PFT’s Week 17 picks

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This one was over a few weeks back, with MDS building an insurmountable lead. Last week, we disagreed on only one game. He was right, I was wrong. MDS went 13-3, I went 12-4.

To his credit, MDS isn’t resting his starters for a meaningless week of action.

We disagree on three games. For the full slate of predictions, you know what to do.

Washington at Giants

MDS’s take: It’s a meaningless game, although Kirk Cousins and Eli Manning will both be motivated to have a good performance heading into a big offseason for both of them. I see Cousins’ team having the better day.

MDS’s pick: Washington 27, Giants 20.

Florio’s take: A disappointing season ends for a pair of teams that had postseason aspirations. Now, one team will be hiring a new coach — and the other one could be doing the same.

Florio’s pick: Washington 24, Giants 20.


Jets at Patriots

MDS’s take: The Patriots aren’t losing to the Bryce Petty-led Jets with home-field advantage on the line.

MDS’s pick: Patriots 33, Jets 17.

Florio’s take: The Patriots know the perils of stumbling in a late-season game against a division rival. It cost them the No. 1 seed two years ago. It won’t happen again.

Florio’s pick: Patriots 27, Jets 10.


Bears at Vikings

MDS’s take: Minnesota clinches a first-round bye in what is likely John Fox’s last game as the Bears’ coach.

MDS’s pick: Vikings 20, Bears 10.

Florio’s take: Win or lose, the Vikings seem to be locked in to the No. 2 seed. Which means that if the Eagles lose in the divisional round, the Vikings could be hosting the NFC title game.

Florio’s pick: Vikings 30, Bears 10.


Packers at Lions

MDS’s take: Both teams are out of playoff contention, but the Lions should shut down Brett Hundley and complete the season sweep of the Packers.

MDS’s pick: Lions 21, Packers 9.

Florio’s take: A lost season for both teams; one coach likely will lose his job. There’s an outside chance that both will.

Florio’s pick: Lions 20, Packers 13.


Texans at Colts

MDS’s take: The Texans would probably be in the playoffs if Deshaun Watson and J.J. Watt had stayed healthy. Instead they’re going to end up with a Top 5 pick — which they traded to the Browns.

MDS’s pick: Colts 20, Texans 17.

Florio’s take: Two teams that were supposed to square off for the division title are battling for the basement.

Florio’s pick: Colts 16, Texans 13.


Browns at Steelers

MDS’s take: The Browns want to avoid 0-16, but unless the Steelers decide to rest their starters on the theory that they won’t catch the Patriots for home-field advantage, Cleveland is going winless.

MDS’s pick: Steelers 27, Browns 17.

Florio’s take: The season started with the Steelers handing Cleveland their first loss. It ends with the perfect bookend. And by “perfect,” I mean “nightmarish.”

Florio’s pick: Steelers 24, Browns 9.


Cowboys at Eagles

MDS’s take: Neither team has anything to play for, as the Eagles have clinched home-field advantage while the Cowboys are out of contention. I think the Eagles will rest starters while the Cowboys play to win.

MDS’s pick: Cowboys 23, Eagles 20.

Florio’s take: Has a game between these two rivals ever been less meaningful?

Florio’s pick: Cowboys 20, Eagles 17.


49ers at Rams

MDS’s take: The Rams don’t have much to play for, as they’re locked into either the No. 3 or No. 4 team in the NFC. The 49ers have nothing to play for, but that hasn’t stopped them from looking like one of the best teams in the league since Jimmy Garoppolo became the starter. I would have picked the 49ers even if the Rams were trying to win, but with Sean McVay confirming he’ll bench his best players, I think the 49ers should easily finish on a five-game winning streak.

MDS’s pick: 49ers 28, Rams 20.

Florio’s take: The Rams will be resting some starters, and the 49ers are trying to finish with a flourish.

Florio’s pick: 49ers 27, Rams 17.


Raiders at Chargers

MDS’s take: After their 0-4 start, not many people thought the Chargers would still be in contention in Week 17. They need help to make the playoffs, but they’ll do their part against the Raiders.

MDS’s pick: Chargers 24, Raiders 14.

Florio’s take: The Raiders are limping to their new home away from home; how many Oakland fans will show up at Black Hole South? And will it matter?

Florio’s pick: Chargers 27, Raiders 21.


Chiefs at Broncos

MDS’s take: The Chiefs are locked into the AFC No. 4 seed and will have nothing to play for, but if Paxton Lynch is the Broncos’ starter I just don’t see them winning even against a team taht isn’t trying.

MDS’s pick: Chiefs 20, Broncos 13.

Florio’s take: Why should anyone in Denver show up for a meaningless game? To get a glimpse of what could be the meaningful future of the quarterback position in Kansas City, via the debut of Patrick Mahomes.

Florio’s pick: Chiefs 27, Broncos 14.


Jaguars at Titans

MDS’s take: The Titans are fighting for their playoff lives, so they’ll come in hungry and beat a Jaguars team that they may face in a playoff rematch.

MDS’s pick: Titans 28, Jaguars 24.

Florio’s take: Think the Jaguars are playing for nothing? Think again. They don’t want the Titans rolling into Jacksonville next weekend, and the best way to prevent that is to knock them out, now.

Florio’s pick: Jaguars 24, Titans 17.


Saints at Buccaneers

MDS’s take: New Orleans should put up a big game to clinch the NFC South. This one won’t be close.

MDS’s pick: Saints 31, Buccaneers 10.

Florio’s take: The Bucs are falling apart, and the Saints are putting it all together.

Florio’s pick: Saints 30, Buccaneers 13.


Bills at Dolphins

MDS’s take: The Bills still have a shot at the playoffs, and they should be able to pull out a win against a Dolphins team with nothing to play for.

MDS’s pick: Bills 24, Dolphins 16.

Florio’s take: The Dolphins get a chance to close out the season by spoiling Buffalo’s shot at ending an 18-year playoff drought.

Florio’s pick: Dolphins 27, Bills 20.


Cardinals at Seahawks

MDS’s take: It’s been a disappointing season in Seattle, but they’ll finish strong against an overmatched Cardinals team.

MDS’s pick: Seahawks 30, Cardinals 20.

Florio’s take: Don’t look now, but the Seahawks may be heading for the postseason — and possibly for a rubber match against the Rams.

Florio’s pick: Seahawks 24, Cardinals 17.


Panthers at Falcons

MDS’s take: The Falcons will sneak back in the playoffs with a close win at home.

MDS’s pick: Falcons 28, Panthers 27.

Florio’s take: The Falcons won’t have to worry about blowing a fourth-quarter lead in the playoffs after they blow a fourth-quarter lead to the Panthers on Sunday.

Florio’s pick: Panthers 30, Falcons 27.


Bengals at Ravens

MDS’s take: Baltimore gets the win and returns to the playoffs in Marvin Lewis’s swan song.

MDS’s pick: Ravens 24, Bengals 13.

Florio’s take: The Ravens could make things very interesting in the AFC playoff field.

Florio’s pick: Ravens 27, Bengals 10.

41 responses to “PFT’s Week 17 picks

  1. Even if Vikings lose as long as Saints win Vikings keep 2nd seed bc we beat them and they beat Carolina, regardless if Panthers win. But I dont think Zim would let the Bears beat us.

  2. Even if Vikings lose as long as Saints win Vikings keep 2nd seed bc we beat them and they beat Carolina, regardless if Panthers win. But I dont think Zim would let the Bears beat us. My bet is Atlanta will be out and seachicken in.

  3. .
    ” but if Paxton Lynch is the Broncos’ starter I just don’t see them winning even against a team that isn’t trying.”
    __

    Colder than the wind chill factor in Duluth
    .

  4. Tampa Bay and Chicago have been putting up a fight the last few weeks so I don’t think theyre involved in blowouts, but still expect the Saints and Vikings to win. Atlanta will be playing at home with more desperation, will edge Carolina. 3 NFC South teams in the playoffs, with Carolina @ NOLA in a grudge match of a Wild Card game next weekend.

  5. @numba1wiscosportsfan: Have you been watching the same Packers team as everyone else? Brett Hundley was looked mostly terrible outside of the Steelers matchup. I’m all for the Packers developing players, but they NEED someone else with more veteran presence for next year to backup Rodgers if he gets hurt again. Brett Hundley is no better than a 3rd stringer at this point.

  6. Has a game between these two rivals ever been less meaningful?
    _
    I don’t know, what about last year when the same exact thing but in reverse happened? Cowboys had locked up home field and the Eagles had been eliminated.

  7. The Vikings should have their backup’s in during the 4th quarter. This game should not be close.

  8. I honestly think the iggles should approach this game as if they had to win to get in !

  9. “The 49ers have nothing to play for, but that hasn’t stopped them from looking like one of the best teams in the league since Jimmy Garoppolo became the starter. I would have picked the 49ers even if the Rams were trying to win…”

    Some news for you: whether or not the 49ers might look like one of the best teams in the league, the Rams ARE one of the best teams in the league. Resting their starters will definitely make a difference, but otherwise, it’d be ludicrous to pick the 49ers if the Rams were actually trying to win.

  10. Florio’s take: Has a game between these two rivals ever been less meaningful?

    Florio’s pick: Cowboys 20, Eagles 17.

    _______

    Uh, maybe last year’s week 17 game when the Cowboys played Romo for the last time.

  11. @magnis I disagree, he’s the q.b. Of the present and future and I like his game. I’ve been watching just fine thanks, I will be on the right side of history with Huntley just you watch. Trade Rogers while he still has value, he’s damaged goods now. But it’s been a good ride. Go pack

  12. Despite having won all 3 games since Carson Wentz went down everyone seems to have written off the Eagles. As good as Wentz was they are more then a one man show so be careful what you wish for.

    Happy New Year to All!!

  13. Are the Eagles going to rest their starters? That would be a mistake, because they haven’t played too well against losing teams the last two games with Foles at quarterback. They’re going to need unity and continuity plus momentum going into the playoffs, even with home field advantage and a first round bye. And they are playing Dallas at home, Philadelphia’s most hated opponent. Beating the Cowboys would answer a lot of questions and give the Eagles a much needed boost before January. I wouldn’t put it past Dallas to lose this game and end this miserable season on a depressing note.

  14. joetoronto says:
    December 28, 2017 at 11:31 am
    In what way can the Ravens make the AFC playoff field interesting? They are terrible.

    ———————
    Because they have a history of turning off the terrible if they squeak into the playoffs. Flacco morphs from a liability into a pro bowler. Frankly if they squeak in they will become a bigger concern to the Patriots than either the Steelers or KC. The Patriots can probably still beat them in a Gilletteplayoff game, but not definitely like with the others.

  15. Sloth72 says:
    December 28, 2017 at 12:43 pm

    Raiders 41 Chargers 6
    ——————-

    It would be hilarious for the Raiders to have their best game be completely meaningless.

    One Island. RaiderIsland.

  16. A lot of wishful thinking for a Bengals win I see. That tells me a lot.

    As much as you guys hate to admit it, you really don’t want the Ravens coming to your city for a playoff game.

    Well, too bad.

  17. Bucs are just wanting the season to be done and see who gets FIRED. Saints win

    Falcons at home play yet another close one but does just enough. Falcons win

  18. numba1wiscosportsfan says:

    December 28, 2017 at 10:56 am

    I think Huntley has a rebound game and earns a big contract for next year. Kid has looked good! Go pack
    /////////////////////////////////////////

    hang in there numba1…hate to break the news to you but your team is really bad and will be starting over next year….new coach/QB/GM….where to start??

  19. It cost them the No. 1 seed two years ago. It won’t happen again

    That was a very strange game as I recall. Bill wasn’t all-in on that one, and it makes no sense to this day.

  20. Florio’s take: A lost season for both teams; one coach likely will lose his job. There’s an outside chance that both will.

    As they say, “Hope springs eternal. . .” There needs to be a housecleaning in GB, starting from Team President, Mark Murphy, and extending downward, including GM Ted Thompson, Mike McCarthy and Dom Capers. This is not a kneejerk reaction because of what happened this year, but rather something which I have felt for the last several years. In the meantime, I have written a letter to Aaron Rodgers, suggesting that he demand a trade. Why would AR want to continue to play for a team which is so full of ineptitude?

    I love the Pack, but they have mismanaged the prime years of one of the greatest ever.

  21. Patriots 31 Jets 17 run game and some turnovers from the Jets get the Pats Home field advantage. Lock of the week is Seahawks 20 Cardinals 10 as the Cardinals have only Fitzgerald on offense right now making Seattle’s job easier. Upset of the week has to be 49ers 24 Rams 17 as Garoppolo will continue his great play.

  22. Hill and Kelcey are going to rack up 3 receiving touchdowns apiece against the vaunted Bronco secondary. We’re going to see six funky dance moves from those two, while Mahomes sets a new franchise yardage passing record.

  23. Aside from when they hosted the Eagles, the Seahawks haven’t put together a complete game this season. Don’t put money on them, they went from “refuse to lose” to “aww, #$&@ it” at some point in the past couple seasons.

  24. I don’t watch the Rams enough to know how they do it, but they scheme their runs with holes big enough to drive a semi-truck through, which lets Gurley’s best attribute win, speed. If the Niners take away the planned lane, or make Gurley go skinny through tight holes or have to evade tacklers with lateral moves, he’s toast, and so is the Rams offense. Gurley is not good at navigating traffic, nor reading defenses and choosing the right block to cut behind; he needs the scheme of the play to win with a defined hole to hit on time, in stride.

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