Playoff odds have Patriots the heaviest favorites, Cardinals the longest long shots

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The New England Patriots are heading into the 2018 season in a familiar place: Overwhelming favorites to make the playoffs.

Playoff betting odds are available for every team, and the Patriots are incredible -1500 favorites to make the playoffs. In other words, you’d have to bet $1,500 just to make a $100 profit on New England making the playoffs. The Patriots have made the playoffs every year since 2009, and every year with a healthy Tom Brady since 2003, and this year they should do it again.

New England is by far the heaviest favorite to make the playoffs, followed by Pittsburgh at -550 and Philadelphia and Minnesota each at -260.

At the other end of the spectrum, the Cardinals are +800 underdogs to make the playoffs, meaning if you bet $100 on the Cardinals to make the playoffs, you’d win $800 if they make it. Arizona is the longest long shot, followed by Cleveland, Miami and the Jets each at +600.

Via OddsShark, here are the playoff odds for all 32 teams:

New England -1500
Pittsburgh -550
Philadelphia -260
Minnesota -260
Green Bay -170
Los Angeles Rams -170
Los Angeles Chargers -145
Jacksonville -140
Houston -135
New Orleans -130
Atlanta +115
Kansas City +120
Carolina +130
Baltimore +135
San Francisco +135
Dallas +145
Tennessee +165
Oakland +165
Seattle +220
Detroit +260
Denver +275
New York Giants +325
Indianapolis +325
Washington +375
Cincinnati +400
Tampa Bay +425
Chicago +450
Buffalo +450
New York Jets +600
Miami +600
Cleveland +600
Arizona +800

84 responses to “Playoff odds have Patriots the heaviest favorites, Cardinals the longest long shots

  1. Am I missing something? Why are the Cards lowest? I know they have some challenges, but their nucleus isn’t bad, and their defense is pretty good. I’d take those odds.

    Of course, I’m a sucker so I’ll bet on the Bucs too.

  2. The Vikings !
    Lol , I don’t see them even making the playoffs.
    Rodgers is back , so back to another Super Bowl less Viking year.
    And , are you aware the Vikings NEVER -EVER won a Super Bowl

  3. Pittsburgh and Jacksonville should trade places. Philly should be higher. Neither philly nor Jacksonville were flukes last year yet it looks like the odds are hedged that way a little.

  4. Such a stupid article. We all know the Patriots have “haters” and “defenders” and an article like this is to stir up all the “They play in the AFC Least division” losers, which in turns stirs up all the hardcore fans tired of hearing how 2 decades of strong play can be written off so easy.

    Again, this is a loser article. Don’t believe me? Check the comments in 10 minutes and see.

  5. Cardinals will take second in the NFC West, above the Seafrauds and the 49ers. By the way, didja hear about the fire sale on bandwagons in Seattle and San Francisco?

  6. The Cardinals are the biggest longshot only because (a) they play in the stacked NFC, and (b) Cardinals fans already live in the desert so they’re less likely to travel to Las Vegas. I would give Tampa Bay the longest odds because the three other teams in their division are clearly better than they are and they’re almost guaranteed to start the season 0-3. In the AFC, literally anybody could make the playoffs because New England, Pittsburgh, and Jacksonville are the only teams that are very likely to make it. If any of the top NFC teams has a major injury or goes through a rough stretch, they could miss the playoffs because there are so many good teams competing for only six spots.

  7. Packers anywhere near the top is a joke. All they have is Erin Rodgers. He can’t pass to himself and their defense can’t catch either.

  8. Last time a team from the AFC East won a Super Bowl not named the Patriots, Elvis was alive. That’s not a joke. It’s true. Yes Pats fans, your team has a cake walk EVERY year… no it’s not their fault but it it’s still a fact. You have the most putrid division in the NFL.

  9. So it seems to me, the best bet is $100. for the Patriots to NOT make the playoffs.

  10. Flash1287 says:
    July 5, 2018 at 4:20 pm

    We know it’s because of the division, right crybabies?
    ======================================================
    Well, its true – that does help.
    Though they are also an excellent team.

    Your not quite crying, but also not blind Steelers fan.

  11. Lotta New England fans hurrying to set up their defenses on the AFC east division argument.

    I’m not intentionally taking anything away from the pats, but look at that division…you can’t say that doesn’t have anything to do with their odds.

  12. cookerduff123 says:
    July 5, 2018 at 4:55 pm
    Lotta New England fans hurrying to set up their defenses on the AFC east division argument.

    I’m not intentionally taking anything away from the pats, but look at that division…you can’t say that doesn’t have anything to do with their odds.

    No doubt what you are saying is true
    But a lot also has to do with teams (see Miami) making bad decisions with bad contracts trying to keep up

    My only beef with the division argument is no one ever said that about Manning in the AFC South he also had little to no competition it that division

  13. year after year…. New England does the same thing. Mainly because the other teams in their division fallover when they play.

  14. firerogergoodellnow says:
    July 5, 2018 at 4:36 pm

    What were the playoffs odds in 2017?
    _________

    Great question. Here are the odds for the eventual playoff teams right before Week 1:

    New England -1500
    Pittsburgh -320
    Jacksonville +320
    Kansas City -145
    Tennessee +110
    Buffalo +500
    Philadelphia +165
    Minnesota +150
    LA Rams +700
    New Orleans +250
    Carolina +110
    Atlanta +125

    Biggest misses:
    Dallas -105
    Green Bay -280
    NY Giants -115
    Oakland -170
    Seattle -425

    So among the top eight teams in terms of odds, only three made the playoffs. Something to think about before you part ways with your money.

  15. Patriots fans: “Division has nothing to do with it”
    NFL fans: “How many playoff teams has the NFC Least had over the last 20 years?”

    Reality is reality. Your team has been dominant, but it sure helps to have a division lay down for you for a decade plus.

  16. Seems to me, that all these “odds makers” do is plug in the way the teams finished the season prior, and call it good. There seems to be no consideration of off season activities, or acquisitions.
    How original.
    My 11 year old could do better than that.

  17. flviking says:
    July 5, 2018 at 4:40 pm
    New England is a sucker bet. They WILL not make the playoffs.
    _______________________________________

    Proving you don’t know the definition of sucker bet or what makes them the best team in the AFC. Troll on brah but you probably shouldn’t bet Mom’s house on it.

  18. “Pats fans, your team has a cake walk EVERY year… no it’s not their fault but it it’s still a fact. ”

    Actually its not but you people ignore the actual facts. The Pats have essentially the same winning % against the entire league, within a few points of .750. That’s in division and out of division.

    The other teams in the AFCE have the same poor record against the Pats everyone else does, but 3rd highest winning percentage outside of division for the last 15 years. If they were that bad they would have the worst out of division winning percentage.

    The Pats have been dominant against everyone, irregardless of division, irregardless of conference. The Giants played them hard in the SBs they won, and the Seahawks played them well in the regular season, but most of the other teams have the same wretched record against the Pats.

  19. New England is like the horses that go off chalk every race and burn money when they lose.Same story this year.

  20. Remember, these are just the offs for making the playoffs, not winning the Superbowl. If that were the case, bet against the Vikings and you would have won 56 years in a row and #57 is looking like a lock.

  21. 3xapple says:
    July 5, 2018 at 4:27 pm
    Says more about the sad state of the AFC Least than it does about the strength of New England
    —————–
    Brady’s record against the NFCE, NFCS, NFCN, AFCS and AFCN is better than his AFCE record. And even against the AFCW & NFCW its about a 2:1 win ratio.

  22. flviking says:
    July 5, 2018 at 4:40 pm
    New England is a sucker bet. They WILL not make the playoffs.
    _______________________________________

    Here is a safe bet: the Vikings won’t win the SB….again. 58 years and counting. They are on a roll.

  23. Surprising due to the number of refs retiring. That only must mean Kraft has got the rookie refs in his pocket already.

  24. The Redskins should be last – once that infamous weak offensive line hits the regular season, their geriatric QB won’t last eight games. This team will see how much Cousins bailed out a horrible team.

  25. The odds for an epic playoff disappointment are once again led by Pittsburgh at -2500 which is significant change from last year’s -1500. We all know Vegas doesn’t lie.

  26. Probably the safest bet in the history of mankind.

    AFC LEast teams not residing in Boston have 0 Playoff wins between them since 2010. 3 trips in 7 years.

    Worst division in all of pro sports.

  27. Flash1287 says:
    July 5, 2018 at 4:20 pm
    We know it’s because of the division, right crybabies?

    no its because the three other teams in the afc east suck. look at the bottom of the list….all in the bottom five.

  28. OK, let’s reorganize the league with the goal of putting NE in the toughest possible division. Seriously, it’s not about the division anymore when you get to what, a dozen AFC title games and 8 Super Bowls in 18 years. You have to make the playoffs, sure but if you were only good in your division then explain the success long term.

    So, how exactly are you going to convince 3 of 28 teams they should play NE 2x/yr? Yeah, I can see the line forming….never.

  29. I’d fly to Vegas tonight to place a huge bet if the line was “most likely to go one-and-done in the postseason.”

    Hands down: Vikings.

    The Vikings own the all-time NFL record for one-and-done postseason appearances. That includes all pre-merger teams when only six teams were in the league. There should’ve been numerous opportunities to own this record of infamy during that era, but no, the Vikings own it outright and they’ve only been around since The Dawn of Man (1961.)

    Combine this ignoble record with also owning the most post-season losses of any kind and it really makes you scratch your head for why their fans feel entitled to throw shade at the team with the most championships since the league began (Packers-13.)

    But then again, it all makes sense when you realize they’ve been trained out of pure frustration since birth, to pick needless fights.

    Good luck with that.

  30. First time in a long long while that Vegas finally figured out that Seattle is a pretender, not a contender, for the Lombardi Trophy. May be it is because if they pick Seattle as one of the favorites, then even the intellectually challenged 12th won’t believe it and they won’t place their bets on their team winning it all, unlike previous seasons.

  31. truecowboyfan says:
    July 5, 2018 at 4:49 pm
    Last time a team from the AFC East won a Super Bowl not named the Patriots, Elvis was alive. That’s not a joke. It’s true. Yes Pats fans, your team has a cake walk EVERY year… no it’s not their fault but it it’s still a fact. You have the most putrid division in the NFL.
    ———
    Elvis died 8/16/1977.
    Denver, Pitts, Oakland, Baltimore and Indy have all won the SUPERBOWL.
    Have another shot……..

  32. Chargers, Texans and Chiefs are grossly overrated. Tennessee, Miami and Arizona are all underrated. The Browns will never be a team with a winning record as long as they have Hue Jackson as head coach. They should be the favorites to draft first overall again.

  33. AFC east has the bills and until last year hadn’t been to the playoffs this century. Can’t remember the last time the jets were competitive. The division is soft unless your a pats fan.

  34. That line IS because the AFCE will be bad this year. The other 3 are rebuilding for the end of Brady(they hope). Pats fans that have correctly and statistically pointed out the relative strength of the AFCE in the Brad/BB era are correct. The trolls know it too. If they don’t they should. Especially funny to hear fans of the AFCN and AFCS, which have taken turns being terrible, spout off.

  35. Oh and who’s towards the bottom of this list? Buffalo Miami and the NY Jets. The division is so stacked!

  36. Brady and Belichick are the keys to the Patriots Vegas line but even I am surprised given the risk of injury and the deterioration in the back up position behind Brady. The risk reward of such a wager is too great.

  37. LOL at Pats gans who try to defend the AFC East as anything but mediocre or worse in the Brady era.

    Here’s all you need to show what a cakewalk it’s been. Name the best QBs Brady has had to face in the AFC East in his tenure.

    He played vs Peyton a bunch but he wasn’t in division and Peyton has a winning record vs Brady overall.

    When you realize that Chad Pennington, Ryan Tannehill, or washed up Favre for 1 season are probably the best QBs Brady has had to beat to win that duvision, it really brings it home better than any stat a Pats fan will spew.

  38. Hmm…I wonder what the odds were for a handful of angry and bitter Barney trolls to throw shade at the Packers for the simple fact that they’ve been giving their team the business all these years.
    Even money? Probably.
    skoLOL!!!

  39. He played vs Peyton a bunch but he wasn’t in division and Peyton has a winning record vs Brady overall.

    No he doesn’t
    Overall Manning has a losing record vs Brady
    It’s called google, use it.

  40. Easiest division, without an opposing QB. Easiest conference, as the AFC is not competitive annually. Still, I like the Eagles chances.

  41. randomcommenter says:
    July 5, 2018 at 7:25 pm
    LOL at Pats gans who try to defend the AFC East as anything but mediocre or worse in the Brady era.

    Here’s all you need to show what a cakewalk it’s been. Name the best QBs Brady has had to face in the AFC East in his tenure.

    He played vs Peyton a bunch but he wasn’t in division and Peyton has a winning record vs Brady overall.
    ———–

    Nice story….except Brady is 11-6 vs Manning

  42. Funny, I have never read on these threads how the Colts wormed their way out of the AFC East in 2002 because it was too competitive so they could play twice a year against a bunch of expansion teams. The Indy Colts won the division only twice, in 87 and 99. They, and the NFL, were dying to make Manning (rookie in 1998) a star.

  43. Dud some fool say Manning has a better head to head record vs Brady?

    I believe Brady leads the matchup 11-6.

  44. Doesn’t matter if you don’t win the superbowl and New England won’t be doing that.
    ______________________________________________________________________________________________________

    That actually might be true. But right as rain, the Steelers will get embarrassed by the Pats again this year for what seems like the 100th time. What does that say about the Steelers? Just think, the Steelers may have been a dynasty this season if it wasn’t for the Patriots…..oh well, good luck getting smacked by the Jags again this year.

  45. I’ve been a Arizona Cardinals fan since I moved there in 1992. I moved to Southern California 5 years ago, but stayed a Cardinals fan.

    However… the Cardinals I’ve known for the last decade are no longer there. They are like an entire new franchise that it will take time to get to know.

    So I’m going to leave them to rebuild their franchise in the 🐫 🌵 desert.

    I’m going to become a Los Angeles Rams fan that are within 20 miles of my residence.🤗

  46. screamingyellowzonkers says:
    July 5, 2018 at 7:09 pm
    truecowboyfan says:
    July 5, 2018 at 4:49 pm
    Last time a team from the AFC East won a Super Bowl not named the Patriots, Elvis was alive. That’s not a joke. It’s true. Yes Pats fans, your team has a cake walk EVERY year… no it’s not their fault but it it’s still a fact. You have the most putrid division in the NFL.
    ———
    Elvis died 8/16/1977.
    Denver, Pitts, Oakland, Baltimore and Indy have all won the SUPERBOWL.
    Have another shot……..
    ______________________

    Well, since none of the teams you’ve named play in the AFC East, it would appear your response doesn’t make a whole lot of sense.
    But then again, I suppose reading comprehension is hard.

  47. steelcurtainn says:
    July 5, 2018 at 4:40 pm
    Doesn’t matter if you don’t win the superbowl and New England won’t be doing that.

    —————————————
    Lol, says the fans of a team that measures their whole seadon against one opponent, that they always finish behind.

  48. AFC East has the third best winning % in the league last two years.
    AFC East had two of the four making the playoffs the last two years.
    Easiest division (least wins) the last two years was the AFC South,
    Most complainng about other divisions being easy is AFC North (second easiest)
    Least wins if you dont count top team is AFC North
    Toughest (most wins) was the NFC South.
    Most wins not counting top team is NFC South.
    Second Toughest is NFC West

  49. My question is…. let’s say the Patriots win all 6 games in the division for the year (which they don’t)… what about the remaining 10 games. If they are so easy to beat, why are they going 13-3 or 12-2 every year. Where are the rest of the teams at? I am not a Pat’s fan. That team is special.

  50. aarons444 says:
    July 5, 2018 at 6:12 pm

    Probably the safest bet in the history of mankind.

    AFC LEast teams not residing in Boston have 0 Playoff wins between them since 2010. 3 trips in 7 years.
    —————————————–

    The Patriots play closer to Providence than Boston, and I believe the Celtics and Bruins, being the only teams from Boston, have more than 0 playoff wins between them since 2010

  51. I was referring to Manning’s record vs Brady when it counted. Manning was 3-1 vs Brady in the AFC Championship and 3-2 overall in the playoffs.

    Also, it should be noted Brady won the first 6 matchups in a row when the Pats were much better than the Colts. Manning was 6-5 in the last 11 meetings when their teams were more even.

    Should also be noted that 10 of the 17 matchups Pats were home team where they have certain “advantages”

    And that still leaves the fact that the AFC East QBs have stunk so the Pats have an easy playoff road every year.

  52. @HAWKKILLER- HMM THATS WEIRD I DIDN’T SEE YOU POST SOME SNARKY COMMENT ABOUT THE SEAHAWKS AND HOW THEY’RE NOT GOING TO MAKE THE PLAYOFFS. PROBABLY BECAUSE YOUR TEAM GOT PUT ON BLAST ON THIS POST.

  53. Zwafflestomp says:
    July 5, 2018 at 8:29 pm
    screamingyellowzonkers says:
    July 5, 2018 at 7:09 pm
    truecowboyfan says:
    July 5, 2018 at 4:49 pm
    Last time a team from the AFC East won a Super Bowl not named the Patriots, Elvis was alive. That’s not a joke. It’s true. Yes Pats fans, your team has a cake walk EVERY year… no it’s not their fault but it it’s still a fact. You have the most putrid division in the NFL.
    ———
    Elvis died 8/16/1977.
    Denver, Pitts, Oakland, Baltimore and Indy have all won the SUPERBOWL.
    Have another shot……..
    ______________________

    Well, since none of the teams you’ve named play in the AFC East, it would appear your response doesn’t make a whole lot of sense.
    But then again, I suppose reading comprehension is hard.
    ———————————————
    LOL. You are right. I totally missed that.
    Sorry truecowboysfan !

  54. I was referring to Manning’s record vs Brady when it counted. Manning was 3-1 vs Brady in the AFC Championship and 3-2 overall in the playoffs.

    Also, it should be noted Brady won the first 6 matchups in a row when the Pats were much better than the Colts. Manning was 6-5 in the last 11 meetings when their teams were more even.
    ______________________________________________________________________________________________________

    So by overall record, you meant just playoffs? Got it. Usually when Brady played Manning it was close games and the home team won more often than not, including the last two AFC mach ups in Denver where the Broncos had historical defenses. Funny how everyone points to Brady having a great defense but leaves out the fact that Manning’s second SB was solely the result of the Denver defense.

    Regardless, what does this have to do with the current article? The Brady v Manning debate is well over and has been for years. Brady is the GOAT. Manning was really good in the regular season.

  55. fireroger says:
    July 5, 2018 at 4:21 pm
    <20 posts before somebody posts on the Pats perennial cake walk schedule. Despite that being anything but the case.
    ====================

    3xapple says:
    July 5, 2018 at 4:27 pm
    Says more about the sad state of the AFC Least than it does about the strength of New England.

    And the winner is 6. What do I win?

  56. truecowboyfan says:
    July 5, 2018 at 4:49 pm
    Last time a team from the AFC East won a Super Bowl not named the Patriots, Elvis was alive. That’s not a joke. It’s true. Yes Pats fans, your team has a cake walk EVERY year… no it’s not their fault but it it’s still a fact. You have the most putrid division in the NFL.

    cookerduff123 says:
    July 5, 2018 at 4:55 pm
    Lotta New England fans hurrying to set up their defenses on the AFC east division argument.

    I’m not intentionally taking anything away from the pats, but look at that division…you can’t say that doesn’t have anything to do with their odds.
    ==========================
    What division had 2 playoff teams the past 2 years? The same one everybody is claiming is a cake walk for the Pats.

    Every year it’s the same ole same ole. The reality is there are 2 other AFC divisions MORE than deserving of this scrutiny. Pit and Jax most certainly didn’t benefit from their division last year either. Or the year before. Or the year before …….

  57. 3xapple says:
    July 5, 2018 at 5:02 pm
    Patriots fans: “Division has nothing to do with it”
    NFL fans: “How many playoff teams has the NFC Least had over the last 20 years?”

    Reality is reality. Your team has been dominant, but it sure helps to have a division lay down for you for a decade plus.
    ====================
    Since we’re talking about “reality” let’s also entertain the notion that we’re talking about 6 out of 16 games every year (What’s the Pats W/L record in the division again?). Because of SB\playoff appearances the Pats have been playing those other 10 games against much better teams year after year. But we’ll conveniently dismiss that even though it’s supposedly the same argument being used to demonstrate the superiority of the NFCE.

  58. vaphinfan says:
    July 5, 2018 at 5:49 pm
    Surprising due to the number of refs retiring. That only must mean Kraft has got the rookie refs in his pocket already.
    ==================
    sniff sniff

  59. AFC East had two of the four making the playoffs the last two years.
    *********************************************************************
    Six teams make the playoffs in each division, not four

  60. @harrisonhits2. You can’t calculate it that way. Of course New England has a good record against everyone. They have been a good team… but that doesn’t mean they haven’t had an easier road. You have to calculate their opponents win percentage during their Superbowl runs. Primarily the fact that they have played in the worst division in football since 2001. That doesn’t mean they’re not a great team but you can also say they have had an easier schedule on route to all those division titles and #1 seeds.

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