PFT’s Week Eight picks

The good news is that MDS and I both stayed on the right side of .500 last week. The bad news is that it we weren’t very far above.

With 15 Week Seven games, we each went 8-7, splitting the two games on which we disagreed. This week, we disagree on three games.

Hopefully, we’ll be more that slightly above .500.

And by the way I’m still up by two games on the season. Which is all that really matters to me.

Jaguars at Titans

MDS’s take: It’s the annual Thursday night Jaguars-Titans game. That’s sure to bolster the NFL’s ratings. The Titans are actually a better team than most people thought, and the Jaguars are worse.

MDS’s pick: Titans 28, Jaguars 13.

Florio’s take: With the Mr. Spock/Captain Kirk Color Rush debacle returning on Thursday night and in light of the growing discontent of Jacksonville’s owner, it really will be Star Trek II: Wrath of Khan.

Florio’s pick: Titans 24, Jaguars 16.

Washington at Cincinnati

MDS’s take: The Bengals’ defense and special teams have been a disappointment, but I like Andy Dalton and A.J. Green to have a big game with Josh Norman in the concussion protocol.

MDS’s pick: Bengals 31, Washington 28.

Florio’s take: Marvin Lewis just beat his most recent offensive coordinator. And now he gets a chance to beat the guy Hue Jackson replaced. The Bengals quietly are putting the pieces together after a slow start; the process continues in England.

Florio’s pick: Bengals 24, Washington 17.

Chiefs at Colts

MDS’s take: Andrew Luck is playing well, but he’s been getting very little support, and no quarterback can do it himself. The Colts’ defense is terrible, and the Chiefs should rack up plenty of points on them.

MDS’s pick: Chiefs 31, Colts 21.

Florio’s take: One of the great moments in Colts franchise history came not long ago in a playoff game against the Chiefs. Sunday will prove just how long gone those days are.

Florio’s pick: Chiefs 30, Colts 21.

Raiders at Buccaneers

MDS’s take: I don’t think the Raiders are quite as good as their 5-2 record suggests, and I think the Buccaneers showed last week that they can take advantage of a bad defense. Tampa Bay wins a close one.

MDS’s pick: Buccaneers 24, Raiders 23.

Florio’s take: The Raiders are 4-0 at 1:00 p.m. ET this year. Their biggest regret should be that, after Sunday’s game in Tampa, Oakland won’t have another.

Florio’s pick: Raiders 31, Buccaneers 28.

Seahawks at Saints

MDS’s take: The Seahawks’ offense hasn’t been playing well, but a meeting with the weak Saints’ defense could be just what the doctor ordered.

MDS’s pick: Seahawks 28, Saints 21.

Florio’s take: Seattle’s gaudy record conceals deeper concerns about the offense, which hasn’t been the same since Russell Wilson suffered a pair of injuries. The Saints have the offense to outpace Wilson and company.

Florio’s pick: Saints 27, Seahawks 20.

Lions at Texans

MDS’s take: Detroit’s defense is bad, but Brock Osweiler is worse. The Lions will manage to hold Osweiler in check and win what could be an ugly game.

MDS’s pick: Lions 17, Texans 16.

Florio’s take: The Texans win the games they’re supposed to win, and they lose the games they’re supposed to lose. It’s harder to categorize this one, but the home-field advantage gives them the edge.

Florio’s pick: Texans 27, Lions 24.

Jets at Browns

MDS’s take: These may be the two worst teams in the league right now, and if Cody Kessler or Josh McCown were completely healthy I’d pick the Browns to get their first win of the season. But with Kessler suffering from a concussion and McCown still recovering from a broken collarbone, I’ll take the Jets.

MDS’s pick: Jets 17, Browns 10.

Florio’s take: It could be the last, best chance for the Browns to win a game. But for Geno Smith’s torn ACL, maybe they would.

Florio’s pick: Jets 23, Browns 13.

Patriots at Bills

MDS’s take: The Bills dominated their first meeting, but that was with Tom Brady suspended. Now that Brady is back, I’d expect the Patriots to win this game and take total control of the AFC East.

MDS’s pick: Patriots 27, Bills 20.

Florio’s take: The Bills haven’t swept the Patriots during the Brady-Belichick era. That streak continues.

Florio’s pick: Patriots 30, Bills 20.

Cardinals at Panthers

MDS’s take: This may be the Panthers’ last chance to turn their season around, as a loss here would essentially mean there’s no hope of making the playoffs. I think they’ll rally with a big win.

MDS’s pick: Panthers 31, Cardinals 17.

Florio’s take: It’s a rematch of the NFC title game; the loser has little chance to get back there. The winner doesn’t have much more of a shot. It’s the last stand for the Panthers, who played 75 minutes less football than the Cardinals in Week Seven.

Florio’s pick: Panthers 28, Cardinals 23.

Chargers at Broncos

MDS’s take: The Chargers’ offense is playing well, but playing well in Denver is a tall order for any offense. I see a low-scoring game with the Broncos coming out on top.

MDS’s pick: Broncos 14, Chargers 13.

Florio’s take: The Chargers have an excellent opportunity to legitimize their season, shove the Broncos against the ropes, shake up the AFC West, and maybe nail down some votes for their futile stadium effort. They’ll nearly pull it off.

Florio’s pick: Broncos 24, Chargers 23.

Packers at Falcons

MDS’s take: Stopping Matt Ryan and Julio Jones is going to be too much to ask of the Packers’ secondary. The Falcons will put a lot of points on the board.

MDS’s pick: Falcons 35, Packers 28.

Florio’s take: Six years ago, the sixth-seeded Packers took down the top-seeded Falcons, 48-20. That was a long time ago, and the Falcons have new urgency to get things back on track against a still-flawed Packers team.

Florio’s pick: Falcons 27, Packers 23.

Eagles at Cowboys

MDS’s take: In one of this year’s better prime time games, the Cowboys should beat the Eagles and take control of the NFC East.

MDS’s pick: Cowboys 28, Eagles 21.

Florio’s take: Has a game this consequential ever had three rookies in such key roles? This one does, and the team with two of the key rookies has the edge.

Florio’s pick: Cowboys 27, Eagles 24.

Vikings at Bears

MDS’s take: Jay Cutler is back, and he’s about to get a rude awakening against the Vikings’ defense. This could get ugly.

MDS’s pick: Vikings 20, Bears 3.

Florio’s take: The Vikings have a tough five-game stretch coming up; if they stub their toe in Chicago, things could quickly fall apart.

Florio’s pick: Vikings 27, Bears 17.

64 responses to “PFT’s Week Eight picks

  1. This week, we again disagree on two games.

    ——-

    Unless my math is wrong…it looks like you disagree on 3 games, not 2.

  2. .
    I think Rex spent too much time gloating over beating a 3rd string QB who was 24 hours away from IR.

    This game is a total beatdown..
    .

  3. My predictions:

    Redskins over Bengals
    Eagles over Cowboys
    Packers over Falcons
    Kirk over Khan

  4. Chiefs are pretty much at full strength at this stage, so this is about as good as it’s going to get. They need to keep stride with Denver now, sweep Denver in Nov and Dec, beat NE in the AFC championship game, and then Super Bowl, Baby! Chiefs!

  5. Saints put up 27 on the Seahawk’s huh Florio?….Have you reviewed the combined score of opponents this year? 84….and the falcons were 24 of it . With a 4-1-1 record, 86% of your colleges in nflpickwatch dot come don’t agree…no wonder you are at 54% on straight up picking…lol!

  6. Saints put up 27 on the Seahawk’s huh Florio?….Have you reviewed the combined score of opponents this year? 84….and the falcons were 24 of it . With a 4-1-1 record, 86% of your colleges in nflpickwatch dot come don’t agree…no wonder you are at 54% on straight up picking…lol!

  7. Just got a feeling you’ll see Cutler playing well it’s his modus operandi. Contract year to play for another team and he will relish in the fact that by winning a few games he will score millions while at the same time knocking Chicago out of the top few draft picks where they might have snagged a future replacement for him. Smells like an upset.

  8. Florio This week: “The Bills haven’t swept the Patriots during the Brady-Belichick era. That streak continues.”

    Florio Last week: “Never bet on a streak to end, they say. I say all streaks eventually do.”

  9. The Patriots certainly have the edge here, but the Bills are coming off a painful loss and will be playing desperation football. The playoff window shrunk considerably after losing to Miami last week so they know they need to pull out an upset soon to get back on track. Don’t count them out but with so many key injuries, especially at receiver, it will be tough sledding unfortunately. Should be a good game.

  10. Glad to see you didn’t let the only 2 quarters of decent play of the Packer offense against a one win team (Bears) make you think the Pack is back. Atlanta will win by more than 14…wonder if Julio will set an all time record for catches, yards and TDs?

    The last man on Earth I would want to be this week is Jay Cutler. Barkey will finish this game at QB vs. the Vikings who won’t allow a single TD.

  11. bannedfromchoirpractice says:
    Oct 27, 2016 11:21 AM
    Chiefs are pretty much at full strength at this stage, so this is about as good as it’s going to get. They need to keep stride with Denver now, sweep Denver in Nov and Dec, beat NE in the AFC championship game, and then Super Bowl, Baby! Chiefs!
    ————————————————————–

    Talk about putting the cart before the “horse” eh. Slow down “chief.”

  12. Raiders 27 Bucs 20 as the Raiders seem to be finding a bit of a groove on offense and their defense has looked a lot better recently. Texans 31 Lions 21 I have no faith in the Lions defense whatsoever despite the fact that their offense actually is pretty good. I think Lamar Miller has a great game and that combined with some mistakes from the Lions wins the Texans the game. Finally, Patriots 23 Bills 16 these games are always close and this will be no exception. Bills make the Patriots sweat the whole game until Brady connects with Edelman for a late td and Taylor makes a mistake.

  13. bannedfromchoirpractice says:
    Oct 27, 2016 11:21 AM

    Chiefs are pretty much at full strength at this stage, so this is about as good as it’s going to get. They need to keep stride with Denver now, sweep Denver in Nov and Dec, beat NE in the AFC championship game, and then Super Bowl, Baby! Chiefs!
    ————————————————————
    The truly sad part is that even if all of this stuff happens, it will only set up Andy Heimlich Maneuver to get outcoached horrifically by whoever he faces in the SB.

  14. hart089 says:
    Oct 27, 2016 11:45 AM
    BYE Week -34
    49ers-13

    Mark it down
    —————————————————-

    LOL. With a score that close, you have far too much confidence in the 49ers.

  15. Carl Gerbschmidt says:
    Oct 27, 2016 11:39 AM

    It will be interesting to see how Bradford comes back from the beat down he suffered last week. I don’t see a lot of mettle in those crossed eyes of his.
    _______

    What do you see in your own eyes? I’m guessing bloodshot beer goggles.

  16. Since they faced each other in the Superbowl around 14 years ago the Raiders and bucs have been among the lesser teams…
    The Raiders are finally coming out of that hole of irrelevance… The bucs (with that hc and qb)are not…

    The bucs haven’t won at home since 2014… That continues this week…

    Raiders 28
    Bucs 13

  17. As much as I love the Redskins I have to agree the Cincinnati team will be too much for them this week.

  18. To be fair here “MDS” has not picked Raiders ONCE this season. He hates the Raiders. I know this because I know people that are related to him. He has always hated The Raiders. Go ahead and go try one positive story on the RAIDERS from this guy..You won’t find one! Raiders are 5-2 and one of the best teams in the NFL right now and sill pretends they are not that great.. You can’t say “their record does not indicate how bad they are” when they team is 5-2 and we are in week 7! I could see maybe week 2 or 3 maybe even week 4 but we are in the middle of the season MDS…
    Hate to break the news to you but Raiders are for real and will probably be in the hunt for the Lombardi Trophy, if they win it though you will say “this year didn’t count”

  19. “Elite” Stafford won’t be able to get much going until he needs to, and will that be too late or just in time?

    I’ve said for years that they need to play the whole game in 2-minute drill mindset. They’d destroy teams.

  20. It sure is nice to see the Cowboys getting picked to win games again.

    I am a fan of Romo, but as a longtime Cowboys fan, I always feel trepidation about division games. If the current team can be settled and efficient and not give up big plays, that would be a wonderful new tone to set.

  21. I love that more mn fans post about the packers picks than their own team’s. Makes me feel special.

  22. Kind of hard to have a good pass defense when half the unit is hurt. It’ll be a miracle if we beat the falcons.

  23. Can’t blame you on picking against my Eagles. On paper, Dallas is better in most ways. Then again, I don’t think they are as good as they are made out to be on offense. Garrett has simplified their attack greatly for Prescott. Their line is great, but if the Eagles front 7 plays well and The Schwarz blitzes like he did last week, the rookie could fall apart. It depends on pressure and limiting Elliot.

  24. The official start of The New Triplets era begins in Dallas. The return of Dez and with the Cowboys winning 34-21. Dak Prescott will not be unseated by Romo…it will be Prescott’s team.

  25. Raiders 27 Bucs 20 as the Raiders seem to be finding a bit of a groove on offense and their defense has looked a lot better recently.

    By “recently” you mean last week? C’mon man, that was the Jags!
    Neither was finding any “groove” two weeks ago.

  26. “Will the legacy of cheating continue in Buffalo this Sunday?”

    Geez, are you five years old?

    ++++++++++++++++++++++++

    Pats win a typical tough intra-division game. Just hope both teams emerge injury-free.

  27. Falcons are proven frontrunners-then-chokers, and they’re in the middle of their annual choke right now. Packers 31 Falcons 17

  28. unclebluck says:
    Oct 27, 2016 11:36 AM
    Will the legacy of cheating continue in Buffalo this Sunday?
    ————
    How does Buffalo cheat?

  29. AZ is going to absolutely Carolina as Arizona is jst a much much better team with an Elite Defense that arguably the NFLs best ranked 2nd over all, 3rd in pass defense, 2 in Sacks with 21, 2nd in INTs, 10th versus the run (but over the past 4 games AZs run defense ranks top 3 allowing Todd Gurley 33yds on 19 carries 1.2YPC, Carlos Hyde 77yds on 22 carries 3.3YPC,Matt Forte 9carries for 19YDs, C. Michael 16carries for 52YDs 3.12 YPC n only allowed 1 rushing today over those 4 games) Arizona has arguably the best Defense in the NFL.

    The Panthers O-Line has serious problems n is one of the NFL s worst right now , AZ is going to keep pounding on Cam Newton all game long n when he is heavily pressured is when he starts throwing INTs!!!!

    Defensively Carolina has the 24th ranked Defense ranked 26th overall versus the pass where AZ is loaded with elite pass catching weapons while Carolina has one of the worst secondaries and they Cannot pressure the QB either. AZs Offense is loaded with elite talent that is just now hitting its stride , I’d bet money AZ beats them close to a score of around 33-9

  30. Bills need to make this “Microsoft Surface Tablet” week at New Era. It will likely have the same effect on Bilichik as a crucifix has on Dracula.

Leave a Reply

You must be logged in to leave a comment. Not a member? Register now!

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.