2009 Mock Draft 3.0, Part One

1.  Detroit Lions:  Eugene Monroe, tackle, Virginia.
Several weeks after our most recent mock draft, our opinion hasn’t changed.  The Lions need to go with the position that has the lowest failure rate, and that’s left tackle.
It’s just their luck that there are several elite tackles from which to choose.  So count on the Lions, when judged by hindsight, picking the wrong one.
2.  St. Louis Rams:  Jason Smith, tackle, Baylor.
The offensive line has been terrible, and it got worse with Orlando Pace being released.  Good left tackles in their 20s are found only in one place — the top of the draft.  Because once they land on a team, that team doesn’t let them go.
3.  Kansas City Chiefs:  Aaron Curry, linebacker, Wake Forest.
We think the Chiefs would love to move back and stockpile picks, and could pull it off if someone wants to beat the Seahawks to the first quarterback off the board.
If the Chiefs can’t move out, Curry makes the most sense.
4.  Seattle Seahawks:  Mark Sanchez, quarterback, USC.
As the draft gets closer, the notion of the Seahawks going for a quarterback is only getting stronger.
5.  Cleveland Browns:  Aaron Maybin, linebacker/defensive end, Penn State.
With Brian Orakpo possibly becoming this year’s Vernon Gholston, coach Eric Mangini will address an area of need with a guy who has fewer questions marks.  He could become a stud as a 3-4 outside linebacker.
But if they trade Braylon Edwards, look for the Browns to go receiver.
Either way, they might try to trade down and address either position.
6.  Cincinnati Bengals:  Andre Smith, tackle, Alabama.
The team’s middle-finger-to-the-world decision to give safe harbor to Tank Johnson is further evidence of the contrarian mindset that drives personnel decision-making processes in the Queen City.
If Smith is there, and he likely will be, then we think Smith will be the pick.
7.  Oakland Raiders:  Michael Crabtree, receiver, Texas Tech.
The Raiders supposedly showed mild interest in T.O. because they think that Crabtree will be on the board at No. 7.  Under this scenario, he is.
Then again, they might be secretly coveting another pass-catcher.
8.  Jacksonville Jaguars:  Jeremy Maclin, receiver, Missouri.
With Tra Thomas signed for three years, there’s no longer a pressing need for a left tackle.  So the Jags can instead focus on the position that has been a chronic weakness in Jacksonville for years.
We also don’t rule out a trade up to No. 6 — the Jags could steal Crabtree from the Raiders and the Bengals could still get Smith, at a lower price and with an extra pick or two arising from the transaction.
Or it could be that the Raiders are putting out smoke signals that the want Crabtree so that the Jags won’t jump to No. 6 in order to get Maclin before Oakland can squat on his rights.
9.  Green Bay Packers:  Brian Orakpo, linebacker/defensive end, Texas.
The Packers need personnel for their switch to a 3-4 front.
Despite concerns that Orakpo is a workout warrior only, the Packers will be more willing to take a chance than the Browns — especially at a lower salary slot.
10.  San Francisco 49ers:  Matthew Stafford, Georgia.
We’ll call this one a hunch.  Maybe, just maybe, the Niners are pretending to shun Stafford based on the overblown story regarding the question he was asked by a psychologist at the Combine relating to his parents’ divorce.
If so, then they’re brilliant.
And it would be the first brilliant thing they’ve done in a while.
11.  Buffalo Bills:  Robert Ayers, defensive end, Tennessee.
With the offense improving, the Bills need to beef up the defense.  They can address needs at linebacker and defensive back in the later rounds.
12.  Denver Broncos:  Malcolm Jenkins, defensive back, Ohio State.
Now that new coach Josh McDaniels has run off the leader of the offense, he can lay the foundation for ditching the cornerstone of the defense.
13.  Washington Redskins:  Michael Oher, tackle, Mississippi.
It’ll be interesting to see whether the Redskins toy with taking Josh Freeman if, as in this simulation, he’s still on the board.  In the end, look for them to address a bigger area of need.
Maybe.
14.  New Orleans Saints:  B.J. Raji, defensive tackle, Boston College.
A mini-slide by Raji, which could get worse if his name actually shows up on the positive drug test list from the Combine, gives the Saints a chance to build their own Williams Wall in the middle of the defensive line, pairing Raji with 2008 first rounder Sedrick Ellis.
15.  Houston Texans: Brian Cushing, linebacker, USC.
The recent influx of free-agent linebackers strikes us as a way to throw other teams off the scent about their interest in Cushing.
16.  San Diego Chargers:  Knowshon Moreno, running back, Georgia.
LaDainian Tomlinson or Darren Sproles — or both — have only one more year with the team.  Enter Moreno, who could make the fans quickly forget about L.T.

72 responses to “2009 Mock Draft 3.0, Part One

  1. Monroe should be better than Jason Smith. Remember Brandon Albert? He couldn’t beat out Monroe at Virginia so he’s probably the safer of the two picks.
    Although I’ll agree with Charlie Casserly & Ozzie Newsome when they say LT Andre Smith is the best tackle in this draft. Both were quoted as saying “at the end up the day you put the tape in and it doesn’t lie.”
    I do like and hope you are right about Crabtree ending up in Silver & Black!

  2. No way Raji makes it to 14 – Remember Warren Sapp? People let him slide and kicked themselves for years.

  3. why would the hawks take sanchez over stafford? monroe over smith? maybin that high?

  4. “The team’s middle-finger-to-the-world decision to give safe harbor to Tank Johnson is further evidence of the contrarian mindset that drives personnel decision-making processes in the Queen City.””
    ..l..
    My middle finger to Florio for being nothing but a glorified TMZ for the NFL. Hey Mike, you’re the Perez Hilton of the NFL set. Congratulations.

  5. i love how these mocks just randomly stop. at least go out on a limb and try to pick something, you can really only suggest the first ten or fifteen picks? use your imagination, at least. the first few are the most obvious and easiest to predict anyways, its the back half that takes some skill and research!

  6. I understand you all received an incredible Mock Draft (complete with player nicknames) entitled “Mock 2.0 Vegas Hand Job” perhaps you should share that gold with the PFT Planet OR if need be I’ll just release it myself.

  7. Where the hell is the rest of the league ?
    What happened – Are we down to 16 teams ?
    Who had first pick in the dispersal draft ?
    ANSWERS FLORIO – GIVE ME SOME ANSWERS !
    I knew the recession was bad but not this bad.
    Oh well, no more pats …..

  8. “Enter Moreno, who could make the fans quickly forget about L.T.”
    Impossible. Even if Moreno turns out to be as good as LT, we’ll never forget Tomlinson.

  9. The more teams interested in quarterbacks the better. Hopefully some team gets enamored enough with one of them to trade into the first pick. Unfortunately for the Leos, Jerry Jones has already been fleeced out of the Cowboys first round pick, and he only owns one team.
    The Lions are going to be picking high for the next few years, so if they can’t dump the first pick they should seriously think about letting the clock run out on their pick to save some skrilla. Slide back into the draft and pick the last one who is available between Monroe, J. Smith or A. Curry. For the sanity of all us Detroiters who have suffered through the Millen era, don’t waste the first pick on a quarterback!

  10. Actually not bad Florio.
    Although I do see Maybin as more of a 4-3 end (right now)(I’m a PSU guy), I think in time he could become a really good rush LB. I always thought Orakpo to the Browns, but another Gholston would be catastrophic for Mangini. Good point, and I haven’t seen that been made anywhere else.

  11. Be honest now, these are just to screw with people, right? I mean, realistic enough that fans could believe there might be half a thought behind it, but so mind-numbingly off-base that we continue to read and comment? Monroe over Smith? Just cause? Sanchez over Stafford (ok, I could see that… maybe)? Robert Ayers ahead of Brown and Jackson? And Malcolm Jenkins out of spite to Champ Bailey and no other real reason? I mean, the position of most need for the Broncos has to be DT, so… a corner who might be so slow he’ll play safey. And of course Houston would sign 2 LBs to make everyone think they don’t want Cushing. June and Davis are a smoke screen! HAHA! Brilliant.
    I just vomitted a bit in my mouth. Just because these things are an exercise in futility doesn’t mean you have to be an ass about it.

  12. Smith isn’t a definite at the top of the OT charts on all teams drafts… even if the internet disagrees.

  13. Go Browns!!!!! Oh…never mind this is a mock draft. What are the odds the “Dawgs” take…..a dump on the five spot and soil the carpet on draft day.?

  14. This is by far the worsty mock draft i have ever seen. Like i have trouble keeping myself from laughing.
    The Broncos would never pass on Raji, the seahawks would take Stafford, Maybin, are u kidding, i also doubt Monroe will go before Smith(Jason).

  15. I think the Browns would be foolish to take Maybin at #5. They’d be better off drafting a different position than reaching for a 3-4 OLB.

  16. Orakpo drops further down. Do you get the feeling everyone wants to trade down and no one wants to trade up in this draft? I can a see team trading out of the mid-late teens but forget it before the top 10. Maybe the Jets move up a little to get their future QB.

  17. I’d prefer that the Browns followed your pick and didn’t take Orakpo, if only because he seems injury-prone. We need not just some young guys, but some healthy young guys.
    I know this is supposed to be a weak quarterback class, but do you really think the Lions are going to go in with a chance of Culpepper starting again? Your pick of an OT would help them protect the ass of any veteran qb (Leftwich?) unfortunate enough to go there.

  18. BelieveInGreen — Do you know anything about the Seahawks? Jim Mora Jr. is the HC, he’s a west coast offense guy, as is Greg Knapp, their OC. In case you didn’t know, Sanchez fits the west coast offense perfectly, and is being considered the top QB prospect in this draft by about half the teams.
    Eugene Monroe is considered by many experts to be more NFL ready at LT than Jason Smith, with Jason Smith ultimately having greater potential.
    A lot of talk is going on about Maybin going fairly early…but I think it’d be a mistake, I think the Browns will take Crabtree.

  19. because some teams might like a guy more then others in the case of QB. As the reason he has them taking eugene monroe he says so because the lions always mess up picks. No real logic to it just throwing it out there more as a joke

  20. I think the Eagels should trade the 28th pick and Reggie Brown and move up to the #2 spot and take a K? That should save some money and show everyone how to manage a CAP like the GOLD STANDARD!!

  21. I think somebody is smoking too much crack. If Raji is available the Broncos will take him at 12.

  22. the ultra savvy Ted Thompson is going to risk taking this years version of V. Gholston?

  23. “The recent influx of free-agent linebackers strikes us as a way to throw other teams off the scent about their interest in Cushing.”
    They must be really interested in Cushing since they were one of 2 teams to not make an appearance at USC’s Pro Day. And now addressing a need on defense is a away to draft a prospect? WTF?

  24. For all you smart people thinking they forgot about 16 teams…read the title again and notice the “PART ONE”

  25. I am NOT a Sanchez fan at all, way too high for him. I can think of other needs for Dan Diego besides a RB.I don’t see Raji slipping that much.

  26. —6. Cincinnati Bengals: Andre Smith, tackle, Alabama.
    The team’s middle-finger-to-the-world decision to give safe harbor to Tank Johnson is further evidence of the contrarian mindset that drives personnel decision-making processes in the Queen City.—
    I don’t mind the pick because after college season he was considered the best player in the draft..but can you give the whole character risk thing a brake now using andre smith is another weak attempt for a few chuckles.

  27. Your mock draft makes some sense. I too think that Matthew Stafford will slip down to Seattle…and that the Lions and Rams will take offensive lineman. Big uglies are usually “safe” picks. Plus, who wants to deal with Stafford’s agent, Tom Condon…and pay the ludicrous $35-$40 million in guaranteed money that it would take to get a deal done? Both Smith and Monroe would come much cheaper.
    In fact, I wouldn’t be surprised if Stafford falls even further. Matt Ryan, though selected 3rd overall last year, received far more guaranteed money than any other prospect ($34 million). Fortunately for Atlanta, Ryan panned out. But, what if he didn’t? Does anybody reading this post believe that Stafford or Sanchez are anywhere near as good a prospect as Ryan was?
    Curry may drop as well. Why? Because does everything well…but is not known for his pass-rushing capabilities.
    It wouldn’t surprise me if the Chiefs took WR Crabtree at #3, who coach Haley may see as the next Larry Fitzgerald. If that happens, and Seattle follows by taking a QB, Curry could plummet because Cleveland needs a pass-rusher, Cincinnati needs OL and WR help, the Raiders will go either DT or WR, Jacksonville also needs OL or WR…and could also go QB, Green Bay wants a pass-rusher, SF also wants a pass-rusher and OL help. So, conceivably, Curry could fall out of the top 10…though he may carry the highest overall rating of any prospect.

  28. One thing that I don’t understand about this year’s mock drafts, is that noone is talking about the Chiefs drafting Crabtree if he’s available. I am not saying that this will happen, or that I think it should, but I find it odd that the ‘experts’ are overlooking the potential of Cassel throwing to Bowe and Crabtree. Cassel had excellent receivers last year, and new head coach had success with Fitzgerald and Boldin as bookend receivers. Gonzalez drawing the coverage in the middle of the field, and I think the Chiefs have a great offence. They address LT with Albert in last years draft.
    Chiefs don’t have a second round pick, and going defense with their only 1st day pick won’t drastically improve a horendeous defense. But one pick (Crabtree), can be the beginning of a potent offense. Just surprised no one is at least suggesting the possibility.

  29. Thompson didn’t come away looking real good taking Hawk at #5 so no way he takes a worse question-mark at LB with #9. Harrell (Thompson’s last 1st rounder) is on the verge of being a complete bust, so Ted will be ultra-cautious.
    I hope either Raji is there, or one of the OT’s falls to them. I don’t think it will be a linebacker in the first or the second. He (Thompson) likes what he has (I do too), and the Pack has a ton of LBs on the roster. It has got to be either the O or D line. It better be….
    I pray he trades down and takes the LSU DE or Peria Jerry, and picks up another 3rd or so. How about trading for a good NT? Cleveland might like our first for their disgruntled NT and a third? I think this draft is about 5-deep for sure-things, and the Pack ought to trade down. Only exception is if Crabtree falls and we’ll see if Thompson can show the stones to take the BPA while already LOADED at WR….

  30. I heard on the Dan Pattick Show that San Fransico and Matthew Stafford were on really bad terms, I can see Sanchez getting picked before Stafford if the Seahawks can get Sanchez as they have been courting him quite abit.

  31. To say that this mock draft is a travesty would be an insult to travesties. Every wicked and foolish act ever committed by Man through all the inglorious pages of History is now but a footnote to the vile abomination which we have witnessed this day. Stafford after Sanchez?!? SHAME.
    May God forgive you, Michael Bartholomew Florio. I can not.

  32. If that is the ploy the 49ers are using, it is anything but brilliant. Think about it from Stafford’s perspective: the 49ers, with their trashing of him, caused higher teams to pass on him. And that which cost him draft spots, cost him money. Millions, if each spot up there drops by 2 million guaranteed. So he’d be pissed twice over. How is that brilliant?

  33. this is the worst mock draft I’ve seen this season.
    Matthew Stafford still around with the #10 pick you must be f’n kidding. I mean seriously, this is a joke right?

  34. So, the Browns cut Joe Jurevicious, trade away K2 and now Drunken road rage Stallworth is looking at time in the klink, let alone NFL career suicide. And the Browns are NOT going to focus on a WR?
    It only makes sense to me, with Braylon’s stone hands and no offseason movement on Recievers (Royal? Come on), that the Browns focus on Crabtree or Maclin.
    Who is there Cribbs (he cannot do everything)? Steptoe (nope), Sanders (nope)….. There are NO WR’s in Cleveland. If Curry drops to 5th, they have to take him otherwise, they need to get a WR.
    Defensive players can be picked up in later rounds that are more producers than Wide Recievers, IMO.

  35. The picks you have at least have some thought behind them. Actually, I like the Tank Johnson move to Cincinnati. The Bengal’s defense is playing better but in the AFC North a team has to play great defense to have a winning record.
    GO STEELERS!

  36. If the Packers take Orapko, Florio, I will wash your Delorean. Oh yeah, go flour your nuts.

  37. Florio, keep spreading the Raji rumors. If you and SI.com say it enough, maybe it will drive Raji to drugs.

  38. I don’t think the Pack would take Orakpo at 9 with their new S&C coach so tough on “workout warriors”. Why not Jenkins? Or one of a dozen others, before Orakpo-with-all-those-doubts?

  39. Hey Forlio… Ur so stoopid. last time i checkd the nfl had 32 teams not 16 lol. how can ne1 take this for reals if you dont even list all the teams… what about my E-A-G-L-E-S u imgrate!!!
    (…hint of sarcasm in this post for the comment dummies)

  40. Can people shut up about the bengals signing players with character issues? Bengals “might” draft Andre Smith because he’s the best offensive tackle available, not because Bengals love player with horrible character issues.
    Plus, the Tank Johnson firestorm is just BS. He served his time in jail and suspensions two years ago. He played last year without getting into trouble. It would be one thing if the Bengals sign him if he got arrested two months ago but no.
    GET OVER IT

  41. Detroit is going to take Stafford with #1 pick… then trade #20 and 3rd rounder to Bills for OT Jason Peters and later pick. The Bills would love nothing more than to send Peters to one of the few teams in worst position than they are. No way they make his day by sending him to Philly… which is exactly what he’s dreaming of. Anyways, Bills will then take either Andre Smith or Michael Oher at #11 and then either Ayers, Matthews or Pettigrew at #20.

  42. the Browns will be clever. Clearly there are no guarantees, however they will draft the best player available and there is no way for them to trade downward realistically. Therefore, assuming he’s available, Curry will be their first pick and if not it’s a mortal lock that they will select Crabtree at 5. He is a wise choice. They have picks below him to spread the draft and fill in the needs for the defense.

  43. “djc1877 says:
    April 8th, 2009 at 12:43 am
    Detroit is going to take Stafford with #1 pick… then trade #20 and 3rd rounder to Bills for OT Jason Peters and later pick. The Bills would love nothing more than to send Peters to one of the few teams in worst position than they are. No way they make his day by sending him to Philly… which is exactly what he’s dreaming of. Anyways, Bills will then take either Andre Smith or Michael Oher at #11 and then either Ayers, Matthews or Pettigrew at #20.”
    They are more likely to trade the #20 pick and later pick to Cleveland for QB Derek Anderson, Cleveland’s first 2nd round pick (#36) rather than deal the pick to Buffalo for Peters.
    The Lions are more enamored with Anderson than they are with Peters.

  44. “Enter Moreno, who could make the fans quickly forget about L.T.”
    The West Virginia weed crop must have been a good one… Because your are so freakin’ high on this comment.

  45. The Raiders will grab Crabtree because they are stupid and dont know how to build a team…nothing bad against Crabtree though. I belive the Chargers will grab Percy Harvin, and Im sorry, but even though Swartz is a total defense guy…you need a quarterback, either stafford or sanchez(or trading down for another QB for more picks later–they need it!)….and then they will rack up defense picks after that.

  46. Packers will take Raji with this draft scenario.
    Possible Starting 7 in the 3-4?
    Starting Defensive Line:
    Jenkins-Raji-Pickett (Harrell or Kampman at R DE when they go 4-3)
    Starting LB:
    Kampman-Hawk-Barnett-Poppinga

  47. i thought the point of updates are to make the product better, not worse. cleveland getting maybin? the broncos getting jenkins? the chargers getting moreno? whats next? let me guess, the steelers picking up a FB with their 1st pick?
    news update: According to reports, Mike Florio has tested positive for shrooms and crack cocaine. It is believed that the massive amounts taken of the drugs could be the reason for the non-stop flow of irrational and ridiculous ideas that he is expressing.

  48. Pass rushing DE’s are hard to find.
    A DE that continually puts pressure
    on the QB can change the complexion
    of the game. Everett Brown should
    be a very high choice in this draft
    because that is exactly what he does.
    He is very capable of changing the
    game. He has a phenominal spin move
    and excellent quickness of the edge.
    He can make the QB move around in the
    pocket rather than set his feet. He
    can make a QB throw on the run which
    can be disastrous at times. Sacks are
    nice but quarterback hurries can
    create havoc on an offense. This is
    where Everett Brown is of high value
    and he show be a high selection.

  49. i love the decision with orakpo to the pack dont agree with moreno to chargers or sanchez to seattle niners will not end up with stafford saints will not pass up the chance at brian cushin a linebacker they desperatly need

  50. so what now there is only 16 teams in the league. come on dude. if your going to do something do it right. this draft is a teaser, and a sucky one at that.

  51. The idea that the Chargers would blow a first rounder on a running back seems bizarre to me.

  52. niemikw says:
    April 7th, 2009 at 8:44 pm
    The more teams interested in quarterbacks the better. Hopefully some team gets enamored enough with one of them to trade into the first pick. Unfortunately for the Leos, Jerry Jones has already been fleeced out of the Cowboys first round pick, and he only owns one team.
    The Lions are going to be picking high for the next few years, so if they can’t dump the first pick they should seriously think about letting the clock run out on their pick to save some skrilla. Slide back into the draft and pick the last one who is available between Monroe, J. Smith or A. Curry. For the sanity of all us Detroiters who have suffered through the Millen era, don’t waste the first pick on a quarterback!
    Yeah, that’s REAL ORIGINAL! At least admit that your taking the idea directlty from SI instead of pretending you have a clue.

  53. Seattle is not going to take Sanchez, a guy with ‘possible’ past character issues. I dont care if he’d be a great WC offense guy or not, the Seahawks dont take a guy who isnt going to make an immediate impact.

  54. maybe the q.b. is not the right corse with the first pick. wow look at miami. now detroit i’m not saying that brett farve will come back & help u like he did miami last year but u dont what acorns u find around that tree!!!!!!!!!!

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