Many factors have contributed to Aaron Rodgers’ completion percentage

AP

Aaron Rodgers completed 65.2 percent of his passes in his first 10 years as a starter. He has a 64.8 career completion percentage and had a career-best 68.3 completion percentage in his first MVP season of 2011.

But the Packers quarterback is completing a career-low 60.6 percent of his passes this season, which ranks 28th in the NFL.

Rodgers has had three games under 60 percent and another at exactly 60 percent.

“I think it’s a combination of a lot of factors,” Packers offensive coordinator Joe Philbin said, via Rob Demovsky of ESPN. “It’s something we’re certainly aware of, and something I see us in the second half of getting back to where we need to be.”

Rodgers has had full practices both days this week for the first time since he injured his knee in the season opener. Offensive pass game coordinator Jim Hostler said Rodgers’ sprained left knee has factored in some missed throws, and the quarterback’s improved health should help.

Hostler also pointed to the 15 dropped passes the Packers have, which is “probably middle of the road” in the NFL but still too many.

Philbin said he has seen nothing “from a mechanical standpoint to explain it.”

“He’s not going to make every single throw every single time,” Philbin said, via Ryan Wood of the Green Bay Press-Gazette.

52 responses to “Many factors have contributed to Aaron Rodgers’ completion percentage

  1. I’m sure he would appreciate it if every single throw didn’t have to be into a tight window because the scheme is outdated.

  2. He’ll get well (as will his completion percentage) in a hurry this weekend against the Fins … you can be sure Philbin would love to hang 60 on them.

  3. Pop poll. When does everyone think the Packers will see the light at the end of their rebuild tunnel and complete their current rebuild? My vote is “Gute” is not up to the enormous job at hand and eventually will need to be replaced pushing their rebuild out 5 more years. What do you say?

  4. He loves to take shots in 1 on 1 match up, as a QB its all you would want, and it seems like when he DOES get those matchups presnap he loves to heave it down the field 30 yards or so, and hope his Rec. can make a play.

    I have said it numerous times that sometimes you need to take what the defense gives you, the best the offense looked was when his mobility was limited and he got the ball to WRs quickly and let them make a play after the catch.

    Heck even on the deep pass to MVS for the big gain it was a nice play and all…. but Davatne Adams had his DB T O A S T E D. Which would have been a easier through and likely a TD.

  5. The single biggest factor is that he can no longer count on free plays which he can wash away if there is an incompletion and take the actual penalty yardage. This yutz has made a career of getting free plays from the Cheese Cheater loophole. Now the refs are blowing the plays dead, Erin Rogers no longer gets to have a do over. Now his pathetic regular play comes to bite him. He’s padded his stats for so long with the loophole that I don’t think he knows how to play a normal offense without his taunting, unprofessional attempt to get defenders to jump offsides and to give him a free play.

  6. Rodgers has attempted 327 passes in eight games ~ about 40/gm. That 5% decline in completion percentage is exactly 2 passes, which is probably those throwaways because he couldn’t run from the rush like normal.

    Once fully healed, those won’t be a problem anymore.

  7. 39 throwaways

    Obviously that goes down with a now healthy knee.

    #OneGameAtATime

    #GoPackGo!🧀

  8. 28th in his early-mid 30s while Brady is 20 places higher in his early 40s, and beat Rodgers’ team the other night with a much higher passer rating (99 to Rodgers’ 89) and without his two best weapons this season Gronk and Michel. And with 4 more rings and far better consistency year on year and far better leadership – but Florio claims Rodgers is the goat because Rodgers throws a prettier raibow deep ball (even though Brady is much better at come-from-behind wins because he’s smarter).

  9. red says:
    November 8, 2018 at 6:13 pm
    Rodgers isnt on Brees’s level, much less Brady’s!
    ———————————

    The talent around Rodgers isn’t close to what Brady much less Brees have to work with.

  10. 1) can’t seem to dump off passes to his backs without going through a full passing motion, and has no touch on these passes.

    2) heavy vertical passing game offense.

    3) decreased scrambling with injured knee.

  11. Carroll Prescott says:
    November 8, 2018 at 6:20 pm
    The single biggest factor is that he can no longer count on free plays which he can wash away if there is an incompletion and take the actual penalty yardage. This yutz has made a career of getting free plays from the Cheese Cheater loophole. Now the refs are blowing the plays dead, Erin Rogers no longer gets to have a do over. Now his pathetic regular play comes to bite him. He’s padded his stats for so long with the loophole that I don’t think he knows how to play a normal offense without his taunting, unprofessional attempt to get defenders to jump offsides and to give him a free play.
    ——————————————

    I was going to say something similar but you said it perfectly so I’ll just re post it. I would add also that the new receivers don’t run the pick plays perfectly like Jordie did.

  12. I see people here are starting to get it. He’s throwing the ball away more because he cannot escape the rush…oh, and receivers can’t get open.

  13. Aaron is no doubt an all time great QB, but his ability to garner fans who will dream up every imaginable excuse for him is even greater.

  14. Philbin’s return was supposed to improve the offense along with Jimmy Graham. Just not seeing it. In Rodgers last 10 games his record is 3-6-1. Hundley’s record was 3-7 in his 10 games.

  15. I’m sure Rodgers’s knee injury earlier this year has hurt his game. But I wonder about his shoulder, after the Barr hit last year. Is it fully healed? If so, has there been some permanent change to the shoulder/muscles that is affecting his accuracy? When he returned to play the Panthers last year, he threw 3 interceptions. Was that because of the shoulder, or because he was rusty? I don’t know the answers, but Packer fans better pray that injuries have not caught-up with Rodgers because he is not looking good.

  16. merde4brains says:

    “Packers fans better pray”

    =======

    Vikings fans better pray the Packers are not 5-4-1 with 9 days off heading into November 25th.

    Seasons change on a dime. The dime is now!

    #GoPackGo!🧀

  17. Carroll Prescott says:
    November 8, 2018 at 6:20 pm
    The single biggest factor is that he can no longer count on free plays which he can wash away if there is an incompletion and take the actual penalty yardage. This yutz has made a career of getting free plays from the Cheese Cheater loophole. Now the refs are blowing the plays dead, Erin Rogers no longer gets to have a do over. Now his pathetic regular play comes to bite him. He’s padded his stats for so long with the loophole that I don’t think he knows how to play a normal offense without his taunting, unprofessional attempt to get defenders to jump offsides and to give him a free play.
    =========================================================================================
    Of course, this is absolutely preposterous. There are not enough free plays to impact his passing completion percentage, and he certainly didn’t convert every free opportunity he had. You’re the same person that said the only reason the Packers beat the Redskins in the playoffs in 2016 was because of Rodgers inducing players into offsides with hardcounts. Anyone who watches football objectively knows that these plays don’t happen that often. How many of his 328 TD passes are on offside plays?

    Second, Andrew Luck, Tom Brady, Teddy Bridgewater, Phillip Rivers, Draw Brees, and many other QB’s use hard counts to cause offsides. Are they unprofessional as well? Rodgers is probably most effective at it, but it has very little overall impact on his career numbers. Some people don’t like him but do enjoy making ludicrous comments to attempt to denigrate him because of their personal dislike for him and their inability to watch objectively. If you don’t think the guy is a good QB, or you think that a great percentage of his stats are based upon offsides calls, you should probably start watching another sport. The World Chess Championships start up tomorrow and run through November 28.

    Then again, if you can’t simply tell which QB’s are good and which aren’t, watching chess will probably cause seizures.

  18. Packer fans better pray that injuries have not caught-up with Rodgers because he is not looking good.
    ++++++

    Rodgers is on pace to throw for over 5,000 yards, with 30 interceptions and 2 int’s. Factor in that he has been hobbled by a knee injury and therefore not practicing as much as he might normally do.

    He has thrown 1 int this season after 327 pass attempts. Trust this Packer fan, Aaron Rodgers is far down the list of Packer concerns.

  19. Rodger’s game is based on scrambling around and chucking it up like in recess. Admittedly, he was very good at that, but as he ages there is no way this is sustainable.

    And even at his peak he hasn’t been able to win in the playoffs against good competition. His one SB appearance came against a Bear team playing someone named Caleb Haney at QB, and then a win over a terrible Steeler team.

  20. Seems to be falling or stepping back on a lot of his throws and just trying to do it with his arm. I don’t know whether it’s due to the knee or not, but it doesn’t help accuracy.

  21. carloswlassiter says:
    November 8, 2018 at 8:49 pm
    Rodger’s game is based on scrambling around and chucking it up like in recess. Admittedly, he was very good at that, but as he ages there is no way this is sustainable.
    And even at his peak he hasn’t been able to win in the playoffs against good competition. His one SB appearance came against a Bear team playing someone named Caleb Haney at QB, and then a win over a terrible Steeler team.
    =============================================================================================================================
    Cutler started that game for the Bears. That was a 12-4 Steeler team that he beat in the SB and they had the best defense in the league that year. They beat a 13-3 Falcons team (best record in the NFC) that was 5th in offensive points and 5th in points given up, and Rodgers put up 366 yards, threw for 3 TD’s, and ran for one. Green Bay had to play all of their playoff games on the road plus being a wildcard meant 4 games. In 52 Super Bowls, only 6 wildcard teams have won a Super Bowl. This is a good example of the things people will say to denigrate Rodgers only because they don’t like him.

  22. Stella says:

    Oh, for the love of God……….HE’S BEEN PLAYING ON ONE LEG!
    ###

    If that were true, the Packers should have to forfeit their franchise.

    We’ve been told repeatedly that playing does will not cause any further risk to the knee and we’ve all witnessed Rodgers walk both without and with a limp based on the outcome of a play (he sometimes forgets to take the limp).

    Brett Hundley has just as many wins as Rodgers has had over the last 10 starts.

    The Packers traded away a 1st round CB to get a “better” backup QB. Why haven’t the Packers played Kizer and allowed the one legged QB to heal?

    Maybe because it only took 3 series against the Bears to prove that Kizer was worse than Hundley.

    The Packers just guaranteed Rodgers more money in a 12 month period ($80 mil will be paid to Rodgers by March) than any player in NFL history and that has produced 3 wins.

    When the Packers don’t win the SB this season after paying Rodgers $80 mil for 16 regular season games, heads should roll…

  23. 60% completions right now to 64% which is considered outstanding is not a huge difference. Aaron is 34 yrs old and in his prime. Has like 6 more yrs left. I don’t think anyone is concerned about this.

    I am very concerned as a Vikings fan about the Packers going on a run here. I think they will handle the Dolphins pretty easily at home. Then Seattle on the road which is a tough game but winnable for them. Them coming to play us on a roll is frightening. I just feel they may be leading this division November 26th. Remember, if we are tied record wise with them whoever wins the game November 25th holds the tiebreaker.

    Just worried. It’s the Packers, I fear them. SKOL, Vikings!

  24. packertruth says:

    He has thrown 1 int this season after 327 pass attempts.
    ###

    That’s because he’s taking more sacks (on pace for 46 this season) and throwing it away more often now – instead of trying to make a completion.

    Hence, the lowest completion percentage of his 11 year career as a starter.

    That or he’s just getting old and slow.

  25. If Drew Brees woke up and had a 65% career completion percentage, he’d cut off his right arm and beat himself over the head with it. If he, was throwing at 60% right now, I think he’d jump.

  26. Brees is at 67.2% for his career.

    Aaron is at 64.8%.

    Chad Pennington was 66%.

    Joe Montana was 63% for his career.

    Completion percentage is not a stat you look at closely when rating a QB. So many things factor in it.

  27. gtodriver says:
    November 9, 2018 at 7:34 am
    packertruth says:
    He has thrown 1 int this season after 327 pass attempts.
    ###
    That’s because he’s taking more sacks (on pace for 46 this season) and throwing it away more often now – instead of trying to make a completion.
    Hence, the lowest completion percentage of his 11 year career as a starter.
    That or he’s just getting old and slow.
    +++++
    You made multiple posts about his 3 interception game against the Panthers and speculated it was all due to his collarbone (“damaged goods until proven otherwise”).

    327 passes later and 1 int let me just hear you say it once. “Aaron Rodgers collar bone is fine, he’s not damaged goods”. I bet you can’t.

  28. stellarperformance
    Nov 8, 2018, 9:28 PM CST
    Oh, for the love of God……….HE’S BEEN PLAYING ON ONE LEG!
    ///////////
    How many legs is he playing on when he sprints 10-15 yards for a first down? I’ve seen him run away from defensive linemen and LB’s. His knee is fine. What isn’t fine is his arm strength. He’s used to throwing off his bag leg, feet off the ground, using arm strength. Is it his shoulder, or has he just lost velocity to age? I’m seeing a lot of balls into the ground. Those used to be high velocity catches on a frozen rope.

  29. Joe Theismann- 56.7 career completion %

    John Elway- 56.9%

    Johnny Unitas- 54.6%

    Joe Namath- 50.1%

  30. Viking trolls like to insult and antagonize the Packers and Packer fans, as though they have anything whatsoever to feel superior about. They do it because “it’s fun.” It’s the limited-education mindset of a school yard bully. It has no effect on any of us. They do it for their own self-described enjoyment. They should stop dancing around and simply call it what it is; unnecessary fight-picking. All fans throughout the league recognize Viking fans as fight-pickers. Nobody really knows why, except for their record-setting levels of futility since 1961.

    I guess that’s it.

  31. @stellar

    I think someone had it right the other day when they said that Vikings fans think THEM annoying US makes them our rival.

    Ever notice how they cry and whine when Bears and Packers fans talk about our actual legendary rivalry?

    How sad. Poor Barneys.

  32. stellarperformance says:
    November 9, 2018 at 10:51 am

    Viking trolls like to insult and antagonize the Packers and Packer fans, as though they have anything whatsoever to feel superior about. They do it because “it’s fun.” It’s the limited-education mindset of a school yard bully. It has no effect on any of us. They do it for their own self-described enjoyment. They should stop dancing around and simply call it what it is; unnecessary fight-picking. All fans throughout the league recognize Viking fans as fight-pickers. Nobody really knows why, except for their record-setting levels of futility since 1961.

    I guess that’s it.
    ________

    And when you do it, it’s okay because your team has won a Super Bowl. Got it.

  33. Rob Brzezinski is a Magician says:
    November 9, 2018 at 11:35 am
    And when you do it, it’s okay because your team has won a Super Bowl. Got it.
    \\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\

    You think that’s the difference? No, I don’t think you get it. You see, we’re not angry, frustrated, or jealous.

    That’s the difference.

  34. You think that’s the difference? No, I don’t think you get it. You see, we’re not angry, frustrated, or jealous.
    ——
    That’s quite a projection. No anger, frustration or jealousy here, remember just fun. Now why don’t you go post on a Viking thread about the Packer Lambeau attendance record on a thread that has nothing to do with that subject just to pick a fight?
    Seems Rob is spot on.

  35. ariani1985 says:
    November 9, 2018 at 9:45 am
    Frank booth sure loves his pack, got to give it to him.
    ========================================================================================================================================================
    No, just a Bears fan and an NFL fan who isn’t enveloped in pure homerism and can see above a lot of the ridiculous comments. I get that Vikings’ fans don’t like when I refute them with facts and there only comeback is to say that I’m a Packer fan rather than debate. It’s much easier to do that. I even asked a serious question about Thielen’s contract on a previous thread, and no one wanted to talk about it. Zero responses. It’s much easier to snipe and just fire off hit-and-run comments.

    The simple fact is that if you can’t see Aaron Rodgers abilities and what a great QB he is, you’re really wasting your time watching any football outside of cheering for your favorite team. You may as well be an Edina housewife who just cheers for a color on Sundays and knows about 4 players on the team.

  36. I told everybody last year when Barr smashed his shoulder, his arm would never be the same again, it wasn’t just broken but partially splintered which took a lot of effort to put it back together. That break was much worse that the first injury on it, you just don’t get over that in one year! I hope he overcomes it. Even tho I am a Vikings fan, nothing is more exciting than a close shootout games between our 2 teams.
    I hope I was wrong….

  37. Philbin had the worst O-line in the league as coach of Miami he brought it to Indy on his next job and now it’s followed him back to GB. Rodgers is a great QB taking too many sacks or throwing the ball away to avoid a sack

  38. cheeseisfattening says:
    November 9, 2018 at 3:55 pm
    That’s quite a projection. No anger, frustration or jealousy here, remember just fun. Now why don’t you go post on a Viking thread about the Packer Lambeau attendance record on a thread that has nothing to do with that subject just to pick a fight? Seems Rob is spot on.
    ////////////////////////////////////////////////////

    Why would an uninterrupted attendance streak at Lambeau be contentious to a Viking fan, unless they were jealous? Maybe they’re angry at our lofty status? Maybe they’re frustrated with having nothing to compare? I didn’t mean to upset anybody. I’ll be more careful.

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