Chargers have a realistic path to the No. 1 seed

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With the Patriots, Texans, and Steelers losing on the same day the Chiefs picked up win No. 11, Kansas City acquired the inside track to the No. 1 seed in the AFC. But another team has a path to the top spot that may not be easy, but it’s definitely clear.

If the Chargers win their last three games (the first of which will be a game against the Chiefs in Kansas City) and the Chiefs lose at Seattle or at home against the Raiders, the Chargers will secure home-field advantage throughout the playoffs.

Let that one percolate for a minute. A less-than-30,000-seat soccer stadium in Carson could be the site of both a division-round game and the AFC championship.

Again, it won’t be easy. The Chargers will have to win at Arrowhead Stadium. The Chiefs will have to lose at Seattle. But is either outcome all that crazy?

However it plays out, it makes Thursday night’s game even more important, because if the Chiefs lose at home to the Chargers any slip by K.C. could open the door for the redheaded Southern Cal stepchild becoming a favorite to make it to the Super Bowl. Where they could possibly see the team with which the Chargers soon will be sharing a stadium.

42 responses to “Chargers have a realistic path to the No. 1 seed

  1. As soon as they play a team on the east coast they’ll be done. Yeah I get they beat the Steelers at Pittsburgh but that wouldn’t happen again.

  2. It’s been pretty obvious since the reffing in the Chiefs Ram game the NFL would love an LA Super Bowl. Chiefs should win but theyll be playing not only the Chargers but the refs

  3. coloradocowboy says:
    December 11, 2018 at 6:52 pm

    A Rams – Chargers SB would be awesome.

    3

    2————-

    Goodell will do what he can you little whippersnapper kiddies.

  4. The Chief’s aren’t near as good as they think they are. Especially after cutting Hunt.
    Losing two is completely feasible. They have been very lucky the ball bounced their way in a couple of close games.

  5. The NFL does not want playoff games in a 30,000 seat stadium. Not enough money changing hands.

  6. As a Chargers fan, I can only hope we will one day improve on our 11-17 playoff record. Who knows, we may pass the Chiefs 9-18 playoff record.

    I keep hearing There’s no way the Chargers can win in kC. Go ahead and look past them then—your real challenge is the following matchup in Seattle. That’s a night game—I hear Seattle has a pretty good record when it comes to home night games. Good luck with that.
    .
    By the way, the Chargers have won in Seattle—just last month. The last time KC won in Seattle? 2010

  7. The Chargers have lost 10 straight to the Chiefs. Primetime game at Arrowhead? They don’t stand a chance. Weather might be bad too

  8. Chargers will most likely lose to the Chiefs and Ravens. Can almost guarantee Rivers throw 2 picks against the Chiefs because that’s what he does.

  9. If the Chargers win their last three games (the first of which will be a game against the Chiefs in Kansas City) and the Chiefs lose at Seattle or at home against the Raiders, the Chargers will secure home-field advantage throughout the playoffs.
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    Ummm NO, even if the Chargers win out Kansas City would have to lose their last 3 games for the Chargers to get home field. You see there is thing called divisional wins/losses which the Chargers already have 2 losses and the Chiefs are yet to be beaten in the AFC West.

  10. …and with their first pick, the Chargers take a kicker. says:
    December 11, 2018 at 7:28 pm
    .
    By the way, the Chargers have won in Seattle—just last month. The last time KC won in Seattle? 2010

    Given that the Chiefs only play in Seattle every 8 years that doesn’t sound too bad?

  11. arcross12042004scorp15 says:
    December 11, 2018 at 7:07 pm
    Lots of PSLs, Luxury Suites & Season Tickets to sell for 2 teams in LA, a Rams-Chargers Superbowl is not outside of the realm of possibilities.
    ———————————————————————————————-
    These strange spikes in results have been occurring when teams are selling PSLs and/or need votes for stadium funding. Look the seasons leading up to the new stadiums for Cowboys, Jets, Giants, 49ers, Vikings, Falcons, Rams and Chargers. Don’t be surprised if the Raiders have a strong 2019 season if they’re struggling with PSL sales.

  12. Chargers have to face a very tough Ravens team next week who is fighting for their playoff lives, then finish at Denver. First they have to beat KC at Arrowhead at night on National TV . Camarohead will be rockin the whole way Thursday night, good luck with those 3 games LA

  13. nosmak40 says:
    December 11, 2018 at 8:01 pm
    Easy schedules? K.C. has played one of, if not the hardest schedules this year.

    ——

    My comment was solely about the Chargers. The Chiefs have earned their #1 seed

  14. The henchmen for the NFL, meaning those in black and white stripes also on the field of play during NFL games, will ensure there’s no game at that stadium in the postseason. A missed face mask here, a phantom hold there, and a replay that’s either conclusive or non-conclusive which benefits KC is already in the works. KC will be the 1 seed, regardless of the Kareem Hunt issue taking 9 months for the league to release the video and attempt in bringing the Chiefs closer to the Patriots, who will be the 2 seed. The Texans will be the 3 seed, and the Steelers the 4. Wild Card weekend will be the Chargers (5) at the Steelers and the Dolphins (6) at the Texans. This way, it’s practically impossible for the Chargers to host anything in a 30,000 seat soccer facility.

  15. One thing you must consider is the chiefs are coached by Mr. Conservative and therefore always lose their big game. 13 years in Philadelphia and now five years in KC. No way the NFL will allow Chargers home field in playoffs. Ain’t got no money in that package and it’s all about the 💰. That QB in KC is something else.

  16. Oh man I would LOVE beating KC….but I doubt it happens. That said I’m rooting for a great game and a Chargers victory. Given the option, I’d MUCH rather beat KC in the playoffs than on Thursday night.

  17. I’d love to see it, if only because of how insane that would be! You can bet the NFL would stroke out.

  18. Easy schedules? K.C. has played one of, if not the hardest schedules this year. This is total crap. Don’t you all realize that EVERY team in a division has 14 games that are EXACTLY the same and only two are different. In the case of the chargers and the chiefs. KC won one of the different games and lost the other. The chargers won both. Denver and the Raiders also have the same schedules – 14 identical games and 2 different. EVERY TEAM IN EVERY DIVISION has the same thing. Stop thinking that there is a huge difference in the schedules of teams in the same division. You better look it up if you don’t believe me. I’m tired of people saying the Chargers had such an easy schedule. It was the same as the chiefs except for 2 games.

  19. Denver and KC had the same schedules except for 2 games. Same schedule as the chargers and the raiders. It seems like no one knows this. There is no “Schedule weighting” because of the way a team finishes one year going into the next. That has been gone so long it is a dim dim memory. You can’t strength of schedule as an excuse. Play the game.

  20. The guy who says the Chiefs have to lose all 3 of their games for the Chargers to get the number 1 seed is dead wrong. If the Chargers beat the Chiefs, they will have identical division records – each losing 2 games. They would be tied at 11-3. If The Chiefs lose one of their last 2 games and the Chargers win both of theirs, the records would be 13-3 Chargers and 12-4 Chiefs. Chargers win.

  21. Sorry, if the chargers beat the chiefs they would have identical records but the chiefs hold the edge because the chargers would have lost 2 in their division and the chiefs only one. But if the chargers win out and chiefs lose one of their last 2 games, chargers have the better record at 13-3 versus 12-4.

  22. nelly837 says:
    Ummm NO, even if the Chargers win out Kansas City would have to lose their last 3 games for the Chargers to get home field. You see there is thing called divisional wins/losses which the Chargers already have 2 losses and the Chiefs are yet to be beaten in the AFC West.

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    ——————-

    * Hey “nelly837” – Do your homework before you post. While I expect the Chargers to lose to KC on Thursday night – division and conference tie-breakers only apply if the Chiefs and Chargers are tied at the end of the regular season. On the contrary, KC CAN lose the #1 seed if they lose two of their last three games – AND if one of those two losses is to the Chargers.

    * If the current 10-3 Chargers win their last three – they’ll finish 13-3.

    * If the current 11-2 Chiefs lose to the Chargers – AND – if they lose at Seattle OR against Oakland – they’ll finish one game back at 12-4. No tiebreakers will apply and they’ll end up with the #5 seed and play on the road.

    * In my view, Thursday’s game is bigger for the Chiefs because they NEED home field in Arrowhead’s “sea of red” – (although arguably it hasn’t done them much good in the playoffs). On the other hand, home field advantage doesn’t exist for the Chargers in a soccer stadium filled with out-of-town fans. So for the Chargers, getting a bye just means resting their players and not traveling.

    * Mike Florio has posted a good story because it’s a brain teaser about possibilities. But it only works if you think the Chargers can surprise everyone and beat KC, and then go on to beat a tough Baltimore team with Jackson or Flacco – and then grab a tough out at Denver.

    * If you do, then you must also believe that it’s possible for the Chiefs – with their “non-championship-caliber” defense – to lose to the Chargers – and then go on to lose to the Seahawks in Seattle or at home against the suddenly stubborn Raiders.

    * So however unreal this seems on paper – stranger things have happened. The shelf life of this story ends if KC wins Thursday. But if KC chokes despite being favored – it will continue over the final two weeks of the regular season.

  23. I have a feeling that the officiating Thursday night will be heavily against the Chiefs.
    The league deseperatly wants the Chargers to get home field advantage, and will do anything to make it happen.

  24. Why would the league “desperately” want the Chargers to get home field advantage? To play in a 30,000 seat stadium? The afc championship game could go through there? That is patently ridiculous. You must be awfully nervous – blaming the league and the officials for the loss before it even happens.

  25. Getting back to “strength of schedule” – the different games for the chargers and the chiefs were chargers vs bills and titans, kc vs jaguars and patriots. All four of the teams were in the playoffs last year. Chargers won both of theirs. Chiefs lost one. So tell me again how the Chiefs had the “hardest”: schedule in the league? Or Denver? Denver’s two different games were the jets and the Texans – neither of whom was in the playoffs last year.

  26. Chargers won’t have a problem selling out the stadium if they get home field advantage.. only problem is a majority of the fans will be for the other team.

  27. If the Chargers win their last three games….right there, that’s where you lost me. Chargers will not win out. It took Mahomes-magic for KC to beat the the Ravens in Arrowhead. There is no chance for the Chargers to do it on the road.

  28. By the way, the Chargers have won in Seattle—just last month. The last time KC won in Seattle? 2010
    —-
    Pretty sure the last time the Chiefs played in Seattle was 2010.

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