Will Patriots opt for second-tier quarterback over top-flight options?

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Now that the Patriots have a pair of first-round picks and a pair of second-round picks in the 2018 draft, plenty of talk has emerged regarding the possibility of using that draft capital to make a move in round one, in an effort to acquire one of the top quarterbacks in the draft. Another approach makes more sense, and it meshes with the history and practices of coach Bill Belichick.

Peter King of SI.com said on PFT Live that the Patriots are more likely to take one of the second-tier quarterbacks, after the run has happened on guys like Josh Allen, Josh Rosen, Baker Mayfield, Sam Darnold, and Lamar Jackson. In a separate appearance on PFT Live, Tom Curran of NBC Sports Boston suggested the Belichick may be eyeballing Richmond quarterback Kyle Lauletta.

However it plays out, the Patriots need a young quarterback who can be groomed to take over for Tom Brady. The idea that Brady will play until he’s 45 very well may be aimed at avoiding a farewell tour, with Brady instead simply walking away without advance warning or fanfare after 2018 or 2019, for example.

The conclusion to his Tom vs. Time series has prompted increased speculation that the end is near for Brady. The Patriots need to be ready for it, while also being ready to compete in 2018. Using one of their five picks in the first three rounds could make more sense than giving up draft capital to get one of the top options in the draft.

32 responses to “Will Patriots opt for second-tier quarterback over top-flight options?

  1. …likely to take one of the second-tier quarterbacks, after the run has happened on guys like Josh Allen, Josh Rosen, Baker Mayfield, Sam Darnold, and Lamar Jackson…

    Editors note: Lamar Jackson was incorrectly slotted in with the top-tier quarterbacks. His draft grade is that of a sixth round pick.

  2. Lots of good 2nd tier (at the time) QBs came out of the 2nd round or later. Brees, Garapollo, Brady, Russell Wilson, Romo was UFA and many others. They’re out there. I’d search for a potential gem with one of the 2nd round picks.

  3. It’s looking more and more everyday like the Patriots traded the wrong QB. Not only we didn’t win the last SB after we were heavily favored to do so before the season, we have no QB succession plan in place. It’s a mess anyway you look at it.

  4. Belichick looks for analytical skills, work ethic, and devicivenwss harder than most coaches. Atheletic ability remains important but he puts a lot more weight on those other things. The truth is none of us know what the Patriots are going to do here. So many theories, so little knowledge.

  5. Second tier is in the eye of the beholder. PFF has Mayfield rated number one yet he is thought to be the fourth best QB prospect by the talking heads. Belichick values intelligence and dedication above physical gifts making Mike White, Kyle Lauletta and Mason Rudolph as legitimate prospects. White astounded Mike Mayock on camera at the Senior Bowl with his spontaneous knowledge of the QB read progressions on a play. Lauletta was MVP of the Senior Bowl. Rudolph is rated the fourth best QB statistically. I suspect Curren is correct and Lauletta will be the next QB picked by the Patriots who will also get an offensive tackle, edge rusher and possibly a tight end or maybe WR Sutton as a wide receiver. The Patriots will be fine.

  6. I would be shocked if they took a QB with either first round pick. I would be even more shocked if they traded up.

  7. I’m going to laugh when they get the 2nd best QB from this draft (Mason Rudolph) with their late 1st or early 2nd round pick, and their dynasty continues.

  8. I really hope Patriots fans know that Tom Brady was a 100% fluke and you will NEVER get that lucky again. You guys act like anybody Belichick drafts will be the next superstar. Sorry but it ain’t gonna happen. Count your blessings for what you had and get ready for a trip back to mediocrity.

  9. WHEN the Pats win their next Superbowl, or, IF they win another, Brady will retire post haste. Until then, he will play until he drops. As currently configured, if Brady goes out, the Pats will look like Green Bay after Rodgers went down.

  10. the hoodie would love rosen….watch them give up three 1s, and two 2s and two 3s in the 18 and 19 draft and jump up and take him….as a bills fan i’d be pissed….im tired of getting killed by NE each year my only small amount of optimism is brady is close to retirement..i hope

  11. The Pats won’t get a sniff, and everyone knows it, so what’s with this line of thought?

  12. patsfan4lifesbchamps says:

    April 4, 2018 at 12:20 pm

    It’s looking more and more everyday like the Patriots traded the wrong QB. Not only we didn’t win the last SB after we were heavily favored to do so before the season, we have no QB succession plan in place. It’s a mess anyway you look at it
    __________________________________________________________________________

    How long you been a Patriots fan? 15 years or more???

    Because they have been doing the right thing for the last 18 and before that well I have been a fan since 1968. and Brother… they were a mess back then….

    IN BILL WE TRUST A TRUE FANS KNOWS THIS>

  13. Old and busted: Brady is a noodle armed system QB who wouldn’t have started for any other team
    New hotness: the Patriots should basically close up shop when he retires because it was pure dumb luck you drafted him, trained him, stuck with him over Bledsoe, and never let anyone else have him

  14. Until you know how many years are left Belichick’s contract how can anyone know what the plans are for the draft. Does Bill draft for the future if he doesn’t plan on being around to see it?

  15. Pats really screwed the pooch by trading JG for peanunts. BB wanted to keep him and move Brady while he still had value. Kraft said no. Horrible decision.

  16. We get a first rounder PLUS for a receiver, but only got a second rounder for a franchise QB. The pats were over the barrel on the GARAP trade.

  17. patsfan4lifesbchamps says:
    April 4, 2018 at 12:20 pm
    It’s looking more and more everyday like the Patriots traded the wrong QB. Not only we didn’t win the last SB after we were heavily favored to do so before the season, we have no QB succession plan in place. It’s a mess anyway you look at it.

    —-

    I don’t disagree with the need for a QB success plan. In fact it surprises me that they really don’t have one. Brian Hoyer is not it. But I caution against Pats homers’ hubris when it comes to Brady. You can be heavily favored to do anything before the season, doesn’t mean that is going to happen during the season. And while I agree Brady had a drop off towards the end of the regular season, he did throw have a pretty good Super Bowl so I wouldn’t wrap that loss around him. Do I think he’s there until he is 45? No, I think the end is near, but the sky is hardly falling in Boston either – and I am the furthest thing from a Patriots fan.

  18. mclennon99 says:
    April 4, 2018 at 12:33 pm

    I really hope Patriots fans know that Tom Brady was a 100% fluke and you will NEVER get that lucky again.

    =============

    Sure, it’s unlikely, but “NEVER”? They already drafted Garoppolo, who looks ultra-promising and would probably have been a great Brady successor if he wanted to be. And even though it’s uncommon, history does show us the likes of Montana-Young & Favre-Rodgers.

    One thing to keep in mind is that, unlike before, the Pats are now looking for a starting QB. Not that you want to ever draft a weak QB, but everyone they considered before was primarily there to back up Brady. Now, the hunt is genuinely on for their next starter. No way Brady outlasts yet another draftee, and I think Belichick and everyone else knows that. How will that affect who they pick? We’ll see.

  19. The Pats need new playmakers,on both sides of the ball. They haven’t had a pass rusher since trading Jones to Arizona. They especially need a starting LT. Wide receiver needs to be addressed also. QB isn’t an emergency right now. If anything, the Pats should trade down to acquire more picks.

  20. weepingjebus says:
    April 4, 2018 at 12:56 pm

    Old and busted: Brady is a noodle armed system QB who wouldn’t have started for any other team
    New hotness: the Patriots should basically close up shop when he retires because it was pure dumb luck you drafted him, trained him, stuck with him over Bledsoe, and never let anyone else have him
    ————————————————————————–
    I’m not a Pat’s fan but Brady had over 500 yards passing in the Super Bowl. Your comment makes you look foolish. Brady threw for over 4500 yards and had 32 tds to 8 ints last season. He would start for most teams.

  21. Mason Rudolph will be the pick at #31 unless the Saints select him. He is severely underrated. Never seen a 3 and a half year starter with such a high TD-Int ratio, such low Int rate, a career 63% completion rate and who carried his team to consecutive top 15 finishes while beating some of the best defenses in the nation in bowl games, be so completely overlooked in the draft process. Turn on the tape against Virginia Tech and Colorado, thats a starting NFL QB playing for OKSU. Rudolph has the accuracy, decision making, quick release that every team should covet. He isn’t sexy, he’s closer to being a 6’5 statue than a Carson Wentz, but from the pocket, I would argue that only Mayfield has been better over the last 2 years in College.

  22. All the top tier quarterbacks to me look like Matts Barkley and Leinart, RGIII, Bradford, Sanchez, Paxton Lynch, etc., etc. And since when does BB trade up in the first round for a qb?

  23. amaf21 says:

    April 4, 2018 at 12:40 pm

    What does WEEI have to say on the matter?

    WEEI is not available for comment…….they are all suspended or off the air for sensitivity training!! lol!!

  24. xnflplaya says:
    Until you know how many years are left Belichick’s contract how can anyone know what the plans are for the draft. Does Bill draft for the future if he doesn’t plan on being around to see it?
    ==================================================
    Lets help you……

    How long is Belichick gonna keep on coaching ?

    Don Shula 328 career wins
    Bill Belichick currently 278 career wins

    Any clearer ‘xnflplaya’ ?

  25. We talk about first-tier and second-tier QB’s, but who’s putting together the categories? In 6 or7 years we’ll look back and be able to put them in order. I wouldn’t be surprised if Luke Falk ends up having the best career. If we didn’t know Tom Brady, and he was in this draft class, we’d have him listed as a second or third-tier guy. Keep that in mind. Playing QB in the NFL doesn’t have a lot to do with physical stuff. It’s what goes on between the ears. Watch Brady, and then watch these college guys. Luke Falk looks the most like Brady. Also keep in mind that an injury to Drew Bledsoe is what allowed Brady to get on the field. A lot of times the guys that get drafted later never get a chance to play on Sunday, and end up getting cut before they get a chance to play. The guys that go early will get multiple chances.

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