Rams, Patriots expected to get two third-round compensatory picks

Getty Images

The Rams and Patriots were two of the top teams in the NFL this season, but they didn’t mortgage the future to build for the present.

In fact, one good measure of how well a team plans for the future is how well it does at getting compensatory picks. And the Rams and Patriots are expected to get the best compensatory pick compensation in the NFL in 2019.

Although the NFL hasn’t yet released the full list of compensatory picks for the 2019 draft, Nick Korte of OverTheCap.com typically projects the picks accurately, and his projections for this year’s draft say that the Rams and Patriots will each get two third-round compensatory picks.

The NFL awards compensatory picks to players who lose free agents and don’t sign other free agents to replace them, and the more expensive the free agents you lose, the better the picks you get. The Patriots two third-round picks will be for losing Nate Solder and Malcolm Butler, while the Rams’ two third-round picks will be for losing Trumaine Johnson and Sammy Watkins.

The other three teams expected to get third-round compensatory picks are Washington (for losing Kirk Cousins), Carolina (for losing Andrew Norwell) and Baltimore (for losing Ryan Jensen).

48 responses to “Rams, Patriots expected to get two third-round compensatory picks

  1. I don’t get it with the Rams. They didn’t lose much (Trumaine Johnson?) but at the same time look at who all they brought in… Peters, Suh, Talib, Cooks… they should be at the bottom of the compensatory picks list.

    If they’re getting that good of picks then the compensatory picks formula is very flawed. It should take into account trades as well as free agent signings/losses.

  2. Neither Nate or especially Butler, were worth all the cash they got this year, but Belichick still gets compensated. And yet hater pointed to their going as another example of Belichick being both miserly and a terrible GM, and the latest start of the implosion the forecast every year. Enjoy the playoffs!

  3. BB has done it again. Trades out of weak drafts and into strong ones, by adding additional picks.

    Sounds so simple, but teams refuse to learn from the master. So strange.

  4. Another reason Les Snead deserves Executive of the Year. Knowing how to play the comp picks game (when it’s not clearly spelled out) and use it to your advantage is some next level stuff.

  5. BB has done it again. Trades out of weak drafts and into strong ones, by adding additional picks.

    Sounds so simple, but teams refuse to learn from the master. So strange.

    ***

    He isn’t the best GM.

    Defense is bad upfront and Brady has no weapons

  6. footballpat says:
    January 7, 2019 at 10:32 am
    Great for the Pats. Two third round picks for players you no longer wanted.

    2 0 Rate This

    ——————————–

    It’s absolute genius.

    So, they walk from Butler and Solder, two players sinking cap hell-ridden teams, sign 7th ranked Jason MCCourty for 1 million in 2018 and develop JC Jackson (leading the NFL in passer rating against at 33%), and will load up into another deep draft to combine a very good draft yield in 2018 (so far), with that.

    And, we wonder why Goodell and some owners want the Pats cheated?

    LOL!

    Utter brilliance. This all but assures a great draft for NE. Let’s say their draft this past year is B+, this one this year will likely be an A.

    This is how you build and rebuild in the NFL so you never go into a cap hell.

  7. jasons81 says:
    January 7, 2019 at 10:30 am
    I don’t get it with the Rams. They didn’t lose much (Trumaine Johnson?) but at the same time look at who all they brought in… Peters, Suh, Talib, Cooks… they should be at the bottom of the compensatory picks list.

    If they’re getting that good of picks then the compensatory picks formula is very flawed. It should take into account trades as well as free agent signings/losses.

    =================================

    peters and cooks werent signed free agents. they traded for them.

  8. jasons81 says:
    January 7, 2019 at 10:30 am
    I don’t get it with the Rams. They didn’t lose much (Trumaine Johnson?) but at the same time look at who all they brought in… Peters, Suh, Talib, Cooks… they should be at the bottom of the compensatory picks list.

    If they’re getting that good of picks then the compensatory picks formula is very flawed. It should take into account trades as well as free agent signings/losses.
    —————————————–

    They traded for Talib, Peters, and Cooks. Trades do not influence the compensatory formula since it is only related to Free Agency.

    Also I believe there is a date in the offseason where you are not punished formula wise for signing a FA. I’m not sure if Suh was before or after this time frame, but you only named one real FA they signed, and they lost at least 2 FA’s to big contracts.

  9. And now compensatory picks are tradeable so they are even more valuable commodity to teams that finish with good records.

  10. dcnupe3 says:
    January 7, 2019 at 10:40 am
    Another reason Les Snead deserves Executive of the Year. Knowing how to play the comp picks game (when it’s not clearly spelled out) and use it to your advantage is some next level stuff.
    ————————————–

    Do you really think the comp formula is some kind of mystery to NFL GM’s?

  11. wib22 says:
    January 7, 2019 at 10:47 am
    BB has done it again. Trades out of weak drafts and into strong ones, by adding additional picks.

    Sounds so simple, but teams refuse to learn from the master. So strange.

    ***

    He isn’t the best GM.

    Defense is bad upfront and Brady has no weapons

    ————————-

    Yes, the 11th ranked pass rush and a D that led the conference in turnovers, ranked 6th in points allowed is “bad upfront”. LOL

    And, Brady, surrounded by loaded weaponry everywhere, a top O Line and a very good RB group, is really leaving the cupboard dry for him.

    LOL!

  12. Pats got lucky with landing Brown….. they tried to keep Solder but he chased better guaranteed money…..( & as it turns out, a couch seat to watch the Patriots in the playoffs)….Butler is loved in N.E. but not worth the contract he got….. again, Pats seem to have gotten REALLY LUCKY with undrafted FA CJ Jackson….. he looks like he could be the real deal opposite Gilmore….
    What scares me most is that the Pats got a TON of unrestricted FA’s this year….. getting comp picks are great, but I’d like to see them work out long term deals with Brown, Flowers, Patterson & Dorsett & maybe Gostkowski……be interesting to see how things unfold in the next few months for sure!!!!
    For now, we’re onto the Chargers!!!!
    GO PATS!!!!

  13. I have been saying for years that the compensatory picks system is flawed and outdated.

    These picks were designed at the onset of free agency in 1994 to reward losing/small-market teams that couldn’t compete with winning/big-market teams to keep their free agents. The thought was if they couldn’t re-sign their stars, at least they would be compensated with draft picks.

    Nowadays, the complete opposite is happening. Cash flow isn’t an issue anymore but it is the winning teams that are refusing to pay their own free agents while the losing teams get in a bidding war. So the winning teams wind up with lower salary caps and a greater selection of draft choices, and the losing teams have large free agent contracts and less draft choices. So much for parity.

    The final portion of this pick formula that is detrimental to the game is how it rewards teams for jettisoning their players. This is bad for both the fans and the players, and not at all in the spirit of the original concept.

  14. He isn’t the best GM.

    Defense is bad upfront and Brady has no weapons

    ——————-
    Statistically he is a middle of the road with draft success. But:
    He is good with trades.
    He is good with loading up on draft picks
    He is good with the salary cap, driving is crazy by letting them go a year two early instead of a year too late.
    His strategy defies all NFL logic.
    Being the best for 20 years is not supposed to happen in this league.

    I am glad that you acknowledge the lack of talent.

    Now let’s see what the coach does with it.

  15. streetyson says:
    January 7, 2019 at 10:31 am
    Neither Nate or especially Butler, were worth all the cash they got this year, but Belichick still gets compensated. And yet hater pointed to their going as another example of Belichick being both miserly and a terrible GM, and the latest start of the implosion the forecast every year. Enjoy the playoffs!
    +++++++++++++++++
    So you would rather have two third rounders rather than having a solid left tackle and an experienced cb in the secondary? Good call.

  16. commentawaitingdeletion says:
    January 7, 2019 at 10:58 am
    dcnupe3 says:
    January 7, 2019 at 10:40 am
    Another reason Les Snead deserves Executive of the Year. Knowing how to play the comp picks game (when it’s not clearly spelled out) and use it to your advantage is some next level stuff.
    ————————————–

    Do you really think the comp formula is some kind of mystery to NFL GM’s?

    ———————

    Um, have you seen some of these mouthbreather GMs? Why was Ryan Grigson just hired by the Raiders?

    Do you follow the NFL?

    We see more and more teams all arrogant thinking they’ve split the atom and then poof, they disappear.

    Happens to 2-3 teams every year. They go from trendy, soup du jour teams to rebuilding and in cap hell.

    It’s sort of simple, sure, but why don’t more teams mirror what BB does? He’s set the blueprint for over 15 years now.

  17. jasons81 says:
    January 7, 2019 at 11:02 am
    No I get that they were traded, my point is trades should be taken into account
    ——————————————————-
    Respectfully disagree…. trades usually effect a teams draft capital already by reducing it & also at the same time effect the teams salary cap or COULD effect it……
    Free Agents is a totally different animal….. teams are losing key players or perceived key players to other teams that can or will pay more to acquire them which has an effect on BOTH TEAMS salary cap/rosters….Teams that lose key players to other teams based soley on that teams ability to pay more deserve to be compensated for their losses….especially if they don’t bring in any other high profile players to offset the loss…..it’s a FAIR to be based on FA TRANSACTIONS ONLY.

  18. The third rounder that the Washington Numbskins will receive for Kirk Cousins is the FIRST time this team has improved a draft pick from a player decision. Cousins cost them a fourth rounder. They’ll advance one round from losing him. Now they can upgrade to a higher draft choice with an injury history!

  19. aarons444 says:
    January 7, 2019 at 10:48 am
    On what planet is Malcolm Butler worth a 3rd round pick?

    They’d be lucky to get a 5th if they traded him this offseason!

    ——————-

    It’s the brilliance of BB, leveraging his coaching up of good players, and then cutting ties knowing when they are about to fall of a cliff.

    Your jealousy of this fact is delicious.

  20. AP’s Whippin’ stick says:
    January 7, 2019 at 10:53 am
    Let’s not pretend the Rams are good at drafting . They bought most of their top players
    __________________________________________________________________________________

    You might want to think about that a little bit more sport. Goff, Gurley, Donald, Havenstein, Highbee, Littleton, Johnson, were all draft picks……

  21. rutledge3197 says:
    January 7, 2019 at 11:32 am
    Watch when BB goes bye bye …….Patriots fans : “ remember when “ is all they will be babbling on about

    0 1 Rate This

    ——————-

    Nick Caserio won’t be as great as BB, but he will use the same approaches, so you’d be wrong within your jealousy of the Pats.

    LOL

  22. patriotmaleorgy says:
    January 7, 2019 at 11:13 am

    So you would rather have two third rounders rather than having a solid left tackle and an experienced cb in the secondary? Good call.
    ++++++++++++++

    What???? You have completely missed the point. The point is that Jackson has been every bit as good as Butler (and his yearly salary is a game check for butler). And Brown has been just as good as Solder, and again, paid significantly less money

    So the patriots got equal (arguably better) play from those two positions, cut salary significantly, and gained 2 third round compensatory picks (that belichick will turn into a 2020 1st, 3rd, and 5th, lol)

    Your logic is flawed, or nonexistent.

  23. It doesn’t matter how good the player is, it’s how much the new team pays him compared to how much you pay incoming free agents. And it also only applies to free agents whose contracts expired, not players who were cut or traded.

  24. “Rob4Rams says:
    January 7, 2019 at 11:41 am
    AP’s Whippin’ stick says:
    January 7, 2019 at 10:53 am
    Let’s not pretend the Rams are good at drafting . They bought most of their top players
    __________________________________________________________________________________

    You might want to think about that a little bit more sport. Goff, Gurley, Donald, Havenstein, Highbee, Littleton, Johnson, were all draft picks……”

    3 of those 7 Top 5 picks. But yeah ok.

  25. Overthecap predicts the Patriots will end up with 12 picks in the 2019 draft. Unfortunately 11 of them will have a long injury history and 10 will end up on IR before the season begins.

  26. rutledge3197 says:
    January 7, 2019 at 11:32 am
    Watch when BB goes bye bye …….Patriots fans : “ remember when “ is all they will be babbling on about

    Maybe.
    But what sweet memories they will be! I bet a lot of teams would love to reminisce about winning 5 superbowls.

  27. AP’s Whippin’ stick says:

    January 7, 2019 at 12:09 pm

    “Rob4Rams says:
    January 7, 2019 at 11:41 am
    AP’s Whippin’ stick says:
    January 7, 2019 at 10:53 am
    Let’s not pretend the Rams are good at drafting . They bought most of their top players
    __________________________________________________________________________________

    You might want to think about that a little bit more sport. Goff, Gurley, Donald, Havenstein, Highbee, Littleton, Johnson, were all draft picks……”

    3 of those 7 Top 5 picks. But yeah ok.

    Wrong again. The only top 5 pick in all of those listed was Goff. Gurley was #10, Donald was #13. Not to mention Cooper Kupp and Josh Reynolds. Both are awesome WRs taken in round 3 or later. Also, the Rams 2018 first round pick, Brandin Cooks, looks pretty good so far. The Rams will take their poor drafting on to the divisional round of the playoffs, while 24 other teams sit at home and watch.

  28. fartsmella says:
    January 7, 2019 at 12:54 pm
    Wait til next year when Trent Brown leaves (another 3rd rounder) and replaced by Isaiah Wynn.
    ————————————
    I really hope that’s not the case….. I’m hope Brown really likes being part of the Patriots team & does a fairly decent team friendly extension & the Pats lose Cannon & his huge contract( put that savings toward Brown) & Isaiah ends up taking his place….. a lot to hope for but I pray that’s how it ends up…. there’s some dead cap space involved too, but if it allows Pats to keep Brown then it’s worth it!!!
    Go Pats!!!

  29. I don’t think Belichick is any great genius for letting Butler walk. In fact, the final offer to Butler was pretty similar to the one he got from the Titans. As for Solder, Belichick did what any other GM would do by letting him walk for an outrageous deal in NY. It’s great that they will get a pair of 3rd round picks, but not buying the genius part of it.

  30. pastabelly says:
    January 7, 2019 at 1:30 pm
    I don’t think Belichick is any great genius for letting Butler walk. In fact, the final offer to Butler was pretty similar to the one he got from the Titans. As for Solder, Belichick did what any other GM would do by letting him walk for an outrageous deal in NY. It’s great that they will get a pair of 3rd round picks, but not buying the genius part of it.

    —————————-
    I dont think hes a genius for letting Bulter walk either, or for any individual move. I think he is a genius because he keeps his team in constant top contention every year sustained for 17 years. Lone exception was when he still pulled off an 11-5 season without Brady. His critics can point to this move, that move, the color of his shirt, the cut of his hair, whatever. But this is a results oriented business and no one now or ever has ever matched his bottom line results.

  31. wib22 says:
    January 7, 2019 at 10:47 am
    BB has done it again. Trades out of weak drafts and into strong ones, by adding additional picks.

    Sounds so simple, but teams refuse to learn from the master. So strange.

    ***

    He isn’t the best GM.

    Defense is bad upfront and Brady has no weapons

    ***

    I love that after 20 years of dominance from the Pats that other folks just don’t get it. The Pats have proven that you don’t need to have the best “fill in the position” to play well but all you see on these boards are fans saying “team X needs to pay player Y as much as he wants.”

    Bottom line for BB is this – he doesn’t need to have the best defense, he just needs them to be a little better than whatever team they’re playing that day.

    It was something like 55% of his roster that beat Atlanta in the SB weren’t on the team when they played the Eagles in the SB the following year – let that sink in. If NFL fans can’t appreciate how he keeps the Pats competitive for this long, I truly feel sorry for you because it’s an absolute joy to watch as a fan and I know that it will end eventually.

Leave a Reply

You must be logged in to leave a comment. Not a member? Register now!