PFT’s Week 17 picks

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Nine teams have clinched playoff berths entering Week 17, and I’ve clinched the full-season PFT picks competition.

With a seven-game gap and only two disagreements this week, I’ll prevail in the full-season competition by five, seven, or nine games.

Last week, I had my best weekend of the season, getting 14 of 16 games right. MDS went 12-4.

For the year, I’m at 154-86 (64.1 percent) for the year, and MDS is at 147-93 (61.2 percent).

Dolphins at Bills

MDS’s take: Like many of the early Sunday kickoffs, this is a meaningless game for both teams. I think the Bills will be more motivated to win at home in their finale.

MDS’s pick: Bills 24, Dolphins 20.

Florio’s take: The glass is half full for the Bills. The glass is about to get smashed for the Dolphins.

Florio’s pick: Bills 20, Dolphins 14.


Falcons at Buccaneers

MDS’s take: Jameis Winston is trying to prove himself as the Bucs’ long-term starter, and he should have a good game against the Falcons’ bad defense.

MDS’s pick: Buccaneers 28, Falcons 24.

Florio’s take: All those empty seats in Tampa will be averting their eyes.

Florio’s pick: Falcons 30, Buccaneers 16.


Cowboys at Giants

MDS’s take: I find it hard to believe that the Cowboys will play Dak Prescott, Ezekiel Elliot & Co. when they’re already locked into the No. 4 seed.

MDS’s pick: Giants 21, Cowboys 20.

Florio’s take: The Cowboys will surely rest and protect their key players, which opens the door for the Giants to end the season on a high note.

Florio’s pick: Giants 27, Cowboys 17.


Panthers at Saints

MDS’s take: This game means nothing to the Saints, but I think they’ll win anyway against a reeling Panthers team.

MDS’s pick: Saints 23, Panthers 20.

Florio’s take: It’s a Superdome celebration with Teddy Bridgewater showcasing his skills against a Panthers team that is hoping to be put out of its misery.

Florio’s pick: Saints 38, Panthers 20.


Jets at Patriots

MDS’s take: The Patriots just need to win to earn a bye week, and they’ll do just that.

MDS’s pick: Patriots 30, Jets 20.

Florio’s take: An unlikely Super Bowl march continues with an easy win against a Jets team that can’t wait for Tom Brady to finally go away.

Florio’s pick: Patriots 33, Jets 17.


Jaguars at Texans

MDS’s take: The Texans could finish anywhere from No. 1 to No. 6 in the AFC. That ought to motivate them to play their best game of the season.

MDS’s pick: Texans 30, Jaguars 10.

Florio’s take: The Texans could be top seed, and they could be the bottom seed, based on what happens on Sunday. The best way to avoid being the bottom seed is to beat the AFC South’s bottom feeders.

Florio’s pick: Texans 24, Jaguars 16.


Lions at Packers

MDS’s take: Joe Philbin seems to want to prove he deserves the head-coaching job on a permanent basis. Matt Patricia seems like a guy who has no business as an NFL head coach.

MDS’s pick: Packers 30, Lions 17.

Florio’s take: Green Bay’s 100th season ends with a win, which would have been great news if the team had made it to the playoffs. 

Florio’s pick: Packers 34, Lions 17.


Eagles at Washington

MDS’s take: It’s a big one for the Eagles and a meaningless one for Washington.

MDS’s pick: Eagles 28, Washington 13.

Florio’s take: The dream continues, even if whether it makes it to the next weekend is beyond Philly’s control.

Florio’s pick: Eagles 30, Washington 17.


Chargers at Broncos

MDS’s take: The Broncos have collapsed down the stretch and will get blown out at home in Vance Joseph’s finale.

MDS’s pick: Chargers 27, Broncos 10.

Florio’s take: Bradley Roby isn’t the only Bronco who has quit.

Florio’s pick: Chargers 31, Broncos 13.


Raiders at Chiefs

MDS’s take: The Chiefs just need to win to earn home-field advantage, and they’ll do that easily, even though the Raiders have been playing hard down the stretch.

MDS’s pick: Chiefs 31, Raiders 20.

Florio’s take: If the Chiefs can’t beat the Raiders to nail down the No. 1 seed, the Chiefs don’t deserve the No. 1 seed.

Florio’s pick: Chiefs 42, Raiders 20.


Bears at Vikings

MDS’s take: The Bears may be scoreboard-watching and sitting their starters if the Rams take an early lead. I like the Vikings to win and clinch a playoff berth.

MDS’s pick: Vikings 24, Bears 20.

Florio’s take: Kirk or Kurt? This game is a referendum on that $84 million deal, and the Vikings need Kirk not Kurt to make an appearance.

Florio’s pick: Vikings 28, Bears 24.


Browns at Ravens

MDS’s take: The Browns are playing very good football right now, but not quite good enough to go to Baltimore and beat the Ravens in a must-win game.

MDS’s pick: Ravens 24, Browns 17.

Florio’s take: Perhaps the best game of the day will be brought to us by a team that should be giving us plenty of great games in the not-too-distant future.

Florio’s pick: Ravens 24, Browns 22.


49ers at Rams

MDS’s take: The Rams just need to win to earn a bye, and they should do that even against a 49ers team that has been playing competitively against good teams.

MDS’s pick: Rams 20, 49ers 17.

Florio’s take: The stakes are very high for the Rams, and they surely know it.

Florio’s pick: Rams 38, 49ers 28.


Bengals at Steelers

MDS’s take: The Steelers need to win and get help. They’ll do their part.

MDS’s pick: Steelers 24, Bengals 14.

Florio’s take: One Ohio team will comply by losing, the other one won’t, by not winning.

Florio’s pick: Steelers 34, Bengals 14.


Cardinals at Seahawks

MDS’s take: This game doesn’t mean much to the Seahawks, who will be a wild card team either way, but Pete Carroll says he’s playing his starters — and even the Seahawks’ backups would probably beat the Cardinals.

MDS’s pick: Seahawks 20, Cardinals 10.

Florio’s take: Pete Carroll won’t rest his starters, even against a team whose starters would be backups elsewhere.

Florio’s pick: Seahawks 34, Cardinals 20.


Colts at Titans

MDS’s take: Andrew Luck seems destined to cap a Comeback Player of the Year season with a road win to send his team to the playoffs.

MDS’s pick: Colts 23, Titans 20.

Florio’s take: Sure, the Titans have never beaten Andrew Luck. Yeah, they may not have Marcus Mariota. Regardless, Mike Vrabel will use widespread doubt of the home team to motivate his troops and steal a playoff berth.

Florio’s pick: Titans 23, Colts 20.

66 responses to “PFT’s Week 17 picks

  1. It would the most Texans thing if Houston loses to Jacksonville and Indy beats the Titans and wins the division. Won’t be surprised at all to see that happen

  2. Falcons over Bucs Falcons have been hindered by injuries all year but better than their record… Many Bucs are playing their last game and their mind is already thinking about whats next… {likely the end for Koetter, Winston and maybe even Licht}

    Saints over Panthers – Saints are the better team this year and the Panthers are on their 3rd QB

  3. Doubt JP is the Packer’s next HC but he’s a good coach.

    He’ll be on someone’s staff next year for sure.

    If the Browns win, how do you fire Williams? If they do, William’s should get consideration elsewhere. Tampa maybe…

  4. The Bears and Vikings should agree to let this game go to the Vikings ,,,because if the iggles meet either of these teams in the playoffs the iggles will beat them !

  5. Eagles and Steelers both get help and sneak into the playoffs.

    I’m calling Bears and Browns to win, (Eagles and Steelers too).

  6. I think the Bears would rather see Minnesota in the divisional round than Philly. The Bears should lay on the sword in week 17. I’m not bashing the Vikings either, I just think the Eagles are the hotter team.

  7. If the Vikes can’t beat the Bears at home with the season on the line, they don’t deserve to be in the playoffs anyway. And Philly wouldn’t be in this fingers-crossed situation had they not lost to the Vikes at home earlier this year.

  8. As a Bears fan I keep flashing back to the year under Lovie that they let Green Bay into the postseason and the Packers wound up beating them in the playoffs. The ironic thing though is that it may be to the Bears benefit as I feel the Eagles with Foles at QB are actually a better chance to upset them at Soldiers.

  9. I’m a Bengals fan and there is absolutely no way the Bengals lose by less than 2 TD’s to the Steelers who will be trying hard to win as they scoreboard watch. The Bengals have nobody outside of Mixon who is a threat to the Steelers defense. The Steelers DEFENSE will outscore the Bengals offense.

  10. If the Bills win, then the Dolphins may have quit because they’re a much better team than the Bills. I’ve seen both play NE twice this year and I’m way more afraid of the Dolphins than the bills. The Bills have no offense and a pedestrian defense. The Dolphins are better at both.

    Tannehill may be auditioning for a future job too…

  11. Should be some good games and maybe even a few upsets! You better believe some of these teams that have already been eliminated from playoff contention would love nothing more than preventing their division rival from securing a high playoff seed/ knocking them out of playoff contention completely.

  12. Oh, and for the benefit of Minneanderthals, the Vikings (apparently not a good football team), have not lost to the Packers for 733 days.

  13. Simms sounds uninformed about the Viking’s change in offensive approach (“they can’t think they can throw it 44 times against this defense.”), the effect of their crowd on Trubisky’s ability to hear his coach’s call clearly all game, Anthony Barr’s return, improved secondary, etc.

  14. harbaughtothebears says:
    December 27, 2018 at 12:20 pm
    I think the Bears would rather see Minnesota in the divisional round than Philly. The Bears should lay on the sword in week 17. I’m not bashing the Vikings either, I just think the Eagles are the hotter team.

    —————

    You mean wildcard round, not divisional.

  15. Kirk Cousins has proven time and again that he cannot beat teams with winning records. Even if Chicago sits some of their more important players, he won’t be able to beat that defense.

  16. boisestatewhodat says:
    December 27, 2018 at 12:39 pm
    Vikings are lousy. They were last season also…the Saints and Eagles proved that much. WHO DAT!
    __________________________________________________________________________________________
    Ummmm……Your Aints lost last year to Minnesota if I remember correctly, plus the Vikings had a better record. The Aints will lose at home and WhoDat nation will be distraught again, two years in row.

  17. With the combination of Cousins prime-time/playoff/road record we’ll play them twice in a week.

    That said, Vikes D will have their ears pinned back and ready to smack Biscuit around in the backfield. Nagy better protect him well!

  18. I don’t expect this particular Cardinals team to win on Sunday because Wilks is a bad coach who has lost the team, but the Bruce Arians Cardinals beat Seattle 4 outta the last 5 in Seattle. The only loss was with Drew Stanton at QB. Interestingly enough, Seattle barely scraped by the Cards earlier this year 20-17, in a game the Cardinals could’ve easily won.

    This Cards fan wants them to lose on Sunday, I don’t want them to mess up their draft position.

  19. Chicago is going to rest players, besides you’re not beating Washington.

    Proves last year’s Superbowl was a fluke.

    The Eagles need to get their draft board ready.

    GO COWBOYS!

  20. People talking about the Bears laying down so they can play the Vikings the following week. Well, that scenario has played out in the league before and letting a familiar foe into the playoffs and playing them 2 weeks in a row doesn’t seem to work out too well.

    I think the Bears play to win on Sunday. The Bears will make it hard for the Vikings. I don’t see any matchups that favor the Vikings. Cousins is terrible under pressure and has a problem winning big games. The Bears wont let Minnesota run all over them either. The Bears have an efficient offense that takes advantage of opportunities enough to pull out wins. The Bears defense is really good. The Vikings just aren’t good enough to beat the Bears even up.

    Have to look at it this way. The Eagles could lose and Minnesota still gets in. Either we way, do the Bears want to give Minnesota confidence going into the next weekend’s game? Or do they want to beat them up so they don’t want to go into soldier field in a weeks time?

  21. descendency says:
    December 27, 2018 at 12:32 pm
    If the Bills win, then the Dolphins may have quit because they’re a much better team than the Bills. I’ve seen both play NE twice this year and I’m way more afraid of the Dolphins than the bills. The Bills have no offense and a pedestrian defense. The Dolphins are better at both.
    ———————————
    NFL Stats this week

    Total Offense
    #30 Miami 294.2 yds per gm
    #31 Buffalo 293.1 yds per gm

    Total Defense
    #2 Buffalo 298.7 yds per gm allowed
    #30 Miami 391.7 yds per gm allowed

  22. ill42 says:
    December 27, 2018 at 1:28 pm

    Please don’t let the Titans be in the playoffs. Colts are far more entertaining to watch. Sorry Titans fans
    ———————————–
    If you don’t think the Titans are entertaining, you are either stuck in 2014 or you only paid attention to their losses. These Titans are more entertaining than they’ve been in a while (although inconsistent). Did you already forget the Titans vs Chiefs game in January? Are you not entertained?

  23. The mere thought of the Bears (or any other team) “laying down” is ridiculous. The coaching staff may choose to rest some starters, or pull them early, but the players themselves are hyper competitive by nature and always aware of what they’re putting on film. They’re not about to jeopardize roster spots and/or future earnings.

  24. Patriots 30 Jets 13 expect more running and maybe some passing to White and Edelman as well as some picks by Darnold to be the difference. Texans 24 Jags 10 I don’t see the Texans choking just yet. Colts 27 Titans 14 unfortunately Luck will light up the Titans.

  25. Oakland is so much better now compared to the beginning of the season; I don’t expect them to beat KC but if they do, I also won’t be surprised. Their “defense” is embarrassing, despite having some good to very good players. And no Watkins is having a more noticeable effect than losing Hunt.

  26. purpleguy says:
    December 27, 2018 at 12:50 pm
    Oh, and for the benefit of Minneanderthals, the Vikings (apparently not a good football team), have not lost to the Packers for 733 days.

    Oh, and for the benefit of all Viking fans with short-term and/or long-term memory loss, the Vikings have not won a Super Bowl since they were given an NFL frnachise.

  27. The Almighty Cabbage says:
    December 27, 2018 at 2:07 pm
    The mere thought of the Bears (or any other team) “laying down” is ridiculous. The coaching staff may choose to rest some starters, or pull them early, but the players themselves are hyper competitive by nature and always aware of what they’re putting on film. They’re not about to jeopardize roster spots and/or future earnings.
    //////////////
    That’s the thing. On any given week at least half the roster is playing to keep their job. And, when you’ve done this football thing since you were about age 4, I doubt any of them have decided to just take a week off.

  28. purpleguy says:
    December 27, 2018 at 12:50 pm
    Oh, and for the benefit of Minneanderthals, the Vikings (apparently not a good football team), have not lost to the Packers for 733 days.
    —————-
    The Vikings also haven’t won a super bowl in 20,805 days!!!

  29. I’m going to call it for all of you Patriots fans out there. If the Patriots beat the Jets – playing well and not shooting themselves in the foot with a few turnovers – heading into the playoffs, they will more than likely end up playing in another AFC championship game. If they lose to the Jets and finish 10-6 with the Texans winning, they’ll lose their first or second game on the road in the playoffs. I’d worry more about playing the Ravens in the post-season than the Steelers (if they get there) or the Chiefs.

  30. The CHICAGO Bears coach is a really hard spot:

    Play to let the Queens in the playoffs – and then meet them AGAIN..1 WEEK LATER…

    Or Play to win, and meet the Hot Philly Birds in with God’s favorite Quarterback in ONE WEEK..

    Poor Nagy… ADVICE FOR NAGY: Bright Side is you will be in CHICAGO no matter
    whom you play.. and Philly is used to the cold, and Queens have just been
    playing in a dome for a couple of years.. but don’t mess with gifts Gods
    gives you..

  31. shlort says:
    December 27, 2018 at 1:34 pm
    The Bears will make it hard for the Vikings. I don’t see any matchups that favor the Vikings.
    /////////////
    Ummmmm……the #3 defense against a QB with 25 career starts and the 20th ranked passing game?
    Vikings 5-2 at home, playing at home?

    Nobody is talking about Trubisky’s complete lack of experience and pedestrian numbers, against a defense that has been absolutely crushing it’s opponents. They will be talking about that on Sunday night.

  32. Oh, and for the benefit of Minneanderthals, the Vikings (apparently not a good football team), have not lost to the Packers for 733 days.
    —–
    They lost in week 2…. unfortunately no one told the refs.

  33. Packers haven’t made playoffs 2 year straight. ha ha
    ——
    And your team has one playoff win since the 2009 season. What’s your point?

  34. Regardless of the score in the Rams game, the Bears aren’t going to show any new looks on offense or defense. The Rams have only lost one game at home this year and 49ers have only won once on the road, and the odds are overwhelmingly in the Rams favor. I see Bears starters getting pulled sooner than later. Nagy is the same guy who reserved Trubisky in the pre-season and is always full or surprises. It’s doubtful, but I wouldn’t be shocked if, realizing the odds in favor of the Rams winning, he starts Daniel, and they have already been game-planning for the Vikings and installing new plays for that game to give the team plenty of time to practice that.

  35. Browns positioning themselves for a great future, but in the present they won’t be able to hang with a tough Ravens defense. This beat down will be every bit as impressive as the beat down the Ravens D gave the Chargers last week. Take the Ravens at home and give the points.

    Ravens 24
    Browns 6

    I pity the first team the Ravens meet in the playoffs

  36. and what happens if the Browns beat the Ravens and the Bengals upset the Steelers…and the Colt and Titans tie. Then what?

  37. A Bears fan had a recollection of the Bears ALLOWING the Packers into the playoffs, and then the Packers winning in the playoffs.

    Allow me to shine up the revisionist history. The Bears couldn’t beat the Pack in the final regular season game. Packers got in as a 6th seed and once again beat the Bears in the NFCC game. The didn’t allow anything. Lovie played everyone to win! I gained a ton of respect for the Bears organization that day. They could have laid down but came out to win.

    That is why is can pull for the Bears to go all the way. I respect that organization. Their fans are a different story all the way around.

  38. The first three drives for each team in the Vikings and Bears game will crucial. If either team gets up by 2 or more score their D will really start clamping down and the team that is behind their offense will tighten up and make mistakes. This will be true for either the Vikings or the Bears.

    SKOL VIKINGS

  39. AP has one more chance to help the Vikings. Often did not come through before and probably will not this time either. While I dislike the skins, you have to feel sorry for any team on their # 4 QB.

  40. I sure hope my team doesn’t choke away our chance at being one and done in the playoffs this year.

  41. “mayfieldroadboy says:
    December 27, 2018 at 3:56 pm
    and what happens if the Browns beat the Ravens and the Bengals upset the Steelers…and the Colt and Titans tie. Then what?”

    Human sacrifice, dogs and cats – living together. Mass Hysteria!

  42. Yea, I bet in the back of Nagy’s mind he recalls that it was the Vikings D that squashed Mitch’s shoulder and kept him outa two games this season.

  43. mayfieldroadboy says:
    December 27, 2018 at 3:56 pm
    and what happens if the Browns beat the Ravens and the Bengals upset the Steelers…and the Colt and Titans tie. Then what?
    —————————–
    Ravens will be 4th seed and the Colts will be the 6th. That’s assuming KC, LAC, Pats and Texans win. Steelers must win to clinch North while the Ravens win with loss and Colts/Titans tie. KC gets 1 seed, Pats 2, Texans 3rd for clinching South, Chargers 5th.

  44. shlort says:
    December 27, 2018 at 1:34 pm
    People talking about the Bears laying down so they can play the Vikings the following week. Well, that scenario has played out in the league before and letting a familiar foe into the playoffs and playing them 2 weeks in a row doesn’t seem to work out too well.

    I think the Bears play to win on Sunday. The Bears will make it hard for the Vikings. I don’t see any matchups that favor the Vikings. Cousins is terrible under pressure and has a problem winning big games. The Bears wont let Minnesota run all over them either. The Bears have an efficient offense that takes advantage of opportunities enough to pull out wins. The Bears defense is really good. The Vikings just aren’t good enough to beat the Bears even up.

    Have to look at it this way. The Eagles could lose and Minnesota still gets in. Either we way, do the Bears want to give Minnesota confidence going into the next weekend’s game? Or do they want to beat them up so they don’t want to go into soldier field in a weeks time?
    __________________________________________
    This guy gets it. As a Vikings fan realize that Cousins struggles both indoors and in big games. I’m not a huge fan of him.

    Laying on the proverbial sword by the Bears would be a terrible mistake. He might get a bit of confidence and he plays much better outdoors which is where he would be. Bears should win this game, but we are talking about the Queens so my team will probably dominate at home and give us fans confidence going into the playoffs. We’ve seen crazier stuff than the Vikes winning out, but it would be shocking with Cousins’ performance in any primetime or game that matters.

  45. steelcurtainn says:
    December 27, 2018 at 1:40 pm

    Browns 20-17
    ———————————————————————————————————————-
    Same guy who had the Steelers as the #2 seed a few weeks back . . .

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