PFT’s Week Nine picks

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Last week, I took out the broom. And whacked MDS over the head with it. The three disagreements (Lions-Texans, Seahawks-Saints, Raiders-Bucs) went my way, stretching a two-game lead to five.

For the week, I was 11-2 and MDS was 9-5.

This week, we disagree on three more games. If I sweep this week, it’s over.

Falcons at Buccaneers

MDS’s take: The Falcons can practically lock up the NFC South with a win in Tampa Bay, and I think they’re going to do just that.

MDS’s pick: Falcons 24, Buccaneers 20.

Florio’s take: The Falcons played 60 minutes on Sunday. The Buccaneers played nearly 75. Advantage team that played less football four days before their game — especially since the Bucs are struggling at home.

Florio’s pick: Falcons 27, Buccaneers 20.

Steelers at Ravens

MDS’s take: Ben Roethlisberger’s questionable status makes this game a tough one to pick, but I’m going to guess we see a Ravens win, whether it’s because Roethlisberger is at less than 100 percent or because Landry Jones is under center.

MDS’s pick: Ravens 27, Steelers 17.

Florio’s take: The Ravens have lost their way after an 3-0 start. The Steelers are focused on proving that they can win on the road, with or without Ben Roethlisberger under center.

Florio’s pick: Steelers 19, Ravens 13.

Cowboys at Browns

MDS’s take: The Browns aren’t playing as badly as their 0-8 record suggests. But they’re not playing well enough to beat a good team like the Cowboys, either.

MDS’s pick: Cowboys 30, Browns 17.

Florio’s take: Trap game alert for the Cowboys, who suddenly are good enough to have trap games. They’ll avoid stepping in this one.

Florio’s pick: Cowboys 34, Browns 20.

Jaguars at Chiefs

MDS’s take: The way the Jaguars are playing, I wouldn’t pick them to win on the road against anyone right now.

MDS’s pick: Chiefs 31, Jaguars 13.

Florio’s take: Nick Foles gets a chance to re-establish his career against a team with a coaching staff that soon will be continuing their careers elsewhere.

Florio’s pick: Chiefs 31, Jaguars 17.

Jets at Dolphins

MDS’s take: Expect to see a strong dose of Jay Ajayi against a suspect Jets defense. The Dolphins should win this one without too much trouble.

MDS’s pick: Dolphins 24, Jets 14.

Florio’s take: The schedule is softening for the Dolphins, who could quickly find themselves in the thick of the AFC wild-card chase.

Florio’s pick: Dolphins 30, Jets 20.

Eagles at Giants

MDS’s take: Opposing defenses look like they’re starting to figure out Carson Wentz, and I think the Giants will keep him in check and manage to win a low-scoring game.

MDS’s pick: Giants 14, Eagles 13.

Florio’s take: Neither team is ready to challenge the Cowboys, but the winner could contend for a wild-card spot. Home team coming off of a bye week gets the edge.

Florio’s pick: Giants 24, Eagles 21.

Lions at Vikings

MDS’s take: Sam Bradford has turned in a couple of ugly performances the last two weeks, but that should change on Sunday. The Lions have the worst pass defense in the NFL.

MDS’s pick: Vikings 27, Lions 17.

Florio’s take: The Vikings are in disarray, but that’s typically when they seem to get their act together unexpectedly.

Florio’s pick: Vikings 23, Lions 17.

Panthers at Rams

MDS’s take: It’s been a disappointing season in Carolina, but I think the Panthers’ defense should shut down Case Keenum and lead the fans in Los Angeles to call for Jared Goff.

MDS’s pick: Panthers 20, Rams 13.

Florio’s take: The Rams need to be careful or they’ll fall behind their 7-9 pace. The Panthers are starting to play like they did a year ago, and Cam Newton will relish his L.A. debut.

Florio’s pick: Panthers 30, Rams 24.

Saints at 49ers

MDS’s take: The Saints’ defense is weak, and Colin Kaepernick will have his best game of the year against it. But the 49ers’ defense is weak, too, and Drew Brees will be even better.

MDS’s pick: Saints 35, 49ers 28.

Florio’s take: The Saints are a win away from .500, and the 49ers are a world away from it.

Florio’s pick: Saints 31, 49ers 20.

Titans at Chargers

MDS’s take: I like the way the Titans’ offense is playing, but I think Joey Bosa will tee off on Marcus Mariota on Sunday and the Chargers’ defense will lead them to a hard-fought win.

MDS’s pick: Chargers 21, Titans 17.

Florio’s take: San Diego keeps plugging away, despite long odds to make it to the playoffs.

Florio’s pick: Chargers 24, Titans 16.

Colts at Packers

MDS’s take: This season — a season when winning the AFC South should be doable — feels like it’s slipping away from the Colts. I have a hunch they’re in for an ugly performance in Green Bay.

MDS’s pick: Packers 31, Colts 14.

Florio’s take: No amount of over-the-top rhetoric from Chuck Pagano will help the Colts win this one at Lambeau.

Florio’s pick: Packers 30, Colts 13.

Broncos at Raiders

MDS’s take: In the best game of the week, I like the Broncos’ defense to do a pretty good job of containing Derek Carr and Denver to earn a big AFC West victory.

MDS’s pick: Broncos 23, Raiders 20.

Florio’s take: It’s time for a statement game, even if the final score doesn’t scream it out. The Raiders are on the rise, and Denver will continue to have their hands full in the division.

Florio’s pick: Raiders 27, Broncos 23.

Bills at Seahawks

MDS’s take: It’s never easy to play in Seattle in prime time, and I expect the Bills’ offense to get ground to a halt by the Seahawks’ defense.

MDS’s pick: Seahawks 20, Bills 9.

Florio’s take: Until they give Russell Wilson a couple of weeks off, he’ll continue to play like a shadow of his recently-former self.

Florio’s pick: Bills 16, Seahawks 13.

63 responses to “PFT’s Week Nine picks

  1. Florio’s take: Neither team is ready to challenge the Cowboys, but the winner could contend for a wild-card spot. Home team coming off of a bye week gets the edge.

    Florio’s pick: Giants 24, Eagles 21.
    ————————————————-
    one team has already beaten the cowboys.

  2. Another week of mostly garbage games. 2 games feature teams facing off with winning records. Pure garbage.

    Wondering why the ratings are down should take zero coherent thought.

    Garbage product is garbage.

  3. Florio’s take: Neither team is ready to challenge the Cowboys, but the winner could contend for a wild-card spot. Home team coming off of a bye week gets the edge.

    ———————-
    The Giants actually beat the Cowboys week one and the Eagles had that game last week and choked it away with some poor coaching desicions. The media is inflating this team.

  4. Ravens/Steelers games always take years off my life. Sunday will be no different.

    Ravens 24
    Steelers 23

  5. I bet Vikes win. Who wants to bet? Stinky cheese wish Vikings lose but it ain’t happening. This is where they turn things around. Mark on it.

  6. Giants haven’t beaten the Eagles since Oct 27, 2013, and it won’t start this Sun either.

    I am life-long Giants fan, so I hope, I truly do hope, they can snap this drought, but the Giants offense is a mess and defense, while better, will not be good enough. This is a team that almost got beat by Case Keenum.

    Eli will be under assault all game by Conner Barwin. There will be no running game (Giants have league worst). Beckham will be doubled all night, and neither Shepherd or Cruz have shown they can beat one-on-one consistently.

    Low scoring, ugly game. Eagles 21, Giants 10.

    Sigh.

  7. ” Neither team is ready to challenge the Cowboys”…Apparently playing into overtime doesn’t count as challenging the cowboys

  8. The bills will win in Seattle?
    Doubtful. Percy against Sherman won’t produce much. I bet ya lunch Percy gets hurt or takes himself out before the game is over.
    No camp, no practice, no conditioning

  9. The window is shrinking for the Bills so they need to pull an upset on the road to keep hope alive. As usual though, we have injuries at key positions and this team has not really proved they can overcome that.

    No Shady, No Watkins: No Bueno. That’s the worst part about being the fan of a bubble team… you can clearly see the road to victory, but then an injury to a marquee player inevitably happens and derails the entire team. We shall see though.

    Win or lose, hopefully they give the nation one good MNF game this season at least.

  10. “Neither team is ready to challenge the Cowboys”

    Giants already beat the Cowboys in Dallas. Eagles went to OT last week in Dallas.

  11. seatownballers says:
    Nov 3, 2016 11:18 AM
    The bills will win in Seattle?
    Doubtful. Percy against Sherman won’t produce much. I bet ya lunch Percy gets hurt or takes himself out before the game is over.
    No camp, no practice, no conditioning

    ———–

    I had the same thought. But after seeing the Seahawks lack of offense this season it is not entirely out of the question. This score of this game could easily be 6-3.

    To that end, where the heck is Doug Baldwin this season? The guy is playing more like Alec Baldwin….

  12. Cowboys fan here. Ummm, pretty sure the Giants beat Dallas in week one and Philly almost won last week. The NFC East is not wrapped up for Dallas yet…unfortunately…

  13. perscientist says:
    Nov 3, 2016 11:05 AM
    Another week of mostly garbage games. 2 games feature teams facing off with winning records. Pure garbage.

    Wondering why the ratings are down should take zero coherent thought.

    Garbage product is garbage
    ___________________________________

    Football is a zero sum game, meaning a majority of teams will inevitably be at or below .500 every season regardless of overall talent…

    Go watch golf. Everyone is scored independently.

  14. Wow, what a surprise, both picking against the Eagles, what is that now “every week”…..the birds are not great and not bad, there in the middle of the pack where they belong right now. If Mathews doesn’t fumble with 2:00 to go in the Detroit game and Dougie Fresh losing his mind being up by 10 in the 4th, could be 6-1 here. BUT they are not. This game is going to be a close came, but the Eagles can hang with anybody. They will lose some and win some, but don’t count them out….

  15. Nothing is even close to being decided but I love where the Cowboys are right now. Dak is miles ahead of where he was, Zeke has improved and the defense continues to play good complementary football. IT is not farfetched to consider them favorites to win their division.

  16. Crazy thing is you are on SNF…Eagles should have beaten the Cowboys (Coaching Error) and the Giants did….So not only are both the Eagles and Giants capable they likely are at least as good as the cowboys

  17. “where the heck is Doug Baldwin this season? The guy is playing more like Alec Baldwin….”

    ——-

    He is where he has always been. He produces when the Seahawks absolutely need him to. Last year he and Wilson took the Seahawks to the playoffs with their spectacular second half of the season. This year he is putting up pedestrian numbers (38rec for 481yds and just 2 TDs). So, yes, the Seahawks need him and Wilson to turn up the heat again. But, the Seahawks also need to get the running game going. Seattle is just 18th in rushing attempts so far this season and a horrible 28th in average rushing yards per game. (according to TeamRankings.com).

  18. you kids really make me laugh. Challenge the Cowboys? Dallas literally tried FIVE times to lose the game vs. the Eagles and still won. In their only loss to the Giants, let’s not forget that a bonehead move by Terence Williams is the only reason the Giants won. Bailey would have very likely hit that kick, you know, him being the most accurate kicker in NFL history and all. Let’s try and stick to the facts now. I am not saying they are actually the no. 2 team in the league right now. I am saying, playing their best, they can beat anybody, including the Patriots. Their flaws are obvious and duly noted, but so is their record.

  19. The 49ers can make this garbage season worth it if they fire garbage Trent Baalke and hire/trade for a GM from a winning team. What good is having high draft picks if you pick garbage players who can’t play.

  20. The Eagles should have beat Dallas? If we’re doing this then Dallas should’ve beat the Giants in week 1 and 1970 Cowboys should’ve beat Baltimore in the Super Bowl so go ahead and give em a 6th Lombardi, ya know what make it 7 cause they should’ve stopped Bart Starr on the sneak in ’67 and should’ve won the Super Bowl then too. You can go round and round with what should’ve happened. Too bad there’s not a column for that next to the W and the L.

  21. I like how you assume that Joey Bosa will “tee off” on Mariota, obviously ignoring the fact that the Titans’ two starting tackles have not allowed a sack at all this season, and rookie RT Jack Conklin played Bosa three times in college without allowing a sack. Hmm…

  22. Exactly Rdog! Does he even have any idea what he is writing about? Such a laughable sentence. Bosa’s getting stonewalled again. Titans by 14.

  23. I guess anything can happen, but the Cowboys are a team ascending, the Eagles are muddling along in the middle, and the Giants and Skins are going in the wrong direction (yes, I know the Giants just won – against Case Keenum).

    My Giants haven’t beat a quality (i.e. winning record) team since 2012 when they beat the 49ers. Won’t count Green Bay in 2013 because they were without Rodgers.

    This sucks.

  24. codythao35 says:
    Nov 3, 2016 11:10 AM

    I’ll bet 10 to 1 Vikings win. Norv is horrible at play calling, even i can tell what play he’s going to call.
    ________

    I think you’re looking for a bookie, not an anonymous comment board.

  25. tinkletinkleonyourstar says:
    Nov 3, 2016 10:58 AM
    Florio’s take: Neither team is ready to challenge the Cowboys, but the winner could contend for a wild-card spot. Home team coming off of a bye week gets the edge.

    Florio’s pick: Giants 24, Eagles 21.
    ————————————————-
    one team has already beaten the cowboys.
    ================================

    Aside from the fact you’re talking about week one with a rookie QB in his first game, to win the division they have to do more than beat the Cowboys one time.

  26. hey the pft guys should put in another category–the they almost won this game buuuuut category.looooool, bunch of effing losers. no love for my Cowboys from none of you ingrate fantasy dweebs commenting today? are you not entertained? all good, wouldn’t expect any better anyway.

  27. bigblue431 says:
    Nov 3, 2016 11:10 AM
    Giants haven’t beaten the Eagles since Oct 27, 2013, and it won’t start this Sun either.

    I am life-long Giants fan, so I hope, I truly do hope, they can snap this drought, but the Giants offense is a mess and defense, while better, will not be good enough. This is a team that almost got beat by Case Keenum.

    Eli will be under assault all game by Conner Barwin. There will be no running game (Giants have league worst). Beckham will be doubled all night, and neither Shepherd or Cruz have shown they can beat one-on-one consistently.

    Low scoring, ugly game. Eagles 21, Giants 10.

    Sigh.

    _____________________________________

    Eagles let up the 4th most rushing yards per attempt 4.7.. Which HOPEFULLY will help the Giants in the run game.

    The Giants are healthy, and the defense is clicking..

    Should be a great game.

  28. mrdonovan717 says:
    Nov 3, 2016 11:31 AM
    Wow, what a surprise, both picking against the Eagles, what is that now “every week”…..the birds are not great and not bad, there in the middle of the pack where they belong right now. If Mathews doesn’t fumble with 2:00 to go in the Detroit game and Dougie Fresh losing his mind being up by 10 in the 4th, could be 6-1 here. BUT they are not. This game is going to be a close came, but the Eagles can hang with anybody. They will lose some and win some, but don’t count them out….

    _________________________________

    Great post..

    ANYONE in the NFC East can beat each other.

  29. Every week some clown from some team says: My team would have won but there was a coaching error, or the running back fumbled the ball or the receivers did not catch the ball. Well, now it is my turn. the 49ers would be 8-0 if they had Brady as QB and Belechick (however you spell his name) as Coach. I would have been a millionaire had it not been for those pesky kids and talking dog who eats scooby snacks. Stop it already!! The cowboys are winning because they are good and are not making game changing mistakes. The 49ers (my team) are losers because the coach and players are less talented than their competition! End of story.

  30. codythao35 says:
    Nov 3, 2016 11:10 AM

    “I’ll bet 10 to 1 Vikings win. Norv is horrible at play calling, even i can tell what play he’s going to call.”

    i’ll bet you $100,000 on 10-1 odds that Norv doesn’t call a single play in the game this week. Do you live under a rock or something?

  31. jmuller516 says:
    Nov 3, 2016 12:33 PM

    bigblue431 says:
    Nov 3, 2016 11:10 AM
    Giants haven’t beaten the Eagles since Oct 27, 2013, and it won’t start this Sun either.

    I am life-long Giants fan, so I hope, I truly do hope, they can snap this drought, but the Giants offense is a mess and defense, while better, will not be good enough. This is a team that almost got beat by Case Keenum.

    Eli will be under assault all game by Conner Barwin. There will be no running game (Giants have league worst). Beckham will be doubled all night, and neither Shepherd or Cruz have shown they can beat one-on-one consistently.

    Low scoring, ugly game. Eagles 21, Giants 10.

    Sigh.

    _____________________________________

    Eagles let up the 4th most rushing yards per attempt 4.7.. Which HOPEFULLY will help the Giants in the run game.

    The Giants are healthy, and the defense is clicking..

    Should be a great game.
    ————————————–
    Boy, I hope you’re right. I have zero confidence right now, but I am happy to eat my words if the Gmen can win this one out. I hope the secondary stays healthy. Without DRC and Eli Apple, it’s a non-starter. Adams is a terrible corner, or at least too raw right now.

  32. Raiders are winning with smoke and mirrors. 10 points against the last good pass defense they played. Most overrated tea. I the league this year with their pedestrian point differential, poor discipline and squeaking out wins against bad teams by rolling the dice.

  33. I think the Patriots win this week’s bye week. When you look at who else is on their bye week, there are no real threats. Maybe if the Bills were also on their bye week I would have second thoughts. But as it stands, I’m going with the Patriots.
    And it’s the only game I am going to watch this week, regardless of what Goodell says.

  34. Cowboys are not going to put much into this game against Browns thinking it is an easy win, and they will end up losing. Happens all the time (see my Steelers as an example of how that works). Not to mention the games are fixed so they need to lose to keep NFC East close in hopes of generating more interest in the NFL.

  35. I don’t know of any team that has won their division with 6 wins so how are the Falcons going to do that if they beat the Bucs? Some times I wonder about some of the writers on this site. The Falcons defense is horrible and they are not getting any better. I would not be surprised if the Panthers end up winning the South. That division is still up for grabs if the Falcons win or lose tonight.

  36. neither team is ready to challenge the cowboys:

    didnt the eagles just beat themselves in an OT game last week against the boys
    isnt the boys 1 stack in the losses from the giants.

  37. Die hard Ravens fan here.

    The Ravens are a ship without a rudder. They are in the process of imploding. No leadership since Ed and Ray left.

    Steelers win this one easily with or with out Ben.

    With Ben: Steelers 34 Ravens 14
    Without Ben: Steelers 24 Ravens 14

    Let’s see what Ozzie can do with a top five draft pick next year!!

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