Deadline for potential Kaepernick trade may now be set

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The NFL is a deadline-driven business. In some cases, however, it’s hard to determine when the deadline really is.

For the potential trade of 49ers quarterback Colin Kaepernick, the deadline is coming more and more into focus.

Mindi Bach of CSNBayArea.com reports that Kaepernick needs at least one more month to be football ready. Which means that Kaepernick should be ready to participate in Organized Team Activities, which start on May 17.

If, as many believe, the 49ers truly don’t want Kaepernick, they need to move him off the roster before he puts himself at risk of a season-ending injury (like the torn Achilles tendon suffered in an OTA session three years ago by former 49ers receiver Michael Crabtree). If he’s cleared to participate in OTAs as of May 17, that’s when the continuation of the three-way game of chicken between the 49ers, Kaepernick, and the Broncos becomes potentially much more expensive for the 49ers.

If the 49ers cut him before May 17, they’ll pay the balance of what he makes elsewhere in 2016 and his fully-guaranteed base salary of $11.9 million. If he suffers a season-ending injury during offseason workouts, the 49ers will pay the full $11.9 million.

That’s why the Broncos aren’t blinking. The Broncos know that, if the 49ers truly want to move on from Kaepernick (in whole or in part due to the fact that he wants to move on from the 49ers), the 49ers eventually will agree to pay a chunk of his salary in order to facilitate a trade. The only question is whether they’ll pay the full $4.9 million difference between what the Broncos want to pay and what Kaepernick is owed or whether they’ll pay some of it and Kaepernick will give up the rest.

Regardless of how it turns out, don’t expect the Broncos to blink. G.M. John Elway routinely takes a hard line in situations like this, and that new Lombardi Trophy in the lobby has become the ultimate validation of Elway’s approach.

Next, the question becomes whether the 49ers and/or Kaepernick will blink in the middle of May or before the draft, when any picks obtained from the Broncos would be used to make the team better not in 2017 but in 2016.

27 responses to “Deadline for potential Kaepernick trade may now be set

  1. If they were going to cut him they would have just paid the difference with the Broncos, so you can eliminate that scenario.

  2. Niners aren’t going to budge.
    1) Everyone knows the Niners will suck this year
    2) They have loads of cap room to carry Kap’s salary even if he got injured b/c they are unwilling to spend on free agents
    3) Denver has the greater pressure to win coming off a Super Bowl and losing both their QBs.

  3. Too bad its not the fins they’re dealing with. 49ers could have traded Kap, all of his contract & moved up in the draft!

  4. Kap has a strong relationship with his parents, and has already taken care of business in terms of lifetime financial security. No desperation moves will be forthcoming from his end.

  5. Kap holds the “hammer”: he gets paid no matter what. At some point, I’m betting SF & DEN figure out a number between 0 & $4.9M, most likely balanced by a draft pick. Denver has nothing else at QB, Sanchez is less than “nothing” until he proves otherwise. Come Draft Day, Denver will either have Kap, beg Manning to return or a year of “remember last year…”

  6. Why would the 9ers be on a hurry? They don’t have a championship defense looking to tepeat. Elway can’t keep them together forever and his ego already got the best of him with Brock. I hope Bellick trades for Kap and makes him a receiver just to spite Denver

  7. Sometime in August or September some team with a competent QB, and playoff aspirations, will lose their QB to injury. It almost always happens. Desperate for help, that team will trade for Kaep and gladly pay his current salary, maybe more.

  8. If this fairy tale has a shred of truth to it, then the Broncos could easily hold out for more than $4.9 million from the 49ers. That’s where all this fluff collapses under its own weight.

  9. They have over $60 million in cap space with Kaepernick on the roster. They don’t need the headache that this guy is causing.

    He could be Keyshawned like RG III for the year. They don’t need to cut him.

  10. Just curious…. Does it matter if Kaepernick is a happy camper? Say the 49ers do cut him, and Elway offers him a deal for 7-8 million, does Kaep come in with a bad attitude feeling devalued?

  11. I simply can’t see the 49ers cutting Kaepernick and getting nothing in return for nearly $12 million. If they were planning on dropping him, then getting a draft pick and having someone else pick up $7 million in salary would be a steal.

  12. If he is smart he will stand firm. The. Go to OTAs and ” have a neck injury” that gives him great pain which in no way shape or form, can be determined , relax, take the money and smile. Proud of the kid.

  13. Yes. Marshal Faulk approves of this message to those that may say Kap is sucking the system dry. if the owners can do it so can the smart players who have complete control over their situation.

  14. I’ve never seen such hype over a QB with such a record… WTFargo is going on here?

    Guess the Broncos should have considered the kid from MT a little bit more.

  15. Let everyone get this straight, the Broncos want to offer the 49ers a 4th rd pick they don’t have while the 49ers take on some of Kap’s salary. Is Elway smoking some of that legal weed? Why bother even making that pathetic offer. The 49ers have all the cap space is in the world and already have a truck load of 4th -6th rd picks. Meanwhile the Broncos have Mark Sanchez penciled in as starting QB. The 49ers hold on the cards here.

  16. Why on earth would he give back any money? Let the 9ers cut him take the $11.9 million, take the year off and get healthy. Then sign a multi-year deal with Cowboys in 2017.

  17. Daddeeo? After 7 games lol ur crazy ur talking about the next matt cassel probably. 4 37 mil guaranteed lol no thanks bet mark Sanchez will have better numbers then brock will this yr

  18. Why would they cut him still would have to pay his salary ….and if someone picked Jim up for less they still would have to pay remainder… He is not going anywhere…why is it said that the 9ers don’t want him because they said go find out what you are worth…then saying hey we really want you to stay so we know the bronco’s won’t pay you what you want and we will not pay difference cause hey we want you to stay so sorry you can’t make trade happen. Glad to have let you explore your options…

  19. The speculation on Kaepernick is getting ridiculous. The media assumes because the 49ers allowed him to seek a trade they don’t want him. But what they don’t get is that is they truly didn’t want him they would have cut him in March and paid almost nothing. To say that they don’t want him so therefore they will pay his difference or cut him and get nothing is just plain stupid. If they didn’t want him they would have cut him already the fact they didn’t cut him means they do want him here.

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