PFT’s Week Seven picks

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MDS won a five-disagreement week by one game, but I’m still holding the season-to-date lead.

Last week, he nailed 10 of 15 games. I got only nine right.

For the year, I’m at 56-37. MDS, four games back, has a 52-41 mark.

This week, we disagree on only one game. For all picks, scroll.

Broncos at Cardinals

MDS’s take: So much for FOX getting a better Thursday night lineup. This is one of the worst games of the week, one that the Cardinals will lose more than the Broncos will win.

MDS’s pick: Broncos 24, Cardinals 17.

Florio’s take: Von Miller says the Broncos will kick Arizona’s ass. If this was three or four years ago, that might be regarded as an actual accomplishment.

Florio’s pick: Broncos 24, Cardinals 17.


Titans at Chargers

MDS’s take: This is one of the better games the fans in London have seen, but with the Titans coming off an absolutely miserable offensive performance, I see the Chargers winning comfortably.

MDS’s pick: Chargers 24, Titans 9.

Florio’s take:  The Chargers have lost only to the Chiefs and the Rams. They won’t lose to the Titans.

Florio’s pick: Chargers 27, Titans 16.


Texans at Jaguars

MDS’s take: First place in the AFC South is on the line, and I like the Jaguars to return to the top of the division.

MDS’s pick: Jaguars 21, Texans 17.

Florio’s take: The Jaguars seemingly want to fast forward to the postseason. They won’t make it there if they can’t take care of business in their division.

Florio’s pick: Jaguars 24, Texans 13.


Panthers at Eagles

MDS’s take: Carson Wentz is shaking off the rust and should have his best game of the season.

MDS’s pick: Eagles 28, Panthers 21.

Florio’s take: Philly is finding its groove, and the Panthers quickly could be falling out of the race for the NFC South crown.

Florio’s pick: Eagles 24, Panthers 21.


Vikings at Jets

MDS’s take: Kirk Cousins is playing every bit as well for the Vikings as they were hoping he would. He’s earning that contract.

MDS’s pick: Vikings 28, Jets 20.

Florio’s take: The Jets have overachieved in recent weeks. But they haven’t faced a team like the Vikings, which is starting to find its way after a rough start.

Florio’s pick: Vikings 27, Jets 20.


Patriots at Bears

MDS’s take: The Patriots are righting the ship and the Bears will drop their second straight and drop out of first place in the NFC North.

MDS’s pick: Patriots 27, Bears 20.

Florio’s take: The Patriots get the benefit of facing an Andy Reid-style offense for a second straight week. Throw in a banged-up Khalil Mack, and the winning streak moves to four.

Florio’s pick: Patriots 30, Bears 21.


Bills at Colts

MDS’s take: Andrew Luck is rounding into form after his shoulder injury, while the Bills’ quarterback situation is a mess.

MDS’s pick: Colts 24, Bills 6.

Florio’s take: If the Colts lose to Derek Anderson, they should just disband the team.

Florio’s pick: Colts 23, Bills 7.


Browns at Buccaneers

MDS’s take: This is a tough call, and the Buccaneers’ defense should make Baker Mayfield look good. But the Browns’ ugly performance last week is fresh in my mind as I’m picking this one.

MDS’s pick: Buccaneers 24, Browns 23.

Florio’s take: The Bucs may not make the playoffs, but they won’t simply fold the tents, either.

Florio’s pick: Buccaneers 24, Browns 17.


Lions at Dolphins

MDS’s take: Can a team really win two games in a row with Brock Osweiler at quarterback? I think so. The quarterback injury won’t be the difference, as Miami is probably the better team than Detroit whether Osweiler or Ryan Tannehill is at the helm.

MDS’s pick: Dolphins 20, Lions 16.

Florio’s take: Chris Simms is a firm believer in the notion that a bye week can make a team lose its intensity. He also thinks playing in Miami can do the same. The Lions get the double whammy. Let’s test his theory.

Florio’s pick: Dolphins 20, Lions 17.


Saints at Ravens

MDS’s take: This is one of the best games of the week, matching a great Saints offense and a great Ravens defense. I’ll take the home team in a close one.

MDS’s pick: Ravens 28, Saints 27.

Florio’s take: The Saints seemingly blew out Washington, but a handful of defensive lapses gave New Orleans 21 points. The Ravens won’t be nearly as charitable.

Florio’s pick: Ravens 24, Saints 21.


Cowboys at Washington

MDS’s take: Washington has been an impossible team to pick this season, but I like them to win here and stay in first place in the NFC East.

MDS’s pick: Washington 24, Cowboys 20.

Florio’s take: Both teams are inconsistent, and both teams are due to lose. It’s ultimately a toss-up, and in a year of high-powered offense, it should be a tough, hard-nosed, low-scoring game.

Florio’s pick: Cowboys 16, Washington 13.


Rams at 49ers

MDS’s take: C.J. Beathard played better than expected on Monday night, but he won’t be able to keep up with Jared Goff and the Rams.

MDS’s pick: Rams 30, 49ers 20.

Florio’s take: Short week plus long trip home plus defeat snatched from jaws of victory will make it even harder for the 49ers to handle the best team in football.

Florio’s pick: Rams 31, 49ers 21.


Bengals at Chiefs

MDS’s take: Patrick Mahomes plays in his second consecutive Sunday night game, and this time I think he’s going to win.

MDS’s pick: Chiefs 27, Bengals 24.

Florio’s take: The Bengals aren’t in the same class as the Chiefs.

Florio’s pick: Chiefs 38, Bengals 27.


Giants at Falcons

MDS’s take: The Giants’ ugly offense should look a little better against the Falcons’ bad defense. But it won’t be enough to win.

MDS’s pick: Falcons 24, Giants 21.

Florio’s take: The Giants haven’t quite yet hit rock bottom. But they’re getting close.

Florio’s pick: Falcons 34, Giants 21.

62 responses to “PFT’s Week Seven picks

  1. “Florio’s take: If the Colts lose to Derek Anderson, they should just disband the team.“

    They should have done that after running that ridiculous swinging gate play

  2. Lions at Dolphins

    It’s not every day my beloved Lions are favored to win. It’s not ANY day that they are favored to win on the road.

    It’s certain to be an emotional roller coaster ride Sunday to see if they can actually pull it off!

  3. Ravens over Saints…..come on now. I guess you missed that Ravens/Browns game.
    You would have thought the Ravens beat the Patriots last week and not the Titans.

  4. “Florio’s take: Chris Simms is a firm believer in the notion that a bye week can make a team lose its intensity. He also thinks playing in Miami can do the same. The Lions get the double whammy. Let’s test his theory.”

    I agree with the theory, but Mike you missed a hanging curve ball here inasmuch as The Dolphins are coming off a game with the exact same scenario–that being beating Chicago at home as the hot Bears came off the bye week scenario you are discussing!

  5. Ok outside of the Florio comment:

    1) I think the Bears beat the Patriots. Or the refs beat the Bears. That pass rush will kill lady fingers Brady.
    2) Still going with Chiefs. May have the worst D in the AFC, but the AFC isn’t that strong.
    3) Can’t go with the Cowboys. Just can’t.
    4) Going with the Saints. There was the first few weeks of the season. Then Joe Flacco showed back up.

  6. Typical boring, predictable Lions hating by MDS. You were wrong when you picked the Patriots over the Lions. You were also wrong when you picked the Packers over the Lions. #OnePride is going to take you to school again, son.

  7. A Lions win on the road against a solid team would say a lot about the job Patricia is doing. A loss, and it’s the ‘same old Lions”

  8. Ravens over Saints??? You can also say the Saints OL won’t be as charitable as the Titans OL. By the way, the Saints can also run the football…..

  9. “They should have done that after running that ridiculous swinging gate play”

    I keep telling people the Colts version is the “rusty gate”

    Lolz

  10. Certainly won’t be surprised if Philly knocks off the Panthers, but what exactly about Philly screams back on track?! Beating up the Giants?

  11. longtimefanh8tr says:
    October 18, 2018 at 12:35 pm
    JETS beat the Vikings!!!

    —————

    The Vikings put up 30 points against the Rams and come close to winning, go to the Eagles and torch their defense (who are pretty good), put up 31 points against Aaron Rodgers and are one missed field goal away from winning…and the only negativeness is one out of script bad game against Buffalo, and you think the Jets will win? Have the Jets even played anyone good?

    The only game script I can think of where the Jets win, is if they get a few points of turnovers or special teams, but if you think Darnold will out duel Cousin’s you are crazy. Besides Allen, Zimmer eats rookie Qb’s for lunch.

  12. MDS’s pick: Jaguars 21, Texans 17.
    Florio’s pick: Jaguars 24, Texans 13.
    —————-
    Does anyone really believe the Jag’s offense can score 21 or 24 points?

    Texans 17, Jags 3

  13. Florio’s take: If the Colts lose to Derek Anderson, they should just disband the team.“

    They should have done that after running that ridiculous swinging gate play

    Why should they the Pats should have been forced to disbdafter being penalized for cheating again…..fair isf fair

  14. Ok outside of the Florio comment:
    ________________________________________________________________________________________________________

    For a “TrueFBfan”, the football takes are laughable. What sorry team do you root for which Brady has made a mockery of in the past?

  15. I have disparaged my Bills most of the season but you 2 guys really think that the abysmal Colts are going to put numbers like that on the NFL’s leading defense when it comes to points allowed (12.7 per game). Not only will my Bills win with a washed up QB, the Colts will be lucky to score 10 points. As for your call on the Jags/Houston game…that Houston O line is the worst in the league and the rest of their offense is not much better. The Jags will destroy them by better than 20 points….

  16. @ajzinnecker

    The Vikings scored 29 against the Packers and were a missed field goal away from loosing in regulation.Vikings are average at best, the league has figured out Zimmers defense, Vikings giving up 25 points a game

  17. I’m not a Bengals fan, but to say they aren’t in the class of the Chiefs is moronic, Florio. They have a pretty darn good defense and some weapons on offense. The Chiefs have a very good offense and a pathetic defense. On a neutral field Vegas would have this one as pick’em.

  18. Patriots 30 Bears 17 this will be ugly. Pats run the ball down the Bears throat with Michel and White plus Gronk lights up the secondary. My lock of the week is Broncos 23 Cardinals 10 as Cards offense looks awful and their run defense does as well.

  19. Can the Pats go another week without a single penalty? Probably. The league needs them to keep winning

  20. “Lions will win. Miami is a fraud.”

    Wait, I’ve heard this before….. Oh yeah, that’s what everyone was saying last week when they were about to play the Bears.

  21. bringbackwayne says:
    October 18, 2018 at 12:42 pm

    A Lions win on the road against a solid team would say a lot about the job Patricia is doing. A loss, and it’s the ‘same old Lions”

    ———————-

    As a lions fan, I can say that:

    -The loss to the Jets (after a 7 point head start pick six on the opening play) was ‘same old Lions’.
    -Then beating the Patriots when nobody thought they could ‘same old lions’.
    -Then losing close games by poor clock management to the Cowboys and the SF were ‘same old lions’.
    -Then beating Rodgers for the first time in forever falls under ‘same old lions’.

    You see, it’s not just losing that makes the Lions the Lions. It’s ONLY getting up for good teams, and then crapping the bed in games they should win or games that they have a decent chance to win. It’s down early in games and then coming up short or barely winning that’s ‘same old lions’.

    Everything we’ve seen this season has matched the script we’ve watched for years.

    So no matter what happens this weekend, it’s still SOL until they put together a handful games that don’t resemble their last 5 years.

  22. at one time a cowboys/redskins game was put that part of your day aside must see tv. now…columbo reruns provide more entertainment

  23. FanofSomeOtherTeam says:
    October 18, 2018 at 1:43 pm
    Lions will win. Miami is a fraud.

    ==================================================================

    Miami’s defense is tied with the Bears at 3rd in total takeaways, Detroit is tied for 22nd. Miami has Home Field and a better W/L record. Who’s the Fraud?

  24. Nofoolnodrool says:
    October 18, 2018 at 1:14 pm
    Florio’s take: If the Colts lose to Derek Anderson, they should just disband the team.“

    They should have done that after running that ridiculous swinging gate play

    Why should they the Pats should have been forced to disbdafter being penalized for cheating again…..fair isf fair

    ———

    By cheating do you mean BB coming over to trip an opposing player on a return play? Oh wait…that was Mike Tomlin….

  25. “By cheating do you mean BB coming over to trip an opposing player on a return play? Oh wait…that was Mike Tomlin….”

    =====================================================

    Not sure Mike Tomlin did it but I know the jets strength coach Sal Alosi did it to Nolan Carroll when he was running down the side line to cover a punt.

  26. irishgary says:
    October 18, 2018 at 1:43 pm
    @ajzinnecker

    The Vikings scored 29 against the Packers and were a missed field goal away from loosing in regulation.Vikings are average at best, the league has figured out Zimmers defense, Vikings giving up 25 points a game

    —————–

    So if the vikings are average what does that make the packers? Terrible? The Vikings have faced the Rams, Eagles and Packers on the road. What tough road teams have the Packers had? The Lions, the Redskins? How did those go. The Packers have had a cake walk of a schedule and have the same record as the vikings. They should be ahead in the standings. The only decent team they have faced is the Vikings.

    MN has faced the Rams, in LA on a short week, and had a chance to win. They beat the Eagles in a tough environment. Played a tough game against Green Bay. Besides a weird unexplainable game against the Bills they have done well.

    Their record is exactly where I thought they would be when i saw the schedule earlier this year and I predicted 10 wins. The only thing I didn’t expect was to lose to the Bills and beat the Eagles, and to tie the Green Bay Packers.

    So the league has figured the defense out? Is the season over? They can’t make improvements? Did you fail to see that the vikings defense made adjustments the past two weeks and has 5 takeaways and a increase in sacks?

    The fact is the defense had a bad start and is improving. Their defense is the main reason they beat the Eagles in Philly. Not a easy task for any team. The Eagles have lost one game there in the last two years. Their defense was dominant against AZ. One of the scores by AZ came off a strip sack fumble score. Is that the defenses fault?

    The Viking offense is better than last year. Adam Thielan is the #1 receiver this year in the NFL. Kirk Cousin’s is on track to break several records.

    The only area of concern for this vikings fan is the offensive line, and the run game.

    The Vikings last year gave up points to some teams early on like the Steelers, Panthers, and still ended up being a top defense.

  27. ajzinnecker says:
    October 18, 2018 at 4:00 pm
    irishgary says:
    October 18, 2018 at 1:43 pm
    @ajzinnecker

    The Vikings scored 29 against the Packers and were a missed field goal away from loosing in regulation.Vikings are average at best, the league has figured out Zimmers defense, Vikings giving up 25 points a game

    —————–

    So if the vikings are average what does that make the packers? Terrible? The Vikings have faced the Rams, Eagles and Packers on the road. What tough road teams have the Packers had? The Lions, the Redskins? How did those go. The Packers have had a cake walk of a schedule and have the same record as the vikings. They should be ahead in the standings. The only decent team they have faced is the Vikings.

    MN has faced the Rams, in LA on a short week, and had a chance to win. They beat the Eagles in a tough environment. Played a tough game against Green Bay. Besides a weird unexplainable game against the Bills they have done well.

    Their record is exactly where I thought they would be when i saw the schedule earlier this year and I predicted 10 wins. The only thing I didn’t expect was to lose to the Bills and beat the Eagles, and to tie the Green Bay Packers.

    So the league has figured the defense out? Is the season over? They can’t make improvements? Did you fail to see that the vikings defense made adjustments the past two weeks and has 5 takeaways and a increase in sacks?

    The fact is the defense had a bad start and is improving. Their defense is the main reason they beat the Eagles in Philly. Not a easy task for any team. The Eagles have lost one game there in the last two years. Their defense was dominant against AZ. One of the scores by AZ came off a strip sack fumble score. Is that the defenses fault?

    The Viking offense is better than last year. Adam Thielan is the #1 receiver this year in the NFL. Kirk Cousin’s is on track to break several records.

    The only area of concern for this vikings fan is the offensive line, and the run game.

    The Vikings last year gave up points to some teams early on like the Steelers, Panthers, and still ended up being a top defense.

    ———-

    Has Kirk beat a winning team yet this season?

  28. NHPats says:
    October 18, 2018 at 4:04 pm
    ajzinnecker says:
    October 18, 2018 at 4:00 pm
    irishgary says:
    October 18, 2018 at 1:43 pm
    @ajzinnecker

    The Vikings scored 29 against the Packers and were a missed field goal away from loosing in regulation.Vikings are average at best, the league has figured out Zimmers defense, Vikings giving up 25 points a game

    —————–

    So if the vikings are average what does that make the packers? Terrible? The Vikings have faced the Rams, Eagles and Packers on the road. What tough road teams have the Packers had? The Lions, the Redskins? How did those go. The Packers have had a cake walk of a schedule and have the same record as the vikings. They should be ahead in the standings. The only decent team they have faced is the Vikings.

    MN has faced the Rams, in LA on a short week, and had a chance to win. They beat the Eagles in a tough environment. Played a tough game against Green Bay. Besides a weird unexplainable game against the Bills they have done well.

    Their record is exactly where I thought they would be when i saw the schedule earlier this year and I predicted 10 wins. The only thing I didn’t expect was to lose to the Bills and beat the Eagles, and to tie the Green Bay Packers.

    So the league has figured the defense out? Is the season over? They can’t make improvements? Did you fail to see that the vikings defense made adjustments the past two weeks and has 5 takeaways and a increase in sacks?

    The fact is the defense had a bad start and is improving. Their defense is the main reason they beat the Eagles in Philly. Not a easy task for any team. The Eagles have lost one game there in the last two years. Their defense was dominant against AZ. One of the scores by AZ came off a strip sack fumble score. Is that the defenses fault?

    The Viking offense is better than last year. Adam Thielan is the #1 receiver this year in the NFL. Kirk Cousin’s is on track to break several records.

    The only area of concern for this vikings fan is the offensive line, and the run game.

    The Vikings last year gave up points to some teams early on like the Steelers, Panthers, and still ended up being a top defense.

    ———-

    Has Kirk beat a winning team yet this season?

    ———-

    NHPATS -your seriously going to play that card when the only winning team on their schedule so far is the best team in the League, the Rams? Had to play them on the road on a thursday night game, where no team has won as a road team in 12 years that has to cross two time zones? That’s a truly pathetic argument to grade how Cousin’s has played this year. Cousin’s played very good in that game to. The defense played aweful and gave up too many big plays. I suppsoe that’s Kirk’s fault when we pretty much matched score for score with the high scoring offense?

    The Eagles were a .500 team when we played them and winning in Philly is so tough that only one team has done it in 2-3 years. I suppose that doesn’t count either? You can’t use that argument this early in the season. Truly pathetic take to take away what has been a great performance from Cousin’s so far.

  29. The photo used for this piece looks like a live action Charlie Brown getting creamed. LOL!

    AAUGH!

  30. Rob Brzezinski is a Magician says:
    October 18, 2018 at 4:24 pm
    NHPats says:
    October 18, 2018 at 4:04 pm

    Has Kirk beat a winning team yet this season?
    ________

    Well, the Eagles would have a winning record, except Kirk beat them.

    ————

    NHPATS is just a Kirk hater. He probably is yet to even watch a Vikings game. He just assumed if they lose it’s all Kirk’s fault. The fact is the Vikings defense hasn’t played well in the first 3-4 weeks and Kirk is the only reason they even had a chance in any of those games. Cousin’s and Thielan are straight out Balling.

    Have the Patriots even had to play any tough road games? Sure they beat KC at home. I love how the Pats never get tough opponents on the road. lol

  31. You guys keep forgetting that the Titans beat every team they’re supposed to lose to and then lose every game they’re supposed to win. Thus the Chargers are going down this weekend.

  32. Cmon guys. From one lions fan to another they just ain’t gonna win in Miami! On the road, in the heat, what have you seen from this team that makes you think they’re gonna win? Lions will lose this team is not any better than it has been the last couple years—-why? What they gained in the ground game they have lost on D. Miami gonna have a field day in the ground, IMO. But my opinion is of course, based on years of being a lions fan.

  33. All the Derek Anderson jokes are misplaced.

    He can certainly generate as much offense as Josh Allen at this stage of the rookie’s development, with fewer mistakes, and their defense is good enough to shut down the Colts.

  34. Eagles over Panthers – Both teams are average at this point in the season.. Eagles have just a tad more flare on offense…

    Browns over Bucs – I thought this would be 1 of the Bucs few wins this year… I wanted to go Bucs but JW isn’t dependable… The Falcons dropped 2 ints so JW should have thrown 4 ints and 2 fumbles last week… Luck runs out quick and turnovers kill a team..

    Saints over Ravens – Saints look to be one of the true top teams and the Ravens don’t have an answer for the Saints offense…

    Falcons over Giants – the Giants play this year is hard to watch and the Falcons are still entertaining on offense…

  35. Everyone talks about the Ravens D vs the Saints O but what about the opposite? The Ravens are right inside the top 10 on offense and while the Saints are good at stopping the run, they have no answers in pass defense. Look for the Ravens to control the clock on offense, limiting Brees’ opportunities.

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