If you’re confident enough in your own personal mock draft to put money on the first overall pick, you can. And the odds-on favorite to go first overall is Penn State running back Saquon Barkley.
Bovada is taking bets on the first overall pick, and Barkley is the favorite at +170, meaning a $100 bet on Barkley going first overall would result in a $170 payoff if he does go first next month.
After Barkley come four quarterbacks: USC’s Sam Darnold at +240, Wyoming’s Josh Allen at +400, Oklahoma’s Baker Mayfield at +550 and UCLA’s Josh Rosen at +700.
The odds of any player other than Barkley and the four quarterbacks going first overall is +1500. So if you think the Browns are going to shock the world, a $100 bet will pay off at $1,500.
Those odds translate to roughly a 33 percent chance of Barkley going first overall, 23 percent for Darnold, 17 percent for Allen, 14 percent for Mayfield, 10 percent for Rosen and 3 percent for any other player.
So the Browns are about twice as likely to draft a quarterback as they are to draft Barkley. But Barkley is the favorite because no one is sure which quarterback the Browns will take.