PFT’s Week Seven picks

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For the first time this year, I’m in the lead over MDS. And only MDS and I care about it.

After pulling off a 4-1 margin in the five games on which we disagreed, I’m now up by two games.

We disagree by two games this week. So maybe we’ll be tied next week at this time. Or maybe I’ll be doubling him up.

For the week, I was 11-4. MDS went 8-7. For the year, well, we’ll calculate those numbers when they aren’t as pathetic as they currently are.

Bears at Packers

MDS’s take: Packers quarterback Aaron Rodgers is playing the worst football of his career. Bears quarterback Brian Hoyer is actually playing pretty well. Could I see an upset? Not really. The Packers have been disappointing this season, but the Bears are among the worst teams in the NFL.

MDS’s pick: Packers 27, Bears 17.

Florio’s take: The Packers have a fever. And the only prescription is more cow-crap opponents.

Florio’s pick: Packers 30, Bears 17.

Giants at Rams

MDS’s take: With the Giants and Rams both at 3-3, this is one of the better games the NFL has sent to London, which usually hosts absolute dogs. I think the same Rams defense that allowed Golden Tate to get loose in the secondary last week is going to let Odell Beckham have a big game this week, and the Giants will win.

MDS’s pick: Giants 23, Rams 20.

Florio’s take: If/when the L.A. defense and Odell Beckham mix it up, even the English soccer hooligans may blush.

Florio’s pick: Rams 27, Giants 24.

Saints at Chiefs

MDS’s take: Last week’s win over the Raiders was a statement game for the Chiefs’ defense. They’ll keep it going with a better than expected day against Drew Brees & Co.

MDS’s pick: Chiefs 20, Saints 13.

Florio’s take: The Saints have turned it around, but it won’t be easy to win at Arrowhead Stadium. It never is.

Florio’s pick: Chiefs 30, Saints 24.

Colts at Titans

MDS’s take: As hard as it is to believe, the Titans have a real chance of winning the AFC South. Their running attack is going to be tough for the Colts to stop.

MDS’s pick: Titans 17, Colts 12.

Florio’s take: The Colts have beaten the Titans nine straight times and 14 of 15. Never bet on a streak to end, they say. I say all streaks eventually do.

 Florio’s pick: Titans 28, Colts 21.

Vikings at Eagles

MDS’s take: The Eagles got off to a great start this season, but they did it against a fairly easy schedule. Now the schedule is getting tougher, and the Eagles are struggling. It won’t get any easier against the stout Vikings defense.

MDS’s pick: Vikings 20, Eagles 10.

Florio’s take: Forget about Carson Wentz vs. the Vikings defense; Sam Bradford’s return to Philly is the headline here. And Jim Schwartz will have something cooked up for Bradford. It may not be enough — unless Bradford ends up knocked out of the game.

Florio’s pick: Vikings 24, Eagles 20.

Browns at Bengals

MDS’s take: The Browns will win a game at some point this season, and the Bengals haven’t been playing well, but I just can’t see it happening. Marvin Lewis will have his players ready to stop his old offensive coordinator Hue Jackson’s attack.

MDS’s pick: Bengals 20, Browns 7.

Florio’s take: Hue Jackson returns to Cincinnati, and don’t be shocked if this one is close. A loss for the Bengals could guarantee major changes after the season.

Florio’s pick: Bengals 34, Browns 20.

Washington at Lions

MDS’s take: This is pretty much a toss-up game, but I’ll say the Lions get a late field goal and win.

MDS’s pick: Lions 24, Washington 23.

Florio’s take: The Lions are celebrating the 25th anniversary of their last team that actually won a playoff game. That team was blown out by Washington in the NFC title game. The 2016 Lions get their chance to vindicate them.

Florio’s pick: Lions 23, Washington 17.

Raiders at Jaguars

MDS’s take: The Jaguars found a way to beat the Bears last week, and an easy schedule may make Jacksonville a contender in the AFC South. But I think the Jaguars’ offense is an absolute mess, and the Raiders should take this one in a low-scoring game.

MDS’s pick: Raiders 17, Jaguars 10.

Florio’s take: Based on the way the Raiders have been playing at 1:00 p.m. ET, maybe they should move from Oakland to Orlando.

Florio’s pick: Raiders 28, Jaguars 24.

Bills at Dolphins

MDS’s take: I was skeptical of Rex Ryan when he fired offensive coordinator Greg Roman after two games, but the results are the results: Ryan’s players are playing hard for him, the offense is improved, and the Bills have won four in a row. Buffalo will make it five in a row on Sunday.

MDS’s pick: Bills 28, Dolphins 20.

Florio’s take: The Bills are soaring, but the Dolphins have finally found a formula for winning. Let’s see if they can combine the ingredients properly for two straight weeks.

Florio’s pick: Bills 27, Dolphins 23.

Ravens at Jets

MDS’s take: The Jets look like the worst team in the NFL, with glaring weaknesses on both sides of the ball. Baltimore should dominate this game.

MDS’s pick: Ravens 31, Jets 13.

Florio’s take: John Harbaugh will spend the next three days praying no one else punches Geno Smith in the jaw.

Florio’s pick: Ravens 27, Jets 17.

Buccaneers at 49ers

MDS’s take: Neither of these teams is going anywhere, but I’ll say Colin Kaepernick makes some plays with his legs and gets his first win as the 49ers’ starter in more than a year.

MDS’s pick: 49ers 21, Buccaneers 20.

Florio’s take: The Bucs are rested, the 49ers are reeling — and the defense already is spent.

Florio’s pick: Buccaneers 24, 49ers 17.

Chargers at Falcons

MDS’s take: The Falcons’ passing game is outstanding, and I don’t think the Chargers’ secondary will be able to keep up.

MDS’s pick: Falcons 31, Chargers 20.

Florio’s take: The Chargers won’t have to worry about blowing a fourth-quarter lead in this one.

Florio’s pick: Falcons 34, Chargers 21.

Patriots at Steelers

MDS’s take: Timing is everything in the NFL. If these teams had med a few weeks ago and it was Jacoby Brissett vs. Ben Roethlisberger, I’d take the Steelers easily. But it’s Tom Brady vs. Landy Jones, so I’m taking the Patriots easily.

MDS’s pick: Patriots 31, Steelers 14.

Florio’s take: The team that scratched and clawed its way through four games without the starting quarterback now get a break when going to one of the few places where they could have lost.

Florio’s pick: Patriots 34, Steelers 20.

Seahawks at Cardinals

MDS’s take: The Cardinals are a much better team than they showed early this season, but the Seahawks’ defense is outstanding, and I think Carson Palmer is going to struggle on Sunday night.

MDS’s pick: Seahawks 20, Cardinals 14.

Florio’s take: The Cardinals have won two in a row against one-win teams. They still have a long way to go to become what they were last year. The Seahawks likewise aren’t quite what they were last year, but they’re closer than Arizona is.

Florio’s pick: Seahawks 30, Cardinals 23.

Texans at Broncos

MDS’s take: The Brock Osweiler Bowl could get ugly for the Texans’ quarterback, who is going to struggle mightily against his old team. Denver should dominate.

MDS’s pick: Broncos 23, Texans 10.

Florio’s take: The Broncos won’t kill Brock Osweiler literally, but they may help kill his career in Houston figuratively.

Florio’s pick: Broncos 31, Texans 17.

57 responses to “PFT’s Week Seven picks

  1. I’m surprised Mike Florio didn’t pick the Cowboys to lose during their bye week. Would have kept his streak of losing to the Cowboys going.

  2. Ravens/Jets will be one of the ugliest games of the weekend and possibly the season, especially if Flacco doesn’t play Sunday.

    Ravens 14
    Jets 9

  3. Oh good, they both picked Seattle to win, which ensures a result of:
    Cardinals 90, Seasquawks 13

    You can take it to the bankkkkkkkk!!!!

  4. 12coltsfan12 says:
    Oct 20, 2016 11:10 AM
    sure…….nearly every week you pick the Pats to win. never mind that nearly every week you’re right about it…😥

    ‘The race is not always to the swift, nor the battle to the strong, but that’s the way to bet.’

  5. If Rodgers, Cam, and Eli couldn’t hang 20 on the Vikings… I’m not counting on Wentz doing it especially with the Vikings coming off of a bye. I expect the rookie will have a very long day.

  6. “Baltimore should dominate this game.”

    They should, but given the recent o-line struggles, and Webb and Wright’s odd defensive tactic to let the receiver run past them with the ball and then attempt to run him down, I say the score will be closer than you think.

    Ravens 16
    Jets 10

  7. Love how you think the bucs are not going anywhere. Expectations from everyone is they would be 1-4 at this point, exceeded those. Have been without the entire defensive line and back up ends for the majority of the year as well as doug martin. They’re coming back and the schedule gets easier.

  8. If you could skip the Niners games all together that’d be great. We aren’t good enough to be in the NFL right now. And one of you picked them to actually win. Ugh. I need a drink.

  9. Oh good, they both picked Seattle to win, which ensures a result of:
    Cardinals 90, Seasquawks 13

    You can take it to the bankkkkkkkk!!!!

    Just like last time right?

  10. You guys stink at picking games. I do better picking with the spread. That’s what matters.

  11. “With the Giants and Rams both at 3-3, this is one of the better games the NFL has sent to London, which usually hosts absolute dogs.”

    My dog is offended by this comment.

  12. So, apparently the formula for winning is “Hope the opposing teams starter blows a knee and expect your RB to run for 200 yards on a already below-average rush defense that was missing some starters.” Well, it’s better than the age old adage “You only beat us ’cause he’s our third string QB.”

  13. After pulling off a 4-1 margin in the five games on which we disagreed, I’m now up by two games


    be careful, an official may throw a flag for excessive celebration

  14. Bucs went from playoff team to after week 1 on going no where after week 6? Please continue not to have faith in Tampa, that’s when they play the best! They come crashing back down to earth when there is expectations!

  15. And I’m sure Mike Zimmer will have something cooked up for Carson Wentz, Florio. Defensive mind against defensive mind. . . I choose Zimmer in a head-to-head.

  16. nobody liked the eagles vs the steelers either

    game will be won or lost by eagles defense, particularly the def line…and its ability to blow past the questionable minn off line and get to brittle, immobile bradford.

    the irony of the eagles knocking out bradford…after trading him to vikes…and after he was instrumental in vikes undefeated start…would be very sweet

  17. “Steelers 20 Pats 17.”

    I’m not writing off the Steelers like a lot of Pats fans and the media.

    They will play hard and just like the Pats, have very good offensive personnel that will give their backup QB a decent chance to win.

    And they always play hard against the Pats no matter what.

    That said I think the Pats will win a hard fought game. But it wouldn’t shock me if the Steelers found a way to win either.

  18. You guys are so wrong about the Houston Denver game. these teams are very even.
    The O-lines and linebackers will have a lot to say about who wins this game than all the talk about the quarterbacks, D-lines, and secondaries which are playing even at this point.
    Yes they beat a bad Indy team, but they were very banged up in that game and should be a lot healthier and riding that momentum.

  19. Seahawks own Arizona in their stadium in what is no doubt the worst state in the union and boy is that saying something.

    Only a matter of time until Bradford is done for the year and then Minnesota will have to bring back 4 yard pass Ponder.

    Unfortunately Speilman already mortgaged the future for Bradford but Ponder will only cost a cheeseburger and some used footballs.

  20. Mike Florio…

    You are supposed to go against the Bills, because every time you do they win. I look at your picks every week and cross my fingers that you don’t Bill-ieve.

    Well, as much as we all know your dislike for Rex Ryan, I think you caught the Bills fever… I should know, I’ve had the fever for twenty-seven years.

    So I am guessing the 4 game winning streak is going to come to a halt?

  21. “That said I think the Pats will win a hard fought game. But it wouldn’t shock me if the Steelers found a way to win either.”

    It probably wouldn’t be that much of a shock to some delusional steelers fans…..for the rest of us that would bet on the world ending tomorrow before the steelers won that game (many whether ben played or not)….yah, it would come as a huge shock.

  22. I’m not a Seahawks fan, but there is no way the Cardinals will beat the Seahawks on Sunday. Also, there is no way they can possibly fit the Cardinals into any more primetime games……

  23. Seattle’s offense hasn’t quite found its stride with the number of injuries, but they’ve pass protected fairly well. No one is running on them, and the pass rush is as good as its been since 2013. They’ll get a W on Sunday Night.

  24. Viking Fans will talk trash about how bad the Eagles are this week, then after they beat them they will talk them up and say how much of a quality opponent they are so they feel better about themselves.

  25. Texans lose to the two best teams in the league; Broncos lose to a good team (at home) and a very bad team in consecutive weeks, yet you are picking them to win. No way. Texans beat the Broncos easily.

  26. Titans/Colts. Yikes. The NFL needs to flex that game to a Wednesday morning in April or something…

  27. Bills by 15, and that will not be indicative of how well the Bills played.

    I think the Pats/Steelers game will be close. I’m sure Trip Tomlin has something afoot for the patsies.

  28. Toughest game to pick this week is Colts vs Titans. Both are so terrible. What ever one you pick, the other will win.

    Vikings should handle the Eagles. Bradford has gotten better every week. Wentz has gotten worse. Eagles defense is really good, but the Vikings defense is great.

    Patriots defense isn’t nearly as good as the fans think it is. Offense is tho. Pats should win close… Still horrible, horrible fans

  29. I can’t believe you both picked the Bills! Please stop doing that!! You’re going to mess it up for us!!!

    Don’t you remember: the Bills suck; Rex is a buffoon, there’s no superstars on the offense and the defense can’t stop anything. Spread it around…..

  30. This week is the Bills hardest test of the year. Here’s what they’re facing:

    * A Miami team that just pummeled the Steelers
    * Game is in the Miami heat and humidity
    * The NFLs 2nd leading rusher, LeSean McCoy is OUT
    * Starting WR Robert Woods may be out
    * Marcel Dareus is still out
    * Bills may be looking ahead to next week’s rematch with the Patriots

    This looked like a really easy win before they announced McCoy wasn’t playing.

    Now it’s just an easy win!
    Bills 34-10
    Ryan will keep them focused….Gillislee runs for 112…and the defense totally dominates Tannehill and shuts down Ajayi. Piece of cake!

  31. The Redskins vs the Detroit team will come down to which team sucked just a little less than the other team. If Reed was playing for the Redskins he would tear up the Detroit defense.

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