PFT’s Week 16 picks

AP

For the second straight week, MDS and I agree on all 16 games. Which means that, for the second straight week, it’ll be impossible for me to close the two-game gap in the season-long competition.

Last week, we both got 13 of 16 games correct.

For the year, MDS is 145-79 (64.7 percent), and I’m at 143-81 (63.8 percent).

For all Week 16 picks, scroll.

Chargers at Raiders

MDS’s take: Charles Woodson’s last appearance in Oakland is the most interesting reason to watch this Christmas Eve game between two teams that are out of playoff contention. I think Woodson will go out a winner.

MDS’s pick: Raiders 24, Chargers 17.

Florio’s take: It could be the last NFL game in Oakland. It’s definitely the last home game for Charles Woodson. Advantage Raiders, which actually is an advantage for the Chargers, since a loss will help them land higher on the draft order.

Florio’s pick: Raiders 27, Chargers 20.

Washington at Eagles

MDS’s take: Washington can clinch the NFC East with a win, but I think the Eagles, with their backs against the wall, will come out with a surprisingly good game and keep the division competitive into Week 17.

MDS’s pick: Eagles 21, Washington 20.

Florio’s take: I apparently helped give Jay Gruden ammunition for motivation before the season by putting his team at No. 32. Here’s a little more motivation for Gruden’s gang.

Florio’s pick: Eagles 24, Washington 17.

Panthers at Falcons

MDS’s take: The Panthers should cruise to 15-0 and clinch home-field advantage throughout the NFC playoffs with a big win over a Falcons team that looks like it doesn’t have much gas left in the tank.

MDS’s pick: Panthers 24, Falcons 20.

Florio’s take: Carolina has outscored the Falcons 72-3 in the last two games between the two teams. Analysis: That’s not good.

Florio’s pick: Panthers 30, Falcons 13.

Cowboys at Bills

MDS’s take: Rex Ryan’s defense has been one of the biggest disappointments in the NFL this season, but with Kellen Moore making the first start of his young career, I figure the Bills should be able to bring enough pressure to shut the Cowboys down.

MDS’s pick: Bills 30, Cowboys 10.

Florio’s take: A Super Bowl rematch involving a pair of teams that have fallen on hard times, and that could benefit from losing now in order to win in April. Advantage Cowboys.

Florio’s pick: Bills 24, Cowboys 21.

49ers at Lions

MDS’s take: The Lions have been disappointing this season, but the 49ers have been disastrous. Neither team has anything to play for, but Detroit is playing at a higher level and should win comfortably.

MDS’s pick: Lions 28, 49ers 17.

Florio’s take: Four years ago, Jim Schwartz and Jim Harbaugh nearly came to blows after a game between these teams. Current coaches Jim Tomsula and Jim Caldwell aren’t quite as intense. Which could have something to do with the current status of both franchises.

Florio’s pick: Lions 27, 49ers 17.

Browns at Chiefs

MDS’s take: The Chiefs are playing some of the best football in the NFL right now and are going to be a tough team to beat in January. They won’t have any problem with the Browns.

MDS’s pick: Chiefs 35, Browns 14.

Florio’s take: The Chiefs have won eight in a row. The Browns have managed to win at least eight games in a season only once since 2002.

Florio’s pick: Chiefs 30, Browns 17.

Colts at Dolphins

MDS’s take: Both of these teams looked pretty awful last week, but I have a feeling the Dolphins’ defense will play a little better this week against a beaten-up Colts offense, and Miami will win at home.

MDS’s pick: Dolphins 17, Colts 14.

Florio’s take: Chuck Pagano has been linked to the Dolphins’ coaching vacancy. After Sunday, maybe he won’t be.

Florio’s pick: Dolphins 23, Colts 13.

Giants at Vikings

MDS’s take: Depending on how the Philadelphia-Washington game goes, the Giants might not have anything to play for by kickoff on Sunday night. The Vikings, however, are still fighting for the NFC North title, and I think they’ll turn in a good game on both sides of the ball.

MDS’s pick: Vikings 31, Giants 17.

Florio’s take: The Giants have two great players and 51 who are average at best. And one of the great players has been suspended. And that pretty much sums this one up.

Florio’s pick: Vikings 27, Giants 17.

Jaguars at Saints

MDS’s take: Blake Bortles has showed some promise recently, and the Saints’ pass defense is terrible. I like Bortles to have a big game and the Jaguars to win in New Orleans.

MDS’s pick: Jaguars 28, Saints 24.

Florio’s take: The up-and-down Jaguars face the up-and-down Saints in a game that is relevant only to moving up and down in the draft order. Given the struggles the Saints are experiencing when trying to win with Drew Brees, it’s hard to imagine them winning without him.

Florio’s pick: Jaguars 27, Saints 20.

Patriots at Jets

MDS’s take: If the Jets can pull the upset, it turns the whole AFC playoff race on its ear. But I think the Patriots will win, and take a lot of the drama out of the playoff picture.

MDS’s pick: Patriots 21, Jets 17.

Florio’s take: To ensure they won’t have to risk a repeat of the 2010 divisional round in the 2015 postseason, the Patriots should do all they can to knock the Jets out of the playoffs now.

Florio’s pick: Patriots 34, Jets 20.

Bears at Buccaneers

MDS’s take: The Buccaneers have taken a step backward in the last couple of weeks, but I think Jameis Winston can put together a big game against the Bears’ defense, and the Bucs should win this one comfortably.

MDS’s pick: Buccanners 28, Bears 14.

Florio’s take: Lovie Smith gets a shot at his old team. More importantly, he continues to lay the foundation for future playoff runs in Tampa.

Florio’s pick: Buccaneers 20, Bears 10.

Texans at Titans

MDS’s take: Brandon Weeden vs. Zach Mettenberger isn’t exactly the kind of quarterback matchup the NFL wants to showcase, but the Texans are fighting for the AFC South crown and should win in Tennessee.

MDS’s pick: Texans 24, Titans 21.

Florio’s take: The Texans are trying to win the division. The Titans are hoping to secure the No. 1 pick in the draft.

Florio’s pick: Texans 20, Titans 9.

Packers at Cardinals

MDS’s take: This looks at first glance like the best game of the weekend, although the reality is that it probably won’t affect either team’s playoff position: The Cardinals will likely be the No. 2 seed win or lose, and the Packers’ seed will likely come down to next week’s game against the Vikings. I like the Cardinals simply because they’ve been a better team all season.

MDS’s pick: Cardinals 34, Packers 20.

Florio’s take: The Cardinals will have a hard time replacing Tyrann Mathieu. But they’re still good enough to outscore a Packers team that has been winning despite a spotty offense in recent weeks.

Florio’s pick: Cardinals 30, Packers 24.

Rams at Seahawks

MDS’s take: The Seahawks don’t have a lot to play for in the final two weeks of the season, as they’re locked into a wild-card berth. But they’re playing some of the best football in the league right now, and they should beat the Rams comfortably.

MDS’s pick: Seahawks 24, Rams 21.

Florio’s take: Both teams have changed a lot since Week One, when the Rams upset Seattle. It would be a major upset if the Rams complete the sweep.

Florio’s pick: Seahawks 34, Rams 20.

Steelers at Ravens

MDS’s take: This rivalry always seems to involve close games, but I can’t see this depleted Ravens team keeping up with the Steelers. Pittsburgh should win big.

MDS’s pick: Steelers 35, Ravens 13.

Florio’s take: If Ryan Mallett beats the Steelers . . . his alarm clock eventually will go off and he’ll wake up from that dream.

Florio’s pick: Steelers 33, Ravens 13.

Bengals at Broncos

MDS’s take: After a lot of lousy Monday night games, we get a great one to end the season, with a first-round bye likely at stake. I see the Broncos winning a close, low-scoring game.

MDS’s pick: Broncos 20, Bengals 17.

Florio’s take: A.J. McCarron is about to realize the difference between the San Francisco defense and the Denver defense.

Florio’s pick: Broncos 23, Bengals 20.

57 responses to “PFT’s Week 16 picks

  1. I have to disagree with 2 of your picks. I think the Colts will beat the Dolphins and I think the Redskins will beat the Eagles. The Eagles are just too disfuctional for my liking.

  2. The Cowboys will destroy the pitiful Bills, you can take it to the bank! ! Kellen Moore to the rescue! Cowboys 23 Bills 10. Tyron Taylor the turnover machine waiting to happen.

  3. Ya’ll just don’t realize what’s about to happen to ya’ll, do ya’ll? Cams the king of the jungle, and we been layin back in the tall grass just waitin for ya’ll to make ya’lls mistake. This year ya’ll made it, here we come! — sincerely, a panthers troll. #hasthereeverbeenone? .org

  4. 3 teams picked to win comfortably. I would be irritated to see such a lazy adverb used 3 times in a novel. In blurb form, it is grotesque.

    And I am curious how a 3 point win at home against a perennial loser would be “comfortable” for the Seahawks.

    I am really great at being lazy at work, but when I do it, only 40 people see it, and it doesn’t make me look incompetent.

  5. If you know that you can’t move up if you don’t pick other games, why wouldn’t you change them? Plus you’ve only picked 64% of the games right. I think my 2 year old could get a higher percentage of games right.

  6. Ok, HMMM, so you both picked Chicago over the Redskins-Wrong. You both picked the Bills over the Redskins-Wrong. Now you both pick the Eagles? Clearly you are prejudice against the Redskins name. Shame on you.

  7. The narrative and the scores don’t seem to match:

    Panthers should cruise to 15-0 . . . with a big win over a Falcons team. MDS’s pick: Panthers 24, Falcons 20.

    Seahawks . . . should beat the Rams comfortably. MDS’s pick: Seahawks 24, Rams 21.

    Broncos winning a close, low-scoring game. MDS’s pick: Broncos 20, Bengals 17.

    So a big win is by 4, a comfortable win is by 3 and a close game is by 3?

  8. Listen, we know you realize you made a mistake in vowing to not call the Redskins by their name. We know that you know that your biased articles have not swayed public opinion as you thought they would. We know the court ruling Tuesday shot down any hope you had of the name being changed, and we understand you’re embarrassed to write an article about it.

    So we will also understand if you just man up, be a professional and call them by their proper name, the Redskins. Because you just look silly.

  9. Yawn. You guys are lame. No upsets, no picking against the spread and no different picks just for kicks.

  10. Bronco season on the line and they rise to the occasion. Brock Lobster has a solid performance and DT plays like the star we know he is.

  11. Skins never get respect on here! If that was any other team playing the “LOST MY TEAM CHIP KELLY EAGLES” right now they would be favored… SMDH

  12. “Florio’s take: A.J. McCarron is about to realize the difference between the San Francisco defense and the Denver defense.”
    ——————————-

    of course you could also say Brock Osweiler is about to see the difference between the Steeler defense and the Bengal defense. Brock gets broke bad Monday. He doesn’t come out of there without at least two picks and several sacks.

  13. That’s right, Packers will be embarrass and lose this game big. Rodgers will start to run soon as the ball snaps bc he is that scared. Packers fans will say Rodgers is the worse qb to ever play the game. Lol

  14. Last time I check Rodgers got a passer rating of 0.00%. Now tell me who’s better? Bridgewater or Rodgers? No qb in the nfl has ever had that pathetic low rating like him. He’s declining no doubt and Packers will be one n done 100% in the playoff.

  15. Denver’s defense is about to realize that they will not be getting the same weak-as-hell but still good enough to beat the 49ers game plan.

  16. Florio’s take: The Texans are trying to win the division. The Titans are hoping to secure the No. 1 pick in the draft.

    Suck for Luck has become Tanking Titans. At least they don’t need a QB.

  17. abninf says:
    Dec 24, 2015 7:39 AM
    Listen, we know you realize you made a mistake in vowing to not call the Redskins by their name. We know that you know that your biased articles have not swayed public opinion as you thought they would. We know the court ruling Tuesday shot down any hope you had of the name being changed, and we understand you’re embarrassed to write an article about it.

    So we will also understand if you just man up, be a professional and call them by their proper name, the Redskins. Because you just look silly.
    ————–
    Honestly that’s one of the best posts I’ve seen. Time to man up and put your big boy pants on, PFT. You’ve lost the war.

  18. Congrats fellas on the season so far. Even with those high money lines for most of your picks, I’d have to guess you are still in the money. Maybe next year you should track the ML’s and see where you’d be $$ from week to week.

  19. That the Patriots can knock the Jets out of the playoffs with a win undoubtedly has the Goodell Parity Defense Squadron on high alert. Over/unders:

    Imaginary PI calls against Patriots defense: 4
    Plays Brady forced to spend off field in concussion protocol after being tackled by the leg: 11
    Offensive PI against Gronk’s for not letting his own arms be pinned during a catch: 3
    Inadvertent whistles to halt NE TDs: 2
    NE receptions called back when WR’s shadow goes out of bounds: 2
    Times Goodell calls Wells’ phone and hangs up without leaving a message: 5

  20. jim699 says:
    Dec 24, 2015 9:19 AM
    Vegas has Tennessee favored by 4.5 against the Texans. Does anybody know why?

    ____________

    2 words: Brandon Weedon

  21. They will be wrong on 4 or 5 games. That is based on their average on picking winners. Which games will they be? Nobody knows, but any team in the NFL can beat any other team in the NFL on any given Sunday.

  22. As a Packers fan, if the Packers play offense like they did last week against Oakland, they are going to get their butts handed to them to the tune of 24-10, with our defense keeping us within two scores of the Cardinals. However, if the Packers’ “good” offense decides shows up, the Pack will win in an upset. But I don’t see our offense showing up when they couldn’t do squat with first and goal at the 1 following an 8+ minute drive last week. The most maddening thing about this is that the Packers offense has the skill at the WR position (even without Nelson and Montgomery) to play much better than they have been playing. This has been a painful season to watch, with my Packers struggling to score against the Lions (at home), the Bears (at home), and the Panthers (until late in the game).

  23. Sadly I hope the skins win so that the division can be wrapped up and Odell’s suspension wasn’t the reason they didn’t have a chance week 17. If the Eagles lose then it was the other crappy losses earlier in the year that was the factor.

  24. peytonwantsaflag | Dec 24, 2015, 8:58 AM EST
    “Florio’s take: A.J. McCarron is about to realize the difference between the San Francisco defense and the Denver defense.”
    ——————————-

    of course you could also say Brock Osweiler is about to see the difference between the Steeler defense and the Bengal defense. Brock gets broke bad Monday. He doesn’t come out of there without at least two picks and several sacks.

    —————-

    Or…..he could have said the Bronco defense is about to find out that the Bengals offense is not the Steelers offense. McCarron gets broke bad Monday. No way he gets out of there without at least two picks and several sacks.

  25. EriktheRed1980 says:

    As a Packers fan, if the Packers play offense like they did last week against Oakland, they are going to get their butts handed to them to the tune of 24-10, with our defense keeping us within two scores of the Cardinals. However, if the Packers’ “good” offense decides shows up, the Pack will win in an upset. But I don’t see our offense showing up when they couldn’t do squat with first and goal at the 1 following an 8+ minute drive last week. The most maddening thing about this is that the Packers offense has the skill at the WR position (even without Nelson and Montgomery) to play much better than they have been playing. This has been a painful season to watch, with my Packers struggling to score against the Lions (at home), the Bears (at home), and the Panthers (until late in the game).

    —-

    A realistic Packer fan, now I’ve seen it all. Kudos.

  26. I’m not a Packer fan, and I think that this site’s power rankings list them at 4 for the past two weeks is idiotic… But I do feel like the upset is coming against the Cardinals this weekend. Definitely one of the more intriguing games this week.

  27. jim699 says:
    Dec 24, 2015 1:19 PM

    I’m not a Packer fan, and I think that this site’s power rankings list them at 4 for the past two weeks is idiotic
    —————————————————–
    I agree. 1 or 2 is more accurate.

  28. The Bills will get destroyed? By a 4-10 team? In Buffalo? If you want anyone to take you seriously, you should learn the Bills QB’s name. It’s Tyrod, not Tyron.

  29. Oh and you think Tyrod is a turnover machine? He has 5 INTs in 12 starts. You should try actually watching the NFL. But being a Cowboys fan, I can’t expect you to know too much.

  30. Baffled that you would both take the Bills after last week’s game and the storm that has followed, even their own starting safety said “we’re not going to win. We’re not good right now”.

    And I’m a Bills fan

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