just can’t pick Bortles over TB, Ben, Rivers…heck even Alex Smith in the playoffs
    ——————————————–
    I guess that I don’t need to remind you that two seasons ago the Broncos won a SB with a QB that couldn’t throw the ball more than 10 yards without risking an interception. Compared to that Bortles is a solid QB. If the road to the SB doesn’t go through Foxborough then the Patriots will have a difficult time. Lately all the trips to the SB by New England have gone through their home field

    ———-

    That’s what the Bronco fans believed only to watch their team fall apart after that QB retired. The Jags are fool’s gold with Bortles.

  17. Jags D will definitely give Brady trouble if they end up playing one another in the playoffs and if that happens it is anyone’s game. First the Pats have to get past Pitt. That is not going to be an easy task either. If the Pats have to go on the road in the playoffs it will be tough sledding especially if they do not get a 1st round bye.
    Officiating once again last night was horrible for BOTH teams. When is that clown Roger going to do something about that????

  18. The Pats would love nothing more than to be the 3 seed, which makes them an underdog. That way they blow out a crappy wildcard team, crush the Jags in second round, and meet the Steelers in the AFC Championship. Nobody believes in the Jags as a Super Bowl team for the same reason nobody believes in the Vikings or Rams: Their QBs have no playoff experience. Bortles, Goff, and Keenum don’t inspire much confidence, especailly if the opposing QB’s are playoff veterans like Brady, Roethlisberger, Wilson, or even Newton.

  19. Big Ben, Tom Brady, the GOAT, and wait for this….Blake Bortles….lmao. I think Jags are the 3 seed and ‘one and done’ with their below the line QB.

  20. Remember in August when Barry Church said this team could go to the Super Bowl? Everyone laughed, especially after watching them in the pre-season. I doubt teams are laughing now. That defense is legit and if Bortles can just make a few plays and keep them in the game they are going to be a tough out. They don’t need him to win games. They only need him to not lose the game by throwing INTs. If he can play like he did last Sunday they are going to be a tough out.

    However, let’s not forget how this team is like Jekyll and Hyde. They blew out the Steelers and Ravens but they have also lost to the Jets and Cardinals (Blaine Gabbert) and struggled against the Browns. They are still learning how to win but they have made great strides this year under Marrone.

  21. Jags could play the 07 giants card in the playoffs of great defense, and have the QB do just enough to win. Yes I know bortles isn’t good, but again if the jags defense is 75% of the ravens in 2000 it isn’t crazy.

  22. rageviral says:
    December 12, 2017 at 10:33 am
    I think you forgot you have Marcus Mariota at QB.

    10 TDs

    14 INTs

    I think you forgot the Jags have Bortles. You don’t need his stats to know he sucks. Besides, tennessee only needs a half good performance against them. Just give the ball to Henry and he’ll stiff arm his way through their whole defense. Ramsey is already shaking at the prospect of meeting him one on one again

    ///////////////

    Bortles 16 TD 8 INT.
    His stats are better than Mariota

  23. Not sure why people are sleeping on the Jags, I am not. After the Jags came into Heinz field and embarrassed my Steelers, they are the one team I don’t want to face again in the playoffs. Yes, Bortles is an Avg. QB but people forget how many teams have won the Superbowl with Avg. QBs. The Bucs did it, so did the Ravens back in 2000. If you have a great defense and running game, then you can minimize the impact of the QB.

    Right now, that Jag’s defense is a dangerous bunch.

  24. lastwordonpft says:

    December 12, 2017 at 11:47 am

    TWO WORDS: Blake, Bortles
    _____________

    TWO WORDS: Has, improved

  25. Jags offense is starting to come around, defense is elite. Perfect recipie for a championship! They would destroy the patriots if they meet in the playoffs. Brady can’t handle pass rush and good corners.

  26. Boy, do they miss Edelman

    ***

    To an extent, yes, but no gronk is massive as he opens up the offense.

    They can live without ONE of gronk/edelman, not both.

  27. After the Seattle game, the Jags will be one and done anyway! No way in hell they can beat the Pats or chiefs.

  28. You B. Crazy says:
    December 12, 2017 at 11:18 am
    …especailly if the opposing QB’s are playoff veterans like Brady, Roethlisberger, Wilson, or even Newton.

    FWIW, Our D has already embarrassed two of the 4. 8 INTs.

  29. ravensrule52 says:
    December 12, 2017 at 11:45 am

    new England will lose the bye week and face Baltimore in the wild card round which will be the end of cry brady season
    —————-

    Oh yeah? Did Harbaugh crack open the rule book?

  30. If Mara had been smart he would have made Coughlin his GM. Coughlin would have done it, he didn’t want to leave the Giants.

  31. cheek2vegas says:

    The jags look tough, but I just can’t pick Bortles over TB, Ben, Rivers…heck even Alex Smith in the playoffs
    =========================================================

    You seem to forget it’s a team game.

  32. eramming says:
    December 12, 2017 at 10:28 am
    They lost to Blaine Gabbert! Contenders don’t lose to guys like that.
    ………………………….
    And the Pats just lost to….Jay Cutler

  33. The lack of respect shown to the Jaguars is shocking to me. Sure, sure “Blake Bortles lol,” is an easy take, but as long as he’s not throwing interceptions, the Jaguars are not bad at all. They have some impressive wins this season.

    I’m a Steelers fan, but I believe in the Jags more than I believe in the Steelers at this point. If you look at differentials, and ignore the headlines, the Steelers aren’t any better than the Baltimore Ravens.

  34. Bortles 16 TD 8 INT.
    His stats are better than Mariota

    Tennessee: 17 rushing touchdowns. He doesnt need to throw touchdowns. Especially against Jacksonville.

  35. On the Jags. The steelers know what to expect and will take them seriously.The pats however wont and seem to forget who the Jags mastermind is behind the scenes who derailed their perfect season. keep laughing.

  36. Jaguars are an interesting team. Great defense, great run game, great special teams, and an average quarterback. Pundits hate them for their hard nose style, but honestly I think it’s nice to see Coughlin doing some good work. The Patriots have an interesting next couple of weeks they need to win against the Steelers this week otherwise they are in danger of losing their bye week status. I wouldn’t be surprised to see Patriots vs Jaguars in the divisional round.

  37. patsfan4lifesbchamps says:
    December 12, 2017 at 11:11 am
    tajuara says:
    December 12, 2017 at 10:44 am
    The jags look tough, but I just can’t pick Bortles over TB, Ben, Rivers…heck even Alex Smith in the playoffs
    ——————————————–
    I guess that I don’t need to remind you that two seasons ago the Broncos won a SB with a QB that couldn’t throw the ball more than 10 yards without risking an interception. Compared to that Bortles is a solid QB. If the road to the SB doesn’t go through Foxborough then the Patriots will have a difficult time. Lately all the trips to the SB by New England have gone through their home field

    ———-

    That’s what the Bronco fans believed only to watch their team fall apart after that QB retired. The Jags are fool’s gold with Bortles.

    Wait until BB retires. It won’t matter when TB12 retires but when BB does, the fall is going to be epic.

  38. patsfan4lifesbchamps says:

    That’s what the Bronco fans believed only to watch their team fall apart after that QB retired. The Jags are fool’s gold with Bortles.

    ====================

    You mean the QB who missed half the year and was outperformed significantly by Brock Osweiller? That was a defensive juggernaut, unquestionably so.

  39. willycents says:
    December 12, 2017 at 12:23 pm
    Interesting stat: The Patriots have never won a SB when they had to go on the road during the playoffs.

    ———-

    Not true. The went on the road and beat the Steelers on Jan. 27, 2002 and beat the Steelers 24-17 when they won their first SB.

    They then went on the road and beat the Steelers 41-27 on Jan. 23, 2005 on route to their 3rs SB.

    You know it’s really easy to find this stuff on the internet….

  40. willycents says:
    December 12, 2017 at 12:23 pm
    Interesting stat: The Patriots have never won a SB when they had to go on the road during the playoffs.

    FAKE NEWS!!!
    Patriots won the 2001 & 2004 Super Bowls after having traveled to Pittsburgh for AFC Championship games……but who likes it when facts get in the way!

  41. Once and for all:

    There is NO SUCH THING as a “TRAP” game in the NFL!
    I’d almost guarantee that is not a term any coach or player would ever use.

  42. Jags have to win their last 3 games. They certainly can, but it’s no guarantee given they play the Titans in their last week and an improved SF with Garoppolo could maybe make a dent too (doubtful though).

    One loss will give the loser of the Patriots Steelers game too much room.

  43. smokim says:
    December 12, 2017 at 1:18 pm
    On the Jags. The steelers know what to expect and will take them seriously.The pats however wont and seem to forget who the Jags mastermind is behind the scenes who derailed their perfect season. keep laughing.

    —————

    I don’t think the Patriots take any team lightly, particularly if they were to meet in the playoffs. If Jax squeezes out the second seed, there’s a good chance they would see NE in their first game.

  44. bjwbrown2011 says:
    December 12, 2017 at 10:35 am
    I think we can safely count the Jags out of getting the #1 seed:
    If the Pats beat the Steelers then the Jags would need the pats to lose to either the bills or jets AND the Steelers to lose to either the Texans or Browns
    If the Steelers beat the pats the Jags would need the Steelers to lose to BOTh the Texans and Browns.
    And in both cases they need to win their last 3 games.

    ————-

    Agreed. Patriots or Steelers will take the first seed.

    Jax has a legit chance at the second seed, but their best chance is for the Steelers to beat the Patriots then they would most likely play the Patriots in their first game at home. Although if the Ravens make the 6th seed and the Patriots have to play them, you never know. That’s a grudge match.

    Hoping the Patriots can take care of business this week.

  45. patsfan1820 says:
    December 12, 2017 at 1:29 pm
    Jaguars are an interesting team. Great defense, great run game, great special teams, and an average quarterback. Pundits hate them for their hard nose style, but honestly I think it’s nice to see Coughlin doing some good work. The Patriots have an interesting next couple of weeks they need to win against the Steelers this week otherwise they are in danger of losing their bye week status. I wouldn’t be surprised to see Patriots vs Jaguars in the divisional round.

    ———–

    Pundits don’t hate them for their hardnosed style. Pundits don’t hate them at all.

  46. Goodell’s plan is coming true! Ladies and Gentlemen, we have parity and London should now welcome the London Jaguars!

    Expansion is underway!

    lmao

    I had this nailed years ago.

  47. dubzito says:
    December 12, 2017 at 10:09 am
    I think it would be spectacular if the jaguars won the super bowl….
    they have to be “the shield’s” worst nightmare at this point. honestly, how much money can they make selling jags super bowl merchandise?
    It won’t happen, but it would be hilarious.

    ———-

    People used to say that about the Patriots.

    Winning changes everything.

    The biggest problem for the Jags is going to be that the last few teams left in the playoffs will all stop the run. They are going to make Bortles beat them.

    Inevitably there comes a time in every playoff run when it’s on the QB.

  48. dougchillin says:
    December 12, 2017 at 10:08 am
    Jags have made great strides but in my opinion it is still a two team race. Jags will fizzle in the playoffs.

    90 122 Rate This

    ————–

    Not if Goodell continues to cheat. I called this. Watch their games…The lack of a suspension from any of the Hawks of Jags players on Sunday is a tell to this…Goodell so badly wants this team in the playoffs and to make a run, he’s willing to do anything to make it happen.

    Get it?

    If Jax not only makes the playoffs, but somehow miraculously wins a game or evgen gets to a Super Bowl, it shows that there is parity and that parity can be used to make investors feel really good about having a team in London.

    I’ve been onto Goodell’s cheating for years and years…….

  49. eramming says:
    December 12, 2017 at 10:28 am
    They lost to Blaine Gabbert! Contenders don’t lose to guys like that.
    ———–

    Pats lost to Jay Cutler!
    Steelers lost to Mitch Trubisky!

    We can play this game all day long

  50. Pats do not want to see Jags pass rush in the playoffs, there’s a reason they dominated the Steelers in Pittsburgh. I still think we can win in Pittsburgh, but TB looked 40 plus for the first time last night. The hits are taking their toll, line needs to step up quickly or we’re in some trouble.

  51. That just goes to the laziness of sports writers. Granted the Patriots’ weak schedule suggests that they would be in the running for that bye and HFA, while the Steelers looked like they were the only other strong team in the AFC after KC’s collapse, but the Jags are for real. Whether or not they get a bye doesn’t change the fact that defense could beat anyone right now – and Bortles isn’t ruining their chances to win.

  52. rageviral says:
    December 12, 2017 at 1:12 pm
    Bortles 16 TD 8 INT.
    His stats are better than Mariota

    Tennessee: 17 rushing touchdowns. He doesnt need to throw touchdowns. Especially against Jacksonville.

    ////////////////

    I’m not understanding your point
    Tennessee 17 rushing TD, ten passing TD, total 27 TDS
    Jacksonville 13 rushing TD, 16 passing TD, total 29 TDS
    Jacksonville is 11th in total offense, 2nd in total defense
    Tennessee is 21st total offense and 9th in total defense.

    Anything else I can help you with?

  53. nhpats says:
    December 12, 2017 at 1:49 pm
    willycents says:
    December 12, 2017 at 12:23 pm
    Interesting stat: The Patriots have never won a SB when they had to go on the road during the playoffs.

    ———-

    Not true. The went on the road and beat the Steelers on Jan. 27, 2002 and beat the Steelers 24-17 when they won their first SB.

    They then went on the road and beat the Steelers 41-27 on Jan. 23, 2005 on route to their 3rs SB.

    You know it’s really easy to find this stuff on the internet….

    /////////////////

    I think he was talking about the packers. Do you know any packer fan that can look that up for me?

  54. It just occurred to me that the more interesting implication of the Pats loss to Miami is, assuming that the Pats beat the Steelers this week (as a Steelers fan I’m willing to concede that this is a safe assumption) that both the Steelers and Pats will still be playing for positioning in week 17. Presumably both teams will have the same record and the Pats won’t be able to concede a game without potentially losing the #1 seed.

    This is bad news for Browns fans hoping to get a win against a Pittsburgh team resting their starters.

  55. If the Patriots lose to the Steelers, seems pretty likely the Jags get the first-round bye, given who they play the last 3 games – Houston, at SF, at Ten.

  56. reddzen says:

    December 12, 2017 at 4:05 pm

    That just goes to the laziness of sports writers. Granted the Patriots’ weak schedule suggests that they would be in the running for that bye and HFA, while the Steelers looked like they were the only other strong team in the AFC after KC’s collapse, but the Jags are for real. Whether or not they get a bye doesn’t change the fact that defense could beat anyone right now – and Bortles isn’t ruining their chances to win.

    ===========

    Pats are again playing a 1st place schedule. AFC East is tied for 2nd in div. wins while playing the best div. in the NFL this year, the NFC South. Pats went 3-1 against the NFC South (ie best div. in NFL this yr). Not a “weak” schedule by any means.

  57. 6ball says:
    “..Patriots remaining schedule:
    @Pittsburgh

    Both teams should be favored in all six games….”

    After seeing the performances by both these teams this last weekend, I wouldn’t be so sure.

  58. tylawspick6 says:
    December 12, 2017 at 3:04 pm
    dougchillin says:
    December 12, 2017 at 10:08 am
    Jags have made great strides but in my opinion it is still a two team race. Jags will fizzle in the playoffs.

    90 122 Rate This

    ————–

    Not if Goodell continues to cheat. I called this. Watch their games…The lack of a suspension from any of the Hawks of Jags players on Sunday is a tell to this…Goodell so badly wants this team in the playoffs and to make a run, he’s willing to do anything to make it happen.

    Get it?

    If Jax not only makes the playoffs, but somehow miraculously wins a game or evgen gets to a Super Bowl, it shows that there is parity and that parity can be used to make investors feel really good about having a team in London.

    I’ve been onto Goodell’s cheating for years and years…

    //////////////////

    I agree with you 100%. Goodell put the Jags on a grassy knoll in Texas.

  59. I want the Jacksonville Jaguars to go all the way because I think it’s about time we get some fresh blood in the playoffs. I’m so tired of seeing the Patriots or Steelers make it every single damn year.

  60. Lol Jags are finally playing ball (including Bortles) because they know that Tom Coughlin will banish them from the team faster than you can say “New York Giants!” hahaha

  61. darkneptune73 says:
    December 12, 2017 at 6:52 pm
    I want the Jacksonville Jaguars to go all the way because I think it’s about time we get some fresh blood in the playoffs. I’m so tired of seeing the Patriots or Steelers make it every single damn year.

    1 0 Rate This

    ————————-

    you are the exact nfl customer goodell targets..you are why framegate I and framegate Ii exist

Leave a Reply

You must be logged in to leave a comment. Not a member? Register now!