PFT’s Week Three picks

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Week Three already is upon us, and I enter it with a two-game lead over MDS. By Thursday night, the lead will be three, since MDS failed to realize that the 49ers have a greater claim to ownership of the Rams in recent years than Stan Kroenke.

We disagree on one other game for the weekend, which means that, come Week Four, I’ll be up by four games and he’ll be closing in on conceding.

You’re closing in on getting the benefit of our insights, free of charge (money-back guarantee) and available by simply scrolling.

Last week, I went 11-5 and MDS was 10-6. This week, perfection awaits. For someone other than either of us.

Rams at 49ers

MDS’s take: In what looks like another ugly Thursday night game, I think Jared Goff and Todd Gurley will move the ball enough to take a lead and keep a lead, while Brian Hoyer will struggle against the Rams’ defense.

MDS’s pick: Rams 20, 49ers 6.

Florio’s take: The 49ers are 3-19 in their last 22 games. The three wins have come against the Rams. If the 49ers intend to win any games in 2017, this is a great place to start.

Florio’s pick: 49ers 13, Rams 9.


Ravens at Jaguars

MDS’s take: The Ravens’ defense has been outstanding in the first two weeks of the season, and I can’t see Blake Bortles doing much of anything against them. London is going to get another low-scoring game.

MDS’s pick: Ravens 17, Jaguars 7.

Florio’s take: A good defense versus a very good defense results in a game that will feature scoring more like the kind of football that Nigel and his mates are used to watching.

Florio’s pick: Ravens 6, Jaguars 3.


Browns at Colts

MDS’s take: Can it really be true? The Browns are favored on the road? It’s true, and understandable, given how bad the Colts have looked in the first two weeks of the season. But I see Indianapolis getting incrementally better on offense as Jacoby Brissett has more time to work within the system, and the Colts will narrowly avoid the embarrassment of losing at home to the Browns.

MDS’s pick: Colts 20, Browns 17.

Florio’s take: Are the Browns jinxed by being favored to win on the road? As Joe Thomas said on PFT Live, being picked to lose hasn’t kept them from losing.

Florio’s pick: Browns 17, Colts 13.


Giants at Eagles

MDS’s take: The Giants’ offense has been a mess this season, and I don’t see that changing at Philadelphia. The Giants will fall to 0-3, including 0-2 in the division, and any hopes of a return to the playoffs are rapidly disappearing.

MDS’s pick: Eagles 24, Giants 16.

Florio’s take: Brylcreem Ben says plenty of good teams start 0-2. How many good teams start 0-3?

Florio’s pick: Eagles 24, Giants 13.


Dolphins at Jets

MDS’s take: The Dolphins got lucky last week when the Chargers’ last-minute field goal attempt went wide. They won’t need to get lucky this week to beat the Jets.

MDS’s pick: Dolphins 28, Jets 14.

Florio’s take: Jay Cutler faces the team that should have been at the front of the line to sign him.

Florio’s pick: Dolphins 27, Jets 10.


Broncos at Bills

MDS’s take: People accused the Bills of tanking during the offseason, but they’ve played hard this season. They’ll give the Broncos everything they can handle but fall just short.

MDS’s pick: Broncos 21, Bills 20.

Florio’s take: The dawn of the Nathan Peterman era could be creeping closer and closer.

Florio’s pick: Broncos 27, Bills 13.


Saints at Panthers

MDS’s take: Cam Newton is off to a slow start, but facing the Saints’ defense is just the thing to get him on track.

MDS’s pick: Panthers 31, Saints 17.

Florio’s take: The Saints are getting desperate but the Panthers’ defense possibly is better than it’s ever been. With Greg Olsen out, it’s time for the Panthers to come up with ways to feature Christian McCaffrey.

Florio’s pick: Panthers 20, Saints 17.


Steelers at Bears

MDS’s take: The Bears looked brutally bad last week against the Buccaneers, and I see no reason to think that will change this week.

MDS’s pick: Steelers 27, Bears 9.

Florio’s take: The Steelers have one of the few offenses that periodically takes a shot down the field in a pick-your-poison proposition that it going to allow the Pittsburgh team to pile up wins.

Florio’s pick: Steelers 30, Bears 16.


Falcons at Lions

MDS’s take: I’ve picked against the Lions the first two weeks, and they’re 2-0. Good news, Lions fans: I’m picking against them again.

MDS’s pick: Falcons 28, Lions 20.

Florio’s take: The Lions are operating on a short week after a late-night return from New York, with an excellent team coming to town that won’t be caught napping thanks to Detroit’s 2-0 record.

Florio’s pick: Falcons 27, Lions 20.


Buccaneers at Vikings

MDS’s take: If Sam Bradford is good to go, this is a very good matchup of NFC playoff contenders. I think Jameis Winston and Mike Evans will make just enough plays to win a close one.

MDS’s pick: Buccaneers 24, Vikings 23.

Florio’s take: When these two were in the same division, the Vikings owned the rivalry. Now? Not. The Bucs have won six of the last seven. Make that seven of eight.

Florio’s pick: Buccaneers 23, Vikings 16.


Texans at Patriots

MDS’s take: The Patriots’ defense has been ugly this season, but so has the Texans’ offense. New England should score enough to win this one comfortably.

MDS’s pick: Patriots 31, Texans 20.

Florio’s take: Deshaun Watson is the future. But he’s simply not ready to take down one of the greatest players of all time in the present.

Florio’s pick: Patriots 30, Texans 17.


Seahawks at Titans

MDS’s take: I see Derrick Henry having a big game against a suspect Seahawks run defense, and the Titans pulling off a big win.

MDS’s pick: Titans 20, Seahawks 17.

Florio’s take: It’s an early crisis of confidence for Seattle, who lack the firepower on offense to outscore the best teams in the league.

Florio’s pick: Titans 16, Seahawks 9.


Bengals at Packers

MDS’s take: Andy Dalton has been awful this year, and I don’t see that changing in Green Bay.

MDS’s pick: Packers 20, Bengals 10.

Florio’s take: It’s been 25 years since a Bengals-Packers game birthed the legend of Brett Favre. Aaron Rodgers will continue what Favre started.

Florio’s pick: Packers 28, Bengals 14.


Chiefs at Chargers

MDS’s take: The Chargers are a better team than their 0-2 record suggests, but I think the Chiefs are the best team in the AFC, and they’ll roll to 3-0.

MDS’s pick: Chiefs 28, Chargers 17.

Florio’s take: At least the Chargers won’t lose on a late missed field goal for the third game in a row.

Florio’s pick: Chiefs 33, Chargers 20.


Raiders at Washington

MDS’s take: The Raiders’ offense has been outstanding through two games, and they should roll through Washington’s defense.

MDS’s pick: Raiders 31, Washington 17.

Florio’s take: Tune in Sunday night for Beastmode Meets The Brother of Chucky. It’s a horror movie. For the home team.

Florio’s pick: Raiders 34, Washington 24.


Cowboys at Cardinals

MDS’s take: I’m having a hard time getting a handle on the Cowboys after they blew out the Giants in Week One and then got blown out by the Broncos in Week Two. But I’ll pick Dallas to win this one, probably with a few big plays on special teams making the difference.

MDS’s pick: Cowboys 24, Cardinals 21.

Florio’s take: Ezekiel Elliot will be getting more than eight yards, and he won’t be caught loafing by the Monday night cameras.

Florio’s pick: Cowboys 24, Cardinals 10.

56 responses to “PFT’s Week Three picks

  1. The only reason I’d pick the Cowboys this week, is we get Moore & Scandrick back, Zeke may show up 😦 , and Dak may complete a few successful passes. I feel like MDS on my Cowboys, after that thrashing last week…..

  2. As a Packer fan I’m scared of death of the Bengals this week as they are going to be very desperate. The Packers are decimated by injuries. I guarantee McChumlee won’t have the team ready to play and they come out flat. Just watch.

  3. Florio’s take: Jay Cutler faces the team that should have been at the front of the line to sign him…………………

    Why would a team that completely tore down their roster sign a QB that is going to play a few years???

  4. I WANT TITANS TO WIN BUT HARD TO SEE THEM BEATING SEATTLES D WITH NO COREY DAVIS. TENNESSEE IS ALWAYS GOOD OFF A LOSS BUT USUALLY FALTERS AFTER A WIN…ESPECIALLY A DIVISION WIN….TITANS FAN

  5. sbmcintosh36 says:
    September 21, 2017 at 9:16 am
    Florio’s take: Jay Cutler faces the team that should have been at the front of the line to sign him…………………

    Why would a team that completely tore down their roster sign a QB that is going to play a few years???
    ———————————————–

    Because you ALWAYS play to win, now.

  6. Still early but week #3 will give us a glimpse of who is overrated (i.e. Chiefs, Titans) and who is underrated (i.e. Lions, Raiders). And make no mistake…Pats are champs until they’re not.

  7. .
    The 0-2 teams are in a must win situation. I have to think that desperation will bring out their best. These live underdogs are a good value this week.
    .

  8. LOL at the Giants. 0-2 this year against teams they went 3-0 against LAST year. Philadelphia is better this year than last, so it could be 0-3 against teams they went 5-0 against last year. Then they have to travel to Tampa before coming home to face a very beatable Charger team — EXCEPT the Chargers and Phil Rivers have played the Giants tough (with a chip on their shoulder) ever since Manning jilted them in 2004. After that they go to Denver. This could be a repeat of their start 2 years ago, when they were 0 and 6 before facing Josh Freeman.

  9. Pound for pound and almost player for player, The Redskins are superior to Oakland. The problem is Carr is superior to lousy Kirk Cousins. Carr loves pressure and Kurt folds like a lawn chair. The Redskins will win but only by 7 or less.

  10. This will be one of the best defense Winston has played so far in his young career. The Vikings will have their hands full with this young potent Bucs offense, and Winston will have his hands full with this young potent Viking defense. Should be a great game, hopefully Bradford can play.

  11. The Falcons put up points consistently.The Lions start strong but yet to finish strong… Falcons win

    The Saints are struggling but the Panthers aren’t going to win just running the ball. If they keep Cam from throwing much, they won’t keep up. Saints win

    All depends on Bradford. He all but ensures them a win. If Case Keenum is qb then it is a toss up. Keenum and winston are around the same level, Vikings are at home and I don’t believe the bucs hype. Vikings win

  12. Florio’s take: Jay Cutler faces the team that should have been at the front of the line to sign him…………………

    Why would a team that completely tore down their roster sign a QB that is going to play a few years???

    Exactly, that’s why they they brought in a young QB like McCown who will be playing for a few months

  13. Patriots 20 Texans 10. Game will be tight until late. Seahawks 17 Titans 13 not a believer in the Titans at all. Cowboys 30 Cardinals 16 since Palmer will throw a ton of picks.

  14. The dolphins didn’t get lucky the kicker missed. Maybe just maybe the field goal unit applied enough pressure to disrupt the kicker just enough to make him adjust and miss? You don’t have to block a kick to affect the kick.

  15. The dolphins didn’t get lucky. They applied enough pressure to affect the kicker just enough to make him adjust for a split second and make him miss. That is possible. You don’t have to block a field goal to affect the kick.

  16. The Falcons looked good against a depleted GB team, but the Super Bowl is still lurking in their heads. They almost blew week 1 to the Bears. They can fold at any time like almost every Super Bowl loser has before them. Detroit has a real shot there.

  17. “Florio’s take: It’s an early crisis of confidence for Seattle, who lack the firepower on offense to outscore the best teams in the league.”

    That is true but it’s unclear what it has to do with the Titans who are one of the good teams in the league but not one of the best.

  18. I have to admit it, it looks like my Giants season will basically be lost by week 3. Reese and McAdoo will be gone in 2018 barring a miraculous turnaround.

  19. “The Patriots’ defense has been ugly this season, but so has the Texans’ offense. New England should score enough to win this one comfortably.”
    ——————————
    The Texans defense is getting back to last year’s form and is much closer to KC than New Orleans. Last week was Watson’s first start, and he won. He had a short week to prepare; all three TEs were out and he had basically had one WR. In last year’s play off game VS NE, the Texans kept it close till Oswieler threw it away. Brady was sacked twice and threw two interceptions.

    This game will be much closer than the 14 point spread and the Texans may finally get their first win at Foxbough.

  20. steelcity3684 says:
    September 21, 2017 at 10:36 am
    Florio’s take: Jay Cutler faces the team that should have been at the front of the line to sign him…………………

    Why would a team that completely tore down their roster sign a QB that is going to play a few years???

    Exactly, that’s why they they brought in a young QB like McCown who will be playing for a few months…………………………………
    Let’s be serious here,McCown cost a 1/3 of what a Cutler would and Cutler would never come to a team rebuilding so its a moot point anyway,McCown is cheap a great teacher and everyone knows he gets hurt every year so the younger kids will be play.

  21. Really simple if you see the facts……..the Redskins have fumbled the ball 4 times and threw a pick in the first two games the Raider have zero sacks and zero turnovers…..REALLY!!!

    Raiders 31
    Redskins 10

    Should be a hard hitting game .

    RAIDER4LIFE

  22. seabrawk12 – shut down in GB, barely able to beat a Hoyer led 49ers team at home, then acts unfairly slighted that someone thinks your team could possibly lose again to a good team on the road.

    Being delusional is fun, isn’t it?

    Seahawks are over rated. Supposedly contending for SB’s every year, yet struggle to win 10 games and can beat brutal teams that everyone else walks right over and spend all season arguing with each other through the media.

    I don’t know why you seem to love that everyone recognizes this, but alright.

  23. Pats won’t loose a second game in a row at home…..
    They are hurting & STILL figuring things out with all the new pieces as well as dealing with a lot of pre season & early season injuries…..
    Pats 27-17

  24. Kirk Cuz have 4 fumbles and a pick in his first two games and sacks

    Raiders have ZERO sacks ZERO picks and ZERO turnovers

    Should be a great battle

    Raider 31
    Skins 10

    Just the facts

    LOL

  25. Filed under ‘Carbo was safe 1970 World Series’, sub-title ‘any ump can call a tag at home plate even with his back is turned to the play’, Kerouac’s select picks NFL week 3:

    Injury-ravaged but on the rise Chargers over my over-rated Chiefs… not really an upset as the teams usually play close games. Both take turns winning in bunches – last 6 to KC while previous 4 before that went to SD/LA; time to switch back ~ @Chargers 27 Chiefs 24

    Rest the AFC West, Raiders win vs Redskins to go 3-0 and Broncos remain unbeaten too after beating Bills. As DEN close win earlier over LA, Chargers close win over Chiefs highlights how evenly matched are the teams AFC West.

    The at last headed right direction Browns over the Luck-less Colts… if Cubs can turn it around aft 108 years why not the Browns shorter order, smaller scale, regular season, IND. As Waldo, points will be hard to find in this fractious game ~ Browns 1 3/4 @Colts 9/10.

    Last but certainly not least, the best rookie QB NFL Watson leads HOU offense vs defense bereft NE. HOU 17 @NE 27 final score not important as watching new rookie QBs Watson and Kizer CLEV as well Trubisky CHIC & Beathard SF too, likely sooner than later. Those 4 QBs plus BUF’s Peterman the most impressive rookie QBs NFL preseason apologies Davis, Mahomes and Dobbs chowder & marching society.

  26. I have to admit it, it looks like my Giants season will basically be lost by week 3. Reese and McAdoo will be gone in 2018 barring a miraculous turnaround.
    =====================================================
    As a Chargers fan, when I see 0-2 I figure its just the normal start of the season.

  27. That horrible Bengals offense won’t give the Packers’ defense any problems in that stadium. Packers 35 Bengals 0

  28. No way does the Nathan Peterman era begin in Buffalo until Tyrod has lost us enough games to lock in a top 2 pick in next year’s draft. When we’re 1-14, then McDermott will let Peterman play the finale but only if we’re 1-15.

  29. The Cardinals OWN the Cowboys. Dallas secondary is hurting and Card run D is good enough to put a damper on Zeke. Cards get plenty of practice against Seattle to know how to handle Dak.

    Cards 23
    Boyz 20

  30. The Bills circled the wagons, probably the best game against a great Denver team who are incredibly talented at every position.

  31. Raiders at Washington

    MDS’s take: The Raiders’ offense has been outstanding through two games, and they should roll through Washington’s defense.

    MDS’s pick: Raiders 31, Washington 17.

    Florio’s take: Tune in Sunday night for Beastmode Meets The Brother of Chucky. It’s a horror movie. For the home team.

    Florio’s pick: Raiders 34, Washington 24.

    Wrong!!

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