Dre Kirkpatrick “dropping” on draft boards

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As the 2012 draft approaches, there’s increasing buzz that Alabama cornerback Dre Kirkpatrick is “dropping” on draft boards.

The truth is he isn’t dropping.  The truth is that he was already lower than the media believed.  Which, as more information trickles out about the actual content of draft boards, creates the impression that the player is dropping.

That dynamic remains one of the fundamental flaws with the pre-draft process.  Draft experts put guys higher than they really are, which unreasonably raises their expectations — and which in turn sets them up for a major letdown when the truth comes out.

So whenever you hear that a guy is rising or falling as the draft approaches, it rarely if ever means any team has changed its views on a player.  Instead, it means that the media’s assessment of the player was wrong, and that the true assessments are causing the media to now move a guy up, or to move a guy down.

25 responses to “Dre Kirkpatrick “dropping” on draft boards

  1. Spot on. Someone in the media willing to report it like it is.

    As a long time reader, thank you for making ESPN obsolete from February to August.

  2. Well said. You’re preaching to the choir.
    I try not to take the draftniks too seriously. If they really knew what they were talking about, some NFL team would be paying them millions to be a successful GM.

  3. But Mike, there are “insiders” in the media now, folks like Parcells, Polian, Casserly, etc., who can evaluate as well as the team personnel.

    And they’re now working for us, the public.

    Why shouldn’t that enable us (those of us who are attentive) to be on par w/ team personnel — at least as it relates to the draft’s early stages?

  4. good article. its about time the media admitted to what the smarter viewers already knew.

  5. A lot of this stuff is self manufactured drama from the talking heads. They want people to continually look at their mock drafts and moving people around is the only way to make it interesting. I always keep the mocks and look back on them after the draft. They do good to get even a quarter of the first round correct. Second round? Forget it!

    All bs.

  6. Wow I really like Kirkpatrick. He will most likely go in the first round but now im hoping hes there early in round 2 for Buffalo. We have a chance to really make our team alot better these next few days.

  7. Rising or falling, I think I’d rather have Kirkpatrick than Gilmore. Kirkpatrick has been a first round corner the whole time. Gilmore shot up draft boards without playing a down of football.

  8. There is ZERO chance that all 4 of these guys from the Alabama defense will be impact players…..at least one of them will be a bust, just don’t know who

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