PFT’s Week Three picks

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The good news? I picked up a game on MDS, knotting the competition through two weeks. The bad news? I was 9-7 again, 18-14 for the year.

This week, we disagree on three games. Barring (another) tie on one of those games, one of us will take the lead.

So scroll down for our straight-up picks. And check out the video for this week’s Best Bets. MDS was 1-2 last week (3-3 for the year), and I also was 1-2 (2-3-1 for the year).

Jets at Browns

MDS’s take: The Browns are favored! That doesn’t happen often. And when it does happen, my advice is bet the underdogs.

MDS’s pick: Jets 20, Browns 17.

Florio’s pick: It’s time. It’s finally time. (Unless their kicker is injured and the coach doesn’t know about it. Again.)

Florio’s take: Browns 24, Jets 21.


Saints at Falcons

MDS’s take: I haven’t been real impressed with the Saints, who lost their opener at home and then barely beat the Browns at home. On the road, I think they’re going to struggle with the Falcons.

MDS’s pick: Falcons 30, Saints 21.

Florio’s pick: One of the most underrated rivalries in the NFL could determine the NFC’s Super Bowl representative. Advantage home team.

Florio’s take: Falcons 30, Saints 27.


Packers at Washington

MDS’s take: Washington won in Week One, but that was more about Arizona being terrible than anything else. I see a second straight ugly performance in front of tens of thousands of empty seats at FedEx Field.

MDS’s pick: Packers 24, Washington 10.

Florio’s pick: One-legged Aaron Rodgers will make quick work of the overmatched home team.

Florio’s take: Packers 34, Washington 20.


Colts at Eagles

MDS’s take: Andrew Luck is looking good and Carson Wentz is a question mark, which makes me tempted to pick the Colts in an upset, but instead I’ll pick the Eagles to win a close one.

MDS’s pick: Eagles 24, Colts 23.

Florio’s pick: Carson Wentz is back, and so are the Eagles. Until Wentz gets injured again.

Florio’s take: Eagles 27, Colts 20.


Bills at Vikings

MDS’s take: This should be the easiest pick on the board. The Bills just aren’t competitive.

MDS’s pick: Vikings 30, Bills 10.

Florio’s pick: Vegas is daring you to take the Vikings giving 16.5 points. But the home team was too distracted by the aftermath of the Week Two tie, and they surely aren’t taking the bumbling Bills as seriously as they should. While the Bills won’t win, they’ll cover. Barely.

Florio’s take: Vikings 35, Bills 20.


Raiders at Dolphins

MDS’s take: I’ve been burned picking against the Dolphins two weeks in a row. I won’t make that mistake again.

MDS’s pick: Dolphins 24, Raiders 20.

Florio’s pick: It feels like a correction game, with the Dolphins unexpectedly at 2-0 and the Raiders unexpectedly at 0-2. It won’t be. The Dolphins are legitimately good and the Raiders legitimately have problems.

Florio’s take: Dolphins 27, Raiders 23.


Broncos at Ravens

MDS’s take: Case Keenum is throwing too many interceptions, but he’s also making a lot of big plays, leading the NFL with 14 completions of 20 yards or more. I think he’ll have a big game in an upset at Baltimore.

MDS’s pick: Broncos 28, Ravens 21.

Florio’s pick: The Broncos finally have to play on the road. They’ll wish they’d stayed home.

Florio’s take: Ravens 27, Broncos 17.


Bengals at Panthers

MDS’s take: These teams are about even, but the running threat of Cam Newton is going to be the difference in this game.

MDS’s pick: Panthers 20, Bengals 17.

Florio’s pick: The Bengals bubble gets burst, at least for now.

Florio’s take: Panthers 23, Bengals 17.


Giants at Texans

MDS’s take: Deshaun Watson is struggling to get back to last year’s form, but a bad Giants team won’t be able to do much against the Texans’ defense even if Watson can’t move the ball.

MDS’s pick: Texans 20, Giants 10.

Florio’s pick: Everything is bigger in Texas. Except the Giants.

Florio’s take: Texans 31, Giants 16.


Titans at Jaguars

MDS’s take: That Jaguars defense is nasty. So is the Titans’ offense, in a different way.

MDS’s pick: Jaguars 24, Titans 10.

Florio’s pick: The Jaguars are keenly aware of the fact that the Titans swept them last year. It won’t happen this year.

Florio’s take: Jaguars 34, Titans 21.


49ers at Chiefs

MDS’s take: Patrick Mahomes won’t actually finish the season with 80 touchdowns and zero interceptions, but he’ll keep rolling along against the 49ers.

MDS’s pick: Chiefs 31, 49ers 20.

Florio’s pick: Patrick Mahomes >> Jimmy Garoppolo.

Florio’s take: Chiefs 38, 49ers 24.


Chargers at Rams

MDS’s take: The battle of Los Angeles should be an easy win for the Rams.

MDS’s pick: Rams 28, Chargers 14.

Florio’s pick: The first official Fight for L.A. could result in an upset as the high-flying Rams overlooked their red-headed, bolo-tie-wearing stepbrothers. The Rams could also be peeking ahead to Thursday night’s Minnesota showdown, while the Chargers may empty the tank in an effort to score a victory where it matters most.

Florio’s take: Chargers 30, Rams 27.


Cowboys at Seahawks

MDS’s take: I think the Seahawks will prove to be a better team than they’ve shown so far this season. They’ll bounce back from an ugly Monday night performance and win at home.

MDS’s pick: Seahawks 27, Cowboys 23.

Florio’s pick: It’s already must-win time for the Seahawks, who finally get a chance to play at home.

Florio’s take: Seahawks 23, Cowboys 20.


Bears at Cardinals

MDS’s take: I’m not sold on Mitchell Trubisky, but I am sold on him having a better game than Sam Bradford.

MDS’s pick: Bears 24, Cardinals 10.

Florio’s pick: The Cardinals are who we thought they were.

Florio’s take: Bears 34, Cardinals 10.


Patriots at Lions

MDS’s take: Matt Patricia practiced against Tom Brady plenty of times, but he’ll have no answer for how to shut Brady down on Sunday night.

MDS’s pick: Patriots 35, Lions 20.

Florio’s pick: Matt Patricia will eventually turn the Lions around, if they give him the time to do it. For now, well, it’s time to get used to things staying the way they’ve been.

Florio’s take: Patriots 34, Lions 20.


Steelers at Buccaneers

MDS’s take: Can the FitzMagic continue? I believe it can. The Steelers will put some pressure on Ryan Fitzpatrick, but not enough to keep him from finding DeSean Jackson deep for just enough big plays to win this game.

MDS’s pick: Buccaneers 21, Steelers 20.

Florio’s pick: You can continue to be caught up in the uniforms worn by the players, or you can trust your lying eyes.

Florio’s take: Buccaneers 30, Steelers 23.

65 responses to “PFT’s Week Three picks

  1. In the interest of saving time…I agree with those that you two agree. On those you disagree I will go with:

    Browns
    Ravens
    Rams

  2. Those “empty seats” at FedEx Field will be filled with Packers fans. Will be a very loud GoPackGo chant by the 4th qtr. Packers Nation travels well.

    I take the 16.5 points all day long in the Bills vs. Minnesota. I am not impressed at all with the Vikings. Packers would have beat them by 3 TDs with a different officiating crew. That overrated defense and team couldn’t beat Aaron Rodgers on one leg.

    Bills 17 Vikings 30. Take the 16.5 and it’s a lock.

    I also think the Raiders get the win over the Phins.

    Florio you should post the spreads with your picks.

  3. .
    The Bucs have the deepest receiving corp in the league. One could make the case that the Steelers have the thinnest secondary in the league. However, I think the game will be won by the team that establishes the run game early.

    PS – Note to Steelers. Don’t fall behind.
    .

  4. If only things could stay “the way they’ve been” in Detroit! Finishing somewhere between 11-5 and 9-7 and having a 50 percent chance of making the playoffs (Caldwell tenure) sounds like a pipe dream to most lions fans at this point!

  5. Patriots 30 Lions 20 this will be closer than most think since Gordon is transitioning into the offense but with some passes to White and Gronk as well as a turnover by Stafford Pats pull away in the 4th. Vikings 49 Bills 21 the ugly season continues for the Bills. Finally, Dolphins 23 Raiders 13 Gruden was the wrong choice for head coach no pass rush, Carr in decline, and the line sucks look for the Fins to exploit these weaknesses plus they will want a win before next week’s game against the Pats.

  6. Falcons over Saints – Saints struggled against Bucs and Browns (the Bucs and the browns!)
    Bengals over Panthers – Bengals put up 34 points against Ravens defense which is similar…
    Steelers over Bucs – there is something about playing at night under the lights… pressure of the whole world watching that Bucs seem to falter…

  7. I’m not an idiot to say that the Bills are in any way better than the Vikings. But that has “Trap Game” written all over it.

    Any Given Sunday……

  8. Wilson has been sacked more than any other QB..Conversely Dallas has the second most sacks in the league. Seattle has no line, no RB, and no good receivers. I am taking Dallas in a low scoring affair… Considering they have Dak I doubt they will score much, just a little more than Seattle.

  9. “The Bucs have the deepest receiving corp in the league. One could make the case that the Steelers have the thinnest secondary in the league. However, I think the game will be won by the team that establishes the run game early.

    PS – Note to Steelers. Don’t fall behind.”

    I get it. It’s in vogue to believe that a back up QB with a proven track record of being hot and cold is going to stay hot forever, but lets jump pump the brakes. Jackson is a speed WR, and Evans is a great WR. I’m not sure that I would even say they have a better or deeper WR core than their opponent this week, the Steelers. AB is the best in the game and Juju is great.
    Secondly the Steelers secondary is deep. They have Haden, Burns, Davis, Burnett, Edmunds, Hilton. Their biggest secondary issues is miscommunication among a group of players that is young and inexperienced together. If there are breakdowns in assignment, they’ll get blasted. If they are sound, they are a really talented, young group. The key to the Steelers, other than playing sound in the secondary will be getting pressure and running the football. If they can do those two things, they should get a W. If the Bucs are able to exploit secondary lapses, it’s going to be a close game.

  10. Matt Patricia will eventually turn the Lions around, if they give him the time to do it.

    Nothing he has shown in his time here suggests that is even remotely possible.

    His run defense is atrocious, the special teams’ play is utter garbage, plus, his time management skills are suspect. Dude had ‘Frisco with 2nd and long in the shadow of their end zone and inexplicably let 40 seconds run off of the clock with 3 timeouts in hand and less than 2 minutes remaining in the half, it was an absolute joke.

    I am in no way saying Caldwell should not have been fired, but this guy definitely should not have been hired. Awful.

  11. What are the chances Big Bum starts out S…..L…..O…..W….. and the Steelers are down by 20 before he starts getting some garbage yards and points against a soft prevent defense with the game never really in doubt? 110% I’ve seen this movie many, many, many times before.

  12. This is an easy week for elimination pools:

    Vikings over Bills
    Jags over Titans
    Packers over Skins
    Bears over Cardinals
    Patriots over Lions

    All stone cold locks!

  13. Bengals – new coordinators = different results. They look like they have what it takes in all 3 phases. It will be close but I will pick them to come out ahead against a Carolina team that is missing a few pieces.

  14. freefromwhatyouare says:
    September 20, 2018 at 12:25 pm

    I take the 16.5 points all day long in the Bills vs. Minnesota. I am not impressed at all with the Vikings. Packers would have beat them by 3 TDs with a different officiating crew. That overrated defense and team couldn’t beat Aaron Rodgers on one leg.

    ////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////
    You make me laugh, put some baby powder on that diaper rash you have. You child. Would have beat them by 3 TD’s?!?! Come on man, the officiating was just as terrible for the Vikings. Did you even watch the game clown?

  15. spkriegs says:
    September 20, 2018 at 12:26 pm
    “[The Vikings] surely aren’t taking the bumbling Bills as seriously as they should.”

    And how exactly do you know this?

    —–

    Maybe because even your head coach is still talking about how zendejo can’t tackle without the crown of his helmet involved, and that it should not have been a penalty?

    Probably should be focusing on the next game at this point…

  16. mjscalise says:
    September 20, 2018 at 1:07 pm
    freefromwhatyouare says:
    September 20, 2018 at 12:25 pm

    I take the 16.5 points all day long in the Bills vs. Minnesota. I am not impressed at all with the Vikings. Packers would have beat them by 3 TDs with a different officiating crew. That overrated defense and team couldn’t beat Aaron Rodgers on one leg.

    ////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////
    You make me laugh, put some baby powder on that diaper rash you have. You child. Would have beat them by 3 TD’s?!?! Come on man, the officiating was just as terrible for the Vikings. Did you even watch the game clown?

    ——–

    I would be more interested if you did after this post.

  17. I am highly encouraged that both MDS and Florio picked the Cowboys to lose. I see Wilson running for his life on Sunday. And Dak running some more RPO’s should once again shut up The Truth (but only for a minute.)

    I will also take the Saints in a “must win” game. Vegas has the Falcons favored by 3 but just like last year after an 0-2 start, I think they come out hot and the Saints D shows up.

  18. If Sergio Dipp was scheduled as a sideline reporter for Sunday’s game, he likely would say Vance Joseph was not having the time of his life coaching the Broncos.

    Ravens 27
    Broncos 17

  19. inozwetrust says:
    September 20, 2018 at 12:33 pm
    No way does Denver go into Baltimore and come out with a win.

    Ravens 28
    Denver 17
    __________________________________________________________

    Last week you said “the dirty birds are back!” To which PFT collectively replied, “You do know they have jump ball Joe still behind center, right?” And then we had this astute poster who had it right:

    eazeback says:
    September 13, 2018 at 12:52 pm
    bengals beat the ravens by 10

    So while I do think the Ravens win, never say “no way.” Flacco strikes fear in…no one.

  20. AS long as these 2 keeping picking against our Bengals, I’m good. Hoping they do it 13 more times and are successful 4 or 5 times . Question is will the Bengals have a RB that’s healthy this week. Should be a good game.

  21. jquaste says:
    September 20, 2018 at 12:59 pm
    This is an easy week for elimination pools:

    Vikings over Bills
    Jags over Titans
    Packers over Skins
    Bears over Cardinals
    Patriots over Lions

    All stone cold locks!
    ____________________________________________________________________

    While most would agree with you (myself included), I am willing to bet there is an upset among those 5 games.

  22. Yep, Florio got off the Striped bandwagon last week and tragically paid the price. Can’t say I didn’t warn him . Panthers are down both starting OTs & likely OG Trai Turner (concussion) as well as TE Greg Olsen for a bad matchup vs the Bengals’ DL. LB Thomas Davis is still suspended with CB Donte Jackson & WR Curtis Samuels also likely still MIA …. “missing a few pieces” indeed

  23. Well since the all knowing, all seeing, bad hair piece wearing Foolio is picking against my Bengals,that can only mean one thing……They get the win at Carolina! Nice job guys!

  24. Vikings overrated – O line has a ton of issues and Cousins will begin to wear down after week 6 after being pounded by sack after sack after sack. All that and Stefan Diggs will swallow his own tongue from trash talking like he walks on water. Vikes D is great but they’re dirty and hopefully Refs will start making some calls and stop taking NFL direction from the Wilf family $$$$ donations

  25. I take the 16.5 points all day long in the Bills vs. Minnesota. I am not impressed at all with the Vikings. Packers would have beat them by 3 TDs with a different officiating crew. That overrated defense and team couldn’t beat Aaron Rodgers on one leg.

    ———————–

    You mean that overrated defense that let Rodgers score only one touchdown all game? Who forced field games all game? The over rated team who torched your defense in the second half?

    What a cry baby packer fan.

    The Vikings didn’t beat the Packers because their special teams unit gave a free touchdown to Green Bay (Without that the Packers score one Touchdown the whole game) and their kicker was a unproven rookie.

    Say what you want about the Mathews calls (It was a bad call btw) but there was a call just like it on Kendricks, which extended a drive that resulted in the only Green Bay touchdown. You take that bad call back Packers might not even score their only touchdown and possible the game is just won by the vikings.

    Also how do you explain the fact that Mcarthy threw the ball instead of running it after the Packers intercepted the pass that bounced off of Treadwell? Could have forced the Vikings to use timeouts.

    Maybe instead of blaming a the officials for a game Packers are lucky to have tied, you should look at how your defense hasn’t improved, the vikings defense was great in the redzone, and your coach and his boneheaded play calling.

  26. Not sure why everyone thinks Pitt will all of the sudden figure it all out in a week. Bucs will probably win again. The Falcons always bring out the best in the Saints and Sunday will be no different. The Eagles will start off 1-2 after this Sunday’s loss.

  27. Florio picks the Chargers to upset?

    I don’t know what’s real anymore

    He’s picked them to win before, but upset?

    Has someone actually gotten through to him that the is a Western part of the US that plays the sport that puts food on his table?

    Flubberbubberbubberbubber……

    can’t…..form…..words…..

  28. I can promise you one thing Florio, the Rams under McVay will NOT overlook the Chargers.That’s some Jeff Fisher type BS.

  29. The injury report says ‘Rodgers (knee) – did not practice’ but it should read ‘The Packers (knee) – did not practice’

  30. Would the people who pick Seattle to win against the Cowpies so sure of their pick that they will gladly eat cowpies (the real ones) if Seattle loses? I doubt it. Talk is cheap. If they have to risk sommething unpleasant if they lose, they may not pick this game the same way. LOL

  31. Have the Seahawks watched film on the cowboys offense? It’s basically non-existent. Hawks in a beat down.

  32. I see The Truth is spouting off again. Sure would be nice to know why you are so down on Dak, must be that you are against any potentially good quarterback.
    Let see if your quarterback Wince can come back, smart money is that he will never scamper with the ball as he use to.

  33. @11zfan says September 20, 2018 at 3:28 pm
    The fact that you have the Cardinals scoring 10 points is amazing!!
    =====================================================================
    Well Florio has the Redskins scoring 20.

  34. The first official Fight for L.A. could result in an upset as the high-flying Rams overlooked their red-headed, bolo-tie-wearing stepbrothers. The Rams could also be peeking ahead to Thursday night’s Minnesota showdown, while the Chargers may empty the tank in an effort to score a victory where it matters most.

    ___________________

    This ain’t a Jeff Fisher coached Rams team. Under Sean McVay when the Rams are a have a betting line of -4 or better they are 9-0 scoring 36.7 ppg to giving up 10.2 ppg. Not saying this will be a blowout but McVay definitely won’t have the team overlooking the Chargers.

  35. freefromwhatyouare says:
    September 20, 2018 at 12:25 pm

    Florio you should post the spreads with your picks.
    _______________

    He’s 18 – 14 on his picks through two weeks. Hes having enough trouble as it is.

  36. Watching the Cardinals play football is the equivalent of getting splash back from a public toilet seat after being forced to sit through a Maroon 5 concert. It is unpleasant for everyone involved.

  37. Every thread we have to deal with these butthurt Vikings trolls. Smh.

    I have never seen so many jealous people in one place at one time as I do here on PFT.

    Should be a good week of games. College and Pro. Should make for a exciting weekend.

  38. I can vividly remember when the Redskins were great. What does that mean? It means I’m old. For God’s sake Dan Snyder please sell the team. Let me see another championship before I go to the Great Beyond. I don’t even care if the new owner changes the name. The current franchise is pathetic!

  39. The Broncos barely pulled out victories at the last minute at home against 2 of the weaker teams in the league. Sorry when the Donks finally go on the road and play against an actual decent team they will be exposed and show who they really are. Keenum will throw 3 picks and get sacked 3 times while Ravens thrash the Donks.

    Ravens 27 Donks 10

  40. Ravens were on a short week against a rival that owns them more often than not. The Ravens are very good at home in September under Harbaugh. All indications are that Mosley will play which his absence is why the Bengals made swiss cheese of their defense until thensecond half of that game. If they can keep Von and Chunn from having a big day, they take this one easily.

  41. Florio’s take: Packers 34, Washington 20. hahahaha

    Unless you meant to switch those around, then you would be close

  42. You guys are tied at 9-6 with one game left. Per my previous post I am 10-5. We all picked the Bucs tonight so there is no way for you to catch up. But you are the professionals?

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