Aaron Rodgers’ total deal: Six years, $174.8 million

AP

You’ll hear a lot of hype and hyperbole today about the new Aaron Rodgers deal, focusing on the new-money analysis that pegs the value at $33.5 million per year. But remember that Rodgers had two years left on his existing contract; the four-year extension makes it a six-year deal.

Based on the $39.8 million in salary and $1 million in workout bonuses Rodgers was already due to earn (I’ve left out the per-game roster bonuses), the base value of his new contract (if former teammate James Jones’ report of four years, $33.5 million per year are accurate) becomes six years, $174.8 million.

That’s a total value of $29.1 million per year, which definitely puts Rodgers at the top of the heap when it comes to total value at signing, $900,000 per year north of Matt Ryan‘s contract. (Ryan has a new-money average $30 million per year.) Rodgers also will get, from signing, only $1.1 million more per year in total value than the contract signed by Kirk Cousins.

Of course, Rodgers has committed for six years, and Cousins will hit the market again in three. Which, like the Sammy WatkinsOdell Beckham comparison from Tuesday, arguably gives Cousins the better overall deal. He’ll make $84 million over the next three years (fully guaranteed) and then he’ll step up to the trough again in 2021, needing $90.8 million over three years to match Rodgers’ six-year value.

Rodgers also has $100 million guaranteed (as usual, the initial reports don’t point out the critical difference between full guarantee and injury-only guarantee). But Ryan also has $100 million in guarantees, and all of that is as a practical matter fully guaranteed.

Bottom line? The Rodgers, Ryan, and Cousins numbers are close enough to prompt the same kind of reaction to Beckham’s deal: Definitely not fully reflective of Rodgers’ overall value to the team. For all the talk about creative structures and flexibility and whatnot, Rodgers did a fairly straightforward deal that ties him to the Packers for six seasons, and that gives him no apparent vehicle for avoiding the inevitability that someone eventually will be making more than $29.1 million per year at signing and/or more than $33.5 million per year in new money.

Or that, come 2023, a not-top-10 quarterback who consistently bet on himself will have made significantly more over the same six years than one of the greatest quarterbacks who ever played the game.

130 responses to “Aaron Rodgers’ total deal: Six years, $174.8 million

  1. Compare this money to what Brady has made for his career thus far. There are trade-offs to “betting on yourself” versus signing these long term deals. It’s a players’ choice so the player gets to own the results.

  2. If you asked every NFL player their #1 priority/dream/goal/whatever is, it seems most would now say “to be the highest paid player at my position” rather than “win championships.”

    Isn’t that something?

  3. Just as team friendly as Cousins deal.

    Guess he’s not greedy after all, eh?

    Just the best, and this allows his team to go after whoever they want.

    Man, I love being a fan of the Green Bay Packers, the best franchise in the NFL.

  4. Well Aaron must be happy with the 1 SB win! If he wanted more he would have signed a considerably more team friendly contract and let there be money left for the supporting cast.

  5. wow…… looks like there will be no more free agents going to GB.

    Give me Tom Brady at 18 million… any day and still be able sign players… that is how you do it..

    This QB just killed his team for the next 3- 4 years.

  6. I’m sorry, he is a great quarterback. But what has he done to justify this type of record breaking deal? One super bowl. I’m not a patriots supporter, but I wonder what Brady thinks about this…

  7. I would purchase injury insurance on your shoulders, Rodger….those 13 screws could snap in half….

  8. cardinealsfan20 says:

    August 29, 2018 at 2:00 pm

    “How to kill a team”.

    It is absolutely amazing how much more amateur commenters know than front office professionals.
    —————————-
    Use your brain Neal!

  9. Why not build a great team and have an average qb that doesn’t get paid a lot look at philly, Vikings, , Dallas, Seahawks (before r Wilson was r Wilson) even teams like Miami, Washington and rams had good years not paying the qb a lot. I

  10. Good. That is the right thing to do, even with his age being considered. The collar bone breaks do not suggest a negative injury history, just bad luck.

    Green Bay, speaking of Luck, really hit the jackpot with Aaron. His value to the franchise goes well beyond performance on the field. And his salary is clearly a reflection on that.

  11. There is no player more valuable to a team right now than Rodgers.

    Brady is the GOAT, but without him, his team is solid and well-coached – no longer a great team but a solid one. Without Rodgers, GB is toast, period. We saw what a disaster they were last season.

    Every team gets worse without their starting QB, but the span between with & without is greatest on the Packers. No other player – especially not the WRs, RBs, and defensive stars currently receiving ridiculous salaries – comes near that value.

    Also, another reminder than every dollar you spend on football makes the rich richer.

  12. Freed up 15 million in additional cap space. But yeah, totally killing the team.

    Between what you’d clear by trading Perry and picks for Mack and this deal, GB could sign Mack and make that happen.

  13. Considering Brady is 41, look what happened with Peyton, Brady isn’t getting that kind of money, no matter how good is. 27 million dollar cap hit Brady has isn’t much behind Rodgers.

  14. Viking fan here saying congratulations. He’s fantastic and, I wish he were on my team.

  15. imjustsayinsoo says:
    August 29, 2018 at 2:01 pm
    I’m sorry, he is a great quarterback. But what has he done to justify this type of record breaking deal? One super bowl. I’m not a patriots supporter, but I wonder what Brady thinks about this…

    Who cares? Don’t think the Packers, or the League asked him. And I for one don’t give a damn what he thinks.

    QBs don’t win championships. Teams do. If AR had BB he would have likely won more, been dominant in winning them (3-4 points is not dominant, sorry), and been more humble in doing so (last point might be up for grabs). He is a better QB. Hands down. Even in his prime if I had to pick a raw team, coaching aside, I would pick Rodgers in a second. Or Brees.

  16. Pretty sure that almost every NFL QB makes more money than they’ll ever spend in their lifetime and that’s fine, good for him. I think ego plays into this somewhat, I recall a few years back Brees had his contract worked whereby he had to paid $1 more than Peyton Manning.

  17. footballfan3 says:
    August 29, 2018 at 2:04 pm
    Why not build a great team and have an average qb that doesn’t get paid a lot look at philly, Vikings, , Dallas, Seahawks (before r Wilson was r Wilson) even teams like Miami, Washington and rams had good years not paying the qb a lot.
    ———
    And this strategy has worked out fabulously well for those teams, right? Each of them has had a dynasty, winning multiple championships, right?

  18. After seeing Ryan and Cousins sign huge deals, it’s good to finally see a similarly big money deal going to a player who is actually elite. But if I was a Packers fan I would be very concerned about the team committing so much money to a QB at age 35 through 40. The Pats committed to a 41 year old Brady after seeing 40 year Brady have an All Pro season.

    I’m sure Rodgers will have a great year this year at 35, and probably next year at 36. But after that, it sounds like they have guaranteed a further $60+ million for 37 and 38 year old Rodgers. If they were close to being a contending team, then sure, roll the dice. But they aren’t, and there’s no reason to think they will be in 2020, or 2021.

  19. “Green Bay, speaking of Luck, really hit the jackpot with Aaron.”

    GB had Favre, Brunell and Rodgers on their team at one time. It’s not luck. God HAS to be a Packer fan.

  20. I’m sure he will buy his parents a nice, big house, and take care of his family for life. Oh wait…..nevermind.

  21. Brady is the GOAT, but without him, his team is solid and well-coached – no longer a great team but a solid one. Without Rodgers, GB is toast, period. We saw what a disaster they were last season.
    ________________________________________________________________________________________________________

    With Rodgers, the Packers generally make it deep in the playoffs and fall short of the SB (except once). Without Rodgers, they miss the playoffs.

    With Brady, the Pats have a 50% chance of being in the SB every season and a > 60% chance of winning if they get there. Without Brady, the Pats miss the playoffs (again, sample size of only season).

    Bottom line, Pats don’t have nearly the same success without Brady.

  22. Wouldn’t matter to me if Kirk Cousins was a Viking, Redskin, Patriot or Brown. Rodgers at $29.1 million/year is a significantly greater value to a team than Cousins at $28 million/year. And it’s really not debatable.

  23. Brady is a great QB no doubt. But I believe Rodgers is more important to his team than Brady is to his. Case in point: Look at the Pats winning pct without Brady after Brady became the starter. It is near 68%. Heck, the team went 11-5 the year Brady was out. Rodgers backups are 6-11. Brady’s backups are 13-6.

    Point blank: GB paid up because they need him.

  24. Real men play out their contracts and honor their words. Divas cry, stop, use passive aggressive behavior to get what the want. He had two years left, suck it up play it out then negotiate. So its sending a message that you do not have to honor your contract, just cry when someone at the same position is making more. Maybe A A Ron shoudl have thought about that before signing his current deal.

  25. First of all I’m not a Rodgers fan, that being said, how can anyone compare him Beckham?!?!?!??!?
    I mean really, people know Beckham more for his mouth than his play on the field. Rodgers has skins
    on the wall and a ring. Beckham has a one handed catch that now every decent WR can make these days.

  26. well, i guess the “super bowl or bust” hype surrounding cousins can calm down now that ryan and rodgers signed even bigger deals. there aren’t enough lombardi trophies to go around.

  27. beerbratscheese says:
    August 29, 2018 at 2:22 pm
    Wouldn’t matter to me if Kirk Cousins was a Viking, Redskin, Patriot or Brown. Rodgers at $29.1 million/year is a significantly greater value to a team than Cousins at $28 million/year. And it’s really not debatable.

    /////////

    We’ll see a year from now, hard to debate when nothing has not happened yet and the season hasn’t even started.

  28. Keep in mind, Aaron Rodgers is about to be 35 years old in a few months. $100 million in guarantees and $29M/year for any 35 year old is a fairly big gamble. If I were a Packers fan, I would have been happier with a 3-year contract (IE: 1-year extension, keeping him under contract until he’s about 38) fully guaranteed with $30-32 million in annual value. Basically more money but you’re able to take a look at an extension after he’s played a couple years on the short-side to 40.

    Of course they may have structured it such that a lot of the guaranteed money is paid up over the next few years, achieving the same thing.

  29. While franchises keep outbidding on QBs in this weird arms race, I still see no evidence it works. Of all of these QBs who eat up a disproportionate part of their team’s salary cap we have no rings to show for it. That’s kind of astounding, and yet teams keep doing it because of the catch 22 of that if you don’t have a QB, you don’t have much of a shot in the league. However, if you can’t surround him with much because you have to go cheap everywhere else, it seems like you don’t have much of one either as evidenced by none of these QBs winning anything with these contracts in tow, even the very best of them like Rodgers. It’s just a weird dynamic going on.

  30. Rodgers never said a substantive word for or against anything throughout contract negotiations, and gave the Packers the respect they deserved and they in-return. He’s the consummate professional and team leader. This deal is not the most mind-blowing ever (and apparently didn’t need to be,) and still gives the Packers wiggle room to make even more improvements.

    Win-win. Big time. Very professional on both sides. Very indicative of top-tier athlete and top-tier management working together. No knee-jerk, unproven, “guarantees” as some division rivals were panicked into doing. The Packers know exactly what they’re getting.

    Very pleased. Good job.

    Go Pack Go.

  31. Someone, please explain to me how freeing up 15.4 million MORE in cap space means GB can’t add to the team around him?

  32. silvernblacksabbath – “Use your brain Neal”

    My brain tells me that Green Bay’s GM Brian Gutenkunst and salary cap expert Russ Ball know more about building an NFL roster and managing the cap than you do. Otherwise, you’d be working in the Raiders front office instead of posting internet comments.

  33. “Rodgers did a fairly straightforward deal that ties him to the Packers for six seasons, and that gives him no apparent vehicle for avoiding the inevitability that someone eventually will be making more than $29.1 million per year at signing and/or more than $33.5 million per year in new money.”

    Does there really need to be? I mean, how much is enough?

  34. Well when you look at what Matt Ryan and Kirk cousins got paid this is actually a bargain. Plus team control for 6 years? If I’m a packer fan, which I’m not, I’d be very happy with this contract.

  35. “Rodgers did a fairly straightforward deal that ties him to the Packers for six seasons, and that gives him no apparent vehicle for avoiding the inevitability that someone eventually will be making more than $29.1 million per year at signing and/or more than $33.5 million per year in new money.”

    Inevitably every players contract will be exceeded, some sooner, some later. For the most part, “biggest X contract ever” usually lasts 1-3 seasons at the most. Your deal is based on your value to the team now, not your possible value to the team in comparison to other players contracts in 3 years. The ultra-insane contract chasing that is promoted here is completely illogical. If you want to get the largest contract at your position every year, you sign 1 year deals. If you want long term security, you sign multi years deals based on your value now. Is that hard to understand?

  36. His deal “gives him no apparent vehicle for avoiding the inevitability that someone eventually will be making more than $29.1 million per year at signing and/or more than $33.5 million per year in new money”??? Shocker, an NFL contract that looks like nearly every NFL contract that came before it.

  37. tonyzendejas says:
    August 29, 2018 at 1:56 pm
    If you asked every NFL player their #1 priority/dream/goal/whatever is, it seems most would now say “to be the highest paid player at my position” rather than “win championships.”

    Isn’t that something?
    ——-
    True, but this is not unique to NFL players… I’d argue this is where we’re at in American culture. How many people compromise their supposed beliefs to make some extra cash? How many people bury their head in the sand regarding what’s happening in our highest office simply because the stock market is soaring?

    “More for me” should be our national motto. Vastly different from 50-60 years ago in this country.

  38. In 3 years time his avg of $33 mil will look average. Goff, Wentz, Cousins, Newton, will have deals expiring in 2020 or 2021. And of course,…. the agents want a renewal in place 2 years prior.

  39. It’s funny to see the comments of all of the fools who have no idea on how the salary cap works or how much cap space the Packers have over the next few years.

  40. Good that it’s finally done. And to anyone criticizing: this is the world we live in. If you want a premier quarterback for the long term beyond a friendly rookie contract, be prepared to pay for it. It’s as simple as that.

  41. tonyzendejas says:
    August 29, 2018 at 1:56 pm
    If you asked every NFL player their #1 priority/dream/goal/whatever is, it seems most would now say “to be the highest paid player at my position” rather than “win championships.”

    Isn’t that something?

    They are PROFESSIONALS, of course they’d rather have the money. I’m sure most people if they had the choice would rather be the highest paid at their job rather than the best at their job. I know I would.

  42. The money might as well go to Rodgers, since the Packers put a decent team around him anyways.

  43. Now that Rodgers has a new $175 million contract, maybe he can afford some family-counseling. Money is great but family is priceless.

  44. every one on here pretending they wouldnt take the raise offer to them.. trying to tell me youd say know for the “good” of the company, get over it.. he is far better then Ryan or Cousins, so its a fair deal in todays market for a guy thats only got one peer as far as the best QB arguement

  45. Well, so far the new GM is making some bold moves and getting things done. I like the trade with Seattle. Let’s see if he can add some talent now. Their draft picks for 2018 look very good, but they still need depth at O line and help at LB.

  46. Great QB, but I don’t think any player in the NFL is worth that much of the salary cap. I understand QB is important…but how much do you need, vs how much are you hampering your team to not win a SB?

  47. As a Packers fan, I’ll take this deal. Franchise qbs are only going to get more expensive as time passes. Now, he’s locked in so as the cap goes up the hit drops and it’s not bad to start with. Everyone can have an opinion about this, and I will respect theirs, but outside of NE, Pittsburgh, Philly, Atlanta and maybe 1 or 2 others I am forgetting about, every GM and fan base in football would take Rodgers with this deal in a heartbeat.

  48. And for what its worth…given Rodgers deal vs Cousins deal, I would take Rodgers every day of the week.

    I saw Cousins 2-4 times a year in the NFCE, and he is not that good. He had 2 really good receivers, and a very good TE.

    Rodgers had Nelson and almost no run support…

  49. So a player is worth $30 million per season. His team agreed he is worth that much to them by agreeing to pay him that much and people on here are screaming he killed the team? Aaron Rodgers isn’t paid to be the GM or paid to manage the team’s salary cap. Neither are any of the commentors on here. If the team didnt want to pay Rodgers or they thought his price was way too high they should have held firm like the Raiders are doing with Khalil Mack. If the ownership wants they have plenty of creative ways to handle this. They could put in place an exception that a QB that has played x amount of years for a team only has 60 percent of his salary count against the cap. They could raise the cap. It’s just rediculous that there’s a league wide socialism cap on team salaries but capitalism for individual player salary and people are mad at the capitalist and not blaming the socalism.

  50. The trolls who were defending Cousins contract who hasn’t done squat and which isn’t much less per year are now criticizing Rodgers. Jealousy is rearing its head.

  51. Carson Wentz is going to get a deal for more then ARod soon..then Arod, Jimmy G, Cousins Brady ect will all want more.

    I hate that these players (especially DTs who are replacable) get this kind of money. It cribbles a teams cap options.

    I wish the owners can work out in the next contract to “cap” each position. QBs top dollar say at 30 million. RBs say top out at 12 mill, WRs around 15 ect (the dollar amount is just to show my point) This way the race to be the highest paid at their position is a Max dollar amount and the EGO (which to be honest is their goal) is a non factor.

    These players that hold out ect don’t realize they cribble their team and minimize their chance for a ring. I give TB12 alot of respect for taking less to win and giving Kraft the more options to bring in help for Brady to win more rings. He has EIGHT Super Bowl appearances with FIVE wins. He should be making more then anyone and chooses not to for the team.

  52. The way i look at things is. Rodgers and Brady Both great QB’s. I happen to like Brady much more because i am a Patriots Fan. I enjoy all Great Players . They are Both Great. the end of the story lol.

  53. Have fun the next couple of years Packers. I sense an implode. They are going to have no money to pay for talent for Rodgers to throw to, which is going to drive him crazy and spew more “piss poor performance” comments from him. If they don’t do it this season its over

  54. Well, he is signed until he’s 40 years old now, hopefully he can sustain his play till age 40 like Brady, not everyone can.

  55. red says:
    August 29, 2018 at 1:56 pm
    can he stop crying now?
    ——-
    When has he cried about anything? Please cite examples.

  56. Not bad for a kid from Chico, CA.

    And really, all the analysis — why bother. At that level, what’s a few million one way ore the other. He’ll never spend it anyway.

  57. I’m not sure what I’m more tired of:

    In depth contract analysis or the national anthem debate.

  58. This is actually a pretty cap-friendly deal, and opens up more space short-term to make a Khalil Mack trade possible. Their cap situation is pretty good next season on, with few big contracts to worry about.

    BTW, why are Pats and Raiders fans showing so much jealousy on here?

  59. jimicos says:
    August 29, 2018 at 3:25 pm
    red says:
    August 29, 2018 at 1:56 pm
    can he stop crying now?
    ——-
    When has he cried about anything? Please cite examples.
    ———-

    Just off the top of my head:

    – Barr’s “dirty” hit on him.
    – The NFL salary cap, wanting it to be like the NBA.

  60. tsi431 says:
    August 29, 2018 at 2:08 pm
    Considering Brady is 41, look what happened with Peyton, Brady isn’t getting that kind of money, no matter how good is. 27 million dollar cap hit Brady has isn’t much behind Rodgers.

    _______________________________________________

    Brady’s cap hit in 2018 is $22M. That info is readily availible.

  61. Is that full price or with the discount double check? It very funny to all the fans of teams with QBs getting big money had so many awful things to say about and still do about Drew Bree’s contract you hypocrites.

  62. Packer fan logic Highest paid QB = Super Bowl Win this year Right? So now you can brag about having the highest paid QB min the NFL congrats! How long will it take if he fails to live up to fan expectations before you here… Hey Rodgers you aint worth 173 Mil?

  63. At the moment, when healthy, he is the best QB in the league though. Absolute best at free plays for 12 men on the field and also the quick offside snap free play.

  64. A private company getting to make its own rules which benefits its overall profitability is the opposite of socialism.

  65. CheeseisGoodforYou! says:
    August 29, 2018 at 2:31 pm
    Haters continue to Hate. And the Packers continue to win. Last year was a fluke.
    Super Bowl here we come babyyyyyyyyyyyy !!!!!!!!!!!!!

    —— –
    This comment jumped out as very funny. How can someone say ‘continue to win’ and acknowledge they havent been winning all in one sentance.

  66. Before this deal was complete, of the Packers salary cap was tied up in the top 7 players. There are 53 players on the team. Enjoy the leftover peanuts, bottom 46.

  67. Before this deal was complete, 53 percent of the Packers salary cap was tied up in the top 7 players. There are 53 players on the team. Enjoy the leftover peanuts, bottom 46.

  68. This is what the going rate is now for great QB’s. You can’t fault Rodgers for taking the money or for the Packers for paying it. All the Viking trolls would be ragging them for being cheap if they let him go rather than pay. They will chirp like little birdies no matter what happens.

  69. Now I get why Big Ben wants to play 5 more years. Considering he has three super bowl appearances and two wins and puts up some pretty good numbers, I can see him getting a massive deal after this season.

  70. He deserves every penny. He is the difference between playoffs and a top 10 pick.

    Thank you GB for paying A Aron the boatload of cash he deserves.

    S/RaiderFan

  71. sixtimesbchamps says:
    August 29, 2018 at 4:24 pm
    Now I get why Big Ben wants to play 5 more years. Considering he has three super bowl appearances and two wins and puts up some pretty good numbers, I can see him getting a massive deal after this season.
    ——————-
    Heck, if you are on a roll like that you might as well just say 20 more seasons and 30 more Superbowls. If you are going to dream them dream big.

  72. jvonblohnjvb0013 says:
    August 29, 2018 at 2:22 pm
    Brady is a great QB no doubt. But I believe Rodgers is more important to his team than Brady is to his. Case in point: Look at the Pats winning pct without Brady after Brady became the starter. It is near 68%. Heck, the team went 11-5 the year Brady was out. Rodgers backups are 6-11. Brady’s backups are 13-6.

    Point blank: GB paid up because they need him.

    ———————-
    To Green Bay Rodgers is the difference between a sub .500 season and 2-3 rounds into the playoffs. Thats certainly not bad. So thats what Green Bay is getting for 29.1m.

    Brady takes a team from the edge of the playoffs to multiple SB wins. Thats a much bigger difference, it’s unheard of in fact. Thats what NE gets for 22m.

  73. jacktheraven says:
    August 29, 2018 at 4:40 pm
    WOW, Joe Flacco is a bargain.

    ——————————-
    Lol. Things I never thought I would ever agree with.

  74. Hey, do you really believe the owners are paying these humongous salaries? Think again the next time you check the price of an NFL or MLB ticket. It’s you and me. The average schmo can’t afford to go to games very often as a result. These spending wars are keeping the average guy from getting to the ballpark or stadium as much as he or she would like to. There is, however, the college game, where a great game can be seen for a reasonable price. The pros? I’ll see better on tv.

  75. The cap keeps increasing every year, this salary will be a smaller and smaller percentage

    It always has. It’s not guaranteed that it always will.

  76. Football, compared with other sports has a larger roster. Figure in the salary cap, most players not receiving a guarantee, plus it’s a sport that many walk away with some sort of lifetime health problem. QB’s are in huge demand. This sets up a lose, lose situation. There’s not enough money in caps to pay players what their value is without jeopardizing the overall talent a team can sign. Don’t hate the players for not signing “team friendly” contracts, hate the billionaire owners for not raising the cap.

  77. Ralphie says:
    August 29, 2018 at 3:39 pm

    tsi431 says:
    August 29, 2018 at 2:08 pm
    Considering Brady is 41, look what happened with Peyton, Brady isn’t getting that kind of money, no matter how good is. 27 million dollar cap hit Brady has isn’t much behind Rodgers.

    _______________________________________________

    Brady’s cap hit in 2018 is $22M. That info is readily availible.

    ———————

    Were not talking about 2018. This is about 2019 and beyond, which TB is at 27 million dollar cap hit, which is readily available, look it up.

  78. WI is SUPERIOR says:

    August 29, 2018 at 3:30 pm

    This is actually a pretty cap-friendly deal, and opens up more space short-term to make a Khalil Mack trade possible. Their cap situation is pretty good next season on, with few big contracts to worry about.

    BTW, why are Pats and Raiders fans showing so much jealousy on here?
    —————————-
    I actually root for the Packers when the Raiders are unwatchable. lol

  79. The problem isn’t the $/yr. It’s the duration. You’re expecting him to play until he’s 40 at a top level, as if that’s easy to do. How many QBs have ever done that? Now in year 4-6 you’re going to be stuck with the tough decision of cutting your all time great whose over the hill and using a walker, or keep him and be stuck in the cellar for another decade.

    Should have been a 4 year deal.

  80. Vikings fan here….Its well earned. Any team would die to have Rodgers under center. Look forward to competing against him for years to come. NFC North is stacked.

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