Yes, odds are available for Le’Veon Bell’s next contract

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Prop bets are available for just about anything that can be imagined. In football, odds have been set regarding the next contract to be signed by running back Le'Veon Bell.

According to Bovada.lv, the money line for a contract over four years is -165 (bet $165 to win $100), and for a contract under four years is +125 (bet $100 to win $125).

Take the under (but bet responsibly). Le’Veon Bell will have the leverage to demand a contract that lasts only as long as the full guarantee, similar to the three-year contract signed by quarterback Kirk Cousins in March.

The over/under for the contract has been pegged at $64.5 million. Again, take the under; Bell should be able to negotiate a three-year, fully-guaranteed deal in the range of $54 million to $60 million.

With the Jets expected to be interested in Bell, and given that the Jets were willing to give Cousins a three-year, fully-guaranteed deal, a three-year fully-guaranteed deal for Bell could be coming.

And before anyone scoffs at the idea of paying Bell $18 million or more per year on a short-term deal, consider this: Blake Bortles is making $19 million per year, and Case Keenum is making $18 million annually.

48 responses to “Yes, odds are available for Le’Veon Bell’s next contract

  1. Ain’t gonna happen for a RB on the downside of his career with an injury history and attitude issues

  2. Bell can get that 14.5 million from this year back by just betting about 11-12 million on the +125 and then doing it!
    ++++++++++++

    This is….actually genius

  3. Bell should be able to negotiate a three-year, fully-guaranteed deal in the range of $54 million to $60 million.

    Take the way under, no way he gets over 15 mill per year guarenteed.

  4. People seem to forget Bell is only 26, now with one less year of wear and tear. I think he will get a contract on the upper end of the discussion here.

    Just hoping it’s not the Jets, talk about falling in to the oblivion. Yuck.

  5. Why would he take the 3 year fully guaranteed contract vs a longer contract with the same guarantee.

    Huge difference between a 33 year old qb entering free agency (as cousins would be) vs a 30 year old rb entering free agency. One is comsidered in their prime and one is considered to be over the hill (or damn close).

    Bells best bet is to get a 4 or 5 year contract with a large signing bonus so large that he cant be cut for 3 years and in years 4 and 5 there is a good amount of dead money if they cut him that he’ll stay on the roster if he’s an above average back.

  6. is
    tazman1996 says:
    November 16, 2018 at 7:20 pm
    People seem to forget Bell is only 26, now with one less year of wear and tear. I think he will get a contract on the upper end of the discussion here.

    Doesn’t work that way. Age is age. Take a year off doesn’t mean you get an extra year on the back end. Maybe he is lucky. Maybe he is Emmitt Smith and plays for 30 years. But it won’t be because he took a year off.

  7. NO RB IS WORTH THAT. Case and point is James Conner. Vegas even says Bell isn’t worth a point. No one says “we are 1 RB away from a SB.”

  8. Any team that gives him anything approaching the contract you’re suggesting he’ll get will end up regretting it in a big way

  9. Bell isn’t a QB. His contract will not be structured like a QB’s. He’s not getting a Cousins type deal. The productive career of most RBs is short. He might get a 4 year deal with two fully guaranteed, but that’s it. The guaranteed amount might be $30 million. The remaining amount will be dependent on Bell’s performance.

  10. The bibbionaire owners operating in a monopoly, deserve to be taken to the cleaners.
    Fire Goodell since this head Greedy person, is whats wrong with the NFL.

  11. Bortles and Keenum are the 17th and 18th highest paid QBs respectively. If Bell wants to be paid as the 17th highest paid RB he’d make $4 mill. So nice try.

    The highest paid RB in the league is Gurley at $14.375 mill. You’re out of your mind if you think Bell is worth 20% more than him.

  12. Bortles and Keenum are QB’s…apples to oranges. And this site argues that QB’s are different. So why they turn around and compare RB’s and QB’s….?

    Whatever contract Bell gets, its the same contract he would have gotten if he played a healthy season. He just “spent” $14.5 million to ensure he had a healthy season.

  13. tazman1996 says:
    November 16, 2018 at 7:20 pm

    Just hoping it’s not the Jets, talk about falling in to the oblivion. Yuck.

    ****************************************************************************

    As a Steeler fan, I very much hope it is with the Jets. If he stays in the AFC, that or Buffalo would be best case scenario.

  14. suchapaindude says:
    November 16, 2018 at 8:12 pm

    Whatever contract Bell gets, its the same contract he would have gotten if he played a healthy season. He just “spent” $14.5 million to ensure he had a healthy season.
    ————————————————————————————-
    I’d be curious to know how much it would have cost him to buy $40 mil in insurance coverage against a career ending injury? 10 mil?

  15. 3 years, $35 million will be top offer. Why pay more when young studs who can be hired for peanuts are coming out of college every year?

  16. NYJ +300
    OAK +500
    TB +700
    PHI +700
    GB +750
    SF +900
    IND +900
    BAL +900
    HOU +1200
    SEA +1600
    PIT +1600
    NE +3300

    — OddsShark (@OddsShark) November 13, 2018

  17. And before anyone scoffs at the idea of paying Bell $18 million or more per year on a short-term deal, consider this: Blake Bortles is making $19 million per year, and Case Keenum is making $18 million annually.

    ——————

    And as bad as they are Le’Veon Bell trying to play qb would be much much worse. Let’s try to keep it apples to apples okay?

  18. owlbania says:
    November 16, 2018 at 6:58 pm
    Bell should be able to negotiate a three-year, fully-guaranteed deal in the range of $54 million to $60 million.

    Take the way under, no way he gets over 15 mill per year guarenteed.
    ===============
    I’m not mathematician, but you just said “he’ll get a 3 year deal that pays him $54 million to $50 million ( which would be $18-$20 mil per year). Then you said, no way he gets 15 mil per year. Did I miss something here?

  19. The Steelers have shown this year that Bell can be replaced with a young back. Is Bell good? Yes. Is he worth the amount of money he’s asking for. Absolutely not. He has said he has no interest in being an every down back so why pay for a guy who will only want to play half the time.

    I’ll be absolutely shocked if he gets a three-year fully guaranteed deal in the neighborhood of $54M-$60M. Paying a running back $18M-$20M per year is stupid. I think he’s going to be surprised at the offers he’s going to get….especially when you consider he was replaced with James Conner, a second-year 3rd round pick.

  20. dontstabmeray says:
    November 16, 2018 at 6:56 pm
    Zero chance he gets the 5 year 70 million the Steelers offered him 2 years ago. Zero

    You can always tell an NFL newbie when they quote a contract that only fully gauranteed $17 million as if it had anyway in the world of paying $70 million. I too can give you a $70 million contract! I’ll only guarantee $20 of it but hey you can brag that you’ve got a $70 million contract!

  21. Of course….Keenum and Bortles are QBs, and 18M is cheap compared to most QBs. And 18M for a 27 year old RB is crazy expensive. Especially when RBS like Connors are available at 1/20th the cost.

  22. >Bell should be able to negotiate a three-year, fully-guaranteed deal in the range of $54 million to $60 million.

    This works out to at least $18mm per year. Any GM who even considers paying him this much money deserves to get fired.

  23. he isn’t going to even make as much as he was offered by the Steeler’s, Conner is showing what the value is, people will be hesitant to sign a 4 game suspended for drugs, all about himself, not a team player. his agent is going to have some explaining to do, Bell’s agent is looking out for himself for future contracts and disregarding bell just lost close to 15 mil this year. no one is going to pay him 5 mil more a year, on a 3 year contract to make up the difference he just lost.

  24. kevo95 says:
    November 16, 2018 at 6:45 pm
    Who cares about Le’Veon,he’s selfish and definitely isn’t a team player,it’s all about me me me

    ——————————–

    I need someone to explain to me how Le’Veon is selfish and not a team player for not signing a contract forced upon him by the rules of the league. Should he risk his future because of that? How many of you would risk your futures because you were forced to sign a contract against your will? Le’Veon had a difficult choice to make, turn down millions to gain even more, or risk 10s of millions in the future to take millions today. He’s clearly managed his money responsibly enough to be able to afford to turn down the money today for more tomorrow. Why is that something so many of you criticize? What causes so many of you to look at guy like Le’Veon and argue he doesn’t deserve to make as much as is talent can get him? Why are teams somehow morally superior to players? Is it jealousy?

  25. dontstabmeray says:
    November 16, 2018 at 6:56 pm
    Zero chance he gets the 5 year 70 million the Steelers offered him 2 years ago. Zero.

    —————————————————————————————

    The bitter Steeler fans on here are funny. Last year he was the greatest thing since sliced bread but now that he hurt their feelings he isn`t worth anything anymore.
    Before you quote the 0% chance of Bell getting 14m a year remember that when it comes to just giving up money and not draft picks for a player Sammy freakin Watkins got over 17m as a UFA.

  26. “And before anyone scoffs at the idea of paying Bell $18 million or more per year on a short-term deal, consider this: Blake Bortles is making $19 million per year, and Case Keenum is making $18 million annually.”
    ……

    Blake and Case also touch the ball on
    virtually every offensive snap and play a more important position without being a locker room distraction, and they get paid accordingly. Can’t compare their earnings to Bells.

  27. I think people are being irrational due to their personal dislike for a man able and willing to use his leverage to maximize his compensation to such a degree, which is an opportunity we will never have. Personally I think with the general view (well deserved due to track record) of athletes as wasteful and bad at money management, it’s admirable that someone goes against the stereotype and shows low time preference and long term decision making. But with many of us “fans,” there is no “winning” no matter what you do and the athlete will be called the same names regardless of his maturity and behavior.

  28. I don’t know. 27-28-29 is not normally considered the prime years for a RB. And he’s only fully completed 1 of his 5 seasons with 2 knee injuries and a groin surgery on his resume. But…as you say money is really thrown around in the NFL. I agree the Jets seem the most logical. He just seems a little riskier to give that much guaranteed money to. QB’s are protected a lot more than RB’s are, so there seems less risk with the high guarantee. And, of course, we’ve watched the injury problems of key RB’s like Fournette and Freeman in 2018. It’s a punishing position.

  29. Of course the Jets offered a QB that kind of scratch. Doubt they’ll do that for a RB when you can grab a young and talented one in the draft on the cheap.

  30. >> Bell should be able to negotiate a three-year, fully-guaranteed deal in the range of $54 million to $60 million.

    If Bell was 24 I’d consider this. He’ll be 27 in January, and finish the 2019 season at 28.
    Do you really expect him to perform like he did at ages 27,28,29,30 the way he did at 24,25

    As for 18/20MM per year, for 3 years fully guaranteed? What if he slacks off? If you are making 20MM, so what if you miss your bonus for coming to OTAs. He can do the bare minimum and get most of his 20MM for 3 years.

    A contract has to make sense for both sides, in this case there is not benefit to the team. They are paying top top dollar and if anything goes wrong, they don’t get their moneys worth.

    Maybe a desperate team like teh Jets will do it, but no well run team will.

  31. 6thsense10 says:
    November 16, 2018 at 10:07 pm
    dontstabmeray says:
    November 16, 2018 at 6:56 pm
    Zero chance he gets the 5 year 70 million the Steelers offered him 2 years ago. Zero

    You can always tell an NFL newbie when they quote a contract that only fully gauranteed $17 million as if it had anyway in the world of paying $70 million. I too can give you a $70 million contract! I’ll only guarantee $20 of it but hey you can brag that you’ve got a $70 million contract!
    —-
    You can always tell an NFL newbie when they quote a contract that was fully guaranteed for 17 million. Eh, it was reported to be a 30+ million dollar signing bonus 2 years ago. And you really think after 2-3 years the Steelers would have dumped him? But brag on with your “facts” bud!

  32. johnc44 says:
    November 16, 2018 at 11:57 pm
    dontstabmeray says:
    November 16, 2018 at 6:56 pm
    Zero chance he gets the 5 year 70 million the Steelers offered him 2 years ago. Zero.

    —————————————————————————————

    The bitter Steeler fans on here are funny. Last year he was the greatest thing since sliced bread but now that he hurt their feelings he isn`t worth anything anymore.
    Before you quote the 0% chance of Bell getting 14m a year remember that when it comes to just giving up money and not draft picks for a player Sammy freakin Watkins got over 17m as a UFA.

    Bitter? We are ecstatic that James Connor is putting up better numbers at 1/15 of the cost.

  33. he’s going to the jets…normally i am against it..but…why not? got to get the young qb some help & years & years of bad drafting means the jets have a ton of cap room with no one to pay. may as well sign bell.

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