In the 2012, the Colts had a choice — Stanford’s Andrew Luck or Baylor’s Heisman Trophy winner Robert Griffin III.
Washington was going to take the other one.
And with Griffin benched, it looks like this is shaping up like another Colts draft call — when they took Peyton Manning over Ryan Leaf.
But the numbers show that if the roles were reversed, RG3 might not be as big a disaster as he is now.
The website PredictionMachine.com ran 50,000 computer simulations which put Luck in Washington and Griffin in Indianapolis. The verdict’s hardly surprising.
“If Luck were the starter all season in Washington, the Redskins would be projected to win the NFC East with a 10-6 record. Indianapolis, with RG3 would finish second in the AFC South behind Houston with a projected 7.5 wins.
Luck would be projected to throw for 4,529 yards, 34 touchdowns and 16 interceptions in Jay Gruden’s offense. RG3, assuming a full healthy season, would be projected to throw for 2,994 yards, 20 touchdowns and nine interceptions as a Colt.”
Washington would probably have taken that kind of line out of Griffin, and he might not have been benched if he were playing that well.
We already know the Rams are glad to have traded with Washington, so there are at least two teams grateful for how this one has turned out.