Lots of bets on the Browns in Vegas

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The Browns have been the worst team in the NFL two years in a row, but that doesn’t mean no one will put money on them this year.

In fact, Las Vegas sports books are seeing a steady stream of bets on the Browns to get to the Super Bowl.

“There are more bets on the Browns to win the AFC North than the other three teams combined,” a sportsbook manager for Caesars Palace told ESPN. “Only the Raiders and Steelers have more bets to win the AFC [than the Browns]. The public likes the Browns, and I’m not sure why.”

For the sportsbook manager to say he’s “not sure why” people are betting on the Browns is a little hard to understand: It’s easy to see why people are betting on the Browns. People think it’s fun to bet on long shots. Sports books are generally offering odds in the 60-1 to 80-1 range on the Browns, which would pay off $6,000 to $8,000 on a $100 bet if the Browns win the Super Bowl. It’s a lot more fun to place that bet and dream about what you’d do with all that money than it is to place a $100 bet on the Patriots, which would only pay off $600 if they win the Super Bowl.

And there are some reasons to think the Browns should be better this year. Tyrod Taylor and Baker Mayfield make them better at quarterback than they were with DeShone Kizer, and the defense has a lot of young talent. A bet on the Browns at 80-1 odds isn’t too bad a bet.

Enough people have now bet on that long shot that the casinos will be actively rooting against the Browns to win the Super Bowl.

“The Browns are our only liability right now,” MGM Vice President Jay Rood said. “We’re sitting pretty well on every other team except Cleveland.”

If the Browns were to win the Super Bowl after going 0-16, it would be the biggest single-season turnaround in American sports history. It would also make some bettors a lot of money.

65 responses to “Lots of bets on the Browns in Vegas

  1. Will the Browns be better? They have to be. Vegas is loving the action because they will come out ahead.

  2. I’d bet even money on Brady destroying another cell phone this year. (“What cell phone?”)

  3. “It’s a lot more fun to place that bet and dream about what you’d do with all that money than it is to place a $100 bet on the Patriots, which would only pay off $600 if they win the Super Bowl.”

    I dunno about that, I think I’d rather think about having an extra five hundred dollars on a realistic bet then setting 100 on fire.

  4. I’m not a gambler, but isn’t the whole point of “setting the odds” to make all bets +/- equivalent? Or at least comparably attractive to bettors? If yes, then this outcome demonstrates other than the fact that the odds setters miscalculated public confidence in how relatively poor the Browns are, and/or the general public’s faith in NFL parity. I’m pretty sure the Browns still share the longest odds, and rightly so.

  5. Vegas is getting rich from these bets. LOL The Browns may not have the worst record this season, but that is a huge leap to think that they can get to the SB. They are unlikely to even make the playoffs.

  6. The over/under for the Browns is 4 games this year – I would bet on that and take the over but the SuperBowl? No way…..

  7. The first sentence should read “The Browns have been the worst team in the NFL two years in a row, but that doesn’t mean we won’t have more articles about them than any team for some reason.”

  8. As an Eagles fan I believe the Cowboys will win their 6th Super Bowl this season. We only have one and it took decades.

  9. After watching the 1st few Hard Knocks episodes, the only bet I’d be making on the Browns is that Hue is the 1st coach fired. He truly has no idea how to run a football team.

  10. Lol talk about a sucker’s bet. Last time I checked the Browns were still owned by con man Haslam. They aren’t winning the AFCN

  11. No NFL team has ever gone 1-31. Other than the games against the Jets, @Bucs and @Broncos I can’t see the Browns winning more than 3 games. Hue will put this on Taylor’s back (he went to the playoffs last year).

  12. The Browns are better but….I still don`t think their as good as Cincinnati,I`m pretty sure their still not better than Baltimore and i know their not better than Pittsburgh so winning the division is still a VERY long shot but a Super Bowl? You would feel much better about yourself just donating that money to a good charity instead of Vegas.

  13. Michael E says:
    August 21, 2018 at 12:58 pm

    As an Eagles fan I believe the Cowboys will win their 6th Super Bowl this season. We only have one and it took decades.

    ———————————————————

    Anyone who has spent any time on here knows that (1) you aren’t an Eagles fan, (2) you are a troll and a tool.

  14. waynefontesismyfather says:
    August 21, 2018 at 12:45 pm
    We’re still looking for the Lindbergh baby too. Some things are just not understandable.
    ——————————-
    It was found a couple of months later, just 4 miles away. The head was bashed in and the body partly attacked/eaten, but it was positively identified from the feet and estimated to have been decomposing for 2 months. There are still potentially very valid conspiracies about that case but the body was the baby. FBI has a good website on it all actually.

  15. Before Hard Knocks gets you hyped about a team that only has talent, please review their schedule. The Browns were served one of the most difficult schedules in the league.

    I believe they will be better (than 0-16), but I don’t see much more than 3 winnable games with that brutal schedule. A good team would be lucky to go 8-8. Check it out.

  16. there are better odds on the browns making the super bowl, playing the packers, breaking rodgers collarbone in the first quarter… and then having kizer beat them.

  17. The Steelers could be one Big Ben injury away from missing the playoffs, which would open up the whole mediocre division, where the Browns could have a slight chance at a playoff berth if they are indeed as improved as the media is portraying them to be. But making it to the Super Bowl is not going to happen in any scenario.

  18. Yes, the Browns will be better than a 1 win team

    No, the Browns won’t even sniff the AFC Championship Game, much less the Super Bowl

  19. the only way the browns get to the Super Bowl is via Industrial Light and Magic or some other CG firm in the next Hollywood blockbuster;

    this bunch wouldn’t make it with Yoda at quarterback and a Wookie at tight end;

    not with Bubbles as head coach, Dreyfus for a GM and an owner who runs by picture windows of uniform stores that display an orange jumpsuit;

  20. On Tom Brady destroying a cell phone this year, well if he does up upgrade to a new phone this year, he sure is heck is going to “destroy his cell phone ” because that’s what most reasonable people do when they upgrade ! Especially if they are a celebrity !!!!

  21. allsyntax says:
    August 21, 2018 at 1:43 pm
    …please review their schedule. The Browns were served one of the most difficult schedules in the league. I believe they will be better (than 0-16), but I don’t see much more than 3 winnable games with that brutal schedule. A good team would be lucky to go 8-8. Check it out.
    ————————————-
    Several sites have the Browns listed at 16th hardest, so right bang in the middle. Some sites do at least say that Browns have the toughest out of just those teams in the AFCN – but even then what they, you and some others overlook with such simplistic statements is that the Browns’ schedule is usually going to be harder than their divisional bedfellows because the Browns don’t get to play the Browns twice each year. For the same reason idiotic folks claim the Pats schedule is easier than many of their competitors because they conveniently overlook that if Pats had to play the Pats twice each year their strength of schedule rating would polevault up the rankings.

  22. “There are more bets on the Browns to win the AFC North than the other three teams combined,”

    Sure…..people recognize that any team could win the cream-puff AFC North

  23. “tvguy22 says:
    August 21, 2018 at 12:21 pm
    Hue is still the coach, right?”

    Eight games in when they are 1-7 he will be fired and Todd Haley will take over as HC. At the end of the season he will be selected as the new HC of the Browns.

  24. “For the same reason idiotic folks claim the Pats schedule is easier than many of their competitors because they conveniently overlook that if Pats had to play the Pats twice each year their strength of schedule rating would polevault up the rankings.”

    So the only reason the Pats have a soft schedule is because they can’t play themselves? Yeah that’s weak, homer logic right there. Their schedule is typically soft because they play the Dolphins, Bills and Jets twice per year.

  25. jman967 says:
    August 21, 2018 at 2:50 pm
    “For the same reason idiotic folks claim the Pats schedule is easier than many of their competitors because they conveniently overlook that if Pats had to play the Pats twice each year their strength of schedule rating would polevault up the rankings.”

    So the only reason the Pats have a soft schedule is because they can’t play themselves? Yeah that’s weak, homer logic right there. Their schedule is typically soft because they play the Dolphins, Bills and Jets twice per year.

    ———

    And unlike when the Pats play the teams in the cream-puff AFC North, the Jets and Dolphins generally find a way to beat the Pats each season. When was the last time an AFC North team did that?

  26. It’s the Hype train. They’ve been on every sports show every day since the 2017 season ended first with the parade, then free agent moves, then the draft and now Hard Knocks. Combine that with the Baker Mayfield fans now jumping on Clevelands bandwagon and you get a bit of hysteria.

    Also the Browns schedule is pretty forgiving this year

    Could they win the AFC North?…. realistically no but 2nd place is doable as during the last two seasons with players who are all mostly out of the league or were on someones practice squad before that starting they were competitive against Baltimore and Pittsburgh.

    Outside their division they only play 4 2017 playoff teams (Saints, Panthers, Falcons and Chiefs). Out of that group the Chiefs no longer have the QB who got them there and the Saints traditionally play terrible against the Browns no matter how good their record is and how bad Clevelands is (Saints are 4-13 all time vs Cleveland). 8-8 and 9-7 could be realistic but then again this is Cleveland where somehow all their good players will be injured by week six.

  27. Nothing wrong with betting an underlay(I’m on th2w Falcons), but the Browns? Might as well donate the money to charity

  28. Browns can make the Division Championship if m’boy Baker Mayfield starts from Game 1. Tyrod Taylor is better-than-average (e.g., Blake Bortles), but Baker Mayfield is a playmaker QB like Russell Wilson.

    By the way… Russell Wilson is Five Foot Ten & 3/4, peeps, so height really has not much to do with excelling at the quarterback position.

  29. nhpats says:
    August 21, 2018 at 2:53 pm
    jman967 says:
    August 21, 2018 at 2:50 pm
    “For the same reason idiotic folks claim the Pats schedule is easier than many of their competitors because they conveniently overlook that if Pats had to play the Pats twice each year their strength of schedule rating would polevault up the rankings.”

    So the only reason the Pats have a soft schedule is because they can’t play themselves? Yeah that’s weak, homer logic right there. Their schedule is typically soft because they play the Dolphins, Bills and Jets twice per year.

    ———

    And unlike when the Pats play the teams in the cream-puff AFC North, the Jets and Dolphins generally find a way to beat the Pats each season. When was the last time an AFC North team did that?

    uh…..the browns?

  30. nhpats says:
    August 21, 2018 at 2:39 pm
    “There are more bets on the Browns to win the AFC North than the other three teams combined,”

    Sure…..people recognize that any team could win the cream-puff AFC North

    =======================================

    yeah – compared to the monster division of the Patsies, Jets (4 wins tops), Bills (7 wins tops) and Dolphins (somewhere 4-8 wins), they are cream puffs. NHPats – you are the most narrowminded, subjective poster on this entire blog.

  31. Since the Chargers moved, I have no team to root for. If the Browns can stop puking on their cleats year in and year out, I would probably root for them. But then again, I was a Charger fan for several decades and they found many different ways to puke on their cleats.

  32. streetyson says:
    Several sites have the Browns listed at 16th hardest, so right bang in the middle. Some sites do at least say that Browns have the toughest out of just those teams in the AFCN – but even then what they, you and some others overlook with such simplistic statements is that the Browns’ schedule is usually going to be harder than their divisional bedfellows because the Browns don’t get to play the Browns twice each year. For the same reason idiotic folks claim the Pats schedule is easier than many of their competitors because they conveniently overlook that if Pats had to play the Pats twice each year their strength of schedule rating would polevault up the rankings.
    ————————————
    I’m not conducting a statistical analysis on a flawed strength of schedule, but rather an empirical analysis of the teams as they stand today. Let me break their schedule down for you:
    Steelers — Playoff team
    Saints — Playoff team
    Jets — winnable
    Raiders — Playoff team 2 years ago
    Ravens — 9-7 in ’17, well coached
    Chargers — 9-7 in ’17, expected to win AFCW
    Bucs — winnable
    Steelers — Playoff team
    Chiefs — Playoff team
    Falcons — Playoff team
    Bengals — Winnable
    Texans — Playoff team 2 years ago; expected to be contenders with D. Watson
    Panthers — Playoff team
    Broncos — Tough D; push
    Bengals — Winnable
    Ravens — 9-7 in ’17, well coached

    I see 4 to 5 possible wins. What do you see? Even by your lazy effort Google search of team schedule rankings, understand that an average schedule is quite a mountain to climb for a below-average team.

    The Browns are 4-44 in the past 3 years. I see that they have talent, and they’re making changes. But I believe their schedule doesn’t do them any favors this year.

  33. A person’s opinion is not an empirical analysis. 8/9 teams are not gonna make the AFC Playoffs. 16th is the concensus predicted strength of schedule for the Browns and 5.5/6 wins is the current win number.

  34. Where do you see 8 to 9 AFC playoff teams in that schedule? I see 4 to 5 wins via my empirical analysis through observations of data. Vegas consensus sees 5 to 6 wins. We’re 1 game off. Bottom line, you’re preaching to the choir son.

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