A.J. McCarron will get paid more this year than Andy Dalton

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Some would say that the Bengals, now faced with A.J. McCarron becoming an unrestricted free agent, should choose McCarron over Andy Dalton. Apart from the team’s assessment of the two guys as players, there’s an important factor that is even more important to the Bengals, given that they are extremely careful with money.

Dalton’s deal averages $16 million per year, and he’ll make $13.9 million this year in salary and workout bonus. McCarron will at least average $16 million on the open market, and he’ll get considerably more than $13.9 million in 2018.

Is he worth it, you ask? We’re all worth whatever someone will pay and if the 49ers will pay Jimmy Garoppolo $27.5 million for seven inconsequential career starts, what will someone pay to a quarterback who started three meaningful regular-season games and a playoff game that, based on McCarron’s efforts, the Bengals should have won.

So, yes, McCarron will get paid. A lot. And people who don’t follow football closely will be shocked. Those who do won’t be.

There aren’t enough good quarterbacks to go around, and McCarron is good enough to get paid more than $16 million per year.

55 responses to “A.J. McCarron will get paid more this year than Andy Dalton

  1. WRONG!!! We are not ALL WORTH what ever someone is willing to pay us!! Ask Brock Osweiller and many other QB’s plunked down into NEW systems with new teams! We get PAID what ever someone else is willing to pay us, does not mean we are worth it. Different thing. Just ask the Patriots. Some teams are just dumb when it comes to paying these unproven, guys who have never even won a damn playoff game top money. But thanks to this ongoing narrative “there aren’t enough good QB’s to go around” nonsense. Teams unwisely OVERPAY to their detriment as evidenced by so few SB appearances even though all the teams except the Patriots have done this over and over again.
    People said Blake Bortles, Nick Foles, and Case Keenam were a part of the “not good QB’s’. And they were a few of the QB who did turn out to be WORTH IT!!!

  2. Someone might pay him $16 million but he isn’t worth it. McCarron’s efforts in that playoff game got the Bengals 16 points so forgive me if I’m not overwhelmed by all of his success.

  3. Question: If McCarron is so good, why is he sitting behind Dalton?
    My theory: The Bengals view Dalton’s floor as a 7 and his ceiling as an 8. When McCarron filled in, his ceiling sure looked like a 9, but the conservative Bengals seem to be afraid his floor might be a 5.

  4. conormacleod says:
    February 16, 2018 at 1:30 pm

    He’s worth $16 mil a year? Based on what?
    ……..
    Desperate owners pay high and in their rich minds they think they got something better.

  5. “the 49ers will pay Jimmy Garoppolo $27.5 million for seven inconsequential career start”

    I would argue Jimmy’s 2 starts with the Pats were not “inconsequential”. They were both wins and helped get the team to the Super Bowl

  6. Dalton is perfect for a team that isn’t actually trying to win. Surprised the browns haven’t traded for him

  7. There’s 4 QBs projected to go in the first round. On top of that you have Cousins, Keenum, Bridgewater, Bradford, McCarron, and Alex Smith who will likely be starting for different teams this year. Add in the fact that Josh McNown is a viable stop gap for 1 year and Nick Foles could be starting for a QB needy team if they want him bad enough and it looks like there is a glut of QBs on the market with varying amounts of upside and/or track record.

    That’s almost a 1/3rd of the league’s worth of QBs that will most likely be starting for new teams next year. If teams don’t have a QB of the future or QB of the present on their team next year, it’s not for lack of quantity.

    I think the biggest issue with the league is the quality of coaching. Having a Jeff Fisher as your first coach can get you labelled a career backup while another coach can make his system fit you.

  8. It is just the nature of the position. Scott “The Water Buffalo” Mitchell played OK for a few games in place of Marino and the Lions bet the farm on him. Usually you get a Mike Glennon but sometimes — very rarely but every now and then — you get a Drew Brees. The jury is still out on Garoppolo but odds are he flames out Glennon style.

  9. Oh …. and that playoff game that A.J. McCarron “should have” won was only against Small Ben in Big Games doing his usual pooping of the bed so it’s not like McCarron had to play great … or even good … to get a win.

  10. how could he possibly warrant a long term, big contract. It seems ridiculous to give him anything more than an incentive-based, 1-3 year contract

  11. Ask a 49ers fan or anyone around the team if Jimmy G’s 5 starts were in inconsequential games. Jacksonville and Tennessee sure didn’t think those games were inconsequential at the time either. If both teams are there to win it isn’t an inconsequential game, especially when 1 team has playoff aspirations on the line.

  12. There’s way more QB’s available than there are spots to fill so the idea that McCarron is going to get paid a huge contract is silly. He’s a second tier guy compared to the others who are available like any of the Vikings QB’s who hit free agency and Cousins that have way more NFL game experience than he does. He’s still going to have to prove that he has more upside than Josh McCown, Tyrod Taylor and Blake Bortles. Especially since he says he only wants to go somewhere where he will start which is limited to Arizona, Cleveland, Denver and maybe the Jets and Jacksonville depending on if they let McCown and Bortles walk or not.

    Also keep in mind this is a very large QB draft class and most of the QB needy teams are on the top of the board.

  13. At the moment, 25 million to 26.5 million is the going rate for a tier 1 NFL QB. AJ must be really pumped up after winning that hearing. I like him as a starting NFL QB but until he pulls a Case Keenum, it’s just unproven! Very accurate passer with good agility. A smart and QB needy team will pay him 12 mil per yr with heavy incentives that could take him into elite money, 25 mil., if he leads a team on a deep playoff run.

  14. There are enough quarterbacks to go around, and the 2017 season showed that you don’t need a ‘franchise’ guy to go deep in the playoffs

  15. “So, yes, McCarron will get paid. A lot. And people who don’t follow football closely will be shocked. Those who do won’t be.”

    Yes the seething arrogance. I’ll be shocked with whatever he gets and I follow Football closely, why will I be shocked, because it means someone was willing to overpay again, for the chance of a QB. With little NFL track record, he’s going to get paid “market rate” which is really just a silly term for “highest bidder” at a chance that he might, just might pan out. In reality that chance is small, considering the track history of QBs with little starting experience signing a big deal and panning out. If you are talking about market rate than he needs to be paid market rate for a QB with a handful of games starting experience, what he is going to get is “market rate for a chance that he is great” which is shocking.

  16. A smart and QB needy team will pay him 12 mil per yr with heavy incentives that could take him into elite money, 25 mil.,
    **********************************

    If AJ gets $25m per year, the owners in the NFL are stupider than I thought. The bottom line is this – if a QB gets into an offensive system that matches his skill set, he will succeed. If he’s put into a system that doesn’t play to his strengths, he will do poorly.

    Why is it so hard to understand that? Guys are drafted every year based on what they did in college, then are asked to completely learn a new system and fail and folks wonder why it didn’t work.

  17. Why couldn’t McCarron unseat Dalton?

    Why couldn’t Garoppolo unseat a 40 year old QB who just got outplayed by a backup QB in the SB?

    The answer to both questions is irrelevant. You can only go by the film of each QB. Both QBs had good film, so someone will pay McCarron.

  18. The fact that the Bengals keep bringing back lewis, proves they are not committed to winning, so it’s equally not surprising that they wont spend on upgrading their QB position, if I were a Bengals fan, I would be screaming for a front office coup.

  19. There is 0 chance that a guy whos started all of 4 total games in his career makes more then 16 million, there 0 market for that….2 out of the 4 games he didnt even reach 2 yards….

  20. $16 million for a QB is cheap in 2018.

    MMQB did a comparison of QBs in 1997 compared to 2017. Farve was making 15.7% of the salary cap at $6.5m. Top paid qb Matt Stafford in 2017 was making 15.1% of the salary cap. Historically, 15% has always been the average for the QB position.

  21. All these reports on how this QB needs a raise because another QB now makes more money than so-so superstar QB. IT’S ALL GARBAGE.

    Take a page out of Brady’s book. QB’s are the face of the league. If you’re any good, you will make much more in endorsements than actual NFL money. So, take a contract that pays you $15 million a year and build a team around you.

    You would think that in professional sports, winning is better for you than making a ton of money and not winning (see Joe Thomas with the Browns). Get the rings and you will get paid way more than you would have if you just looked for money and lost.

    If you as a professional athlete can’t “make it” off “only” $15 million a year (or hell, even league minimum) then you need to rethink what you’re spending your money on and who you are spending it on.

    Just because you make a lot, doesn’t mean you need to spend it all. That’s how you become poor when you can’t play anymore. I’d rather play, invest and be retired at 30-35 than, play, spend, try to prolong my career and realize that I could’ve retired to a beach somewhere and not need to work ever again.

    But hey, what do I know….I’m just a poor, middle-aged, middle class, white male. I’m not part of the “elite” money makers of the world……

  22. Backup game manager QBs generally get paid backup, game manager type money. Guy is careful so has a high completion percentage and low INT ratio with a very low yards per attempt. He’s not proven anything as far as QB1 goes.

  23. McCarron will succeed as a good NFL qb.
    He does not possess the big arm, is not flashy, will not be a limelight guy. What he will bring is intelligence, solid work ethic, leadership, and good decision making.
    I like him and he can help a lot of teams asap.
    Is he worth 16M a year….we will find out.

  24. Just curious who PFT thinks is going to give him a starting gig (and starting money).

    By any measure, he’s the somewhere between 5th and 7th most desireable among available vet qbs. About the same number are likely to be drafted in first 2 rounds and those guys don’t sit anymore. On top of that Bortles’ injury guarantee looks likely to vest and the Giants look like they intend to keep Eli for next season.

    Where the hell is he guaranteed to be a starter? Unless it’s Cleveland and they trade down instead of drafting a qb, I just don’t see a big market for him to be a starter.

  25. patsfan4lifesbchamps says:
    February 16, 2018 at 3:36 pm
    Why couldn’t McCarron unseat Dalton?

    Why couldn’t Garoppolo unseat a 40 year old QB who just got outplayed by a backup QB in the SB?

    The answer to both questions is irrelevant. You can only go by the film of each QB. Both QBs had good film, so someone will pay McCarron.
    ………………………………………………………………………..

    i stopped reading at brady got out played by foles….. what a joke

  26. Bengals fan here. McCarron is so wildly overrated. I love the guys attitude and it’s impossible to root against him, but if you watched his 4 starts, there was nothing impressive about it. Hue Jackson neutered the offense. He didn’t throw deep. Just a bunch of safe throws, hoping not to lose the game. AJ Green’s numbers suffered. People just looked at the regular season numbers with no context.

    Sure, the passer rating was solid (89.6 in his 4 starts alone), but like I said, he was playing it very safe and the offense was neutered. They had less than 300 total yards in 3 of his 4 starts. Mac averaged 191 yards passing. It was a giant ball of meh. The hype seems to have more to do with his Alabama days and his wife than his actual play.

  27. He is going to get paid, but needs to ask for his money up front. As others have mentioned, a bunch of experienced QB’s will hit the market. Most will sign, knowing that there will still be one drafted in the first 2 rounds. AJ’s job is to keep that kid on the bench until he is ready.

  28. patsfan4lifesbchamps says:
    February 16, 2018 at 3:36 pm
    Why couldn’t McCarron unseat Dalton?

    Why couldn’t Garoppolo unseat a 40 year old QB who just got outplayed by a backup QB in the SB?

    ————

    Why have your Jets not been relevant since the 1960s?

  29. conormacleod says:
    February 16, 2018 at 1:30 pm
    He’s worth $16 mil a year? Based on what?
    = = =

    Based on…what teams have paid in the past to backup QBs who have shown well in limited action.

    Why is anyone shocked by this? Happens. Every. Year.

  30. And today about noon the Sirrius NFL Channel broadcasters said that McCarron should get somewhere in the 6-8 million range..First thought was how much the Bears paid Glennon.Almost called in but wanted to see other views. You confirmed my estimates of this expected f.a. salary.

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