Oddsmakers peg Pats as favorites to win the most games

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Now that the draft has come and gone, an effort to predict a team’s total wins becomes slight more relevant. Or, more accurately, slightly less irrelevant.

Regardless, bets can now be placed in Las Vegas (in time, plenty of other states) regarding a given team’s total number of wins. Via David Purdum of ESPN.com, the Patriots lead the way with 11 wins.

That’s a drop in one game from last year’s preseason over/under total. And it’s a suggestion that perhaps things may not be as rosy for a team that has won 12 or more games for eight straight seasons.

Four other teams are pegged at 10 or more wins, with a pair of Pennsylvania teams (Eagles and Steelers) at 10.5 and a pair of NFC North teams (Packers and Vikings) at 10.

The Rams have jumped to 9.5, and the 49ers moved to nine — three more wins than they had in 2017.

44 responses to “Oddsmakers peg Pats as favorites to win the most games

  1. The Patriots division is and has been awful for ad least a decade. They are good for 6 wins a year already in the books. They play 500 football for the rest of the season and they win 11 games but on average the win 6 of them so there is there 12 & 4 record. Way too easy every year for The Patriots with that donkey division.

  2. take the over on that

    easy money

    it has been 12+ for years and the injury bug from last year is very unlikey to carry into this season.

    looks like vegas is hoping to take on some hater
    money and fleece the anti-patriot contingent who keep hoping.

    well, keep hoping

  3. rjth2012 says:
    April 29, 2018 at 9:35 pm
    The Patriots division is and has been awful for ad least a decade. They are good for 6 wins a year already in the books. They play 500 football for the rest of the season and they win 11 games but on average the win 6 of them so there is there 12 & 4 record. Way too easy every year for The Patriots with that donkey division.

    1 2 Rate This

    —————————————

    lmao

    it is a lot better than the nfc west of the 1980s when sf won the division every year and were not challenged until 1988 ot 1989 by the Rams.

    It is not the Pats fault they understand there is a salary cap and know how to build good or great teams, sticking to the disciplines needed to sustain it.

    They will play anyone, anywhere, anytime.

    Enjoy that view of yours.

  4. rjth2012 says:
    April 29, 2018 at 9:35 pm
    The Patriots division is and has been awful for ad least a decade. They are good for 6 wins a year already in the books. They play 500 football for the rest of the season and they win 11 games but on average the win 6 of them so there is there 12 & 4 record. Way too easy every year for The Patriots with that donkey division.

    —–

    And yet the teams in the AFC East beat the Pats more often than the rest of the league….

  5. I’m guessing 12…. maybe 13 this year
    & just think about what they will be able to do with all those draft pics next year??!!
    Brady, my guess, gets a contract extension by mid season for 2-3 more years……
    I’m kinda loving it!!!!
    How bout you??!!
    Go Pats!!!!

  6. Any time someone says the Patriots continually rack up wins because of a weak AFC East, it just shows someone who doesn’t want to let facts get in the way of a good story. It’s not the weakest division in the league– look at the numbers.

    In regards to the over/under of 11 wins, I find it more of a statement about the rest of the league, not the Patriots. ONLY 11 would be a down year for the Pats. The fact that nobody else is assigned anything greater shows the league is down as a whole.

  7. .
    I don’t know if Darnold or Allen will pan out. However, their entry into the AFC East, along with the return of Ryan Tannehill gives the oddsmakers the impression of a tighter division.
    .

  8. The whole “easy schedule” thing because the afc east is weak cracks me. Let’s just pretend for second that the Pats aren’t in the division so that those teams don’t get “automatic loses”. Buff jumps to 11-5. Mia to 8-8. Jets, well…

    The point is that the afc east has looked so bad for so long in good part because the fact that the Pats are in it. It goes both ways.

    Meanwhile you can look to the afc south as the weaker division. They had two 4-12 teams last year. Even the afc north teams get 2 automatic wins vs the browns and then the bangals and ravens hit or miss every year for a while now. Also consider how many times we’ve had to travel to Pittsburgh and Denver.

    Easy schedule gets way overblown.

  9. I see one obvious overlay. Anyone who knows personnel knows the Rams are way more than half a game better than the Niners. I think it’s hilarious you can get the Rams at 9.5 and the Niners at 9. There’s no comparison in talent between these two teams. The Niners won a handful of meaningless games last year and suddenly they are a 9 win team? Check out there schedule, they will be lucky to end up 8-8

  10. “The Patriots division is and has been awful for ad least a decade.”

    Somebody just couldn’t wait to post Pats Hater Myth #1.

    AFCE is #3 in out of division wins over the last 15 years with or without the division leaders included. They lose more because they face the Pats all the time, but they have plenty of wins against the other divisions.

    The Pats beat every roughly 75% of the time in the Brady-Belichick era. Keep ignoring the actual numbers and records of the other AFCE teams against non divisional opponents if it makes you feel better

  11. Even if as you falsely claim the Patriots play in a weak division, how do you explain their excellence against the rest of the league and throughout the playoffs. Stop trying to make the case that year in and year out they are anything other than the best in the league. Did they win the Super Bowl this year? No (thank you Coach Belichick) but as usual they were there.

  12. rjth2012 says:
    April 29, 2018 at 9:35 pm
    The Patriots division is and has been awful for ad least a decade. They are good for 6 wins a year already in the books.
    ————————-
    Despite the fact they usually go 4-2 or 5-1 every year….

  13. rjth2012 says:

    April 29, 2018 at 9:35 pm

    The Patriots division is and has been awful for ad least a decade. They are good for 6 wins a year already in the books. They play 500 football for the rest of the season and they win 11 games but on average the win 6 of them so there is there 12 & 4 record. Way too easy every year for The Patriots with that donkey division.
    ———————————————————————————–

    Patriots since 2000 including playoffs

    Vs. AFCE 80-29 WP .7342
    VS rest of league 167-55 WP .752

    did not break out between conferences

    people go on myth not facts

  14. ayokel21 says:
    April 30, 2018 at 12:12 am
    What are the odds on the Pats losing yet another Super Bowl.
    —————————–
    They are better than your team making playoffs.

  15. I wasn’t thinking about my Pats and it occurred to me that BB jumped the shark a couple years ago and the offense and Brady have carried this team ever since. I can’t believe that’s the conclusion I’ve come to, but after this past super bowl and draft I think it’s solid. This team minus Brady the last few years wins 9 or 10 and gets bounced by Denver, Pittsburgh, or Jacksonville.

  16. They definitely will beat the stuffing out of the Steelers, that’s for sure. Steelers’ receivers get so nervous playing the Patriots they drop everything.

  17. ayokel21 says:
    April 30, 2018 at 12:12 am
    What are the odds on the Pats losing yet another Super Bowl.
    —————————–
    They are better than your team making playoffs.

  18. If the Packers and Vikes are both forecast to win 10 games, it does not look good for the Bears or Loins.

  19. AFC easy or not, you still have to win those games regardless. Not as easy as one thinks….. who was it that said “Thats why we play the games!” Safe picks for thos who pontificate for profit I could easily see the Packer and Vikings winning 11 games – 10-6? Lame safe prediction.

  20. Brady will be 41 soon. The end is near for belicheat.
    ***************************************

    Eventually you will be correct – so keep repeating this mantra as you have for the last several years and then when TB retires you can pound your chest and tell us all that you called it – because being correct 1 of the 15 years you’ve said this is pure genius on your part.

  21. Patriots since 2000 including playoffs
    Vs. AFCE 80-29 WP .7342
    VS rest of league 167-55 WP .752
    did not break out between conferences
    people go on myth not facts
    ======

    People do indeed go on facts.

    Bills.. 1 Playoff trip in the Brady-era.. 0 wins…. same as the mighty Browns

    Dolphins… no Playoff wins in the Brady-era

    Jets… 6 Playoff trips.. 2 AFCC Games.. but a doormat since 2010, with no end in sight

    This is the NFLs worst division BY FAR.

  22. terripet says:
    April 30, 2018 at 6:44 am
    Take the under the cheaters will be lucky to win 10

    —-

    Yes, oh and don’t forget, Andrew Luck will not only receive his first single vote ever but WIN the MVP award this year. Wager on that slam-dunk as well while your at it.

    So to be clear, if you hate money, take this advice. Or, you could simply light it on fire…

  23. The 2018-19 season is a formality. The Pats just need to show up on a few Sundays & they’ll win the AFCC – guaranteed. Correct, Pats fanboys?

  24. rjth2012 says:
    April 29, 2018 at 9:35 pm
    The Patriots division is and has been awful for ad least a decade. They are good for 6 wins a year already in the books. They play 500 football for the rest of the season and they win 11 games but on average the win 6 of them so there is there 12 & 4 record. Way too easy every year for The Patriots with that donkey division.

    ==============

    Too bad Brady’s winning pct both in and out of division are remarkably similar, within .04 pct points actually. And that’s with perennially playing a 1st place schedule. AFC East plays Pats just as tough as rest of league, not disputable.

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